short sale update current market dynamics & legal changes in california short sales
TRANSCRIPT
SHORT SALE UPDATE:Current Market Dynamics &
Legal ChangesIn California Short Sales
Presented by: Aaron Lewis, 9/14/2011
Sellers Sold Their Properties Because They Were Under Water
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
29%
Q. What was the single most important reason for selling/buying the property?Source: C.A.R. 2010 Annual Housing Market Survey
% of Homes Sold Due to Foreclosure/Short Sale/Default
Sellers in 2010 Showed Signs of Distress
Desired larger home
Desired bet-ter/other loca-
tion
Mortgage payment went up (reindex)
Job loss, un-certainty, lossof in-
come
Trouble mak-ing mortgage
payments
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
55%
20%
0% 0% 0%5%
0%
7%
35%
25%
2006 2010
Q. What was the primary reason for selling your home?Source: C.A.R. 2010 Survey of California Home Sellers
Versus
Sold Home Due toTrouble Making Mortgage Payment
First time sellers
Experienced sellers
Total
63%
61%
62%
72%
62%
67%
74%
69%
72%
2010 2009 2008
Q: Did you sell because you had problems making your mortgage payment?Source: C.A.R. 2010 Survey of California Home Sellers
Market Conditions & The Decision to Sell
Mortgage too expensive
Income not keeping up with expenses
Monthly payment went up (re-index, interest rate went up)
Job, income uncertainty
Concerned interest rates were go-ing up
Concerned that the economy is in a recession or heading into a reces-
sion
Home not worth what we paid for it, owe
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
0.39
0.37
0.21
0.1
0.05
0.02
0.02
2010
Q: What role did market conditions play in your decision to sell your home?Source: C.A.R. 2010 Survey of California Home Sellers
Primary Reason for Selling- Historical Comparison -
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Job Loss, loss of household income, job uncertainty
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 18% 35%
Trouble making mortgage payments 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 20% 30% 25%Mortgage payment went up (reindex) 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 16% 15% 7%Financial difficulties (unspecified) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11% 11% 12%Low home prices allowed us to move up 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6%Desired larger home 56% 54% 56% 55% 42% 14% 3% 5%Moved to another state that was more affordable 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%Loss in home value 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%Concerned interest rates were going up 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%Desired better/other location 24% 23% 20% 20% 16% 7% 0% 0%
Market Conditions & The Decision to Sell - Historical Comparison -
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Mortgage is just too expensive 0% 0% 0% 0% 26% 26% 39%Income not keeping up with expenses 0% 0% 0% 0% 40% 58% 37%Monthly payment went up (re-index, interest rate went up)
0% 0% 0% 0% 13% 7% 21%
Job, income uncertainty 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 18% 10%Concern interest rates were going up 0% 0% 22% 21% 13% 14% 5%Home not worth what we paid for it 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 9% 2%Concerned that the economy is in a recession or heading into a recession
0% 0% 0% 0% 11% 10% 2%
Low interest rates helped us move to a better location, neighborhood, prompted move
40% 38% 37% 35% 10% 0% 0%
Appreciation, increasing home prices let us move up
15% 15% 43% 41% 0% 0% 0%
Low interest rates helped us buy a larger home 38% 39% 39% 41% 0% 0% 0%Likelihood that interest rates will move up motivated us
27% 30% 36% 36% 0% 0% 0%
Moved to an area where it was more affordable 14% 13% 13% 14% 0% 0% 0%Improving economy gave us more confidence to move up
14% 14% 13% 13% 0% 0% 0%
Income not keeping up with inflation 0% 0% 0% 0% 12% 11% 0%Dropping home prices allowed us to move up or buy
0% 0% 0% 0% 32% 12% 0%
Net Cash Loss To SellersPercent of All Homes
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35% 30%
Q. What was the net cash gain or net loss to the seller as a result of this sale? Source: C.A.R. 2010 Annual Housing Market Survey
Long Run Average = 10.5%
NEW LAW: California CCP § 580eNo deficiency judgment in a completed short sale!!
Type of Loan AfterShort Sale1
After Non-Judicial FC2 After Judicial FC2
1st Trust Deed YES YES YES (if purchase money & owner occupied)
2nd Trust Deed(or 3rd, 4th, etc)
YES NO YES (if purchase money & owner occupied)
Purchase money YES YES, from foreclosing 1st only (not wiped out 2nds, etc)
YES (if owner occupied)
Non-purchase money YES YES, from foreclosing 1st only (not wiped out 2nds, etc)
NO
Owner-occupied YES YES, from foreclosing 1st only (not wiped out 2nds, etc)
YES (if purchase money)
Non-owner occupied YES NO NO
Short Sale v. Foreclosure:When is a 1-to-4 unit homeowner generally protected against deficiency?
1 CA Code of Civil Procedure Section 580e2 CA Code of Civil Procedure Section 726, 580(b) & 580(d)
NEW LAW: California CCP § 580e(b)No more seller contributions allowed?
“A holder of a note [bank] shall not require the trustor, mortgagor, or maker of the note [seller] to pay any additional compensation, aside from the proceeds of the sale, in exchange for the written consent to the sale.”
Source: ftp://www.leginfo.ca.gov/pub/11-12/bill/sen/sb_0451-0500/sb_458_bill_20110715_chaptered.pdf
You Need To Know What The ‘Big 3’ Are Doing
$0
$500,000,000,000
$1,000,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000,000
$2,000,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000,000Residential Servicers Ranked by Total Volume
62% of all short sales will be with one of the ‘Big 3’
Source: MortgageStats.com
You Need To Know What The ‘Big 3’ Are Doing
• Bank of Americawww.bankofamerica.com/realestateagent
• ChaseHas a local “Homeownership Center” location in Sacramento www.chase.com/chf/mortgage/keeping-your-home
• Wells Fargowww.wellsfargo.com/homeassist