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STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon

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Page 1: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

STAT 104: Section 2

4 Oct, 2007

TF: Daniel Moon

Page 2: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

TF

Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: [email protected] Office hour: Th. PM 4:10-5:10, 6th Floor, 600 Interest: Quantitative methods in finance I want my section to be interactive and

helpful. Any questions? Feel free to ask…

Page 3: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Agenda of Today

Scatter Plot Correlation Linear Regression Lurking Variable Association vs. Causation

Page 4: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Scatter Plot

Page 5: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Correlation

Page 6: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Example: Stupid H vs. Wise W

Page 7: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Linear Regression

Page 8: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Checking Linear Regression

Page 9: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Lurking Variable

A variable not among the explanatory or response variables that influences the interpretation

From aggregate data Sol: Plot the residuals against time and

other variables that may influence the results

Page 10: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Linear Regression

Page 11: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Linear Regression

Page 12: STAT 104: Section 2 4 Oct, 2007 TF: Daniel Moon. TF Daniel Moon G2 (A.M. in Statistics Dept) Email: moon@fas.harvard.edumoon@fas.harvard.edu Office hour:

Association vs. Causation


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