sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in kenya

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W O R L D A G R O F O R E S T R Y C E N T R E Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya Meine van Noordwijk and Thomas Yatich World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) 2009 Forest Day 3, Learning Event

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Presentation by Meine van Noordwijk & Thomas Yatich, ICRAF Landscape approaches to mitigation and adaptation, Forest Day 3 Sunday, 13 December 2009 Copenhagen, Denmark

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Page 1: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

W O R L D A G R O F O R E S T R Y C E N T R E

Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change

in Kenya

Meine van Noordwijk and Thomas Yatich World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)

2009 Forest Day 3, Learning Event

Page 2: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

W O R L D A G R O F O R E S T R Y C E N T R E

Page 3: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Globally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (GAMA)

Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMA)

Locally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (LAMA)

Landscape approaches to adaptation +

mitigation

Page 4: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 5: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Administrative mosaic

Ethnic and social affinity mosaic

Watershed hierar-chies

Patchwork of ve-getation

Patchwork of land access/ forest class rules

Page 6: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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stem-flow

through-fall

rainfall cloudinterception

lateraloutflow

percolation

rechargeinfiltration

surfaceevaporation

transpiration

canopy waterevaporation

uptake

quick-flow

baseflow

{surface run-on

sub-surfacelateralinflow

surface run-off

Stream:

the trees

the soil

What matters most in a ‘forest’:

the landscape

?

Page 7: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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14

2

35

Myth-use of forest hydrology for maintaining political control over land

Page 8: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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http://presa.worldagroforestry.org/files/2009/07/presasasumua.pdf

Page 9: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Paradigm CES: ‘Commoditized ES’or markets for commoditized environmental service procure-ment (or land use proxies with periodic full impact study)

Paradigm COS: ‘Compensating Opportunities Skipped’ or paying land users for accepting man-datory or volun-tary restrictions on their use of land

Paradigm CIS: ‘Co-investment in Stewardship’ and co-manage-ment of land-scapes for redu-cing poverty and enhancing ES, sharing risk and responsibility

Page 10: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 11: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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http://portal.iri.columbia.edu/portal/server.pt

July 2009 Forecast of El Nino condi-tions: above-average rainfall in Kenya

In fact: late start of rains, below-average total as yet; water rationing in Nairobi

Predictability of rainfall at gro-wing-season scale is still low

Page 12: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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+~ 50 NTU 5-10 NTU

Dam & spillway

under repair

Chania river intake

Page 13: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Lesson 2

Page 14: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 15: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Nairobi

Stakeholders• Local farmers organizations• Nairobi City Water and Sewerage Company• Water Resources Management Authority• Athi River Water Services Board• Kenya Forestry Service• Ministry of Livestock.

Research Partners• World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF);• National Environment Management Authority (NEMA)ofKenya• Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology

http://presa.worldagroforestry.org/files/2009/07/presasasumua.pdf

Page 16: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Rapid/replicable Hydrological Appraisal (RHA: 6 months, 5k$) integrates 3 types of knowledge

LocalEcological Knowledge

Public/PolicyEcologicalKnowledge

HydrologistEcologicalKnowledge

Page 17: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 18: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 19: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Lesson 3

Page 20: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Landscapemosaicresource

interactions

new components &

technologies

spontaneous

change

agreed

changes

performanceindicators

actors,stake-holders

Negotiationprocess

Plots (land use s.s.)

Matrix (filter)

Roads/streams (channel)

Negotiation Support System: tool + process

Page 21: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

W O R L D A G R O F O R E S T R Y C E N T R E

Page 22: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Lesson 4

Page 23: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 24: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 25: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Page 26: Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

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Conclusions: 1. NAMA between LAMA and GAMA2. LAMA: Mosaic of mosaics

3. Realistic, Conditional, Voluntary & Pro-poor: equally large challenges in all 4 aspects

• Administrative mosaic• Ethnic and social affinity mosaic• Watershed hierarchies• Patchwork of vegetation• Patchwork of land access/ forest class

rules