stadslogistiek - ecomobiel › files › 54events › energie › pdf... · trends and developments...
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STADSLOGISTIEKSECTOR AFHANKELIJKE OPLOSSINGEN
Hans Quak
9 oktober, 2018
ECOMOBIEL: Seminar Stadslogistiek
Brabanthallen ’s-Hertogenbosch
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Agenda
Decarbonizing city logistics
1 challenges
2 annual outlook city logistics
3 methodology and set-up
4 trends and developments
5 segments in city logistics system
6 conclusion
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Introduction: challengesZero emission logistics in city centres
The city logistics system faces serious challenges for the near future
Major contributor to local emissions (and GHG emissions) in city centres
TNO: Rotterdam City Centre, 2015
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Introduction: challengesGHG emission reduction target
The city logistics system faces serious challenges for the near future
• Serious share in transport’s GHG emissions
• The carbon productivity challenge
Annual Outlook City Logistics, 2017
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Introduction: challengesDiversity and inertia
The city logistics system faces serious challenges
for the near future
• No single solution / no silver bullet
• System is very divers and difficult to change
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Annual Outlook City Logistics
develops a set of feasible paths
(reference views) to decarbonize
specific city logistics segments
not a prediction of the future, nor a
prescription of actions and tasks
goal is to provide a baseline which
can be shared and debated and
improved, to structure discussions
among stakeholders
backcasting from GHG target
following existing primary external
drivers
www.topsectorlogistiek.nl
/download-nu-outlook-
city-logistics/
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CITY LOGISTICSin OUTLOOK: Last leg
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Methodology and set-up
Long list of trends and developments
DESTEP (demographic, economic, social, technological, ecological and political developments)
Desk research, expert interviews, expert sessions and round table sessions
Main external drivers (trends and developments) in city logistics:
More demanding customers
Increasing pressure for reduction of GHG emissions
Increased pressure for liveability of cities
Circular economy
Connecting the physical world
Physical internet and universal labelling
Robotization and automation
Vehicle drivetrain technology
Performance based regulation
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Trends and developmentsSocietal and political pressure
Increasing pressure for reduction of GHG emissions
Increased pressure for liveability of cities
Circular economy
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Trends and developmentsChanges due to information technology
More demanding customer
recent mobile IT developments allow for more customer intimacy
Connecting the physical world
IoT applications, transparency and vehicle-connections
Physical Internet and universal labelling
easier connections between networks
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Trends and developmentsChanges due to technology
Robotization and automation
Autonomous vehicle technology
Automated warehouse
McKinsey 2016: the future of last mile
Automated warehouse: picture JOC.com (2016)
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Trends and developmentsChanges due to technology
Vehicle drivetrain technology
Improve ICEVs
Electric vehicles
BEV / PHEVs
Figures and analyses: TNO in FREVUE
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Trends and developmentsRequired policy developments
Develop and introduce common IT and control systems facilitating easy-to-
use customized and individualized access to sensitive city centres, based on
connected vehicles that are traceable, i.e. performance based regulation
Flexible and customizable regulation
Differentiating for logistics activities and environmental performance
Standard regimes, but local application of zones
Mandate and implement green tendering for construction projects and
facility logistics.
Ensure efficiency improvements through implementation of policies at the
national and international level.
Create scale: incentivize supply and demand for large volumes of zero-
emission vehicles and prevent fragmentation.
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City logistics unraveledClassification in segments
General cargo
Temperature controlled logistics
Parcel and express
Facility logistics
Construction logistics
Waste collection
Annual Outlook City Logistics, 2017
Total GHG Emissions (2015) 3.6 Mton
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General cargo: Large retail, partial deliveries and home deliveries (big)
Temperature controlled logistics: Large retail, wholesale, small specialist and home delivery groceries
Parcel and express: B2C and B2B
Facility logistics: Services and goods deliveries to public and commercial buildings
Construction logistics: Infrastructure, buildings (preparation, structure, fit-out) for large construction
companies, SME/Self-employed, building materials supply
Waste collection: Households (collectively organised) and businesses (individually organized)
Annual Outlook City Logistics, 2017
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DECARBONIZATION PATH:LARGE RETAIL AND GROCERIES
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Developments in city logisticsGeneral cargo
Large Retail (FTL)
Already efficient logistics: decoupling or
PHEV for ZE-city logistics, backhauling
Partial Delivery
Regulation (and PI & universal labeling)
results in shift to parcel-network, LSPs
act more as regional specialist (using
their hub as UCC) and electrification
Home Delivery (heavy / requirements)
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Developments in city logisticsTemperature controlled logistics
Large Retail (FTL)
Already efficient logistics: decoupling
or PHEV for ZE-city logistics
Wholesale
Wholesaler becomes regional LSP
(also for specialists) following IoT
developments
Small specialists
See figure
Home delivery groceries
Fast ZE adaptation
Towards zero-emissions logistics for temperature
controlled specialists (Outlook City Logistics, 2017)
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Developments in city logisticsParcel and express mail
B2C (and B2B follows)
• Early adaptor for ZE > hub locations
close to cities
• Drive for lower cost > automation and
robotization
• Provides ZE and high quality service
solution also for other segments
• Better / direct connection to final
receivers
• Networks for home-deliveries more
integrated (PI)
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Developments in city logisticsFacility logistics and waste collection
Facility logistics
• ZE stimulated via (public)
procurement
• More via parcel network (due to
regulation)
Waste collection
• Household: dynamic planning
based on fill rates
• Companies: cooperation in
collection > collective system
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Developments in city logisticsConstruction logistics
Large city construction site
• ZE via tendering (MEAT)
• Better planning of flows via BIM
• Traffic management and construction
consolidation centres
SME/Self-employed and renovation
• Space restrictions > minihubs
(serviced by e.g. parcel network)
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Conclusion
City logistics faces serious challenges,
but there are also many opportunities to deal with these challenges
Paths to decarbonize city logistics differ per (sub)segment
Existing trends and developments could lead to more sustainable city
logistics organisation, however this does not occur automatically
The Outlook City Logistics provide a set of reference views of feasible paths
to decarbonize the distribution of goods in cities
but this is only the first version: you are invited to contribute and add
improvements
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THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION
Dr. Hans Quak
Senior Scientist Sustainable Transport & Logistics
Anna van Buerenplein 1
2595 DA Den Haag
T +316 31792851
www.linkedin.com/in/hquak
For more information:
• Outlook City Logistics 2017 download via www.topsectorlogistiek.nl/download-nu-outlook-city-logistics/
• FREVUE Deliverable 3.2 Economics of EVs for City Logistics - Report download via www.frevue.eu/reports
(on transition towards zero emission city logistics, TCO analyses and requirements for wide scale electrification)