sarah b traiger brenda konar university of alaska fairbanks · environmental factors don’t...

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Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks

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Page 1: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks

Page 2: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Harding Icefield, lost 34 km3 since 1950s Kachemak Glacier lost 16 m elevation (Adalgeirosdottir et al 1998)

Introduction

Glacial discharge changes environmental conditions

nutrients, salinity sedimentation, light

Negative effects on seaweed and sessile invertebrates

Future changes Increase spatial extent of

discharge Altered timing Increase discharge

http://glacierhub.org/2014/07/28/scientists-find-yet-another-negative-impact-of-glacial-melt-ocean-acidification/

Page 3: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Introduction Kachemak Bay circulation

Observed differences between inner

and outer bay (Spurkland & Iken 2011)

Outer bay has more diverse and higher abundance of kelp

Only Saccharina latissima in inner bay

Only one small population of Nereocystis luetkeana in inner bay

Field & Walker 2003

Page 4: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

•Are these differences due to mortality over time or differences in initial recruitment?

Introduction

Research Questions: 1. How does recruitment and succession

vary across Kachemak Bay? 2. Are environmental factors correlated to

patterns of recruitment and succession?

Recruitment = the appearance of new individuals

Succession = how community structure changes over time

Page 5: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Methods Recruitment and Succession In March 2013 placed 6 cleared rocks at

each site along 10 m depth contour April and biweekly May-Sept 2013 & 2014 Counted all organisms and estimated

percent cover on tops of each rock

Environmental Variables April and biweekly throughout

summer 2013 & 2014

Sedimentation rate

Temperature,

Light, Salinity

Nutrient Concentration

Page 6: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Transform: Log(X+1)Resemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity

Results: Rock Community Community structure differed among sites PERMANOVA, p = 0.0001

SiteCodePGJBPBBCMCBB

2D Stress: 0.12

Page 7: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

0

5

10

15

20

25

x/90

0 cm

2

Kelp recruits (< 2 cm)

PG

PB

BC

MC

BB

050

100150200250300350400

x/90

0 cm

2

Kelp recruits (< 2 cm)

JB

2014

2014 2013

2013

Results: Kelp recruitment

Page 8: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Results: Environmental Factors PERMANOVA , p = 0.003

05

1015202530354045

Lum

/ft2

Irradiance

Southern-outerInner&Bishop'sCentral

2014 2013

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

44.5

5

µM

NH4

2014 2013

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Inor

gani

c m

g/cm

2 *d

Inorganic Sedimentation rates

2014 2013

Page 9: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Transform: Log(X+1) Resemblance: S17 Bray Curtis similarity

SiteCode PG JB PB BC MC BB NH4

Temperature

2D Stress: 0.11

Results Environmental factors

explained 28% of variation in recruitment and succession (DistLM)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

° C

Temperature

PG

JB

PB

BC

MC

BB

2014 2013

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Ammonia, inorganic sediment, and temperature together explained 28% of the variation in community structure. The major differences we observed in community were between the inner and outer bay, and sediment was also very different between the inner and outer bay. Over the course of each year, percent cover of organisms increase on the rocks. Temperature also increase over each summer, but was not different among sites. Temperature is explaining the variation in community over time, but not the variation among sites.
Page 10: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Summary

Page 11: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Summary

Only 28%

Start

End

Page 12: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Environmental factors don’t explain everything Other important factors?

Conclusions

Kelp populations at glacially-influenced sites at risk to disturbance

Presenter
Presentation Notes
So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain the whole picture. What other factors could be contributing to the patterns we are seeing? At the inner bay we frequently observed sea stars actively preying on barnacles. Abundance of sea stars may explain the variation in barnacle cover better than environmental factors. The abundance of kelp near the rocks could also be an important factor as these are supplying spores which develop into kelp recruits. The low recruitment we observed at the glacially-influenced sites has implications for the stability of these kelp beds. Successful recruitment is necessary to replace adults that die. If adult kelp are wiped out by a disturbance event, such as a large storm, the population could be slow to recover given such a low recruitment rate. Future changes in the magnitude of glacial discharge could also exacerbate these already low recruitment rates.
Page 13: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Next Steps

Time Series analyses

Influence of mobile invertebrates and nearby kelp

Quantify kelp microscopic stages across Kachemak Bay using genetics

Page 14: Sarah B Traiger Brenda Konar University of Alaska Fairbanks · Environmental factors don’t explain everything ... So the environmental factors are important, but they don’t explain

Acknowledgments

Kasitsna Bay Lab: Mike Geagel Hans Pedersen Connie Geagle Kris Holderied

Volunteer divers: Katrin Iken Lander Ver Hoef Alexandra Ravelo Kim Powell Richard Doering Eric Wood

Anne Benolkin Alyssa Lind Elizaveta Ershova Martin Schuster Ira Hardy Shae Bowman

Committee Members: Stephen Okkonen Sarah Hardy

Robert & Kathleen Bryd Student Competition