september 27 – october 7, 2010 december 3... · 2019-12-13 · georgian national survey....

Georgian National Survey

International Republican Institute,

Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization

The Institute of Polling And Marketing

with funding from the

United States Agency for International Development

September 27 – October 7, 2010

INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY• The survey was conducted by the Institute of Polling and Marketing for Baltic Surveys/Gallup

on behalf of the International republican Institute.• The sample consisted of 1,500 permanent Georgian residents older than the age of 18 and

eligible to vote, and is representative of the general population by age, gender, education andreligion.

• The sample design was a multi-stage random sample.• Stage One: Break country into official administrative regions.• Stage Two: Select clusters of sampling points based on settlement population (large,

medium, small towns and villages). One sample point – approximately one percent ofsurvey population (10-12 surveys). Sampling points in each region were selected basedon the percentage of population living in the various levels of settlement in that sameregion.

• Respondents were selected by the random route method, using the next birthday rule to selecta respondent from within a household.

• Data was collected from September 27 - October 7, 2010, through face-to-face interviews withthe respondents.

• Poll was conducted nationwide, including the capital and all major regional centers.• The margin of error does not exceed +/-2.5 percent.• Response rate was 69 percent.

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, September 27 - October 7, 2010 2

MOOD OF THE COUNTRY

3IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, September 27 - October 7, 2010

Over the last two months, the economic situation in Georgia has…?

4

5

3

2

3

1

4

3

1

1

2

1

1

40

44

34

30

34

17

20

12

8

6

19

20

24

38

33

32

28

27

27

28

20

19

20

34

35

27

10

10

18

25

22

32

30

39

37

37

25

27

31

3

4

7

11

10

22

16

23

34

34

15

13

13

54

5

3

3

1

2

4

2

2

4

3

3

0 20 40 60 80 100

Oct 04

Jun 05

Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know, no answer


Over the last two months, the financial situation of your household has…?

1

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0.3

1

1

1

16

21

15

14

14

7

10

6

4

4

10

9

11

61

58

57

49

49

46

48

45

33

38

48

49

42

14

12

18

22

21

26

26

28

32

26

23

24

29

6

6

8

14

13

20

15

19

30

31

16

15

16

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

2

2

1

0 20 40 60 80 100

Oct 04

Jun 05

Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same

Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know, no answer


How would you evaluate the prevailing mood of the Georgian population?

30 3325 26 21

31 26

16

30 26 2632 34

52 4351

4445

4548

43

4342 45

4344

12

12 12 1416

12 16

22

1619 16

14 11

46 7 8 9

6 511

65 3

4 3

1 3 24 6 5 3 5 3

2 21 2

1 1 2 1 1 1 3 12 1 1 2

1 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 7 5 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100No answer

Disbelief in any future improvement

Insecurity and fear of the future

Apathy

Not much hope for the future

Hope that the future will be somewhat better

Belief that the future will definitely be better


ISSUES


What are the main problems that Georgia is facing at the moment?

44

24

10

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

69

41

28

8

13

6

5

3

4

6

4

Unemployment

Territorial integrity

General economic situation

Social issues

Inflation

Conflict with Russia

Poverty

Threat of war

Low pensions

High taxes

Education

First mention All mentions


What are the main problems facing your town or village at the moment?

41

10

8

6

6

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

54

20

14

14

11

7

5

6

4

3

2

4

2

3

Unemployment

Drinkable water

Poor road conditions


Gas supply

Social issues

Irrigation problems

High taxes

Inflation

Town cleanliness

Deteriorated appearance of town

Poverty

Electricity

Health care

First mention

All mentions


What are the most important problems for your and your household members?

45

12

7

7

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

53

20

13

15

6

5

4

4

3

4

3

2

5

Unemployment


Poverty

Poor healthcare

Low pensions

Social issues

Low salaries

Living conditions

Inflation

Expensive medications

Drinkable water

Education

High taxes

First mention

All mentions


How acceptable are each of these forms of protest?

47

43

37

18

9

8

8

5

3

3

3

46

51

58

75

85

84

86

90

92

92

92

7

6

5

7

6

8

6

5

5

5

5

Collecting signatures for petition, letter

Legal demonstrations

Legal strikes

Boycott

Demonstrations without permission

Corridor of shame*

Strikes without permission

Blocking of major roads

Occupation of buildings or enterprises

Blocking of railway lines

Blocking of airports

Acceptable Not acceptable No opinion


* - During street protests in the summer of 2009, opposition protestors formed a path in front of parliament through which anyone entering the building had to walk, and be subjected to verbal abuse.

Considering the current situation and the future of the country, what are three things of which you are

most afraid?38

8

7

6

5

4

4

3

1

1

1

1

42

11

10

10

7

7

7

8

4

2

2

2

Threat of war

Russian aggression

Uncertain future

Economic crisis

Loss of territories

Poverty

Starvation

Unemployment

Rising prices

Poor education

Loss of traditions

Political uncertainty

First mention

All mentions


Have you been in a situation during the last 12 months when you had to pay a bribe in order to get

a service or a decision?

96

95

97

95

96

97

97

98

96

98

2

2

1

1

0.7

0.8

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.7

2

0.9

3

1.4

0.6

0.8

0.8

3

0.9

1

1

1

1

2

1

2

0.8

0.5

0.5

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

No, have not paid bribe Yes, paid bribe Refuse DK/NA


In which sector should the Georgian government carry out reforms first, second and third?

45

23

12

5

5

3

2

1

1

1

1

3

22

29

15

8

5

5

4

30.7

1

1

7

14

18

15

11

7

6

6

4

1

1

17

Economy

Healthcare

Education

Judicial

Defense

Local governance

Penitentiary and corrections

Environmental protection

Agriculture

Energy sector

Other

DK/NA

First Second Third

0.3


Which of these should be the Georgian government’s policy priority?

52

40

5

3

34

47

10

7

Restore territorial integrity

Create jobs

Implement reforms

Integrate into European Union/NATO

First Second


In the current situation, is internal political confrontation acceptable or should everything be done to maintain

internal political stability?

91

86

92

91

94

92

6

8

5

4

2

3

4

6

3

5

4

4

0 20 40 60 80 100

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Maintain internal political stability Accept internal political confrontation DK/NA


Do you feel any effects of the world financial crisis?

57

69

59

73

73

31

24

30

19

22

12

7

11

8

5

0 20 40 60 80 100

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Yes No DK/NA


What effects of the world finance crisis do you feel?(N=1,091)

77

10

4

3

3

1

1

2

3

Higher prices

Unemployment

Reduced income

Poverty

Worsening economic situation

Inflation

Decrease in tourism

Other

DK/NA


POLITICS


When you consider which party to vote for, what is more important, the party leader or the party itself?

53 53 4855 53 55 50 55 54 58 58 60

53

20 19 2523 23

27

2426

2226 26 25

26

20 21 21 16 1915

2316

1911

7 7 6 5 5 3 2 3 5 616 14 21

0

20

40

60

80

100

No answer

Both

Party is more important

Leader is more important


What are the three major achievements of the Georgian government?

19

189

7

6

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

3

36

37

17

16

14

7

6

6

5

4

3

2

3

2

3

Energy sector reform

Road construction

Decreased crime

Infrastructure improvement

Police reform

Established order

Increased pensions

Decreased corruption

Raised international profile

Improved security

Increased tourism

Reformed army

Improved communication systems

Improved economic situation

Nothing

First mentionAll mentioned


What are the three biggest failures of the Georgian government?

25

22

12

7

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

34

26

21

9

4

4

2

2

2

1

2

Failure to restore territorial integrity

August 2008 war with Russia

High unemployment

Russian aggresison

High prices


Nothing

Educational reform

Response to November 7, 2007 protests*

Lack of agricultural support

Health care

First mentionAll mentioned


* - On November 7, 2007, the Georgian government dispersed opposition street protests by force. The public outcry led to the resignation of the president and snap elections in January 2008.

Is it important for Georgia to have political opposition?

71

81

79

85

82

83

84

86

85

91

86

87

88

10

6

5

7

7

5

6

7

6

4

6

5

5

19

14

16

9

11

12

10

7

9

5

8

8

7

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Oct 04

Jun 05

Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Yes, opposition is important No, opposition is unimportant DK


Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job and is working effectively to address the problems

of your region?

5

3

3

3

2

4

9

5

5

10

5

7

21

22

22

21

23

23

31

20

21

28

28

33

39

37

46

39

41

38

34

37

35

30

33

28

22

17

19

21

25

17

13

17

19

13

13

10

13

21

10

16

9

18

13

21

20

19

21

22

0 20 40 60 80 100

Jun 05

Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Very effective Mostly effective Mostly ineffective Very ineffective DK/NA


What are three major issues that newly elected sakrebulos (local councils) need to address first?

37

9

8

5

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

19

46

13

14

9

7

5

4

5

4

3

2

2

2

3

19

Unemployment

General welfare

Social problems

Agriculture

Healthcare

High taxes

General economic

Water supply

Pensions

Roads

Gas supply

Territorial integrity

Irrigation

Inflation

DK/NA

First mention

All mentions


Do you think that government and opposition should continue dialog?

88

86

81

81

85

87

88

6

4

8

7

6

3

4

6

10

11

12

9

10

8

0 20 40 60 80 100

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Yes, should continue dialogue No, should not continue dialogue DK/NA


Would you support President Mikheil Saakashvili assuming the Prime Minister post after his presidential

term expires in 2013?Strongly support

32%

Mostly support24%

Mostly oppose7%

Strongly oppose22%

DK/NA15%


Under the newly proposed amendments to the constitution, would you support the strengthening of

the parliament?

Yes69%

No6%

DK/NA25%


INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS


How would you evaluate the current state of the relationship between Georgia and…?

92

89

88

86

86

84

84

77

74

73

56

3

2

6

2

6

6

4

4

9

11

13

18

1

2

2

6

1

4

1

2

4

4

7

6

94

4

3

4

7

4

11

10

10

11

7

20

2

0 20 40 60 80 100

United States

Azerbaijan

Ukraine

European Union

Turkey

Lithuania

Poland

France

Germany

Armenia

Iran

Russia

Good Neither good nor bad Bad No answer


Which countries are the most important partners for Georgia? And which comprise the most political

and economic threat?

56

23 22 2218

13 12 10 8 61

41 0.5 0.1

83

2 30.1

11

3

Partners Threats


Will the Georgian government improve relations between Georgia and Russia?

14 9 9 5 5 719

920

10 13 16 21

42

38 3533 37 37

54

49

59

4648

5657

26

28 3037

3438

19

29

15

31 22

1713

1115 18

18 1611

37

26

63 2

7 10 8 7 7 7 4 6 4 7 11 8 8

0

20

40

60

80

100

No opinion

Very unlikely

Not very likely

Somewhat likely

Very likely


Will the Georgian government solve the problems related to Abkhazia and South Ossetia?

137 8 5 6

14 17 1218 18 19 24 29

38

32 3229 29

3844

46

5343

48

5352

26

29 2934 36

30

25 27

20

23 17

13 101318 20 24 20

10 7 84

8 63 3

1114 11 8 9 8 6 7 5 8 10 7 6

0

20

40

60

80

100

No opinion

Very unlikely

Not very likely

Somewhat likely

Very likely


Would you support efforts to open the Russian market to Georgian goods?

73

81

18

13

2

2

2

2

4

2

0 20 40 60 80 100

Mar 10

Oct 10

Strongly support Mostly support Mostly oppose Strongly oppose DK/NA


Would you support further dialogue with Russia?

78

84

15

12

2

1

2

1

3

2

0 20 40 60 80 100

Mar 10

Oct 10



Who should engage in dialogue with Russia?

10

10

70

70

11

12

3

4

6

4

0 20 40 60 80 100

Mar 10 (N=1,667)

Oct 10 (N=1,437)

Political parties Georgian government Georgian society Other DK/NA


What is the best means to deal with the problems of Abkhazia and South Ossetia?

96 96 94 92 95 93 91 92 90 89 86 88

2 2 3 44 5 7 6 8 9

10 9

2 2 3 4 1 2 1 2 2 3 4 3

0

20

40

60

80

100

No opinion

Using force if necessary

Negotiations and peaceful means


Do you support Georgia joining NATO?

70

49

45

54

50

55

17

23

23

21

22

19

4

7

9

6

6

5

4

10

12

6

9

9

6

11

10

13

13

12

0 20 40 60 80 100

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10



Which is more important to you: Georgia joining NATO or Georgia joining the European Union?

45

32

28

38

34

36

25

32

33

22

26

23

21

19

20

21

18

22

9

17

19

19

22

19

0 20 40 60 80 100

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

NATO EU Both DK/NA


When do you think Georgia will become a member of NATO?

16

12

7

22

4

1

1

30

31

33

39

13

9

11

2

0.6

11

18

20

8

21

21

26

11

15

14

18

2

3

5

3

11

16

7

13

7

41

36

35

28

51

53

55

60

59

0 20 40 60 80 100

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

In 2009* (2008) In 2010 In 2012 In 2014** Never DK/NA

40

___________________________________*In 2007 and 2008 years the answer category was “In 2008”, in February 2009 this answer category was changed to “In 2009”** Included from March 2010

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, September 27 - October 7, 2010

What in your opinion, hinders Georgia’s membership in NATO?

39

36

10

4

2

17

34

39

12

2

2

16

35

38

9

4

1

13

34

39

10

3

1

13

38

44

12

4

2

12

39

38

7

5

1

9

Existence of conflicts

Russia

Not enough reforms

Choosing to peacefully resolve conflicts

Other

DK/NA

Oct 10Mar 10Oct 09Jun 09Feb 09Sep 08


Do you support an international peacekeeping force in Georgia?

80

74

70

57

49

55

13

16

19

25

31

27

7

10

11

18

20

18

0 20 40 60 80 100

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Yes No DK/NA


If yes, which country or international organization should provide the peacekeeping force? (N=827)

35

19

16

11

8

5

1

1

5

26

23

27

6

9

1

1

6

28

30

24

4

10

3

2

United States

NATO

European Union

United Nations

DK/NA

Any of the above

Ukraine

Russia

Other

Oct 10 (N=827)

Mar 10 (N=875)

Oct 09 (N=849)


Do you think that Russian aggression toward Georgia is over or is it likely to resume?

2

2

2

5

7

10

11

11

14

18

84

82

82

74

69

4

6

5

7

6

0 20 40 60 80 100

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

It is over and unlikely to resume It is over but likely to resume It is still going on DK/NA


INSTITUTIONS


What is your opinion of the work of the following institutions?

91

87

84

65

64

62

62

57

53

52

52

49

43

40

38

35

30

21

1

5

10

23

22

26

27

18

31

35

23

27

27

25

17

45

20

36

8

8

6

12

14

12

11

25

16

13

25

24

30

35

45

20

50

44

Church

Army

Police

President's office

Georgian media

Cabinet of Ministers

Georgian parliament

Central bank

Local authorities

Education system

Prosecutor's office

Courts

Governors

Central Election Commission

Ombudsman's office

Political parties

Constitutional commission

Trade unions

Favorable Unfavorable No opinion


Do you as a citizen feel that you have received enough information on the workings of the Central Election

Commission?

5

6

25

25

24

24

35

34

11

11

0 20 40 60 80 100

Mar 10

Oct 10

Definitely enough Mostly enough Mostly not enough Definitely not enough DK/NA


Do you as a citizen feel that you have received enough information on the possible amendments to

the Georgian constitution?

Definitely enough4%

Mostly enough20%

Mostly not enough25%

Definitely not enough

40%

DK/NA11%


SOURCES OF INFORMATION


What are your primary sources of political information?

96

25

24

16

10

8

3

0.6

0.5

0.4

94

23

25

12

11

10

3

1

0.4

0.1

94

26

20

15

8

9

2

0.7

0.1

0.4

TV news, programs

Newspaper articles

Relatives, friends

Radio news, programs

Internet

Magazine articles

Colleagues

Meetings with politicians

Billboards and street signs

Leaflets and direct mail

Oct 10

Mar 10

Oct 09


Is Georgian mass media free to express various political views or there is there government control

over media content?

20

17

22

13

10

13

14

10

15

11

13

45

51

53

47

41

44

35

35

37

43

39

16

20

14

28

28

24

26

25

23

22

22

3

4

2

5

13

8

14

14

11

9

11

16

8

9

7

7

11

12

15

15

15

15

0 20 40 60 80 100

Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Totally free Mostly free Mostly unfree Totally unfree DK/NA


Why do you think that Georgian mass media is not free to express various political views?

69

9

6

2

14

70

8

9

1

12

70

9

9

1

11

73

8

8

2

9

77

5

11

7

75

9

6

10

81

5

6

1

6

Government puts pressure on media

Media dislikes reporting bad news

Media is corrupt

Other

DK/NA

Oct 10 (N=499)

Mar 10 (N=554)

Oct 09 (N=510)

Jun 09 (N=595)

Feb 09 (N=589)

Sep 08 (N=485)

Feb 08 (N=631)


How many times per week do you access the Internet?

11

12

14

15

1

2

2

2

2

3

3

4

3

3

3

5

5

6

4

6

77

72

74

67

1

1

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

Every day 5-6 times per week 3-4 times per week 1-2 times per week Less often Never DK/NA


Where do you access the Internet? 73

13

22

7

0.6

0.6

71

14

14

7

0.5

1

60

15

13

6

1

5

58

17

10

7

1

1

6

Home

Work

Friends house

Internet café

By phone

Other

DK/NA

Oct 10 (N=496)Mar 10 (N=477)Oct 09 (N=414)Jun 09 (N=349)


SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS


56

Male46%

Female54%

Gender

18-2923%

30-4938%

50+39%

Age groups


57

Primary1% Unfinished

secondary6%

Secondary36%

Vocational21%

Unfinished higher3%

University, higher33%

Education

Georgian84%

Armenian6%

Azeri8%

Other2%

Ethnicity


58

A few times a week7%

Once a week15%

Once a month23%

A few times per year39%

Never16%

Attendance of religious service

Orthodox85%

Muslim11%

Other4%

Religion


59

Blue collar4%

Farmer8%

White collar15%

Executive2%

Retired19%

Student3%

Housewife18%Unemployed

29%

Other2%

Occupation

Private sector17%

State sector8%

Nongovernmental0.5%

Don't work75%

Sector of employment


september 27 – october 7, 2010 december 3... · 2019-12-13 · georgian national survey....

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