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  • 7/22/2019 Stats Solutions Danny

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    1. Poisson DistributionProblem

    Southwestern Electronics has developed a new calculator that performs a series of functions

    not yet performed by any other calculator. The marketing department is planning to

    demonstrate this calculator to a group of potential customers, but is worried about some

    initial problems, which have resulted in 4 percent of the new calculators developing

    mathematical inconsistencies. The marketing VP Is planning on randomly selecting a group

    of calculators for this demonstration and is worried about the chances of selecting a

    calculator that could start malfunctioning. He believes that whether or not a calculator

    functions is a Bernoulli process and he is convinced that the probability of malfunction is

    really about 0.04.

    a. Assuming that the VP selects exactly 50 calculators to use in the demonstration, andusing the Poisson distribution as an approximation of the binomial, what is the chance of

    getting at least three calculators that malfunction?

    b. No calculators malfunctioning?Solution

    n = 50

    p = 0.04

    = np = 2

    = 0.13533

    Formula: P(X=) =

    P ( =0) =

    = 0.13533

    P ( =1) =

    = 0.27066

    P ( =2) =

    = 0.27066

    P ( =3) =

    = 0.18044

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    P ( 3) = 1 P ( 2)

    = 1 [P ( =0) + P ( =1) + P ( =2)]

    = 1 [0.13533 + 0.27066 +0.27066]

    = 0.32335

    Answer

    a.) The chance of getting at least three calculators that malfunction is 32.33%b.) The chance of no calculators malfunctioning is 13.53%

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    2. Hypothesis Testing (Single Population)Problem

    General Electric has developed a new bulb whose design specifications call for a light output

    of 960 lumens compared to an earlier model that produced only 750 lumens. The companys

    data indicate that the standard deviation of light output for this type of bulb is 18.4 lumens.

    From a sample of 20 new bulbs, the testing committee found an average light output of 954

    lumens per bulb. At a 0.05 significance level, can General Electric conclude that its new bulb

    is producing the specified 960 lumen output?

    Solution

    = 18.4

    n = 20 = 954 = 960 = 0.05 = 960

    = 960

    < 960

    = - 1.65

    =

    =

    = - 1.45

    Answer

    Do not reject . The new bulb is meeting specifications.

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    3. Hypothesis Testing (Single Population)Problem

    BSNL provides telephone services in Coimbatore. According to the companys records the

    average length of calls placed through the company is 11.44 minutes. The company wants to

    check if the mean length of the current calls is different from 11.44 minutes. A sample of 150

    such calls placed through this company gave a mean length of 12.71 minutes with a standard

    deviation of 2.65 minutes. Can you conclude that the mean length of all current calls is

    different from 11.44 minutes? Use = 0.05.

    Solution

    s = 2.65

    n = 150 = 12.71 = 11.44 = 0.05

    = 11.44

    11.44

    = 1.65

    =

    =

    = 5.87

    Answer

    Reject . It is concluded that the mean length of current calls is different from 11.44minutes.

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    4. Hypothesis Testing ( Two populations)Problem

    A credit-insurance organization has developed a new high-tech method of training new

    sales personnel. The company sampled 16 employees who were trained the original way and

    found average daily sales to be $688 and the sample standard deviation was $32.63. They

    also sampled 11 employees who were trained using the new method and found average

    daily sales to be $ 706 and the sample standard deviation was $24.84. At alpha = 0.05, can

    the company conclude that average daily sales have increased under the new plan?

    Solution

    n1 = 16 n2 = 11 n = n1 + n2 = 27

    1 = 688 2 = 206

    1 = 32.63 2 = 24.84

    = 0.05

    1 - 2 = 0

    1 - 2 0

    = - 1.708

    =

    =

    = 885.64

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    =

    =

    = - 1.545

    Answer

    Do not reject . Average daily sales have not increased significantly.