scientific process

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Scientific Process 1. Observation of phenomenon 2. Pose a question 3. Tentative explanation of phenomenon (hypothesis is a testable explanation; >1 multiple hypotheses) 4. Design experiment (controls, dependent and independent variables)

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Scientific Process. Observation of phenomenon Pose a question Tentative explanation of phenomenon (hypothesis is a testable explanation; >1 multiple hypotheses) Design experiment (controls, dependent and independent variables). Major Features. Observation: uses senses/tools - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Scientific Process

Scientific Process

1. Observation of phenomenon

2. Pose a question

3. Tentative explanation of phenomenon

(hypothesis is a testable explanation; >1 multiple hypotheses)

4. Design experiment (controls, dependent and independent variables)

Page 2: Scientific Process

Major Features

Observation: uses senses/tools

Hypothesis: testable explanation

Theory: supported with extensive data

Law: general statement explaining observation, holds true for all tests

Page 3: Scientific Process

Scientific Process

5. Collect data (qualitative and quantitative)

6. Analyze data (interpretation-does it make sense)

7. Report findings (is hypothesis correct?)

8. Peer reviewed/Challenge

9. Publish results (communication is essential)

Page 4: Scientific Process

Assumptions/Advantages

*Assumes natural phenomena can be explained through careful observation and experimentation

*Theories and Laws are NEVER proven correct*As our observations improve, theories and laws

may no longer be valid. The scientific method incorporates new information.

* Nonjudgmental-not good or bad

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Amalgamation Mining in South America Basic Statistics

•Hg Released in Amazonia– 100-200 tons/year during past

20-70 yrs. (Pfeiffer et al, 1993; Malm, 1998)

– 2000-3000 tons total during current gold rush (Malm, 1998)

• Number of Gold Miners in South America– 543,000 - 1,039,000 (Veiga,

1997)

• In Brazil– 200,000 - 400,000 (Malm,

1998)– 650,000 in 1993 (Jernelov &

Ramel, 1994)– 1,600,000 – Peak mining

(Pfeiffer and Lacerda, 1988)

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Evidence for Significant Environmental Impacts of Amalgamation Mining

• Physically watch Hg being released to the water and atmosphere; 65 % to 83 % atmospheric;– Hg in soils exhibited an Hg gradient, with the highest values

adjacent to gold refining shops

• In comparison to other environments, high Hg values in fish, water, sediments, and soils– High Hg values measured at sites 100-150 km downstream of

mining operations– Sediment cores in floodplains and floodplain lakes suggested

increases concentrations of Hg recent years

• Elevated levels of Hg in human hair and urine

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0 100km

Porto Velho

Manaus

Rio SolimoesRio Amazonas

Humaita

Manicore

Borba

Rio

Aripuana

RioJamari

M1

M8

Amalgamation Mining

Rio

Madeira

M6

RioNegros

MF4

South America

Page 27: Scientific Process

Regional Geochemical Trends along the Madeira River, Brazil

(Investigators)

• Paul J. Lechler, Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology

• Drude de Lacerda, University of Fluminense, Nitero, Brazil

• Jerry R. Miller, Western Carolina University

• W. Berry Lyons, The Ohio State University

• John J. Warwick, University of Florida

• Jean-Claude Bonzongo, University of Florida

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0 100km

Porto Velho

Manaus

Rio SolimoesRio Amazonas

Humaita

Manicore

Borba

Rio

Aripuana

RioJamari

M1

M8

Amalgamation Mining

Rio

Madeira

M6

RioNegros

MF4

South America

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0 100km

Porto Velho

Manaus

Rio SolimoesRio Amazonas

Humaita

Manicore

Borba

Rio

Aripuana

RioJamari

M1

M8

Amalgamation Mining

Rio

Madeira

M6

RioNegros

MF4

South America

Page 35: Scientific Process
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Primary Sources of Hg in Tropical Regions of South America

• Hg Amalgamation Mining– Modern (~100-120 tons/yr in Brazil in 1980s & 90s)

– Historic Stocks (196,000 tons from 1545 to 1900 in South and Central America)

• Release of Hg during biomass burning.• Naturally high concentrations of Hg in soils and

alluvial deposits – Hg sequestered in Lateritic soils is released during

erosion of deforested terrain.

After Roulet et al. 1995, 1998, 1999; Malm, 1998; Nriagu, 1994

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Venezula

AtlanticOcean

Suriname

EssequiboRiver

Puruni River

MazaruniRiver

0100 100

Miles

Sample Site

Issano

Omai

GeorgeTownBartica

PataroRiver

KanawarukRiver

Guyana

Guyana

Page 43: Scientific Process

Hg Concentrations in Fish of the Potaro River

• 57 % of carnivorous fish exceeded the WHO consumption level of 0.5 ppm.– Mean concentration for some species exceeded 1 ppm.

– Highest Hg concentration was 3.771 ppm.

• 0 % of non-carnivorous fish exceeded the WHO consumption level of 0.5 ppm.

Data from: An Orientation Survey conducted by GGMC in cooperation withGEPA, UG, Fisheries and Oceans Canada & CANMET

Page 44: Scientific Process

Venezula

AtlanticOcean

Suriname

EssequiboRiver

Puruni River

MazaruniRiver

0100 100

Miles

Sample Site

Issano

Omai

GeorgeTownBartica

PataroRiver

KanawarukRiver

Guyana

Guyana

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Venezula

AtlanticOcean

Suriname

EssequiboRiver

Puruni River

MazaruniRiver

0100 100

Miles

Sample Site

Issano

Omai

GeorgeTownBartica

PataroRiver

KanawarukRiver

Guyana

Guyana

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Downstream Trends in Hg concentration(Mazaruni River - Channel Samples)

0.000

0.200

0.400

0.600

0.800

0 100 200 300 400

Distance Upstream from Bartica (km)

Hg

(u

g/g

)

CuyuniTakutu

KurupuraIssano

Puruni R.

Flow Direction

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Downstream Trends in Hg Concentration(Essequibo River)

0.000

0.050

0.100

0.150

0.200

0.250

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Distance Upstream from Bartica (km)

Hg

(u

g/g

)

Channel Floodplain

Omai

Potaro Kanawaruk

Flow Direction

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Depositional Unit Comparsion Mazaruni River

0.077 0.0860.0560.049

0.121

0

0.04

0.08

0.12

0.16

Hg

(p

pm

)

Page 56: Scientific Process

Histogram of Sample ConcentrationsChannel & Sand Bar Samples

4

0

41 1

9

15

0

5

10

15

20

0-40 40-80 80-120 120-160 160-200 200-250 >250

Hg Range (ppb)

Nu

mb

er o

f S

amp

les

Page 57: Scientific Process

Evidence for Measurable Anthropogenic Hg

• Hg Levels exceeding “Background” data in channel bed, recent floodplain, and mud flat deposits;

• Decreases in Hg concentration with depth (time) in 3 of the 4 cores collected;

• Increases in Hg downstream of tributaries with significant mining activity.

Page 58: Scientific Process

Anthropogenic Sources of Hg in the River Systems

Mining Inputs

River Water, Sediments,Biota

Indirect• Hydraulic Mining

• Deforestation

•Release of Elemental• Hg to River Waters

• Amalgam “Burning”

Direct

Other Sources

Atmospheric

•Biomass Burning

Deforestation & Soil Erosion

•Logging

•Agriculture

•Road Construction