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CASCADIA SCIENCE, IMPACTS AND RESILIENCE YUMEI WANG, OREGON DEPARTMENT OF GEOLOGY AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES AUGUST 16, 2017 WEBINAR FOR THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES: BESR AND COSG

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Page 1: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

CASCADIASCIENCE, IMPACTS AND

RESILIENCE

YUMEI WANG, OREGON DEPARTMENT OF GEOLOGY AND MINERAL INDUSTRIES AUGUST 16, 2017 WEBINAR FOR THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES: BESR AND COSG

Page 2: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

HAZARDS AND IMPACTS

SOURCE: DOGAMI, 2013

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Strong Shaking

Moderate to Light Shaking

Page 3: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

HAZARDS AND IMPACTS

SOURCE: DHS, 2011

SOURCE: DOGAMI, 2013

SOURCE: DOGAMI, 2013

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 4: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

Cascadia Japan Tsunami Sandy KatrinaCascadia

multiplier (of Sandy + Katrina)

Fatalities 12,000+ 16,000 162 1,833 6x

People Needing Short-termShelter

933,000 470,000 174,000 273,000 2x

Housing Units Damaged 961,000 >1,000,000 305,000 215,000 2x

“A Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) event will have farther reaching impacts than that

of Katrina and Sandy combined”

- KEN MURPHY, FEMA REGION X ADMINISTRATOR

SOURCE: KEN MURPHY

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 5: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

SOLUTIONSSCIENCE AS THE BASIS

FOR ACTION

Page 6: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

RISK ASSESSMENTS

SOURCE: DOGAMI

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 7: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

2017 COUNTY RISK ASSESSMENT

SOURCE: DOGAMI, 2017

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 8: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

SEISMIC ASSESSMENTS & GRANT PROGRAMS

SOURCE: DOGAMI, 2007 YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 10: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

2 WEEKS READY CAMPAIGN

SOURCE: OREGON OEM

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 11: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

THE GAPSWHAT REMAINS IN ACHIEVING

RESILIENCE

Page 12: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

COASTAL VULNERABILITIES

SOURCE: DOGAMI

SOURCE: DOUG DOUGHERTY

SOURCE: DOUG DOUGHERTY

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 13: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

COASTAL VULNERABILITIES

SOURCE: DAS CFO

SOURCE: CITY OF REEDSPORT

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 14: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

OREGON’S GAPS

1976 (10% PE in 50 yrs)

%g Zone

1994

SOURCE: USGSSOURCE: ALGERMISSEN AND PERKINS

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 15: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

OREGON’S GAPS

EXPECTED DOWNTIME OF COASTAL INFRASTRUCTURE• Healthcare – over 36 months • Water and Wastewater – over 36 months • Fire and Police – over 36 months• State Highways – 12 to 36 months• Schools – 18 months• Electricity and Communication – 3 to 12 months• Fuel – No Info

SOURCE: OSSPAC, 2013

NARROW GAPS: PROACTIVE INVESTMENT OF RESOURCES IN RESILIENCE

YUMEI WANG | DOGAMI | AUGUST 16, 2017

Page 16: CASCADIAdels.nas.edu/dels/resources/static-assets/besr/miscellaneous/BESR...cascadia science, impacts and resilience yumei wang, oregon department of geology and mineral industries

YUMEI [email protected]

971.673.1551OregonGeology.org@OregonGeology

Facebook.com/OregonGeology