space diplomacy for business · 2019-09-19 · space economic diplomacy, a pillar of a wider eu...
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W H Y ( A N D H O W ) E U R O P E A N E C O N O M I C D I P L O M A C Y M AT T E R S F O R T H E S PA C E S E C T O R
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SPACE DIPLOMACY FOR BUSINESS
Lucas Buthion19/09/2019
A E U R O P E A N U N I Q U E N E S S I N S PA C E
A R AT I O N A L E F O R S PA C E E C O N O M I C D I P L O M A C YA C T I O N S
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HIGHLIGHTS ON PROMINENT SPACE MARKETS DYNAMICS
The European space industry & the world: main features
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USA30%
ex-USSR36%
Europe4%
China21%
Japan2%
India7%
Employment in the space manufacturing sector worldwide (est.)
Space industry output (past 5 years / 2014-2018)
China15%
Europe16%
Russia29%
Ind…
Japan6%
USA32%
China15%
Europe16%
Ex-USSR22%
India3%
Japan7%
USA37%
Total Spacecraft Mass by SC supplier
Total mass launched to orbit by launcher supplier
>> Space industry workforce worldwide: about 700.000 people
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Suppliers exposure to captive/open SC markets (2014-2018)Mass launched (tons) – SC Supplier perspective
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0
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ChinaSupply
EuropeSupply
Ex-USSRSupply
IndiaSupply
JapanSupply
USASupply
captive
open
Special agreement NASA/Roskosmos for ISS
servicing, not Open market
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Global Launch services marketby launch country (M$)
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2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
China Europe Ex-USSR India Japan USA Others
Commercial Launch services marketBy launch country (M$)
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400
600
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1.000
1.200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
China Europe Ex-USSR India Japan USA Others
A R E L AT I V E LY N E W ( A N D S T I L L L I M I T E D ) P H E N O M E N O N
T H E E U R O P E A N S I T U AT I O N : B E T W E E NC O M P E T I T I V E N E S S O N E X P O R T M A R K E T S E G M E N T S A N D S AT E L L I T E T R A D E D E F I C I T W I T H T H E U S A …
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A FEW HINTS ON SATELLITE EXPORTS WORLDWIDE
A brief history of worlwide satellite exports
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Ton
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Satellite Exports vs Domestic procurement 1957-2018 (mass)
Domestic Markets Export/Import
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Where are satellites exported to?
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Alg
eria
An
gola
Au
stra
lia
Aze
rbai
jan
Ban
glad
esh
Ber
mu
da
Isla
nd
s
Bo
livia
Bra
zil
Can
ada
Ch
ile
Ch
ina
Co
lom
bia
Egyp
t
Ho
ngk
on
g
Ind
on
esia
Iraq
Isra
el
Jap
an
Jord
an
Kaz
akh
stan
Lao
s
Mal
aysi
a
Mex
ico
Mo
rocc
o
Nig
eria
Pak
ista
n
Per
u
Qat
ar
Ru
ssia
Sau
di A
rab
ia
Sin
gap
ore
Sou
th A
fric
a
Sou
th K
ore
a
Thai
lan
d
Turk
ey
Turk
men
ista
n
Un
ited
Ara
b E
mir
ate
s
USA
Ven
ezu
ela
Vie
tnam
Au
stri
a
Bu
lgar
ia
Den
mar
k
Fran
ce
Ital
y
Luxe
mb
ou
rg
Ne
the
rlan
ds
No
rway
Po
lan
d
Spai
n
UK
Euro
pe
B$
Market value by destination country
Sum of Satellites Values (B$) 2009 - 2018
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Satellite trade balance: between strenghths & weaknesses
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-6 -3 0 3 6 9 12 15 18
USA
Europe
China
Russia (CIS)
Japan
India
B$Imports Exports
-6 -3 0 3 6 9 12 15 18
USA
Europe
China
Russia (CIS)
Japan
India
B$Imports Exports
Sum of S/C Values 1999 – 2008 B$ Sum of S/C Values 2009 – 2018 B$
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Satellite exports: supply & demand synthesis
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China Supplier
Europe Supplier
India Supplier
Others Supplier
Russia Supplier
USA Supplier
B$
Satellite export countries and destinations 1999 – 2008 (B$)
China Import
Europe Import
Japan Import
Russia Import
USA Import
Others Import
0 5 10 15 20
China Supplier
Europe Supplier
India Supplier
Japan Supplier
Russia Supplier
USA Supplier
B$
Satellite export countries and destinations 2009 – 2018 (B$)
China Import
Europe Import
Japan Import
Russia Import
USA Import
Others Import
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B E T W E E N A « D E F E N S I V E » A N D A N « O F F E N S I V E » D I M E N S I O N , A T W O - S I D E D A P P R O A C H
S PA C E E C O N O M I C D I P L O M A C Y, A P I L L A R O F A W I D E R E U S PA C E I N D U S T R I A L S T R AT E G Y I N S U P P O R T T O I N D U S T R Y C O M P E T I T I V E N E S S
N E W E U R O P E A N C O M M I S S I O N : A N O P P O R T U N I T Y T O B E E F U P S PA C E E C O N O M I C D I P L O M A C Y - R E L AT E DA C T I O N S
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TOWARDS AN EU SPACE ECONOMIC DIPLOMACY – RECOMMENDATIONS OF
THE EUROPEAN SPACE INDUSTRY
Eurospace proposals in a nutshell*
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“Defensive approach”
Tailor-made institutional support
Encourage coordination between institutional stakeholders (DG
GROW, TRADE, DEVCO, CONNECT, EEAS) to help identify export
opportunities and potential existing synergies between the EU and
industry’s targeted customers.
Use of EU R&D programmes
Further support, through EU R&D programmes, to the development of
critical components associated with non-dependence
Set up a flexible instrument under Horizon Europe-space allowing
industry to initiate early contacts with potential governmental
customers
Trade policy instruments
Revise EC guidelines for the elaboration/ negotiation of trade
agreements to make sure that (when relevant) specificities of the
European space industry are taken into account, with the objective to
establish a level playing field
*Towards a « space economic diplomacy », Eurospace position paper, 2017
Eurospace proposals in a nutshell*
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“Offensive approach”
Tailor-made
institutional
support
Deploy diplomatic efforts, in transparent coordination with national diplomatic efforts, to
provide advocacy for European solutions, open doors and provide support with the local
decision-making bodies / encourage the expression of political support at higher political level
Lead regular “awareness-raising campaigns” within EU delegations involving representatives
from the European space industry
EU development
policy as a
leverage
Promote further synergies between DG GROW and DG DEVCO so that space-based
technologies & services support the objectives of DG DEVCO’s multiannual indicative
programme
Support training of third countries professionals in space-related activities (ground segments,
services centers…)
Promote requests from potential third beneficiary countries of procurement of European
space-related infrastructures
Trade policy
instruments
Reflect on the opportunity to set-up a European export financing credit-like agency to provide
insurance and loans to domestic companies for their export operations
When relevant, include “space” in trade negotiations to ensure a fair treatment of the
European space industry’ on third markets
*Towards a « space economic diplomacy », Eurospace position paper, 2017