session 2-demand analysis

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  • 8/7/2019 Session 2-Demand Analysis

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    Demand Analysis

    Dr. Utpal ChattopadhyayAsst. Professor,NITIE, Mumbai

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    Meaning of Demand

    Desire to buy Willingness to pay

    Ability to pay

    Effective Demand has to fulfillthree basic characteristics

    Demand for a commodity hasalways reference to:

    A Price A Period of time

    A Place

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    Factors affectingDemand

    Price of goods:o Own Price

    o Prices of related productsPrices of substitute goodsPrices of complementary goods

    Income of consumersConsumers tastes & preferences Future Expectationso Incomeo Price

    No. of consumersDistribution of consumers

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    Demand Function

    A Typical demand function:

    D x = f (P x ,P y , I, T,E,C,u)

    Dx= Demand for good XPx= Price of good XPy= Price of other goodsI= IncomeT= Tastes & preferences

    E= Future expectationsC= No. of consumers & their distributionu=residual factors

    A simplified version:

    D x = f (P x )

    with ceteris paribus assumption

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    Demand Curve

    rice

    Quantity

    P1

    P2

    P3

    Demand

    Q1 Q3Q2

    D

    D

    A Demand curve shows the amount of thecommodity buyers would like to purchase atdifferent prices . It depends on prices (ownas well as related commodities), income,tastes and no. of consumers.

    D = F (P) with tastes, incomes, pricesof other goods and no. of consumers etc.held constant.

    Law of Demand says More (less) willbought at lower (higher) price.

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    Supply Curve

    A Supply curve shows the amount of thecommodity sellers would like to offer atvarious prices . It depends on product price,input prices and technology.

    S = F (P) with input prices andtechnology held constant.

    Quantity

    rice

    Q1 Q2 Q3

    3

    2

    1

    S

    S

    Quantity suppliedincreases as theprice increases

    Supply

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    Equilibrium Price

    Quantity

    rice

    S

    S

    D

    D

    Qe

    e

    Equilibrium price is that price where the quantitydemanded equals the quantity supplied (marketclearing price). In the short run market price may notequal equilibrium price. But in the long run marketprice approximates the equilibrium price

    Equilibrium Price

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    Market Mechanism

    Quantity

    rice

    S

    S

    D

    D

    Qe

    e

    When market price (P m1 ) is above equilibrium price(P e ) there is Excess Supply (or Surplus). Producersreduce price. Quantity demanded increases andquantity supplied decreases. Market continues toadjust until P e is reached.

    Excess Supply

    Excess Demand

    When P m2 < P e ,there is Excess

    Demand (orshortages) in themarket. This putsupward pressureon price and itcontinues to risetill price reachesto P e .

    m1

    m2

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    Stability of Equilibrium

    Walarasian Vs. Marshallian Stability

    Stability of a market based on price adjustment is called Walrasian Stability, while the one based

    on quantity adjustment is called MarshallianStability

    Quantity

    rice

    e

    Qe

    S

    S

    D

    D

    Q1

    d

    s

    Market Equilibrium

    At Q 1, demand price(P d) exceeds supplyprice (P s). Thus moreof the commodity willbe made available inthe market until Qreaches Q e . This is

    Marshallian Stability .

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    Change in Demand

    Extension/contraction indemand (movement alonga demand curve)

    caused by changes inown price

    Increase/ decrease indemand (shift in demandcurve)

    caused by changes inother determinants of demand

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    Movement along aDemand Curve

    Dx

    Dx

    1

    D1

    rice

    Quantity

    2

    D2

    3

    D3

    Income and Substitution Effects of a(own) price change

    Impact of change in own priceon demand

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    Shifts in Demand Curve

    S

    S

    D1

    D3

    D2

    D3

    D2D1

    Quantity

    rice

    2

    1

    3

    Q3 Q2Q1

    An rightward/upward (leftward/downward)shift in demand curve results in an increase(decrease) in equilibrium price.

    Factors affecting shifts inDemand

    Income

    Price of related goods

    Consumers tastes & preferences

    Expectations

    Others (bandwagon effect )

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    Change in Income & Demand

    For normal (superior) goods, if income increases demand alsoincreases

    For inferior goods, demand fallswhen income increases (why?)

    What is a Giffen good? An inferior good for which a rise in itsprice makes people buy even more of thatgood

    This is because for such goods a strongincome effect outweighs the substitutioneffect of a price change

    Law of Demand does not hold good incase of Giffen goods (Other exceptions tothe Law include: luxury/ status goods,expectations on future prices etc.)

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    Engel Curve

    Named after the 19 th century GermanStatistician Ernst EngelIt shows how the quantity demanded of a

    good changes with change in consumers income levelIt states that the lower a familysincome, the greater is the proportion of itspent on foodThe conclusion was based on a budgetstudy of 153 Belgian familiesFor normal goods, the Engel curve has apositive slope. That is, as incomeincreases, the quantity demandedincreases. For inferior goods , the Engelcurve has a negative slope, meaning thatas a consumer earns more income,he/she will be able to buy better goodsand thus stop buying the inferior goods

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    Change in Prices of Related Goods & Demand

    For substitute goods, if price of one good (say X)increases demand for theother (say Y) also increases

    In case of complementary goods, if price of one good(say A) increases demandfor the other (say B) falls

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    Shifts in Supply

    S1

    S1

    D1S3

    S2

    D1

    Quantity

    rice

    3

    12

    Q3 Q2Q1S2

    S3

    An rightward (leftward) shift in supply curve results in an decrease (increase) inequilibrium price.

    Factors affecting shifts insupply

    Input Prices

    Technology

    Price of substitutes

    Taxes

    Market speculation

    No. of firms

    Others (e.g. weather for

    agricultural products)

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    Simultaneous Shifts in

    Demand and Supply

    D1

    D1

    S 1

    S 1

    Q1

    1

    Q2

    D2

    D2

    S2

    S 2

    E1E2

    Q1 Q1

    A hypothetical case where bothdemand and supply shift rightward.