session 2-demand analysis
TRANSCRIPT
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Demand Analysis
Dr. Utpal ChattopadhyayAsst. Professor,NITIE, Mumbai
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Meaning of Demand
Desire to buy Willingness to pay
Ability to pay
Effective Demand has to fulfillthree basic characteristics
Demand for a commodity hasalways reference to:
A Price A Period of time
A Place
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Factors affectingDemand
Price of goods:o Own Price
o Prices of related productsPrices of substitute goodsPrices of complementary goods
Income of consumersConsumers tastes & preferences Future Expectationso Incomeo Price
No. of consumersDistribution of consumers
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Demand Function
A Typical demand function:
D x = f (P x ,P y , I, T,E,C,u)
Dx= Demand for good XPx= Price of good XPy= Price of other goodsI= IncomeT= Tastes & preferences
E= Future expectationsC= No. of consumers & their distributionu=residual factors
A simplified version:
D x = f (P x )
with ceteris paribus assumption
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Demand Curve
rice
Quantity
P1
P2
P3
Demand
Q1 Q3Q2
D
D
A Demand curve shows the amount of thecommodity buyers would like to purchase atdifferent prices . It depends on prices (ownas well as related commodities), income,tastes and no. of consumers.
D = F (P) with tastes, incomes, pricesof other goods and no. of consumers etc.held constant.
Law of Demand says More (less) willbought at lower (higher) price.
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Supply Curve
A Supply curve shows the amount of thecommodity sellers would like to offer atvarious prices . It depends on product price,input prices and technology.
S = F (P) with input prices andtechnology held constant.
Quantity
rice
Q1 Q2 Q3
3
2
1
S
S
Quantity suppliedincreases as theprice increases
Supply
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Equilibrium Price
Quantity
rice
S
S
D
D
Qe
e
Equilibrium price is that price where the quantitydemanded equals the quantity supplied (marketclearing price). In the short run market price may notequal equilibrium price. But in the long run marketprice approximates the equilibrium price
Equilibrium Price
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Market Mechanism
Quantity
rice
S
S
D
D
Qe
e
When market price (P m1 ) is above equilibrium price(P e ) there is Excess Supply (or Surplus). Producersreduce price. Quantity demanded increases andquantity supplied decreases. Market continues toadjust until P e is reached.
Excess Supply
Excess Demand
When P m2 < P e ,there is Excess
Demand (orshortages) in themarket. This putsupward pressureon price and itcontinues to risetill price reachesto P e .
m1
m2
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Stability of Equilibrium
Walarasian Vs. Marshallian Stability
Stability of a market based on price adjustment is called Walrasian Stability, while the one based
on quantity adjustment is called MarshallianStability
Quantity
rice
e
Qe
S
S
D
D
Q1
d
s
Market Equilibrium
At Q 1, demand price(P d) exceeds supplyprice (P s). Thus moreof the commodity willbe made available inthe market until Qreaches Q e . This is
Marshallian Stability .
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Change in Demand
Extension/contraction indemand (movement alonga demand curve)
caused by changes inown price
Increase/ decrease indemand (shift in demandcurve)
caused by changes inother determinants of demand
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Movement along aDemand Curve
Dx
Dx
1
D1
rice
Quantity
2
D2
3
D3
Income and Substitution Effects of a(own) price change
Impact of change in own priceon demand
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Shifts in Demand Curve
S
S
D1
D3
D2
D3
D2D1
Quantity
rice
2
1
3
Q3 Q2Q1
An rightward/upward (leftward/downward)shift in demand curve results in an increase(decrease) in equilibrium price.
Factors affecting shifts inDemand
Income
Price of related goods
Consumers tastes & preferences
Expectations
Others (bandwagon effect )
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Change in Income & Demand
For normal (superior) goods, if income increases demand alsoincreases
For inferior goods, demand fallswhen income increases (why?)
What is a Giffen good? An inferior good for which a rise in itsprice makes people buy even more of thatgood
This is because for such goods a strongincome effect outweighs the substitutioneffect of a price change
Law of Demand does not hold good incase of Giffen goods (Other exceptions tothe Law include: luxury/ status goods,expectations on future prices etc.)
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Engel Curve
Named after the 19 th century GermanStatistician Ernst EngelIt shows how the quantity demanded of a
good changes with change in consumers income levelIt states that the lower a familysincome, the greater is the proportion of itspent on foodThe conclusion was based on a budgetstudy of 153 Belgian familiesFor normal goods, the Engel curve has apositive slope. That is, as incomeincreases, the quantity demandedincreases. For inferior goods , the Engelcurve has a negative slope, meaning thatas a consumer earns more income,he/she will be able to buy better goodsand thus stop buying the inferior goods
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Change in Prices of Related Goods & Demand
For substitute goods, if price of one good (say X)increases demand for theother (say Y) also increases
In case of complementary goods, if price of one good(say A) increases demandfor the other (say B) falls
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Shifts in Supply
S1
S1
D1S3
S2
D1
Quantity
rice
3
12
Q3 Q2Q1S2
S3
An rightward (leftward) shift in supply curve results in an decrease (increase) inequilibrium price.
Factors affecting shifts insupply
Input Prices
Technology
Price of substitutes
Taxes
Market speculation
No. of firms
Others (e.g. weather for
agricultural products)
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Simultaneous Shifts in
Demand and Supply
D1
D1
S 1
S 1
Q1
1
Q2
D2
D2
S2
S 2
E1E2
Q1 Q1
A hypothetical case where bothdemand and supply shift rightward.