south african economy. south africa at a glance indicator 19942009 total population...
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South African South African Economy Economy
South Africa at a glanceSouth Africa at a glance
Indicator 1994 2009
Total Population 38,283,223 49,320,150% of Total Population under 15 years 37% 31%Adult Literacy Rate (1990) 76.2 % 88.8%Internet Users 100,000 4,420,300Mobile Telephone Subscriptions 340,000 46,436,000GDP per capita (constant 2005 prices)
R 27,400.12R
37,261.16FDI (net inflows % of GDP) 0% 2%Gross Fixed Capital Formation (% of GDP) 15% 23%
Source: World Bank Development Indicators 2010
South African EconomySouth African Economy
• South Africa positioned as a manufacturing centre of excellence• Diversified Industrial sectors• Open economy• Sound business case for investment and profit• Gateway to Africa and markets of more than 200 Million consumers • Africa is the next big story after China and India
Subject Descriptor 2005 2010 2015
GDP (constant prices) 5.277 2.784 4.5
GDP per capita (constant prices)33,506.9
836,730.2
9 42,280.50
Investment (%GDP) 17.958 21.698 20.855Import volume of goods and services growth (%) 10.879 4.584 6.3Export volume of goods and services growth (%) 8.568 5.036 6.452
Population (million people) 46.888 49.912 52.979Source: IMF: World Economic Outlook, April 2011
Achieving sustained and balanced growthAchieving sustained and balanced growth
Further, ‘consistently prudent macroeconomic policies have succeeded in reducing the fiscal deficit, stabilising debt levels, and lowering inflation and interest rates’ and the country ‘stands out among its peers due to its democratic and transparent institutions and entrenched political stability…’
Economic advantages which create a positive environment
Increased investment
in infrastructu
re
Abundant mineral &
natural resources
A tested and
reliable legal
systemA relatively large labour
force
Established industrial &
financial infrastructur
e
Standard and Poor’s, August 2010
Macroeconomic interventions to accelerate growth and ensure social inclusion
Higher public sector investment Reduce the cost of doing business Expand public works & micro-credit
programmes Improve state capacity to provide economic
services Strengthen social and municipal infrastructure Growth in 2011 expected 3.2% -3,8%
Broad framework of further steps needed to raise the rate of investment, employment and economic growth
Proceeds from premise that positive developments in Africa and BRICS will lead to economic development.
Macro-Economic PolicyMacro-Economic Policy
• Cape Town was named the top tourist destination in the world in the 2011 Traveler’s Choice Destinations awards.
• South Africa is the only African country that is a member of the G20
• South Africa is also a member on the UN Security Council
• OR Tambo airport is the best airport in Africa, according to the World Airport Awards 2010/11. It was also in the top 3 most improved airports in the world for the same period
• South Africa’s Real GDP growth will accelerate from 2.8% in 2010 to 3.7% in 2011 and 4.8% in 2012, helped by stronger external demand and looser fiscal policy.
South Africa- global perspectiveSouth Africa- global perspective
Source: SouthAfrica.info; Economist Intelligence Unit
• Stellenbosch University was the first African university in the world to design and launch a microsatellite
• The Western Deep Level mines are the world’s deepest mines at approaching 4km.
• South Africa houses one of the three largest telescopes in the world at Sutherland in the Karoo.
• SA has 45 million active cell phones (population 49 million) – ranking in the top 5 globally in terms of cell phone coverage.
• South Africa sold $1.8 billion worth of cars to the US in 2010, putting us ahead of Sweden and Italy as suppliers to the US market. Car sales are projected to grow 10% in 2011 to 460,000
South Africa - global perspectiveSouth Africa - global perspective
Source: SouthAfrica.info
• South Africa's total road network is about 754 000 kilometers, of which over 70 000km are paved or surfaced roads.
• South Africa has an extensive rail network – the 10th lengthiest in the world – connecting with networks in the sub-Saharan region.
• More than 50 airlines, making around 230 000 aircraft landing, and carrying about 33m passengers a year, move through South Africa’s 10 principal airports.
• The Port of Ngqura is being developed off the coast of Port Elizabeth in the Eastern Cape and is set to be the deepest container terminal in Africa.
South Africa - global perspectiveSouth Africa - global perspective
Source: South Africa Geared for Growth, 2010
Of 14 emerging markets; Australia, Canada, Russia, Mexico,China, Poland, Spain, India, Korea, Brazil, SA, Colombia
Chile &Argentina
South Africa is:• 2nd most sophisticated financial market• 2nd lowest effective business tax rate• 4th ranked for ease of accessing capital• 4th ranked i.t.o. the cost of capital• 6th ranked for infrastructure• 7th for FDI as a % of GDP (2008)• 8th ranked i.t.o labour productivity
Source: Brazil National Confederation of Industry. Competition Brazil 2010: A Comparison of selected countries
South Africa – emerging market South Africa – emerging market perspectiveperspective
• In 2011, at 5.5%, South African interest rates are at a 30-year low.
• The JSE Securities Exchange one of the world’s top 20 exchanges.
• 1st for the regulation of securities exchange, strength of auditing & reporting standards by Global Competitiveness Report 2010.
• 1st out of 60 countries in the Economist’s House Price index for the period 1997 – 2009.
• The South African Rand was the 2nd best performing currency against the US Dollar between 2007 and 2011, in Bloomberg’s Currency Scorecard.
Economic AchievementsEconomic Achievements
Source: SouthAfrica.info
• The South African stock market rose 16.09% in 2010, ranking 8th out of the G20 nations and ahead of all of the G7 countries
• 34th out of 183 countries in the World Bank Ease of Doing Business 2011
• 2nd in the ease of getting credit
• 2nd for good practice in protecting both borrowers and lenders
• 10th in investor protection
• 54th out of 139 countries in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Index.
• 9th in financial market development
• 27th in the protection of intellectual property
Economic AchievementsEconomic Achievements
• 54th out of 173 countries in the Transparency International Corruption Perception Index 2010
• South Africa is a world leader in coal-based synthesis and gas-to-liquid technologies.
• It is among the lowest-cost producers of ethylene and propylene in the world, thanks to abundant access to low-grade coal and leading-edge process technology.
• Sasol has flown the world’s first passenger aircraft using the company’s own-developed and internationally approved 100% synthetic jet fuel. Sasol took to the skies with the world’s first fully synthetic jet fuel flight on Tuesday, 21st of September 2010.
Economic AchievementsEconomic Achievements
Africa is becoming more attractive...Africa is becoming more attractive...
Source: Ernst & Young’s 2011 Africa attractiveness survey
Investing in Africa: an improving Investing in Africa: an improving environmentenvironment
The operating environment is improving visibly and rapidly …
• 54 countries, 35 democracies (compared to only 8 in 1991)
• Many countries have improved their business environment:• restored macro-economic stability • greater predictability & increased reliability of policy &
regulatory framework• increased transparency and improved decision-making• privatisation initiatives• reduced corruption• investment protection & promotion• intra and inter-regional initiatives
• High returns on investment
TRIPARTITE FREE TRADE AREA (T-FTA)TRIPARTITE FREE TRADE AREA (T-FTA)SADC,COMESA AND EAC (Economic Benefits)SADC,COMESA AND EAC (Economic Benefits)
• T – FTA will create a sizeable regional market with a GDP of $ 624 billion and a population of approximately 700 million
people
• An African common market without internal borders will unleash the economic growth and potential of Africa
• Developmental Integration leading to cross border infrastructure development to strengthen regional supply capacity
• North – South Corridor – Cape to Cairo to facilitate trade and reduce cost of doing business
Africa’s Main Transport CorridorsAfrica’s Main Transport Corridors
North/South Corridor
Dares-Salam To
Durban
South African Economy: New Growth South African Economy: New Growth PathPath
Vision:
Create jobs
And to 15 %
in the next 10 years
5 millionreduce unemployment
18
Industrial Policy Action Plan IIIndustrial Policy Action Plan IIKey pillar of the New Growth Path
IPAP: value-added sectors with high employment and growth multipliers
Agriculture
Mining
Food Textiles
Wearing apparel
Leather & leather products
Wood & wood products
Motor vehicles, parts & accessories
Other manufacturing
Wholesale & retail trade Transport & storage
Financial services Government services
Paper & paper products
Basic chemicals
Basic iron & steel Basic non-ferrous metals
EGW Business services
Excl. medical, dental & vet
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
0 7 14
Employment multipliers
To
tal
Backw
ard
lin
kag
es
Low employment multipliers & strong backward linkages
Low employment multipliers & weak backward linkages
High employment multipliers & strong backward linkages
High employment multipliers & weak backward linkages
1. Other chemicals & man-made fibers 2. Furniture3. Plastic products4. TV, radio and comm equip5. Electrical machinery and apparatus6. Paper and paper products7. Rubber products8. Non-metallic minerals9. Beverages10. Glass & glass products11. Professional & scientific equip12. Metal products excl. machinery 13. Machinery & equipment14. Footwear
1
2 34
5
6
7
8 9111
1 13
14
INVESTMENT INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENTENVIRONMENT
&&
OPPORTUNITIESOPPORTUNITIES
South African Trade AgreementsSouth African Trade Agreements• South Africa – European Union (EU) Trade, Development and Co-operation Agreement (TDCA)
• Southern African Development Community (SADC) FTA
• Southern African Customs Union (SACU) – India Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA)
• Southern African Customs Union (SACU) - European Free Trade Association (EFTA) FTA
• Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA)
• SACU – Southern Common Market (Mercosur) Preferential Trade Agreement
South African Exports 2010 – top 10
R a n k2010
CountryName
Proportion% Total
Growth2009 - 2010
1 China 11.48% 20.28%
2 United States 10.08% 25.26%
3 Japan 9.08% 36.42%
4 Germany 8.34% 31.49%
5 United Kingdom 5.13% 4.20%
6 India 4.36% 24.23%
7 Netherlands 3.35% -7.15%
8 Switzerland 3.28% -21.29%
9 Zimbabwe 2.93% 12.53%
10 Mozambique 2.68% 5.53%
South African Imports 2010 – top 10
R a n k2010
CountryName
Proportion% Total
Growth2009 - 2010
1 China 16.89% 14.22%
2 Germany 5.45% 11.35%
3 United States 0.93% 7.14%
4 Japan 17.01% 5.34%
5 Saudi Arabia -11.01% 4.12%
6 Iran 4.04% 4.00%
7 United Kingdom 2.30% 3.81%
8 India 33.92% 3.58%
9 France 1.58% 2.93%
10 Nigeria 3.10% 2.80%
South Africa’s leading trade partnersSouth Africa’s leading trade partners
Source: Quantec, 2011
Rank Product Value (R) 2010
1 Mineral products 1,441,975,537
2 Base metals & articles of base metal 498,265,902
3 Machinery & mechanical appliances 384,370,996
4 Products of the chemical or allied industries 271,253,179
5 Prepared foodstuffs 74,523,274
6 Raw hides & skins, leather, fur skins 44,336,213
7 Pulp of wood or of other fibrous cellulosic material 43,526,537
8 Vehicles, aircraft, vessels & associated transport equipment 29,123,505
9 Textiles & textile articles 23,665,939
10 Articles of stone, plaster, cement, asbestos, mica or similar materials; ceramic products; glass & glassware 15,489,074
Exports to TurkeyExports to Turkey
Rank ProductValue (R) 2010
1 Machinery & mechanical appliances 473,987,003
2 Vehicles, aircraft, vessels & associated transport equipment
355,073,409
3 Textiles & textile articles 268,077,890
4 Products of the chemical or allied industries 146,425,899
5 Plastics & articles thereof; rubber & articles thereof 129,534,627
6 Articles of stone, plaster, cement, asbestos, mica or similar materials; ceramic products; glass & glassware
116,452,569
7 Special classification of original equipment components/parts for motor vehicles
94,566,031
8 Pulp of wood or of other fibrous cellulosic material 89,821,496
9 Prepared foodstuffs 86,107,258
10 Base metals & articles of base metal 67,255,919
Imports from TurkeyImports from Turkey
Investment in South Africa – top 102003 - 2010
Rank Country Proportion %
1 United States 17.21%
2 Australia 13.60%
3 UK 11.52%
4 Germany 7.26%
5 India 6.03%
6 Japan 5.00%
7 Canada 4.59%
8 Ireland 4.59%
9 Norway 4.06%
10 Switzerland 3.91%
South Africa’s leading investment South Africa’s leading investment partnerspartners
Investment from South Africa – top 102003 - 2010
Rank Country Proportion %
1 Qatar 18.60%
2 China 14.95%
3 Ghana 14.00%
4 Nigeria 8.33%
5 Canada 4.78%
6 Mozambique 4.64%
7 Indonesia 4.15%
8 United States 3.46%
9 Seychelles 2.70%
10 Iran 2.56%
Source: The Financial Times Ltd , 2011 (www.fdiintelligence.com
Rank Sector Proportion %2003 - 2010
1 Coal, Oil and Natural Gas 25.13%
2 Metals 20.75%
3 Automotive OEM 8.15%
4 Alternative/Renewable energy 7.53%
5 Communications 7.32%
6 Hotels & Tourism 5.49%
7 Real Estate 3.00%
8 Chemicals 2.89%
9 Building & Construction Materials 2.78%
10 Transportation 1.89%
South Africa’s FDI CompositionSouth Africa’s FDI Composition
Source: The Financial Times Ltd , 2011 (www.fdiintelligence.com
• South – South Trade• Important to the BRICS countries • Important to T-FTA - SADC, COMESA
and EAC• Vulnerability of the Suez Canal
• Political instability• Somali pirates
Strategic Location on Shipping RoutesStrategic Location on Shipping Routes
World Class Capability World Class Capability
South African Construction and Steelwork on ALL continents, including Antartica!
International icons constructed include Burj al Arab Hotel - Dubai, Emirates Towers - Dubai, Khalifa Sports Hall Asean
Games 2006 – Qatar and many more!
Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban
Greenpoint Stadium, Cape Town
Examples of complete stadiums, including all civils and steelwork built for the World Cup.
Our steelwork is to be found in and around all the stadiums!
Soccer City, Soweto
World Class CapabilityWorld Class Capability
• Birds Nest Beijing, China• Steel – 110,000 tons• Construction period - 5
years• Cost $423m in 2008 terms• 80,000 seating capacity
• Soccer City JHB, SA• Steel – 110,000 tons• Construction period – 3
years• Cost $445m in 2010 terms• 90,000 seating capacity
World Standard ComparisonWorld Standard Comparison
Infrastructure DevelopmentInfrastructure Development
Securing Electricity Supply• Eskom has spent over R75.5 billion on the capital investment
programme since 2005, and has delivered some 5 031 Megawatt of new electricity generating capacity into the system as well as thousands of kilometres (3 051 km) of high voltage transmission lines to transport electricity across the country.
• Eskom, through its Medium Term Power Purchase Program (MTPPP), has signed agreements with three Independent Power Producers (IPPs) since April 2010, totaling some 277 MW with a number of contracts in the final stages of completion, which will bring the contracted power purchases to around 400MW this year.
• Eskom has embarked on returning to service it’s previously “mothballed” coal-fired power stations. . The total RTS (return to service) portfolio will add 3 800 MW nominal capacities to the national electricity supply system.
Infrastructure DevelopmentInfrastructure Development
Water • The Department of Water Affairs has identified seven (7)
new augmentation water resources infrastructure projects to support the domestic, industrial, agriculture and energy sectors
Communication infrastructure • Broadband Infraco continues to invest in its national
backbone fibre optic network with R243 million spent in the 2009/10 financial year. Broadband Infraco’s fibre optic cable network now covers approximately 12 250km country-wide. Enables the country to extend connectivity to the SADC Region to countries such as Lesotho, Namibia, Botswana, Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Swaziland.
Infrastructure DevelopmentInfrastructure DevelopmentTransport infrastructure• Maintenance of secondary road infrastructure using labour
intensive methods of construction and maintenance. We have set aside R6.4 billion in 2011/12, R7.5bn in 2012/13 and R8.2bn for 2013/14, amounting to a total of R22.3bn in the medium term. At least 70 000 jobs will be created in 2011.
Rail modernisation programme
• The Gautrain forms an integral part of our rail modernisation programme.
• Starting in June 2011, the Gautrain will move at least 40 000 people hourly on the commuter line between Johannesburg and Tshwane stress-free and in less than 40 minutes.
• The system includes 125 feeder buses operated by a consortium that includes taxi operators.
• The recapitalization of PRASA rolling stock, Extension of the Gautrain from Sandton to Hatfield, and the Modernisation of our long-distance passenger and freight services.
Industry &Service Area
CustomsSecured
Area
ServicesEnterprises
One Stop
Center
IDZAn IDZ is located adjacent to a port allowing importation of raw materials, plant machinery & equipment; and the export of finished products;
IDZ’s are considered part of the Customs Territory of South Africa.
Coega
EL
RCB
ORT
Customs Territoryof
South Africa
CustomsControlled
Area
Industrial Development ZoneIndustrial Development Zone
34
New Deepwater Port Of NgquraNew Deepwater Port Of Ngqura
• Inner Basin 16.5 m below CD• Entrance Channel 18m• 175,000 DWT Bulk Carriers
• 80,000 DWT Bulk Carriers • 9 000 TEU Cellular Containership
East London IDZEast London IDZ
Multi-Level Car Terminal Containerisation
Dry Dock & Ship Repair Grain Elevator
Richards Bay IdzRichards Bay Idz
37
Aerospace Aviation VillageAerospace Aviation Village
New New
Aerosud Aerosud
Supplier ParkSupplier Park
Factory ExpansionFactory Expansion
Future Aviation Future Aviation Cluster Cluster
Development on Development on State LandState Land
Sector Sub-sector
Agro-processing Fisheries and Aquaculture, Floriculture, Fruit and Vegetable Processing Plants, Juices, Meat Processing, Wine Production, Confectionery, Indigenous teas and Natural Fibres.
Automotives Interiors, Engine Parts/Components, Electronic, Drive Train Components, Body Parts, Aluminum Components and Diesel particulate filters.
Chemicals and Allied Industries
•Titanium Beneficiation Initiative, Fluoro chemicals Expansion Initiative, Polypropylene Conversion.•Restructuring of State Owned Chemical Enterprises.
Business Process Outsourcing & IT Enabled Services
Call Centres, Back Office Processing and Shared Corporate Services.Enterprise solutions viz. fleet management, knowledge management, asset management solutions.
Electro Technical
Manufacturing of: automotive electronics, microchips and telecommunication equipment.
Tourism Hotels and self-catering holiday resorts, Adventure-, Eco-, Sport- Conference- and cultural tourism, gaming, infrastructure development, leisure complexes and world class golf courses, harbour & waterfront developments, transfrontier conservation areas, cruise liners & transportation.
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment Opportunities
Source: DTI/TISA Source: DTI/TISA
Sector Sub-sector
Clothing, Textiles, Leather and Footwear
•Manufacturing of Industrial Textiles using Polyester•Production of other natural fibre textiles such as flax•Wool and mohair production – downstream opportunities for yarns, knitwear and fabric.•Footwear – manufacturing of leather uppers.
Mining and metal based industries
Aluminum smelter capacity, Capital equipment: machine tool manufacturing and petrochemical equipment, downstream processing and value-adding of iron, carbon steel, aluminum, platinum group metals and gold, ferro-alloys, gold and stainless steel.
Aerospace, Rail and Marine
Aerospace: Rotor and fixed wing aviation equipment and services, Helicopters and aircraft components, Aviation training services for African airlines, IDZ at Johannesburg International Airport, warehousing for aircraft parts.
Rail: Rolling stock and services for the domestic market, estimated R7 billion Gautrain which includes infrastructure development and rolling stock, Rail infrastructure of the African continent through NEPAD and Rehabilitation of low density rail line.
Marine: Development of boat yards and wet docks/floating docks, Joint ventures with local shipyards, manufacture of boats, yachts, catamarans and fleet racing boats, custom-made vessels (tugs) and training schools.
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment Opportunities
Source: DTI/TISA Source: DTI/TISA
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment Opportunities
Sector Sub-sector
Capital Equipment Re-capitalisation of:•Forgings & Castings•Boilers•Tool dies & mouldsExpansion & export development•Pumps, valves, material handling & straddle crane carriers•Mechanised miningNew investments in:•Turbine assembly•Production of turbine components•Machine tool manufacturing
Film •Film studios and post production facilities.•Co-production ventures.•Distribution infrastructure
IncentivesIncentivesIncentive Benefit Main Conditions
The EnterpriseInvestment Program(EIP)
The EIP (manufacturing) is a cash grant for locally based manufacturers who wish to establish a new production facility, expand an existing facility or upgrade an existing facility in the clothing and textiles sectors
the EIP will be used to stimulate investment within manufacturing and tourism, it will also be used to deliver on some of the IPAP's key performance areas, as well as priority sectors.
Foreign Investment Grant
To compensate qualifying foreigninvestors for the cost of movingqualifying new machinery andequipment from abroad to SA.
Foreign investors only
Industrial Development Zone
Exemption from VAT when sourcing goods and services from South African customs territory and duty-free imports of raw materials and inputs for export
Prospective IDZ operator
companies must apply for
permits to develop and operate
an IDZ
IncentivesIncentives
Incentive Benefit Main Conditions
Section 12i Tax
Allowance
Tax deductions of up to R
900m depending on status viz.
preferred or qualifying
projects.
Training allowance/ deduction
of up to R30m or R36 000 per
employee.
Valid until December 2015
Capital investment > R 200m
Critical Infrastructure Fund
Infrastructure projects
intended to service IDZ, shall
qualify for a grant of 30% of
the qualifying infrastructure
development cost
The minimum qualifying
infrastructure development cost
is R15m
South Africa’s investment environmentSouth Africa’s investment environment
South Africa today is one of the most sophisticated and promising South Africa today is one of the most sophisticated and promising emerging markets globally, mainly because of …emerging markets globally, mainly because of …
Political & economic stability with sound
macro-economic management
Competitive sectors/industries
Favourable cost of doing business
Skillsavailability
World class financial system
Excellenttransport &
logisticalinfrastructure
Abundantnatural
resources
• Sector Information• Finance to explore investment opportunities in SA• Facilitating direct Government support in the form of:• - information on investing in SA and the Business Environment• - detailed investment Incentives• - investment facilitation• - after care – ongoing contact
the dti’s Investment Servicesthe dti’s Investment Services
Contact DetailsContact Details• the dti Call Centre: 0861 843 384the dti Call Centre: 0861 843 384• the dti Switchboard: +27 12 394 0000the dti Switchboard: +27 12 394 0000• Investment Promotion: +27 12 394 1339/1032Investment Promotion: +27 12 394 1339/1032• Website: Website: www.thedti.gov.za• E-mail: E-mail: [email protected]• Postal Address: Private Bag X 84, Pretoria 0001Postal Address: Private Bag X 84, Pretoria 0001• South AfricaSouth Africa
THANK YOUTHANK YOU