severe weather bulletin #19 for: typhoon # ...2020/11/19  · occidental mindoro, and palawan...

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SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #19 FOR: TYPHOON "#QuintaPH" (MOLAVE) TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING ISSUED AT 11:00 PM, 26 October 2020 (Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow) TYPHOON "QUINTA" FURTHER INTENSIFIES AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COUNTRY. Track and intensity outlook: "QUINTA" is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning. The typhoon is expected to further intensify over the West Philippine Sea and reach its peak intensity within 24 hours. Hazards affecting land areas: • Rainfall: Tonight through tomorrow, “QUINTA” will bring moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Western Visayas, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo, and Kalayaan Islands, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, and Cagayan and light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, and the rest of Luzon and Visayas. Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate. • Strong winds: Strong breeze to near gale conditions will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1. Potential impacts of these wind conditions to structures and vegetation are detailed in the TCWS section of this bulletin. In other areas, strong breeze to gale conditions associated with the northeasterlies will prevail in Batanes, northern Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte, while occasional gusts associated with the outer circulation of “QUINTA” will still be experienced over MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and the western section of Luzon. • Coastal surf: Heavy swells of 2.0 to 4.0 m can cause significant breaking waves that may bring potentially hazardous surf conditions over the western coastal areas of Pangasinan, Central Luzon, Occidental Mindoro, and Palawan including Calamian Islands. Hazards affecting coastal waters: • Today, rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 6.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of Northern Luzon, Central Luzon and Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo and Kalayaan Islands and the western seaboards of Western Visayas, Batangas and Occidental Mindoro. Sea travel is risky over these waters especially for mariners of small seacrafts. • Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon and the western seaboards of Zamboanga Peninsula and Sulu Archipelago. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions. Other tropical systems being monitored: At 10:00 PM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) outside the PAR was estimated based on all available data at 1,900 km East of Southern Luzon (14.3°N, 141.8°E). This weather disturbance is likely to enter the PAR on Wednesday or Thursday. However, it remains less likely to develop into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. Location of eye/center At 10:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon "QUINTA" was located based on all available data at 420 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro (13.3°N, 117.3°E). Strength Maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 170 km/h. Movement Moving Westward at 25 km/h. Forecast Positions

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Page 1: SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #19 FOR: TYPHOON # ...2020/11/19  · Occidental Mindoro, and Palawan including Calamian Islands. Hazards affecting coastal waters: • Today, rough to very

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #19

FOR: TYPHOON "#QuintaPH" (MOLAVE)

TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING

ISSUED AT 11:00 PM, 26 October 2020

(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow)

TYPHOON "QUINTA" FURTHER INTENSIFIES AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM

THE COUNTRY.

Track and intensity outlook:

"QUINTA" is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning. The typhoon

is expected to further intensify over the West Philippine Sea and reach its peak intensity within 24

hours.

Hazards affecting land areas:

• Rainfall: Tonight through tomorrow, “QUINTA” will bring moderate to heavy with at times intense

rains over Western Visayas, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Palawan including Calamian,

Cuyo, and Kalayaan Islands, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, and Cagayan and light to moderate with at

times heavy rains over Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, and the rest

of Luzon and Visayas. Flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides may occur

during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to

these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall

advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate.

• Strong winds: Strong breeze to near gale conditions will be experienced in areas under Tropical

Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1. Potential impacts of these wind conditions to structures and

vegetation are detailed in the TCWS section of this bulletin. In other areas, strong breeze to gale

conditions associated with the northeasterlies will prevail in Batanes, northern Cagayan including

Babuyan Islands, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte, while occasional gusts associated with the outer

circulation of “QUINTA” will still be experienced over MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and the

western section of Luzon.

• Coastal surf: Heavy swells of 2.0 to 4.0 m can cause significant breaking waves that may bring

potentially hazardous surf conditions over the western coastal areas of Pangasinan, Central Luzon,

Occidental Mindoro, and Palawan including Calamian Islands.

Hazards affecting coastal waters:

• Today, rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 6.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of Northern

Luzon, Central Luzon and Palawan including Calamian, Cuyo and Kalayaan Islands and the western

seaboards of Western Visayas, Batangas and Occidental Mindoro. Sea travel is risky over these

waters especially for mariners of small seacrafts.

• Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the eastern seaboard of Southern

Luzon and the western seaboards of Zamboanga Peninsula and Sulu Archipelago. Mariners of small

seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced

mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.

Other tropical systems being monitored:

At 10:00 PM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) outside the PAR was estimated based on all

available data at 1,900 km East of Southern Luzon (14.3°N, 141.8°E). This weather disturbance is

likely to enter the PAR on Wednesday or Thursday. However, it remains less likely to develop into a

tropical depression in the next 48 hours.

Location of eye/center At 10:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon "QUINTA" was located based on all

available data at 420 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro (13.3°N, 117.3°E).

Strength Maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 170 km/h.

Movement Moving Westward at 25 km/h.

Forecast Positions

Page 2: SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #19 FOR: TYPHOON # ...2020/11/19  · Occidental Mindoro, and Palawan including Calamian Islands. Hazards affecting coastal waters: • Today, rough to very

• 24 Hour (Tomorrow evening): 430 km North Northwest of Kalayaan, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)

(14.3°N, 112.0°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

TCWS #1

(30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)

Lubang Island, Calamian Islands, and Kalayaan Islands

• Very light or no damage to low risk structures,

• Light damage to medium to high risk structures

• Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed

communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged

• Twigs of small trees may be broken.

• Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.

TCWS #1 in other areas is hereby lifted.

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take

appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.

Page 3: SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #19 FOR: TYPHOON # ...2020/11/19  · Occidental Mindoro, and Palawan including Calamian Islands. Hazards affecting coastal waters: • Today, rough to very