soil carbon and emission trading scheme mike beare nziahs forum (22 aug. 2012)
TRANSCRIPT
Soil Carbon and Emission Trading Scheme
Mike Beare
NZIAHS Forum (22 Aug. 2012)
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Why do we have an Emission Trading Scheme?
Under the Kyoto Protocol, NZ agreed to reduce its GHG emissions back to 1990 levels by 2012 or pay for any excess.
Government chose the ETS as least-cost way of putting a price on emissions and creating an incentive for all of us – especially businesses and consumers – to change behavior.
ETS moves the cost of emissions onto those who cause them. Creates a market around reducing emissions.
28 other countries have an ETS (incl. Australian & US states).
Creates incentive to reduce emissions, invest in clean technology and renewable power generation and store C (e.g. planting trees).
ETS was reviewed in 2011 to assess how it is working and what our trading partners are doing about climate change.
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
What is included under ETS and When? What sectors are included under the ETS
• Forestry – entered Jan 2008 • Energy, Industry & Transport – entered July 2010• Agriculture – soon!
Proposed obligations under Agriculture
• participants initially meat & dairy processors, fertiliser manufacturers & importers, egg producers & live animal exporters.
• obligation to surrender NZUs for agricultural emission activities.
• Govt may move point of obligation to farm level in future, subject to practical issues, ability to verify emissions & enforce compliance.
• Agriculture emissions refers to non-CO2 GHG emissions from agricultural production – includes CH4 from livestock (~ 2/3), and N2O from animal excreta and use of N fertiliser (~ 1/3). Excludes soil C.
• Reporting was to begin Jan 2012, full obligations by Jan 2015.
• Recently, Govt deferred the start date to surrender obligations for biological emissions from agriculture – pending a review in 2015.
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
CH4
CH4
2010 Agric. emissions CH4 = 6.3 Mt CO2-Ce N2O = 2.7 Mt CO2-Ce
NZ Soil C stock = 2562 Mt C
What are the losses and gains?How do they impact on NZ’s net emissions?
z
Where do soils feature in the Global C Cycle ?Carbon (C) units:
1 t C = 1 Mg C
1 Gg C = 1000 t C
1 Mt C = 1000 Gg C
1 Pg C = 1000 Mt C
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Why are we interested in Soil C?
Soil C – product of organic matter input from plants and animal excreta and organic matter decomposition.
These have important implications for the global C balance.
Agricultural soil C is not currently included in the ETS but is included in international GHG accounting protocols.
Global basis – total soil C pool is large (small changes could be important).
There is growing international interest in soil C as a source and sink for atmospheric CO2.
We don’t know how (i.e. point of obligation) or if soil C will be traded in the future and when.
Soil C is also linked to many important ecosystem services.
Supply of plant available nutrients, filtering, soil structure, biodiversity.
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
How do we measure Soil Carbon?Important considerations
Sample depth» Chemical fertility testing (0-15 cm samples), not adequate for soil C» Sampling to a fixed depth and known volume is essential» International C accounting/trading based on 0–30 cm» NZ data based on different depths of sampling, different protocols » Need for a standard, universally accepted protocol for NZ
Number of samples» SOM and C can be very spatially variable» Large number of samples required (15-25 for avg paddock)» Composite sample OK, but separate samples better
Corrections for soil bulk density are important
Comparing C in equivalent masses of soil is best
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
What is equivalent mass and why is it important?
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
What are implications of different methods?
Soil C content based 0-15 cm samples
Pasture Cropping (ploughed 20 cm)
Depth (cm)
BDg / cm3 C (%)
t C / ha
BDg / cm3 C (%)
t C / ha
0 - 7.5 1.20 3.2 28.8 1.10 2.1 17.3
7.5 - 15 1.30 2.4 23.4 1.15 2.2 19.0
Total (Avg)
(2.8) 52.2 (2.1) 36.3
C Loss -15.9
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Determining the C content of soils(based on 0-25 cm samples)
Pasture Cropping (ploughed 20 cm)
Depth (cm)
BDg / cm3 C (%)
t C / ha
BDg / cm3 C (%)
t C / ha
0 - 7.5 1.20 3.2 28.8 1.10 2.1 17.3
7.5 - 15 1.30 2.4 23.4 1.15 2.2 19.0
15 - 25 1.35 1.8 24.3 1.35 2.6 35.1
Total (Avg)
(2.3) 76.5 (2.1) 71.4
C Loss - 5.1
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Determining the C content of soils(based on equivalent soil mass)
Pasture Cropping (ploughed 20 cm)
Depth (cm)
BDg / cm3 C (%)
t C / ha
BDg / cm3 C (%)
t C / ha
0 - 7.5 1.20 3.2 28.8 1.10 2.1 17.3
900 825
7.5 - 15 1.30 2.4 23.4 1.15 2.2 19.0
975 863
15 - 25 1.35 1.8 24.3 1.35 2.6 35.1
1350 1350
Total 3225 76.5 3038 71.4
Equiv. mass
3225 76.5 3225 74.7
C loss - 1.8
Values in red are t soil / ha (i.e. the mass of soil at each depth)
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Soil C stocks differ across land uses
Cropland - annual
Cropland - perennial
Grassland - high prod
Grassland - low prod
Grassland - + woody biomass
Natural forest
Post-1989 fo
rest
Pre-1990 planted forests
Wetlands
Soi
l C S
tock
s (t
C h
a-1 ,
0-3
0 cm
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jones et al. 2012
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Soil C stocks differ across major soil orders
Allophanic
BrownGley
Granular
Melanic
OrganicPallic
Podzol
PumiceRecent
Ultic
Soi
l C S
tock
s (t
C h
a-1 ,
0-3
0 cm
)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jones et al. 2012
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
NZ’s total soil C stocks by land use and change in soil C stocks due to land use change (1990-2010)
Source: NZ Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990-2010 (Ministry for the Environment)Excludes data for wetlands, settlements and “other” land.
Land use Land area (ha)
Soil C stocks (Mt C)
1990-2010∆ soil C (Mt C)
Forest
Natural forest 8,084,403 749 0
Pre-1990 planted forest 1,441,894 134 - 2.44
Post-1989 forest 593,821 55 - 5.37
Grassland
High producing 5,795,395 679 + 2.49
Low producing 7,674,138 810 - 0.30
With woody material 1,134,031 105 - 0.82
Cropland
Annual 334,865 20 - 1.90
Perennial 102,901 10 - 0.68
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Soils respond differently to changes in land use or management
Land use
LT Pasture STP/STA LT Arable
Soi
l Org
anic
car
bon
(t h
a-1 )
40
45
50
55
60
65
Brown (n = 67)Gley (n = 23)Pallic (n = 114)
- 5.3 t C/ha
- 13.6 t C/ha
- 10.5 t C/ha
Lawrence-Smith et al 2006
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Are we losing or gaining soil C on our pastoral lands?
Land form Land use 0-30 cm 0-90 cm
n Avg. ∆C n Avg. ∆C
Flatland Drystock 27 -0.14 (0.15) 22 -0.31 (0.27)
Flatland Dairy 29 -0.73 (0.16) 25 -1.21 (0.25)
NI hill Drystock 15 0.52 (0.18) 12 1.00 (0.37)
SI tussock Drystock 12 0.00 (0.13) 3 -0.35 (0.08)
Change in total soil C (t C ha-1 yr-1) under different pastoral land uses
Dairy Sheep/beef Bull/beef
Soi
l C S
tock
s (t
C h
a-1 ,
0-3
0 cm
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
n = 169 n = 88 n = 18
Schipper et al. 2010
Losses of soil C are also associated with release of mineral N that contributes to higher N2O emission under international accounting rules.
Lawrence-Smith & Beare 2012
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Soil Carbon Sequestration
Black/Biochar C
•Biomass pyrolysis•Soil amendments
Deep Placement•Deep roots•Bioturbation•Recalcitrant compounds
Lifting Prod’n on Degraded
Soils• INM
•Irrigation ?•Increase crop
cover (min fallow)
Increasing C Input into Soil•Residue mgt & reduced tillage
•Drip sub irrigation•N management
•Biosolids
Lal & Follett 2009 SSSAJ Spec Publication 57
Opportunities to sequester (store) soil C and reduce losses
NZAGRC Research to increase soil C storage:
•stocks & upper limits of soil C storage •mechanisms of soil C stabilisation. •use of Biochar to sequester C•introduce deep burrowing earthworms to bury soil C•mixed pasture swards with deep rooted species
Other Research•Rates of soil C loss under LUC•Reduced tillage systems to conserve soil C (cropping & pasture renewal)•Irrigation effects on soil C stocks•Measurement and modelling of functional pools
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
CHALLENGES TO SOC SEQUESTRATION
Competing uses
of biomass
Fodder
Fuel
Industrial material
Construction material
Human
dimensions
Land tenure
Mindset
Gender issues
Farming system
Immediate vs. long-term
needs
Non-availability
of input
Specific mechanisms
Herbicides
Fertilisers
Improved varieties
Weak institutions
Soil factors
Texture
Clay minerals
Drainage
Topography
Climate
parameters
Temperature
Precipitation
ET
Rainfall distribution
Pedosphere/
atmosphere interaction
The Human Dimension Biophysical Factors
Lal & Follett 2009 SSSAJ Spec Publication 57
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Ecosystem Services &
Soil Organic Carbon
Sequestration
Erosion Control
•Reduction in nonpoint source pollution
•Decline in sedimentation
Desertification Control
•Decline in susceptibility to desertification
•Land saving technologies
Increase in Biodiversity
•Soil fauna and flora
•Avoiding deforestation
Purification of Water
•Bioremediation
•Denaturing of pollutants
improvement in soil structure
storehouse of germplasm
soil as a biomembrane
Soil/ecosystem restoration
Lal & Follett 2009
… and there are many other benefits of soil C
The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited
Conclusions
NZ Soil C stock is relatively large compared to annual emissions of CH4 and N2O from agriculture.
Annual changes in soil C appear small, but what are implications of changes in land uses?
Are we losing or gaining soil C from intensification of existing land uses?
How we measure soil C stocks and changes is important (Paddock & Nationally)
Soil C stocks differ substantially by land use, soil class and climate
Potential to increase soil C storage appears to be small (more research needed)
Given our stocks of C are high, risk of soil C losses is biggest concern.
• Pastoral land and selected soils (e.g. peats, Allophanics etc)
Beyond soil C accounting, important that we account for the full range of ecosystem services provided by soil C.
Thank you for your attention