stat 323 project: throwing accuracy with darts

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Investigation: Throwing accuracy with darts Cisco Bass Hubert Lo Kyle Beekman

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A group project that I and two other group members, Kyle and Cisco accomplished in winter quarter 2014 which focuses on Design of Experiments and ANOVA- Analysis of Variance.

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Page 1: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Investigation: Throwing accuracy with darts

Cisco Bass Hubert Lo Kyle Beekman

Page 2: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Introduction

• The motivation for our experiment was to investigate what sort of different factors affect throwing accuracy. There was a multitude of factors that we considered, but we decided to narrow down to two factors, distance and blindfold-indicator.

Page 3: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Treatment Structure

• 3 x 2 Factorial Structure

• Two factors o Distance - 3 Levels - (Ordinal distances; 6, 8 10 ft)o Blindfold - 2 Levels – (Blindfold and No Blindfold)

Page 4: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Experimental Units/ Response variable

• Experimental Units: trials (60)

• Response variable: sum score of three dart throws

Page 5: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Design Structure

• Randomized Complete Block Design

• Block variable: Person Skillo Randomization: the order of treatment combinationso Replication: no replicationo Blocked: person

Page 6: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Discussion of randomization/direct controls

• Randomized the order of treatment combinations within block

• Confounding variable: order of trials o Throwers adaptation

• Assign order of treatment combinations with a six-sided die

Page 7: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

ANOVA Table (Source & DF)

Source DFThrower & random 9

Distance 2

Blindfold 1

Distance * Blindfold 2

Error 45

Total 59

Page 8: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Assumptions

Normality:•Using Shapiro-Wilk Test,

p-value is 0.0090.

Page 9: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Assumptions

Equal Variance:

Independence:

Page 10: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Significant factors:

Analysis:•Blindfold : F ratio = 22.7245 P-value <0.0001

•Distance: F ratio = 0.6605 P-value = 0.5215

•Blindfold * Distance : F ratio = 0.8209 P-value = 0.4465

Page 11: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Main Effects Plots

Main Effects: Blindfold Main Effects: Distance

Page 12: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Interaction Plot

Interaction Plot: Distance & Blindfolded

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Table of Means

Levels Mean Standard deviation

Not 35.733 12.66

Yes 17.233 14.60

Main Effect: Blindfolded

Page 14: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Table of Means

Levels Mean Standard deviation

10 23.40 18.34

6 28.60 14.05

8 27.45 17.05

Main Effect: Distance

Page 15: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Table of MeansLevels Mean Standard

deviation

not, 6ft. 37.10 14.06

not, 10ft. 36.00 16.28

not, 8ft. 34.10 16.01

yes, 8ft. 20.80 21.62

yes, 6ft. 20.10 7.60

yes, 10ft. 10.80 15.69

Interaction Effect: Distance & Blindfolded

Page 16: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Contrasts/ Tukey Method

•Not blindfolded 6ft vs blindfolded 10ft

F-ratio = 15.3088 P-value = 0.0003

•6ft vs 10 ft (regardless of blindfolded)

F-ratio = 1.1969 P-value = 0.2798

•Tukey Method not blindfolded blindfolded

Level Level P-Value

Not blindfolded Blindfolded Less than 0.0001

Page 17: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Conclusion

• Blindfolding a thrower will cause them to have less accuracy when throwing darts at any distance between 6 feet and 10 feet.

• This can be generalized to any person throwing darts regardless of skill.

Page 18: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Going Forward

• If we were to repeat this experiment, we would consider using more spread out distances (i.e. 10ft, 15ft, 20ft)

• We would also consider using other factors such as type of dart and room conditions

Page 19: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Appendix

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Appendix

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Appendix

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Appendix

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Appendix

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Appendix

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Appendix

Page 26: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Appendix

Page 27: Stat 323 project: Throwing Accuracy with Darts

Appendix

• Contrast: not blinded 6ft vs blindfolded 10ft

• Contrast: 6ft vs 10 ft (regardless of blindfolded)