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Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

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Page 1: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments

Denise Patrick

Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division

25th May 2010

Page 2: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Employment rate (working age), 2008-2010

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

74.0

76.0

78.0

Jan-Mar 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f w

ork

ing

ag

e

Scotland England Wales Northern Ireland UK

Page 3: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Unemployment rate (16+), 2008-2010

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Jan-Mar 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f al

l eco

no

mic

ally

act

ive

Scotland England Wales Northern Ireland UK

Page 4: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Unemployment rate (16+) by government office

region – change on previous 3 months

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8S

outh

Wes

t

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Lond

on

Eas

t

Eas

t Mid

land

s

Nor

th W

est

Sou

th E

ast

Nor

th E

ast

Sco

tland

Yor

kshi

re &

the

Hum

ber

Nor

ther

n Ir

elan

d

Wal

es

% p

oin

t ch

ang

e in

un

emp

loym

ent

rate

Page 5: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Unemployment rate (16+) by government office

region - change over year

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5W

est M

idla

nds

Eas

t Mid

land

s

Sou

th W

est

Nor

ther

n Ir

elan

d

Eas

t

Nor

th W

est

Lond

on

Sou

th E

ast

Nor

th E

ast

Wal

es

Yor

kshi

re &

the

Hum

ber

Sco

tland

% p

oin

t ch

ang

e in

un

emp

loym

ent

rate

Page 6: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Unemployment rate by gender (16+), Scotland,

2008-2010

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Jan-Mar 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f al

l eco

no

mic

ally

act

ive

Male Female

Page 7: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Impact across age groups

• Youth unemployment (18-24 year olds) in Scotland up 0.1 percentage points– lowest increase over the past year– considerably lower than UK increase (up 1.7 percentage points)

• Youth unemployment still remains lower in Scotland at 14.0% (compared to 17.8% in the UK)

• In Scotland, 48,000 young people unemployed, making up 22.2% of all people unemployed – In the UK this is higher with 28.5% of all those unemployed aged

18-24 years

Page 8: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Unemployment rate by age, 2007- 2010

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

Jan-Mar 2007 Jul-Sep 2007 Jan-Mar 2008 Jul-Sep 2008 Jan-Mar 2009 Jul-Sep 2009 Jan-Mar 2010

% o

f al

l ec

on

om

ical

ly a

ctiv

e

16-24 25-49 50-59/64 All

Page 9: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Percentage change in employee jobs,

Dec 2008 - Dec 2009, Scotland and UK

-14%-12%-10%

-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%

Ag

ricu

lture

an

d fi

shin

g

En

erg

y a

nd

wa

ter

Ma

nu

fact

uri

ng

Co

nst

ruct

ion

Dis

trib

utio

n, h

ote

ls a

nd

rest

au

ran

ts

Tra

nsp

ort

an

dco

mm

un

ica

tion

s

Ba

nki

ng

, fin

an

ce a

nd

insu

ran

ce, e

tc

Pu

blic

ad

min

istr

atio

n,e

du

catio

n&

he

alth

Oth

er

serv

ice

s

Scotland UK

Page 10: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Some good news

• Claimant count unemployment decreased by 1,000 over the month to April 2010

• Third consecutive monthly decrease

• Claimant count rate in Scotland is now 4.9%,

compared to 4.7% in the UK

Page 11: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Percentage change in numbers on Claimant

Count over Month and Year by Local Authority

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Ab

erd

ee

n C

ity

Ab

erd

ee

nsh

ire

An

gu

s

Arg

yll &

Bu

te

Cla

ckm

an

na

nsh

ire

Du

mfr

ies

& G

allo

wa

y

Du

nd

ee

City

Ea

st A

yrsh

ire

Ea

st D

un

ba

rto

nsh

ire

Ea

st L

oth

ian

Ea

st R

en

fre

wsh

ire

Ed

inb

urg

h,

City

of

Eile

an

Sia

r

Fa

lkir

k

Fife

Gla

sgo

w C

ity

Hig

hla

nd

Inve

rcly

de

Mid

loth

ian

Mo

ray

No

rth

Ayr

shir

e

No

rth

La

na

rksh

ire

Ork

ne

y Is

lan

ds

Pe

rth

& K

inro

ss

Re

nfr

ew

shir

e

Sco

ttis

h B

ord

ers

Sh

etla

nd

Isl

an

ds

So

uth

Ayr

shir

e

So

uth

La

na

rksh

ire

Stir

ling

We

st D

un

ba

rto

nsh

ire

We

st L

oth

ian

% In

cre

ase

in C

laim

an

t Nu

mb

ers

% Change Over Previous Month % Change Over 1 Year

Page 12: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Annual percentage point increase in claimant count rate 18-24 yr olds by Local Authority

-1.5%

-1.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

Mid

loth

ian

No

rth

Ayr

shir

e

Ea

st L

oth

ian

So

uth

Ayr

shir

e

Ab

erd

ee

n C

ity

Ed

inb

urg

h, C

ity o

f

Ab

erd

ee

nsh

ire

Re

nfr

ew

shir

e

We

st L

oth

ian

Gla

sgo

w C

ity

Eile

an

Sia

r

No

rth

La

na

rksh

ire

Ea

st R

en

fre

wsh

ire

Pe

rth

& K

inro

ss

Sco

tlan

d

Fa

lkir

k

Ea

st A

yrsh

ire

Hig

hla

nd

Inve

rcly

de

Ea

st D

un

ba

rto

nsh

ire

Sco

ttish

Bo

rde

rs

Sh

etla

nd

Isla

nd

s

Du

mfr

ies

& G

allo

wa

y

So

uth

La

na

rksh

ire

We

st D

un

ba

rto

nsh

ire

Arg

yll &

Bu

te

Mo

ray

Fife

Ork

ne

y Is

lan

ds

Stir

ling

An

gu

s

Du

nd

ee

City

Cla

ckm

an

na

nsh

ire

Page 13: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Online resources

• Nomis https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/Default.asp• Labour Market Statistics website

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Labour-Market

• Scottish Neighbourhood Statisticshttp://www.sns.gov.uk/

• DWP Tab Tool http://www.dwp.gov.uk/asd/tabtool.asp

• Future Skills Scotland – Key Indicatorshttp://www.keyindicators.org.uk/

Page 14: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

NOMIS

https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/Default.asp• APS (labour force), ASHE (earnings), Claimant Count

(unemployment), DWP benefits, Jobcentre Plus vacancies, Population estimates, ABI (employees by industry - need permission)

☺User friendly interface to get some detailed statistics

☺Up to date

Page 15: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Labour Market Statistics Website

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Labour-Market

Publications – Annual Population SurveyPublic Sector Employment

Economic profiles – Local Authority, Parliamentary Constituency

- updated monthly

Datasets – Employment, unemployment, earnings - some data for LAs - some historical data

Page 16: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

SNS – Labour Market Data

Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits

Labour Market

Employment Economic Activity

New Deal

Age and sex based unemployment

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

Page 17: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

SNS – Labour Market Data

Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits

Earnings

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

Page 18: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

SNS – Labour Market Data

Economic Activity, Benefits and Tax Credits

Combination of Key Benefits

Workless Client Group

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

Page 19: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

SNS – Labour Market Data

Education, Skills and Training

Skills and training

Job related training

Highest qualification (working age)

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

Page 20: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

SNS – Labour Market Data

Business

Employees by Industry Group

Navigation path using Advanced Reporter

Page 21: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

SNS – Labour Market Data

• Review of content and update frequency

• Aims – to align better with user needs

– to improve frequency of updates

– to investigate automation of some of the update process

Page 22: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

DWP Tabtool

Page 23: Scotland’s Labour Market – Latest Developments Denise Patrick Lifelong Learning Analytical Services Division 25 th May 2010

Questions?