seminar 5 self-made notes

Upload: fanny-chan

Post on 02-Jun-2018

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/10/2019 Seminar 5 Self-made Notes

    1/2

    Class 5Financial Analysis

    RATIO will convey meanings to the accounting numbers from FS. E.g. EPS, sales growth

    Be aware of seasonal noise

    ROE

    Slide 11Great Framework for Presentation (5 years)

    ROE= RNOA + FLEV (Spread of RNOA & NBC) or (RNOA - % Int after tax try to keep +ve)o FLEV = NFO/CSEo

    FLEV * Spread RNOA = Operating Income/NOA or [(OI/Sales) * (Sales/NOA)] aka Profit Margin * Asset Turnover [OA

    OL = NOA]. [NOA NFO = CSE]o Profit Margin Profitability, whilst Asset Turnover. Efficiency. Which of these 2 is the main driver?

    NFO is net financial obligation = FL - FA

    CSE is Common SH equity

    NOA is net operating asset

    FLEV is financial leverage

    Level 1: Splitting RNOA and FLEVLevel 2: Splitting Profitability and Efficiency

    Level 3: Examine the components of Profitability (e.g. COGS/SALES, General admin expense/SALES, NetProfit/SALES etc.) and components of Efficiency directly from items in FS

    In Exam: Only require to use Concurrent Value e.g. 2008 equity divide by 2008 liability

    Slide 15If a company achieves both high PM and asset turnover, there will be new competitors start entering into the industry,pushing down the ROE

    Slide 21

    AFR Worki ng Capital Performance 2012 ASX

    Days Sales Outstanding

    Days Inventory held Days Payable outstanding

    Cash to Cash

    Trade Working capital/sales

    EBITDA/Sales

    Slide 24

    PPE related Costs: Installation Cost, Training Cost

    Slide 29An increase in dividend payout ratio: more sustainable earnings (confidence), investing less for future opportunities, want

    to hold less cash reserves

  • 8/10/2019 Seminar 5 Self-made Notes

    2/2

    Case 2INVENTEC Corporations

    1. Context: providing business to business manufacturing, moves its operations from Taiwan to mainland China.Ten years latermargins declined from 10% to 3-4%

    2. Issues/Questionsa. Despite its growth and size, why is Inventec not very profitable?b. What are the drivers of the average profitability of the Original Design and Manufacturing Industry?c. What are the key factors that a company like Inventec needs to manage to earn above-average profits in

    this industry

    d.

    Why is the Indian software industry, on average, so much more profitable than the Chinese ODMindustry?

    3. Tools

    Key WordsLogos of three competingSome were shipped via UPS from the Shanghai factory directly to customersNet Margins had dropped from about 10 % in 2001 to just 3-4% for leading firms, and below 1%Concerns about underutilization

    Factors to impress SH: Low labour, Overhead & Material costs, efficient and experienced employees, Good quality

    control, Good relationship with suppliers and regulators

    Factors to impress Clients: Financial sustainable, Good R&D, On time delivery/supply, Quality, Highly Equipped

    Exhibits

    1A & 1B : Large buildings (PPE) = Large Operations. Associate it with asset turnover

    2: Poor performance

    5: Industry Analysis (Inventec relative to other competitors): ROA is the lowest in the industry, slim net margins

    etc. makes sense to Exhibit 2

    6: EMS is more diversified than ODM

    7: EMS is better performed than ODM in text, however ODM is better performed in figures than EMS

    8: Bargining power 9: return per annual for asset (1/4) ln (54226/34910) = 11.6% pa return per annual for revenue = 18.7%...

    return per annual for net income = -11.1%