session 6. 21-mar-14 sut-tamu subsea overview

48
PAGE 1 © Endeavor Management 2014 An Overview of Subsea Systems Photo: Oceaneering SUT Subsea Awareness – Texas A&M University March 21, 2014 Presented by Bruce Crager

Upload: shavin-fernando

Post on 28-Apr-2017

220 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 1 © Endeavor Management 2014

An Overview of Subsea Systems

Photo: Oceaneering

SUT Subsea Awareness – Texas A&M University

March 21, 2014

Presented by Bruce Crager

Page 2: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 2 © Endeavor Management 2014

SUBSEA IS A GROWTH INDUSTRY

• Over the long term, growing hydrocarbon demand coupled with the

depletion of existing onshore and shallow offshore fields will require

further drilling in deeper water and more remote regions

– While discoveries have increased over the past decade, they

continue to fall well short of production by a considerable degree. • According to IEA, 12 billion barrels were discovered in 2011 equating to

only 40% of the oil produced during 2011

– Oil companies are looking for the most impactful projects to add

reserves which are largely located offshore in deeper waters • Deepwater is the primary value creator for the oil & gas industry

• Most analysts expect robust deepwater/subsea activity as long as

Brent pricing remains above $85/bbl

– Brent oil price has averaged $110 over the last 12 months

Page 3: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 3 © Endeavor Management 2014

Leading Indicators for Deepwater Business

• Floating Rig Construction – Record floater orders in 2011/2012 support strong growth through 2015

– Backlog at record levels; dayrates near record levels

• Subsea Equipment Projections – Subsea Tree Awards – strong growth projected through 2016

– SURF activity – strong projected growth to mirror tree awards

– Subsea processing is becoming an accepted technology

• Projected Capex – Quest projects double digit annual increases in Subsea Capex spending during

2013 through 2017

• Emerging Subsea Technology is Supportive to Deepwater Business – For aging fields, moving activities to the seafloor can lead to substantial cost

savings, while many marginal greenfield projects can become economic with the aid of subsea processing

Page 4: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 4 © Endeavor Management 2014

Continued Growth in

Deepwater Oil Supply

• Due to the value creation opportunities in the deepwater, expect an

increasing share of global production to come from the deepwater, from

roughly 7% currently to around 12% BY 2030

Source: Wood Mackenzie

%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2010 2020 2030

% of oil supply from deepwater

Page 5: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 5 © Endeavor Management 2014

Deepwater Drilling Expanding Rapidly

• New deepwater basins are being identified at a rapid pace

– Expansion is enabled by the significant additions to the floating rig fleet over the next several years

Source: Wood Mackenzie

New Deepwater Basins : 2012

Deepwater Basins : 2008

Page 6: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 6 © Endeavor Management 2014

Global FPS Hull Awards by Type

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 7: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 7 © Endeavor Management 2014

Marlim Field Layout in Brazil

Source: FMC Technologies

Page 8: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 8 © Endeavor Management 2014

Intelligent Completions and Subsea Processing

Would Allow Oil Companies to Optimize the Entire

Subsea Production System

Source: Schlumberger

Page 9: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 9 © Endeavor Management 2014

Global Subsea CAPEX Forecast spending 2013 – 2018e $72.2bn

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 10: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 10 © Endeavor Management 2014

Global Subsea Tree Awards Momentum Builds

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 11: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 11 © Endeavor Management 2014

Global Subsea Trees on Stream

by Decade With Average Water Depth

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 12: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 12 © Endeavor Management 2014

Significant Increase in Umbilical Activity

• Umbilical activity is projected to trend higher over the next 4 years, consistent with the upward trend predicted in subsea trees

• 2013 demand will be driven by South America, Africa and Australia

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

# S

ub

sea

Tre

e A

war

ds

(Me

an C

ase

)

KM

Award Yr

Global (Steel Awarded) Global (Steel Unawarded - Mean Case)

Global (Thermoplastic Awarded) Global (Thermoplastic Unawarded - Mean Case)

Global SS Trees (Mean Case)Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 13: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 13 © Endeavor Management 2014

Worldwide Pipeline Demand 2007 – 2018

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 14: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 14 © Endeavor Management 2014

SURF CAPEX – Installation 2008 - 2015

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Page 15: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 15 © Endeavor Management 2014

Pipeline & Umbilical Installation Methods S-Lay Pipeline Installation

• During S-lay pipeline installation, pipe is eased off the stern of the vessel as the boat moves forward. The pipe is eased off the stern of the vessel as the boat moves forward. The pipe curves downward from the stern through the water until it reaches its final destination on the seafloor. As more pipe is welded in the line and eased off the boat, the pipe forms the shape of an “S” in the water.

Source: Quest Offshore Resources Definition Source: Rigzone

Page 16: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 16 © Endeavor Management 2014

Pipeline Installation Methods J-Lay Pipeline Installation

• J-lay pipeline installation puts less stress on the pipeline by inserting the pipeline in an almost vertical position. Pipe is lifted via a tall tower on the boat, and inserted into the sea. The pipe only curves once in J-lay installation, taking on the shape of a “J” under the water. The reduced stress on the pipe allows J-lay to work in deeper water depths.

Source: Quest Offshore Resources

Definition Source: Rigzone

Page 17: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 17 © Endeavor Management 2014

Pipeline & Umbilical Installation Methods

• Reel barges contain a vertical or horizontal reel that the pipe is wrapped around. Reel barges are able to install both smaller diameter pipe and flexible pipe. Horizontal reel barges perform S-lay installation, while vertical reel barges can perform both S-lay and J-lay pipeline installation. Reel pipe is lifted from the dock to the vessel, and the pipe is simply rolled out as installation is performed.

Source: Quest Offshore Resources Definition Source: Rigzone

Reel Lay Pipeline Installation

Page 18: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 18 © Endeavor Management 2014

Pipeline Installation Methods

• Tow-in installation is when the pipe is suspended in

the water via bouyancy modules, and one or two tug

boats tow the pipe into place. Once on location, the

bouyancy modules are removed or flooded with

water, and the pipe floats to the seafloor.

Source: Quest Offshore Resources Definition Source: Rigzone

Tow-in Pipeline Installation

Page 19: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 19 © Endeavor Management 2014

Market Summary: Subsea spending is growing

• Oil and gas recovery has over the last century gradually spread from land via coastal areas to deep sea.

• The continuous technology development has made it cost efficient to recover all from deeper reserves, in deeper waters and further from shore.

• Investment in subsea installations is in many cases lower than a platform solution, and this is the reason why subsea solutions are expected to see a rapid growth in the coming years.

• There is extensive offshore activity on all continents.

– Main established geo markets are the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, Brazil, West Africa and South East Asia.

– Other market include East Mediterranean, Canada, Sakhalin area, Indian subcontinent and the Arabian Gulf.

Page 20: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 20 © Endeavor Management 2014

Overview of Subsea Processing

Source: FMC Technologies

Page 21: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 21 © Endeavor Management 2014

Types of Subsea Processing

• Subsea Boosting (including pumping)

• Subsea Raw Water Injection

• Subsea Separation and Processing

– Includes HIPPS (High Integrity Pressure

Protection Systems)

• Subsea Gas Compression

Page 22: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 22 © Endeavor Management 2014

Benefits of Subsea Processing

• Increase a well’s recovery rate to enhance

project economics (greenfield and brownfield)

• Moves “boosting and processing” to the seafloor

from the surface (platform or floating production

system topside)

• Reduce topside weight

• Can allow production from subsea to shore

Page 23: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 23 © Endeavor Management 2014

Slow Acceptance of Subsea Processing

• Oil and gas industry typically requires 30 years

for new concept to reach 50% market penetration

• Much of the worlds’ offshore production is still

produced to fixed platforms in less than 1,000 ft

of water

• Oil company and service company R&D

programs have been reduced over the years

(mergers as well as market downturns)

Page 24: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 24 © Endeavor Management 2014

Most Likely Subsea Processing Opportunities

• Deepwater - Generally in excess of 2000 ft

• Large Subsea Developments - Usually producing to

a floating production system

• Major Oil Companies who have already tried

subsea processing

• Geographic areas having the above criteria

–Expected to be Brazil, GoM, W. Africa and North

Sea

Page 25: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 25 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Processing Market Has Been Largely

Dominated by Brazil, West Africa, and

Norway

Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research

Page 26: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 26 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Processing Around the World:

Projects That Have Been Awarded

or Highly Talked About

Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research; in this chart pilots refer to a number

of first technology installation installed on a relatively small scale

Page 27: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 27 © Endeavor Management 2014

Drivers for Subsea Boosting Technology

• Reservoir Advantages

– Increase ultimate recovery by lowering abandonment pressure

–Enable oil recovery from low pressure reservoirs

–Enable oil recovery for low quality fluids

–Enable oil recovery where otherwise not possible

– Increase drainage area per well Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 28: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 28 © Endeavor Management 2014

Drivers for Subsea Boosting Technology

• Production Advantages

– Increase production rate by reducing the flowing

wellhead pressure

– Dampen slug flows to host topsides and possibly

reduce process upsets

– Reduce OPEX by reducing recovery time (shorten

life of the field)

– Offset high friction pressure losses in flowline due

to fluid viscosity

– Offset elevation high pressure loss

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 29: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 29 © Endeavor Management 2014

Drivers for Subsea Boosting Technology

• Facilities Advantages

–Extend subsea tieback distance range for a

field

–Reduce CAPEX on topsides equipment and

pipelines

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 30: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 30 © Endeavor Management 2014

Green Field Subsea Boosting

LOF Boosting - Unconstrained

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Illustration is Courtesy of BHP Billiton

Page 31: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 31 © Endeavor Management 2014

Brown Field Subsea Boosting

LOF Boosting -Constrained

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Illustration is Courtesy of BHP Billiton

Page 32: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 32 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Boosting Projects To Date

Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research: note, some projects shared by two

manufacturers, in which case each was attributed half a project

Page 33: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 33 © Endeavor Management 2014

Drivers for Subsea Water Injection

• Eliminate topsides water injection handling

equipment

• Eliminate water injection flowlines

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 34: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 34 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Seawater Injection and Treatment

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 35: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 35 © Endeavor Management 2014

Drivers for Subsea Separation

• Minimize topsides water handling

• Hydrate control by removing fluids from gas stream

• Increase hydrocarbon production volume

• Decrease total boost system power requirements

• Accelerate and/or increase recovery

• Improve flow management and flow assurance

• Reduce CAPEX on topsides processing equipment and flowlines

• Reduce chemical treatment costs

• Improve economics of the field with low GOR, high viscosity and low permeability

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 36: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 36 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Separation Projects Have Been

Awarded at a Pace of About 1 Per Year

Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research: note, some projects shared by two

manufacturers, in which case each was attributed half a project

Page 37: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 37 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Separation Types

Gravity Separation Systems

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 38: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 38 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Separation Systems Market Share

of Eight Installed/Qualified Systems

Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.

Subsea Separation System photo source: FMC Technologies.

Page 39: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 39 © Endeavor Management 2014

Drivers for Subsea Compression Technology

• Increase subsea tieback range for a field

• Improve flow assurance issues

• Eliminate the need for a fixed or floating offshore

platform

• Enabler - without the technology the field could not be

economically and/or technically developed --(i.e. gas

subsea tieback – under the ice in the arctic regions) Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 40: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 40 © Endeavor Management 2014

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Subsea Gas Compression Worldwide Survey – Subsea Processing

Page 41: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 41 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Compression Projects Have Longer Step-Out

Distances and Benefit When Reservoir Pressure

Becomes Too Low to Carry the Gas Across

Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research

Page 42: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 42 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Power and Transmission Technology

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Subsea HV Multi Circuit Breaker 60 MVA Subsea Transformer

Page 43: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 43 © Endeavor Management 2014

Market Potential for Subsea Processing

(Based on award dates)

• Current estimates of $400 million in 2012

($200 million hardware and $200 million installation)

• Estimates of $2.6 billion in 2015

($11.3 billion each)

• Estimates of $8.1 billion in 2020

($4.1 billion each)

Source: Morgan Stanley Research

Page 44: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 44 © Endeavor Management 2014

More Information Available

• Subsea Processing Poster :

– CLICK: Offshore Map Posters - Subsea Boosting 2013

– URL: http://www.offshore-mag.com/content/dam/offshore/maps-

posters/SubseaBoosting-022113.pdf

• Subsea Processing Videos :

– CLICK: The Best of Subsea Processing Videos on “You Tube”

– URL: http://www.offshore-mag.com/content/dam/offshore/print-

articles/Volume%2073/07/SS-PROCESSING-MAR-2013.pdf

Page 45: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 45 © Endeavor Management 2014

Other Information Resources

Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine

Page 46: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 46 © Endeavor Management 2014

Subsea Processing Conclusions

• Subsea processing has been very slow to be

accepted by industry, but is now a huge growth

market

• While there are a few key suppliers, these are

supported by a number of other high tech

companies

• A few key Customers will lead, but others will follow

as the industry accepts the technology

Page 47: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 47 © Endeavor Management 2014

Summary

• Subsea is a growing subset of the offshore oil and gas industry

and offers excellent career opportunities. These include:

– Field architecture planning and systems design

– Hardware design and manufacturing

– Installation activities, including vessel design and operation

– Project management and offshore project supervision

– Operators (oil and gas companies), especially those who are

continually pushing the envelope using subsea

• Subsea is still a relatively young industry and will be a significant

industry segment for the future, especially for deepwater.

• The demand for new personnel to enter the subsea industry is

excellent for the foreseeable future

Page 48: Session 6. 21-Mar-14 SUT-TAMU Subsea Overview

PAGE 48 © Endeavor Management 2014

[email protected]