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State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012.

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Page 1: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

State Building in South Sudan

Clash of International and Domestic priorities

Illés ZoltánPécs, 15 June 2012.

Page 2: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

South Sudan – newcomer in the Inernational Community

Independence – 9 July 2011 Domestic and Inernational Expectations Actors and goals

Unfinished business with Sudan Closing the taps

Page 3: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

The external actors in the scramble for South Sudan

Security and development North – US, UK, Norway, EU and its member states South – China, India, Malaysia Regional players – Uganda, Ethiopia, Kenya UN – UNMISS, UNDP, WFO, UNHCR NGOs Church and faith based organizations

Page 4: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

Anatomy of a domestic strategy

SPLM/A to absorb the opposition Internal dynamics – armed insurgencies and ethnic

violence Stop oil export, cut from Sudan - “I reject the proposition that

the best way to peace with Sudan is through dependence on Sudan. No nation can prosper by surrendering control of its economy to another.”

From loans to new pipeline The border areas –Abyei and the disputed territories Independence?

Page 5: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012
Page 6: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

Analysis of a foreign policy

The „good guy” Internatonal Community is losing patience? AUHIP talks failed? Occupation of Heglig/Panthou Talks continue

„Too many agreements dishonoured.”

Page 7: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

How to build South Sudan?

International Community: assistance or greed?

SPLM: survive and grow

Avoid African state building traps

Future?

Page 8: State Building in South Sudan Clash of International and Domestic priorities Illés Zoltán Pécs, 15 June 2012

Thank you for your attention!

Contact: [email protected]