singularity university executive program - day 0
TRANSCRIPT
Program Schedule
Day 0 - Orientation
Day 1 - Tech foundations
Day 2 & 3 - Application, Trends & tools
Day 4 - Tools & implications
Day 5 - Call to Action
I. Digitise
Dreamcatcher —> storing dreams
Beyond verbal —> decoding human intonation
4-5 years from now —> impossible to lie
Why?zero friction to move/copy
zero marginal cost
apply computation
correlation
machine learning
modeling
simulation
Vinod Khosla: rise of mobile phones“Ignore the experts and invent the future you want”
McKinsey failed to predict the popularity of cell phones, estimated in 1986 that the number of cell phones in 2000 would be 1m units. It was off by 108m! The forecast was wrong 10000%! On that basis, AT&T decided to divest itself of its cell phone business
Solar energy
In 23 years solar energy
Poorest countries = sunniest countries —> how that would change political & economic scene?
In 2016 solar energy cheaper than electricity in US
Amygdala
Anything created before you were born - normal
Anything between 15 & 35 —> new & exciting!
Anything after you’re 35 —> against nature of things
III. Demonetize
Newspapers —> google ad sales
Airbnb vs Hyatt
Information enables collaborative consumption
IV. Democratize1 meter resolution video with nanorobot —> Emiliano (grad student of SU)
Neurosky brain scanner - focusatwill.com
Bitcoin’s block chain & decentralised authentication
More examples
VR disrupts reality
Soylent - 1 drink equals 1day food, formula is open sourced; 1.4 version was recently released
“People want to compete to feed the world? That’s good”
Things to consider
Democracy isn’t compatible with making fast decisions, while exponential technologies require such —> democracy might not be the best political system
Practice —> apply exponential tech to wine &
spirits industrySelf driving cars & Uber drive consumption :)
Personalised drinks to avoid hangover
Cities are getting bigger, people lonely —> VR sets & home cocktail sets
Look out for digitising smell & taste
10 rulesBETTER - 10x times instead of 10%
FASTER - 2 pizza rule of Jeff Bezos for team size
LOUDER - be known or be nothing
EXPLICIT - 8 words or less; Verb. Target. Outcome
FOCUSED
NETWORKED
SMARTER
RESILIENT - OK with failures
IGNORANT - don’t give a damn to bozos
RELAXED - sometimes you have to sharpen your axe
Linear vs Exponential
Moore’s Law
Technology S-curve & nested S-curves: Relay, Vacuum Tube, Transistor, Integrated Circuit
Where have we seen this in our life?
Wire-line Internet access (Dial-up, DSL, Calbe Modem, Fiber optic)
Hard drives - IBM 350, MicroSD, SanDisk
Digital camera
GPS
Abundance
Global income rises
Lifespan increases
Cost of food, energy, transpiration, telecommunication diminishes
The end of poverty by 2030
More examples
Life expectancy growth
Annual hours worked per person decreases
Automobile & airline fatality rates decrease
Annual global death rate from natural disaster decrease
Bandwidth cost performance improves
Moonshot thinkingGoing 10x bigger instead of 10% improvement
When you shoot for 10x improvement you approach the problem in a radically different fashion
Attack a problemas though it is solved
100 times more worth it, but never 100 times harder
Lockheed Skunk Works (143 days for 1st US jet)
Massive transformative purpose (MTP) - win the war
Small team - 2 pizza rule of Bezos
Extreme isolation
Authority & autonomy
Flexibility
Testing & Experimentation
–Reid Hoffman, Founder, LinkedIn
“If you’re not embarrassed by the first version of your product, you’ve
launched too late”
Diamandis’s own 3 moonshots
100 years is the new 60s
Asteroids as a resource for humanity
XPrize foundation
Truth FrameworkTrue
Not true
Not justifiable Justifiable
ScientificIntuitive
Value-based (stereotypical)
Absolute (religious)