scm presentation on estimated cost of stockouts

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  • 7/28/2019 SCM Presentation on Estimated cost of Stockouts

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    Presented by:

    Deepti H

    Divya G

    Divya N

    Ganapati Sabhahit

    Girish V

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    Basic Inventory Concepts Cycle inventory (order or lot size

    inventory) isinventory that results frompurchasing or producing in larger lots than are

    needed for immediate consumption or sale.

    Safety stock inventoryisan additionalamount of inventory that is kept over and

    above the average amount required to meetdemand.

    Basic Inventory Concepts

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    Inventory managers deal with twofundamental decisions:

    1. When to orderitems from a supplier

    or when to initiate production runs ifthe firm makes its own items

    2. How much to orderor produce each

    time a supplier or production order isplaced

    Managing Inventories

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    Inventory Management Decisions & Costs Shortage costsorstock-out costsare

    the costs associated with a SKU beingunavailable when needed to meetdemand.

    Unit costis the price paid for purchased

    goods or the internal cost of producingthem.

    Managing Inventories

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    Characteristics of Inventory Systems

    Number of time periods in planninghorizon: short or long planning horizon such asdays, weeks, months, quarters, and years.

    Size of time periods: hours, days, weeks,months, quarters.

    Thelead timeis the time between placementof an order and its receipt.

    Managing Inventories

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    Characteristics of Inventory Systems

    Astockoutis the inability to satisfy demand foran item. When a stockout happens, the item iseither back-ordered or a sale is lost.

    Abackorderoccurs when a customer is willingto wait for an item.

    Alost saleoccurs when the customer isunwilling to wait and purchases the itemelsewhere.

    Managing Inventories

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    XX

    Inventory at time of receipt

    ReceiveReceive

    orderorder

    TimeTime

    InventoryInventory

    LevelLevel

    OrderOrder

    QuantityQuantity

    PlacePlace

    orderorder

    Lead TimeLead Time

    Actual Demand < Expected Demand

    ROP

    Lead Time Demand

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    Stockout

    Point

    Unfilled demand

    ReceiveReceive

    orderorder

    TimeInventory

    OrderOrder

    QuantityQuantity

    PlacePlace

    orderorder

    Lead TimeLead Time

    If Actual Demand > Expected, we Stock Out

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    To reduce stock-outs add safety stock

    ReceiveReceive

    orderorder

    TimeTime

    PlacePlace

    orderorder

    Lead TimeLead Time

    InventoryLevel

    ROP =

    Safety

    Stock +

    Expected

    LTDemand

    Order QuantityQ = EOQ

    ExpectedLT Demand

    Safety Stock

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    Service level

    Safety

    Stock

    Probability

    of stock-out

    Diagrammatic representation of Stock-out

    (Service level = probability of NOT stocking out)

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    ABC inventory (Pareto) analysis givesmanagers useful information to identify thebest methods to control each category ofinventory

    A vital few SKUs represent a high

    percentage of the total inventory value.

    ABC Inventory Analysis

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    The Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)model is a classic economic modeldeveloped in the early 1900s that minimizes total cost, which is the sum of the

    inventory-holding cost and the ordering cost.

    Cost of storing one unit in inventory for the year (denoted by Ch), is given by Ch= (I)(C), where Iis annual inventory-holding charge, Cis unit cost of theinventory item, and Qis the number of units in inventory.

    Managing Inventories

    annual inventory

    holding cost

    average

    inventory

    annual holding

    cost per unit=

    ( )=

    1

    2

    QCh

    ( )

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    Optimal Order Quantity: order quantity that minimizesthe total cost.

    Q* is the quantity that minimizes the total cost and isknown as the economic order quantity, or EOQ.

    Managing Inventories

    Q* =

    2DCo

    Ch

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    In afixed quantity system (FQS),the order

    quantity or lot size is fixed; the same amount, Q,is ordered every time.

    The process of triggering an order is based on theinventory position.

    Inventory position (IP)is the on-hand quantity(OH) plus any orders placed but which have notarrived (scheduled receipts, or SR), minus any

    backorders (BO).

    IP = OH + SR BO

    Managing Inventories

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    Fixed Quantity System

    When inventory falls at or below a certain value, r,called the reorder point, a new order is placed.

    Reorder point depends on the lead time andnature of demandoftentimes, the reorder point isselected using the average demand during thelead time (L).

    r= L= (d)(L)

    Where dis average demand per unit of time and Lis the lead time expressed in the same units oftime.

    Managing Inventories

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    Fixed Period Systems

    An alternative to a fixed order quantity system is afixed period system (FPS)sometimes called aperiodic review systemin which the inventory position

    is checked only at fixed intervals of time, T, rather thanon a continuous basis.

    Two principal decisions in a FPS:

    1. The time interval between reviews (T), and

    2. The replenishment level (M)

    Managing Inventories

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    Fixed Period Systems (no uncertainty)

    Economic time interval: T= Q*/D

    Optimal replenishment level:

    M= d (T + L)

    Where d=average demand per time period

    L= lead time in the same time unitsM= demand during the lead time plus

    review period

    Managing Inventories

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    Single-Period Inventory Model

    Applies to inventory situations in which oneorder is placed for a good in anticipation of afuture selling season where demand is

    uncertain. At the end of the period, the product has either

    sold out or there is a surplus of unsold items to

    sell for a salvage value. Sometimes called a newsvendor problem,

    because newspaper sales are a typical exampleof the single-period inventory problem.

    Special Models for Inventory Management