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    Sediment inlling and wetland formation dynamics in an active crevasse splay of the

    Mississippi River delta

    Donald R. Cahoon a,⁎,1, David A. White b, James C. Lynch a,1

    a United States Geological Survey, National Wetlands Research Center, 700 Cajundome Boulevard, Lafayette, LA 70503, USAb Department of Biological Sciences, Loyola University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA

    a b s t r a c ta r t i c l e i n f o

     Article history:

    Received 15 April 2010Received in revised form 30 November 2010

    Accepted 2 December 2010

    Available online 13 December 2010

    Keywords:

    Crevasse splay

    Mississippi River delta

    Wetlands

    Accretion

    Shallow subsidence

    Elevation

    Crevasse splay environments provide a mesocosm for evaluating wetland formation and maintenance

    processes on a decadal time scale. Site elevation, water levels, vertical accretion, elevation change, shallow

    subsidence, and plant biomass were measuredat ve habitats along an elevationgradientto evaluate wetland

    formation and development in Brant Pass Splay; an active crevasse splay of the Balize delta of the Mississippi

    River. The processes of vertical development (vertical accretion, elevation change, and shallow subsidence)

    were measured with the surface elevation table–marker horizon method. There were three distinct stages to

    theaccrual of elevationcapital andwetlandformation in thesplay: sedimentinlling, vegetative colonization,

    and development of a mature wetland community. Accretion, elevation gain, and shallow subsidence all

    decreased by an order of magnitude from the open water (lowest elevation) to the forest (highest elevation)

    habitats. Vegetative colonization occurred within the  rst growing season following emergence of the mud

    surface. An explosively high rate of below-ground production quickly stabilized the loosely consolidated sub-

    aerial sediments. After emergent vegetation colonization, vertical development slowed and maintenance of 

    marsh elevation was driven both by sediment trapping by the vegetation and accumulation of plant organic

    matterin thesoil. Continuedvertical development andsurvivalof themarsh then depended on thehealth and

    productivity of the plant community. The process of delta wetland formation is both complex and nonlinear.

    Determining the dynamics of wetland formation will help in understanding the processes driving the past

    building of the delta and in developing models for restoring degraded wetlands in the Mississippi River deltaand other deltas around the world.

    Published by Elsevier B.V.

    1. Introduction

    The 32,000 km2 Mississippi River delta consists of shallow estuaries,

    wetlands, and distributaryridges that formed fromsix overlappingdelta

    lobes during the past 6000 years (Coleman et al., 1998). This area is an

    ecologic and economic engine for the Gulf of Mexico region and the

    United Statesas a whole (Twilley, 2007). Thevast estuarine andwetland

    area provides 30% of the US total  sh catch and is a critical stopover

    for neotropical migrating birds and waterfowl in the Central Flyway.

    The wetlands store water,   lter sediments and pollutants from the

    water, help stabilize shorelines, and protect human settlements by

    ameliorating storm surges associated with hurricanes. There is

    extensive human settlement across the delta, including commercial

    ports that handle more than 20% of the nation's foreign waterborne

    commerce. However, during the past few centuries, human use of the

    Mississippi River watershed and its delta ecosystem has dramatically

    altered the delta, causing a shift to the destructive phase of the delta

    cycle (Coleman et al., 2008; Blum and Roberts, 2009) resulting in

    extensive wetland loss and a growing demand to restore the delta

    environment (Day et al., 2007).

    Multiple factors are contributing to the deterioration of the delta.

    Dams on the Mississippi River and its tributaries have reduced the

    sediment load in the River by 48% (Syvitski et al., 2009; Blum and

    Roberts, 2009) and   ood protection levees prevent annual spring

    ooding of the delta plain and most of the sediment entrained in the

    river from reaching the delta plain wetlands. Construction of an

    extensive network of canals for oil and gas exploration and navigation

    has altered local hydrology within delta plain wetlands that has

    contributed to the impounding of water and related stresses to the

    marsh vegetation (Day et al., 2000; Ko and Day, 2004). In addition,

    extensive sub-surface uid extraction, particularly oil and gas, has led

    to accelerated subsidence from reservoir compaction and fault

    reactivation across the delta plain (Morton and Bernier, 2010; Morton

    et al., 2006). The synergistic effect of reduced sediment load, altered

    local marsh hydrology, and accelerated subsidence has resulted in an

    Geomorphology 131 (2011) 57–68

    ⁎  Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 301 497 5523; fax: +1 301 497 5624.

    E-mail addresses:  [email protected] (D.R. Cahoon), [email protected]

    (D.A. White), [email protected] (J.C. Lynch).1 Present Address: United States Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research

    Center, c/o BARC-East, Building 308, 10300 Baltimore Avenue, Beltsville, MD 20705,

    USA.

    0169-555X/$  – see front matter. Published by Elsevier B.V.

    doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002

    Contents lists available at  ScienceDirect

    Geomorphology

     j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / g e o m o r p h

    http://-/?-http://-/?-http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0169555Xhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/0169555Xhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.002http://-/?-http://-/?-

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    aggradation decit, where the delta plain wetlands are not keeping

    pacewith current sea-level rise rates, resulting in historically high rates

    of wetland loss (Barras et al., 2003). Besides reducing the natural

    resource value of the delta ecosystem, wetland loss also has increased

    the vulnerability of the remaining wetlands and human settlements to

    storm surge impacts (Barras et al., 2008; Day et al., 2007). This story of 

    delta destruction as a result of human alterations has been repeated at

    many deltasaround theworld(Ericson et al.,2006; Colemanet al., 2008;

    Syvitski et al., 2009). The Mississippi along with the Ganges, Irrawaddy,Magdalena, Mekong, Niger, and Tigris deltas are considered in peril

    of   ooding as a result of reduction in aggradation plus accelerated

    compaction overwhelming rates of global sea-level rise (Syvitski et al.,

    2009).

    A direct consequence of wetland loss in the delta plain is the loss of 

    wetlandelevation capital(sensu Reed, 2002; Cahoon and Guntenspergen,

    2010) and an increase in accommodation space. Thus the restoration of 

    the wetland ecosystem will require the restoration of the wetland

    elevation capital through the accumulation initially of mineral sediments

    to restore elevations to a level suitable to support emergent vegetation,

    and then organic matter provided by plant growth; the process by which

    the delta wasformedhistorically.However,today thedelta plain is largely

    disconnected from the river and hence the increased accommodation

    space remains unlled and devoid of vegetated marsh. One approach

    proposed for restoring the wetlands is to reconnect the delta plain to the

    river with sediment diversions that will mimic historic crevasse splay

    processes (Day et al., 2007). Although there is not suf cient sediment to

    restore the historical extent of delta plain wetlands with this approach

    because of the reduced sediment load of the river (Blum and Roberts,

    2009), smaller scale restoration is feasible (Day et al., 2007; Boyer et al.,

    1997). To this end we evaluated splay development processes near the

    mouth of the Mississippi River where active crevassing still occurs on a

    small scale.

    This study describes wetland formation and elevation dynamics

    along an elevation gradient of an individual lobe of a developing

    crevasse splay within the degraded Cubits Gap sub-delta complex. The

    approach of substituting space (location on the elevation gradient) for

    time (ecogeomorphic succession) allows us to assess marsh develop-

    ment processes from a comparison of subaqueous to recently emergent(herbaceous marsh), to mature emergent (forest) habitats. Specically,

    we analyze the role of hydrogeomorphic processes in the vertical

    development of open water substrates (sediment inlling), that lead to

    the accumulation of elevation capital and marsh formation (plant

    colonization thresholds), and marsh maintenance (sediment trapping

    by vegetation and plant organic matter accumulation in the soil).

    Our objectives were to determine the rate of inlling and vertical

    development of the splay habitats, the elevationgradient among these

    habitats, andthe rate at which shiftsin habitat type occur (i.e., gradual

    versus abrupt). Such an accounting of the acquisition of elevation

    capital (relative to local sea level), and the rates at which it can be

    gained during wetland formation and evolution from open water to

    emergent marsh, is fundamental to understanding wetland changein coastal Louisiana and to the development of wetland restoration

    practices.

    2. Regional setting 

    Subsidence rates in theBalize delta areconsideredto be thehighest

    on the Louisiana and Mississippi coast as a result of compaction of 

    thick, young Holocene sediment deposits (~100 m) and faulting and

    exure of the underlying Pleistocene sediments at the seaward margin

    of thedelta(see reviews in Blum et al., 2008; Blum andRoberts, 2009).

    However, there are few measurements of subsidence from this delta,

    and those are not well constrained. Thus subsidence estimates range

    from 10 to 30 mm/yr (e.g.,   Penland and Ramsey, 1990; Shinkle and

    Dokka, 2004). When comparing theBalize delta to other regions of the

    Louisiana coast,  Blum and Roberts (2009, p. 489)  do not provide an

    estimate of the Balize subsidence rate. Rather they simply state it is

    greater than the 6–8 mm/yr rate determined from the Grand Isle tide

    gauge in the Lafourche delta. For the purposes of this study, we have

    assigned to this region the conservative estimate of    N10 mm/yr for

    combined subsidence and eustatic sea-level rise.

    The study region is located on the Cubits Gap sub-delta, which

    roughly occupies the north-eastern quadrant of the MRD (Fig. 1). In

    the 1800s sediment to this sub-delta gradually inlled the then

    existing shallow seas between just north of Main Pass and Pass A

    L'Outre (Otter Pass). Like all interior marshes in the MRD, this sub-

    delta experienced deterioration and loss of its original marshes since

    the 1950s as a result of high relative sea-level rise rates and elevation

    decits that lead to the formation of huge shallow ponds in the

    interior freshwater regions by the later 1970s (Coleman et al., 2008).During sub-delta degradation, a second wetland growth phase can

    occur at a much smaller scale than the entire sub-delta complex

    through the formation of crevasse splays, which are also called

    overbank splays (Coleman, 1988). These splays are depositional

    BA

    10 km

    N LA

    Fig. 1. Illustrationof the activeBalizedeltaof the Mississippi Rivershowingland (stippledarea) present in1956 (A)and 1978 (B), modied fromWhite (1993). The starin (B) marks

    the large shallow pond where sediment inlling created the Brant Pass splay. The pond is located adjacent to Brant Pass between Main Pass to the north and Pass A L'Outre to the

    south.Thearrowin (A)pointsto theHead ofPasses atrivermile0 andshows themainchannel ofthe Mississippi Riversplitting into 3 principaldistributary passes, from west toeast,

    Southwest Pass, South Pass, and Pass A L'Outre.

    58   D.R. Cahoon et al. / Geomorphology 131 (2011) 57 –68

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    forms that develop, depending on local conditions, from overtopping

    or scouring of the natural levee resulting in a fan-shaped splay that

    can mimic larger deltas (Coleman, 1988; Roberts, 1997). This study

    took place in one of the largest shallow ponds formed in the sub-delta

    complex on Brant Pass Splay, which began forming after a crevasse

    opening along Brant Pass that appears in a 1978 photograph ( Fig. 2).

    Brant Pass is located on Delta National Wildlife Refuge.   Coleman

    (1988, pp. 36–37)   states the crevasse splay opened in 1975 and

    rapidly began 

    lling the pond. The Brant Pass Splay grew to a totalmarshland area (excluding adjacent ponds) of 2 km2 by 1983 and to

    approximately 5 km2 in 2000 (Fig. 2). Field measurements were

    collectedin the southern-most and largest splay lobe, which is thesite

    of a long-term vegetation study that was begun in 1983 (White, 1993,

    2008;   Fig. 3B). The southern lobe exists in the 1983 photograph

    (Fig. 2).Thuswhen samplingbegan for this study in 1997the lobewas

    more than 14 years of age.

    Among the vegetation associations and habitat settings on the

    southern lobe, we identied in 1997  ve habitat types that typically

    occur on most lobes of the Brant Pass Splay. In order of decreasing

    elevation and age, they are forest, high marsh, low marsh, pre-

    emergent, and open water (Fig. 3). A woody community initially

    dominated by   Salix nigra   (black willow) occurs on the highest

    elevation, upstream region (i.e., at the head) of the lobe. As the

    willows age and begin to die a mixed woody community composed

    of species of   Sesbania,   Baccharis, and   Iva   develops with a ground

    covering of several marsh species. From here on we refer to this as

    forest habitat, which is the oldest splay habitat. Downstream from the

    forest occurs the high marsh dominated by  Schoenoplectus deltarum

    (delta three-square), which is upslope from the adjacent low marsh

    where the higher elevation areas are dominated by  Sagittaria latifolia

    (delta duck-potato) and the lower elevation areas by   Sagittaria

     platyphilla. When environmental conditions are right, an attenuated

    elevation gradient and inundation pattern are created (White, 1993),

    leading to the development of extensive monospecic marshes of 

    these 3 herbaceous species (Fig. 3A).

    The habitats down slope from the low marsh are continually

    ooded. We identi

    ed two habitats in this sub-aqueous environment:pre-emergent and open water. The pre-emergent habitat represents

    an older portion of the open water habitat where sediment inlling

    has raised the substrate elevation to a level approximately half-way

    between open water and low marsh (Fig. 3). The substrate of the open

    water habitat is the lowest point on the elevation gradient and is the

    youngest splay habitat in terms of crevasse sedimentation history.

    Open water supports a submerged aquatic community of species in

    the genera   Najas,   Ceratophyllum,   Potomogeton, and   Heteranthera

    (Fig. 3). If the water is suf ciently deep and with signicant current,

    the open water habitat lacks submerged aquatic vegetation.

    The elevation of the substrate and its effect on   ooding controls

    development of each of these plant communities of the splay lobe.

    Therefore, it is the degree to which the elevation changes over distance

    that determines the extent of each community type along a lobe. This

    elevation and community typedelityis notonly shown down thelobes

    of each splay but also across the lobes, i.e., perpendicular to the general

    low water direction of currentow. Adjacent to the main feeder passes

    and even smaller channel meanders there is natural levee, the highest

    elevation that declines perpendicularly away from the source of water

    Fig. 2. A time series of false-color aerial winter photographs of the study region showing the large, shallow pond adjacent to Brant Pass in 1978 and the growing crevasse splay in

    1983, 1995, and 2000. The southern lobe of the splay, where this study was conducted, grew to over 3 km in length between 1983 and 2000. The red color indicates willow (Salix

    nigra) forest canopy and the white to lightest blue color indicates mud surfaces during the winter senescence when aboveground marsh vegetation is absent. The star indicates

    where D. White collected accretion and vegetation data from 1984 to 1990. In 1983, the star marked the location of mudat habitat, which by 1988 had become high marsh

    habitat.

    59D.R. Cahoon et al. / Geomorphology 131 (2011) 57 –68

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    ow (Fig. 4). This elevation change, however subtle, creates natural

    ‘shoreline-levee’ plant communities that would change into the typical

    community down-slope or into the wetlands perpendicular from the

    shoreline maintaining the same elevation/ ooding community  delityfor the down-lobe communities. The kind of  ‘shoreline levee’ commu-

    nity would depend upon its elevation still adhering to the general

    elevation and community type   delity relationship. This means that

    along a lobe an atypical vegetationtype along thedown-current axis can

    sometimes be found along a shoreline if past sedimentation events

    created the atypical conditions.So, sometimesmonospecic marshlands

    of any of the dominant marsh species can be bordered along a higher

    shoreline by a plant community typical of a higher elevation.

    3. Materials and methods

    In 1984, the environments of the young southern lobe included

    an exposed mudat/pre-emergent habitat located adjacent and down

    lobe of thehigh marsh habitat(star in the1983 image of Fig. 2). In 1984,

    White (1993) placed out 15 feldspar marker horizon plots (Cahoon and

    Turner, 1989) down and across this mudat/pre-emergent environ-

    ment that developed into highmarsh by 1988and later becameSiteB of 

    this study. Above-ground plant biomass was collected annually from1984 to 1990 andbelowground biomass collectedannually from 1985 to

    1989(Table1) along transects establishedon themudat/pre-emergent

    habitat and reported in   White (1993). At each transect across the

    lobe,  ve 0.25 m2 plots were harvested at peak aboveground biomass

    (late August–early September) both for above-ground and below-

    ground plant material. The aboveground live material was clipped at

    ground level and sorted by species, dried and weighed in the lab. The

    substrates in the clipped plotswere collected to a 30–40 cmdepth, well

    below root and rhizome growth, washed of mud, and the remaining

    below-ground material was dried and weighed with no attempt to sort

    by plant species.

    In 1997,  ve sites were chosen for sampling (Fig. 3) to examine

    marsh substrate elevation changes along the southern lobe and to

    capture inter-site elevation relationships. Each of the  ve sites was

    Fig. 3. (A) Conceptual diagram (not to scale) of a longitudinal prole of a typical lobe of the Brant Pass Splay identifying the elevation gradient across the woody, herbaceous and

    aqueous communities as conceptualized in White (1993) and represented by forest, highmarsh, low marsh, pre-emergent, and openwaterhabitats.Note thatthe vertical dimension

    is extremely increased relative to the horizontal scale. (B) Year 2000 image of the Brant Pass Splay study region showing the attenuated southern lobe and the location of the  ve

    sampling sites: A—Forest habitat (Salix nigra overstory with mixed sparse understory of the herbs of the High Marsh); B—High Marsh habitat (Schoenoplectus deltarum-dominated);

    C—Low Marsh habitat (Sagittaria latifolia-platyphilla dominated); D—Pre-emergent habitat (on the verge of becoming a marsh with scattered patches of Low Marsh dominants or

    submerged aquatics depending upon the degree of ooding); E—Open Water habitat (with occasional patches of submerged aquatics). The High Marsh, site B, corresponds with the

    location of the star in Fig. 2.

    60   D.R. Cahoon et al. / Geomorphology 131 (2011) 57 –68

    http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_7/image%20of%20Fig.%E0%B3%80

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    located within a principal wetland community described above

    (forest, high marsh, low marsh, pre-emergent, and open water). At

    two random locations within each site, a single surface elevation table

    bench mark and 3 marker horizon plots were established (Table 1).

    The surface elevation table–marker horizon method was used to

    collect multi-year, high resolution data on the relationship among

    vertical accretion, elevation change, and shallow subsidence (Cahoon

    et al., 1995, 1999, 2002). All stations were sampled approximately

    three times per year over the course of the 5 year study until winter

    2002. Additional marker horizons were added at some sites and an

    A

    B

    C

    2nd Channel Nascent Marsh Main Feeder Channel

    Substrate Surface 

    SET-MH Pipe and Platform 

    Shoreline - Levee 

    Highest Marsh (Mixed grasses/forbes) 

    Base Water Level 

    Filling Back Channel 

    Low Marsh(Sagittaria) 

    High Marsh(Scheonoplectus) 

    Main Feeder Channel

    lennahCredeeFniaMhsraMhgiHhsraMwoL

    Fig. 4. A cross-section diagram (not to scale)of the southernlobe of Brant Pass splayat theHighMarsh site (B in Fig. 3 andstarin Fig. 2) showing a time seriesof habitat changes that

    occurred beginning in 1984 (A) through 1997 and 2002 (B and C). The Nascent Marsh in A is mostly  ooded and on the verge of becoming marsh. Note the early second feeder

    channel on the backside of the lobe that became low marsh habitat (B and C). Note also the slight, but important, changes in substrate elevation that developed by 2002 (C),

    especially the small natural berm habitat immediately adjacent to the shoreline that supports a mixed high marsh with only scattered patches of  Schoenoplectus deltarum. Surface

    elevation table–marker horizon stations were established in this habitat in 1997.

     Table 1

    Annual time line and locations of the methods.

    Methodology Year

    84a 85a 86a 87a 88a 89a 90a 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02

    Aboveground biomass X X X X X X X

    Belowground biomass X X X X X X X X X

    Laser elevation surveys X X X

    Water level X X X

    Soil analysis X X X

    Marker horizon (accretion)

    1984 Mudat X X X X

    Forest 1b X X X X X X

    Forest 2b X X X X X

    High Marshb X X X X X

    Low Marsh

    b

    X X X X XPre-emergentb X X X X X X

    Open Water 1b X X X X

    Open Water 2b X X X X X

    Surface elevation table (elevation)c

    Forest X X X X X X

    High Marsh 1 X X X

    High Marsh 2 X X X X X X

    High Marsh 3 X X X

    Low Marsh X X X X X X

    Pre-emergent X X X X X X

    Open Water X X X X X X

    a Data were collected by White (1993) from mudat habitat indicated by the star in  Fig. 2, 1983 photograph. The data were reanalyzed for this study.b For each habitat indicated in Fig. 3B, 6 marker horizons were established, 3 at each of 2 stations. Second sets of marker horizons were placed out at the Forest and Open Water

    habitats after many of the original ones eroded away (i.e., Forest 2 and Open Water 2).c For each habitat indicated in Fig. 3B, a single surface elevation table was established at eachof 2 stations. In theHigh Marsh, one of the two stations(High Marsh 1) eroded away

    and was abandoned by the end of 1999. The second station (High Marsh 2) remained stable for the entire study. In 2000, a third station (High Marsh 3) was established to replace

    High Marsh 1.

    61D.R. Cahoon et al. / Geomorphology 131 (2011) 57 –68

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    additional surface elevation table was added at the high marsh site

    due to local erosion (Table 1). Consequently, some habitats have

    multiple sets of marker horizons spanning different time periods such

    that accretion measurement periods do not always match elevation

    measurement periods.

    Site elevation surveys were conducted in allve sites along the full

    length of the lobe on three dates (January 14, 1997, January 12, 1999,

    and May 25, 2000) using two Spectraphysics Laserplane 800

    laser levels (Table 1). Since there is no permanent bench mark inthis remote region only relative elevations of the 5 sites could be

    determined. The separate surveys were made to determine if there

    were any relative elevation changes among the sites and to obtain

    most accurate estimates of the differences among the sites. Since

    there were no inter-site shifts over this time period the three survey

    results were averaged to obtain mean relative elevations for each of 

    the  ve habitats.

    During the summer of 1997, a second below-ground biomass

    study was begun at all  ve sites along the southern lobe and carried

    out until summer 2000. At the end of each of 4 summers, substrate

    samples were collected from a single transect of  ve 0.25 m2 plots at

    each of the   ve sites and processed in the same manner as in the

    1980's study except the sample weights were not pooled by age. It is

    noteworthy that substrate sample depth in this later study did not

    sample to the fullest below-ground biomass depth in the forest and

    high marsh habitats because the roots and rhizomes had grown

    deeper into the substrate after 10 years. Therefore these data should

    be viewedas shallow root values(they likelyare within75–85% of full

    values) of late summer/early fall peak standing crop in g/m2.

    In order to determine the characteristics of the sediments

    delivered to the splay from the Mississippi River, soil samples were

    collectedannuallyat each of theve sites from areas where vegetative

    colonization had not occurred (Table 1). The procedures in  Barnes

    (1959) were used to determine particle size and loss on ignition of 

    the upper surface to 20 cm of each sample. Bulk densities were

    determined by collecting a known volume of the substrate, then wet

    and dry weight determined.

    Hourly water level data was collected from January 1998 to

    September 2000 (Table 1) using vented pressure transducers (5 psi)and a continuously recording data logger (Easylogger 900, Wescor

    Inc., Logan, UT). The water level recorder was located on the shoreline

    adjacent to the forest site.

     3.1. Statistical analyses

    Surface elevation change data were expressed as cumulative

    changefor each pin of the surface elevation table over time, starting at

    the initial, baseline measurement. Simple linear regressions were run

    for each position of each surface elevation table, using the pins within

    each position as replicates. Similarly, simple linear regressions were

    run on accretion data from each individual marker surface, using

    replicate observations as the error for each surface. Accretion data by

    default is expressed as cumulative change. Linear slope estimates

    were then used in mixed effects ANOVA models (SAS Proc Mixed) to

    test two main hypotheses. The  rst hypothesis involved comparing

    elevation trends among the   ve habitats. The second hypothesis

    compared accretion trends to elevation trends for each habitat type

    separately (

    ve model runs), in order to quantify shallow subsidence.In both cases, two model structures were compared: 1) the   “full”

    model, specifying the nested error structure (individual bench

    mark plots as samples, and positions within a surface elevation

    table bench mark, or individual accretion surfaces, as subsamples),

    and 2) the   “reduced”  model specifying only the positions within a

    surface elevation table bench mark, or the individual accretion

    surfaces. Since these two models are nested, their goodness of   t

    was compared using Akaike's Information Criterion adjusted for small

    sample sizes. Data transformations of the slope data (log or square

    root) were carried out as needed to resolve model assumptions. If a

    data transformation was necessary, it was used for both models, to

    enable comparisons of  t. A non-linear change in elevation trajectory

    was noted in several habitat sites over the last time interval (11/ 

    2002). To estimate the inuence of this effect, separate elevation

    change regressions were run on a truncated dataset which did not

    include this last time interval (9/1997–7/2001). Fortesting thesecond

    hypothesis, linear slope estimates corresponded to accretion and

    elevation data during time periods over which both datasets were

    intact. In other words, subsequent marker layer deployments were

    not combined to create longer accretion datasets. Finally, since one

    replicate surface elevation table bench mark in the high marsh site

    was located in an area that later developedinto a small feeder channel

    as the result of a natural breach of a shoreline levee, the bench mark

    was abandoned. A replacement bench mark was installed at a later

    time, but the data were not used in these statistical models since its

    data spanned a later and shorter time period. The high marsh site was

    thereforerepresented by only one surface elevation table bench mark.

    4. Results

    4.1. Sediment in lling 

    The sediment inlling the pond at Brant Pass and accumulating

    throughout the southern splay consisted mostly of  ne sand (N70%)

    with the remainder consisting of silts, clays and  ne organics. Average

    soil bulk densities were higher in the more mature parts of the splay,

    withvaluesb1 g cm−3 in thesubaqueous habitats(0.77to 0.87 g cm−3)

    and   N1 g cm−3 in the subaerial habitats (1.11 to 1.16 g cm−3). The

    elevation surveys conducted 22 to 25 years after the crevasse breach

     Table 2

    Comparison of average linear accretion and elevation change rates for each of  ve habitat types at a crevasse splay in southeast Louisiana.

    Site Time seriesa Accretion

    (cm yr−1±SE)

    Elevation change

    (cm yr−1±SE)

    Shallow subsidence (A–E)

    (cm yr−1±SE)

    ProbNF Revised RSLR  c

    (cm yr−1)

    Forest 9/97–7/01 0.64± 0.07 0.07± 0.06 0.57 ± 0.12 0.03⁎ N1.6

    Forest 7/98–11/02 0.85± 0.20 0.64± 0.18 0.22 ± 0.06 0.51   N1.2

    High Marshb 1/99–7/01 5.87± 0.66 5.97± 0.66   −0.10±0.00b 0.89   N1.0

    Low Marsh 1/99–7/01 1.63± 0.2 0.05± 0.20 1.57 ± 0.34   b 0.0001⁎⁎⁎ N2.6

    Pre-emergent§ 1/99–12/01 3.77± 0.01 3.55± 0.22 0.94 ± 0.51 0.71   N1.9

    Pre-emergent§ 1/99–11/02 4.50± 0.02 3.88± 0.14 0.85 ± 0.87 0.12   N1.8

    Open Water 1/97–10/00 8.77± 1.13 6.82± 0.99 2.10 ± 1.97 0.85   N3.1

    Open Water§ 1/99–7/01 9.36± 3.07 3.83± 0.12 5.53 ± 2.95 0.13   N6.5

    § ANOVA analysis conducted on log-transformed slope estimates.⁎   Indicates signicance at Pb0.05.

    ⁎⁎⁎   indicates signicance at Pb0.0001.a The full statistical model was run for all time series except for the high and low marshes where the reduced model was applied.b Based on the one sampling station with a continuous 5-year record.c

    RSLR=Relative Sea-level rise, which is the combined estimates of subsidence and eustatic sea-level rise = N

     10 mm/yr. Revised RSLR=RSLR+Shallow Subsidence.

    62   D.R. Cahoon et al. / Geomorphology 131 (2011) 57 –68

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    revealed an average elevation difference of 79 cm between soil surfaces

    in the forest and theopenwater (~3.25 kmdistance between A and E in

    Fig. 3), a 62 cm difference from the forest to the pre-emergent surface

    (~3.0 km distance between A and D in Fig. 3), and a 36 cm difference

    fromtheforestto thelowmarshsurface (~1.2 kmdistancefromA toC in

    Fig.3). Theelevation gradient,or slope,from theforest soil surface to the

    open water bottom (A–E in Fig. 3) is about 24 cm/km, about 21 cm/km

    from the forest to pre-emergent surfaces (A–D in Fig. 3), and about

    30 cm/km for the emergent, vegetated wetland surfaces (B–

    C in Fig. 3).A comparison of accretion and elevation change across the

    different habitats of the lobe indicates that the rate of bay inlling

    and elevation gain was not linear through time (Table 2, Fig. 5). The

    rate of sediment inlling measured as vertical accretion over articial

    soil marker horizons was inversely proportional to soil elevation

    levels within the tidal frame of the splay, with annual rates of 9.4 cm

    for open water, 3.8 cm for pre-emergent, 1.6 cm for low marsh, 5.9 cm

    for high marsh, and 0.6 cm for forest habitats (Table 2, Fig. 5). The rate

    for the highmarsh(Fig. 5B)doesnott the expected relationship with

    relative site elevation (it is nearly 4-fold greater than the adjacent

    downstream low marsh environment) because of the breach of the

    shoreline levee that occurred shortly after initiating measurements in

    this habitat. The breach scoured out a small feeder channel directly

    through one of the high marsh sampling stations, which had to be

    abandoned. Indeed, the elevation trend for both stations in the high

    marsh was negative and marker horizons were eroded away during

    channel formation (1997 to 1999). However, both accretion and

    elevation were strongly positive after channel formation when

    enhanced channel   ows through the shoreline levee delivered

    sediment directly to the interior marsh surface (1999 to 2002;

    Fig. 5B). New marker horizons established at this site after channel

    formation quickly became buried and remained stable for the

    duration of the study. So even though the high marsh has a higher

    relative elevation than the open water and mudat sites, its vertical

    accretion rate is comparable to these lower elevation sites because of 

    the sediments shunted across lobe through the new channel

    eventually past the low interior marsh to open water at the lowest

    end of the elevation gradient. The associated sediment load of this

    across lobe  ow pattern is much less than the load carried down thelobe parallel to the shorelinebecause of the large difference in volume

    of  ow (size of feeder channels) between the two directions. These

    realitiesare corroboratedby thevery lowelevation change(below the

    trend at all other sites) at the low marsh site and the very high (above

    the trend) elevation change at the high marsh site ( Table 2).

    A plot of vertical accretion against relative site elevation

    (excluding the high marsh site) reveals that for each 1 cm decrease

    in site elevation there is a 9.8±0.20 mm/yr increase in vertical

    accretion down the full length of the lobe (Fig. 6). Since suspended

    sediment supply is not limiting in this environment, the variation

    in sediment deposition is driven by variation in  ooding levels that

    are inversely correlated with elevation. In 1999, the forest site was

    ooded only 6% of the time during the highest tides and thus had the

    lowest accretion rate (Table 3, Fig. 5). The high and low marshes wereooded 50% and 94% of the time, respectively, and had intermediate

    accretionrates. Theopen water site waspermanentlyooded and had

    the highest accretion rate.

    The open water and pre-emergent habitats showed different

    temporal patterns of sedimentation (Fig. 5D, E). The open water

    habitat exhibited uniformly high rates of sedimentation throughout

    the study. In contrast, the pre-emergent habitat exhibited little to no

    sedimentation for 1.5 years, then a springtime sedimentation event

    (~1.4–1.5 cm), followed by a 2-year period of little to no sedimen-

    tation, another springtime sedimentation event (~1.0–1.1 cm), and

    then another period of little to no sedimentation.

    Fig. 5. Surface elevation and accretion changes at the  ve habitat sites of the southern

    lobe: forest, high marsh, low marsh, pre-emergent, and open water.

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    Of the 15 marker horizon plots established in October 1984, 7 plots

    were never recovered or disappeared in less than 6 months and thus

    were not analyzed. The results from the remaining plots reveal that

    a major sedimentation event of about 13–14 cm occurred on the

    mudat during the spring  oods of 1985 (Fig. 7). This rapid sediment

    deposition raised the soil elevation to a height suf cient to support

    marsh plant species dominated by   Schoenoplectus deltarum   as

    indicated by the rapid increase in aboveground plant biomass from

    b100 g/m2 in 1984 to   N800 g/m2 in 1987 and below-ground plant

    biomass from   b100 g/m2 in 1985 to 2200 g/m2 in 1986 (Fig. 7).

    Below-ground biomass then declined during the next two years until

    it leveled off by 1989. Following the conversion from mud   at to

    marsh habitat, the annualized rate of vertical accretion slowed from

    21.5±1.7 cm/yr (R 2=0.99) in the spring of 1985 to 1.4±0.6 cm/yr(R 2=0.72) for the period from summer 1985 to winter 1987.

    The loss of marker horizons in the 1980s and the need to re-

    establishmarker horizons at several sites in the 1990s (Table 1, Fig. 5)

    are indicative of the highly dynamic processes of sediment deposition

    and erosion in this splay environment. The occurrence of erosion

    indicates that our measurements of vertical accretion from marker

    horizons are biased upward because eroded surfaces are not factored

    into the accretion rate. Thus all accretion measures should be

    considered maximum estimates for this environment.

    4.2. Subsidence and surface elevation change

    Similar to vertical accretion, surface elevation change measured

    over the period for which vertical accretion data were available

    (~3 years) was inversely proportional to soil elevation levels within

    the tidal frame of the splay. Annual rates were 3.8 cm for open water,

    3.6 cm for pre-emergent, 0.05 cm for low marsh, 5.9 cm for high

    marsh, and 0.07 cm for forest habitats (Table 2, Fig. 5). For each 1 cm

    decrease in site elevation there is a 0.84±0.19 mm/yr increase in

    elevation change down the full length of the lobe ( Fig. 6). For the

    entire 5-year study, surface elevation change was inversely propor-

    tional to site elevation with annual rates of 5.5 cm for open water,

    3.9 cm for pre-emergent, 0.3 cm for low marsh,4.4 cm forhigh marsh,

    and 0.6 cm for forest habitats (Table 4). Surface elevation change at

    the high marsh site did not   t the relationship with site elevation

    for the same reason as vertical accretion. However, surface elevation

    change was consistently lower than vertical accretion at all sites, with

    the exception of the atypical high marsh site where it was equal,indicating the occurrence of shallow subsidence in the lobe. Elevation

    gain was signicantly lower than accretion for the vegetated forest

    and low marsh sites (Table 2). Differences between accretion and

    elevation were comparable or greater in the open water and pre-

    emergent sites compared to vegetated sites, but were not signicant.

    In general, the rate of shallow subsidence (calculated as accretion

    minus elevation) decreased along the elevation gradient from the

    aquatic (N5 cm/yr) to herbaceous to forested (b1 cm/yr) habitats

    (Fig. 6, Table 2).

    Below-ground biomass increased signicantly from the aquatic

    sites (open water and pre-emergent) to the herbaceous marshes

    to the forest (Fig. 8). Below-ground biomass was   b80 g/m2 in the

    sparsely vegetated open water and pre-emergent sites, ranged from

    600 to 1600 g/m2

    in the herbaceous marshes, and reached a peak of N3000 g/m2 in the forest.

     Table 3

    Hydroperiod for 5 sites on the southern lobe of Brant Pass splay, 1999.

    Variable Site

    Forest High

    Marsh

    Low

    Marsh

    Pre-emergent Open

    Water

    Total hoursa 8143 8143 8143 8143 8143

    Flood events 50 180 66 3 1

    Flooded hours 494 4090 7672 8134 8143

    Time  ooded (%) 6.07 50.23 94.22 99.89 100.00

    Longest ood (h) 77 795 4656 7959 8143

    Mean  ood

    depth (cm)

    3.67 6.31 16.53 28.24 77.01

    a

    Start date = Jan. 26, 1999; stop date = Jan 1, 2000; length of record=340 days.

    Fig.7. Accretion, andabove-ground andbelow-ground biomass at thesite indicated by the

    star in Fig. 2—1983. In 1984 the site was mudat. After the spring 1985 sedimentation

    event (inlling), the site was colonized by emergent vegetation and converted to low

    marsh habitat, at which time the sedimentation rate decreased (maintenance). By 1988,

    this site had become high marsh (site B in  Fig. 3).

     Table 4

    Elevation trajectoriesover the5 years of thestudy foreach habitat type. Siteelevation is

    relative to the level of the water bottom in the Open Water habitat.

    Site Site elevation (cm) Elevation change (cm yr−1±SE)

    Forest 79 0.6 ±0.3

    High Marsh 73 4.4 ±0.6a

    Low Marsh 43 0.3 ±0.2

    Pre-emergent 17 3.9 ±0.6

    Open Water 0 5.5 ±0.7

    a

    The elevation trajectory for the high marsh is based on only one sampling station.

    Fig. 6. Accretion and surface elevation change regressed against relative site elevation.

    The High Marsh habitat data were not included in the analysis. See   Table 2   for a

    description of the sampling intervals at each site and   Table 4   for the actual site

    elevations.

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    5. Discussion

    5.1. Elevation capital and wetland formation

    Delta lobes, sub-deltas, and crevasse splays experience three phases

    of growth and abandonment: rapid growth with stable to increasing

    river discharge, relative stability as discharge begins to wane, and

    abandonment, after which subsidence dominates vertical development

    (Roberts, 1997). The Brant Pass Splay has experienced the   rst two

    phases, and is likely in the beginning of the third phase. The high

    suspended sediment concentrations in the Mississippi River and the

    rapid rate of sediment inlling through the 1975 crevasse at Brant Pass

    more than compensated for both the high rates of regional subsidence

    and the local shallow subsidence (Figs. 5 and 6,   Table 2) related to

    substrate compaction through sediment overburden and consolidation

    of newly deposited sediments (Cahoon et al., 2000). The shallowopen water habitat of the original ~8 km2 pond of the 1970s converted

    to a vegetated crevasse splay in less than 10 years, and expanded to

    more than 5 km2 in size and   lled much of the pond in less than

    25 years. As the splay developed, the rate of accumulation of elevation

    capital and the elevation gradient decreased as the hydrologic gradient

    became reduced. This can be deduced from an evaluation of the aerial

    photographs from the 1980s and our empirical data from the late

    1990s. The negative feedback relationship between site elevation and

    the rate of vertical development is similar to that reported for estuarine

    (Temmerman et al., 2004) and back-barrier (Pethick, 1981) tidal

    marshes, where young low marsh surfaces accumulate quickly and

    asymptotically up to an equilibrium level around mean high water level

    and higher marsh surfaces accumulate much slower. In the case of the

    Brant Pass splay environment, the sequence is from shallow open waterto forested wetland habitats, and the sequence occurs on a sub-decadal

    timescale. Indeed, Coleman (1988, p. 37) suggests that crevasse splays

    like Brant Pass are rarely active for more than 10 to 15 years,  Roberts

    (1997, p. 614) suggests no more than 2–3 decades, and can result in up

    to a 3-meter thick sedimentary deposit.

    Initially, rapid sediment inlling raised the elevation of the

    substrate to a level that supported willow forest in b8 years (compare

    1978 and 1983 images in Fig. 2) and the gradient from forest to open

    water spanned no more than 0.5 km.The steepness of thegradientled

    to abrupt changes among plant communities and the absence of a low

    marsh habitat (D. White, personal observation, 1984). The marsh was

    situated between the forest and a young mudat community on the

    accretingnewly emergent substrate of the elongating lobe. Thismarsh

    became dominated by Schoenoplectus deltarum and the young mudat

    community that had colonized the new sub-aerial surface became

    dominated by a mixture of herbaceous species (White, 1993). On

    this steep gradient, the large 1985 sedimentation event led to the

    abrupt conversion of the mudat to high marsh by 1988. The large

    1985 sedimentation event was related to an unusually high spring

    Mississippi River discharge and concomitant high sediment load. This

    springevent wasone of thefour largest duringthe 18 year periodfrom

    1984 to 2002 (Fig. 2 in Blum and Roberts, 2009, p. 489). Additionally,

    there was likely a greater accommodation space in 1985 on the steepgradient of the young splay, which allowed for the greater increase in

    elevation. This area was still high marsh (i.e., had not become forest)

    when we began sampling in 1997, and remained high marsh for the

    duration of our study. So clearly the rate of elevation and habitat

    changeon thehigher portions of thelobe slowedduring thelate 1980s

    and the 1990s.

    As the splay matured and the mid and outer reaches of the pond

    lled, the slope became more attenuated and the gradient shallower

    as the lobe grew to several kilometers in length (e.g., compare aerial

    photos in Fig. 2). Coincident with the attenuation of the slope in the

    1990s, a distinct low marsh community of  Sagittaria spp. developed

    between the high marsh and mudat. It later replaced the herbaceous

    mixture of species as the gradient lessened even more. This gradual

    leveling   rst became evident as the near monospecic   Sagittaria

    latifolia  low marsh community was replaced by Sagittaria platyphilla

    on only the lower portions between the shallow water edges of the

    open water, which we subsequently named pre-emergent. In 1997,

    we identied only an extended pre-emergent habitat (the area

    between sites C and D in Fig. 3B) fronting the low marsh habitat with

    no mudat habitat present.

    Not surprisingly, the rate of accumulation of elevation capital also

    varies among the habitats. The high sediment concentrations in the

    Mississippi River ensurethat sedimentation in theopen water areas of 

    the pond remains comparatively high year after year. The high, linear

    rates of sediment inlling in the open water habitat contrast with the

    pre-emergent habitat where the accretionary response slows and

    becomes more variable. This shallower sub-aqueous habitat is

    apparently more sensitive to changes in Mississippi River discharge

    and sediment load than the open water habitat as indicated by thespring sedimentation events separated by 1–2 year periods of little

    sediment deposition (Fig. 5D). Thus, in the 25-year old splay, the

    conversion of pre-emergent to low marsh habitat apparently occurs

    through the cumulative effects of modest biennial or triennial spring

    sedimentation events. This is not to say that the conversion to

    low marsh could not occur abruptly as a result of a single, large

    sedimentation event (e.g., a storm or historic river  ood) as occurred

    in the 10-year old splay in 1985 when the mudat habitat converted

    to low marsh after a 13–14 cm spring sedimentation event. In

    addition to the down-lobe pattern of increasing elevation capital

    with decreasing elevation (Fig. 6), the data from the high marsh

    (Site B), where a breach in the shoreline levee introduced sediments

    to the back-marsh that caused a sharp increase in the accretion rates,

    suggests that the accretion rate decreases with distance from theshorelinelevee, as hasbeen reported for other estuarinetidal marshes

    (Reed et al., 1999; Temmerman et al., 2004).

    The development of vegetated marsh marks an important tran-

    sition point in the accretionary development of the splay. Although

    river-born sediment inlling caused the initial increase in substrate

    elevation that led eventually to wetland formation, now both mineral

    sediment deposition and plant organic matter accumulation in the

    soil contribute to further increases in elevation. The rate of accrual of 

    elevationcapital in allof theemergentvegetated habitats (i.e., thelow

    and high marsh, the forest habitat) slows dramatically compared to

    the rates of the subaqueous habitats, in large part because of their

    higher elevation and the subsequent reduction in the frequency,

    depth and duration of  ooding. Vertical development of the substrate

    isnowinuencedby the trapping of sediment by the vegetation when

    Fig. 8. Below-ground biomass at each of the ve habitats along the southern splay lobe,

    1997–2000.

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    the marsh surface is  ooded and the accumulation in the soil of plant

    organic matter that consists primarily of roots and rhizomes in this

    high energy environment where surface litter is washed away ( Reed,

    2002; Rybczyk and Cahoon, 2002).

    Given the reduction in   ooding and sediment delivery to these

    higher-elevation habitats, the role of below-ground biomass in

    maintaining soil volume and elevation capital in these habitats is

    critical (Figs. 7 and 8). During the  rst year of vegetative colonization

    from 1985 to 1986, below-ground biomass increased more than oneorder of magnitude (Fig. 7) as a result of root growth by a rapidly

    increasing number of new plants (as deduced from the increase in

    above-ground biomass) invading an unoccupied niche (i.e., a bare

    sediment surface at an elevation suitable for emergent plant

    establishment and growth). We propose the following mechanism

    to explain the initial phase of marsh formation (i.e., conversion of 

    mudat to low marsh).

    During the   rst year of colonization of this empty niche, plant

    density is increasing rapidly and root growth rates are high because the

    plants are allocating resources to root growth in order to scavenge for

    nutrients.At thesame time, mortality rates of thenew, young root tissue

    are low. This unique circumstance accounts for the explosive rate of 

    accumulationof below-ground biomass, whichquickly helpsto stabilize

    the sub-aerial muddy substrate vulnerable to erosion by waves and

    storms. As the niche  lls and the plant community matures during the

    next 2–3 years, plant colonization slows and root mortality and

    decomposition increase, resulting in a gradual decline in below-ground

    biomass. Over time, the low and high marsh habitats continue to accrue

    elevation relative to sea level, albeit at a much slower rate. Indeed, the

    marsh that began to form in 1985 was not fully developed until 1988

    (White, 1993). We hypothesize that the high marsh replaces the low

    marsh, and the forested wetland replaces the high marsh by a process

    Morris (2006) refers to as geomorphological displacement. That is, the

    invading species modies its environment and raises the elevation to a

    levelthat excludesthe original species. Theupper limit to theacquisition

    of elevation capital is determined by the optimum growth range of 

    the vegetation at a site (Morris et al., 2002), which is directly related

    to the tidal range at that site (McKee and Patrick, 1988; Kirwan and

    Guntenspergen, 2010).The forest site represents the highest elevation and level of maturity

    for this lobe environment. At this mature stage of development, the

    maintenance of intertidal elevations is controlled by the feedbacks

    and adjustments among plant biomass density, sedimentation, and

    the local rate of relative sea-level rise (Reed, 2002; Morris, 2007). Has

    the acquisition of elevation capital ceased at this mature site such that

    vertical development of the substrate only counterbalances the local

    processes of subsidence and sea-level rise, which conservatively is

    N10 mm/yr? We hypothesize that the forest site is still acquiring

    elevation capitalfor tworeasons. Therate of elevationchange (6 mm/yr,

    Table 4) lags behind the relative sea-level rise rate and the forest is

    beginning to convert to herbaceous marsh, indicating that the marsh

    elevation is becoming lower relative to local sea level. In addition,

    relative sea-level rise rates estimated from tide gauges do not includethe subsidencethat occurs above the base of the piling to which the tide

    gauge is attached. However, it is for that portion of the substrate above

    the base of the piling that the SET-MH technique measures shallow

    subsidence (Cahoon et al., 1999; Rybczyk and Cahoon, 2002). Adding

    ourestimates of shallow subsidence to theN10 mm/yrrate derived from

    the tide gauges effectively makes the revised relative sea-level rise rate

    at the forest site   N12–16 mm/yr (Table 2). These data indicate that

    relative sea-level rise is outpacing wetland vertical development in

    themid to outer reaches of thesplay,suggesting thataccrualof elevation

    capital is continuing in an attempt to  ll the accommodation space.

    Given the reduction in hydrologic ef ciencies of this mature crevasse

    splay, it is unlikely that the mid to outer reaches of the splay will attain

    an elevation where the rate of accrual of elevation capital is zero (i.e.,

    the accommodation space is  lled completely) before the degradation

    phase of the delta cycle begins, if it has not already begun. In contrast,

    the forest habitats on the oldest lobes of the splay adjacent to the

    crevasse opening (see 2000 image in Fig. 2) were stable and healthy at

    this time. This suggests that these oldest forest settings are still accruing

    elevation capital or are in equilibrium (i.e., zero accrual) with relative

    sea-level rise.

    5.2. Implications for wetland sustainability

    The processes of growth and development of a crevasse splay

    provide an analog for the key factorscontrolling wetlandformation and

    sustainability acrossmajordelta lobes. In a maturemarsh, theimportant

    role of vegetative biomass in maintaining elevation capital has several

    implications for wetland sustainability. A mature vegetated substrate

    provides some resistance to erosion caused by high-magnitude, low-

    frequency (acute) events (e.g., hurricanes) through the properties of 

    vegetated substrates to bind soil and baf e storm surges  (Cahoon,

    2006), and resilience to low-magnitude, high frequency (chronic)

    events (e.g., sea-level rise) through vegetation trapping of sediments

    (Gleason et al., 1979) and accumulation of organic matter in the soil

    (Nyman et al., 2006). Also, models predict that if inorganic sediment

    supply decreases or sea-level rise accelerates in an already sediment-

    poor marsh, some marshes can maintain elevation by increasing plant

    production andorganic carbonstorage, at least until the rate of sea-level

    rise exceeds some critical threshold (Mudd et al., 2009).

    Stabilization of elevation capital by vegetation means that wetland

    elevation is vulnerable to environmental factors that inuence plant

    production, including eutrophication of the local water body, elevated

    concentrations of atmospheric CO2, herbivory,   re, and increased

    ooding. These factors can have either a positive or negative effect on

    elevation. For example, increased above-ground growth related to N

    and P fertilization can lead to increased sediment trapping capacity

    (Morris et al., 2002), and elevated atmospheric concentrations of CO2can lead to increased root growth and elevation gain in some species

    (Langley et al., 2009; Cherry et al., 2009). Conversely, nitrogen

    enrichment can negate, at least in part, the stimulatory effect of CO2on root growth and elevation gain (Langley et al., 2009), and cause a

    reduction in below-ground production and negative elevationtrajectories in mangrove forests where elevation gain occurs primarily

    through accumulation of root matter (McKee et al., 2007). Grazing by

    nutria in a brackish marsh can cause a reduction in below-ground

    production that leads to decreased elevation (Ford and Grace, 1998).

    Burning of a brackish marsh can cause an increase in the volume of 

    root biomass that leads to increased elevation (Cahoon et al., 2004).

    Plant production by   Spartina alterni ora   increases as the elevation

    of the salt marsh becomes lower within its optimum growth range,

    and then decreases as elevations approach the minimum depth at

    which vegetation can grow (Morris et al., 2002). Lastly, death of the

    vegetation leads to root decomposition and rapid peat collapse, and

    rapid conversion of the wetland back to mudat or shallow open

    water habitat (Cahoon et al., 2003; Morris et al., 2002).

    6. Conclusions

    Small crevasse splay environments provide a mesocosm for

    evaluating wetland formation and maintenance processes (from

    subtidal through to mature marsh habitats) on a decadal time-scale.

    There are three distinct phases to the accrual of elevation capital and

    wetland formation: sediment inlling, vegetative colonization,

    and development of a mature wetland community. Mineral sediment

    inlling initially leads to rapid increases in elevation relative to sea

    level and creates a distinct elevation gradient. Rates of inlling slow

    and become non-linear as elevation increases. When elevation

    increases to within the intertidal zone and the mud surfaces become

    sub-aerial, vegetative colonization occurs within the   rst growing

    season. An explosively high rate of belowground root production

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    quickly stabilizes the loosely consolidated sub-aerial sediments.

    The accrual of elevation capital slows dramatically in this marsh

    environment. Vertical development is now driven by sediment-

    trapping by the vegetation and accumulation of plant organic matter

    in the soil. The rate of accrual of elevation capital continues to slow as

    elevation increases and marsh converts to forest. All three phases

    occur rapidly (b8 years) during initial splay formation. Then as the

    pond  lls and the hydrologic gradient becomes reduced, the rate of 

    accrual of elevation capital and the maturation of the wetlandcommunity slows. Indeed, the high marsh that formed in 1988 just

    13 years after the crevasse opening was still high marsh in 2003.

    Given the mature stage of the splay (i.e., the size of the splay relative

    to the receiving pond), this high marsh environment may never

    become a forested wetland.

    The formation of vegetated communities marks an important stage

    in splay development and stability. The presence of vegetated marsh

    stabilizes the loosely consolidated sediment. Furthermore, vertical

    development and survival of the marsh now depend upon the health

    and productivity of the plant community. This may not be of critical

    importance in a short-lived crevasse splay (b30 years) where subsi-

    dence soon dominates vertical development after marsh formation.

    However, in large delta lobes andother non-deltaic wetlands, therole of 

    plant productivity in vertical development can be critical for wetland

    sustainability. To improve projections of wetland sustainability, further

    research is needed on the environmental factors (e.g., storms,

    disturbance, eutrophication, increased temperatures, and changes in

    precipitation and river   ows) and their interaction with the plant

    community dynamics and physical processes within the marsh that

    control elevation change throughout all landscape scales (single lobe to

    full delta) in thelife of a delta. Both wetlandformation andmaintenance

    processes are complex and non-linear.

     Acknowledgements

    We thank T. Crane, L. Wilkinson, R. Holland, B. Segura and B. Perez

    for their help with   eld work and sample processing in the lab.

     J. Harris and the staff of the Delta National Wildlife Refuge provided

    invaluable logistical support for this project. P. Hensel providedstatistical advice and support. Use of trade, product, or  rm names

    does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

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