session 6. 21-mar-14 sut-tamu subsea overview
TRANSCRIPT
PAGE 1 © Endeavor Management 2014
An Overview of Subsea Systems
Photo: Oceaneering
SUT Subsea Awareness – Texas A&M University
March 21, 2014
Presented by Bruce Crager
PAGE 2 © Endeavor Management 2014
SUBSEA IS A GROWTH INDUSTRY
• Over the long term, growing hydrocarbon demand coupled with the
depletion of existing onshore and shallow offshore fields will require
further drilling in deeper water and more remote regions
– While discoveries have increased over the past decade, they
continue to fall well short of production by a considerable degree. • According to IEA, 12 billion barrels were discovered in 2011 equating to
only 40% of the oil produced during 2011
– Oil companies are looking for the most impactful projects to add
reserves which are largely located offshore in deeper waters • Deepwater is the primary value creator for the oil & gas industry
• Most analysts expect robust deepwater/subsea activity as long as
Brent pricing remains above $85/bbl
– Brent oil price has averaged $110 over the last 12 months
PAGE 3 © Endeavor Management 2014
Leading Indicators for Deepwater Business
• Floating Rig Construction – Record floater orders in 2011/2012 support strong growth through 2015
– Backlog at record levels; dayrates near record levels
• Subsea Equipment Projections – Subsea Tree Awards – strong growth projected through 2016
– SURF activity – strong projected growth to mirror tree awards
– Subsea processing is becoming an accepted technology
• Projected Capex – Quest projects double digit annual increases in Subsea Capex spending during
2013 through 2017
• Emerging Subsea Technology is Supportive to Deepwater Business – For aging fields, moving activities to the seafloor can lead to substantial cost
savings, while many marginal greenfield projects can become economic with the aid of subsea processing
PAGE 4 © Endeavor Management 2014
Continued Growth in
Deepwater Oil Supply
• Due to the value creation opportunities in the deepwater, expect an
increasing share of global production to come from the deepwater, from
roughly 7% currently to around 12% BY 2030
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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% of oil supply from deepwater
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Deepwater Drilling Expanding Rapidly
• New deepwater basins are being identified at a rapid pace
– Expansion is enabled by the significant additions to the floating rig fleet over the next several years
Source: Wood Mackenzie
New Deepwater Basins : 2012
Deepwater Basins : 2008
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Global FPS Hull Awards by Type
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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Marlim Field Layout in Brazil
Source: FMC Technologies
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Intelligent Completions and Subsea Processing
Would Allow Oil Companies to Optimize the Entire
Subsea Production System
Source: Schlumberger
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Global Subsea CAPEX Forecast spending 2013 – 2018e $72.2bn
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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Global Subsea Tree Awards Momentum Builds
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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Global Subsea Trees on Stream
by Decade With Average Water Depth
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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Significant Increase in Umbilical Activity
• Umbilical activity is projected to trend higher over the next 4 years, consistent with the upward trend predicted in subsea trees
• 2013 demand will be driven by South America, Africa and Australia
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# S
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Global (Steel Awarded) Global (Steel Unawarded - Mean Case)
Global (Thermoplastic Awarded) Global (Thermoplastic Unawarded - Mean Case)
Global SS Trees (Mean Case)Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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Worldwide Pipeline Demand 2007 – 2018
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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SURF CAPEX – Installation 2008 - 2015
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
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Pipeline & Umbilical Installation Methods S-Lay Pipeline Installation
• During S-lay pipeline installation, pipe is eased off the stern of the vessel as the boat moves forward. The pipe is eased off the stern of the vessel as the boat moves forward. The pipe curves downward from the stern through the water until it reaches its final destination on the seafloor. As more pipe is welded in the line and eased off the boat, the pipe forms the shape of an “S” in the water.
Source: Quest Offshore Resources Definition Source: Rigzone
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Pipeline Installation Methods J-Lay Pipeline Installation
• J-lay pipeline installation puts less stress on the pipeline by inserting the pipeline in an almost vertical position. Pipe is lifted via a tall tower on the boat, and inserted into the sea. The pipe only curves once in J-lay installation, taking on the shape of a “J” under the water. The reduced stress on the pipe allows J-lay to work in deeper water depths.
Source: Quest Offshore Resources
Definition Source: Rigzone
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Pipeline & Umbilical Installation Methods
• Reel barges contain a vertical or horizontal reel that the pipe is wrapped around. Reel barges are able to install both smaller diameter pipe and flexible pipe. Horizontal reel barges perform S-lay installation, while vertical reel barges can perform both S-lay and J-lay pipeline installation. Reel pipe is lifted from the dock to the vessel, and the pipe is simply rolled out as installation is performed.
Source: Quest Offshore Resources Definition Source: Rigzone
Reel Lay Pipeline Installation
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Pipeline Installation Methods
• Tow-in installation is when the pipe is suspended in
the water via bouyancy modules, and one or two tug
boats tow the pipe into place. Once on location, the
bouyancy modules are removed or flooded with
water, and the pipe floats to the seafloor.
Source: Quest Offshore Resources Definition Source: Rigzone
Tow-in Pipeline Installation
PAGE 19 © Endeavor Management 2014
Market Summary: Subsea spending is growing
• Oil and gas recovery has over the last century gradually spread from land via coastal areas to deep sea.
• The continuous technology development has made it cost efficient to recover all from deeper reserves, in deeper waters and further from shore.
• Investment in subsea installations is in many cases lower than a platform solution, and this is the reason why subsea solutions are expected to see a rapid growth in the coming years.
• There is extensive offshore activity on all continents.
– Main established geo markets are the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, Brazil, West Africa and South East Asia.
– Other market include East Mediterranean, Canada, Sakhalin area, Indian subcontinent and the Arabian Gulf.
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Overview of Subsea Processing
Source: FMC Technologies
PAGE 21 © Endeavor Management 2014
Types of Subsea Processing
• Subsea Boosting (including pumping)
• Subsea Raw Water Injection
• Subsea Separation and Processing
– Includes HIPPS (High Integrity Pressure
Protection Systems)
• Subsea Gas Compression
PAGE 22 © Endeavor Management 2014
Benefits of Subsea Processing
• Increase a well’s recovery rate to enhance
project economics (greenfield and brownfield)
• Moves “boosting and processing” to the seafloor
from the surface (platform or floating production
system topside)
• Reduce topside weight
• Can allow production from subsea to shore
PAGE 23 © Endeavor Management 2014
Slow Acceptance of Subsea Processing
• Oil and gas industry typically requires 30 years
for new concept to reach 50% market penetration
• Much of the worlds’ offshore production is still
produced to fixed platforms in less than 1,000 ft
of water
• Oil company and service company R&D
programs have been reduced over the years
(mergers as well as market downturns)
PAGE 24 © Endeavor Management 2014
Most Likely Subsea Processing Opportunities
• Deepwater - Generally in excess of 2000 ft
• Large Subsea Developments - Usually producing to
a floating production system
• Major Oil Companies who have already tried
subsea processing
• Geographic areas having the above criteria
–Expected to be Brazil, GoM, W. Africa and North
Sea
PAGE 25 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Processing Market Has Been Largely
Dominated by Brazil, West Africa, and
Norway
Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research
PAGE 26 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Processing Around the World:
Projects That Have Been Awarded
or Highly Talked About
Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research; in this chart pilots refer to a number
of first technology installation installed on a relatively small scale
PAGE 27 © Endeavor Management 2014
Drivers for Subsea Boosting Technology
• Reservoir Advantages
– Increase ultimate recovery by lowering abandonment pressure
–Enable oil recovery from low pressure reservoirs
–Enable oil recovery for low quality fluids
–Enable oil recovery where otherwise not possible
– Increase drainage area per well Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 28 © Endeavor Management 2014
Drivers for Subsea Boosting Technology
• Production Advantages
– Increase production rate by reducing the flowing
wellhead pressure
– Dampen slug flows to host topsides and possibly
reduce process upsets
– Reduce OPEX by reducing recovery time (shorten
life of the field)
– Offset high friction pressure losses in flowline due
to fluid viscosity
– Offset elevation high pressure loss
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 29 © Endeavor Management 2014
Drivers for Subsea Boosting Technology
• Facilities Advantages
–Extend subsea tieback distance range for a
field
–Reduce CAPEX on topsides equipment and
pipelines
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 30 © Endeavor Management 2014
Green Field Subsea Boosting
LOF Boosting - Unconstrained
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
Illustration is Courtesy of BHP Billiton
PAGE 31 © Endeavor Management 2014
Brown Field Subsea Boosting
LOF Boosting -Constrained
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
Illustration is Courtesy of BHP Billiton
PAGE 32 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Boosting Projects To Date
Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research: note, some projects shared by two
manufacturers, in which case each was attributed half a project
PAGE 33 © Endeavor Management 2014
Drivers for Subsea Water Injection
• Eliminate topsides water injection handling
equipment
• Eliminate water injection flowlines
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 34 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Seawater Injection and Treatment
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 35 © Endeavor Management 2014
Drivers for Subsea Separation
• Minimize topsides water handling
• Hydrate control by removing fluids from gas stream
• Increase hydrocarbon production volume
• Decrease total boost system power requirements
• Accelerate and/or increase recovery
• Improve flow management and flow assurance
• Reduce CAPEX on topsides processing equipment and flowlines
• Reduce chemical treatment costs
• Improve economics of the field with low GOR, high viscosity and low permeability
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 36 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Separation Projects Have Been
Awarded at a Pace of About 1 Per Year
Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research: note, some projects shared by two
manufacturers, in which case each was attributed half a project
PAGE 37 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Separation Types
Gravity Separation Systems
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 38 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Separation Systems Market Share
of Eight Installed/Qualified Systems
Source: Quest Offshore Resources, Inc.
Subsea Separation System photo source: FMC Technologies.
PAGE 39 © Endeavor Management 2014
Drivers for Subsea Compression Technology
• Increase subsea tieback range for a field
• Improve flow assurance issues
• Eliminate the need for a fixed or floating offshore
platform
• Enabler - without the technology the field could not be
economically and/or technically developed --(i.e. gas
subsea tieback – under the ice in the arctic regions) Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 40 © Endeavor Management 2014
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
Subsea Gas Compression Worldwide Survey – Subsea Processing
PAGE 41 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Compression Projects Have Longer Step-Out
Distances and Benefit When Reservoir Pressure
Becomes Too Low to Carry the Gas Across
Source: INTERTECSEA , Morgan Stanley Research
PAGE 42 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Power and Transmission Technology
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
Subsea HV Multi Circuit Breaker 60 MVA Subsea Transformer
PAGE 43 © Endeavor Management 2014
Market Potential for Subsea Processing
(Based on award dates)
• Current estimates of $400 million in 2012
($200 million hardware and $200 million installation)
• Estimates of $2.6 billion in 2015
($11.3 billion each)
• Estimates of $8.1 billion in 2020
($4.1 billion each)
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
PAGE 44 © Endeavor Management 2014
More Information Available
• Subsea Processing Poster :
– CLICK: Offshore Map Posters - Subsea Boosting 2013
– URL: http://www.offshore-mag.com/content/dam/offshore/maps-
posters/SubseaBoosting-022113.pdf
• Subsea Processing Videos :
– CLICK: The Best of Subsea Processing Videos on “You Tube”
– URL: http://www.offshore-mag.com/content/dam/offshore/print-
articles/Volume%2073/07/SS-PROCESSING-MAR-2013.pdf
PAGE 45 © Endeavor Management 2014
Other Information Resources
Source: INTERTECSEA - Worley Parsons Group & Offshore Magazine
PAGE 46 © Endeavor Management 2014
Subsea Processing Conclusions
• Subsea processing has been very slow to be
accepted by industry, but is now a huge growth
market
• While there are a few key suppliers, these are
supported by a number of other high tech
companies
• A few key Customers will lead, but others will follow
as the industry accepts the technology
PAGE 47 © Endeavor Management 2014
Summary
• Subsea is a growing subset of the offshore oil and gas industry
and offers excellent career opportunities. These include:
– Field architecture planning and systems design
– Hardware design and manufacturing
– Installation activities, including vessel design and operation
– Project management and offshore project supervision
– Operators (oil and gas companies), especially those who are
continually pushing the envelope using subsea
• Subsea is still a relatively young industry and will be a significant
industry segment for the future, especially for deepwater.
• The demand for new personnel to enter the subsea industry is
excellent for the foreseeable future
PAGE 48 © Endeavor Management 2014