secure america now national jewish 0611 website graphs new

8/6/2019 Secure America Now National Jewish 0611 WebSite Graphs NEW

1/60

National Survey

American Jewish Voters

SecureAmericaNow.org

July 2011

Pat Caddell Logo?


2/60

2

McLaughlin & Associates partnered with Pat Caddell toconduct this bipartisan poll of 600 likely American Jewish

voters between June 21-23, 2011.

All interviews were conducted via telephone by professionalinterviewers. Interview selection was random withinpredetermined units. These units were structured to

correlate with Jewish population census.

This poll of 600 likely American Jewish voters has anaccuracy of +/- 4.0% at a 95% confidence interval.

Methodology

American Jewish VotersJune 2011



3/60

3

Profile of Likely Jewish Voters



Party Affiliation: Democratic (57%), Republican (17%) & Independent (23%)

Ideology: Liberal (39%), Moderate (34%) & Conservative (23%)

Vote Behavior: Democratic (58%), Ticket Splitter (18%) & Republican (20%)

2008 Vote for President: Obama (65%), McCain (24%), Other (2%) & Did Not Vote-Not Registered Then (3%)

Generic Vote for Congress: Democratic Candidate (58%), Republican (26%) &Undecided (17%)

Religiously: Reform (30%), Conservative (27%), Non-Practicing (22%), Orthodox-Hassidic (10%), Other (7%) & Atheist (3%)

Belong to a Synagogue: Yes (52%) & No (45%)

Family or Friends in Israel: Yes (49%) & No (50%)


4/60

4

Major Findings

1. Despite a slight decline from a year ago, President Obamas opinion ratings remainstrong among American Jewish voters.

A. About two-thirds (64% to 31%) have a favorable opinion of President Obama. Anet 7-point decrease from his opinion rating in April of last year (67% favorableto 27% unfavorable).

B. President Obamas job approval tracks closely with his opinion rating (63%

approve to 35% disapprove). A net 6-point decline since April of last year (66%to 31%).

C. Nearly two-thirds (65% to 30%) approve of the job President Obama is doingregarding Americas defense and security.




5/60

5

Major Findings

2. The majority believes things in the United States are headed off on the wrong track.The plurality is primarily concerned about economic issues and when it comes to themost important issue facing the American Jewish community, the top priority isIsrael.

A. By a 2 to 1 ratio (56% to 25%), the majority believes things in the U.S. areheaded off on the wrong track.

B. Generally speaking, when deciding their vote for President, the most importantissue category is economic (44%) followed by social (31%), foreign affairs(14%), moral (4%) and other local issues (1%).

C. The most important issue facing the American Jewish community are (topverbatim responses): Israel (15%), anti-Semitism (11%), economicsituation (8%), assimilation (6%), Obama/Israel policy (4%) and terrorism

(3%).




6/60

6

Major Findings

3. American Jewish voters are overwhelmingly concerned about the security of Israel.The overall sense is that the state of Israel is besieged.

A. Nearly every Jewish voter is concerned (93%) about Israel being threatened byArab nations and Iran that want to destroy Israel. Three-quarters (75%) arevery concerned.

B. The majority thinks the protests in the Arab World are more dangerous (54%)

than good (21%) for Israel.C. American Jewish voters believe Iran is the top threat to Israel. Top verbatim

responses: Iran (23%), Arab Countries/Neighbors (14%), Palestinians

(9%) and Barack Obama (5%).

D. If sanctions against Iran fail, and Israel were to attack Iran to stop them from

developing a nuclear weapon, most Jewish voters (72% to 16%) would view itas an act of self-defense than an act of aggression.

E. Fox News (20%) and CNN (18%) are the most trusted news organizations toreport international news and Israel fairly.




7/607

Major Findings4. There is a majority consensus among American Jewish voters on key Israel policies.

A. An overwhelming majority (81% to 8%) disapproves of the U.N. voting to declare aPalestinian state that refuses to renounce terrorists and is linked to terroristorganizations.

B. Four in five (81%) are against Israel being forced to return to its pre-1967 borders,which were susceptible to attack.

C. Nearly three-quarters (73%) believe Jerusalem should remain the undivided capital

of Israel. Only 8% thinks the United States should force Israel to give parts ofJerusalem, including Christian and Jewish holy sites, to the Palestinian Authority.

D. Two-thirds (64%) think that if the Palestinian Authority were given their own state inthe West Bank, part of Jerusalem, and Gaza, they would continue their campaign ofterror to destroy Israel. Only 16% thinks they would live peacefully with Israel.

E. An overwhelming majority (88% to 5) agrees with the position that before the

Palestinian Authority is given their own country, they must first recognize Israelsright to exist as a Jewish state.

F. American Jewish voters are strongly favorable to Israeli Prime Minister BenjaminNetanyahu (65% favorable to 20% unfavorable).




8/608

Survey Highlights

5. American Jewish voters have mixed feelings about President Obamas policiesregarding Israel. Significant segments of Jewish voters are very concerned about

the Presidents policies towards Israel and their future implications.

A. Regarding the Palestinian-Israel conflict, 43% is unsure who President Obamafavors. Among those with an opinion, more Jewish voters think he favors thePalestinians (31% to 26%).

B. The plurality (46%) thinks President Obamas polices dont endanger thesecurity of Israel but nearly 2 in 5 (38%) thinks his policies do put Israel indanger.

C. Jewish voters are split on whether they trust President Obama to order theAmerican Ambassador to the U.N. to veto any resolution which declares thatthe Palestinian Authority government is a legitimate Palestinian state although

they refuse to renounce terrorism and are still linked to terrorism (41% yes/trustvs. 40% no/dont trust).




9/609

Survey Highlights

6. American Jewish voters have concerns about security here in the United States.

A. There are mixed opinions about President Obamas policy of outreach to theMuslim world. One-third (34%) says his policy has increased the security of theUnited States while 31% believes it has decreased our security and 35%doesnt know.

B. Three-quarters (76%) are concerned about Islamic terrorism in the United

States being caused by American Muslims. Over one-third (38%) is veryconcerned.

C. If reports are true that Iran has plans to place missiles in Venezuela, theplurality approves (44% to 32%) using the U.S. military to destroy the bases ifeconomic and diplomatic sanctions on Venezuela dont work.

D. Six in ten (58%) disapprove of building a Mosque near the site of Grand Zero inNew York City, which is funded by wealthy foreign Arabs. Only 28% approve.




10/6010

Survey Highlights

7. Among this heavily, most Democratic group, President Obamas re-elect numbersare surprisingly soft. It appears the Presidents policies and stances on Israel and

the Middle East have caused American Jewish voters to rethink their support for thePresident.

A. 65% claim they voted for President Obama in 2008, 64% have a favorableopinion of the President and 63% approve of the job he is doing as President;however, only two in five (43%) would vote to re-elect President Obama. Theplurality (48%) would consider someone else and 9% are undecided.

B. In April of last year, President Obama had a +11 job approval rating onhandling Americas relations with Israel (50% to 39%). Now his job rating is 7-points upside down (43% to 50%), which is a net loss of 18-points.

C. Considering that President Obama has proposed a return to the 1967 borders,

dividing Jerusalem, and allowing the right of return for Palestinian Arabs toIsrael, two-thirds (67% to 24%) are concerned about President Obamaspolicies towards Israel if he were re-elected.




11/6011

Opinion:Barack Obama


4/10 6/11

Favorable 67 64

Unfavorable 27 31



12/60

FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV

TOTAL 64 31 Vote Republican Cong. 14 79 Obama Favor Israel 87 10

Northeast 63 33 Vote Democrat Cong. 89 8 Obama Favor Palestinian 29 67

Midwest 68 28 Vote Undecided Cong. 56 36 Republican 15 82

South 61 32 Re-Elect Obama 95 3 Democrat 84 12

West 69 26 Consider Someone Else 34 60 Independent 52 42

Massachusetts 85 7 Right Direction 91 5 Liberal 88 9

New Jersey 70 30 Wrong Track 46 49 Moderate 65 32

New York 58 36 Economic Issues 53 44 Conservative 23 68

Pennsylvania 61 39 Social Issues 87 9 Ticket Splitter 45 43

Illinois 73 27 Foreign Affairs/Defense 48 43 Belong to Synagogue 65 29

Florida 57 32 Moral Issues 64 32 No Synagogue 64 32

Maryland 76 19 Local Issues 80 20 Family/Friends in Israel 64 31

California 72 24 Fav Obama 100 0 None in Israel 63 31

Rest of Country 59 35 Unfav Obama 0 100 Under 40 56 38

Orthodox/Hasidic 31 58 Approve Obama Job 92 5 41-55 67 29

Conservative 64 33 Disapprove Obama Job 17 79 56-65 68 29

Reform 70 24 App. Obama US Security 82 14 Over 65 63 32

Non-Practicing 69 25 Disap. Obama US Security 25 70 Men 63 32

Very Religious 45 48 Approve Obama Israel 92 5 Women 65 30

Somewhat Religious 64 31 Disap. Obama - Israel 38 57

Not Religious 74 21

Voted McCain 15 80

Voted Obama 85 11

12American Jewish VotersJune 2011

Opinion: Barack Obama



13/6013

Job Approval:Barack Obama


4/10 6/11

Approve 66 63

Disapprove 31 35



14/60

APP. DISAPP. APP. DISAPP. APP. DISAPP.











Florida 58 39 Moral Issues 68 32 No Synagogue 61 37Maryland 81 19 Local Issues 80 20 Family/Friends in Israel 63 35






Non-Practicing 66 29 Disap. Obama

US Security 20 79 Men 60 38



Not Religious 73 26

Voted McCain 13 87

Voted Obama 84 14


Job Approval: Barack Obama



15/6015

Do you approve or disapprove of the jobBarack Obama is doing regardingAmericas defense and security?


4/10 6/11

Approve 68 65

Disapprove 26 30



16/60






















Not Religious 73 21

Voted McCain 32 66

Voted Obama 80 15


Approve/Disapprove Obama on Defense



17/6017

Direction:United States


4/10 6/11

Right 49 25

Wrong 36 56


Di i U i d S


18/60

Right Wrong Right Wrong Right Wrong





















Not Religious 30 50

Voted McCain 6 89

Voted Obama 33 43


Direction: United States


G ll ki h d idi t f P id t h t b d i t lik l t


19/6019

Generally speaking, when deciding your vote for President, what broad issue area are you most likely tofocus on in deciding who you will vote for?

1. Social issues like health care, education and the environment2. Economic issues like taxes, rising prices, government spending, the deficit, debt, the economy and creating jobs

3. Foreign affairs and national defense issues such as terrorism and our policies in Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Israel4. Moral issues like pro-life, prayer in school, and declining moral values

5. Other local issues like crime, drugs, welfare reform and immigration

44

31

14

41

7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Economic Social Foreign

Affairs

Moral Other Social DK/Refused




20/60

20

Specifically, what is the most important issuefacing the American Jewish community today?

(Top Verbatim Responses)

15

11

8

6

4

3

3

3

2

2

33

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Israel

AntiSemitism

Economic Situ.

Assimilation

Obama/Israel Pol.

Terrorism

Unemployment

Middle East Situ.

Israel/Palestine

Intermarriage

DONT KNOW




21/6021

How concerned are you about Israel being threatened byArab nations and Iran that want to destroy Israel?




22/60


23/60

23

Do you think that the protests in the ArabWorld are good or dangerous for Israel?



Do o think that the protests in the Arab World are good or dangero s for Israel?


24/60

Good Dangerous Good Dangerous Good Dangerous





















Not Religious 25 47

Voted McCain 12 71

Voted Obama 26 46


Do you think that the protests in the Arab World are good or dangerous for Israel?



25/60

25

Who or what is the GREATESTthreat to Israel today?

23

10

9

5

54

4

3

3

3

19

0 5 10 15 20 25

Iran

Arabs/Countries

Palestinians

Barack Obama

Neighbors

Middle East Situ.

Radical Islam

Hamas

Terrorism

Israel Itself

DONT KNOW



If ti g i t I f il d I l t tt k I


26/60

26

If sanctions against Iran fail, and Israel were to attack Iranto stop them from developing a nuclear weapon, in youropinion, would this be an act of self defense, or an act of

aggression?




27/60


28/60

T

Orth-

Has Cons RefNonPrac

VoteCongUnd.

Re-Elct

NewPres

VoteNew REP DEM IND M F

FOX NEWS 20 31 21 18 15 11 6 36 10 59 7 26 23 18

CNN 18 9 17 24 16 17 22 15 26 10 23 15 17 20

NBC/MSNBC 14 12 16 12 18 13 19 10 18 5 19 11 15 14

PBS 11 5 9 11 16 12 17 7 10 4 15 7 11 11

BBC 7 2 3 11 10 3 7 7 9 3 9 7 10 5

ABC 5 7 8 4 4 12 5 4 5 4 6 5 3 7

CBS 5 7 5 6 3 9 4 6 6 4 4 7 5 5

COMEDYCENTRAL

2 2 1 1 5 1 3 1 3 0 3 2 2 2

BLOGS 2 2 3 0 2 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 2

MTV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0DK/REF 15 25 18 13 11 22 16 13 13 10 14 18 14 16

Which of the following news organizations do you trust most to report international newsand Israel fairly and thoroughly?



D di f th U it d N ti ti


29/60

29

Do you approve or disapprove of the United Nations votingto declare a Palestinian state that refuses to renounce

terrorist and is linked to terrorist organizations?



Approve/Disapprove UN vote Palestinian State linked to terrorist organizations?


30/60























Not Religious 9 78

Voted McCain 1 92

Voted Obama 10 78


Approve/Disapprove UN vote Palestinian State linked to terrorist organizations?


Should Israel be forced to return to its pre 1967 borders


31/60

31

Should Israel be forced to return to its pre-1967 borderswhich were susceptible to attack at points where the country

was only 8 miles wide?




32/60


33/60

Policy Regarding Jerusalem Proposed Division


34/60

Undivided Divide Undivided Divide Undivided Divide






















Not Religious 64 10

Voted McCain 87 4

Voted Obama 68 9


Policy Regarding Jerusalem Proposed Division


Do you think that if the Palestinian Authority were given


35/60

35

Do you think that if the Palestinian Authority were giventheir own state in the West Bank, part of Jerusalem, andGaza, they would live peacefully with Israel or continue

their campaign of terror to destroy Israel?


4/10 6/11

Peacefully 19 16

Destroy Israel 62 64


Palestinian State could peacefully co-exist with Israel?


36/60

Peace Destroy Peace Destroy Peace Destroy






















Not Religious 25 55

Voted McCain 8 81

Voted Obama 20 57


Palestinian State could peacefully co exist with Israel?


Do you agree or disagree with the position that before the


37/60

37

Do you agree or disagree with the position that before thePalestinian Authority is given their own country they must

first recognize Israels right to exist as a Jewish state?



Agree/Disagree Palestine must recognize Israel


38/60

Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree






















Not Religious 90 5

Voted McCain 91 3

Voted Obama 87 5


Agree/Disagree Palestine must recognize Israel


Opinion:


39/60

39

Opinion:Israeli Prime MinisterBenjamin Netanyahu


4/10 6/11

Favorable 60 65

Unfavorable 29 20


Opinion: PM Benjamin Netanyahu


40/60

FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV FAV UNFAV






















Not Religious 54 28

Voted McCain 79 6

Voted Obama 61 25


p j y



41/60

Obama Favor Israel or Palestinians?


42/60

Israel Palestine Israel Palestine Israel Palestine





















Somewhat Religious 27 31 Disap. Obama Israel 11 58

Not Religious 27 25

Voted McCain 7 69

Voted Obama 34 17

42American Jewish VotersJune 2011 SecureAmericaNow.org

D P id t Ob li i d th


43/60

43

Do President Obamas policies endanger the

security of the State of Israel?

American Jewish VotersJune 2011 SecureAmericaNow.org

Obamas Policies Endanger Israel?


44/60

Yes No Yes No Yes No






















Not Religious 29 57

Voted McCain 77 12

Voted Obama 24 61


g


Do you trust President Barack Obama to order the American Ambassador to the United


45/60

45

yNations to veto any U.N. resolution which declares that the Palestinian Authority

government is a legitimate Palestinian state although they refuse to renounce terrorismand are still linked to terrorism?


Trust Obama to order the U.S. Ambassador to veto U.N. resolution against Palestinian Authority government


46/60

Yes No Yes No Yes No






















Not Religious 52 29

Voted McCain 18 69

Voted Obama 52 26


President Barack Obama is committed to a policy of outreach to the


47/60

47

President Barack Obama is committed to a policy of outreach to theMuslim world. Knowing this, do you think this policy has increased or

decreased the security of the United States?


Obama policy of outreach to the Muslim world increase or decrease U.S. Security


48/60

Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease






















Not Religious 39 23

Voted McCain 17 63

Voted Obama 41 18


How concerned are you about

4/10 6/11


49/60

49

yIslamic terrorism in the UnitedStates by American Muslims?


4/10 6/11

Concerned 93 76

Not Concerned 6 19


Concerned about Islamic terrorism in the United States by American Muslims?


50/60

Concerned

Not

Concerned Concerned

Not

Concerned Concerned

Not

Concerned





















Not Religious 71 24

Voted McCain 91 6

Voted Obama 70 24


If reports are true that Iran has plans to place missiles in Venezuela, would you approve


51/60

51

or disapprove of the following?If economic and diplomatic sanctions on Venezuela do not work, we should use the

American military to destroy the bases.


Approve/Disapprove U.S. Military used to Destroy Iranian Missile Bases in Venezuela


52/60























Not Religious 41 34

Voted McCain 54 19

Voted Obama 38 39



53/60

Approve/Disapprove Mosque near Ground Zero


54/60























Not Religious 43 42

Voted McCain 8 83

Voted Obama 36 48



55/60

Ob N Ob N Ob N

Re-Elect Obama


56/60

Obama New Obama New Obama New






















Not Religious 50 41

Voted McCain 3 93

Voted Obama 63 28


Do you approve or disapprove of the4/10 6/11


57/60

57

job Barack Obama is doing handlingAmericas relations with Israel?


Approve 50 43

Disapprove 39 50


APP DISAPP APP DISAPP APP DISAPP

Approve/Disapprove Obama Handling of Israel


58/60























Not Religious 52 42

Voted McCain 8 90

Voted Obama 58 34


Considering what President Obama has proposed for Israel just over a year before his2012 re-election campaign - a return to the 1967 borders, dividing Jerusalem, and


59/60

59

p g , g ,allowing the right of return for Palestinian Arabs to Israel - how concerned would you be

about President Obama's policies towards Israel if he were re-elected and did not have toworry about another election?

67

42

24 24

9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

CONCERNED Very Somewhat NOT

CONCERNED

DK/REF.


Not Not Not

Concern for Israel if Obama is Re-Elected


60/60

Concerned

Not

Concerned Concerned

Not

Concerned Concerned

Not

Concerned





















Not Religious 53 34

Voted McCain 94 6

Voted Obama 56 32

secure america now national jewish 0611 website graphs new

Documents