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Seasonal and Long-term Patterns in the Distribution and Abundance of Sharks and Rays along the Coast of New Jersey Charles J. Vasas, Keith Dunton, and Geoffrey Fouad Introduction Land-based shark fishing is popular in New Jersey Sandbar sharks (Carcharhinus plumbeus) and sand tiger sharks (Carcharias taurus) are specifically targeted and roughtail rays (Dasyatis centroura) are bycatch Both sharks are prohibited species New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) trawl survey provides data on these species Maps needed to assess seasonal and long-term changes in distribution of sharks and rays Hypothesis: Warming shifts species northward Methods Species distribution maps based on trawl data and kernel estimates Seasonal maps for summer and fall, and long-term changes based on differences between late 1980s – early 2000s and the 2010s – present Species clustering evaluated using average nearest neighbor statistic Results Discussion and Conclusions Long-term changes larger than seasonal changes o May signify effects of climate change o Warm-water species expanding north and are more broadly distributed Seasonal and Long-term Species Distribution Maps Species clustering Both shark species are not significantly clustered o Distribution changed from evenly dispersed to random over the long-term Ray significantly clustered over the long-term Distribution clustered for both time periods in Figure 2C and 2D A B C D A B C D Figure 1: Seasonal distribution maps of sharks and rays along the coast of New Jersey. (A) Sand tiger frequency, fall. (B) Sand tiger frequency, summer. (C) Ray frequency, fall. (D) Ray frequency, summer. Figure 2: Long-term distribution maps of sharks and rays along the coast of New Jersey. (A) Sand tiger frequency, 1989 – 2000s. (B) Sand tiger frequency, 2010 – present. (C) Ray frequency, 1989 – 2000s. (D) Ray frequency, 2010 – present. Cape May Cape May Long Beach Island Long Beach Island Species distribution maps Both sharks follow similar seasonal patterns (see Sand Tiger in Figure 1A and 1B) o Highest frequency in southern New Jersey in summer and northern New Jersey in fall Ray distribution less concentrated in summer (Figure 1C and 1D) Long-term shift from Cape May to Long Beach Island for both sharks (see Sand Tiger in Figure 2A and 2B) Ray more broadly distributed in later time period after 2010 (Figure 2C and 2D) Possible effects of climate change o Warming ocean temperatures o Broader range of sharks and rays o Shark distribution no longer evenly dispersed and could be clustered in the future o Greater chance of human/shark interactions Future work o Control for sampling bias in trawl surveys as this may be influencing results o Relate shark/ray population to sea surface temperatures to evaluate climate change effects on species distribution o Greater emphasis on shark monitoring due to growing range

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Seasonal and Long-term Patterns in the Distribution and Abundance of Sharks and Rays along the Coast of New Jersey

Charles J. Vasas, Keith Dunton, and Geoffrey Fouad

Introduction• Land-based shark fishing is popular in New Jersey• Sandbar sharks (Carcharhinus plumbeus) and sand

tiger sharks (Carcharias taurus) are specificallytargeted and roughtail rays (Dasyatis centroura)are bycatch

• Both sharks are prohibited species• New Jersey Department of Environmental

Protection (NJDEP) trawl survey provides data onthese species

• Maps needed to assess seasonal and long-termchanges in distribution of sharks and rays

• Hypothesis: Warming shifts species northward

Methods• Species distribution maps based on trawl data and

kernel estimates• Seasonal maps for summer and fall, and long-term

changes based on differences between late 1980s– early 2000s and the 2010s – present

• Species clustering evaluated using average nearestneighbor statistic

Results

Discussion and Conclusions• Long-term changes larger

than seasonal changeso May signify effects of

climate changeo Warm-water species

expanding north and aremore broadly distributed

Seasonal and Long-term Species Distribution Maps

Species clustering• Both shark species are not significantly clusteredo Distribution changed from evenly dispersed to random over

the long-term• Ray significantly clustered over the long-term

• Distribution clustered for both time periods in Figure 2C and 2D

A B C D

A B C D Figure 1: Seasonaldistribution maps of sharks and rays along the coast of New Jersey. (A)Sand tiger frequency, fall. (B) Sand tiger frequency, summer. (C) Ray frequency,fall. (D) Rayfrequency, summer.

Figure 2: Long-term distribution maps of sharks and rays along the coast of New Jersey. (A)Sand tiger frequency, 1989 –2000s. (B) Sand tiger frequency, 2010 – present. (C) Ray frequency, 1989 – 2000s. (D) Ray frequency, 2010 – present. Cape May Cape May

Long BeachIsland

Long BeachIsland

Species distribution maps• Both sharks follow similar seasonal patterns

(see Sand Tiger in Figure 1A and 1B)o Highest frequency in southern New Jersey in

summer and northern New Jersey in fall• Ray distribution less concentrated in

summer (Figure 1C and 1D)• Long-term shift from Cape May to Long

Beach Island for both sharks (see Sand Tigerin Figure 2A and 2B)

• Ray more broadly distributed in later timeperiod after 2010 (Figure 2C and 2D) • Possible effects of climate change

o Warming ocean temperatureso Broader range of sharks and rayso Shark distribution no longer evenly

dispersed and could be clustered inthe future

o Greater chance of human/sharkinteractions

• Future worko Control for sampling bias in trawl surveys

as this may be influencing resultso Relate shark/ray population to sea

surface temperatures to evaluate climatechange effects on species distribution

o Greater emphasis on shark monitoringdue to growing range