savills plc: results for the year ended 31 december 2016/media/files/s/savills-ir... · 12/31/2016...
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Savills plc: Results for the year ended 31 December 2016
Disclaimer: Forward-looking statements
These slides contain certain forward-looking statements including the Group’s financial
condition, results of operations and business, and management’s strategy, plans and
objectives for the Group. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and
are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond the Group’s
control, are difficult to predict and could cause actual results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied or forecast in the forward-looking statements. These factors include,
but are not limited to, the fact that the Group operates in a highly competitive environment.
All forward-looking statements in these slides are based on information known to the Group
on the date hereof. The Group undertakes no obligation publically to update or revise any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise.
2
Results
1
2
3
Introduction, Highlights &
Business Development
Financial Review
Markets, Outlook &
Summary
3
Highlights
4
Performance overview Drivers
Group Revenue £1,445.9m
+12.7% (cc 5.6%)
Group UPBT £135.8m
+11.9% (cc 4.4%)
Transaction advisory revenues up 7%,
strong growth in Continental Europe,
market share gains in Asia Pacific (China)
and resilient performance in the UK
growth of Less Transactional
businesses (PM up 21% Consultancy up
4%)
Savills IM revenue growth of 62%
reflecting benefits of SEB Acquisition
Group UEPS 72.5p
+14.7%
Net Cash £187.8m
+24.4%
Dividend 29.0p
+11.5%
cc = constant currency
Savills Diversified Business Model
5
Defensive, Scale Businesses Revenue by Business Cyclical, High-Margin Businesses
Property Management – 33%
Consultancy – 16%
Investment Management – 5%
Commercial Transactions – 35%
Residential Transactions – 11%
• Recurring revenue streams with less
exposure to transaction environment
• 1.76bn ft2 under management
• Strong Property Management business
• €16.2bn AUM
• High-return, but cyclical earnings
• 76:24 split Commercial vs. Residential
• 56:44 Commercial split Tenant rep/leasing
vs. Capital markets
46% 54%
Combination of cyclical and less cyclical service lines
Ten Year Revenues
6
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
£m
Transactional "Less Transactional"
49%
51% 54%
46%
£316.6m £785.1m
52% 54%
46% 48%
Broad Geographic Spread
Over 32,000 employees in 700* offices in more than
60 countries
5,136 Employees
130 Offices
£578.3m Revenue
40% of Total
United Kingdom
25,446 Employees
60 Offices
£485.9m Revenue
33% of Total
Asia Pacific
1,103 Employees
35 Offices
£170.6m Revenue
12% of Total
Europe
676 Employees
30 Offices
£211.1m Revenue
15% of Total
North America
* Includes associates
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2013 Acquired Organic 2016
Re
ven
ue
£
m
UK (Smiths Gore; New Offices; New Teams)
Asia-Pacific (Cordeau Marshall; China & Singapore teams)
Continental Europe (Tagis, New Offices)
North America (Savills Studley + bolt on acquisitions)
Investment Management (SEB, Merchant Capital)
Business Development since 2013
8
Region (and main contributors to growth)
£905m
£1,446m
£297m
£244m
Financial Review
9
Summary Underlying Results
10
Year ended December (£ millions) 2016 2015 % chg
Revenue 1,445.9 1,283.5 +13%
Underlying profit before tax 135.8 121.4 +12%
Underlying PBT margin 9.4% 9.5% -0.1% pts
Underlying basic earnings per share 72.5p 63.2p +15%
Dividend per share 29.0p 26.0p +12%
Net cash 187.8 151.0 +24%
Net assets 407.0 365.0 +12%
Dividends
11
Year ended December (pence) 2016 2015 % chg
Interim ordinary (“Less Transactional”) 4.4p 4.0p +10%
Final ordinary (“Less Transactional”) 10.1p 8.0p +26%
Supplemental (“Transactional”) 14.5p 14.0p +4%
Total distribution (pence) 29.0p 26.0p +12%
Total distribution (£m) 38.8 34.7 +12%
Cashflow performance
12
151.0 187.8
135.8
31.9
17.1 0.9 27.1
17.5
36.3 24.8
7.2
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Net cash at 31-Dec-2015
UPBT Non-cash items
Working capital
Acquisition spend -
current & deferred
Capex Dividends paid
Tax Foreign exchange
Other Net cash at 31-Dec-2016
Cash generation from operations of £117.8m £m
Revenue and Underlying PBT by business
13
618.0
390.7
230.3
44.5
660.8
472.8
240.3
72.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2015
2016
+21%
+4%
+62%
Revenue
76.9
21.1 24.7
10.9
80.0
23.6 25.9
17.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
+12% +5%
+61%
Transaction
Advisory
Property
Management Consultancy
Investment
Management
UPBT
+7%
+4%
Margin 12.4% 12.1% 5.4% 5.0% 10.7% 10.8% 24.5% 24.4%
£m
Revenue and Underlying PBT by business:
Constant currency equivalent
14
618.0
390.7
230.3
44.5
612.7
441.0
234.6
67.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2015 2016
Revenue
£m
Transaction
Advisory Property
Management Consultancy
UPBT
£m
1,283.5
1,355.3
1,240
1,260
1,280
1,300
1,320
1,340
1,360
1,380
Total
121.4
126.8
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
(1)%
+6%
+4%
Group margin of 9.4%
(2015: 9.5%)
Divisional UPBT total excludes other central overheads of £11.3m in
2016 and £12.2m in 2015
Investment
Management
76.9
21.1 24.7
10.9
74.5
22.2 25.4
16.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2015 2016
(3)%
+13%
+2%
+51%
+5% +3%
+47%
Revenue and Underlying PBT by region
15
560.1
401.1
192.5
129.8
578.3
485.9
211.1 170.6
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2015
2016
Revenue
UK Asia Pacific North America
UPBT
+3%
Continental Europe
71.7
34.2
18.8
8.9
72.1
42.6
18.9 13.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80 +1%
+21%
+10%
+31%
+25%
+52% +1%
£m
Margin 12.8% 12.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 6.9% 7.9%
The above excludes other costs of £11.3m (2015 £12.2m) not allocated to the
operating activities of the Group’s business segments
Commercial Transaction Advisory
16
2016 Revenue £498m (+8%) 2016 UPBT £59m (+6%)
Asia Pacific market share gains in Mainland China, Australia and Singapore, 4% revenue growth in constant
currency
UK market share gains partially mitigating the effect of substantially lower market volumes
Europe constant currency growth in revenues of 14%, with stronger transactional markets in Germany, France
and the Netherlands, partially offset by reduced volumes in Irish market
North America constant currency decline in revenues of 3%; slow down in lead up to the Presidential Election.
Strong pipeline heading into 2017
130
86 71
211
0
50
100
150
200
250
Asia Pacific UK Europe North America
Growth +16% (13)% +27% +10%
20
15
5
19
0
5
10
15
20
25
Asia Pacific UK Europe North America
Growth +26% (13)% +25% +1%
Residential Transaction Advisory
17
2016 Revenue £163m (+3%) 2016 UPBT £21m (0%)
UK impact of reduction in secondary sales revenue mitigated by strong performance in Development sales
Asia Pacific 13% constant currency growth in revenues; strong performances in Hong Kong, Vietnam and
Mainland China. Non-recurring reorganisation costs in Australia affected profitability
38
125
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Asia Pacific UK
Growth +25% (3)%
3
18
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Asia Pacific UK
Growth +6% (2)%
Property Management
18
2016 Revenue £473m (+21%) 2016 UPBT £23m (+12%)
Asia Pacific growth in Hong Kong, Japan and Korea offset decline in Australia and SE Asia (8% constant
currency growth)
UK Organic growth of 9% (Incl. Residential Lettings up 8%). Full year effect of Smiths Gore (rural) and 2016
acquisition of GBR Phoenix Beard (Midlands). Profitability impacted by expansion costs in Rural, Energy and
Projects
Europe revenue growth of 23% in constant currency with significant contribution from France, the
Netherlands, Spain and Sweden
274
159
40
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Asia Pacific UK Europe
Growth +20% +19% +38%
14
11
-2 -4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Asia Pacific UK Europe
Growth +15% +4% +8%
Consultancy
19
2016 Revenue £240m (+4%) 2016 UPBT £26m (+5%)
UK strong performances in Hospitality and Leisure, Building and Project Consultancy, Planning and
Professional and Financial Services, offset by reduced activity in Development, Rural and Energy Consultancy
Asia Pacific 11% growth in constant currency. Growth in Singapore, Australia (valuations), Vietnam, Korea
and Taiwan. PI costs in Australia impacted profitability
Europe 5% growth in constant currency improved performances in Germany, France, Spain, Poland and the
Netherlands. Profitability enhanced by 2015 recruitment
183
38
19
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
UK Asia Pacific Europe
Growth 0% +22% +17%
22
3 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
UK Asia Pacific Europe
Growth +2% +9% +86%
Investment Management
20
2016 Revenue £72m (+62%) 2016 UPBT £18m (+61%)
Fee income substantially improved through full year effect of 2015 acquisition of SEB
Total volume of transactions exceeded €5bn (ranked 5th in EMEA)
Large volume disposals during the year as part of the dissolution of the German open-ended funds
Assets under management decreased by 5% to €16.2bn (2015: €17.1bn) - effect of liquidation distributions
to unit holders in the SEB German Open Ended Funds outweighing the €1.7bn new capital raised
26
40
6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
UK Europe Asia Pacific
Growth
7
9
2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
UK Europe Asia Pacific
Growth n/a +55% n/a +49% +43% +42%
21
Markets and Outlook
Key Market Themes
US
Post Election mood in the US amongst corporate occupiers is reasonably positive
UK
Brexit negotiations fuel uncertainty
Trading volumes remain relatively subdued
Some UK Occupiers delaying expansion decisions
UK remains prime location for international investors
Continental Europe
Some Election concerns, but markets stable and international investors remain attracted to Europe
Asia
Some concerns over China financial restrictions cooling the high end Residential market (Shanghai)
and also reducing domestic capital outflows into overseas real estate
Continued significant appetite from Asian investors for global Real Estate
22
Management Focus for 2017
Continue investment in the US and Europe
Integrate new acquisitions / teams
Selective investment in technology
Continue investment in less transactional businesses - PM, Consultancy
Development of Savills Investment Management’s platform
Reviewing new markets
23
2016 another record year despite the headwinds
Summary
Global breadth and resilient UK business
Strong growth in Less Transactional Businesses including Investment
Management
2017 variable market conditions and geopolitical uncertainty in US/UK
markets
24
Good start to the year and our 2017 expectations remain unchanged
Savills plc: Results for the year ended 31 December 2016