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Risk Assessment and Prediction
Soil Erosion in Europe Edited by J. Boardman and J. Poesen# 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. ISBN: 0-470-85910-5
2.13
Pan-European Soil ErosionAssessment and Maps
Anne Gobin,1 Gerard Govers1 and Mike Kirkby2
1Physical and Regional Geography Research Group, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven,GEO-Institute, Celestijneulaan 200 E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium2School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK
2.13.1 INTRODUCTION
Soil erosion is a natural process, occurring over geological time, and most concerns about erosion are related
to accelerated erosion, where the natural rate has been significantly increased by human activity. Soil erosion
poses severe limitations to sustainable agricultural land use, as it reduces on-farm soil productivity and causes
the accumulation of sediments and agro-chemicals in waterways. In Europe, soil erosion is caused mainly by
water and, to a lesser extent, by wind. Rill and inter-rill erosion affects the largest area, but evidence of rills
and inter-rills can easily be hidden by normal tillage. Gully erosion and landslides, on the other hand, often
scar entire landscapes but are relatively localised. Soil losses due to water erosion are high in southern Europe
and moderate in northern Europe.
Factors such as climate, topography, specific soil characteristics, land cover and management have
important effects on both runoff and the process of soil erosion. Depending on these factors, average
human-induced soil erosion rates, due to rill and inter-rill erosion, are typically between 1 and 26 t ha�1yr�1
for Mediterranean arable land (Tropeano, 1983; Kosmas et al., 1997) and between 0.5 and 7.8 t ha�1yr�1 for
arable fields in northern Europe (Bollinne, 1982; Kwaad, 1994; Chambers and Garwood, 2000). On the other
hand, soil formation is a slow process involving the breakdown of rock into small particles and the
accumulation of organic matter. Compared with slow soil formation rates, soil can be regarded as a
nonrenewable resource. These are compelling reasons for assessing and monitoring soil erosion and improving
the way soils are managed.
Soil Erosion in Europe Edited by J. Boardman and J. Poesen# 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. ISBN: 0-470-85910-5
Both national and international agencies need objective spatial information at low resolutions to compare
levels of environmental risk and focus policies on environmentally sensitive areas. The dynamic relationship
between human activities and the environment requires that environmental processes such as erosion be
quantified to monitor and evaluate the impact of agriculture and land-use policies. Policy-makers need to know
the area affected by soil erosion and an estimate of the magnitude at a regional scale in order to formulate
suitable remediation measures and mitigation strategies (Gobin et al., 2003, 2004).
This chapter deals with methods to present and assess the extent of soil erosion by water at a pan-
European scale. Seven different methods and maps are compared for carrying out pan-European soil
erosion assessment. The GLASOD and HOT SPOTS maps are based on distributed data and expert
judgement. The RIVM/IMAGE, CORINE, ESB/USLE and INRA methods are based on ranked factors and
the empirical (R)USLE model. The PESERA map is the result of a process modelling approach to assess
regional soil erosion risk.
2.13.2 REGIONAL ASSESSMENT METHODS
Regional assessment methods of soil erosion can be distinguished as distributed point data involving expert
judgement, indicator or factorial approaches and process modelling. All of these methods require calibration
and validation, although the type of validation needed is different for each category. There are also differences
in the extent to which the assessment methods identify past erosion and an already degraded soil resource, as
opposed to risks of future erosion, under either present climate or land use, or under scenarios of global
change.
2.13.2.1 Methods Using Distributed Point Data
An important form of erosion assessment is from direct field observations of erosion features and soil profile
truncation. Erosion features consist of rills and gullies, some of these ephemeral, and of associated deposition
in swales and small valleys. Soil profiles may show local loss of upper horizons, or burial by deposition from
upslope.
Measurements of soil erosion represent a second important source of information. However, there are only a
limited number of datasets available from experimental erosion plot sites and catchments in Europe. Most of
these datasets cover periods of short duration, i.e. up to 3 years.
Data may also be collated from remote sensing surveys of erosion features, using aerial photographs or other
earth observation techniques. Satellite images with resolutions of 25–30 m, e.g. LANDSAT, can be used to
detect severe and distinct forms of land degradation and soil erosion. Very high-resolution imagery such as
IKONOS permits the detection of rills and smaller gullies. Aerial photographs at different temporal and/or
spatial scales may serve the same purpose.
Data in the form of measurements, field observations or remote sensing surveys may also be collected from
regional experts in soils or soil erosion. Questionnaire surveys may be administered to the scientific
community and national soil experts to arrive at a regional assessment based solely on expert judgement.
All these distributed data methods require validation to standardise differences in the intensity of study of
different areas and in the clarity of suitable features on different soil types. There are also differences in
methods and traditions between scientists in different areas of Europe. On their own, these methods cannot
provide a complete picture except for small sample areas, and require the use of other methods to interpolate
between areas.
The main advantage of distributed observations or measurements of erosion is that data are unambiguous
where they exist, and give a good indication of the current state of degradation of the soil resource. The main
662 Soil Erosion in Europe
disadvantage of these methods is that they provide little or no information about when erosion occurred, unless
there are supporting data on this point.
2.13.2.2 Indicator or Factorial Approaches
Since many of the processes and factors that influence the rate of erosion are well known, it is possible to rank
individual factors for susceptibility to erosion, providing a series of erosion indicators. For example, soil
indicators reflect the tendency for crusting, the experimental erodibility of soil particles and aggregate stability.
Similar rank indicators can be developed for parent materials. Climatic indices are based on the frequency of
high-intensity precipitation and on the extent of aridity or rainfall seasonality. Topographic indicators
incorporate slope gradient and contributing area, a value corresponding to the catchment area upslope of a
point. Vegetation indicators consist of land cover, vegetation type and roughness. Land management indicators
comprise tillage operations, crop selection, spacing, orientation with the slope and other field practices.
Clearly, a high susceptibility for all factors indicates a high erosion risk and a low susceptibility for all factors
indicates a low erosion risk.
Individual indicators can be mapped separately, but it is more problematic to combine the factors into a
single scale, by adding or multiplying suitably weighted indicators for each individual factor. There are
difficulties both about how to select and justify the individual weightings and about the assumed linearity and
statistical independence of the separate factors. The method should therefore be most effective for identifying
the extremes of high and low erosion, but less satisfactory in identifying the gradation between the extremes.
Despite these theoretical limitations, factor or indicator mapping has the considerable advantage that it can be
widely applied using GIS datasets. For example, raster GIS coverages of topography, soils, land use and
climate are readily available for Europe.
There is a wide spectrum of possibilities to use some or all of the factors of the Universal Soil Loss Equation
(USLE), where soil loss is a simple multiplication of five factors: soil erodibility, rainfall erosivity, slope length
factor, vegetation cover factor and crop management practice. However, all of the approaches remain an
imperfect implementation of the USLE, partly owing to the historical lack of systematic data in Europe.
2.13.2.3 Process Modelling
A third approach towards Europe-wide soil erosion assessment is the application of a process model. A process
model consists of components with an explicit physical basis. Current thinking on soil erosion modelling
recognises the importance of runoff forecasting as a critical control on erosion loss. Runoff models are based
on a runoff threshold or infiltration equation approach, and vary in complexity from the RDI model (Kirkby
et al., 2000) to the USDA WEPP model (Nearing et al., 1989). For application at the regional scale, most
erosion models are severely limited by their high data demand and, in many cases, by a focus on individual
events rather than long-term cumulative impacts.
Process models have the potential to respond explicitly and rationally to changes in climate or land use, and
so have great promise for developing scenarios of change and what-if analyses of policy options. Set against
this advantage, process models generally make no assessment of degradation up to the present time, and can
only incorporate the impact of past erosion where this is recorded in other data, such as soil databases. Models
also generally simplify the set of processes operating, so that they may not be appropriate under particular
local circumstances. Although, prima facie, the modelling approach appears to be the most generally
applicable, there are major problems of validation, and in particular in relating coarse-scale forecasts to
available erosion rate data, much of which is for small erosion plots.
A process model that is suitable for regional soil erosion assessment should represent the state of the art in
current understanding of soil erosion processes, combine sufficient simplicity for application at a European
Pan-European Soil Erosion Assessment and Maps 663
scale and have the potential for downscaling to field scales for purposes of explicit validation. PESERA offers
such a methodology (Gobin et al., 2004).
2.13.3 RESULTS OF PAN-EUROPEAN ASSESSMENT METHODS
2.13.3.1 The GLASOD Approach
The main objective of the worldwide GLASOD (Global Assessment of the Current Status of Human-Induced
Soil Degradation) Project was to strengthen the awareness of decision makers on the risks resulting from
inappropriate land and soil management (Oldeman et al., 1991). On the basis of incomplete existing
knowledge, a scientifically credible global assessment of the geographical distribution and the severity of
human-induced soil degradation was made within a very short time frame. The task was subcontracted to
correlators in 21 regions to prepare, in close cooperation with 300 national soil scientists, regional soil
degradation status maps. All collaborators were provided with guidelines and a base map with loosely defined
physiographic units. The assessment consisted of an expert judgement according to the general guidelines of
degradation status (type, extent, degree, rate and cause) for individual polygons on a national/sub-national
level. The regional maps were compiled, correlated and digitised to provide the GLASOD world map of soil
degradation.
The European part of the GLASOD map has been updated on the basis of questionnaires that were sent to
scientific teams in each European country for comments and additions (van Lynden, 1995; Figure 2.13.1). Not
all countries completed and returned the questionnaires and the degree of detail of the information received
varies greatly. It must also be noted that the scale of the maps (1:10 000 000) limits the detail that can be
Figure 2.13.1 Water erosion of soils in Europe according to the GLASOD approach (modified from Van Lynden, 1995,
� Council of Europe, reproduced with permission)
664 Soil Erosion in Europe
shown, providing a minimum resolution of approximately 10 km. The representation of the map items causes a
visual exaggeration: each polygon which is not 100 % stable shows a degradation colour, even if only 1–5 % of
the area is actually affected. The GLASOD map identifies areas with a subjectively similar severity of erosion,
irrespective of the conditions, which produced the erosion, and irrespective of its wider impacts.
Despite the limited aims of the project and the subjective approach, GLASOD is the only method that has
been applied at a worldwide scale (Oldeman et al., 1991). Therefore, the GLASOD map and complementary
statistics have been used and cited in numerous scientific journals and policy documents of the World
Resources Institute, the International Food Policy Research Institute, the Food and Agriculture Organization of
the United Nations, the United Nations Environment Programme and many others. However, the dependence
on a set of expert judgements results in very little control or objectivity in comparing the standards applied by
different experts for different areas.
2.13.3.2 The HOT-SPOTS Approach
An analysis and mapping of soil problem areas (hot-spots) in Europe was published in the EEA–UNEP joint
message on soil (EEA and UNEP, 2000). The purpose of the study was to support the joint message on the
need for a pan-European policy on soil, identifying ‘hot-spots’ of degradation in Europe and examining
environmental impacts leading to change and particularly degradation of soil function. The hot-spots map for
soil erosion aims to present a kind of ‘spatial indicator’ that would permit the identification of priorities of
intervention and the visualisation of data gaps.
The temporal and spatial patchiness of soil erosion and the uneven density and quality of local
measurements make a simple mapping of hot-spots futile. Soil erosion in the hot-spots approach is therefore
indicated at a hierarchy of scales (Figure 2.13.2). Three zones are identified for which the nature of erosion is
generally similar: Eastern Europe, the Loess Belt and southern Europe, which primarily represent different
land-use history, parent materials and climate, respectively. Hot-spot areas are then highlighted within each
zone on the basis of two earlier maps (de Ploey, 1989; Favis-Mortlock and Boardman, 1999). The intention is
to identify areas of current erosion risk, under present land use and climate. Hot-spot locations, mostly within
the hot-spot areas, are sites with available measurements of erosion rates, taken from erosion plots, fields and
small catchments.
Worth noting is that the underlying map indicating hot-spots is an extension of the soil erosion risk map of
Western Europe by de Ploey (1989). Various experts were consulted to identify areas where, according to their
judgement, erosion processes are important. A limitation of the de Ploey map is that there are no clear
definitions of the criteria according to which areas were delineated and hence there is no assurance of
objectivity.
2.13.3.3 The IMAGE/RIVM Approach
A baseline assessment of water erosion was prepared for 1990, as part of a major report on strategies for the
European Environment (RIVM, 1992). The assessment of current risk was combined with climate and
economic projections within the framework of the IMAGE 2 model to generate scenario projections for 2010
and 2050. IMAGE 2 is an integrated model designed to simulate the dynamics of the global society–
biosphere–climate system (Alcamo, 1994).
Water erosion represents a module of the IMAGE model adapted from the water erosion model of Batjes
(1996) on a 12
� � 12
�(approximately 50 km) grid (Figure 2.13.3). The water erosion impact module generates a
water erosion risk index based on three main parameters: terrain erodibility, rainfall erosivity and land use.
Terrain erodibility is based on soil type and landform. Landform is classified into types by using the difference
between minimum and maximum altitudes for each grid cell. Soil type is derived from the FAO Soil Map of
Pan-European Soil Erosion Assessment and Maps 665
the World and is assessed on the basis of soil depth, soil texture and bulk density. Rainfall erosivity is derived
from the monthly maximum rainfall per rain-day. Data on precipitation and number of wet days are derived
from the IIASA climate database. The potential erosion risk derived from terrain erodibility and rainfall
erosivity is converted to actual erosion risk by a land cover factor, representing the degree of protection
afforded by various land covers. Natural vegetation with a closed canopy, e.g. forests, is assumed to provide
optimal protection, i.e. no risk. Natural vegetation with a more open structure, e.g. shrubs, is assumed to
provide sub-optimal protection, i.e. low risk. Highest risks are assigned to arable land, linked to a crop
protection factor. Land cover maps for the IMAGE model are derived from several sources including Olson’s
land cover database and statistical information from FAO.
The IMAGE/RIVM approach has the advantages of making explicit scenario projections and combining
physical and economic elements within a single framework, but the 50-km resolution renders it difficult to
interpret and validate at sub-national scales.
2.13.3.4 The CORINE Approach
The CORINE programme was established in 1985 to help incorporate an environmental dimension into
Community Policies, to ensure optimum use of resources to obtain environmental information and to develop
the methodological base needed to obtain environmental data, which are comparable at Community level. For
one of the priority topics, soil erosion, a new methodology was developed, which provides a factor-based
Figure 2.13.2 The soil erosion hots-pots map (modified after EEA and UNEP, 2000. Assessment and reporting on soil
erosion. Background and workshop report. Technical report nr. 94. European Environment Agency, reproduced with
permission)
666 Soil Erosion in Europe
assessment of risk. The CORINE soil erosion methodology (CORINE, 1992; Briggs and Giordano, 1995) was
based on a considerable simplification of the USLE.
The CORINE soil erosion risk maps are the result of an overlay analysis of factorial scores to evaluate the
soil erosion risk category (CORINE, 1992; Figure 2.13.4). A relative ranking of soil erosion risk was obtained
through the summation of individual erosion risk scores for each of the parameters soil susceptibility, rainfall,
topography and land cover. Erodibility is estimated from soil texture, depth and stoniness, extracted from the
soil map of the European Communities (CEC, 1985). Erosivity is estimated from the Fournier and Bagnouls–
Gaussen climatic indices. Slope gradient is included, but without a slope length correction, and vegetation and
crop management are collapsed into two categories, protected and not fully protected, using data from the
associated CORINE land cover database. The vegetation and crop management factor is the most poorly
parameterised factor. All the factors are combined to estimate three categories of potential and actual soil
erosion risk. Potential risk excludes vegetation factors, and so identifies land at risk, whereas actual risk
includes the vegetation factor to indicate the protective influence provided by present land cover and the
dangers inherent in land use changes. The resulting maps were produced at a 1-km resolution for southern
Europe, excluding northern Europe. The area of land in this region with a high erosion risk totals 229 000 km2
(about 10 % of the rural land surface).
The static CORINE approach relies heavily on risk assessment by experts, and it remains difficult to evaluate
the effect of changes in land use and/or climate on the erosion risk as no quantitative estimate of soil erosion is
made. For the same reasons, it is not feasible to incorporate more detailed data, nor is it possible to evaluate the
accuracy of the final result.
2.13.3.5 The USLE/ESB Approach
The European Soil Bureau (ESB) initiated a project that aimed to assess erosion risk at a continental level on
the basis of European datasets available. The end result is a set of maps that can help identify regions that are
susceptible to rill and inter-rill erosion (van der Knijff et al., 2000).
Figure 2.13.3 Water erosion vulnerability for 1990 (modified from RIVM Report 481505001. The Environment in
Europe: A Global Perspective. Copyright 1992 RIVM, reproduced by permission of RIVM)
Pan-European Soil Erosion Assessment and Maps 667
The method uses the USLE in an attempt to produce a comprehensive pan-European soil erosion risk
assessment map at 1-km resolution (Figure 2.13.5). The rainfall erosivity factor was estimated using linear
regression equations for northern and southern Europe, allowing for a smooth transition between the two. The
soil erodibility factor was calculated using an exponential equation based on the geometric mean weight
diameter of the primary soil particles, derived from surface texture composition as presented in the European
Geographical Soil Database for Europe (Heineke et al., 1998). The slope length factor was assumed to be
constant, whereas the slope factor was derived from the slope gradient of a 1-km resolution European-wide
Digital Elevation Model. The land cover factor was estimated using an exponential scaling function linked to
NDVI from NOAA AVHRR. The visual appearance of the map was improved using a filter that replaces the
actual pixel values by the median of all pixel values within a 5-km search radius.
The approach represents an application of the USLE methodology, with the benefit of incorporating
improved and updated data layers once they become available at a pan-European scale. Unlike for the USA,
where there exists a large database, lack of systematic data across the different agro-environments of Europe
will make it very difficult to validate the methodology and resulting map. Moreover, the application of the
method to mountainous regions is Europe is questionable.
2.13.3.6 The INRA Approach
The approach elaborated by INRA (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, France) presents a
factorial approach.
Figure 2.13.4 (a) Potential and (b) actual erosion risk as estimated by the CORINE methodology (Figure adapted from
the original maps in Soil Erosion Risk and Important Land Resources in the Southern Regions of the European Community
EUR 13233EN. � European Communities, 1992, reproduced with permission)
668 Soil Erosion in Europe
The INRA approach uses a hierarchical multi-factorial classification designed to assess average seasonal
erosion risk at a regional scale (Le Bissonnais et al., 2001). The annual soil erosion risk for Europe is based on
empirical rules that combine data on land use from the CORINE Land Cover database, soil crusting
susceptibility, soil erodibility (determined by pedotransfer rules from the European Soil Database at a scale
of 1:1 000 000; Le Bissonnais and Daroussin, 2001), relief (1 km� 1 km resolution) and meteorological data
(Figure 2.13.6).
The INRA approach is simple and versatile, not requiring parameters that are not available at the national scale.
The INRA approach is qualitative with the final information provided on a five-class scale of risk. Since the classes
are not linked to quantitative values of erosion, it is impossible to assess the errors associated with the results.
2.13.3.7 The PESERA Approach
The Pan-European Soil Erosion Risk Assessment (PESERA) Project, an EU-funded 5th framework
project, was initiated to develop and evaluate a physically based and spatially distributed model to
quantify soil erosion in a nested strategy of focusing on environmentally sensitive areas relevant to a
European scale.
Figure 2.13.5 Actual erosion risk as estimated by the ESB/USLE approach (modified from Soil Erosion Risk Assessment
in Europe by Van Der Knijff et al., 2000, EUR 19044 EN, reproduced with permission)
Pan-European Soil Erosion Assessment and Maps 669
The PESERA model calculates expected mean erosion rates at 1-km resolution for the full range of
environments in Europe (Figure 2.13.7). The model makes use of topography, soil, climate, land use and land
management data to estimate ground cover, surface crusting, runoff and sediment transport and to provide an
estimate of water and sediment delivered to stream channels. The estimates are consistent with finer scale
erosion models for flow strips, evaluated at the slope base, and are integrated across the frequency distribution
of storm magnitudes. The model is based on a partition of daily precipitation into Hortonian and saturation
overland flow, subsurface flow and evapotranspiration. Hortonian overland flow, which is mainly responsible
for soil erosion, is generated with respect to local soil and subsurface moisture characteristics. Some allowance
is also made for snow accumulation and melting. Model forecasts are calibrated against runoff plots and small
catchment data. The model output is also compared with other assessment methods at different resolutions and
across different agro-ecological zones (Gobin and Govers, 2003). Detailed reports on these efforts are
available from the Project’s website.
The major advantage of the PESERA approach towards Europe-wide soil erosion assessment is the
application of a process model that can be used for validation at high resolutions and for Europe-wide
forecasting at a coarse resolution, so that cross-scale reconciliation is as explicit as possible. The PESERA
model produces a quantitative forecast of soil erosion and soil cover, offering great promise for scenario
analysis and impact assessment. It is now being demonstrated that it has the potential to respond explicitly and
rationally to changes in climate or land use.
Figure 2.13.6 Annual soil erosion risk as inferred from soil sensitivity to erosion and rainfall erosivity (Soil Erosion Risk
Assessment in Europe data are owned by the European Commission and were calculated by INRA, according to a
methodology which was developed and is owned by INRA and to which reference can be made by citing the following
publication: Le Bissonnais Y., C. Montier, M. Jamagne, J. Daroussin, D. King (2002). Mapping erosion risk for cultivated
soil in France. Catena, 46, 207–220)
670 Soil Erosion in Europe
2.13.4 DISCUSSION
Methods based on questionnaire surveys (GLASOD map; Oldeman et al., 1991) or erosion measurement sites
(Hot Spots map; Turner et al., 2001) are inadequate on their own. Estimates of the area affected by actual soil
erosion at regional and national levels are not readily available, because measurements are difficult and usually
expensive to make. Soil erosion often takes place over long periods before the true extent is appreciated and
long-term accurate data are scarce. The temporal and spatial patchiness of soil erosion makes interpolations
between limited available data scientifically not justified. Differences between expert assessments and
measurement methods reduce the comparability between the limited data available even further.
Factorial scoring methods such as the static CORINE approach rely heavily on risk assessment by experts,
and it remains difficult to evaluate the effect of changes in land use and/or climate on the erosion risk as no
quantitative estimate of soil erosion is made. For the same reasons, it is not feasible to incorporate more
detailed data, nor is it possible to evaluate the accuracy of the final result. In addition, the sharp delineation of
Figure 2.13.7 Preliminary results of the PESERA model across Europe (modified from Gobin and Govers, 2003,
reproduced with permission)
Pan-European Soil Erosion Assessment and Maps 671
source data in both the geographic and attribute space inevitably results in information loss, and the results
depend strongly on the class limits and the number of classes used.
There exists a continuous spectrum between mapping based on ranked indicators and empirical models such
as the (R)USLE. The potential risk calculations are based on climatic, topographic and edaphic conditions,
whereas the actual risk takes into account present land cover and land use. In many ways, these empirical
models are comparable to the factorial scoring methods used for producing the CORINE maps. Adhering
closer to the USLE are the RIVM maps at 50 km� 50 km resolution for Europe (RIVM, 1992) and the USLE/
ESB map at 1 km� 1 km resolution (van der Knijff et al., 2000). Although the USLE has been the most
widely applied model, it is now considered as conceptually flawed. Despite this, the USLE-based methods
have the immediate benefit of transferring distributed data into simple factors. However, any model based on
the USLE will not include gully erosion, which, as Poesen et al. (2003) have shown, can be a major contributor
to total erosion in (at least some parts of) Europe. As part of the ranked indicator methods, the INRA approach
presents a more elaborated method, which was tested at high resolution (50 m) for significant areas and
compared favourably with the PESERA modelling method (Gobin and Govers, 2003). The INRA method
explicitly takes into account land use and the interactions particularly with soil sensitivity to erosion. However,
limitations relate to the qualitative and non-physical nature of the method.
Actual levels of erosion are difficult to measure, so estimates, based on the available physical evidence
provide necessary information on risk, rather than an actual occurrence, of erosion for policy and management
purposes. Process modelling methods such as the PESERA approach offer great scope but may simplify the set
of processes operating and may therefore not be appropriate under particular local circumstances. The explicit
cross-scale reconciliation of the PESERA approach provides a method to test the coarse resolution model
forecasts against finer resolution measurements. The PESERA method is the only approach that explicitly
incorporates the effect of vegetation and ground cover at different steps in the model.
All of the methods presented require calibration and validation, although the type needed is different for
each category. The advantage of quantitative and process modelling methods, such as PESERA, is that coarse-
scale forecasts can be related to measured erosion rates so that explicit calibration and validation can be made
with field monitoring data. Examples of validation and calibration using plot data and of validation using
aggregated measurements (e.g. suspension load, pond sedimentation) or high-resolution maps have been
produced within the framework of the PESERA Project (Gobin and Govers, 2003). However, aggregated
measurements necessitate the use of concatenating different models to arrive at forecasts to be confronted with
measurements (e.g. van Rompaey et al., 2003); this in turn increases error propagation and introduces further
uncertainties in the prediction. Despite the uncertainties involved in European-scale assessments of soil
erosion, policy-makers need to know the area affected by soil erosion and an estimate of the magnitude at a
regional and continental scale in order to formulate suitable remediation measures and mitigation strategies
focussing on environmentally sensitive areas (Gobin et al., 2004).
2.13.5 CONCLUSIONS
In order to formulate a European soil protection policy, pan-European soil erosion assessment methods should
provide information of both the extent and the severity of the problem at the European scale as a first crucial
step in a nested strategy of focusing on environmentally sensitive areas, which may require remedial measures
to be taken (Gobin et al., 2003, 2004). There is a huge difference between measured erosion, actual erosion
risk and potential erosion risk. Certain factors may affect the risk of soil erosion, but they may not affect soil
erosion in itself at present.
Runoff is the most important direct driver of severe soil erosion. Processes that influence runoff must
therefore play an important role in any analysis of soil erosion intensity, and measures that reduce runoff are
672 Soil Erosion in Europe
critical to effective soil conservation. Any approach that explicitly takes into account the land use and
management factors should be of potential interest to the policy-maker since these are the only factors at hand
to control the erosion problem. It is apparent that the majority of approaches discussed in this chapter do not
pay enough attention to land use and land management factors.
The temporal and spatial patchiness of soil erosion favours a risk analysis approach in order to make
comparisons between regions and to complement field measurements and observations. However, model-
ling efforts should be thoroughly validated against erosion measurements, and a clear distinction should be
made between modelled erosion risk and present-day erosion rates. A programme to monitor soil erosion
across different agro-ecological regions and under different land uses should underpin both field
observation/mapping exercises and regional soil erosion risk assessment methods. Only then is a sound
approach ensured of estimations and mapping features that are directly validated and compared with
measurements. Moreover, measuring campaigns may lead to new insights and therefore to better mapping
and risk assessments.
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