std/pass/tags – trade and globalisation statistics oecd’s trade indicators project (tip)...

STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation Statistics

OECD’s OECD’s Trade IndicatorsTrade IndicatorsProject (TIP)Project (TIP)

Methodological improvements and extended coverage

AgendaAgendaItem 10bItem 10bAgendaAgendaItem 10bItem 10b

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IntroductionIntroduction

• After the recent technical improvements, OECD’s multidimensional Trade Indicators database has gained more and more popularity amongst users searching for more analytical statistics, in particular within the context of globalisation analysis.

• Methodological consistency for calculating indicatorsMethodological consistency for calculating indicators, as well as the innovative interactive Web-based query toolinteractive Web-based query tool, presented at the last ITS Expert Meeting in September 2006, can be considered as strong points of TIP.

• Since the last meeting, TIP has been further evolving: new indicators were added and new features, the radar charts, complete the already popular country profiles. The TIP is by now not only a well-established and popular statistical product, but also a unique working tool of OECD’s Statistics Directorate.

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• The TIP database consists of several sub-datasets which have been merged under the header of Trade Indicators. While the “Macro Trade Indicators” cover a broader and more general view showing economic basis indicators typically without a sectoral breakdown, the “Micro Trade Indicators” allow an analysis at detailed commodity and activity level in different classifications. The last addition to the Micro Trade Indicators consisted in a breakdown by ICT Groupsby ICT Groups.

• The Internet site of the Trade Indicators has been improved and updated; a user-friendly URL has been created. Links to the diverse TIP datasets within OECD.STAT can be found on the site, as well as the country profiles for download. The TIP dataset has been moved towards the ‘globalisation theme’ (OECD.STAT).

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• The denominator of several indicators has been changed from OECD total to world total to take into account the increasing importance of countries outside OECD. This concerns especially the RCA and export performance indicators. However, this was not possible for all indicators due to missing world totals or missing coherent world totals in some cases. The metadata within OECD.STAT have been adjusted accordingly.

• To get a more pertinent picture of the development of individual OECD member countries in relation to the OECD average (or in relation to another OECD member country), a new interactive graphic modulenew interactive graphic module, based on radar charts, has been provided and been made available for download on the TIP website.


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Micro Trade

Indicatorsby SITCSITC

Micro Trade

Indicatorsby HSHS

Micro Trade

Indicatorsby ISICISIC

EBOPS(2

05-2

91)

IND1: Revealed

comparative advantage

Time (1988-2004)

Co

un

try

(3

0) EBO

PS(205

-291

)

IND2: OECD market

share

Time (1988-2004)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

Micro Trade

Indicatorsby EBOPSEBOPS

SITC2

(00-

97)

IND1: Revealed


Time (1961-2005)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND2: WorldWorld market

share

Time (1961-2005)SITC2

(00-

97)

SITC2

(00-

97)

IND3: Trade balance

(goods)

Time (1961-2005)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND4: Export

performance

Time (1961-2005)SITC2

(00-

97)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

HS2 (0

0-99

)

IND1: Revealed


Time (1988-2005)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND2: WorldWorld market

share

Time (1988-2005)HS2 (0

0-99

)

HS2 (0

0-99

)

IND3: Trade balance

(goods)

Time (1988-2005)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND4: Export

performance

Time (1988-2005)HS2 (0

0-99

)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

newnew

newnew

ISIC

(01-

98)

IND1: Revealed


Time (1988-2004)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND2: OECD OECD market

share

Time (1988-2004)ISIC

(01-

98)

ISIC

(01-

98)

IND3: Trade balance

(goods)

Time (1961-2004)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND4: Export

performance


(01-

98)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND5: Herf. Index

(geo concentr.)

Time (1961-2005)SITC2

(00-

97)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND5: Herf. Index

(geo concentr.)

Time (1988-2005)HS2 (0

0-99

)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

newnew

newnew

IND5: Herf. Index

(geo concentr.)


(01-

98)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

newnew

ICTG

roup (I

-V)

IND1: Revealed


Time (1996-2005)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND2: World World market

share

Time (1996-2005)ICTG

roup (I

-V)

ICTG

roup (I

-V)

IND3: Trade balance

(goods)

Time (1996-2005)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

IND4: Export

performance


roup (I

-V)

IND5: Herf. Index

(geo concentr.)


roup (I

-V)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

Co

un

try

(3

0)

soonsoonnewnewnewnew newnewnewnew newnewMicro Trade

Indicatorsby ICT GroupICT Group

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Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in September 2006Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in September 2006

a)a) Micro Trade Indicators by ICT GroupsMicro Trade Indicators by ICT Groups

• Information and communication technologies (ICT) have been at the heart of economic changes for more than a decade. ICT-producing sectors play an important role, notably by contributing to rapid technological progress and productivity growth. ICT sector contributions are significant and generally growing throughout OECD and also outside. In recognition of the also growing trade of ICT goods amongst countries, the Secretariat has taken the necessary steps to consistently add them to the battery of trade indicators.

• The recent analytical extension by ICT groups of the ICTS database allowed setting-up the new TIP dataset ‘Micro Trade Indicators by ICT Group’.

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STD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsSTD/PASS/TAGS – Trade and Globalisation StatisticsProgress made since the 7h ITS meeting in September 2006Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in September 2006

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7F

inla

nd

Hu

ng

ary

Ko

rea

Ko

rea

Jap

an

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Me

xico

Hu

ng

ary

Tu

rke

y

Ire

lan

d

Ne

the

rla

nd

s

Ko

rea

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Jap

an

Ne

the

rla

nd

s

I: Telecomequipment

II: Electroniccomponents

III: Audio andvideo equipment

IV: Computerequipment

V: Other ITCgoods

1996

2004

Degree of export specialisation (RCA) by ICT Groups

x 47x 47x 47x 47

x 3x 3x 3x 3x 4x 4x 4x 4

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Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in September 2006September 2006

b)b) From OECD perspective to world perspectiveFrom OECD perspective to world perspective

• For the Micro Trade Indicators by SITC, HS and ICT Groups, the indicators ‘Market

share’, ‘RCA’ and ‘export performance’ have been recalculated and refer to world world

totalstotals now (instead of OECD totals, as before). This improves the significance of the

respective indicators because the OECD share in the world total has decreased. Total

merchandise trade, comprising both OECD and non-OECD aggregates and countries

world-wide, is now the perspective.

c) New concentration indicator on micro level: Herfindahlc) New concentration indicator on micro level: Herfindahl

• A new indicator (within the micro trade indicators), the Herfindahl indexHerfindahl index, has been

added to measure the geographic concentrationgeographic concentration of the merchandise exports. This

indicator has been calculated for the SITC-, HS- and ISIC-classifications and will be

added for the ICT-Groups soon.

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0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

Mexico

Canada

New Zealand

Slovak Republic

Czech Republic

Hungary

Austria

Iceland

Portugal

Japan

Luxembourg

Poland

Belgium

Spain

Switzerland

United States

Australia

Ireland

Korea

Netherlands

Denmark

France

United Kingdom

Finland

Germany

Greece

Italy

Norway

Sweden

Turkey 1998 2005

Herfindahl Index (geographic concentration) for SITC 7: Machinery and transport equipment (exports)


Mexico‘s and Canada‘s exportsare most-concentrated in termsof partner countries for this SITCchapter

Sweden and Turkey have the lowest geographicalConcentration for exports of SITC 7

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Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in Progress made since the 7h ITS meeting in September 2006September 2006

d) New ways of interactive graphic presentationd) New ways of interactive graphic presentation

• An additional graphical approach, in the form of interactive radar chartsinteractive radar charts, has been

made available for download on the Trade Indicators website. This chart (in xls-format)

allows comparing the situation of one selected OECD country (for a selection of trade

indicators, both macro and micro indicators) to the OECD average or another OECD

country. In other words, the radar chart uses indexes of the indicators to enable a more

distinctive look at where a country stands within the OECD.

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Radar chat: access via www.oecd.org/std/its/tradeindicators

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Directions for further researchDirections for further research

• The TIP has reached maturity. Future work and related improvements fall into two

categories: first, technical, IT-driven developments which permit a better understanding

of complex patterns and more immediate access to the key messages of underlying

information. The second category concerns substance, that is new or better indicators.

Both categories are important.

• The development and extension of advanced visualisation optionsadvanced visualisation options is still one of the

key aspects for further work under the first category of the trade indicators. A good

graphic presentation is an important element for international indicators. Though there

are already country profile chartscountry profile charts and interactive radar chartsinteractive radar charts available now, these

options do not yet represent the best solution in terms of graphics interface. Further

developments in this domain will very probably depend on the future graphic software

product which will be chosen for the whole OECD and the level of IT support for TIP.

Investigations and feasibility studies are underway.

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• Concerning substance, the inclusion of more and more trade in servicestrade in services data

(detailed data by products and partner countries) continues to be an important

development objective. Trade in services is already included in the macro trade

indicators, but needs to be further developed for the expansion of the micro trade

indicators for services.

• As could be shown, the current TIP indicators dataset is not a static one. The

indicators will remain a pro-active and flexible tool for economic and policy analysis.

Depending on resources and related maintenance costs more indicators should and

will be added (the so-called “trade plus” indicators).

• Following a corporate management decision at OECD, the TIP dataset has been

moved to the Globalisation Theme of OECD.Stat, the OECD data warehouse. This

was in recognition of its very nature, namely key trade indicators as part of the

broader globalisation process.

Directions for further researchDirections for further research [‘ctd][‘ctd]

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• Amongst the avenues to be included for possible further extension (or separate

addition under “Globalisation”) are:

– Links of customs sources with enterprise structural statisticsLinks of customs sources with enterprise structural statistics, into trade indicators with

the objective to develop new databases where trading is matched to enterprise

characteristics, such as employment size classes, sector and partner country (see agenda

item 8).

– Trade statistics by type of ownershipownership of the enterprise, concentration of foreign trade by

enterprises, impact of international groups of enterprises on trade statistics, and the like.

Duplication with existing databases is to be avoided.

– New Trade Indicators to be added: the work on new trade and globalisation indicators will be

largely guided by the internal OECD Reflection Group on Globalisation StatisticsOECD Reflection Group on Globalisation Statistics. To

ensure consistency with other international bodies, OECD invites selected International

Organisations to be part of a Trade Indicators Development GroupTrade Indicators Development Group, convened by OECD.

– The role of re-imports and re-exports, inward and outward processing of goods in

international trading.

Directions for further researchDirections for further research [‘ctd][‘ctd]

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Going beyond traditional statistical standard classifications:Going beyond traditional statistical standard classifications:

ICT - Information and communication technologyICT - Information and communication technology

Delegates are invited to:

• Comment on the TIP developments shown.

• Provide guidance to the Secretariat as to which areas – as mentioned before - should be pursued as a priority and integrated into TIP. This would imply indicating negative priorities as well.

•Share similar national approaches, priorities and challenges with trade experts present.

•Indicate whether they could contribute to TIP in areas of relevance, but not covered at present, and would be ready to work with OECD.

Delegates are invited to:

• Comment on the TIP developments shown.

• Provide guidance to the Secretariat as to which areas – as mentioned before - should be pursued as a priority and integrated into TIP. This would imply indicating negative priorities as well.

•Share similar national approaches, priorities and challenges with trade experts present.

•Indicate whether they could contribute to TIP in areas of relevance, but not covered at present, and would be ready to work with OECD.

std/pass/tags – trade and globalisation statistics oecd’s trade indicators project (tip)...

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