strategic business planning for commercial producers farm size: am i big enough?

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rategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

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Page 1: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Page 2: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Objectives

• Establish criteria for how big a business should be

• Estimate minimum viable size by assessing owner’s need for income

• Understand relationship between financial growth and earned income

Page 3: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

How Big Should the Business Be?

The business is big enough when:– Internal Dimension

1. It is low cost – economies of size

Page 4: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Economies of SizeCost

$

Units of Output The Farmer

Page 5: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

How Big Should the Business Be?The business is big enough when:

– Internal Dimension1. It is low cost – economies of size 2. It meets its operator’s needs for income –

minimum viable size from family income needs perspective

– External Dimension3. Its size permits access to markets, information,

and competitive technologies – minimum viable size from industry perspective

Page 6: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Income Needs Analysis

• What is the minimum amount of net income that will satisfy operator’s needs?

• What gross income would normally be required to produce this much net income?

• How much investment (financial assets) would normally be required to produce this much gross income?

Page 7: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial ProducersPart I. Income Needs AnalysisSpendable Income Needs Forecas

t

A. Family living expense

B. Term debt service (principal only)

C. Carryover debts (principal only)

D. Income and self employment taxes

E. Reinvestment in the farm business

F. Saving for retirement, college, etc.

G. Other wants/needs

H. Total income needed

I. Less non-farm income available

J. Income needed from the farm

Page 8: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Part I. Income Needs AnalysisSpendable Income Needs Forecas

t

A. Family living expense 150,000

B. Term debt service (principal only)

91,648

C. Carryover debts (principal only) 0

D. Income and self employment taxes

0

E. Reinvestment in the farm business

71,234

F. Saving for retirement, college, etc.

30,000

G. Other wants/needs 0

H. Total income needed 342,882

I. Less non-farm income available 20,000

J. Income needed from the farm 322,882

Page 9: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Part II: Income Needs Analysis: Historical Performance

K. Net Farm Income from Operations Ratio

Net Farm Income

divided by Gross Farm Revenues

= NFIFO

L. Asset Turnover Ratio

Gross Farm Revenues

divided by Total Farm Assets

= Asset Turnover Ratio

Page 10: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Part II: Income Needs Analysis: Historical Performance

K. Net Farm Income from Operations Ratio

Net Farm Income 280,519

divided by Gross Farm Revenues 1,796,651

= NFIFO 0.156

L. Asset Turnover Ratio

Gross Farm Revenues 1,796,651

divided by Total Farm Assets 4,655,476

= Asset Turnover Ratio 0.386

Page 11: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Part II: Income Needs Analysis: Results

M. Gross farm revenues required to generate needed spendable income

Total Income Needed (J)

divided by NFIFO (K)

=

N. Assets required to generate gross revenue

Required Gross Revenues (M)

divided by Asset Turnover Ratio (L)

=

Page 12: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Part II: Income Needs Analysis: Results

M. Gross farm revenues required to generate needed spendable income

Total Income needed (J) (from Part I.)

322,882

divided by NFIFO (K) 0.156

= 2,069,756

N. Assets required to generate gross revenue

Required Gross Revenues (M) 2,069,756

divided by Asset Turnover Ratio (L)

0.386

= 5,362,062

Page 13: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

More Spendable Income From the Farm Without Getting Bigger

• Increase NFIFO Ratio– Reduce costs– Outsource

• Increase Asset Turnover Ratio– Increase prices or output– Reduce investment

Page 14: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Can the Business Grow?

Growth is dependent on: 1) Identifying opportunities for

profitable expansion2) Acquiring resources to implement

expansion

Page 15: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Two Behaviors Critical to Internally Funded Growth• Earnings behavior• Savings behavior

Page 16: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Leverage and Growth• In the short run, a farm can growing by

borrowing, the potential to grow with debt capital is limited by earnings and assets

• Earnings leverage growth, as well as fuel it directly

• Appreciation in capital asset values may increase borrowing ability, but won’t increase the ability to service debt

• Financial performance should be monitored annually using cost value ROA versus ROE (ROE should exceed ROA) and SGR trend

Page 17: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Profitability, Size, and Growth are Interdependent

Profitability

Size Growth

Which button do we push to achieve competitiveness?

A. Profitability

B. Size

C. Growth

D. All of the above

Business Control Panel

Page 18: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

How Would You Respond?

First scenario – The farm’s asset turnover ratio is 18%, when 38% would be typical for average competitors. The operating profit margin ratio is 12%. The farm has no debt and substantial equity, but little cash.

A. Improve performanceB. Expand operation

Page 19: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

How Would You Respond?Second Scenario – The farm’s asset

turnover ratio is a remarkable 50%. The farm’s operating profit margin ratio is 5%. The farm has little or no debt, but little cash.

A. Improve performanceB. Expand operation

Should a manager ever consider expanding an unprofitable business?

Page 20: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Summary - Keys to Achieving a High Sustainable Growth Rate• High profit • Retention of income as opposed

to distributing income to owners• Optimum leverage• Outside equity capital• Strategic fit with industry scale

Page 21: Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers Farm Size: Am I Big Enough?

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers

Strategic Business Planning for Commercial Producers