scope of work 2045 long range transportation plan...

25
Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Update January 2018

Upload: others

Post on 12-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

Scope of Work

2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Update

January 2018

Page 2: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 i

Table of Contents Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 1

Challenges ...................................................................................................................................................... 1

Automated and Connected Vehicles/Alternative Fuels ............................................................................ 1

Resilience ................................................................................................................................................... 3

Scope of Work ................................................................................................................................................ 4

Task 1: Project Management ..................................................................................................................... 4

Task 2: Public Involvement ........................................................................................................................ 5

Task 3: Data Compilation and Review ....................................................................................................... 9

Task 4: Travel Demand Model ................................................................................................................... 9

Task 5: Performance Based Planning....................................................................................................... 13

Task 6: Long Range Transportation Plan Sub Elements .......................................................................... 15

Task 7: Revenue Forecasts ....................................................................................................................... 18

Task 8: Needs Plan Development ............................................................................................................ 18

Task 9: Efficient Transportation Decision Making ................................................................................... 20

Task 10: Cost Feasible Plan Development ............................................................................................... 21

Page 3: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 1

Introduction In accordance with federal statute, the North Florida Transportation Planning Organization (North

Florida TPO) updates the regional long range transportation plan (LRTP) every five years. The 2045 LRTP

must be adopted by November 2019. The thirty years between the 2015 base year for model validation

and the 2045 horizon years will be the most disruptive period in human mobility since the introduction

of the automobile. Connected and automated automobiles, transit vehicles and trucks will operate

together with human driven automobiles. Crashes should decline significantly, but a myriad of

challenges will inspire new solutions.

New state and federal mandates have expanded the planning process to address automated vehicles,

greenhouse gases, to improve transportation system resiliency and reliability, reduce stormwater

impacts of surface transportation and enhance travel and tourism [23 U.S.C. 134(h)(1)(I) & (J)].

This multi-modal plan will address all of the following:

• Bicycle and pedestrian facilities

• Freight

• Transit

• Roads

• Safety

• Transportation Systems Management and Operations improvements, including vehicle to

infrastructure and other ITS improvements

This plan will be informed by the following TPO plans:

• Regional Alternative Fuels Master Plan

• Regional Safety Plan, also bicycle and pedestrian crash data

• Regional Bicycle and Pedestrian Plan and focus area plans

• Regional Freight Framework

• Smart Region Master Plan

• Context Sensitive Guidelines

• Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) 2040 Transportation Plan and Strategic Intermodal

System Plan

• FDOT Complete Street Guidelines

Copies of these documents are available on the TPO website www.northfloridatpo.com

Challenges

Automated and Connected Vehicles/Alternative Fuels We don’t have a crystal ball to predict the future. What we do know, it that where we go and how we

get there in 2030 and 2045 and the intervening years, will not be the same as we do today. With the

convenience of on-line shopping big box retailers and shopping malls are already struggling. With the

Page 4: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 2

production of affordable, electric and automated vehicles with extended ranges, fleet conversion to

EV/AV will begin rapidly in the next decade.

We may not have all the answers, but the questions to be considered in this update, in both the interim

and horizon year include:

1. Automated and connected vehicles will be equipped with state of the art safety technology.

Furthermore, automated vehicles will not be distracted or drive under the influence of drugs or

alcohol. Can we approach zero crashes or will crashes increase due to the continued operation of

human driven vehicles?

2. How do AV/CV vehicles operate on our arterial road network with self-driven vehicles, bicycles and

pedestrians? Should design standards be updated to accommodate all modes safely? If so, how?

Should the TPO invest in improvements on the arterial system to improve safety in the automated

environment? Should these investments be in technology and/or pavement? Should new design

standards and policies be developed and should they include provisions for AV drop off and pickup?

3. How do AV/CV vehicles operate on limited access facilities including the interstates? Should

managed lanes be designated for AVs?

4. How do AVs/CVs impact lane capacity? Will we need to add new capacity when we can get more

capacity from the existing system?

5. How do we improve the livability of our region through investment in technology and

infrastructure? What will the impacts be on underserved (Environmental Justice/minority and low

income) communities? Will impacts be positive or negative?

6. What happens to fuel tax revenue as the vehicle fleet is electrified? VMT will continue to increase

as fuel tax revenue declines. What are alternative funding strategies and when will it become

critical to employ one or more of them?

7. How does transit remain relevant in an automated world? Will mobility as a service replace auto

ownership and discourage transit usage? Will commuter rail be viable? Will the region be better

served by automated express bus service operating in managed lanes? Will intercity bus service be

automated and what role will in play in the future? Could hyper loop or other new technologies be

an alternative to intercity rail or air travel?

8. How does the migration from gasoline powered vehicles to electric and other alternative fueled

vehicles impact air quality? Greenhouse gas emissions?

9. Long-haul trucking fleets will be among the first to convert to automation. Should these vehicles be

accommodated in a designated truck/managed lane? Can smaller delivery fleets be expected to

Page 5: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 3

convert as well? If local same day delivery is made by drone, how will traffic on the regions roads be

impacted?

10. How will the region’s airport and marine terminals be impacted by automation?

11. How will land use be impacted? Will there be increasing sprawl? When will parking garages on

large surface lots no longer be needed and how could they be re-purposed or redeveloped?

Resilience Climate change extreme weather events are a growing risk to the safety, reliability, effectiveness and

sustainability of the region’s transportation system. Questions to be considered related to resilience

include the following:

1. Will sea level rise and storm surge require more frequent evacuation of coastal and low-lying areas?

If yes, how will this be accomplished in an automated world? The vehicle fleet may be significantly

smaller as mobility as a service grows?

2. Will repeated inundation require additional investment in drainage and maintenance of threatened

facilities?

3. Should we harden or abandon facilities?

Page 6: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 4

Scope of Work

Task 1: Project Management The CONSULTANT will assign a single person to serve through the life of the contract as CONSULTANT

Project Manager (CONSULTANT PM). The CONSULTANT PM must be the person identified in the

selected firm’s proposal and may not be changed without prior written approval of the North Florida

TPO’s designated Project Manager (PM). The CONSULTANT PM is responsible for overall project

management necessary to ensure the satisfactory completion of North Florida TPO’s 2045 LRTP, on-time

and on-budget, in accordance with the scope of services.

The CONSULTANT PM will serve as a single point of contact and will be expected to ensure the

CONSULTANT team is properly managed, adequate resources are available, submittals are timely and

quality control reviewed, and disadvantaged business enterprise (DBE) firms, if any, are utilized for

maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible for the quality of all

work completed under this contract and is expected to ensure high standards for all submittals, both

draft and final.

The CONSULTANT PM will work closely with the PM to ensure strong communication and coordination

through the life of the contract. Communication will include mandatory written monthly progress

reports with an updated actual schedule versus planned schedule, task progress, identification of critical

path tasks, and actual expenditures versus budget report. Beyond normal phone and email

communication, the CONSULTANT and LRTP PM will generally be expected to meet in person monthly to

review the progress report and monitor progress.

The CONSULTANT PM will submit monthly invoices in a form and with documentation acceptable to the

PM within 15 business days following the end of each month throughout the life of the contract.

Invoices must include the monthly progress report. The CONSULTANT PM may request approval from

the PM, in writing, to skip a monthly invoice if no activity occurs during the month or for other reasons.

The TPO retains all rights and ownership to the data, reports, presentations, maps, video and figures

delivered by the CONSULTANT in order to complete the tasks documented in this Scope of Services. All

reports shall be of high quality and reproducible and maps shall be provided in a GIS platform

compatible with the TPO’s computer software and hardware.

MONTHLY MEETINGS

The CONSULTANT shall be available to meet with the Project Manger at least twice a month to

discuss the contents of the monthly progress reports, to discuss the schedule of future activities

and to ensure the project schedule is maintained.

TECHNICAL PRESENTATIONS

The CONSULTANT shall make the necessary arrangements to present to the TPO Board, TCC, and CAC, as

required.

MEETINGS WITH LOCAL GROUPS

The CONSULTANT shall participate in ten (10) meetings with the appropriate local groups, civic

associations, and local governments as necessary to solicit input regarding vision and community values

Page 7: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 5

during the LRTP update. Five meetings will be held in the beginning of the update process and five at the

end after completing the draft 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan. TPO staff must be advised in

advance of these meetings to ensure that enough time is given for their participation, if desired.

Meetings with local groups shall be arranged by the CONSULTANT. The CONSULTANT shall prepare the

necessary material, exhibits, presentation, advertising, and handouts for the workshops. The

CONSULTANT shall arrange to take minutes and record verbal and documented comments from the

public, staff and elected officials.

The CONSULTANT shall develop an approach or structure for an LRTP Steering Committee if appropriate.

COMPLIANCE WITH FHWA EXPECTATIONS LETTER AND FDOT LRTP CHECKLIST

The CONSULTANT will insure that all measures outlined in the FHWA Expectations Letter are achieved.

Additionally, the CONSULTATN will complete the FDOT LRTP checklist upon completion of the 2045 LRTP

Update.

Task 2: Public Involvement How people communicate has changed dramatically. The internet, smartphones (apps and web) and

social media are the preferred tools for sharing information and encouraging participation. Traditionally

we have held a series of public workshops in each county at critical phases of the plan update.

Participation is limited and has been supplemented with outreach at school events, local government

meetings, public events and meetings of civic organizations and homeowners. For the 2045 update the

TPO prefers to forgo the public workshops and instead use innovative approaches to drive participation

in on-line surveys that can be accessed via the web and smartphone. To encourage participation by the

underserved, tablets can be used to bring the survey to these communities. If needed, focus s groups

will be used to solicit input from underserved communities.

This task is initiated at the outset of the update and continues throughout the study. Every activity must

be fully documented and when possible, analytics provided. Particular care must be taken to engage the

underserved (minority and low income) and insure that all persons regardless of race, income, religion,

age or disability have the opportunity to participate. Strategies to involve teens and young adults

(school age including college) in the planning process are welcomed.

The CONSULTANT shall create a theme and branding consistent with the 2045 LRTP (Path Forward 2045)

to produce education and outreach materials and publications that inform the public about the Plan and

ways to provide input. The theme and branding should build on branding efforts of the 2040 LRTP, and

should be included on all materials. Potential materials for the CONSULTANT to produce should include,

but are not limited to: brochures, fact sheets, informational booklets, rack cards, and flyers. These

materials should be branded with the TPO’s logo, website, phone number, and other appropriate

information. The CONSULTANT will translate any of these materials into Spanish or other languages

upon request by the TPO. The materials produced should be easily useable by stakeholder partners in

their own outreach activities e.g. eblasts, website and newsletters.

All presentations made to the North Florida TPO Board and subcommittees, whether oral or using media

(e.g., PowerPoint), will include an education component to ensure Board and Subcommittee members

are provided adequate background and context for the information they are being provided and/or

decisions they are being asked to make. All presentations must be approved by the PM.

Page 8: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 6

2.1 Public Participation Plan (PPP)

The CONSULTANT will develop a Public Participation Plan (PPP) for the 2045 Long Range Transportation

Plan. The PPP will outline the process by which the public will be engaged throughout the development

of the LRTP update, from inception to completion. The LRTP is the “public’s plan,” so input from the

public is a very important part of plan development. The PPP must provide appropriate opportunities for

public participation and input during the LRTP update process.

2.2 LRTP Branding

Work with the North Florida TPO staff (the Public Affairs Manager and Project Manager) to design a logo

and brand for the 2045 Update. The brand will be compatible with print, Web and other electronic

media. The brand and logo should suggest the evolution in transportation that will take place over the

life of the plan.

2.3 Introductory Video

The CONSULTANT shall create an introductory video to introduce the public to the LRTP update. The

video should be easy to understand and relatively simple to produce. The video should have branding

consistent with the overall North Florida TPO 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan. Any branding

should build upon that developed for the 2040 update and take the name Path Forward 2045. The video

length will be no longer than 60 seconds.

2.4 Outreach

This subtask will encompass three main segments of outreach:

• Outreach Meetings

• North Florida TPO Committee Meetings

• E-Townhalls

The CONSULTANT may use the above three approaches or other appropriate approaches to solicit public

input and thoughts for the 2045 LRTP. Outreach meetings should take place in conjunction with

previously scheduled meetings, such as neighborhood association meetings, community group forums,

partner agency events, etc. The CONSULTANT will be responsible for scheduling, coordinating, and

attending these meetings. North Florida TPO Committee Meetings should be used as the traditional

“public meeting,” where the public is given the opportunity to comment on the LRTP, and these

meetings should piggyback on North Florida TPO Technical Coordinating Committee (TCC), Community

Advisory Committee (CAC), and the North Florida TPO Board, as appropriate.

Up to 6 E-Townhalls, as needed, will also be used to solicit public feedback and increase awareness of

the LRTP. These E-Townhalls should be scheduled at strategic points in the LRTP process to ensure

efficient use of the public’s time and resources. The CONSULTANT is responsible for the procurement,

planning, and execution of all E-Townhalls. The E-Townhall meetings shall be conducted with Go To

Meetings or similar platform.

Working with the North Florida TPO project manager and public affairs manager, the CONSULTANT will

provide the following support services:

Page 9: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 7

• Schedule opportunities for TPO staff to engage both the public and stakeholders including the

underserved. These can include other public meetings, meetings of social or civic or

professional organizations, local events.

• Electronic advertisements to direct the public to the project website/surveys

• Schedule and advertise a public meeting prior to adoption of the plan

• Presentations to the TPO Policy Board and Committees (TCC, CAC, Transportation

Disadvantaged Coordinating Board, Regional Public Transportation Advisory Committee), and

City and County Commissions

• Prepare PowerPoint presentations

• Maps (for website)

• Develop a constant contact database for all stakeholders and visitors to the website

• Prepare and distribute e-newsletters (Kick-Off, Needs Plan development, Cost Feasible Plan

development, adopted plan)

• Overview brochure summarizing the planning process, key trends and opportunities for

participation.

• Strategies for engaging teens and young adults (middle, high school and college students)

• Develop survey/gaming tools to solicit public input at critical stages of the Long Range

Transportation Plan Update.

2.5 Surveys

The CONSULTANT will procure a two surveys over the course of the update. The first will be geared

towards the horizon year of 2030 and will include questions related to investments and policy. The

second will be geared towards the year 2045 and will also include investment and policy questions.

Survey questions should be developed by the CONSULTANT with input from North Florida TPO staff.

Survey results should be communicated to the LRTP team early in the process, allowing the team to

reach a diverse cross section of the region’s population. Results should be presented in user friendly

formats for distribution to the public. Key findings should be presented and delivered to policy makers

who can make use of such input as they speak to their constituents and peers.

2.6 Project Website

This will be either a free-standing site with a link to the North Florida TPO website or a page on the TPO

website. The website should be viewable and fully accessible via smartphone and tablet. The

CONSULTANT will also be responsible for providing TPO staff with content and graphics for the LRTP

webpage. In addition, the CONSULTANT shall consider the production of an interactive map for the 2045

LRTP, where members of the public can click on an area on the map and leave comments. All study

materials including project documentation, surveys and an event calendar will be provided for the

public, stakeholders, steering committee members and the TPO Policy Board, Technical Coordinating

and Citizens Advisory Committees. The format will be consistent with project branding and with

Americans with Disabilities Act guidelines. The website will include links to various social media.

Page 10: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 8

2.7 Social Media

The CONSULTANT will develop and maintain a project Facebook® page, Twitter®, Instagram, YouTube,

and other social media deemed appropriate. The CONSULTANT will also explore using Facebook Live

and similar electronic media.

2.8 Community Events

The CONSULTANT will work with the TPO staff to identify public engagement opportunities at locations

such as malls, events, fairs, transit stations and other gathering places. The CONSULTANT will

accompany the TPO public involvement staff at public outreach efforts at community events or

gatherings. CONSULTANT staff will lead some of these events to focus on LRTP-specific information.

Brochures and/or LRTP literature will be distributed at these events.

2.9 Focus Groups

The CONSULTANT will work with North Florida TPO staff to assemble and support several community

stakeholders or Focus Groups to assist in developing the Plan. Potential membership of the groups may

include:

• Advocates for bicycling and pedestrian facilities

• Aviation authorities (Jacksonville Aviation Authority, St. Johns-St. Augustine Airport Authority)

• Business and professional groups including representatives of local Chambers of Commerce (all

counties and including Asian, African American and Hispanic Chambers)

• City and county planners

• Elected officials and agency representatives

• Emergency Managers from each county

• Florida Department of Transportation

• Florida Department of Environmental Protection

• Florida Highway Patrol and local law enforcement

• Freight transportation providers and others in the freight industry including carriers, freight

forwarders, third party logistic providers, trucking companies and transportation IT providers.)

• Interested citizens

• Intercity bus service providers (Greyhound, Mega bus)

• Minorities and low-income communities

• Middle, high school and college students and young adults

• Neighborhood associations and community and civic organizations

• Other environmental agencies

• Port Authorities (JAXPORT, Nassau County Ocean Highway and Port Authority)

• Persons with disabilities

• Public transit riders (Jacksonville Transportation Authority, Sunshine Bus and community

transportation coordinators/Councils on Aging)

• Public transportation agencies (Jacksonville Transportation Authority, Sunshine Bus and

community transportation coordinators/Councils on Aging)

• Private transportation providers including but not limited to taxi, Uber, Lyft and ZipCar

Page 11: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 9

• Rail industry (Florida East Coast Railway, CSX, Norfolk Southern)

• St. Johns River Water Management District

• TPO Board and Committee members

• Tourism industry including Visit Jacksonville, Amelia Island and St. Augustine

• University faculty

• U.S. Coast Guard

• U.S. Navy

• U.S. Marine Corp (Blount Island Command)

2.10 LRTP Steering Committee

The CONSULTANT will work with TPO staff to assemble and support a committee of community

stakeholders to oversee the study and help define the scenarios. This committee will be made up of

members of the TCC, CAC and TPO Board and other interested citizens.

2.11 Documenting Public Involvement

Upon completing this task a technical memorandum outlining all outreach activities undertaken as part

of the 2045 LRTP update will be documented in Technical Report 1 – Public Involvement. Technical

Report 1 will include a comprehensive summary of all public comments received during the

development of the Plan. This should be a comprehensive report of all outreach activities, large and

small, as part of the 2045 LRTP. Technical Report 1 should be produced in an easy to understand

manner, so that future outreach plans can gain insight from this effort.

Task 3: Data Compilation and Review This task will consist of compiling relevant 2015 and 2045 socioeconomic, network and study data from

appropriate sources, including the previous updates, as well as other sources and studies.

3.1 Development of 2015 Base Year Socioeconomic Data

Development of the 2015 base year socioeconomic data is being completed under a separate work

effort.

Task 4: Travel Demand Model 4.1 Model Calibration

The CONSULTANT will code and summarize the 2017 North Florida Household Travel Survey (HTS) and

other available observed data sources and compare those summaries to model outputs. Based on this

analysis we will develop a plan for model calibration that efficiently focuses project resources on those

model components that will benefit the most from careful local calibration to match observed data. The

HTS is expected to be delivered in March 2018 and to contain at least 3000 complete surveys for

households in the six-county area. The CONSULTANT will also code EE, EI and through trips based using

data from the TPO’s Origin Destination Survey. Data from the Florida Tour Based Truck Model and the

O-D survey will be used to update the truck model. The TPO will provide speed data for

validation/calibration.

The latest version of DAYSIM will be utilized.

Page 12: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 10

It is important that the parcel/data editing tool still function after the conversion from parcel level data

to microzones.

Must use Cube v.6.4.1 and ArcGIS v 10.2. We do not have a current license for CUBE.

Master network structure must be maintained.

The CONSULTANT will also utilize data from the 2016 JTA on-board transit survey. These data provide an

accurate and complete description of the current transit user market in North Florida. We will combine

this survey with HTS data to ensure that the tour and trip mode choice targets are accurate. We will use

transfer rates reported in the data to ensure that the transit skimming and assignment path-weights

result in the right numbers of transit boardings.

Below are some example summaries that are typically used for DaySim calibration, for each model

component, along with the sources for the summaries:

Auto Ownership

• Households by autos owned and number of workers (Census, ACS PUMS)

• Households by autos owned and household income (Census, ACS PUMS)

• Households by autos owned and district (CTPP, ACS 5-year summaries)

Work Location Choice Model

• Home to work average distance and distance frequency distribution (household travel survey)

• Workers by place of residence and place of work, district level (household travel survey, CTPP,

ACS 3 and 5-year summaries)

University, School Location Choice

• Home to school average distance and distance frequency distribution (household travel survey)

• Students by place of residence and place of school, district level (household travel survey)

Daily Activity Pattern Model

• Share of tours by tour purpose, number, and person type (household survey)

• Total number of tours by person type (household survey)

• Share of tours by tour purpose and number of intermediate stops per tour (household survey)

Non-mandatory Tour Location Choice

• Home to primary destination average distance and distance frequency distribution by tour

purpose (household travel survey)

• Tours by origin and primary destination district (household travel survey)

Tour Time-of-Day Choice

• Share of tours by departure, arrival, and duration half-hour period and purpose (household

survey)

Page 13: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 11

Tour Mode Choice

• Tours by tour purpose, mode and auto sufficiency (household survey and transit on-board

survey)

• Tours by tour purpose, mode and origin\destination district (household survey and transit on-

board survey)

Intermediate Stop Frequency

• Share of tours by number of outbound and inbound intermediate stops and tour purpose

(household survey)

• Number of trips per tour and person type (household survey)

Intermediate Stop Location Choice

• Intermediate stops by tour purpose and out-of-direction distance (household survey)

• Intermediate stops by distance to tour origin and primary destination (household survey)

Intermediate Stop Departure Time Choice

• Share of stops by departure half-hour period, duration of stay at stop and purpose (household

survey)

Trip Mode Choice

• Trips by tour purpose, tour mode and trip mode (household survey and transit on-board survey) Transit trips by access mode and trip distance (household survey and transit on-board survey)

4.2 Model Validation

The CONSULTANT will validate the base year model against observed traffic counts and transit

boardings. If available, we will compare results by time-of-day.

The model calibration will be guided by the FSUTMS model calibration and validation standards and will

include the following key trip assignment calibration metrics:

• Volume-to-Count Ratio and Percent Error

• Aggregate VMT Statistics

• Root Mean Square Error

The CONSULTANT will prepare the following validation summaries, with observed data noted in

parenthesis:

Auto Assignment

• Vehicles by facility type and district or county (traffic counts)

• Percent route mean square error by facility type and district or county (traffic counts)

• Screenline, and key location summaries (traffic counts) Transit Assignment

Transit boardings by route (on-board survey and transit operator passenger counts)

Page 14: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 12

4.3 Documenting Model Calibration and Validation

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the validation and

calibration of the travel demand model will be documented in Technical Report 3 – Model Validation

and Calibration.

4.4 Updating the NERPM-AB Users Guide

The NERPM-AB Users Guide resides on a TPO wiki page. This document will update to reflect changes

made to the model as part of the LRTP Update.

4.5 Existing-plus-Committed Network Development

All recently constructed and fully funded improvements for the adopted Transportation Improvement

Program will be added to the base year network to create the Existing Plus Committed Network. The

Transit Development Plans of both the Jacksonville Transportation Authority and St. Johns County will

be used to update the transit network.

The network will be reviewed by TPO staff, Jacksonville Transportation Authority (JTA) staff and one or

more of the TPOs General Consultants prior to acceptance.

4.6 Documenting Developing the Existing Plus Committee Network

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the existing plus

committed model network will be documented in Technical Report 4 – Existing plus Committed

Network Development.

4.7 Development of the 2045 Future Year Socioeconomic Data

The CONSULTANT will use the previous 2040 LRTP model inputs as a starting point for developing the

2045 future year socioeconomic data. The population estimates for each County from the Bureau of

Business and Economic Research at the University of Florida will be used as control totals for the 2045

population forecast. The CONSULTANT will use the employment to population ratio trend data to

develop updated 2045 employment numbers. School enrollment data will be developed in a similar

manner. Other model inputs, such as parking supply, open spaces, lodging, external traffic, and special

generators such as the airport will also be updated based on available data and reasonable assumed

growth rates. The CONSULTANT will work with representatives of each county and the Steering

Committee to finalize all future data sets prior to use in the model. This work effort includes

development of synthetic data sets.

4.8 Documenting Developing the 2045 Future Year Data

Upon completing this task, the technical memorandum detailing development of the future year data

will be developed.

4.9 Development of 2030 Interim Year Socioeconomic and Network Data

Based on the 2015 and 2045 socioeconomic and network data sets, the CONSULTANT will develop an

interpolated set of inputs for the 2030 interim year.

Page 15: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 13

4.10 Documenting Developing the 2030 Interim Year Socioeconomic and Network Data

Upon completing this task, the technical memorandum detailing development of the future year data

will be developed.

Task 5: Performance Based Planning The purpose of this task is to identify the 2045 LRTP goals, objectives and measures of

effectiveness/performance measures (GOMs). The 2045 LRTP will look to implement new and

innovative transportation system performance measure that de-emphasize traditional road

“congestion” in lieu of broader desirable transportation outcomes. The update process will consider a

wide range of social, mobility, freight, safety, infrastructure, environmental, energy, and economic

factors reflected by the LRTP’s GOMs to identify future transportation needs.

5.1 Establish Goals, Objectives and Performance Measures

This task will include the refinement of the goals, objectives, and policies that guide the LRTP

development process. The refinement of the LRTP goals, objectives, and policies will be guided by the

FAST Act, or any subsequent transportation bill passed after initiation of this contract, FHWA comments,

and the Comprehensive Development Master Plan goals, objectives, and policies, particularly those

contained in the Land Use and Transportation Elements. The refinement of the goals, objectives, and

policies will be the responsibility of the LRTP Steering Committee, and will be assisted and documented

by the CONSULTANT.

Project Goals and Objectives must be amenable to performance measurement at the network system

level at a minimum. Measures must be designed consistent with available data from the travel demand

model and other existing sources. Alternative improvements must also be conceptualized in such a way

as to be measurable in those terms. The ultimate plan performance will be measured against its goals

and objectives to ensure the meaningfulness of the project goals in the cost feasible plan itself.

The CONSULTANT will use the federal transportation legislation guidance to develop performance

measures that will be used to evaluate the LRTP performance. The measures must be quantifiable from

both existing and forecast data consistent with values of Goal and Objectives.

5.2 Performance Measures and Transportation Performance Management

Performance measures must relate to the 2045 LRTP Goals and Objectives and use statistical evidence

to determine progress toward those goals and objectives. Performance measures address the public’s

demand for increased accountability and inform decision-makers of the effectiveness of the LRTP. In

addition, demonstrate prudent investments, align long range transportation plans and transportation

improvement programs with strategic direction, integrate intermodal system plans and help

communicate, cooperate and build consensus. Implementation of performance standards, metrics and

reporting processes enable monitoring and funding for all projects.

The CONSULTANT will use the federal transportation legislation guidance to develop performance

measures that will be used to evaluate the LRTP performance. The measures must be quantifiable from

both existing and forecast data consistent with values of Goal and Objectives.

Page 16: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 14

The CONSULTANT shall develop a System Performance Report that serves as a toll to evaluate and

eventually updates the condition of the transportation system in relation to the performance measures

and targets. The report will include for each performance measure information such as: the target set;

the baseline condition at the start of the evaluation cycle; the progress achieved in meeting the targets;

and a trend-type comparison of progress with previous performance reports.

5.3 Development of Project Evaluation Criteria

The CONSULTANT shall develop evaluation criteria based on the GOMs, community values and

requirements outlined in MAP-21 and the FAST Act. The criteria will be used to evaluate and prioritize

the proposed transportation improvement projects recommended in the Needs Assessment and FFP.

Criteria will be both objective and subjective as appropriate. Examples of objective criteria include cost,

Level-of-Service (LOS) and similar numeric assessments based on current or forecast conditions.

Subjective criteria include quality-of-life measures, perceived value, consistency with the goals and

objectives of partner agency plans, etc.

MAP-21 and the FAST Act established national performance goals for federal highway programs that the

LRTP should demonstrate:

• Safety - To achieve a significant reduction in traffic fatalities and serious injuries on public roads;

• Security - To increase the security of the transportation system for motorized and nonmotorized

users.

• Infrastructure Condition - To maintain the highway infrastructure asset system in a state of good

repair;

• Congestion Reduction - To achieve a significant reduction in congestion on the National Highway

System (NHS);

• System Reliability - To improve the efficiency of the surface transportation system;

• Freight Movement and Economic Vitality - To improve the national freight network, strengthen

the ability of rural communities to access national and international trade markets, and support

regional economic development;

• Environmental Sustainability - To enhance the performance of the transportation system while

protecting and enhancing the natural environment including impacts to air quality; and

• Reduced Project Delivery Delays - To reduce project costs, promote jobs and the economy, and

expedite the movement of people and goods by accelerating project completion through

eliminating delays in the project development and delivery process, including reducing

regulatory burdens and improving agencies’ work practices.

Performance Measures should also include the integration and interconnectivity of nonmotorized

modes of transportation per federal statute.

North Florida TPO staff must be able to report to FHWA and FTA on progress in achieving these targets

and the evaluation criteria selected for the LRTP must help to satisfy that requirement.

5.4 Documenting Performance Based Planning Process

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the base year data will

be documented in Technical Report 5 - Performance Based Planning

Page 17: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 15

Task 6: Long Range Transportation Plan Sub Elements In the development of the plan the CONSULTANT will consider these elements to the maximum extent

possible and as appropriate in the development of both the 2030 and the 2045 Needs Plan.

6.1 Smart Region Master Plan

The Smart Region Master Plan focuses on collecting, analyzing and applying data from many sources to

eliminate fatalities, improve travel time reliability, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, provide ladders of

opportunity and grow our region. It contains 33 projects developed in partnership with 30 stakeholder

public, non-profit and private sector organizations.

This plan identified projects to meet the region’s needs by identifying and implementing new and

emerging transportation-related technologies through an integrated Transportation Systems

Management and Operations (TSM&O) approach.

The CONSULTANT will incorporate projects from the Smart Region Master Plan into the 2045 LRTP.

6.1.1 Future Technology and Autonomous Vehicles, and Alternative Transit Service Delivery

The CONSULTANT shall research, incorporate and utilize high tech and/or electronic planning process

and infrastructure improvement solutions, plus alternative transit service delivery methods in all phases

of the plan update process. The Consultant will coordinate with JTA on the U2C program and alternative

transit service delivery methods underway for inclusion in the plan. The plan must be sensitive to and

accommodate the needs of today’s and tomorrow’s commuters.

6.1.2 Alternative Fuels Master Plan

The North Florida TPO hosts the Northeast Florida Clean Cities program. It is commonly known as the

North Florida Clean Fuels Coalition. the TPO began holding stakeholder meetings in 2008 to explore

interest in the use of alternative transportation fuels. Through continued outreach and education, the

North Florida TPO built a core group of committed stakeholders. In 2010, the North Florida TPO

established the North Florida Clean Cities Coalition as a non-profit organization to encourage petroleum

reduction for business, government and non-profit agencies in Baker, Clay, Duval, Nassau, Putnam and

St. Johns counties. The North Florida TPO provides Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality (CMAQ) funds

to staff and support Coalition activities.

The Coalition has developed an Alternative Fuels, Vehicles and Infrastructure Master Plan which

identifies a number of projects which catalyze expansion of petroleum-alternatives in North Florida. The

CONSULTANT will incorporate these projects into the 2045 LRTP.

6.1.3 Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) Master Plan

Since forming the North Florida ITS Coalition in 2003, the North Florida TPO has planned, funded and

installed a tremendous amount of ITS technology. But what really makes the TPO stand apart is their

ability to mobilize resources through the ongoing collaboration of individuals across government

agencies, private businesses and jurisdictional boundaries.

The North Florida region’s ITS needs for the next five to ten years were developed by prioritizing

corridors and considering existing and programmed ITS projects. An increase in freeway surveillance and

Page 18: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 16

roadside traveler information, including vehicle detection sensors, dynamic message signs and traffic

cameras, are needed to complete coverage on key roadways in the region. These projects have been

identified in the ITS Master Plan for the region. The CONSULTANT will incorporate the ITS Master Plan

projects into the 2045 LRTP.

6.2 Freight Planning

The 2045 LRTP must be fully coordinated with the freight efforts conducted in the Northeast Florida

region. Over the past few years the North Florida TPO has developed a number of planning studies to

identify the infrastructure needs of the freight community. Several partners have been part of these

efforts, including:

• Jacksonville Port Authority

• Nassau County Ocean, Highway and Port Authority

• Jacksonville Aviation Authority

• Northeast Florida Regional Airport

• CSX

• Florida East Coast Railway

• Norfolk Southern

The studies which have been completed to date include the following:

• Regional Freight Logistics Zone

• Port of Fernandina Truck Circulation Study

• St. Augustine Truck Parking Study

• North Rail Corridor Alternatives

• North Florida Freight, Logistics and Intermodal Framework Plan

Policies and projects from these planning efforts will be included in the 2045 LRTP.

6.3 Bicycle/Pedestrian Plan

The North Florida TPO works with planning staff from the City of Jacksonville and Clay, Nassau and St.

Johns counties to ensure bicycle and pedestrian needs are coordinated in local transportation plans.

The TPO has a number of community level plans which have been completed. The CONSULTANT will

determine the most appropriate way to include projects from these master plans in the 2045 LRTP. It is

anticipated that larger, more complex projects may be listed as standalone projects and the plan, while

other projects may be addressed through a bicycle/pedestrian program within the LRTP.

6.4 Resilience Plan

Per CFR 450.306(b)(9) the CONSULTANT will address the FAST Act’s focus on the resiliency of the

transportation system as well as activities to reduce storm water runoff from transportation

infrastructure. As per 23 U.S.C. 134 (d)(3) & (i)(2)(G) the consultant will also explore strategies to reduce

the vulnerability of the existing transportation infrastructure to natural disasters. CONSULTANT will

address how to adjust to increasingly extreme weather events, stress on public facilities, and higher

costs of services. CONSULTANT will need to not only plan for these events, but to also reduce the

impacts through conscious climate adaptation and resilience planning.

Page 19: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 17

6.4.1 Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

The interconnected transportation system must remain functional to the degree necessary to be able to

allow supplies and other relief-assistance to reach residents in the event of an emergency. A

comprehensive understanding of the potential threats and hazards is essential when planning for the

security of the transportation system. The CONSUTLANT will work with the local Emergency

Management offices to insure projects and/or programs are included in the 2045 LRTP the support the

counties and the municipalities prepare for, respond to and recover from, and mitigate the impacts of a

wide variety of disasters.

6.5 Safety

Transportation safety and security are essential aspects of Northeast Florida’s transportation system

and its ability to support economic vitality and help sustain and improve the quality of life of its users

and the community as a whole. The primary goal of transportation safety planning is to improve safety

by supporting efforts to develop policies, programs, and projects related to pedestrians, bicyclists,

transit users, truckers and motorists on all transportation facilities throughout the region. The

CONSULTANT will insure that safety and security of the transportation systems is addressed in the 2045

LRTP.

6.6 Tourism

Per 23 CFR 450.306(b)(10) the CONSULTANT will integrate strategies to increase and improve tourism

throughout the county and promote North East Florida’s appeal as a tourist destination.

6.7 Environmental Impacts

The CONSULTANT shall identify strategies to mitigate the potential impact of the new transportation

infrastructure recommended in the needs assessment on wetlands, cultural (historical/archeological)

resources, water resource, threatened and endangered species habitat and other environmentally

sensitive subjects. Costs for these for the environmental mitigation strategies should be considered in

the overall projects costs.

6.8 Sustainability/Livability/Quality of Life

On June 16, 2009, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the Department of

Transportation (DOT) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) joined together to help

communities nationwide improve access to affordable housing, increase transportation options and

lower transportation costs while protecting the environment. The Partnership for Sustainable

Communities works to coordinate federal housing, transportation, water, and other infrastructure

investments to make neighborhoods more prosperous, allow people to live closer to jobs, save

household’s time and money, and reduce pollution. The partnership agencies incorporate six principles

of livability into federal funding programs, policies, and future legislative proposals. Those principles are:

1. Provide more transportation choices.

2. Promote equitable, affordable housing.

3. Enhance economic competitiveness – By enabling global competitiveness, productivity and

efficiency.

4. Support existing communities.

Page 20: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 18

5. Coordinate and leverage federal policies and investments.

6. Value communities and neighborhoods.

7. Enhance travel and tourism.

Task 7: Revenue Forecasts The task will assess the financial resources which may be expected to be available to the North Florida

TPO for funding transportation improvements during the Plan period, for the 2030 interim period, and

for all other time period bands. The work will consist of evaluation of all existing transportation

improvement funding sources, assessing their availability during the 4 project priority periods of the

overall Plan timeframe, and developing revenue forecasts to 2045 to help guide the implementation of

transportation improvements.

The CONSULTANT shall develop the Financial Plan for the 2045 LRTP that will identify revenue

projections for all existing and potential sources including state, federal, private, innovative funding (i.e.

new starts, tolls, taxing districts, additional local option tax, etc.) for the interim and horizon years. The

CONSULTANT shall also assess funding eligibility for each funding source used in the plan and investigate

the use of “flex” funding as allowed to shift from funding highway projects to other modes such as mass

transit and/or from capital to operations and maintenance (O&M).

The CONSULTANT will document that funds are available that match the costs of transportation

improvement projects recommended for inclusion in the 2045 LRTP. This includes both capital and

operations and maintenance funding. This approach will help ensure construction can be reasonably

expected to be completed in the LRTP timeframe. The CONSULTANT shall incorporate a sub-section in

the Financial Resources Task to discuss new potential revenue sources that may be available for the

implementation of improvements identified in the Needs Assessment, which are not included in the

Finically Feasible Plan. The CONSULTANT shall estimate the amount of revenues expected to be

generated from these sources.

The CONSULTANT will develop a future revenue scenario that considers the impacts of CAV and

electrification. This scenario will present the adjusted revenue forecasts for each period in the 2045

LRTP.

Task 7.1: Documenting Developing the Revenue Forecast

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the revenue forecast

be documented in Technical Report 6 - Revenue Forecasting.

Task 8: Needs Plan Development

The purpose of this task is to analyze the deficiencies of the E+C transportation facilities in coping with

transportation demands in 2045 and develop a list of prioritized transportation needs/projects. The

2045 socioeconomic data, in addition to potential bicycle, pedestrian greenways and waterborne

activities, will be used to develop the travel demand estimates. The Needs Assessment is an attempt to

identify the transportation infrastructure needed to accommodate future travel demand and to address

safety issues without regard to economic, local, or political considerations. In this task, the CONSULTANT

should review the North Florida TPO’s corridor plans, mobility plans, and current and proposed

operational plans of the transit providers. The needs list will also consider measures to reduce

Page 21: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 19

greenhouse gas emissions, the potential climate change impacts and health impacts on population of

the transportation system (existing and with proposed improvements).

The CONSULTANT shall analyze a highway and transit assignment to the regional E+C Network with the

2045 socioeconomic data to determine the deficiencies on the highway and transit networks that will

occur by the Year 2045. This will represent the “do nothing alternative” since the E+C network includes

committed improvements in the latest TIP but not beyond that. The CONSULTANT shall use the output

from the regional model, the most current TPO Roadway Capacity and Level of Service Report, the most

current Highway Capacity Manual, and other software necessary to perform this task.

It will be imperative that the projects work in concert to improve mobility throughout the region. The

improvements should complement each other and provide mobility choices for the diverse population

of 2045. The 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan will be a balanced mobility plan that considers the

needs of people as well as the need to move goods and services efficiently.

The 2045 Needs Plan will identify projects to include in the Needs Plan that enhance intermodal

connections between various modes of travel, including the automobile, bus rapid transit, streetcar,

bicycle and pedestrian.

8.1 Development of the 2030 Needs Plan Element

The CONSULTANT will develop the 2030 Interim Needs Plan by testing and analyzing multi-modal

alternatives (up to five) to satisfy person and freight travel demands. A preliminary Needs Plan will be

developed by running 2030 data will be run over the 2021/22 Existing Plus Committed Network to

identify deficiencies. This model run will include assumptions regarding Automated Connected Electric

vehicles and Shared mobility (The Steering Committee will decide upon the assumptions to be made),

will address transit including JTA’s planned conversion and expansion of the Skyway to small automated

vehicles running on the guideway and at grade, and EJ impacts. All assumptions will be vetted by the

Steering Committee.

8.2 Development of the 2030 Cost Feasible Plan Element

Using the 2045 cost feasible plan, available funding sources and socioeconomic data for interim Year,

2030, the CONSULTANT shall develop an interim year plan including project cost estimates for capital,

maintenance and operations including amounts expended by FDOT and local partners on current

transportation facilities. The CONSULTANT shall document the source and method used for all cost

estimates, by project.

8.3 Development of the 2045 Needs Plan Element

The CONSULTANT will develop the 2045 Needs Plan by building upon the 2030 interim Needs Plan

developed in Task 8.1 by testing and analyzing multi-modal alternatives (up to five) to satisfy person and

freight travel demands. 2045 data will be run over the 2030 CFP network. This model run will include

assumptions regarding Automated Connected Electric vehicles and Shared mobility (The Steering

Committee will decide upon the assumptions to be made), will address transit, and EJ impacts. This

element may include more program and strategy investments than actual projects. Programs may

include Safety, ITS, Transit, and Bicycle/Pedestrian. All assumptions will be vetted by the Steering

Committee.

Page 22: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 20

8.4 Documenting Developing the 2030 Needs Plan

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the Needs Plan will be

documented in Technical Report 7- 2045 Needs Plan Development

Task 9: Efficient Transportation Decision Making The CONSULTANT will identify transportation improvement projects in the LRTP that should be screened

under the Efficient Transportation Decision Making (ETDM) planning screen per FDOT guidance

documentation.

ETDM screens of major transportation improvement projects included in Florida's Strategic Intermodal

System (SIS) Multi-Modal Cost Feasible Plan will be conducted by FDOT. As part of ETDM planning

screen process, TPO and Department District staffs are expected to utilize the TPO’s Transportation

Outreach Planner (http://mpotransportationoutreachplanner.org/) to extract socio-cultural effects of

desired projects. Project specific public involvement should be summarized and entered into the ETDM

screening tool. Coordination shall include the ETDM Coordinators and Community Liaisons Coordinator

of both the North Florida TPO and the FDOT.

The task will assess potential impacts of candidate projects, whether in the Needs or the Cost Feasible

Plan, during the development of the LRTP plan and it requires a review period of 45 days, although a 15-

day extension maybe requested. The information gained from the Planning Screen should be conveyed

to the TPO Board to be utilized in the decision-making process. The documentation from the ETDM

planning screens and programming screens may be used as a basis for this task. The CONSULTANT work

must be consistent with Chapter 4-LRTP of the TPO Project Management Handbook as it relates to

ETDM.

The CONSULTANT will document the results of the ETDM screening process, including analysis of

sociocultural effects.

9.1 Planning Screen

The CONSULTANT shall electronically submit the created list of candidate projects and supporting

information to the ETAT. The ETAT will conduct preliminary assessments of the impact of candidate

projects on the environment using standardized formats and criteria. The CONSULTANT shall review

comments from the ETAT and provide a recommended course of action to address these comments.

9.2 Environmental Mitigation Strategies

The environmental provisions of FAST ACT require that the LRTP describe the types of potential

environmental mitigation activities, and potential location for these activities, to restore and maintain

environmental functions that could be affected by the transportation improvements included in the

LRTP. It also provides new definitions of what can be classified as a “Categorical Exclusion” or CE.

The CONSULTANT shall identify strategies to mitigate the potential impact of the new transportation

infrastructure recommended in the needs assessment on wetlands, cultural (historical/archeological)

resources, water resource, threatened and endangered species habitat and other environmentally

sensitive subjects. Costs for these for the environmental mitigation strategies should be considered in

the overall projects costs.

Page 23: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 21

Task 10: Cost Feasible Plan Development The adopted 2030 and 2045 plans will be fiscally constrained. All cost will be provided in YOE dollars

and projects will be programmed out over the life of the plan as instructed in the Metropolitan Planning

Organization Long Range Transportation Plan Financial Guidelines.

The CONSULTANT shall prepare the financially feasible of Cost Feasible Plan using the results from

previous tasks. The cost feasible plan shall include transit, pedestrian facilities, greenways, bikeways,

highways, ITS, freight transportation as identified in the needs assessment, that are financially feasible

and reasonably accepted by the public and elected officials. The CONSULTANT shall ensure that the final

plan continues to be multimodal in nature and the recommended projects are consistent with the

LRTP’s vision, goals and objectives.

10.1 Development of Project Cost Estimates

Life-cycle costing for constructing, maintaining and operating the Existed Plus Committed, Interim Year

and Horizon Year Needs Plans will be developed by the CONSULTANT using FDOT estimates on

construction, operations and maintenance costs. The Jacksonville Transportation Authority (JTA) and

St. Johns County transit will provide cost estimated for transit projects. These estimates can be in

current year dollars, but will be converted to year of expenditure (YOE) dollars.

If local projects (city or county) projects are included cost estimates will be developed with appropriate

staff.

10.2 Cost Feasible Scenario Development

The CONSULTANT shall assist in the development of three (3) Year of Expenditure (YOE) cost feasible

scenarios. These scenarios shall establish the basis for identifying a final Year 2030 and 2045 Cost

Feasible Plan. Each scenario shall be based on prior input received from the public and advisory

committees and shall represent three unique proposals to address transportation system needs through

the Year 2030 and 2045 respectively.

10.3 Development of the 2045 Cost Feasible Plan Element

The financial feasibility will be based on the reasonably estimated future revenues expected to be

available from both private and public sources to carry out the plan in a timely manner, i.e., between

years 2015 and 2045. The period between 2019 (plan adoption year) and 2024 is covered in the five-

year TIP and will be reflected in the FFP as committed improvements. In developing the Cost Feasible

Plan, the CONSULTANT shall demonstrate the consistency of proposed transportation investments with

the projected sources of revenue identified in the Financial Resources. Using the Financial Resources

Report and the cost data generated in Task 8, Needs Plan Development, the CONSULTANT shall meet

the requirements for a financial analysis as specified in FDOT’s Metropolitan Planning Organization

Program Management Handbook, while maximizing funding based on eligible uses.

10.4 Return on Investment

In addition to the development and application of evaluation criteria, the CONSULTANT shall develop a

cost/benefit analysis tool. This tool will facilitate a return-on-investment (ROI) when evaluating projects

for inclusion in plans and programs. Costs usually include project development and construction, but not

full life-cycle costs. Benefits typically include safety (reductions in fatalities, injuries and property loss

Page 24: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 22

accidents), delayed savings and possibly direct economic impacts (effects of labor and material

expenditures multiplied appropriately through the local and state economy). To better consider the

public’s return on the investment of its transportation funds, costs should also reflect life-cycle costs.

Benefits should include the economic value of increased capacity and travel time reliability, and

economic development/growth stimuli.

10.5 Web Based Survey

A web-based survey will be developed to solicit public predication in review of the Preferred Future and

related Cost Feasible Plan. This survey will be in a format that can be accessed by computer or

smartphone. Metrics for participation will be documented in Technical Report 1―Public Involvement.

Public involvement efforts will encourage participation in the on-line survey. Tablets will be used to

deliver survey participation opportunities to the underserved.

10.6 Documenting Developing the Cost Feasible Plan

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the 2045 Cost Feasible

Plan be documented in Technical Report 8 – 2045 Cost Feasible Plan.

10.7 Regional and Social Equity

The requirements of Environmental Justice (EJ), as outlined by the FHWA, are intended to ensure that

the process of transportation planning is consistent with the provisions of Title VI of the Civil Rights Act

of 1964 which prohibits discrimination on the basis of race, color, or national origin. These provisions

will be incorporated into the 2045 LRTP update, and adhered to throughout the public involvement task

of this project. The CONSULTANT will coordinate with the North Florida TPO’s Title VI/EJ policies and

PPP.

The CONSULTANT will complete a benefits and burdens analysis for the tentative list of cost feasible

plan projects to assess potential positive and negative impacts of the EJ community and compare them

to impacts on the non-EJ community. Potential measures include modal usage, median commute times,

travel time to centers, accessibility to opportunities, safety/crashes, project investments (dollars, per

capita spending, spending by mode.

1. Are sufficient resources being committed to underserved citizens?

2. Are under-represented/minority and/or low-income communities being disproportionately

impacted?

3. Are actions/investments needed to mitigate negative impacts?

The CONSULTANT, in close coordination with TPO staff, shall identify geographic areas where

traditionally underrepresented populations are located and consider the comparative impacts of

proposed transportation projects on those populations. The CONSULTANT shall perform an EJ analysis

utilizing various data sources such as the US Census and other demographic data using GIS. The

CONSULTANT shall demonstrate through the EJ analysis that the proposed 2045 Financially Feasible Plan

projects will not have a disproportionate adverse impact on low income and minority populations and

how it responded to concerns identified during the public outreach process.

An analysis will be performed by the CONSULTANT to determine if each county is receiving a

proportionate commitment of transportation investments.

Page 25: Scope of Work 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Updatepathforward2045.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/... · maximum benefit and paid in a timely fashion. The CONSULTANT PM is responsible

01/18/18 23

10.7.1 Documenting Regional and Social Equity in the Cost Feasible Plan

Upon completion of this task a technical memorandum detailing development of the regional and social

equity be documented in Technical Report 9 – Regional and Social Equity.

Task 11: Final Documentation

The CONSULTANT shall prepare the final report titled Path Forward - 2045 Long Range Transportation

Plan. This report shall include three elements: an Executive Summary, a main LRTP document, and LRTP

appendices. The CONSULTANT shall obtain the PM’s approval for any software used to produce Plan

documents. Upon completion of the Plan, the CONSULTANT shall furnish ten (10) electronic copies (on a

CD-R). This report shall be visually pleasing, easy to read, friendly to the public, and adhere to all FHWA

guidelines.

The CONSULTANT will provide 6 copies of a glossary, bound summary of the entire work effort.

The CONSULTANT will also produce a brief summary document for mass distribution. The summary

document will present an overview of the LRTP process and the 2030 and 2045 Cost Feasible Plans. The

CONSULTANT will provide 1,000 copies and the supporting electronic files.