sep12 annual shareholder conference v1 · 2019-12-05 · 3 fy12 performance summary • third...
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2012 Annual Shareholder Conference September 20, 2012 - Bahrain
Opening addressNemir Kirdar, Executive Chairman & CEO
Financial Performance FY2012Rishi Kapoor, Chief Financial Officer
3
FY12 performance summary
• Third consecutive year of positive income since the global financial crisis
• $236m fee income, 20% increase over FY11 ($197m)
• Driven by increase in acquisition and placement activity plus strong performance of CI portfolio companies
• Asset-based income decreased to $31m
• Negative impact of European sovereign debt crisis and slowing economic environment on hedge fund returns and European CI portfolio valuations
• Interest expense lower by 15% at $48m in line with balance sheet deleveraging plan (FY11: $56m)
• Operating expenses lower by 30% at $151m (FY11: $215m)
(in $mils) FY12 FY11
Fee income 236.0 197.4
Asset-based income 31.0 216.2
Interest expense (47.8) (56.0)
Operating expenses (150.7) (215.2)
Net income 67.4 140.3
Numbers do not add up due to small amount of provisions
4
Asset yields – impacted by market volatility
FY12 FY11 FY10
Corporate investment 5.6% 13.1% 12.8%
Real estate 7.9% 20.1% (34.2%)
Hedge funds * (8.5%) 6.8% 15.0%
Avg. co-investment yield ** 1.3% 8.6% 4.9%
* Annualized non-$ weighted returns
** Includes treasury and liquidity income
5
Balance sheet – continued deleveraging
(in $mils) Jun-12 Jun-11
Cash and deposits 351 366
HF co-investments 414 607
CI & RE co-investments 1,376 1,311
Working capital 609 575
Total assets 2,750 2,859
Short term debt 205 318
Medium and long term debt 1,246 1,255
Working capital 254 225
Total liabilities 1,706 1,798
Total equity 1,044 1,060
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Successful refinancing in challenging market conditions
• $529m of new term and forward start facilities
• Effectively extends 63% of $838m debt maturing in Mar/Apr 2013 to Sep 2015
• Structured to implement continued controlled deleveraging while maintaining operational flexibility
• Clearly underscores strong bank lending support and relationships
Participating banks
1 Citigroup
2 Deutsche Bank
3 RBS
4 Barclays
5 J.P. Morgan
6 ING
7 Bank of America
8 Commerzbank
9 Gulf Bank KSC
10 Credit Suisse
11 Raiffeisen
12 Al Khaliji
13 First Gulf Bank
7
Liquidity covers debt repayments through 2015
8
Key target metrics
Jun-11 Jun-12
Total liquidity* $1.5b $1.0b
Co-investments / shareholder equity ** 1.8x 1.7x
Leverage (excl. transitory balances) 1.7x 1.6x
Capital adequacy (Basel II) 25.7% 26.9%
Average client AUM $9.2b $8.7b
* Cash, undrawn revolvers and HF co-investments
** Important for rating agencies (one of the drivers for investment grade is to be below 2.0x)
Hedge Funds Savio Tung, CEO – North America
10
Portfolio – product performance
Fund 2H FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Single Manager Equal Weighted Portfolio* 15.2% 10.7% 2.1% -0.9%
Investcorp Proprietary 11.7% 10.8% 4.9% -4.7%
HFRI FOF Composite Index 5.2% 4.7% 6.7% -4.4%
MSCI World Index 3.7% 9.4% 19.5% -4.3%
* Single Manager Equal Weighted Portfolio is rebalanced annually.
The performance for FY12 are initial estimates as of June 30th 2012
Investcorp Proprietary returns reported are unlevered returns on the gross exposure
Factors that negatively affected returns
Uncertainty in Europe and other geopolitical events that led to significant volatility
Asset class correlations moved to exceptionally high levels
11
Performance – Single Managers
Investcorp SMF Track Record (Equal-weighted) versus the HFRI FoF Composite Index
Investcorp SMF Track Record
(Equal weighted)
HFRI FoFComposite Index
Annualized Returns
Since Inception 4.6% 2.1%
Most Recent 60 Months 2.9% (2.0%)
FY 2012 (0.9%) (4.4%)
Performance results are from December 2004 (Investcorp Single Manager Platform inception) through June 30, 2012.FY 2012 performance is a total return as of June 30, 2012Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
Significant outperformance
since inception and in
recent periods
12
Total AUM = $4.3 billionClient AUM = $3.5 billion
Investor profile
Note: Figures as of June 30, 2012
Investor profile is predominantly institutional (US) with a focus on Customized Accounts and Single Managers.
Product TypeRegion
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Portfolio liquidity and strategy exposures
Time periodCumulative % (available for monetization)
Within 1 month 28%
Within 3 months 67%
Within 6 months 76%
Within 12 months 92%
Over 12 months 100%
Note: Liquidity profile and strategy allocations are as of June 30th 2012
Liquidity Portfolio exposures
14
Hedge fund strategy outlook
• Primary focus of the investment strategy is to:
− Reduce risk
− Protect portfolio from market dislocations
• Overall, we prefer lower-beta strategies where improvement in spreads, valuations and stock selection alpha is resulting in better returns (both absolute and risk-adjusted)
Strategy Outlook
Macro Modestly Positive
Convertible Arbitrage Modestly Positive
Fixed Income Relative Value Modestly Positive
Equity Market Neutral Modestly Positive
Portfolio Insurance Modestly Positive
Hedge Equities Neutral
Event Neutral
Distressed Neutral
Corporate InvestmentSteve Puccinelli, Managing Director
16
US and European Buyout Market
• Despite the challenging macro environments, deals are still getting done
• Industry has matured with significantly higher number of active PE funds today vs. 10 years ago
• Debt is still available in size and with attractive terms in North America; less debt available in Europe
• Given excess demand, valuations (particularly for quality assets) remain very high in North America; valuations are lower in Europe but with more uncertainty regarding future prospects
17
Valuation Levels
Average purchase price multiples
Source: S&P Capital IQ LCD
5.9
6.9
7.6
8.2
9.08.8
9.5
6.5
7.3
9.1
0x
1x
2x
3x
4x
5x
6x
7x
8x
9x
10x
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
EuropeNorth America
7.5
8.3
9.09.6 9.5
9.09.3
8.9
0x
1x
2x
3x
4x
5x
6x
7x
8x
9x
10x
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Valuation levels near 2006-2008 highs
18
PE Returns Remain above Public Market
Source: Thomson Reuters, Bloomberg, Bain. US and European buyout fund returns; five-year rolling pooled IRR.
US BUYOUT FUNDS EUROPEAN BUYOUT FUNDS
19
Outlook for 2012 and Beyond
• While industry returns have declined over time, they have also been cyclical – are we on the verge of a cyclical upswing?
• Returns for funds invested in prior recessions have been strong
• Competitive dynamics could improve in the medium term
• Some funds will not survive this cycle, creating opportunities for those who do
• Capital overhang likely to subside with fund sizes getting smaller
• Rates are still low by historical standards
• Any increase in rates will likely put negative pressure on valuations, which should mitigate any adverse changes in the cost of debt
• Over 6,000 companies owned by private equity funds should be coming to market over the next 2-3 years in the US alone
• Next few years should see solid deal flow in both Europe and the US
20
Portfolio performance
US portfolio continued to mostly outperform, some of our European portfolio companies understandably faced challenging conditions
given the economic headwinds in Europe
3
10
4
2
Slight decline 0-10% growth 10-20% growth 20-30% growth
No.
of
port
folio
com
panie
s
Revenue growth: FY12 vs FY11
* Excludes newly acquired GL Education, Archway and Esmalglass
21
Investment Activity in H2 FY12
Acquired March 2012
• UK’s leading independent provider of educational assessment solutions
Acquired June 2012
• Leading global producer of ceramic glazes, coloursand inkjet inks used in the manufacturing of ceramic
and porcelain tiles
Three acquisitions
Acquired June 2012
• North America’s leading outsourcer of marketing fulfillment services
22
FY 2013 Focus
• Placement of Esmalglass and Archway
• 4 new acquisitions• Currently in four active processes (2 US, 2 Europe)
• Continued focus on add-on acquisitions for CI portfolio
• Integration of CI and CI–Tech
Corporate Investment – TechnologySteve Puccinelli, Managing Director
24
Who are we?
Tra
ns
ac
tio
n C
om
ple
xit
y
High
Mid Late MatureEarlySeed
Company Life Cycle
Low
Venture Capital Funds
Buyout Funds
InvestcorpTechnology
Partners • Businesses that are either technology or technology-enabled businesses
• Investing approximately $20-$75 million per deal
• Typically have revenues of $10 million to $120 million
• Scalable business models
• Over $1 billion accumulated assets under management over three funds
• Cross-Atlantic team of 12 investment professionals, working together since 2000
Business PositioningCapabilities
Investment Profiles
We invest in US and European based small to mid-size companies exclusively in the technology sector
25
Technology market environment: Today
• Recent technology IPOs have been met with strong investor demand, with 23 US tech IPOs completed in the first six months of 2012 compared to 16 completed in the same time period the prior year
• Technology IPOs have been placing at or above their expected pricing ranges.
• Technology IPO market showing signs of recovery after troubled Facebook offering• Servicenow was trading 45% above initial public offering one week after listing.
• Facebook continues to grow revenue above analyst expectations. The company’s main challenge remains its potential to monetize ads from its mobile offering.
IPO
M&A Activity
• Technology M&A outlook is optimistic due to top US tech companies sitting on huge piles of cash and a recent flurry of M&A activity
• Many companies owned by private equity are expected to come to market over the next two years
26
FY12 Key Accomplishments
Investment Activities
• Closed $28m new Fund III investment in Thought Equity Motion, a provider of internet-based video management services to large production houses and content owners
Portfolio Activities
• Follow-on investments in eviivo Limited
• Finance acquisition of Hotel Solutions Direct
• Buy out minority shareholders
• Support CEO’s growth strategy
• Follow-on investment in OpSec Security Group plc
• Finance acquisition of Delta Labelling
• Follow-on investments in selective Fund II portfolio companies• Finance future growth and position for exit
Corporate Investment – MENAJames Tanner, Managing Director
28
GCC & Turkey – Macroeconomic Growth
� Investcorp Gulf Opportunity Fund I (“Investcorp GOF”) target markets continue to demonstrate resilience against amore challenging global economic backdrop. GCC and Turkey are expected to continue to outperform the US and theEuro area with 2012 GDP growth rates estimated at 5.0% and 2.3%, respectively
� GCC growth is underpinned by the continuation of expansionary fiscal and accommodative monetary policies whichare fuelled by healthy oil revenues (oil output up 5.5% year-on-year)
Source: IMF
Real GDP Growth (%)
2012e
2013e
29
GCC Government Budget Breakeven Levels
� Oil prices, partially buttressed by regional instability,increased by 4% since July 2011 despite weakening globaleconomic growth
� Average GCC breakeven price of $80/bbl represents the firstdrop since 2003 as KSA and UAE non-recurring fiscalpressures ease
� Oil prices remains above GCC sovereign budget breakevenprices (except Bahrain)
Crude Oil – Brent ($/bbl)
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Breakeven Budget Prices ($/bbl)
Bahrain
KSA
Qatar 40
UAE
Kuwait
Oman
Brent Spot
Source: Bloomberg, IIF Regional Review April 2012, Emirates NBD Bank 2012
120
130
140
4%
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Investcorp GOF – Portfolio Overview
� IT distributor and supply chain manager
�Acquired in Nov 08
�Minority stake
�UAE HQ
� Jewelry manufacturer and distributor
�Acquired in Mar 09
�Majority stake
�KSA HQ
� Industrial gas manufacturer /
distributor
�Acquired in Nov 09
�Minority stake
�Kuwait HQ
�Agro trader and supply chain manager
�Acquired in Sep 10
�Minority stake
�Turkey HQ
�Minority stake in a GCC company
�Signed in Jul 2012
�To be announced jointly with the sellers in Oct
12
�Retailer of branded menswear
�Acquired in Sep 12
�Minority stake
�Turkey HQ
EXITED
NEWFOLLOW
-ON
PENDING ANNOUNCEMENT
NEW
31
� A leading branded menswear apparel retailer in Turkey
Investment Background
• Investcorp GOF acquired a significant minority stake in Orka Group in September 2012
• The Group has 172 sale points, comprised of 121 stores in Turkey, 3 in Romania/Spain and 48
franchises worldwide. Core brand is #1 menswear brand in Turkey with 97% awareness
• Distributes 3 brands (Damat, Tween and D'S Damat), appealing to a wide spectrum from the
mid segment to the luxury segment
• Damat and Tween are sold in the same stores and are positioned at a higher price level, targeting mainly A & B socio – economic
segments
• D'S has a lower price positioning, targeting B & C segments
• Founded in 1986 by current CEO focusing on mid to upper priced brands of both the formal and casual
wear segments
Investcorp Value Add
• Large and growing Turkish clothing and footwear market
• Increasing penetration of shopping malls benefiting chain stores
• Strong Orka Group brands, with high awareness, targeting a wide spectrum of the market
• Damat is one of the top 5 local brands in Turkey
• Established network of 130 stores in Turkey
• Strengthen management and governance
• Significant value add in brand positioning, channel strategy, collection management, merchandising,
logistics
• Assist in implementation of best in class systems and processes to enhance reporting and risk management
Investment Rationale
Investcorp GOF – New Investment
32
Investcorp GOF – Portfolio Update
Portfolio Company
Value Enhancement Measures Update
L’azurde
� Achieved a significant improvement in performance and profitability
� Diversified the business by expanding the retail segment
� Enhanced product design including increased focus on diamond jewelry
� Revamped the brand with new advertising campaign
� Strengthened the company’s senior management team
Gulf Cryo
� Achieved higher year-on-year profit despite challenging market dynamics
� Closed an add-on acquisition of an industrial and medical gas company in Jordan
� Commenced construction of a new production facility in Abu Dhabi to become operational by 2013
� Increased the company’s shareholding in an air separation facility in Kuwait
Tiryaki Agro
� Invested $20 million as a follow-on capital increase to accelerate growth
� Worked with management on securing a $25 million equity investment from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (“EBRD”)
� Strengthened the company's senior management
� Improved risk management and reporting by launching a new ERP system
Real Estate InvestmentsSavio Tung, CEO – North America
34
Investment Market Outlook
• Environment for investing is steady
• Flight capital and increased investor allocations bolstering US real estate
• Demand primarily for stable, high quality assets in major markets with reliable cash flow
• Low interest rates benefitting leveraged buyers, particularly for high quality sponsors
• Some investors moving beyond the safety of Class A properties and major markets in pursuit of yield
35
Property Market Outlook
• Operating fundamentals improving at a moderate pace
• Strongest markets have globally-competitive US industries:
• Technology• Communication• Energy• Healthcare• Entertainment
• Vacancy rates declining and rents growing slowly for most asset classes
• Capital improvements on existing product still modest. Very few repositioning plays.
• Continued focus on expense management to improve / maintain investment returns
36
Transaction Volume
• H1 2012 volumes higher than H1 2011
• CY2012 volumes expected to modestly outpace CY2011
totals
• Volumes still well off peak levels of CY 2007
• High levels of maturing commercial loans prompting
acquisition and financing opportunities
- $2 trillion maturingfrom 2012-2018
Northern California Portfolio San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Transaction Volume $ Billions (Quarterly)
Source: Real Capital Analytics
37
Capitalization Rates
• Low interest rate environment in US keeping downward
pressure on cap rates
• Cap rates have declined slightly since the beginning of 2012
• Cap rates expected to remain low in the
medium term
Broadway Webster Medical PlazaOakland, CA
Source: Real Capital Analytics
Average Acquisition Cap Rates (Quarterly)
38
Business Activities Update
New Investments
• Deployed $120.5 million since January 2012 and $216.3 million since September 2011
• FY2012 three second half placements all fully subscribed
• Achieved first close and completed first investment in new Investcorp Real Estate Credit Fund III
Questions & answers