robo advisers and mutual fund stickiness · 2016. 11. 20. · figure 1 shows an example of such a...
TRANSCRIPT
Robo Advisers and Mutual Fund Stickiness ∗
Michael Reher†and Celine Sun‡
November 2016
Abstract
We document a puzzling finding that robo advisers, firms which pursue automated,
passive investment strategies for their clients, outperform both self-managed and mutual
fund portfolios on a risk adjusted basis, but mutual fund holders are significantly less
likely to respond to underperformance by setting up a robo account. We provide evidence
consistent with a theory where more risk averse investors hold mutual funds, and where
trust in one’s fund manager plus costly liquidation subsequently discourage delegating
management to robo advisers. However, using a regression discontinuity design, we find
that portfolio-specific financial advice about diversification and fees can mitigate this
effect.
Keywords: Portfolio Choice, Financial Advice, Houeshold Saving, Financial Innova-
tion
JEL Classification: G11, G23, D14, D18
∗We thank John Campbell, Ben Friedman, Pedro Gete, Andrei Shleifer, Stas Sokolinski, Jeremy
Stein, Boris Vallee and seminar participants at Harvard for comments.†Harvard University. Email: [email protected]‡Wealthfront. Email: [email protected]
1
1 Introduction
One of the most studied and important questions in household finance is why retail investors
underperform relative to passive benchmarks (Campbell 2006). This question is especially
puzzling given the availability, low costs, and broad exposure of many exchange traded funds
(ETFs). It is further complicated by the fact that households rely heavily on outsiders for
portfolio management and advice, with 89% of mutual fund assets held by retail investors
(ICI, 2015) and a majority of households seeking expert opinion before conducting a financial
transation (Hung et al., 2008). We address this question by sutdying how a novel class of fund
managers might affect household diversification, and how this effect depends on households’
relationship with their existing fund manager.
Our focus is on robo advisers: firms which practice automated, algorithm-based portfo-
lio management via an online platform based on a passive investment strategy. These firms
emerged in 2008, and their subsequent growth was facilitated by a strong U.S. stock market,
tighter regulation of financial custodians, and the introduction of the smartphone (Sironi 2016).
As of December 2015, the five largest robo advisers had $44 billion under management, rep-
resenting a small, yet rapidly growing subset of the asset management industry. What makes
these firms distinct is not only their low costs, but their emphasis on attaining diversification
rather than abnormal return (Malkiel 2015). This last point is much in line with the stan-
dard recommendations of financial economists, making robo advisers an attractive instrument
through which to understand several key questions about household portfolio management.1
To the authors’ knowledge, ours is the first paper to study robo advisers from this perspective.
Using a company specific shock, we are able to match security-level data on individuals’
non-taxable brokerage accounts to that of a counterfactual robo portfolio. Our first core finding
is that robo portfolios are substantially more diversified than their matched brokerage portfo-
lios, which is robust across relative portfolio sizes and mutual fund exposure. This result is
itself somewhat surprising given that the individuals in our sample are relatively wealthy and
financially sophisticated. However, our second core finding is more novel and more puzzling:
1Guiso and Sodini (2013) provide an excellent, recent survey of the household finance literature.
2
while individuals with self-managed portfolios respond to this underdiversification by delegating
management to a robo adviser, mutual fund holders are almost unresponsive.2
The puzzle is not so much that robo advisers attain more diversified portfolios than
self-managing households or mutual fund managers. There is an ample literature on the is-
sue of houeshold portfolio inefficiency, which relates to both asset allocation and rebalancing
(e.g. Odean (1998), Ameriks and Zeldes (2004), Calvet, Campbell, and Sodini (2007, 2009a),
DeMiguel, Garlappi, and Uppal (2009), or Badarinza, Campbell, and Ramadorai (2016)). Sep-
arately, there is a literature on the risk-taking and underperformance of mutual fund managers,
which often focuses on their incentives (e.g. French (2008), Bergstresser, Chalmers, and Tufano
(2009), Christoffersen, Evans, and Musto (2013), or Balduzzi and Reuter (2015)). Our second
contribution, after documenting the findings above, is to address why mutual fund holders
respond differently to this underperformance than individuals with few or no mutual funds.
We propose a model to explain this apparent mutual fund stickiness which features costly
liquidation and trust in one’s fund manager, in the Gennaioli, Shleifer, and Vishny (2016) sense
of reducing the perceived riskiness of financial markets. In brief, more risk averse individuals
invest with mutual funds because they place greater value on a trustworthy manager. This
imbues the relationship between households and fund managers with a stickiness that discour-
ages re-delegation to another fund manager, even if it is known that the existing manager has
provided a less efficient portfolio. We provide empirical support for the key mechanisms of
this theory. Specifically, as predicted by the model, more risk averse and less sophisticated
households are more likely to rely on mutual funds, where we measure risk aversion using the
individual’s response to a specific behavioral question. We find an important role for liquidation
costs, in the form of rear loads, in discouraging mutual fund holders from re-delegating to other
managers. Finally, using the choice of mutual fund sponsor to gauge an individual’s preference
for the “human” versus “robotic” aspects of financial management, we find that individuals
more comfortable with robo advisers are more likely to set up accounts with them. We inter-
pret this last result as consistent with a role for trust when deciding whether to delegate one’s
portfolio.
2By “self-managed”, we mean portfolios with a relatively low share of their value invested in mutual funds.
3
While the model presupposes that less sophisticated investors are aware of their limits, it is
quite plausible to think that some individuals do not have this awareness and thus might respond
to financial advice. To consider this possibility, we use a sharp regression discontinuity design
to assess the role of advice in the portfolio delegation decision. Specifically, we exploit arbitrary
thresholds in a robo adviser’s advice-generating algorithm. Individuals whose stock portfolios
featured a Herfindahl-Hirschman concentration above a certain level received a warning that
their portfolios were underdiversified. Similarly, portfolios with a rear load whose expense
ratio exceeded a given value triggered a warning of excessive fees. Around the cutoff, we find
a significant role for advice in encouraging participation with the robo adviser. Surprisingly,
when we move away from the cutoff, the very factors which trigger advice actually discourage
portfolio delegation. This is because, in our data, concentrated portfolios are actually more
efficient, which matches evidence from Ivkovic and Weisbenner (2005). Moreover, portfolios
which receive the excessive fee warning we study also have rear load mutual funds, which entail
a first order cost of liquidation. This last point suggests that advice can mitigate but not
necessarily overcome mutual fund stickiness.
Our result on financial advice is novel in that much of the related literature has studied how
such advice can encourage return chasing (Mullainathan, Noth, and Schoar 2012) or expensive,
complex products (Celerier and Vallee 2016). The advice studied in this paper is unique in that
it instead emphasizes portfolio risk and fees. More generally, an additional contribution of our
paper is to explicitly study a style of portfolio management which advertises low fees, efficient
risk-taking, and automation, that is, the “robotic” rather than the “human” aspect of portfolio
management.
In the remainder of the paper, we begin with a description of our data and its generating
event in Section 2. In Section 3 we document our key empirical findings related to robo diversi-
fication and mutual fund stickiness. Section 4 presents a model which attempts to explain these
findings, and it provides empirical evidence consistent with the model. In Section 5 we study
the role of financial advice using a regression discontinuity framework. Section 6 concludes.
Appendix A contains details about robo advisers’ business model and Section B describes our
methodology for estimating the mean and variance of portfolio returns. All figures and tables
4
may be found at the end of the document.
2 Data Source
Our data provider is Wealthfront Inc., a robo adviser.3 Appendix A describes Wealthfront’s
business model in greater detail, but, in brief, its benchmark product is a portfolio of 10 ETFs.
The weights are determined by a questionnaire which asks the client several questions about
her financial situation and risk tolerance. In this paper, we exploit a specific product offered by
our data provider called the Portfolio Review tool, which was introduced on January 13, 2016.
This tool enables individuals with or without a Wealthfront account to obtain portfolio-specific
advice about their brokerage account free of charge. Specifically, an individual provides their
log-in credientials for their brokerage account. Then, our data provider will take a snapshot
of the account holdings and will run an advice-generating algorithm on it. As we describe in
greater detail in Section 5, this algorithm will produce a critique of the observed portfolio based
on its fees, cash holdings, and diversification. The upper panel of Figure 1 displays an example
report generated by Portfolio Review.
While the advice algorithm is running, our data provider asks the individual to answer
its standard questionnaire. At the conclusion of the Portfolio Review report, the robo adviser
shows the individual the portfolio it would receive as a Wealthfront client. The lower panel of
Figure 1 shows an example of such a recommended portfolio. From the research perspective,
this program offers a rare opportunity to study the motivations for portfolio delegation. In
particular, we can address the question of whether the delegation decision differs for individuals
who manage their own portfolios versus those who rely on mutual funds. The following section
describes the information we use to answer this question.
3We will use the terms “data provider”, “Wealthfront”, and “the robo adviser” synonymously.
5
2.1 Data summary
For individuals who have used the Portfolio Review tool and set up an account with our data
provider, we observe: (i) a security-level snapshot of their revealed brokerage accounts; (ii) their
self-reported age, annual income, and financial wealth; and (iii) their response to the following
question meant to gauge risk aversion: “When deciding how to invest your money, which do
you care about more: (a) maximizing gains, (b) minimizing losses, or (c) both equally?”. With
the exception of the demographic information on age, income, and wealth, we observe the same
data for individuals who used Portfolio Review but never set up an account with our provider.
For simplicity of language, we will call the first group “robo participants” and the second group
“robo non-participants.”4 The sample includes portfolios reviewed by our data provider between
January 13, 2016 and November 9, 2016.
Since we are interested in diversification, we focus on estimating the expected excess return
and volatility of the portfolios in our sample. Given the difficulties in measuring expected
return, we follow Calvet, Campbell, and Sodini (2007) and use a global version of the capital
asset pricing model (CAPM) to estimate the mean and variance of return for the securities in
our sample. Specifically, for each security i, we estimate
Rit −Rft = βi
[Rm
t −Rft
]+ εit, (1)
where Rmt denotes the monthly market return, based on the global Morgan Stanley Capital
International Index (MSCII), Rft denotes the 1-month Treasury yield, and Rit denotes the
monthly return on security i, net of expense ratio. As standard, εit is an indiosyncratic, zero-
mean shock to security i with variance σ2i . Our data on monthly returns come from the Center
for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and Kenneth French’s website. We also check our
results across several asset pricing models described in Appendix B.
4Although we cannot observe whether the robo non-participants in our sample have an account with an-other robo adviser, this is unlikely to occur in any systematic way. In Figure 9, we plot the realized returnsfor Wealthfront and its closest competitor, Betterment, and note that they are quite similar. Moreover, thesimilarity of robo advisers’ business models suggests that the issue of unobserved robo portfolios would mostlikely represent classical measurement error and not introduce bias in our results.
6
There are two important data cleaning steps we take.5 First, we only retain non-taxable
portfolios, which are almost always individual retirement accounts (IRAs), Roth IRAs, or 401k
plans that have been transferred to the robo adviser. Focusing on non-taxable accounts mini-
mizes the impact of capital gains taxes on the decision to re-delegate one’s portfolio to another
manager. In addition, we hold fixed any effect related to the desirability of our data provider’s
tax-loss harvesting algorithms. These algorithms are a secondary, yet important part of many
robo advisers’ business models, but studying them is outside the scope of this paper. Second,
we focus on the sub-portfolio comprised of stocks, mutual funds, and ETFs, which Calvet,
Campbell, and Sodini (2007) the “risky portfolio”. This is because bonds and options are held
by few portfolios in our sample, and pricing them is less straightforward. Moreover, cash plays
a minor role in most of our portfolios, as indicated by the summary statistics in Table 1 which
we will discuss below.
Given the estimates {βi, σi} from (1), we compute the estimated moments of excess return
on portfolio p with weights {wi} as
E[Rp
t −Rft
]=
(∑i
wiβi
)E[Rm
t −Rft
]Var
[Rp
t −Rft
]=∑i
w2i σ
2i +
(∑i
wiβi
)2
Var[Rm
t −Rft
].
Appendix B has our calibrated moments of the market’s excess return. In Figure 2, we plot the
expected return and standard deviation of return, or volatility, for the portfolios in our sample.
By construction, no portfolio can lie above the mean-variance efficient frontier. However, there is
substantial heterogeneity, with some portfolios far-removed from the frontier, primarily because
of greater volatility. This is especially so among robo participants who, as we discuss below,
tend to own more directly-held stocks and fewer mutual funds than non-participants.
In Table 1, we display summary statistics for the primary variables in our analysis. The
upper and lower panels of the table display these statistics for robo participants and non-
participants, respectively. First, notice the substantial variation in mutual fund exposure for
5More details on our data cleaning may be found in Appendix B.
7
both participants and non-participants, with roughly a quarter of portfolios concetrating at
least 90% of their value in mutual funds and another quarter with mutual fund exposure less
than 10%. In fact, 32% of portfolios hold over 70% of their value in mutual funds. Moreover,
the median non-participant’s portfolio has 52% of its value in mutual funds compared to 43%
for participants, with the difference primarily accounted for by direct stock ownership. As a
result of this difference in mutual fund exposure, the median non-participant also has a higher
average expense ratio, defined as the value-weighted expense ratio among stocks, mutual funds,
and ETFs. However, when considering the fund expense ratio, defined as the value-weighted
expense ratio among mutual funds and ETFs, the median robo participant and non-participant
are more similar. This last point suggests that robo non-participants own more mutual funds,
but the funds they choose are not necessarily more expensive.6
It is also important to recognize that the individuals in our sample are not representative
of most U.S. households. For example, Bilias, Georgarakos, and Haliassos (2010) estimate that
under a fifth of U.S. households have a brokerage account. Moreover, the median brokerage
account size exceeds $400,000 for both participants and non-participants, which is well above
most Americans’ financial wealth. That said, based on the age data we observe for robo partic-
ipants, these individuals are fairly young, with a median age of 34. They are thus an important
group to study, given that the early thirties is when most individuals begin participating in
risky asset markets (Fagereng, Gottlieb, and Guiso 2013).
3 Diversification and Robo Advisers
In this section we study the difference between individuals’ brokerage portfolio and their
matched robo portfolio. As mentioned in Section 2, we restrict our attention to individu-
als’ non-taxable, retirement portfolios. Importantly, the matched robo portfolio is revealed to
the individual at the conclusion of the Portfolio Review session described above. It thus repre-
sents the portfolio the individual would receive if she were to liquidate her brokerage portfolio
and invest the proceeds with the robo adviser. Our focus on non-taxable accounts ensures that
6The t-statistic for the test of a difference in means between robo participants and non-participants is 2.42for the fund expense ratio compared to 4.77 for the average expense ratio.
8
such a liquidation would not incur a capital gains tax, although, as studied in detail in Section
4, it may entail other costs like a rear load.
For a given variable Xpi describing portfolio p for robo participant i, we define
∆Xi ≡ XRoboi −XBrokerage
i , (2)
which is the difference in X between the individual’s matched robo and brokerage portfolios.
This is the key statistic we study in the following analysis. This statistic has two interpreta-
tions. The first, which we prefer, is the change in X that could be realized if portfolio p were
liquidated and replaced by a robo portfolio. Under this interpretation, ∆X is informative about
the difference between sub-portfolios within the part of financial wealth meant for retirement.
To account for the possibility that the observed brokerage portfolio may hedge unobserved re-
tirement portfolios, we conduct a robustness check in Section 3.2.3 in which we only consider
portfolios which represent between 80% and 100% of the individual’s reported financial wealth,
and we obtain similar results.7
The second interpretation, which requires that we restrict our attention to robo partici-
pants, is the change in X realized by portfolio p upon replacement by a robo portfolio. Under
this interpretation ∆X represents the difference between a brokerage portfolio and its real-
ized counterfactual robo portfolio. This interpretation is not necessarily more meaningful than
the first, and it comes with the additional complication that the robo portfolio may have
been funded using unobserved resources. For example, suppose an individual’s initial wealth is
equally divided into cash and a non-robo IRA account. If this individual were to become a robo
participant after our data provider’s Portfolio Review session, we could not observe whether
the new robo account came from the cash portfolio or the IRA. To address this issue, in Section
3.2.3 we consider only portfolios which underwent an Automated Customer Account Transfer
Service (ACATS) transfer.8 While the sample is substantially smaller, we obtain similar results
7Additionally, since the observed portfolio constitutes a dominant fraction of the individual’s financial wealthfor this sub-sample, it is unlikely meant to serve as a hedge against other financial assets held by the individual.
8An ACATS transfer is a security-by-security transfer of a portfolio from one financial custodian to another.If a mutual fund is transferred to our data provider, it immediately liquidates the fund. Otherwise, it maytemporarily use the transferred stocks or ETFs in the client’s portfolio before gradually liquidating them.
9
to our baseline. Therefore, we use the full sample in our core analysis below, and defer our
analysis of various sub-samples to Section 3.2.3.
3.1 Robo difference
In Table 2, we show summary statistics of ∆X for the following X variables: log Sharpe ratio,
expected excess return, volatility, average expense ratio, and fund expense ratio, which, as
in Section 2 is the value-weighted expense ratio among mutual funds and ETFs.9 The first
takeaway is that most portfolios have a lower Sharpe ratio than their matched robo portfolio,
that is, ∆log(Sharpe) > 0. Based on the standard log approximation, the median value suggests
a 17.1% higher the Sharpe ratio. As indicated in the second and third rows of Table 2, this
increase primarily comes from a reduction in volatility as opposed to a higher expected excess
return, with median values of -3.27 percentage points (pps) and 0.12 pps for ∆Volatility and
∆Expected Excess Return, respectively. The second takeaway is that over half of brokerage
portfolios feature higher average and fund expense ratios than their matched robo portfolio,
a point we will return to in Section 3.2.1 below. The average expense ratio for most robo
portfolios is around 12 basis points (bps).
Since our emphasis is on diversification, and for the sake consistency with the model in
Section 4 below, we focus most of our attention on the Sharpe ratio. In Figure 3, we plot
the distribution of ∆log(Sharpe). The upper panel plots the unconditional distribution, as a
histogram. Notice that, while most of the support is positive, there appear to be two critical
masses, the first between 0 and 25, and the second between 50 and 100. To explore this potential
bimodality further, in the lower panel of Figure 3 we plot the distribution of ∆log(Sharpe), in
the form of a kernel density, for portfolios with and without a mutual fund tilt, defined as
having over 70% of its value in mutual funds.10 We choose 70% as the cutoff because roughly
one third of portfolios satisfy this condition, although our results are robust to alternative cutoffs
above 50%. Perhaps as expected, portfolios with a mutual fund tilt appear better diversified
relative to the robo adviser than those without, with a smaller right tail of ∆log(Sharpe). More
9The Sharpe ratio is the ratio of expected excess return to the standard deviation of return, or volatility.10The density function is estimated using a Epanechnikov kernel function, as are all kernel densities in the
paper.
10
interestingly, there appear to be two critical masses among portfolios without a mutual fund
tilt, one which is substantially less diversified than the other. The model in Section 4 will
attempt to explain this heterogeneity in diversification.
We have so far studied ∆X without considering whether the portfolio holder actually set
up an account with our data provider and became a robo participant. In Figure 4, we produce
a distribution which conditions both on mutual fund tilt and robo participation status. Among
portfolios with a mutual fund tilt, there appears to be little difference in relative Sharpe ratio
between participants and non-participants. Table 3 confirms this intuition by performing a
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for the equality of the distribution of ∆log(Sharpe) based on robo
participation status. Among portfolios with a mutual fund tilt, we do not find evidence that
the the distribution of ∆log(Sharpe) differs for robo participants. However, among portfolios
without a mutual fund tilt, there is more convincing evidence that non-participants perform
better relative to the robo adviser than participants, with median Sharpe ratio gaps of 29.2%
and 47.8%, respectively.
One would imagine that individuals with a high relative Sharpe ratio (low ∆log(Sharpe))
would be less willing to become robo participants, all else equal. To consider this possibility,
Figure 5 plots the probability of robo participation based on an individual’s relative Sharpe
ratio. Motivated by the heterogeneity from Figures 3 and 4, we produce this plot for port-
folios with and without a mutual fund tilt. Among portfolios without a mutual fund tilt, we
find a positive and significant relationship between ∆log(Sharpe) and the probability of robo
participation.11 Somewhat surprisingly, yet consistent with Figure 4, we find no evidence of
a relationship between relative Sharpe ratio and robo participation among portfolios with a
mutual fund tilt.12 Section 4 explores this last finding.
To summarize, brokerage portfolios appear relatively underdiversified compared to their
matched robo portfolios. This result is not novel given the extensive literatures on household
and mutual fund performance relative to passive benchmarks. What is more striking is that
11Based on the slope of the best fit line, a 10 percentage point increase in relative Sharpe ratio loss raises theprobability of robo participation by 1 percentage point.
12These portfolios have less to gain in terms of diversification than those with less mutual fund exposure, but,even so, according to Table 3 over half have at least a 4% lower Sharpe ratio than their matched robo portfolio.
11
mutual fund holders appear unresponsive to this relative underdiversification, whereas individ-
uals with less mutual fund exposure are more likely to participate with the robo adviser the
lower their relative Sharpe ratio. In Section 4, we explain this puzzle using a model of mutual
fund stickiness, and we provide evidence consistent with the model. Before proceeding to the
model, though, the next subsection performs several extensions and robustness checks.
3.2 Extensions and robustness
In this subsection, we perform three additional exercises: (i) we consider the importance of
expense ratios and other fees; (ii) we check our results across alternative asset pricing models
and consider the role of alpha; and (iii) we check our results on two sub-samples: portfolios
which represent over 80% of the holder’s financial wealth, and portfolios which underwent an
ACATS transfer.
3.2.1 Expense ratios and other fees
Since robo advisers typically advertise their low costs of management, our study would be
incomplete if we did not consider the difference in fees between brokerage portfolios and their
matched robo portfolios. As indicated by Table 2, the majority of brokerage portfolios feature
higher expense ratios than their matched robo portfolio, both when including stocks in the
average (Avg Exp Ratio) and when restricting attention to mutual funds and ETFs (Fund
Exp Ratio). Figure 6 confirms this observation by plotting the distribution of the difference in
average expense ratio, ∆Avg Exp Ratio. In the lower panel of Figure 6, we plot the conditional
distribution based on mutual fund tilt. As expected, the distribution for portfolios with a
mutual fund tilt has a thicker left tail.13 A quarter of such portfolios have an average expense
ratio gap of over 37 bps.14
However, there are two points worth making. First, as evident in Table 1, the portfolios
13Apparently, there are some portfolios without a mutual fund tilt which still average an expense ratio 200bps greater than the robo portfolio’s, which is typically around 12 bps.
14Put differently, these portfolios have an average expense ratio greater than 49 bps given most robo portfolios’average of 12 bps.
12
in our sample feature relatively low expense ratios compared to the U.S. average of 64 bps
(Rawson 2015). Moreover, because these individuals chose to use the Portfolio Review tool in
the first place, they may be naturally fee-conscious. Second, there are likely other fees besides
the expense ratio incurred by the portfolios in our sample, especially those with a mutual
fund tilt.15 Most importantly, advisory services offered by brokerage firms often average fees
in excess of 100 bps, according to a 2015 study by Personal Capital.16 The corresponding
advisory fee charged by our data provider is 25 bps. Therefore, although we do not observe
these additional advisory fees, one can obtain a very conservative estimate of the total fee
difference by subtracting 25 bps from the difference in average expense ratios. That said,
quantifying the total fee gap is not the focus of this paper.
3.2.2 Other asset pricing models
For simplicity, we have used the CAPM to estimate expected returns for the assets in our
sample. However, it is well known that the CAPM is subject to mispricing (e.g. Gruber and
Ross 1978). We therefore re-estimate expected returns for several other tractable asset pricing
models: a simple market model, a Fama-French three-factor model, and a Vanguard two-factor
model. Full details are provided in Appendix B. The upper panel of Figure 7 plots the difference
in expected excess return, ∆Expected Excess Ret, for these various models. Table 4 presents
the corresponding summary statistics. While there is heterogeneity, especially in the tails, the
distributions are fairly similar around the mode. Notably, our baseline CAPM stands out as
the most moderate distribution.
In the lower panel of Figure 7, we consider a portfolio’s value-weighted alpha, as estimated
by the market model. Specifically, we plot the distribution of ∆Alpha conditional on fund tilt.
For ETF and mutual fund tilted portfolios, most of the distribution has small, yet negative
support. This is not surprising given that robo advisers explicitly promote passive investment
15For example, Edelen, Evans, and Kadlec (2013) highlight the importance of unlisted trading costs for mutualfund performance.
16Unlike the expense ratio, which pertains to a single product, advisory fees are charged to recommend whichproducts a client should purchase. As of the third quarter in 2014, the following firms had average advisory feesabove 100 bps: E-Trade (114 bps), Fidelity (113), Merrill Lynch (130), Morgan Stanley (126), TD Ameritrade(153), UBS (121), and USAA (82).
13
strategies. However, there are some portfolios with a direct stock tilt that substantially outper-
form the robo adviser in terms of abnormal return. We return to this finding in Sections 4 and
5 where we consider heterogeneity in investor sophistication and response to financial advice.
3.2.3 Robustness to sub-samples
Since we do not observe all components of an individual’s financial wealth, and since we only
observe the reported level of this wealth for robo participants, it is difficult to make a statement
about the efficiency of an individual’s total portfolio. For example, Van Nieuwerburgh and
Veldkamp (2009) present a model in which agents rationally hold a diversified portfolio and a
learning portfolio in which they acquire information about new assets. Yet given our focus on
retirement accounts, it is unlikely that investors are engaging in this type of behavior in our
sample. Another possibility is that the observed portfolio is meant to hedge returns on the
individual’s nonfinancial assets, such as real estate or labor income. However, using Swedish
data, Massa and Simonov (2006) find that most households do not use financial wealth as an
income hedge, with the exception of the richest households.
We argue that it is meaningful to study diversification within our observed sample of
retirement portfolios, but to make a stronger statement about total wealth we turn to two sub-
samples: individuals whose brokerage portfolios represent over 80% of their financial wealth, and
individuals whose brokerage portfolios underwent an ACATS transfer.17 For the former group,
the observed brokerage account offers a more complete picture of the individual’s financial
wealth. For the latter group, we can interpret the matched robo portfolio as the realized
counterfactual of the observed robo portfolio.
Table 5 contains summary statistics of these two sub-samples. Compared to the full sample
in Table 1, these portfolios tend to be smaller, although they have similar expected returns
and volatilities to other robo participants. Most portfolio sizes in the upper panel are fairly
plausible given that they are reportedly at least 80% of the holder’s financial wealth, although
17By construction, members of both groups are robo participants. This is because we only observe reportedfinancial wealth for robo participants and because an ACATS transfer involves a security-by-security transferto the robo adviser.
14
we acknowledge that there is likely measurement error due to misreporting, as the tails of
the distribution seem unrealistically extreme. In terms of composition, ACATS transferred
portfolios feature fewer mutual funds, which makes sense given that the robo adviser cannot
hold such securities in the client’s portfolio.
In Table 6, we replicate Table 2 by displaying summary statistics of ∆X for the log Sharpe
ratio, expected excess return, volatility, and the average and fund expense ratios. As with the
baseline, over 75% of portfolios in both groups feature lower Sharpe ratios than their matched
robo portfolio. Although it is difficult to draw strong conclusions from a small sample size, we
fail to reject the null hypothesis that each sub-sample has the same distribution of ∆log(Sharpe)
as the whole sample. That is, our result that individuals’ brokerage portfolios are less diversified
than their matched robo portfolio is consistent across these sub-samples.
4 Mutual Fund Stickiness
We now present a framework to understand one of our most puzzling findings from the previous
section: why are mutual fund holders less sensitive to performance in deciding whether to par-
ticipate with a robo adviser? Briefly, our model generates the prediction that less-sophisticated,
more risk averse individuals prefer to invest with mutual funds than manage their own portfo-
lios because they place greater value on the trustworthiness of fund managers. Consequently,
they are less willing to delegate portfolio decisions to a new outsider, even if it outperforms
their current fund manager. Moreover, the model features costly mutual fund liquidiation, in
the form of, say, rear load fees, which further discourages delegation to a robo adviser. These
mechanisms are corroborated by the data, as we discuss below.
4.1 Model environment
The model features two periods t ∈ {0, 1}, a individual investor I and a mutual fund M .
There is a riskless asset with net return Rf = 0 and a set of risky assets A which, according
to Tobin’s mutual fund theorem (1958), may be combined to generate a composite net return
15
R. However, the investor and the mutual fund differ in their ability to attain a mean-variance
efficient portfolio, with Sharpe ratios SI and SM respectively. For example, on the individual
side, investors may have limited information about the assets in A (Merton 1987) or they may
prefer to hold certain stocks inelastically despite the resulting loss in efficiency (Fama and
French 2007). On the fund manager side, pursuit of excess return and the resulting fees may
result in a underperformance relative to a passive benchmark (Berk and Green 2004).18 This
assumption matches the substantial heterogeneity in Sharpe ratios we documented in Section
3 among portfolios with or without a mutual fund tilt.
At t = 0, individuals decide whether to manage their own portfolio or to delegate portfolio
management to a mutual fund. We assume they cannot do both, which is consistent with our
finding that most portfolios are dominated by either mutual funds or a combination of ETFs
and directly-held stocks. For simplicity, we also assume individuals have constant absolute
risk aversion γ and that R is normally distributed. Together, these assumptions imply they
have mean-variance preferences. However, following Gennaioli, Shleifer and Vishny (2015), we
suppose that individuals’ coefficient of absolute risk aversion is shrunk by a factor 1/θM(γ) if
their portfolio has been delegated to a mutual fund manager, with θM(γ) > 1 and θ′M(γ) > 0. As
GSV (2015) put it succinctly, this trust is best thought of as the knowledge that one’s portfolio
is “in good hands”.19 The assumption θ′M(γ) > 0 says that more risk averse individuals attach
greater value to such peace of mind.
Thus, having decided that agent j ∈ {I,M} will manage their portfolio, individuals choose
a risky share w to maximize the following objective function
Uj(w) = wE[Rj]−γ
2θj(γ)w2Var[Rj]. (3)
where θi = 1 if i = I, that is, if the individual manages its own portfolio. This gives rise to the
18Since our focus is on the individual’s choice of portfolio delegation, we abstract from the determination offund fees and subsume these fees into the mutual fund’s expected return.
19They further elaborate: “Trust describes confidence in the manager that is based on personal relationships,familiarity, persuasive advertising, connections to friends and colleagues, communication, and schmoozing”.
16
value function
Vj =1
2γSjθj(γ), (4)
where, again Sj denotes the Sharpe ratio attained by agent j ∈ {I,M}. In the next subsection,
we characterize the choice between self-management (j = I) and delegation to a mutual fund
(j = M), and we evaluate this characterization in our data. Then, in the subsection after, we
introduce a robo adviser, characterizing the decision to participate with the robo adviser based
on whether one initially chose self-management or a mutual fund, and we again evaluate this
characterization empirically.
4.2 Delegation to a mutual fund
Based on the value function 4, individuals will delegate their portfolio to a mutual fund if
VM ≥ VI and manage their own portfolio otherwise. Put differently,
j∗ = M ⇐⇒ 1 ≤ θM(γ)
(SM
SI
)2
≡ ∆M,I , (5)
where ∆M,I is the value of mutual fund delegation relative to self-management. From 5, it is
straightforward that
∂∆M,I
∂SI
< 0,∂∆M,I
∂γ> 0. (6)
In words, individuals are more likely to delegate portfolio management to a mutual fund when
they are relatively unsophisticated (SI low) or risk averse (γ high). In the former case, indi-
viduals benefit from mutual funds’ efficiency, and in the latter they benefit from trust in their
fund manager.20
To evaluate this characterization, we construct measures of risk aversion γ and sophistica-
20An interesting question is whether individuals know whether SI < SM , that is, if they know their own limitsto achieving diversification. We take up this issue in the context of financial advice in Section 5.
17
tion s and estimate the following regression,
Mutual Tilti = δ0 + δ1γi + δ2si + ui, (7)
where Mutual Tilti indicates whether individual i’s portfolio has a mutual fund tilt, which,
as in Section 3, we define as over 70% of its value in mutual funds.21 Our sample includes
both robo participants and non-participants. To measure risk aversion, we use the individual’s
response to the question: “When deciding how to invest your money, which do you care about
more: (a) maximizing gains, (b) minimizing losses, or (c) both equally?”. In our data, 50%
of respondents care more about maximizing gains, none care more about minimizing losses,
and 50% care about both equally. We therefore set γ = 0 if the individual cares more about
maximizing gains, and γ = 1 otherwise. To measure sophistication, we use the log of the
brokerage portfolio’s size and, where observable, the log of the account holder’s annual income.
Both measures are consistent with the Calvet, Campbell, and Sodini (2009b) index of financial
sophistication. We also use an indicator of whether the individual’s brokerage account has
any ETFs. Even among portfolios with a mutual fund tilt, only 58% have 100% mutual fund
exposure. It is therefore still instructive to consider whether such individuals hold any ETFs in
the remaining 30% of their portfolio, as one might imagine a more sophisticated investor would
do.
Table 7 contains the estimates of (7). Consistent with the theory, more sophisticated
individuals, as measured by the variables in the second through fourth rows, are less likely
to have a mutual fund tilt, as are more risk tolerant individuals. According to the theory,
these individuals would choose to manage their own portfolios. It is worth mentioning that we
cannot observe pure self-management in our data, since individuals whose portfolios have only
directly-held stocks or ETFs may act only on advice from their broker. However, even in this
case the individual ultimately makes the decision about which securities to hold, in contrast to
mutual fund holders who have delegated this decision to their fund manager. We take up the
question of financial advice more explicitly in Section 5.
21The results are similar for alternative cutoffs above 50%. We choose 70% because it implies a mutual fundtilt for one third of our sample.
18
4.3 Introducing robo advisers
We now suppose that at time t = 0+, after individuals have chosen who will manage their
portfolios, a robo adviser R appears.22 Participation with the robo adviser gives rise to a value
function analogous to (4) with j = R. For individuals who initially chose self-management,
participating with the robo adviser requires VR ≥ VI , or
j∗ = R ⇐⇒ 1 ≤ θR(γ)
(SR
SI
)2
≡ ∆R,I , (8)
where, like before, ∆R,I is the relative value of delegating one’s portfolio to a robo adviser.
On the other hand, individuals who initially chose mutual fund delegation must pay a
fraction τ of their initial mutual fund exposure w0 in transaction costs, such as rear load fees.
Robo participation thus requires VR − τw0 ≥ VM , or
j∗ = R ⇐⇒ 1 ≤ S2RθR(γ)− 2τw0γ
S2MθM(γ)
≡ ∆R,M . (9)
We can see from (9) that
∂∆R,M
∂θR> 0,
∂∆R,M
∂τ< 0. (10)
That is, doubt in the robo adviser (θR low) and costly liquidation (τ high) discourage robo
participation among mutual fund holders.
We can also use (9) to understand why, as suggested by Figure 5, underperforming mutual
fund holders may be less likely to participate with a new adviser than underperforming self-
managers. Let us compare a mutual fund holder and self-manager with the same Sharpe ratio
(SI = SM = S), and differentiate their relative robo values, ∆R,I and ∆R,M , with respect to
22We could have also supposed that this adviser existed from the beginning, but introducing it at a slightlylater date improves the model’s exposition, since it is better captures the data generating process from Section3.
19
the exsting Sharpe ratio S, holding w0 fixed.23 Taking the ratio of these derivatives gives
|∂∆R,M/∂S||∂∆R,I/∂S|
=1
θM(γ)
[1− 2τw0γ
VR
]< 1, (11)
provided the relative robo value is not too small (VR ≥ 2τw0γ). In words, mutual fund holders
are less responsive to low Sharpe ratios than individuals managing their own portfolios. This
is both because they trust their existing adviser (θM(γ) > 1) and because re-delegating their
portfolio requires costly liquidation (τ > 0).
Returning to the data, we evaluate the characterization in this subsection by estimating
Robo Participanti = δ0 + δ1τi + δ2θRi + β3 log(SM)i + ui, (12)
where τ is a measure of liquidation costs for individual i, θR is a measure of i’s relative trust
in the robo adviser, and Robo Participanti indicates whether i is a robo participant. Our focus
is on individuals who have delegated their portfolios to mutual fund managers, so we estimate
(12) on the subsample of portfolios with a mutual fund tilt, that is, with over 70% of their value
in mutual funds. To measure liquidation costs, we use an indicator of whether the portfolio has
any mutual funds with a rear load. Note that rear loads are the more appropriate interpretation
of τ than capital gains taxes, since taxes apply to self-managed portfolios as well.24
Our measure of confidence in the robo adviser θR is based on mutual fund sponsor. The
most common mutual fund sponsors in our data are Vanguard, Charles Schwab, and Fidelity.
However, it is plausible that these firms’ clientele differ in their comfort with robo advisers. For
example, Vanguard and Charles Schwab both launched robo adviser services in the spring of
2015, whereas Fidelity did not publicly launch an analogous service until summer 2016. More-
over, one might argue that some mutual fund sponsors, like Fidelity, have a marketing culture
which emphasizes the personal contribution of their services.25 We thus measure robo confi-
23Technically, w0 is a function SM , but accounting for this reduces tractability while not changing the keyproperty of the result in (11).
24Neither are potential capital gains taxes an omitted variable, since we estimate (12) on non-taxable portfo-lios.
25For example, at the 2016 Investment Company Institute General Membership Meeting, Fidelity presidentof clearing and custody remarked: “I don’t believe that robo-advisors will be a substitute for human advisors ...There’s so much that [human advisors] do that adds value to investors which goes well beyond asset allocation”
20
dence using indicators of whether the portfolio contains mutual funds sponsored by Vanguard,
Charles Schwab, or Fidelity. While admittedly an imperfect measure, any proxy for “trust”
or “confidence” would be based on some form of soft information whose meaning is subject to
debate. However, as described below, we obtain consistent results for all three measures of robo
confidence.
We present our estimates of (12) in Table 8. Based on the consistently significant coefficient
on the rear load indicator, it appears that liquidation costs are an important factor in the
decision to participate with a new adviser. We also find evidence that exposure to mutual funds
sponsored by Vanguard or Charles Schwab, which we argue is a proxy for comfort with robo
advisers, makes robo participation more likely. Consistent with this interpretation, exposure
to mutual funds sponsored by Fidelity, which arguably emphasizes the human aspect of fund
management, makes robo participation less likely, although with a p-value of 0.21 the statistical
significance of this result is in question. Finally, the point estimate on the log Sharpe ratio is
negative, but highly insignificant.26 This result is consistent with the characterization in (11) in
that, among mutual fund holders, underperformance has a relatively weak effect on the decision
to participate with a robo adviser.27
In summary, the model characterized in this section and the supporting empirical evidence
suggest two key frictions that discourage mutual fund holders from re-delegating their portfolios:
liquidation costs and relative trust in one’s existing manager compared to the robo adviser.
Moreover, mutual funds can attract less sophisticated and more risk averse investors, for whom
such trust may matter more saliently.
5 The Role of Advice
To this point, robo advisers have played a passive role in our analysis. However, it is important
to recall from Section 2 that the individuals in our sample voluntarily sought advice from a robo
(as quoted in CityWire, May 26, 2016).26The p-values are greater than 0.46 across specifications.27By contrast, Figure 5 and estimates of specifications analogous to (12) indicate that, among individuals
whose portfolios do not have a mutual fund tilt, Sharpe ratio underperformance does have a significant effecton whether they participate with the robo adviser.
21
adviser, and thus it is appropriate to ask whether the advice provided had any effect on the
decision to participate with it. In the context of the model from Section 4, one might interpret
Sj as the individual’s perceived Sharpe ratio, which may differ from the true Sharpe ratio Sj.
Advice is then information which, if accepted as valid, alters the perceived Sharpe ratio.
To measure the impact of advice, we exploit arbitrary cutoffs in our data provider’s ad-
vice generating algorithm. As described in Section 2, individuals who used our data provider’s
portfolio review tool revealed their brokerage account to the robo adviser, who in turn provided
portfolio-specific advice to the individual based on several observable statistics. The type of ad-
vice received can fall into one of three categories: excessive cash holdings, underdiversification,
and excessive fees. Since, as indicated by Table 1, cash plays a relatively minor role in most
of our sample, we focus on advice related to diversification and fees. Importantly, the advice
provided relied on several hard cutoffs and was not subject to discretion by the robo adviser.
First, portfolios with a Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) among directly held stocks greater
than 0.20 generated a warning of underdiversification. Secondly, among portfolios with rear
load mutual funds whose load exceeds 50 basis points, those with a fund expense ratio greater
than 25 bps triggerd a warning of excessive fees.28 As in Section 3, the fund expense ratio is
defined as the value-weighted expense ratio among mutual funds and ETFs.
This setting lends itself to a sharp regression discontinuity deisgn. If the assignment
variable z ∈ {Single Stock HHI,Fund Exp Ratio} exceeds a threshold z∗, then the reviewed
portfolio will receive diversification or fee advice, respectively. For z = Single Stock HHI, the
cutoff is z∗ = 0.20, and for z = Fund Exp Ratio, the cutoff is z∗ = 25, provided the portfolio
has a rear load mutual fund with a load greater than 50 bps.29 Our outcome is an indicator of
whether portfolio holder i is a robo participant, Robo Participanti, and the estimator for the
effect of advice on this outcome is
ρ = limzi↓z∗
E [Robo Participanti|zi]− limzi↑z∗
E [Robo Participanti|zi] . (13)
Following Imbens and Kalyanaraman (2012), we estimate (13) using local linear regressions
28The full algorithm for fee-based advice is fairly complicated and proprietary, so we focus instead on thesimple subcase described in the text.
29In our sample, all rear load mutual funds satisfy this requirement.
22
based on a triangle kernel and with their recommended bandwidth selection procedure. We
restrict our sample to portfolios with a single stock HHI between 0.1 and 0.3 or to portfolios
with a fund expense ratio between 15 and 35 basis points and a rear load mutual fund, based
on the corresponding assignment variable.
Figure 8 shows the estimated regressions from (13) and Table 9 contains the estimates ρ for
various bandwidths. The baseline estimates indicate an important role for advice, with the un-
derdiversification warning raising the probability of robo participation by 0.32 percentage points
and the excessive fees warning raising it by 0.26 percentage points. Interestingly, the estimated
impact and statistical significance of fee-based advice is smaller than the diversification-based
advice. This is consistent with the theory and evidence of mutual fund stickiness discussed in
Section 4, since, by construction, only mutual fund holders receive the excessive fee warning.
Moreover, given that the advice cutoffs are essentially arbitrary, it is unlikely that our estimates
are due to either self-selection or other discontinuities around the cutoff.
It is worth emphasizing that the estimates in Table 9 capture a local effect around the
advice threshold. Indeed, there are reasons why, for example, portfolios with a rear load mutual
fund might be less willing to set up a robo account, even though they were warned about their
excessive fees. To explore effect of advice away from the threshold, we estimate the specification
Robo Participanti = δ0 + δ1Div Advicei + δ2Fee Advicei + ui, (14)
where Div Advicei and Fee Advicei indicate whether portfolio i received the diversification-
based and fee-based warnings described above. Interestingly, the results in the first column
of Table 10 indicate that receiving advice based on either diversification or fees significantly
reduces the probability of robo participation. To explore this result further, in the second
column we replace the fee advice indicator with its two components: indicators of whether the
fund expense ratio exceeds 25 bps and whether the portfolio has a mutual fund with rear load
over 50 bps. The results suggest that rear loads are the dominant reason why fee-based advice
correlates with lower participation, on average. In line with the model from Section 4, costly
mutual fund liquidation discourages participation with another adviser.
23
In the third and fourth columns of Table 10, we consider why the underdiversification warn-
ing actually discourages robo participation away from the advice cutoff. Specifically, we check
the correlation between the portfolio’s log Sharpe ratio and whether the portfolio received the
underdiversification warning, which is triggered by a single stock HHI above the 0.20 threshold.
Contrary to standard investment advice, and the intent of advice generating algorithm, having
a relatively high single stock HHI actually corresponds to a higher Sharpe ratio in our data. In
the fourth column, we check that this result is not drived by portfolios with a mutual fund tilt
and thus potentially an artificially high single stock HHI. That more-concentrated portfolios
outperform less-concentrated portfolios on a risk adjusted basis is surprising but not inconceiv-
able, and it is consistent with evidence from Ivkovic and Weisbenner (2005) and Ivkovic, Sialm,
and Weisbenner (2008). Moreover, Figure 7 shows that portfolios with a direct stock tilt actu-
ally feature higher alphas than either ETF or mutual fund tilted portfolios, although it should
be noted that our baseline Sharpe ratio is based on the CAPM and therefore does not include
alpha. It therefore appears that advice based on portfolio concentration only has an impact
where concentration does not affect portfolio efficiency, such as around the HHI threshold.30
Otherwise, individuals with concentrated, yet efficient portfolios are less likely to accept the
advice by becoming a robo participant.
Before concluding, it is worth mentioning that the advice under consideration is non-
standard in that it is fully automated. Many studies on financial advice have emphasized its
more “human” aspects, noting that advisers may pursue their own interests by recommending
complex yet deceptively costly products to their clients (Celerier and Vallee 2016) or encour-
aging investment biases such as return-chasing (Mullainathan, Noth, and Schoar 2012). By
contrast, the style of advice considered here actually pushes for diversification and a reduction
in fees. Moreover, this advice appears to have a significant effect, at least among portfolios
which are otherwise-equivalent in terms of concentration or expense ratios.
However, robo participation is less likely among individuals whose portfolios are efficient
despite the underdiversification warning or who would incur costly rear loads despite the exces-
sive fee warning. This last result suggests that, at least among our sample of relatively wealthy
30We test for a discontinuity in the log Sharpe ratio around the HHI threshold, and obtain a positive, yetstatistically insignificant estimate of 0.144 with a p-value of 0.13
24
individuals, investors do not blindly follow robo advice, which is consistent with Bhattacharya
et al (2012). In addition, that rear loads reversed the effect of the fee warning away from the
advice threshold suggests that costly liquidiation is an important component of the mutual
fund stickiness studied in Sections 3 and 4.
6 Conclusion
In this paper we uncovered the novel finding that portfolios managed by robo advisers out-
perform their matched brokerage portfolios on a risk adjusted basis. This result is surprising
given our sample of relatively wealthy, sophisticated individuals and our focus on non-taxable
retirement accounts. More perplexing, while individuals with self-managed accounts respond
to underperformance by delegating management to a robo adviser, mutual fund holders are
robustly non-responsive.
We propose a model to explain this phenomenon with two forms of mutual fund stickiness:
trust in one’s fund manager and costly liquidation. The self-selection of more risk averse, less
sophisticated households into mutual funds can amplify the importance of stickiness based on
trust. In our data, the effect of costly liquidation is quite strong, although we do find evidence
consistent with a role for relative trust in robo versus human advisers.
Portfolio-specific advice also plays a key role in our setting, but differential advice received
by mutual fund holders alone cannot explain the observed stickiness. This is partly because
the very rear loads which trigger advice imply a first order cost of liquidation. However,
advice that one’s portfolio is excessively risky has a significant effect on the decision to delegate
management to robo advisers. This is in contrast to the more commonly studied form of advice
which emphasizes expected return rather than risk.
Our results have implications for the study of household diversification and the relationship
between retail investors and fund managers. Whether these findings also pertain to a sample
of less-wealthy households is an open question. Relatedly, if the relationship between fund
managers and retail investors is strong enough, households may not participate in financial
25
markets at all without outside management. This possibility, coupled with the importance
of fixed costs for financial market participation (Vissing-Jørgensen 2002), suggest that robo
advisers, with their low minimum account sizes, may have a non-trivial effect on a household’s
decision to participate in financial markets. We leave this as an avenue for future research.
26
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A Robo Advisers’ Business Model
In this section, we discuss the business strategy of our data provider, Wealthfront, and how it
compares to its competitors. Wealthfront’s benchmark product is a portfolio of 10 ETFs. These
ETFs are meant to span 10 asset classes.31 When portfolio weights among the 10 asset classes
drift far enough from their target, Wealthfront will rebalance. Each asset class is represented by
several ETFs, so that, when rebalancing, Wealthfront may choose to switch to an asset class’
backup ETF to harvest a capital loss if the client has subscribed to the company’s tax-loss
harvesting service.
To determine the appropriate portfolio weights, Wealthfront solves a mean-variance prob-
lem
maxw
R′w − 1
λw′Σw s.t. w ∈ R10
+ ,∑i
wi = 1,
where the risk tolerance parameter λ is determined by the client’s response to the questionnaire
described below. Wealthfront’s primary competitor, Betterment, features a similar business
model with 13 core ETFs. The next two subsections describe the questionnaires for each
company. Each company allows the client to make ex post changes to its recommended risk
tolerance. In practice, there is substantial clustering of both recommended and selected risk
tolerance around a moderate level.32
Wealthfront’s questionnaire
Wealthfront’s questionnaire consists of the following questions: (i) What is your age?; (ii) What
is your retirement status: retired or not retired?; (iii) What is your annual income?; (iv) What
are you looking for in a financial adviser? Please check all that apply: (a) I’d like to create a
diversified investment portfolio, (b) I’d like to save money on my taxes, (c) I’d like someone
31The primary ETFs for each asset class are: Vanguard U.S. Total Stock Market (VTI), Vanguard FTSEDeveloped Market (VEA), Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (VWO), Vanguard Dividend Appreciation (VIG),Schwab U.S. TIPS (SCHP), iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond (MUB), iShares Corporate Bond (LQD),iShares JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond (EMB), Vanguard REIT (VNQ), and Energy Select Sector SPDR(XLE).
32For example, the interquartile range for both the recommended and selected Wealthfront risk tolerance forrobo participants in our sample is [7.5, 9], on a scale of 1 to 10 in increments of 0.5.
30
to completely manage my investments, so that I don’t have to, (d) I’d like to match or beat
the performance of the markets; (v) What is your annual pre-tax income? (vi) Which of the
following best describes your household? Please select one: (a) Single income, no dependents,
(b) Single income, at least one dependent, (c) Dual income, no dependents, (d) Dual income,
at least one dependent, (e) Retired or financially independent; (vii) What is the total value
of your cash and liquid investments (e.g. savings, CDs, mutual funds, IRAs, 401(k)s, public
stocks)?; (viii) When deciding how to invest your money, which do you care about more: (a)
maximizing gains, (b) minimizing losses, or (c) both equally?; (ix) The global stock market is
often volatile. If your entire investment portfolio lost 10% of its value in a month during a
market decline, would you: (a) sell all your investments, (b) sell some, (c) keep all, or (d) buy
more?
Betterment’s questionnaire
Betterment’s questionnaire consists of the following questions: (i) What is your age? ; (ii)
What is your retirement status: retired or not retired?; (iii) What is your annual income? ;
(iv) Please select an investment goal:
1. Safety Net: A Safety Net is a conservative portfolio. We recommend a target of about
$Y1 to cover 3-6 months of unplanned expenses.
2. Retirement: Based on your age and income we recommend you invest long-term with a
target of $Y2 for an annual retirement income of $Y3. This can be a regular investment
account, or an IRA account.
3. General Investing: Grow and preserve capital over time. This is an excellent goal type
for unknown future needs or money you plan to pass to future generations. There is no
target amount for this goal.
31
B Estimating Moments of Returns
For the reasons discussed in Section 2 of the text, we focus on estimating the expected value
and variance of the portfolio’s excess return. Our baseline methodology for estimating these
moments involves first estimating the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) for each security i,
Rit −Rft = βi
[Rm
t −Rft
]+ εit, (15)
where Rmt denotes the monthly market return, based on the global Morgan Stanley Capital
International Index (MSCII), Rft denotes the 1-month Treasury yield, and Rit denotes the
monthly return on security i, net of expense ratio. The idiosyncratic shock εit has variance σ2i .
We can then compute the estimated moments of excess return on portfolio p with weights {wi}
as
E[Rp
t −Rft
]=
(∑i
wiβi
)E[Rm
t −Rft
](16)
Var[Rp
t −Rft
]=∑i
w2i σ
2i +
(∑i
wiβi
)2
Var[Rm
t −Rft
], (17)
Our weights {wi} are based on the sub-portfolio consisting of stocks, mutual funds, and ETFs.
For reasons described in Section 2, we only retain non-taxable accounts. For individuals who
used Portfolio Review on both a taxable and non-taxable account, we only retain the non-
taxable account.
We consider three alternatives to the CAPM. The first is a global Fama-French three-factor
model, specified as
Rit −Rft = βM
i
[Rm
t −Rft
]+ βH
i RHMLt + βS
i RSMBt + εit, (18)
where RHMLt denotes the spread in monthly return between high book-to-market stocks and
low book-to-market stocks, RSMBt denotes the spread in monthly return between stocks with a
small market capitalization and a big market capitalization, and all other notation is the same
32
as in (15). The second model is a Vanguard two-factor model, we we specify as
Rit −Rft = βV
i
[RV T
t −Rft
]+ βB
i
[RBND
t −Rft
]+ εit, (19)
where RV Tt denotes the monthly return Vanguard’s total stock market ETF (VT) and RBND
t
denotes the return on Vanguard’s total bond market ETF (BND). Third, we consider a market
model,
Rit −Rft = αi + βi
[Rm
t −Rft
]+ εit. (20)
The difference relative to the CAPM in (15) is that we allow stocks to have an abnormal return,
or alpha.
In all models (18)-(20), we assume that εit are independently and identically distributed.
This allows us to compute the expected value and variance of portfolio return using expressions
analogous to (16)-(17). We use the sample mean and covariance matrices to arrive at the
following calibration for the moments of the factors:
E[Rm
t −Rft
]= 0.068
E[RHML
t
]= 0.0360
E[RSMB
t
]= 0.0036
E[RV T
t −Rft
]= 0.0480
E[RBND
t −Rft
]= 0.0504
Cov[(Rm
t −Rft ), RHML
t , RSMBt
]=
0.0288 −0.0019 −0.0003
−0.0019 0.0060 −0.0077
−0.0003 −0.0077 0.0048
Cov
[(RV T
t −Rft ), (RBND
t −Rft )]
=
0.0360 −0.00001
−0.00001 0.0007
.
Finally, we winsorize the sample based on value-weighted estimated CAPM beta (∑
iwiβi),
33
estimated CAPM idiosyncratic variance (∑
iw2i σ
2i ), and expense ratio by 1% on both sides. We
also drop brokerage portfolios under $100 in value. To obtain annualized estimates, we multiply
the estimated mean and variance from (16)-(17) by 12. Our data on monthly returns, expense
ratios, and load fees comes from the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP). Our data
on the market return and factors in (15), (18) and (20) come from Kenneth French’s website.
34
Figures
***
Figure 1: Example use of Portfolio Review tool. This figure shows sample screenshots
from a session with our data provider’s Portfolio Review tool. The upper screenshot shows the robo
adviser’s assessment of the revealed portfolio, which in this example features a recognition of the
portfolio’s low fees and a critique of its concentration and excessive cash holdings. The lower screenshot
shows the robo adviser’s recommended portfolio. The Portfolio Review tool may be accessed at
https://www.wealthfront.com/portfolio-review.
35
05
1015
20Ex
pect
ed R
etur
n (%
)
0 10 20 30 40Volatility (%)
No WF Account Security Market Line
Robo Non-Participants
05
1015
20Ex
pect
ed R
etur
n (%
)
0 10 20 30 40Volatility (%)
Has WF Account Security Market Line
Robo Participants
Figure 2: Mean-variance efficient frontiers by robo participation. This figure plots
the expected return and volatility for the brokerage accounts of our data provider’s clients, whom we
call robo participants, and non-clients, whom we call robo non-participants. The solid line marks the
mean-variance efficient frontier. Section 2 contains details on how expected return and volatility are
computed.
36
05
1015
2025
Perc
ent
0 50 100 150 200 250Robo Log Sharpe Ratio - Brokerage Log Sharpe Ratio (scaled by 100)
Distribution of Log Sharpe Ratio Difference
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5D
ensi
ty
0 50 100 150 200 250Robo Log Sharpe Ratio - Brokerage Log Sharpe Ratio (scaled by 100)
% Mutual < 70 % Mutual > 70
Log Sharpe Ratio Difference by Fund Tilt
Figure 3: Distribution of Sharpe ratio difference. This figure plots a histogram of the
difference in log Sharpe ratio between matched robo portfolios and brokerage portfolios. The sample
includes both robo participants and robo non-participants. In the lower panel, we plot the distribution
for portfolios with and without a mutual fund tilt, defined as having over 70% of its value in mutual
funds, based on a Epanechnikov kernel density.
37
0.0
2.0
4.0
6D
ensi
ty
0 50 100 150 200 250Robo Log Sharpe Ratio - Brokerage Log Sharpe Ratio (scaled by 100)
Participants, % MF < 70 Non-prtcpnts, % MF < 70Participants, % MF > 70 Non-prtcpnts, % MF > 70
Log Sharpe Ratio Difference by Robo Participation Status
Figure 4: Distribution of Sharpe ratio difference by mutual fund tilt. This
figure plots the distribution in the difference in log Sharpe ratio between matched robo and brokerage
portfolios. The distribution is plotted by robo participation and mutual fund tilt, which is defined as
having over 70% its value in mutual funds, based on a Epanechnikov kernel density.
38
.5.6
.7.8
.91
Prob
abilit
y of
Rob
o Pa
rtici
patio
n
0 .5 1 1.5Robo Log Sharpe Ratio - Brokerage Log Sharpe Ratio
% MF < 70 % MF > 70
Robo Participation by Relative Sharpe Ratio
Figure 5: Robo participation, Sharpe ratio, and mutual fund tilt. This figure
plots the probability of robo participation based on the difference in log Sharpe ratio between an
individual’s matched robo and brokerage portfolios. The plot is produced for portfolios with and
without a mutual fund tilt, defined as having over 70% of its value in mutual funds. The x-axis is
divided into 20 equal-sized bins, and the mean within each bin is plotted. The slopes of the best fit
lines are -0.03 (p-value 0.73) and 0.1 (p-value 0.00) for the tilted and non-tilted portfolios, repsectively.
39
05
1015
20Pe
rcen
t
-250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0Robo Avg Expense Ratio - Brokerage Avg Expense Ratio (bps)
Distribution of Expense Ratio Difference
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4D
ensi
ty
-250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0Robo Avg Expense Ratio - Brokerage Avg Expense Ratio (bps)
% Mutual < 70 % Mutual > 70
Expense Ratio Difference by Fund Tilt
Figure 6: Distribution of expense ratio difference. This figure plots a histogram of
the difference in average expense ratio between matched robo and brokerage portfolios. The average
expense ratio is the value-weighted expense ratio among stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds. The sample
includes both robo participants and robo non-participants. In the lower panel, we plot the distribution
for portfolios with and without a mutual fund tilt, defined as having over 70% of its value in mutual
funds, based on a Epanechnikov kernel density.
40
0.1
.2.3
.4D
ensi
ty
-30 -20 -10 0 10Robo Expected Excess Return - Brokerage Expected Excess Return (pps)
CAPM FF 3 FactorVanguard 2 Factor Market Model
Expected Return Difference for Various Pricing Models
01
23
Den
sity
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0Robo Alpha - Brokerage Alpha (pps)
% Direct Stock > 70 % ETF > 70% Mutual > 70
Alpha Difference by Fund Tilt
Figure 7: Distribution of return and alpha difference by asset pricing model.
This figure plots the distribution of the difference in expected excess return between matched robo
and brokerage portfolios for various asset pricing models, based on a Epanechnikov kernel density.
Appendix B describes the models in detail. In the lower panel, we plot the distribution of the difference
in alpha, which comes from the market model. We plot this difference for portfolios with a direct stock
tilt, mutual fund tilt, and ETF tilt, where a tilt is defined as having over 70% of the portfolio’s value
in the given security type.
41
0.2
.4.6
.81
Prob
abilit
y of
Rob
o Pa
rtici
patio
n
-.1 -.05 0 .05 .1Single Stock HHI (Difference from Advice Cutoff)
Robo Participation and Diversification Advice
0.2
.4.6
.81
Prob
abilit
y of
Rob
o Pa
rtici
patio
n
-10 -5 0 5 10Fund Expense Ratio (in bps, difference from advice cutoff)
Robo Participation and Fee Advice
Figure 8: Advice and robo participation based on regression discontinuity. This
figure plots the estimated regressions from the regression discontinuity specification (13) for each
assignment variable. In the upper panel, the assignment variable is the Herfindahl-Hirschman index
(HHI) among directly held stocks, and in the lower panel it is the value-weighted expense ratio among
mutual funds and ETFs, which we call the fund expense ratio. Section 5 of the text contains details
on estimation, and Table 9 contains the estimates. In each panel, we also include a scatterplot based
on 20 equal-sized bins of the assignment variable.
42
-4-2
02
4
2013m7 2014m1 2014m7 2015m1 2015m7 2016m1date
Wealthfront Betterment
Wealthfront and Betterment Realized Returns
Figure 9: Realized returns for a Wealthfront and Betterment portfolio. This
figure plots the realized return on Wealthfront’s and Betterment’s portfolio for a 35 year old non-
retired, single individual without dependents, with annual income of $105,000 and financial wealth of
$176,500, and with moderate risk aversion.
43
Tables
Table 1: Summary Statistics by Robo Participation
Min 25th Pctl 50th Pctl 75th Pctl Max
Robo Participants:% ETF 0.00 0.00 2.23 37.86 100.00% Mutual Fund 0.00 3.22 43.02 89.74 100.00% Direct Stocks 0.00 0.00 15.01 49.71 100.00% Cash 0.00 0.00 0.55 7.17 96.81Avg Exp Ratio (bps) 0.00 7.86 16.11 32.63 201.37Fund Exp Ratio (bps) 0.00 13.33 23.77 51.76 246.00Expected Excess Ret (pps) 1.86 4.73 5.43 6.29 23.04Volatility (pps) 7.36 14.97 19.19 35.03 124.79Portfolio Size ($’000) 0.22 113.34 466.99 2120.81 2.5×106
Age 18 29 34 41 78Observations 3419
Robo Non-participants:% ETF 0.00 0.00 3.94 39.83 100.00% Mutual Fund 0.00 10.84 52.38 98.21 100.00% Direct Stocks 0.00 0.00 5.25 38.64 100.00% Cash 0.00 0.00 0.06 4.63 77.43Avg Exp Ratio (bps) 0.00 10.17 18.00 37.28 237.31Fund Exp Ratio (bps) 0.00 13.82 23.67 52.84 311.00Expected Excess Ret (pps) 1.86 4.52 5.23 5.89 22.86Volatility (pps) 6.62 14.40 16.80 26.17 127.53Portfolio Size ($’000) 0.22 74.24 414.06 2326.80 1.9×107
Observations 1213
Note: This table displays summary statistics of brokerage accounts for individuals who are Wealthfront
clients (robo participants) and who are not. Avg Exp Ratio denotes the portfolio’s value-weighted
expense ratio, in basis points, and Fund Exp Ratio denotes this statistic among mutual funds and
ETFs. Excess Return and Volatility denote the expected value and standard deviation, respectively,
of the portfolio’s excess return over the 1-Month Treasury yield. The variables % ETF, % Mutual
Fund, and % Direct Stock denote the value-weighted fractions of the portfolio allocated to ETFs,
mutual funds, and directly-held stocks, respectively. Portfolio Size denotes the value of the observed
brokerage portfolio. Age data are not observed for robo non-participants.
44
Table 2: Difference between Matched Robo and Brokerage Portfolios (∆X ≡ XRobo−XBrokerage)
Min 25th Pctl 50th Pctl 75th Pctl Max∆log(Sharpe) × 100 -13.59 3.91 17.14 65.99 265.13∆Expected Excess Ret -18.22 -0.78 0.12 0.82 4.23∆Volatility -112.40 -17.30 -3.27 0.48 9.32∆Avg Exp Ratio (bps) -225.00 -20.78 -3.81 4.49 16.26∆Fund Exp Ratio (bps) -298.24 -39.34 -10.93 -0.50 13.71Observations 4632
Note: Expected Excess Ret and Volatility denote the expected value and standard deviation, respec-
tively, of the portfolio’s excess return over the 1-Month Treasury yield. Sharpe denotes the ratio
of expected excess return to volatility. Unless otherwise indicated, the units are percentage points.
Avg Exp Ratio denotes the portfolio’s value-weighted expense ratio, in basis points. Fund Exp Ratio
denotes the portfolio’s value-weighted expense ratio, in basis points, among mutual funds and ETFs.
The sample includes individuals with and without an account with our data provider.
45
Table 3: Sharpe Ratio Difference by Participation Status and Mutual Fund Tilt
Min 25th Pctl 50th Pctl 75th Pctl Max
% Mutual Fund < 70:Robo Participants -13.51 9.98 47.75 85.07 265.13Robo Non-participants -8.78 6.96 29.18 71.32 223.89D-statistic (p-value): 0.00
% Mutual Fund > 70:Robo Participants -13.59 -0.12 4.80 11.93 116.34Robo Non-participants -6.69 0.01 4.01 12.31 129.87D-statistic (p-value): 0.31
Note: The variable under consideration is the difference in log Sharpe ratio between the individual’s
matched robo and brokerage portfolios: ∆ log(Sharpe) ≡ log(SharpeRobo) − log(SharpeBrokerage). We
scale this difference by 100. The upper and lower panels do this for portfolios without and with a
mutual fund tilt, defined as over 70% of its value in mutual funds. Expected Excess Ret and Volatility
denote the expected value and standard deviation, respectively, of the portfolio’s excess return over
the 1-Month Treasury yield. Sharpe denotes the ratio of expected excess return to volatility. Unless
otherwise indicated, the units are percentage points. Avg Exp Ratio denotes the portfolio’s value-
weighted expense ratio, in basis points. Fund Exp Ratio denotes the portfolio’s value-weighted expense
ratio, in basis points, among mutual funds and ETFs. Robo participants and non-participants are those
with and without a Wealthfront account, respectively. The D-statistic corresponds to the combined
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for the equality of distributions for robo participants and non-participants.
46
Table 4: Difference between Robo and Brokerage Portfolios by Asset Pricing Model
Min 25th Pctl 50th Pctl 75th Pctl Max
CAPM:∆Expected Excess Ret -18.22 -0.78 0.12 0.82 4.23
Fama-French 3 Factor:∆Expected Excess Ret -21.44 -2.37 -0.67 0.15 2.89
Vanguard 2 Factor:∆Expected Excess Ret -27.61 -2.07 0.24 1.40 4.82
Market Model:∆Expected Excess Ret -20.24 -1.33 -0.13 0.63 4.06∆Alpha -5.00 -0.65 -0.21 -0.02 0.21
Observations 3953
Note: As in Table 2, ∆X denotes the difference in X between the the individual’s matched robo and
brokerage portfolios: ∆X ≡ XRobo − XBrokerage. The remaining notation is the same as in Table 2,
except that Alpha denotes the estimated alpha from the market model, in percentage points. Appendix
B contains details about the estimation procedure for each model. The sample includes individuals
with and without an account with our data provider.
47
Table 5: Summary of Statistics by Relative Portfolio Size and Transfer Status
Min 25th Pctl 50th Pctl 75th Pctl Max
Portfolios > 80% Financial Wealth:% ETF 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.07 100.00% Mutual Fund 0.00 0.00 33.99 91.27 100.00% Single Stocks 0.00 0.00 17.86 52.00 100.00% Cash 0.00 0.00 0.36 9.02 70.46Avg Exp Ratio (bps) 0.00 6.35 14.20 23.55 104.25Fund Exp Ratio (bps) 4.14 12.28 20.31 35.11 115.82Excess Return 2.70 4.68 5.53 6.52 19.28Volatility 8.21 14.72 18.81 33.51 122.18Portfolio Size ($’000) 0.94 44.47 131.30 306.06 14605.75Age 22 29 34 40 65Observations 121
ACATS Transferred Portfolios:% ETF 0.00 0.00 24.78 65.82 98.71% Mutual Fund 0.00 0.00 17.84 66.48 100.00% Single Stocks 0.00 0.00 19.12 40.22 98.47% Cash 0.00 0.68 2.20 9.49 46.80Avg Exp Ratio (bps) 0.00 9.45 19.46 43.19 88.28Fund Exp Ratio (bps) 5.00 11.77 28.60 55.15 104.02Excess Return 3.08 4.47 5.36 5.80 13.97Volatility 9.32 14.60 18.09 25.70 82.00Portfolio Size ($’000) 0.94 9.91 38.67 203.53 669866.63Age 22 30 35.5 41.5 58Observations 41
Note: This table presents summary statistics for portfolios which represent between 80% and 100% of
the holder’s reported financial wealth and which underwent an ACATS transfer to Wealthfront. The
notation is the same as in Table 1.
48
Table 6: Robo Difference by Relative Portfolio Size and Transfer Status
Min 25th Pctl 50th Pctl 75th Pctl Max
Portfolios > 80% Financial Wealth:∆log(Sharpe) × 100 -7.66 5.08 20.49 67.12 162.65∆Expected Excess Ret -13.05 -0.73 0.13 0.75 3.03∆Volatility -105.21 -17.70 -2.42 0.47 7.60Sharpe Ratio D-statistic (p-value): 0.80
ACATS Transferred Portfolios:∆log(Sharpe) × 100 -4.22 4.53 12.41 49.07 128.86∆Expected Excess Ret -8.46 -0.59 0.23 1.03 2.43∆Volatility -69.04 -10.24 -2.74 0.65 6.13Sharpe Ratio D-statistic (p-value): 0.71
Note: As in Table 2, ∆X denotes the difference in X between the the individual’s matched robo
portfolio and their brokerage portfolio: ∆X ≡ XRobo − XBrokerage. The upper panel shows the
distribution of ∆X for portfolios which represent between 80% and 100% of the holder’s financial
wealth. The lower panel shows the distribution of ∆X for portfolios which underwent an ACATS
transfer to Wealthfront. The remaining notation is the same as in Table 2. The D-statistic corresponds
to the combined Kolmogorov-Smirnov test that the ∆log(Sharpe) has the same distribution for the
given sub-sample as for the whole sample.
49
Table 7: Mutual Fund Tilt, Risk Aversion, and Sophistication
Outcome: Mutual Tilt Mutual Tilt Mutual TiltRisk Averse 0.037∗∗ 0.052∗∗∗ 0.053∗∗
(0.015) (0.018) (0.024)Has ETF -0.482∗∗∗
(0.016)log(Value) -0.022∗∗∗
(0.004)log(Income) -0.035∗∗
(0.015)R-squared 0.260 0.013 0.007Number of Observations 2748 2748 1510
Note: This table contains the estimates of specification (7). Has ETF indicates whether the individ-
ual’s brokerage portfolio has an ETF. Value denotes the value of the individual’s brokerage portfolio.
Income denotes the individual’s reported annual income, which we only observe for robo participants.
Risk Averse equals 0 if the individual answered “maximizing gains” in response to the question “When
deciding how to invest your money, which do you care about more: (a) maximizing gains, (b) min-
imizing losses, or (c) both equally?”. If the individual answered “both equally”, then Risk Averse
equals 1. No individual answered “minimizing losses”. Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors are
in parentheses (*p-value < 0.10; *p-value < 0.05; ***p-value < 0.01).
50
Table 8: Robo Participation, Liquidation Costs, Diversification, and Comfort with Robo
Outcome: Robo Participant Robo Participant Robo ParticipantHas Load -0.103∗∗∗ -0.122∗∗∗ -0.109∗∗∗
(0.028) (0.027) (0.029)log(Sharpe) -0.056 -0.023 -0.041
(0.076) (0.074) (0.075)Has Vanguard 0.070∗∗∗
(0.026)Has Schwab 0.184∗∗∗
(0.060)Has Fidelity -0.035
(0.028)R-squared 0.018 0.018 0.014Number of Observations 1640 1640 1640
Note: This table contains the estimates of specification (12). The outcome, Robo Participant, is an
indicator of whether the individual has an account with our data provider. Has Load indicates whether
the individual’s brokerage portfolio has a mutual fund with rear load greater than 50 basis points.
Has Vanguard, Has Schwab, and Has Fidelity indicate whether the individual’s brokerage portfolio
has a mutual fund sponsored by Vanguard, Schwab, or Fidelity, respectively. Sharpe denotes the
Sharpe ratio for the individual’s brokerage portfolio. Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors are in
parentheses (*p-value < 0.10; *p-value < 0.05; ***p-value < 0.01).
51
Table 9: Advice and Robo Participation based on Regression Discontinuity
Outcome: Robo ParticipantAssignment Variable: Single Stock HHI Fund Expense RatioIK bandwidth 0.316∗∗ 0.261∗
(0.102) (0.152)IK bandwidth×0.9 0.336∗∗ 0.273∗
(0.111) (0.162)IK bandwidth×1.1 0.297∗∗ 0.248∗
(0.095) (0.147)Observations 608 495
Note: This table contains the estimates of the regression discontinuity specification (13). Robo Par-
ticipant is an indicator of whether the individual has an account with our data provider. Single Stock
HHI is the Herfindahl-Hirschman index among directly held stocks. Fund Expense Ratio is the value-
weighted expense ratio among mutual funds and ETFs. In Column 1, the sample is all brokerage
portfolios with a single stock HHI between 0.1 and 0.3. In Column 2, the sample is all brokerage
portfolios with a fund expense ratio between 15 and 35 basis points, and which have a mutual fund
with rear load greater than 50 basis points. Each row is based on a different bandwidth. The IK
bandwidth is the value recommended by the Imbens and Kalyanaraman (2012) bandwidth selection
procedure. The recommended bandwidths are 0.08 and 3.29 when the assignment variables are sin-
gle stock HHI or fund expense ratio, respectively. Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors are in
parentheses (*p-value < 0.10; *p-value < 0.05; ***p-value < 0.01).
52
Table 10: Advice and Robo Participation away from the Advice Cutoff
Outcome Robo Participant Robo Participant log(Sharpe) log(Sharpe)Div Advice -0.091∗∗∗ -0.093∗∗∗ 0.441∗∗∗ 0.429∗∗∗
(0.013) (0.013) (0.010) (0.013)Fee Advice -0.047∗∗
(0.015)Exp Ratio Cutoff -0.022
(0.014)Has Load -0.035∗
(0.014)Sample Full Full Full % Mutual < 70Number of Observations 5114 4758 5114 3474
Note: This table contains the estimates of the specification (14). Robo Participant is an indicator
of whether the individual has an account with our data provider. Div Advice and Fee Advice are
indicators of whether the portfolio received the underdiversification or excessive fee warnings described
in Section 5. Sharpe denotes the Sharpe ratio. Exp Ratio Cutoff indicates whether the portfolio has
a fund expense ratio greater than 25 basis points. Has Load indicates whether the portfolio has a
rear load mutual fund with a load greater than 50 bps. Columns 1-3 contain estimates based on the
full sample, and Column 4 only uses portfolios with less than 70% of their value in mutual funds.
Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors are in parentheses (*p-value < 0.10; *p-value < 0.05; ***p-
value < 0.01).
53