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Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles for Equitable and Excellent Basic Education Systems Conference March 2017 Amanda E. Devercelli Global Lead for Early Childhood Development The World Bank Group

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Page 1: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Years

Shared Principles for Equitable and Excellent Basic Education Systems Conference

March 2017

Amanda E. DevercelliGlobal Lead for Early Childhood DevelopmentThe World Bank Group

Page 2: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

What will we cover in the next 15 minutes?

• What is early childhood development (ECD)?

• Why should investments in ECD be a priority?

• Global evidence on returns to investments in ECE

• Engaging the private sector in early learning

• What are the latest innovations in the Bank’s work?

Page 3: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

What is Early Childhood Development (ECD)?

ECD: The period before pregnancy, through transition to primary school

Page 4: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

4

Early childhood is a highly sensitive period for development

C. Nelson, in From Neurons to Neighborhoods, 2000

;

Page 5: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

The importance of the first 1,000 days

CHILD WITH STUNTED BRAIN DEVELOPMENT HEALTHY, CARED FOR CHILD

Page 6: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

We get more from integrating child nutrition and stimulation:Jamaica example

6

Source: Grantham-McGregor et al., Lancet, 1997.

A follow up when beneficiary children reached age 22 found significant long term labor market returns (earnings 25% higher) in the group that had received early stimulation (with or without nutrition) compared to the group that had received nutrition only or no intervention at all (Gertler et al., 2014)

Page 7: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

You don’t want to miss this window

Page 8: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Why should ECD be a priority for investment?

Page 9: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Improve education outcomes

Promote equity

Build a skilled workforce

Yield high returns and benefit society

Investments in early learning can:

Page 10: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Improve education outcomes

Reduce repetition and drop-out rates

Kids stay in school longer

Improve test scores

Page 11: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Look at what happens in the NEXT thousand days

Promote equity

Will these children be ready to meet expectations in Grade 1?

Page 12: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Build a skilled workforce

Human capital accumulation: the skills acquired during the years form the basis for future learning and success

Cognitive and socioemotional

Jamaica: 25% higher earnings in adulthood

Lifetime earning gains of $15-$34 billion if global preschool enrollment increased to 50% for children in low- and middle-income countries

Page 13: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

1313

Yield high returns and benefit society

Every $1

invested in

ECD can

yield $6-17

USD

Heckman, 2006

Page 14: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

International evidence on the returns to investments in ECD

Page 15: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Are we talking about ECD or ECE?

•Most longitudinal evidence is from high-intensity, small scale RCTs in high-income countries

•Many new studies from low- and middle-income countries show positive outcomes

•Implications for policymaking in low- and middle-income countries?

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Poor quality ECE will not yield the benefits we seek

•South Africa

•Cambodia

•US Head Start

Page 17: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Findings from PISA

ECE is associated with significantly higher scores in reading and math at age 15

Score differences are biggest in lower-middle income countries

Unequal access: a child from a poor family is 3x less likely to be enrolled

Page 18: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Kids who were enrolled in ECE tend to have higher PISA math scores than kids who had no ECE

Source: Garcia, Devercelli and Valerio (forthcoming)

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Page 19: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Kids who were enrolled in ECE tend to have higher PISA reading scores than kids who had no ECE

Source: Garcia, Devercelli and Valerio (forthcoming)

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Read

Page 20: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Evidence on ECE and adult skills

STEP Survey of adults in 12 countries

Page 21: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

ECE participation and adult outcomes

Additional Years of Schooling associated

with ECE participation

OLS PSM

Coef. Coef.

Armenia .39** .36**

Bolivia 1.29** 1.24**

Colombia .71** .82**

Georgia .50** .43**

Ghana 1.49** 1.83**

Kenya 1.01** .90**

Laos 1.37** 1.39**

Macedonia .59** .38**

Sri Lanka .33 .28

Ukraine .24** .31**

Vietnam 1.25** 1.04**

Yunnan (China) 1.60** 1.50**

Pooled .88** .90**Source: STEP, Ages 20-64.

Notes: * p<.10, ** p<.05.

Adults who attended ECE stay in school .2 to 1.8 years longer

Pooled figure is .9 years of additional schooling across countries

As adults, employed jobs that require more skills

Page 22: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

What about the idea that children who participate in ECD have better socioemotional skills?

We think it’s true, but we don’t have conclusive evidence.• Limited number of robust longitudinal data sets•Measurement challenges

Page 23: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Public Private Partnerships (PPP)?

Engaging the non-state sector in early learning

Page 24: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Private preschool enrollment is growing around the worldIncrease in private preschool enrollment 2000-2013

Source: Edstats (2015)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Private enrollment, millions of students Private enrollment as percentage of total enrolment

Page 25: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

• Parental demand• Recognition of returns to investment• Recruitment strategies of low-cost private schools• Urban migration• Women’s labor force participation• Limited public sector capacity to serve all children with

high quality

25

What is driving this growth?

Page 26: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

• Private for-profit

• Low-cost private for-profit

• Community-based

• Home daycares

• Faith-based

26

What is the non-state sector for ECD?

Page 27: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

1. What are your early learning goals?

2. What can you afford to finance?

3. What can you/ do you want to implement?

27

Three questions to begin dialogue at country level

Can working with the private sector help you achieve these goals at a lower cost and/or greater efficiency?

A quality assurance system and incentives for quality are key

Page 28: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

• Incentivize qualityJamaica, United States

• Subsidies or vouchers (paid to school or family)Pakistan (Punjab), Mauritius, China (Yunnan Province)

• Private teacher training collegesKenya

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Some Examples (annex has details)

Page 29: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Latest in World Bank work on ECD

Page 30: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Global study

Measuring children’s cognitive and socioemotional development and the quality of preschool settings

We are measuring the system, NOT the child (no high stakes)

30

Measuring early learning quality and outcomes (MELQO)

Page 31: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Interactive Audio Instruction (IAI)

• Scripted preschool lessons delivered via radio, phone or other methods

• Supports less experienced teachers

• Can be delivered via various technologies

• An affordable and scalable way to reach millions of children, in remote areas

• Could also be used to reach parents

Page 32: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Use adolescent skills training/TVET to deliver ECD

• Can we use TVET/Skills training programs to train preschool teachers and small business owners?Resources are already allocated

Countries face a huge challenge of “untrained” workforce for early childhood

• The Adolescent Girls Initiative in LiberiaMarket research to confirm viability

Increasing the return on investment

Page 33: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Community-based playgroups

An accompanying intervention to cash transfers

Programs in waiting rooms

Through radio/TV/mass media in the home

Through mobile phones

33

Engaging parents

Page 34: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

5 Takeaways

1. Early childhood is a critical time to invest

2. Early childhood yields high returns and will help you meet just about any goal

3. Equity

4. Quality

5. Get creative

Page 35: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

35.

Thank youAmanda E. Devercelli

[email protected]

Page 36: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Annex slides

Page 37: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Enrollment in preschool is increasing

Page 38: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Investments in ECD are growing dramatically, in response to increased demand

Page 39: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Pre-primary enrollment rates vary across countries in the region

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60

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90

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Gross Pre-Primary Enrollment Across the Region (as of 2014)(source: EdStats)

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Engaging the non-state sector and

leveraging public-private partnerships

Measuring child development outcomes and

quality of early learning

Interactive audio instruction

Opportunity to use skills/TVET training

programs to build ECD workforce

Engaging parents in early stimulation and

early learning

Trends and Opportunities

Page 41: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Jamaica Early Childhood Commission: Standards promoting quality improvement for all service providers

• Functional agency with capacity and clear mandate: • ECC established in 2003 to ensure integrated and coordinated delivery of

early childhood programs and services. Responsible for inspecting all centers twice per year to ensure compliance with regulations, and has authority to withdraw permits

• Flexible, but clear, standards designed to promote improvement:• Institution standards established in 12 areas (staffing, finance, physical

environment, interactions, developmental programs, etc)• Possible ratings for each standard: needs improvement, minimally acceptable

or good practice• Some standards mandatory, some optional• Centers given a timeline and action plan for improvement

Page 42: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Punjab Province in Pakistan: Promoting education for children most in need• The Punjab Education Foundation (PEF) Foundation Assisted School

Program (FAS) provides subsidies to low-cost private schools• Schools receive a very low per-student subsidy, with no conditions on use

except that tuition must be waived for all students

• More than one million students have attended more than 2000 schools. Evaluations show increases in student learning

• PEF regulates quality of participating schools with high standards

Equity, access and quality achieved with minimal public sector effort and some finance

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United States: Quality Rating Improvement System (QRIS)• A systemic approach to assess, improve, and communicate the level of quality

in ECE programs • Similar to rating systems for hotels and restaurants

• Uses quality ratings for programs that meet certain standards (stars system)

• A path of continuous quality improvement for providers from very basic levels of health and safety to the highest levels of quality

• It offers a series of opportunities• Increases quality of ECE services offered by providers• Increases parents’ understanding of and demand for high quality ECE services• Increases support to ECE providers in a coordinated manner (training, benchmarks,

financial rewards)

• For countries with a high number of informal, low-cost providers where quality is an issue, can offer a path to formality that is based on incentives and support

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Mauritius: Using public finance for private sector provision• Early Childhood Care and Education Authority (gov’t agency) provides

a per capita grant of US$XX for every student age three and older attending school

• Grant goes directly to schools

• Nearly universal preschool coverage in Mauritius

Page 45: Starting off Right: Investing in the Early Yearspubdocs.worldbank.org/en/978211490826035055/Amanda-Devercelli.pdfStarting off Right: Investing in the Early Years Shared Principles

Guanxi Province in China: Public finance and incentives for private provision• Municipality offers public land and school buildings and invites

private providers to open kindergartens

• Municipality provides annual subsidy of US$100 per student enrolled with bonus of US$130 for children from poor families

• These private kindergartens cannot charge more than public kindergartens

• Kindergartens are subject to government regulation but maintain administrative autonomy

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Kenya: Teacher training delivered through private teacher training colleges• Growth in private teacher training colleges from 10 in 2000 to more

than 500 today

• Teachers train during holidays during a two-year period

• Incentives are aligned