starhub’s 1q-2009 resultsir.starhub.com/.../presentations/1q09slides.pdf1.05x 1.25x 0.20x s$...
TRANSCRIPT
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StarHub’s 1Q-2009 Results
7 May 2009
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Management Team
Terry CLONTZCEO
TAN Tong HaiCOO
3
Forward-looking Statements
The following presentation may contain forward-looking statements by StarHub Ltd (“StarHub”) relating to financial trends for future periods.
Some of the statements in this presentation which are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. These forward-looking statements are based on StarHub’s current views, intentions, plans, expectations, assumptions and beliefs about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside StarHub’s control. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements include known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Because actual results could differ materially from StarHub’s current views, intentions, plans, expectations, assumptions and beliefs about the future, such forward-looking statements are not and should not be construed as a representation, forecast or projection of future performance of StarHub. It should be noted that the actual performance of StarHub may vary significantly from such statements.
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Financial:
Revenue & EBITDA stable
Operational:
Strengths:• Revenue growth: Mobile Pre-paid, Pay TV & Data Services• Low churn maintained
Challenges:• Weak economy • Increased cost of services
Overview (1Q-2009 vs 1Q-2008)
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Key Financial Highlights
Total Revenue 531 535 -1%
Service Revenue 508 507 0%
EBITDA 168 168 0%
EBITDA Margin 33.0% 33.1% 0% pts
Taxation (19) (21) 8%
Net Profit After Tax 82 80 3%
Earnings Per Share (Diluted) 4.8¢ 4.67¢ 3%
Capex Cash Payments 51 59 14%
% of Capex to Revenue 10 11 1% pts
FCF / Fully Diluted Share 6.71¢ 1.78¢ 277%
Net Debt to 2008 EBITDA ratio 1.05x 1.25x 0.20x
S$ million 1Q-2009 1Q-2008 Change
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
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Business Expansion (1Q-2009 vs 1Q-2008)
Pay TV
Fixed Network Services
Mobile
Cable Broadband
Post-paid (-5%)Pre-paid (3%) Pre-paid (-6%) Post-paid (9%)
Data & Internet (13%) Voice (-13%)
(50% of revenue mix)
(19% of revenue mix)
(12% of revenue mix)
(15% of revenue mix)
Line of Business Service Revenue Customer Base
- 3% 1%
5%
9%
4%
9%- 3%
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364 361
239 242
155 175
1Q-2008 1Q-2009
Hubbing Scorecard
Expanding Hubbing Households (‘000)Expanding Hubbing Households (‘000)
Single Service HH Triple Service HHDouble Service HH
758K777K
54%
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
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134.4135.3
133.8
135.7 135.3
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Total Households ARPUARPU (S$)
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NGNBN - OpCo
• IDA awarded the OpCo RFP bid to StarHub on 3 April 2009
• Nucleus Connect incorporated on 14 April 2009
• To be commercially operational in 1Q-2010
Strategic Update
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Business Overview
Financial OverviewFinancial Overview
Outlook
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EBITDA & EBITDA Margin By Service Platforms
1Q-2008 1Q-2009
EBITDAEBITDA
(S$ millions)
EBITDA Margin as % of Service Revenue
Fixed Cable Mobile
1Q-2008 EBITDA 1Q-2009 EBITDA
Service PlatformService Platform
(S$ millions)
24.0%
35.6%37.2%
25.9%
36.6% 37.4%168 168
33.1% 33%
EBITDA Margin as % of Service Revenue
12
7649
73
83
6067
1Q-2008 1Q-2009
Cost of Equipment Cost of ServicesTraffic Expenses Cost of Sales / Revenue
Operating Efficiencies
59 60
115 125
4439
1Q-2008 1Q-2009
Depreciation Other G&AMarketing & Promotion Operating Expense / Revenue
Other Operating ExpensesOther Operating ExpensesS$ millions
Cost of SalesCost of SalesS$ millions
209199
39%
37%
218 225
42%41%
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
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80 82
64
80
87
FY-2008 FY-2009
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Profitability
101 101
82
101
99
FY-2008 FY-2009
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Profit Before TaxProfit Before Tax
(S$ millions)
383
Net Profit After Tax Net Profit After Tax
(S$ millions)
311
14
59
51
1Q-2008 1Q-2009
Capex & Free Cash Flow
Capex (cash payments)Capex (cash payments)
(S$ millions)
Cash capex as % of Operating Revenue
10%11%
31
115
140
126
82
FY-2008 FY-2009
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Free Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
(S$ millions)
378
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Business Overview - MobileBusiness Overview - Mobile
Outlook
Financial Overview
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Mobile – Highlights (1Q-2009 vs 1Q-2008)
Pre-paid revenue grew 3%Pre-paid revenue grew 3%
Pre-paid ARPU rose by $2Pre-paid ARPU rose by $2
Post-paid customer base increased 9%Post-paid customer base increased 9%
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Mobile Net Adds
Post-paid Net Adds (‘000)Post-paid Net Adds (‘000)
36
1713
1012
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Pre-paid Net Adds (‘000)Pre-paid Net Adds (‘000)
(40)
(71)
10
4031
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
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Mobile
457 533 586 632 672
368328 293 259 229
975 935 864 874 914
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
3G Post-paid 2G Post-paid Pre-paid
Customers (‘000)Customers (‘000)
1,799 1,7651,7421,796
200.4207.7205.5
211.6210.6
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Post-paid Revenue (S$M)Post-paid Revenue (S$M)
Pre-paid Revenue (S$M)Pre-paid Revenue (S$M)
62.657.7 58.9
64.6 64.3
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
50%
50%
76%
24%1,815
19
79 7774
7167
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
11.9 12.010.2 9.6
11.5
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
2220
22
25 24
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Mobile ARPU & Non-Voice Services
Post-paid ARPU (S$ per month)Post-paid ARPU (S$ per month)Pre-paid ARPU (S$ per month)Pre-paid ARPU (S$ per month)
Pre-paid non-voice services (% of ARPU)Pre-paid non-voice services (% of ARPU) Post-paid non-voice services (% of ARPU)Post-paid non-voice services (% of ARPU)
23.9 24.726.6 26.4
29.0
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
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1.01.01.00.9
1.1
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
7786
104
148
124
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Mobile Acquisition Costs & Churn Trend
Average Acquisition CostsAverage Acquisition Costs Monthly Churn Rate (Post-paid)Monthly Churn Rate (Post-paid)Per Gross Connection (S$) (%)
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Business Overview – Pay TVBusiness Overview – Pay TV
Outlook
Financial Overview
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Pay TV – Highlights (1Q-2009 vs 1Q-2008)
Revenue rose 5%Revenue rose 5%
ARPU increased S$1 to S$58ARPU increased S$1 to S$58
Digital customers penetration - 98% of base (517K)Digital customers penetration - 98% of base (517K)
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Pay TV Net Adds
Net Adds (‘000)Net Adds (‘000)
3
9
433
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
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1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Pay TV
Digital Customers( ) As a % of base
Pay TV Customers (‘000)Pay TV Customers (‘000)
453
(89%)
517
(98%)
504
(96%)473
(91%)
520 524511508
102.0100.598.4
102.197.2
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Pay TV Revenue (S$M)Pay TV Revenue (S$M)
439
(87%)
Pay TV ARPU (S$ per month)Pay TV ARPU (S$ per month)
57 5856 57 58
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
527
25
1.01.00.9
1.01.0
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Pay TV Churn
Average Monthly Churn Rate (%)Average Monthly Churn Rate (%)
26
Business Overview - BroadbandBusiness Overview - Broadband
Outlook
Financial Overview
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Broadband – Highlights (1Q-2009 vs 1Q-2008)
Revenue decreased 3% Revenue decreased 3%
ARPU decreased by S$4 to S$55ARPU decreased by S$4 to S$55
Net customer additions of 31K (9% growth)Net customer additions of 31K (9% growth)
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Residential Broadband Net Adds
Net Adds (‘000)Net Adds (‘000)
67 7
10
7
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
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Residential Broadband
Broadband Customers (‘000)Broadband Customers (‘000)
383373365358352
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
62.464.262.662.364.1
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Broadband Revenue (S$M)Broadband Revenue (S$M)
Broadband ARPU (S$)Broadband ARPU (S$)
5957 57 57
55
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
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1.11.11.11.1
1.4
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Residential Broadband Churn
Average Monthly Churn Rate (%)Average Monthly Churn Rate (%)
31
Business Overview – Fixed Network ServicesBusiness Overview – Fixed Network Services
Outlook
Financial Overview
32
Fixed Network Services – Highlights (1Q-2009 vs 1Q-2008)
Revenue expanded 9%Revenue expanded 9%
Data & Internet revenue improved by 13%Data & Internet revenue improved by 13%
Data & Internet services contribute 85% of revenueData & Internet services contribute 85% of revenue
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79.177.675.172.7 74.5
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Fixed Network Services
Fixed Network Revenue (S$M)Fixed Network Revenue (S$M)11.512.313.313.2
14.5
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Voice (S$M)Voice (S$M)
67.565.3
61.860.059.5
1Q-2008 2Q-2008 3Q-2008 4Q-2008 1Q-2009
Data & Internet (S$M)Data & Internet (S$M)
34
OutlookOutlook
Business Overview
Financial Overview
35
FY2009 Outlook
Revenue: Service revenue maintained at 2008 level
EBITDA: EBITDA margin on service revenue revised to about 32%
CAPEX: As a percent of operating revenue,
cash capex to not exceed 11%
Dividend: Recommend 1Q-2009 interim dividend of 4.5 cents per share
Intend to pay a minimum annual cash dividend for FY 2009
at 4.5 cents per ordinary share per quarter, totalling 18.0
cents for the full year
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For enquiries, please contact:
Jeannie ONG Eric LOHHead, Corporate
Communications & Investor Relations
Senior Manager, Investor Relations
Office: (65) 6825 5168 Office: (65) 6825 5171
Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
Email: [email protected] or [email protected]