security overview of the asia-pacific. outline - characteristics of the security environment -...
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Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Outline- Characteristics of the Security Environment - Regional Perspectives
South East AsiaNorth East AsiaSouth AsiaOceania
- Thematic PerspectivesPersistent FlashpointsTransnational Threats
- Wild Cards- Meeting the Future- Conclusion
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Overview Perspective
Looking at Security
in the Asia-Pacific
from the Perspective of
the Security Practitioner
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Characteristics of the Security Environment
- Tremendous Diversity
- Historical Animosities
- Politically and Economically Dynamic
- Relatively Benign
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Characteristics of the Security Environment
- High Priority on Economic Development
- Tension between Globalization and National Sovereignty
- Anxiety over the Rise of China and the Future of U.S. – China Relations
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – South East Asia
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – South East Asia
- Overall Success of ASEAN
- High Levels of Economic Integration and Socio-Economic Development Needed to Meet the Challenges of Transnational Threats and China/India
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – North East Asia
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – North East Asia
- Major Power Relations in Perpetual Flux
- Large Disparities in Political Systems and Economic Development
- Limited Transnational Integration
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – South Asia
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – South Asia
- Large Disparities in Demographics and Economies
- Dynamic of Relations with Outside Major Powers (U.S.-China-Russia)
- Looming Resource and Environmental Challenges
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – Oceania
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Regional Perspectives – Oceania
- Overall Success of Pacific Islands Forum
- Concern over Environment especially Climate Change
- Sensitivity to Transnational Threats
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Thematic Perspectives
Persistent Flashpoints – China-Taiwan
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Thematic Perspectives
Persistent Flashpoints – Korean Peninsula
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Thematic PerspectivesPersistent Flashpoints – India-Pakistan
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Thematic PerspectivesPersistent Flashpoints – Various Insurgencies
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Thematic Perspectives – Transnational Threats
- Terrorism and Transnational Crime
- Environmental Degradation
- Movements of People
- Resource Competition
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Wild Cards
The what ifs:
- Natural Disaster
- Economic Crisis
- Epidemic Disease
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Meeting the Future - Changing Security Environment
- Smaller region/world (globalization)
- Wider and faster spread of Information and public awareness (IT revolution and 24hr media)
- Expanded Security challenges including anti-terrorism and anti-crime (transnational threats)
– Events seem to happen faster– Leaders have less time to make decisions – Debate and critique is less private and more public
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific
Meeting the Future
Succeeding in an Increasingly Complex Environment
Characterized by Conflicting Trends …
rising urgency for governments to defeat
any and all security challenges
decreasing acceptanceof failure and/or instability
expansion of global
media
spread ofpublic
information
Security Overview of the Asia-PacificConclusion
- The Asia-Pacific’s complexity, economic power, political diversity, and strategic importance are increasing every day
- The security dynamic is transnational in nature, characterized both by common trends across the region and individual circumstances that make each member state unique
- Yesterday’s security strategies will not adequately meet the challenges of tomorrow- Security practitioners must cooperate across the region maximizing their strengths toward the common goal of a secure and stable Asia-Pacific
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific