select committee on appropriation 7 november 2014

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Select Committee on Appropriation 7 November 2014

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Select Committee on Appropriation

7 November 2014

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Objective

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Reflect on how:

1.The 2014 MTBPS proposed infrastructure allocations will provide a space for the Bank to increase its support to municipalities

2.The Bank should indicate any shortfalls to current infrastructure investment needs and any proposed alternative funding.

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As per letter dated 21 October 2014 re: “Public Hearings on Division of Revenue Amendment Bill and proposed division of revenue and conditional grant allocations to provinces and local government”

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Our understanding of the key changes to the proposed infrastructure allocation as reflected in the MTBPS – Extracts from the MTBPS

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• Reviving investment in cities (MTBPS pg 4)o Policy seeks to reshape urban landscape, renewing investment in

affordable housing in partnership with the private sectoro Government will roll out a new approach to local government

infrastructure financingo Government will also work with private investors and development

finance institutions to expand debt financing for municipal infrastructure

• Funding local government (MTBPS pg 39)o A call for municipalities to get back to basics in delivering services

and funding infrastructureo The baseline allocation for local government conditional grants will

be reduced by R920.6 million in 2015/16 and R1.4 billion in 2016/17

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Presentation outline

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1. GROUP OVERVIEW

• Strategy

• Outlook

2. SUPPORT TO MUNICIPALITIES

• Overview of the municipal market

• CAPEX trends

• Current planned support to municipalities

• Potential scope to increase support to large cities

• Crowding-in the private sector

• Product innovation is a key enabler

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GROUP OVERVIEW

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Mandate and regulatory framework

National Department

Major DFIs

• DBSA 100% owned by the SA Government• Oversight by the National Treasury (Finance Ministry) and ultimately

Parliament • Incorporated as a development finance institution (DFI) under the

DBSA Act (no 13 of 1997)• Regulated by the Public Finance Management Act• Not regulated by the SA Reserve Bank or Bank Act

100% 100% 100% 100%

100%

Mandate (per DBSA Act)

The main objectives of the Bank are the promotion of economic development and growth, human resources development, institutional capacity building, and the support of development projects and programmes on the African continent

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Governance framework

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DBSA BoardChairman: Jabu Moleketi

Audit and Risk Committee

Board Credit and Investment Committee

Human Resources, Nomination, Social and

Ethics Committee

Infrastructure Delivery and Knowledge

Committee

Ministry of Finance (sole shareholder)Minister Nhlanhla Nene

Finance and Treasury Committee

Investment Committee Corporate Services Committee

Infrastructure Delivery & Knowledge Management CommitteeM

an

ag

eme

nt

Su

b-C

om

mit

tee

s

DBSA Executive Management CommitteeChairman: Patrick Dlamini

Bo

ard

S

ub

-Co

mm

itte

es

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Infrastructure development plays an important role in the achievement of the National Development Plan objectives

Outcome DBSA’s role Example

Create an economy that will create more jobs • IDD: ASIDI and Eastern Cape Rural Housing

Investing in economic infrastructure • Funding of various energy, transport and ICT projects

Environmentally sustainable and resilient: Transition to a low carbon-economy

• Preparation and funding of IPPs

An inclusive and integrated rural economy• Funding of bulk water supply • Eastern Cape Rural Housing Programme

South Africa in the region and the world• Funding of projects in SADC• North-South corridor

Transforming Human Settlements• Eastern Cape Rural Housing Programme• Housing Impact Fund

Improving the quality of education, training and innovation• IDD: ASIDI programme• Funding of student accommodation

Quality health care for all• IDD: refurbishment of health clinics and construction of doctors’

rooms

Social protection

Building safer communities

Building a capable and developmental stateProvision of technical support in the planning and implementation of projects

Fighting corruptionIDD: management of procurement processes in appointing service providers

Transforming society and uniting the countrySupporting development impact through investment in social and economic infrastructure

Direct Indirect Not applicable 8

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The Strategic Integrated Projects (SIPs) direct our work…

Social Infrastructure programmes Involvement of DBSA

SIP 1

Description

SIP 2

SIP 3

SIP 4

SIP 5

SIP 6

SIP 7

SIP 8

Unlocking the northern mineral belt with Waterberg as the catalyst

SIP 9

SIP 10

SIP 11

Durban – Free State – Gauteng logistics and industrial corridor

South – Eastern node and corridor development

Unlocking the economic opportunities in North West Province

Saldanha – Northern Cape development corridor

Integrated municipal infrastructure project

Integrated urban space and public transport programme

Green energy in support of the South Africa economy

Electricity generation to support socio economic development

Electricity transmission and distribution for all

Agri-logistics and rural infrastructure

SIP 12

SIP 13

SIP 14

SIP 15

SIP 16

SIP 17

SIP 18

Revitalisation of public hospitals and other health facilities

National school build programme

Higher education infrastructure

Expanding access to communication technology

SKA & Meerkat

Regional integration for African cooperation and development

Water and sanitation infrastructure

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PartnershipsBalance Sheet

Capacity

DBSA strategic framework is aligned to the government’s economic policy and programs

A prosperous and integrated region, progressively free of poverty and dependence

Vision

Mission

To advance the development impact in the region by expanding access to development finance and effectively integrating and implementing sustainable development solution

Strategy Objectives

Improve the quality of life of people through the development of social

infrastructure

Support Regional Integration

Support Economic Growth through investment in

economic infrastructure

Financial Sustainability

InnovationHigh Performance Culture

Strategic Enablers

Business Intelligence

Operational Excellence

High PerformanceShared Vision IntegrityInnovationService Orientation

Values

Performance Measures

Growth in disbursements: 20%+ CAGR

Cost to income ratio: 35% long term

Return on equity: 5-6% in long term

Equity Growth: Inflation linked

IDD Growth: Full cost recovery and R500M revenue

Integrated infrastructure solutions provider (“cross-sell”)

Early stage risk (project prep)

Trusted partner

Access to infra. decision-makers (esp. public sector)

Basel III – ability to provide longer tenor debt

Competitive Advantages

National imperativesNational Development Plan

Presidential Infrastructure Coordinating Commission

Integrated infrastructure solutions provider

Sustained growth in development impact

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DBSA primarily plays a key role in the prepare, fund and build phases of the infrastructure development value chain

Plan Prepare Plan Prepare

1 2

Finance

3

Build4

Maintain / improve5

DBSA’s primary focus

Se

rvic

es • Project identification

• Feasibility assessments• Technical assistance• Financial structuring• Project Preparation funds• Lead arranger

Provide vanilla and boutique financing opportunities•Debt•Mezzanine Finance•Limited non–recourse lending•MLA

• Managing the design and construction of key projects in the education, health and housing sectors

• Project Management support, including to the Jobs and Green funds

• National and provincial government departments

• Municipalities

South Africa• Municipalities• State–Owned Enterprises• Public-Private Partnerships• Public-Public Partnerships• Private sector

The rest of Africa• State-Owned Enterprises• Public–Private Partnerships• Private sector

• Municipalities• Public-private partnerships• Public-public partnerships• Regional integration

• Under-resourced municipalities

Cli

en

t /

ma

rke

ts

• Supporting the maintenance and/or improvement of social infrastructure projects

• National and provincial government departments

• Municipalities

Integration across the value chain and innovative solutions to drive infrastructure delivery and development impact

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Build on our competitive advantages in our core markets

Exclusive access to deal flow

Early stage risk

DBSA a trusted partner

Arbitrage Basel III capital

requirements

Integrated infrastructure

solutions provider

Source of Competitive Advantage

DBSA able to leverage preferential access to RSA government to access opportunities in South Africa (SOEs, municipalities) and countries in Africa with strong relations w RSA

As a DFI, the DBSA is positioned to take on early-stage risk where commercial banks are reluctant to take on this risk

Use project preparation services as a ‘deal pipeline”

The DBSA is positioned to leverage its role as a trusted partner between the government and the private sector

Private sector banks not ‘threatened’ by DBSA

As a DFI, the DBSA does not have to comply with Basel III capital requirements

Allows DBSA to take longer tenor on debt (vs. commercial banks)

The DBSA operates across the infrastructure finance value chain and can therefore offer clients an integrated solution

Opportunities for ‘cross selling’ across DBSA divisions

Competitive Advantage

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OUTLOOK

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Infrastructure financing

We aim to be at the heart of infrastructure development on the continent Our growth ambitions will enable DBSA to become a leading infrastructure financier in

Africa, meaningfully contributing to economic growth and regional integration

Rest of Africa: 18%

South Africa: 25%

• Targeting 20% annual growth rate for next three years:

• ~ 70% in South Africa, remaining 30% in the rest of Africa

• More than doubling our disbursements to under-resourced municipalities

CAGR:

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Infrastructure delivery support – providing implementation agent, programme management and coordination services

• Continue to support in key sectors of education, health and housing – partnering with the communities to succeed

• Doing more with less to fill the gap in implementation

• Full cost recovery

• Embracing new build technology

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Our ongoing success is dependent on…

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• Developing innovative solutions to infrastructure challenges – planning, financing, construction and maintenance

Innovative infrastructure

solutions

Project Preparation

Partnerships

Full value chain offering

Employer of choice

• Unlocking projects through project preparation

• Development of partnerships as the demand for infrastructure development exceed what we can provide

• Optimising our service offering in terms of the value chain

• Attracting, retaining and developing talent – key skills in the area of project management, engineering and finance skills

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SUPPORT TO MUNICIPALITIES

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DBSA role and approach in the municipal sector

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Strengthen the capacity of under-resourced municipalities in areas such as project planning, preparation and packaging

Increase focus on areas with the biggest unfunded gap through project origination initiatives

Providing affordable funding through development subsidies to secondary municipalities and under resourced municipalities

Integrate financing and non-financing support activities to achieve over-all development impact

Provide support to municipalities to improve the level of expenditure of conditional transfers by providing implementation support

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Segmentation: Secondary (M2) / under-resourced (M3) Municipal Sector

1919

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Large Towns: 27

Large Towns: 27

Districts44

Districts44

Market 2: Total 90 municipalities

Market 2: Total 90 municipalities

Large towns with urbanized areas at the periphery

Large towns with urbanized areas at the periphery

Not providing water services: 23 Providing water services: 21 and

responsible for:o Regional bulk serviceso Capacity building supporto Disaster management

Not providing water services: 23 Providing water services: 21 and

responsible for:o Regional bulk serviceso Capacity building supporto Disaster management

Market 3: Total 180 municipalies Market 3: Total 180 municipalies

Economic base:Moderate economiesHighly variable revenue baseFair degree of grant dependencySome ability to borrow to raise capital Limited institutional

capacity

Economic base:Moderate economiesHighly variable revenue baseFair degree of grant dependencySome ability to borrow to raise capital Limited institutional

capacity

Small Towns and Rural180

Small Towns and Rural180

Small towns with rural periphery and scattered settlements: 111

Rural municipalities with scattered settlements and deep rural areas: 69

Small towns with rural periphery and scattered settlements: 111

Rural municipalities with scattered settlements and deep rural areas: 69

Economic base: Very weak economies base weak

institutional capacityTotal reliance on national government transfers for both capita; and operating expenditureLimited to no ability to borrow to raise capital

Economic base: Very weak economies base weak

institutional capacityTotal reliance on national government transfers for both capita; and operating expenditureLimited to no ability to borrow to raise capitalEconomic base:

Strong economies; substantial revenue baseLow grant dependencyAbility to borrow to raise capital

Economic base:Strong economies; substantial revenue baseLow grant dependencyAbility to borrow to raise capital

Economic base:Not applicable (various local municipalities constitute the areas of jurisdiction of the DMs)High degree of grant dependency to render servicesVariable ability to borrow to raise capital

Economic base:Not applicable (various local municipalities constitute the areas of jurisdiction of the DMs)High degree of grant dependency to render servicesVariable ability to borrow to raise capital

Largest budgets after metros

Direct National Treasury budget oversight

Aspirant metros

Largest budgets after metros

Direct National Treasury budget oversight

Aspirant metros

270 municipalities270 municipalities

Secondary Cities : 19

Secondary Cities : 19

Tend to attract little interest from the commercial banks Require support in the planning and identification and

preparation of projects

Require extensive support in all aspects of infrastructure delivery and management

Support required include their ability to plan, prepare and implement projects, and to utilise support through fiscal transfers

Require extensive support in all aspects of infrastructure delivery and management

Support required include their ability to plan, prepare and implement projects, and to utilise support through fiscal transfers

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Segmentation: Metropolitan Municipalities

2020

STRATEGIC ISSUES/DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES

•Rapid urbanization•Aging infrastructure leading to water and electricity losses•Growing indigent populations•Economic growth constraints by infrastructure•Conservative fiscal policy (reference for low borrowing)

CAPACITATED METRO’S

Consists of 5 Metropolitan municipalities:•Ekurhuleni •City of Johannesburg•City of Tshwane•eThekwini •City of Cape Town

UNDER RESOURCED METRO’S

Consists of 3 Metropolitan municipalities:•Buffalo City•Nelson Mandela Bay•Mangaung

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Historical Capex Trends: M1, M2 & M3

2121Source: National Treasury: Local Government Revenue and Expenditure: Fourth Quarter Local Government Section 71 Report (2010/11 to 2013/14)

Actual municipal capital expenditure vs. budget from 2010/11 to 2012/13

Actual Historic Spending Trends (based on 3 year data)82% CAPEX expenditure83% expenditure of planned borrowing78% expenditure of grant funding

Actual Historic Spending Trends (based on 3 year data)63% CAPEX expenditure34% expenditure of planned borrowing67% expenditure of grant funding

Actual Historic Spending Trends (based on 3 year data)64% CAPEX expenditure56% expenditure of planned borrowing67% expenditure of grant funding

M1M1 M2M2 M3M3

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DBSA market share

2222

DBSA significant role player in:•M3: 84% •M2: 73% •M1: 30%

DBSA municipal book (R18.1bn):• M1: 66%• M2: 28%• M3: 6%

DBSA 84%

of under

resourced municipal

debt

DBSA 73%

of secondary municipal

debt

DBSA 30 % of

metro debt

R18.1bn

R44bn

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Planned capital expenditure 2014/15 to 2015/16

2323

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Increased infrastructure funding needs (R149bn over 2 years):

• M1: R67bn

• M2: R40bn

• M3: R42bn

Increased funding gap

(R33.2bn over 2 years):

• M1: R4.7bn

• M2: R3.9bn

• M3: R24.6bn

Source: National Treasury database: Municipal Budgets 2013/14 World Bank: The South African Urban Agenda Report 2009

Total CAPEX (2 yrs) (R'bn)

CAPEX Grants/Subsidies

(R'bn)

Own Revenue (R'bn)

Borrowings (R'bn)

M1 62.6 28.8 15.2 18.6M2 36.1 25.6 8.0 2.5M3 17.5 13.6 3.5 0.4Total 116.2 68.0 26.7 21.5

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Metro’s: Potential capital projects

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CLIENT PROJECT EST. VALUE

Buffalo City Metro

1. Bulk water treatment plants R2bn

2. Revenue enhancement linked to water demand management & water losses

R1.6bn

Mangaung Metro

1. Bulk water upgrades R3bn

2. Water conservation demand management & automated metering

R600m

3. Airport Nodal development R450m

Nelson Mandela Metro

1. Nooitgedacht bulk water augmentation scheme

R1bn

2. Water demand, stormwater & augmentation scheme

R540m

3. Coega IDZ Nodal waste water scheme

R500m

City of Tshwane

1. Wonderboom Airport nodal upgrade

R2bn

2. West Capital Project (mix use economic development

R3.2bn

CLIENT PROJECT EST. VALUE

Ekurhuleni Metro

1. Nodal development at OR Tambo airport

R450m

2. Water conservation demand management

R3bn

eThekwini Metro

1. Bulk water infrastructure linked Dube Trade Port

R1bn

2. Dube Trade Port nodal development

R1.5bn

City of Johannesburg

1. Greening projects - waste to energy

R2bn

2. Inner city economic Precinct

R3bn

City of Cape Town

1. Bulk infrastructure expansion

R4bn

2. ICT broadband fibre optic network

R1.3bn

Source: Metro Budgets MTEF 2014/15 to 2016/17IDP 2014/15

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Municipal Strategic initiatives: New business development

2525

STRATEGIC INITIATIVE

DESCRIPTION POTENTIAL APPLICATION

1 Districts municipalitiesas vehicles forreaching M2/M3 communities Planning Support Bridge Finance

Support prioritised District municipalities (Water Service Authorities)complete their 3-5 year infrastructure plansIncrease their claim to MIG, MWIG & RBIGUse their balance sheet to raise fundingPartner with DM’s and the Department of Water and Sanitation to build the regional bulk infrastructure for water

DM borrowings at 75% of allocated grants as per MFMA Circular 51

DBSA target 30% of the allocated grants R100m per annum borrowed on balance sheet National Treasury on-time approval of the

municipal applications for pledging grants

2 Cities SupportProgramme for 10Secondary cities Infrastructure plan

Fund part of the infrastructure plan:Balance sheet Off balance sheetConditional grant pledging

Secondary Cities borrowings at 75% of allocated grants as per MFMA Circular 51

DBSA target 30% of the allocated grants Secondary cities borrowing at 56% of budgeted

borrowings R500 million per annum off balance sheet

lending

3 Maintain pricecompetitiveness: Efficiencies Budget Subsidy

support

Participating in bidding processes and bilateral offers to provide direct lending to municipalities

Municipal borrowings (R5.5bn) Trend of 56% of planned borrowings take-up to

improve to 60% 75% DBSA success rate on planned borrowings

by municipalities (bids & bilateral offers) The planned borrowings from municipalities

continue to grow at current rate of 5% per annum

4 Public-Public Partnerships

Structures that involve stronger public entities engaging weaker ones through structured contractual agreements to deliver infrastructure. Bulk water infrastructure requires capex over and above current budgets

Water Board partnering to assist several small municipalities to deliver a bulk regional water project

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Municipal Strategic initiatives: New business development

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STRATEGIC INITIATIVE DESCRIPTION POTENTIAL APPLICATION

5 Private Developer Financing Private developers (e.g. Property) provides infrastructure finance in exchange for certain concessions

Opportunities to enter into Long Term arrangements with private sector risk taking. Urban infrastructure development in high demand areas (Metro’s) as identified through mega projects

6 Public Sector Contract (Concession model)

The development (investment) and operation of an infrastructure project under a concession agreement

Opportunity to structure Student Accommodation via an SPV management company with retained ownership but PSC managed. Water turnkey projects required due to bulk needs in high density industrial and residential areas

7 Build-Lease-Transfer(BLT)

Private Company gets contracted by Government to build a project, and then lease it to Government over a period. Eventually transferring ownership to Government

Potential application in mass roll-out of higher education accommodation, health facilities, public schools, etc

8 Project Preparation Assistance

Provide both expertise and early stage risk capital to originate projects

At scale projects generated through own pipeline and/or national departments’ partnerships

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Municipal growth prospects: 2015/16 to 2017/18

2727

Growth Scenario (3yrs to 2017/18): R19.9bnM1: R12.8bnM2/M3: R7.1bn

20 % GrowthCurrent:

4.5Planned:

6.0Planned:

6.3Planned:

7.6

Corporate Plan

Note: Targeted loan disbursements subject to demand for infrastructure debt funding, debt absorption capacity and creditworthiness of the respective municipalities as well as the ability of the DBSA to provide competitive funding rates

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POTENTIAL SCOPE FOR DBSA TO INCREASE SUPPORT TO LARGE CITIES

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Infrastructure grant pledging has been a key to support the acceleration of infrastructure delivery in under-resources municipalities

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• Conditional grant pledging provides an opportunity for municipalities to obtain short term bridging finance to accelerate investment spending on capital projects to:o Accelerate reduction in backlogso Bring implementation forward from 36 months to between 9 and 12 monthso Take advantage of additional subsidised support for programme planning and

implementationo Improve socio-economic development and quality of life of residents

• DBSA is currently the biggest contributor and strongly positioned to provide infrastructure support to under resourced municipalitieso Sole provider of bridging finance for infrastructureo Significant provider of subsidised project preparation, planning and implementation

support to under resourced municipalities

Pledging programme could be extended to large urban cities

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Additional capital injection can help create additional funding capacity in large urban centres

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• Inject, say R5 billion into DBSA (R2.5 billion per annum)• Use its existing balance sheet and leverage additional capital by two-and-a-half

times (2.5 times)

Increase funding support to R17.5 billion to support growth-enabling infrastructure that expands the income generation base of municipalities by supporting the funding

of economic infrastructure

Total R17.5bn

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Crowding-in the private sector investment is essential to increasing the funds available to large urban centres

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• Participation by the private sector capital markets in the development of the debt market remains an important focus area for the DBSA.

• DBSA is currently testing various securitisation options of its existing loan book.

o Loans to urban cities could be amalgamated, packaged and sold-off to attract and crowd-in private sector capital.

o Strong appetite from both the commercial bank market and the debt capital markets for exposures to Cities and Large Urban centres.

o The DBSA could fund the longer-end of the loan which is the typical role of development finance institution, in other, for periods from ten to 20 years.

o Period shorter than ten years would be funded by the private / commercial bank market.

• Crowding in the private sector will enable the DBSA to free up capital for reinvestment into infrastructure projects.

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Product innovation is a key enabler

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The DBSA’s continues to explore options to catalyse private sector participation in the municipal sector and thereby accelerate the provision of economic infrastructure including:

oInfrastructure bonds.

oMunicipal bond underwriting.

oProject finance / Off-balance sheet limited recourse structures.

oPublic/municipal service contracting models.

oRevenue enhancement financing models.

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THANK YOU

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