sharif ahmed mukul nirmol kumar halder supervisor: dr ...in past two decades alone, land use and...

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Sharif Ahmed Mukul & Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr. Hubertus Pohris Professorship of Tropical Forestry Institute of International Forestry and Forest Products Dresden University of Technology 01735 Tharandt, Germanv

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Page 1: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Sharif Ahmed Mukul & Nirmol Kumar Halder

Supervisor: Dr. Hubertus Pohris

Professorship of Tropical Forestry

Institute of International Forestry and Forest Products

Dresden University of Technology

01735 Tharandt, Germanv

Page 2: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Climate change (CC)

~ impacts

~ adaptation and mitigation strategies

Agroforestry as a sustainable land-use strategy

~ multi-functionality in agroforestry systems

Climate change and agroforestry research in context

~ cc mitigation through agroforestry

~ cc adaptation potentials of agroforestry systems

Empirical evidences

Future research directions

New policy arena

Way forward

Page 3: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC yr-1 during the 1980s, and 1.6±0.8 GtC yr-1 during the 1990’s.

IPCC (2001) identifies three strategies by which biological approaches can be used to curb the increase of atmospheric CO2;

conservation: conserving an existing carbon pool, thereby preventing emissions to the atmosphere;

sequestration: increasing the size of existing carbon pools, thereby removing CO2 from the atmosphere;

substitution: substituting biological products for fossil fuels or energy intensive products, thereby reducing non-renewable CO2 emissions.

Page 4: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

There are two basic approaches to reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere:

(1) reduction at source

(2) capture (sequestration) and storage.

In addition, we will require adaptation of plants, animals and human life styles to the expected changes.

Page 5: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 6: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 7: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 8: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 9: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

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1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

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Sub-saharan Africa

North America

Central and South America

Middle East and North Africa

Oceania

South and southeast Asia

Former Soviet Union

Europe

China

Page 10: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 11: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 12: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Definition:

Integration of woody perennials, agricultural crops, and livestock's in same unit of land, arranged spatially and temporally!

Area currently under agroforestry systems worldwide 400 million hectares, with an estimated carbon gain of 0.72 Mg C ha/yr., with potential of sequestrating 26 Tg C/yr. by 2010 and 45 Tg C /yr. by

2040!

630 million ha land unproductive cropland that could potentially be converted to agroforestry worldwide, with the potential to

sequester 391 Tg C /yr. by 2010 and 586 Tg C / yr. by 2040!

[1 Tg = 1 million tonnes; Source: IPCC, 2000]

Page 13: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 14: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

after

Sharma et al. (2007)

Page 15: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Climate change ~ 51, 920

Climate change* Impacts ~ 10, 401

Climate change* adaptation ~ 2, 475

Climate change* mitigation ~ 1, 601

Agroforestry ~ 3, 029

Climate change* agroforestry ~ 91 !!!

Climate change adaptation* agroforestry ~ 5

Climate change mitigation* agroforestry ~ 23

** accessed on: June 8, 2010

Page 16: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 17: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 18: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 19: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 20: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 21: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 22: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 23: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 24: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• agroforestry land-use as erosion control andwatershed service;

• World Agroforestry Centre in western Kenya,tested the potential of Improved Fallow Systemsfor controlling soil erosion, using fast-growingshrubs such as Crotalaria spp. and Tephrosiaspp (Boye and Albrecht 2005);

Page 25: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• rainfall is a major constraint in some parts ofsemi-arid regions of south-east Asia;

• sometimes also play a major role in environmentaldegradation;

• evident suggests that agroforestry couldpotentially play an important role in helpingsmall-holder farmers to cope with environmentaladversity and thus to adapt with the situation(IPCC, 2000);

Page 26: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• significant improvement in soil water storage has been observedin the improved fallow systems (Orindi , 2002);

• Optimize use of increasingly scarce rainwater through agroforestrypractices like- improved fallow could be one way of effectivelyimproving the capacity of farmers to adapt to drier and more variableconditions.

Change in soil water stocks (0–60 cm depth) in a western Kenyan soil under continuous maize, natural fallow and improved fallow systems using either Tephrosia candida, Crotalaria grahamiana or Crotalaria paulina

Page 27: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

In Africa, model suggested that it would be possible to produce an acceptable amount of food in low rainfall years if practices such as

improved fallows were pursued. As expected, maize production was higher after improved fallow than in a continuous cropping system in

good rainfall years (typically 962–1, 017 mm rain);

Grain yield (kg ha–1) and rainfall use efficiency (RUE, kg mm–1) of maize in continuous maize and improved fallow (IF; Sesbania sesban) systems across five seasons in

Makoka, Zambia

Page 28: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• improved micro-climate and reduced evapo-transpiration;

• study on Faidherbia albida–millet parkland system in Nigerdemonstrated that shade-induced reduction of soiltemperatures, particularly at the time of crop establishment, iscritical for good millet growth (Vandenbeldt and Williams1992).

F. albida (the tree sheds its leaves during the rainyseason)significantly contributes to maintaining crop yieldthrough biological nitrogen fixation and provision of afavorable microclimate while minimizing tree–cropcompetition.

Page 29: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• though not sufficiently tested, the studies showed that AFenhancing plant biodiversity and mixing tree andherbaceous species in agricultural landscapes can producepositive interactions that could contribute towardscontrolling pest and disease outbreaks (Altieri andLetourneau 1982);

• The potential of agroforestry to control both ordinaryweeds and parasitic weeds such as Striga hermonthica hasalso been demonstrated (Rao and Gacheru 1998).

Page 30: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• presence of trees in agricultural croplands can providefarmers with alternative or additional sources of income;

• strengthen the socio-economic resilience of ruralpopulations;

• tree products (includes- timber, fodder, resins and fruits)are normally of higher value than maize or hard grains suchas millet and sorghum, and can buffer against income risksin cases of crop failure.

Page 31: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• in semi-arid zone of Kenya, the parkland system is showingsimilar success;

• fast-growing indigenous species Melia volkensii forexample is highly compatible with crops and can providehigh-value timber in 5–10 years (Stewart and Blomley1994);

• In very drought environment, where crops normally failevery other year, good and secure financial returns from M.volkensii even in drought years can provide significantrelief for farmers.

Page 32: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

The case studiesMukul, S.A. (2009)

Page 33: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC
Page 34: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Betel-vine (Piper betel) based agroforestry;

~ by Khasia ethnic community;

~ used forest tree as support;

~ perennial system;

~ moderate thinning and pruning;

Page 35: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Lemon (Citrus limon) based agroforestry;

~ by Tripura ethnic community;

~ abundance of several fruit trees (e.g. jackfruit; banana);

~ perennial;

~ heavy use of agro-chemicals;

Page 36: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Pineapple (Ananuscomosus) based agroforestry;

~ by Tripura ethnic community;

~ practiced in steep slope;

~ low canopy coverage;

~ use of agro-chemicals;

Page 37: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Short-term shifting cultivation;

~ by Garo ethnic community;

~ irregular, after clear felling of a stand;

~ short-term, annual system;

~ controlled burning;

Page 38: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Biomass and carbon allocation in different

agroforestry systems

Page 39: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• The invasion of grasslands by shrubs increased C invegetation although to a much lower extent than expected;

• on the other hand, soil C increased only on the drier sitesand actually decreased in the wetter sites. As a result, thenet C balance was marginally positive for the dry sites butnegative for the wetter sites.

• C assessment may have led to an overestimation of C sinksin many areas of the globe.

Page 40: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

• Cultivating trees or crops in substandard soils still remains achallenge to growers and agriculturists;

• on infertile soils (for example acid soils) or in semi-arid areas,trees usually perform poorly, making such environments littlesuitable for agroforestry (Akyeampong, 1999);

• consequently if biomass production is not adequate, positivechanges in soil properties are unlikely to occur in agroforestrysystems;

• trade-offs between C sequestration and the emission of otherGHGs such as N2O and CH4 to the atmosphere which areresponsible by the legume species used in AF.

Page 41: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

The analysis of C stocks from various parts of the world showed thatsignificant quantities of C (1.1–2.2 Pg) could be removed from theatmosphere over the next 50 years if agroforestry systems areimplemented on a global scale. But further research should be directedto;

estimating above and below-ground C stocks; other C stocks often in deep soil C (especially when trees are

involved) and C in durable wood products; a profound model for future climate and land-use changes and

their implications for CO2 mitigation through agroforestrysystems;

adequate understanding on issues such as pests and diseasesand the emission of other GHGs, especially N2O and CH4 inagroforestry systems;

more powerful methods to implement cost/benefit analyses ofagroforestry-based GHG mitigation.

Page 42: Sharif Ahmed Mukul Nirmol Kumar Halder Supervisor: Dr ...In past two decades alone, land use and land-use change activities are estimated to have led to net emissions of 1.7±0.8 GtC

Agroforestry ~ human made/shaped forest !

Carbon financing under Payment for environmental service scheme (PES);

e.g. Costa Rica with funding from GEF, PES schemes has been used to reforest, and agroforestry systems where

payments calculated based on the number of individual trees present in the farm!

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Increasing recognition and payment schemes;

Inventory and finding site specific agroforestry systems for a win-win situation!

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Albrecht, A. & Kandji, S.T. 2003. Carbon sequestration in tropical agroforestry systems. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 99: 15-27.

Freer-Smith et al. eds. 2007. Forestry and climate change. Oxfordshire: CABI International.

Montagnini, F. & Nair, P.K.R. 2004. Carbon sequestration: an underexploited environmental benefits of agroforestry systems. Agroforestry Systems, 61: 281-295.

Mukul, S.A. 2009. Ecological trade-offs between agroforestry land-use, biodiversity and management intensification, Case study from in and around Lawachara National Park, Moulvibazar, Bangladesh . M.Sc. Thesis. Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh. xi + 115 pp

Kandji, S.T. & Verchot, L.V. 2006. Opportunities for linking climate change adaptation and mitigation through agroforestry systems. In: Garrity, D., A. Okono, M. Grayson & S. Parrott, eds. 2006. World Agroforestry into the Future. Nairobi: World Agroforesty Centre.

Verchot et al. 2007. Climate change: linking adaptation and mitigation through agroforestry. Mitig. Adap. Strat. Glob. Change, 12: 901-918.

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