smith barney citigroup small & mid-cap conference may 6, 2004 allmerica financial corporation ed...
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Smith Barney Citigroup Small & Mid-Cap Conference
May 6, 2004
Allmerica Financial Corporation
Ed ParryExecutive Vice PresidentChief Financial Officer
Allmerica Financial CorporationForward Looking Statement
Allmerica Financial CorporationForward Looking Statement
Certain statements in this presentation may contain, “forward looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Use of the words “believes”, “anticipates”, “expects” and similar expressions is intended to identify forward looking statements. In particular, this presentation may include forward looking statements with respect to earnings growth, return on equity, anticipated price increases in our P&C business, growth, expense management and improved underwriting. The Company cautions investors that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results could differ materially. Investors are directed to consider the risks and uncertainties in our business that may affect future performance and that are discussed in readily available documents, including the Company’s annual report and other documents filed by Allmerica with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These uncertainties include the possibility of adverse catastrophe experience and severe weather, adverse loss development and adverse trends in mortality and morbidity, changes in the stock and financial markets, changes from assumed surrender activities and assumed stock market returns, adverse selection in underwriting activities and surrender patterns, investment impairments, heightened competition, adverse state and federal legislation or regulation, financial ratings actions, and various other factors, which include the effect of the Company’s decision to close its retail broker-dealer operations as well as the anticipated impact and cost of the GMDB hedging program. The performance of the hedging program is dependent on, among other things, the future performance and volatility of the equity market, the extent to which the performance of the various hedging instruments correlate with the investment performance of the underlying annuity sub-accounts, the continued availability of equity index futures and redemption and mortality patterns in the Company’s annuity contracts. The discussion in this presentation includes financial measures that are not derived from generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. Information regarding these non-GAAP financial measures is available in the Investor Relations section of the Allmerica website at www.allmerica.com
Who We AreWho We Are
Fortune 500: Market Capitalization of $1.9B
Regional Property and Casualty Company• 30th Largest Property and Casualty Insurer• Over $2 billion in Written Premium• Partnerships with 1,850 Local Agencies
in 25 States – Northeast and Michigan Focus• Hanover & Citizens Brand Names• Over 150 Years in the Business• A.M. Best Rating of A- [Excellent]
Life Companies• Closed Block of Business Consisting Primarily of
Variable Annuities• $14B in Assets • $120 Million in Annual Operating Cash Flow• A.M. Best “Secure” Rating of B+ [Very Good]
Who We Are in NumbersWho We Are in Numbers
Life $0.8B
P&C $2.5B
Total Revenue: $3.3B
2003 Revenue
P&C $118M
2003 Pre-tax Segment Income*
2003 Net Income: $87m EPS: $1.63
* Excludes Corporate Debt
24%
76%
7%
93%
P&C $1.6B
Life $1.2B
$326
$892
$482
$830
$553
$1,002
$590
$1,029
Q3 '02 Q4 '02 Q4 '03 Q1 '04
Life Surplus P&C Surplus
Who We Are in NumbersWho We Are in Numbers
Life and P&C Equity $2.8BDebt (0.5B)Total GAAP Equity $2.3B
43%
57%
3/31/04 Life Company RBC = 420%
$1,555
$1,312$1,218
GAAP EquityStatutory Surplus
$1,619
Allmerica Financial Corporation 2003 Property and Casualty Business Mix
Allmerica Financial Corporation 2003 Property and Casualty Business Mix
• 68% Personal Lines - Short-tail Liabilities• 32% Commercial Lines - Predominately “Main Street” Small Commercial
Other Personal2%
Other Commercial
3%
Personal Auto49%
Commercial Multi Peril15%
Homeow ners17%
Commercial Auto8%
Workers' Comp6%
47%22%13%8%
10%
< $10k
$10k < $25k
$25k
-$50
k
$50k-$100k
> $100k
22%13%
9%
10%
46%
Commercial Lines by Size
81% in Policies < $50K2/3 of Accounts < $75K
$2.2B Total Net Written Premium
Personal Lines2004 Priorities
Personal Lines2004 Priorities
Agency PartnershipsAgency Partnerships
Product & UnderwritingProduct & Underwriting
Responsive Service DeliveryResponsive Service Delivery
Identify and Grow with Key Agents Aggressively Manage Underperforming Agents
Accelerate Deployment of POS Introduce Pre-Fill
Achieve Adequate Pricing Levels Continue Implementation of Rate
Tiering Shift Geographic Mix of Business Improve MA Auto Results
Margin Improvement Drive Earnings GrowthMargin Improvement Drive Earnings Growth
Commercial Lines2004 Priorities
Commercial Lines2004 Priorities
Improve Renewal Retention Enhance New Business Mix Tiered Pricing Strategies
Agency PartnershipsAgency Partnerships
Product & UnderwritingProduct & Underwriting
Responsive Service DeliveryResponsive Service Delivery
Lock in Strategic Partnerships with Winning Commercial Lines Agencies
Refine small commercial operating model
Build the Foundation for Earnings Growth in 2005Build the Foundation for Earnings Growth in 2005
Life Companies2004 Priorities
Life Companies2004 Priorities
• Maintain Expense Margins• Retain Profitable Customers
• Manage GMDB Risk Through Hedging
• Create Strategies to Utilize Excess Capital
Maximize Long Term Cash FlowMaximize Long Term Cash Flow
Maximize Long Term ValueMaximize Long Term Value
Manage VolatilityManage Volatility
Allmerica Financial Corporation Financial Performance
Allmerica Financial Corporation Financial Performance
• Segment Income up 40%
• Solid P&C Earnings
• Life Earnings Better than Expected
First Quarter Highlights
$24
$33
Q1 2003 Q1 2004
After Tax Segment Earnings
($ in millions)
Property & Casualty Financial Performance
Property & Casualty Financial Performance
Personal Lines:• Rate Increases• Lower Frequency of Losses
Commercial Lines: • Lower Favorable Development• Premium Growth• Increased Retention
$39
$27
-$3
$11$2 $1
$38 $39
CommercialLines
PersonalLines
Other P&C Total P&C
Q1 2003 Q1 2004
First Quarter Highlights
($ in millions)
Pre-tax Segment Earnings
Net Operating Cash Flow
Q42003
Life Companies Financial PerformanceLife Companies
Financial Performance
-$2
$10• Lower Operating Expenses
• Favorable Equity Market
• Strong Positive Cash Flow
$2
Q12003
$5
($ in millions)
($ in millions)
$42
$32$39
$32
Q12004
Q12004
$40
$29
$40
Pre-tax Segment Earnings
• Cash Flow
• Statutory Surplus
• Cash Flow
• Statutory Surplus
• GAAP Earnings
• GAAP Book Value
• Return onEquity
• GAAP Earnings
• GAAP Book Value
• Return onEquity
AFC Performance MetricsAFC Performance Metrics
P&CP&C LifeLife
2004 Financial Summary2004 Financial Summary
Focus on the BasicsFocus on the Basics
Personal LinesPersonal Lines
Margin Improvement Drives Earnings Growth
Margin Improvement Drives Earnings Growth
Commercial LinesCommercial Lines
Building the Foundation for Growth
Building the Foundation for Growth
Life CompaniesLife Companies
Maximize Cash Flow & Maintain Strong SurplusMaximize Cash Flow & Maintain Strong Surplus
Improve ROE
Improve ROE
Great Start
Towards Becoming a World
Class P&C
Company
Great Start
Towards Becoming a World
Class P&C
Company
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