roadshow material q2 2016
TRANSCRIPT
1
KESKO’SROADSHOW
JUKKA ERLUNDMAY 2016
• Net sales €8,610m
• Operating profit* €250m
• ROCE* 12.4%
• Personnel 22,000
• Shareholders 40,000
• Market capitalisation €3.8bn (Mar. 31, 2016)
* excl. non-recurring items
2
KESKO Q1/2016ROLLING 12 MO
3
OPERATIONS IN EIGHT COUNTRIES
Norway5% Sweden
2%
Finland81%
Lithuania4%
Latvia1%
Estonia2%
Russia4%
Belarus1%
Retail sales, € million, 2015Finland 8,927Sweden 209Norway 664Estonia 136Latvia 90Lithuania 366Russia 311Belarus 116
• K-Group’s sales €10.8bn
• Operations is eight countries
• Over 1.3 million customer visitsevery day
• Personnel 40,000
FOR SHOPPING TO BE FUN
4
K-GROUP
NET SALES BY DIVISION Q1/2016ROLLING 12 MO
€4,664m€3,172m
€763m
Grocery trade-1.3%
Home improvementand specialitygoods trade+1.9%
Car trade +0.6%
54%37%
9%
5
Comparable change
INVESTING IN STRATEGICGROWTH AREAS
• Grocery trade (Finland, Russia, Kespro)• Increasing the market share in the Finnish grocery
trade• Focus on the development of neighbourhood
retailing
• Building and home improvement trade (Europe)• Increasing building and home improvement trade in
Europe• Increasing B2B sales
• Car trade (Finland, the Baltic countries)
6
Real estatearrangementDivestment of
Anttila
Kesko–Senukaiarrangement in the Baltic countries
Acquisition of Suomen Lähikauppa
Acquisition of Onninen
7
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION IS PROGRESSING
One unified Kesko – the customer and quality in everything we do
GROCERY TRADE
8
KESKO GROCERY TRADE
9
Net sales €4,664m
Operating profit* €174m
Operating margin* 3.7%
ROCE* 21.0%K-Group 32.7%S-Group 45.9%Lidl 8.3%Suomen Lähikauppa 6.4%Others 6.7%
Total market €16.6 billion in 2015
Source: Nielsen
* excl. non-recurring items
Q2/2015-Q1/2016
RETAIL STORES
Sales 2015€ million, VAT 0%
Number of stores at 31.12.2015
Concept
1,505+575 81 Hypermarket
1,716 219 Supermarket
1,189 476 Neighbourhoodstore
106 9 Compact hyper, Russia
Others 122 108 Incl. online store
Total 5,214 893
10
11
STRATEGY PROGRESSING AS PLANNED
• Increasing market share
• Increase and development of neighbourhoodstore network
• Renewal of K-citymarket chain
• Improvement of quality and service levels
• Improvement of price competitiveness and price image
• Best digital services in the trading sector
• Development of retailer business model
12
K-GROUP’S NEIGHBOURHOOD RETAIL SERVICESWILL IMPROVE SIGNIFICANTLY
• K-market chain will be renewed, first stores opened in April
• Siwa and Valintatalo stores converted into K-markets within a year
• Selections will improve and price level decrease, Pirkka products included in selections
• K-retailers to run all stores within two years
• Acquisition of Suomen Lähikauppaenables significant synergies
HOME IMPROVEMENT
AND SPECIALITYGOODS TRADE
13
HOME IMPROVEMENT AND SPECIALITY GOODS TRADE
14
Net sales €3,172m
Operating profit* €78m
Operatingmargin* 2.5%
ROCE* 9.9%
Sports trade€186m
Furniture trade€179m
Agricultural and machinery trade Finland €500m
Others€37m
Building and home improvement trade Belarus €116m
Building and home improvement trade
Russia €192m
Building and homeimprovement tradeFinland €794m
Building and homeimprovement tradeScandinavia €627m
Building and home improvement trade Baltics €461m
Agricultural and machinery trade Baltics €115m
* excl. non-recurring items
2015
Q2/2015-Q1/2016
15
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES OF THE BUILDING AND HOME IMPROVEMENT TRADE
15
• Kesko #5 in Europe – strong potential for further growth organically orthrough acquisitions
• Providing excellent services from the same store network to the three different customer segments
• Consumer customers• Project customers• B2B customers
• A common core for all countries to ensure efficient operations
• Offering the best omni-channel digital services
13.812.1
5.6 4.8 4.33.4 2.6
0
5
10
15
GroupeAdeo
Kingfisher OBI Bauhaus K-groupand
Onninen
Hornbach WolseleyNordic
Net sales, 2014
KESKO AND K-GROUP ONE OF THE LEADERS IN ITS FIELD IN EUROPE
Source: Companies’ annual reports, websites, Baumarktmanager
€bn
165/2015
GROWTH FROM THE BUILDING AND TECHNICAL TRADE
17
B2B SALES ARE GROWING FASTER THANB2C SALES
18
Building and renovation become increasingly technical
Consumers increasingly outsource building to professionals
Growing need for renovation building
Rising standard of living increases the use of services
19
RENOVATION CONSTRUCTION IS INCREASING
inde
x20
10=1
00
Non-residential construction
Infra construction
Residential construction
Renovation construction
Source: Macrobond/The Confederation of Finnish Construction Industries RT (CFCI), Euroconstruct
• B2B customers already account for 40% of the K-Group’s sales
• Acquisition of Onninen increases the percentage to 60%
• B2B sales have long developed better than B2C sales
• Building and renovation become increasingly technical
• Consumers increasingly often outsource building to professionals
20
B2B SALES CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
• Onninen’s HEPAC and electrical productgroups expand Kesko’s offering makingit the most comprehensive in the market
• Share of B2B sales rises strongly
• Significant synergies
• Completion of the acquisition is yet to beapproved by competition authorities
21
ACQUISITION OF ONNINEN STRENGTHENS KESKO’S POSITION IN THE TRADE WITH BUILDING PROFESSIONALS AND IN TECHNICAL TRADE
CAR TRADE
22
CAR TRADE
23
Net sales €763m
Operating profit* €26m
Operating margin* 3.4%
ROCE* 24.1%
Toyota 11.1%
Volkswagen 10.9%
Skoda 9.7%
Ford 7.9%
Nissan 7.3%
Volvo 7.2%
Opel 5.6%
Audi 5.4%
Seat 1.7%
Others 33.6%* excl. non-recurring items
Q1/2016
Q2/2015-Q1/2016
24
MAXIMISING VALUE CREATION ALSO IN OTHERBUSINESSES
• Important to have the best platform for Kesko’s small and medium sized businesses to succeed in tight competition• Furniture trade (Finland and Estonia)• Agricultural trade (Finland)• Machinery trade (Finland and the Baltic countries)• Shoe trade (Finland)• Sports trade (Finland and Russia)
• All options which improve competitiveness of other businesses and retailer entrepreneurs are possible
FINANCIALS
25
NET SALES BY QUARTERQ1 COMPARABLE NET SALES AT PREVIOUS YEAR’S LEVEL
26
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0Q4
2,1662,267
Q3
2,2032,304
Q2
2,2272,371
Q1
2,0132,0822,129
€m201620152014
OPERATING PROFIT EXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMSBY QUARTER
27
62
84
68
19
59
8276
27 32
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q4Q3Q2Q1
€m20162014 2015
28
FINANCIAL TARGETS ANDCAPITAL EXPENDITURE
• Return on capital employed 14%
• Return on equity 12%
• Interest bearing net debt / EBITDA < 2.5
• Capital expenditure in 2015–2017 approximately €750 million• Excluding possible acquisitions
Dividend policy: Kesko Corporation distributes at least 50% of its earnings per share excluding non-recurring items as dividends, taking however the company's financial position and operating strategy into account.
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYEDEXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS, ROLLING 12 MO
29
14.0 13.1
9.0 9.8 9.911.7 12.4
0
4
8
12
16
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016
%Target14%
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED BY DIVISIONMOVING 12 MO, EXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS
30
Group totalHome improvement and specialitygoods trade
Grocery trade Car trade
%
21.0
9.9
24.1
12.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
31
050
100150200250300350400450
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Capital expenditure in store sites Acquisitions Other capital expenditure
average
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
€m
STRONG FINANCIAL POSITION
32
31.3.2016 31.3.2015
Equity ratio, % 54.8 51.5
Liquid assets, €m 746 506
Cash flow from operating activities, €m -96 -75
Capital expenditure, €m 51 52
EARNINGS / SHARE AND DIVIDEND
33
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2.50
1.701.50
1.651.40
1.68
1.201.47
1.20
1.84
1.30
1.78
Dividend (2015 Board’s proposal to the AGM)Earnings / share excl. non-recurring items
€€
34
REAL ESTATE IN 2015
34
Owned properties
Country Area, 1,000 m2
Finland 540
Other Nordic countries 66
Baltic countries and Belarus 109
Russia 191
TotalCarrying amount
906€1,107m
Leased properties total1,000 m2 2,951
Classification
Strategic properties 64%
Standard properties 26%
Development properties 9%
Realisation properties 1%
35
SHAREHOLDERS 3/2016
The largest registeredshareholders by number of shares
Foreign ownership of B shares 39%
1 K-retailers´ Association 3,899,938 3.90
2 Vähittäiskaupan Takaus Oy 3,491,771 3.49
3 Kruunuvuoren Satama Oy 3,438,885 3.44
4Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company 2,800,632 2.80
5 Valluga-sijoitus Oy 1,340,439 1.34
6Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company 1,130,986 1.13
7Foundation for Vocational Training in the Retail Trade 1,122,832 1.12
8 Oy The English Tearoom Ab 1,000,000 1.00
9 The State Pension Fund 950,000 0.95
10 Elo Pension Company 896,968 0.90
%
MARKET SITUATION AND
OUTLOOK
36
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1/00
7/00
1/01
7/01
1/02
7/02
1/03
7/03
1/04
7/04
1/05
7/05
1/06
7/06
1/07
7/07
1/08
7/08
1/09
7/09
1/10
7/10
1/11
7/11
1/12
7/12
1/13
7/13
1/14
7/14
1/15
7/15
1/16
Expectations for own finances
Expectation, 21st centuryaverage
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IN FINLAND
37
odotukset omasta taloudesta seuraavan 12 kk:n kuluttua
Source: Statistics Finland
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
1/20
132/
2013
3/20
134/
2013
5/20
136/
2013
7/20
138/
2013
9/20
1310
/201
311
/201
312
/201
31/
2014
2/20
143/
2014
4/20
145/
2014
6/20
147/
2014
8/20
149/
2014
10/2
014
11/2
014
12/2
014
1/20
152/
2015
3/20
154/
2015
5/20
156/
2015
7/20
158/
2015
9/20
1510
/201
511
/201
512
/201
51/
2016
2/20
16la
test
mon
th
Estonia
Sweden
Lithuania
Latvia
Norway
Finland
38
RETAIL TRADE TRENDS IN OPERATING COUNTRIESROLLING 12 MO
Latestmonth
Source: Eurostat, excl. motor vehicles and fuels
% (r
ollin
g12
mo)
OUTLOOK
39
Estimates for the outlook of Kesko Group's net sales and operating profit excluding non-recurring items are given for the 12-month period following the reporting period (4/2016-3/2017) in comparison with the 12 months preceding the end of the reporting period (4/2015-3/2016).
The general economic situation and the expected trend in consumer demand vary in Kesko’s different operating countries. In Finland, owing to the weak trend in consumers’ purchasing power, the trading sector’s performance is expected to remain modest, which may be complicated further by actions taken to balance the public finances. In the Finnish grocery trade, intense competition is expected to continue. The markets for the Finnish building and home improvement trade and for the car trade are expected to improve slightly. With respect to foreign countries, the economic situation and consumers’ purchasing power, as well as the outlook in Russia are still weak. In Sweden and Norway and the Baltic countries, the market is expected to grow.
Kesko Group's net sales for the next 12 months are expected to exceed the level of the preceding 12 months. The operating profit excluding non-recurring items for the next 12-month period is expected to equal the level of the preceding 12 months. The outlook does not take account of the acquisition of Onninen, in respect of which estimates will be given in connection with its completion.
40
THE WORLD’S MOST SUSTAINABLE RETAIL OPERATOR
Davos, January 2015 and 2016:’The Global 100 Most SustainableCorporations in the World’ list.
KESKO IS THE MOST RESPONSIBLE FOOD AND STAPLES RETAILER IN THE WORLD
41
In 2015, Kesko rose to CDP’s Climate A List for the first time
At the top of the Nordic Climate Disclosure Leadership climate index since 2011. In 2015, Kesko was awarded the full 100 points
In ’The Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations in the World’ list since 2005
Included in the FTSE4Good index since 2009
Included in the STOXX Global ESG Leaders index family since 2011
Included in the Dow Jones sustainability indexes DJSI World and DJSI Europe 2003-2014
Q1 REPORT
42
Q1 HIGHLIGHTS
43
• Kesko’s net sales stable, comparable change +0.2%
• Profitability improved, operating profit excluding non-recurring items€32.3 million (€26.5 million)
• Return on capital employed continued to improve to 12.4% (10.2%)
• Good profitability of the grocery trade, acquisition of Suomen Lähikauppa willsignificantly increase net sales
• Profitability of the building and home improvement trade continued to improve, strong growth in B2B sales
• Kesko entered into an agreement to acquire Onninen which will significantlystrengthen Kesko’s building and technical trade
• Sales of the car trade increased markedly, profitability at a good level
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
44
Q1/2016 Q1/2015
Net sales, €m 2,013 2,082
Operating profit*, €m 32.3 26.5
Operating margin*, % 1.6 1.3
Profit before tax, €m 35.7 -103.7
Earnings per share*, € 0.26 0.19
Return on capital employed*, %, rolling 12 mo 12.4 10.2
Return on equity*, %, rolling 12 mo 8.7 7.9
*excl. non-recurring items
NET SALES BY DIVISION Q1/2016
€1,094m€695m
€225m
Grocery trade–0.5%54%
35%
11%
45
Car trade +7.1%
Home improvementand speciality goodstrade –0.4%
Comparable change
GROCERY TRADE
46
GROCERY TRADE, Q1
47
• K-food stores’ retail sales at the previous year’s level, up 0.1%• Strengthening of quality and price competitiveness continued in
accordance with strategy
• Change in the grocery market prices around -1.5%
• Despite intense price competition, profitability at a good level
• Renewal of Kesko’s neighbourhood retail services has started• All K-markets will be renewed• Siwa and Valintatalo stores acquired from Suomen Lähikauppa will be
converted into K-markets
• The first renewed Neste K service station opened in Tampere• Objective is a network of nearly 100 stations extending across the
country
NET SALESQ1 COMPARABLE CHANGE –0.5%
48
500
0
1,500
1,000
Q1/2016
1,094
Q1/2015
1,103
€m
OPERATING PROFITEXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS
49
0
25
50
Q1/2016
31.3
Q1/2015
34.9
€m
HOME IMPROVEMENT
AND SPECIALITYGOODS TRADE
50
HOME IMPROVEMENT AND SPECIALITY GOODSTRADE, Q1
51
• Sales growth of B2B trade strengthened
• Improvement of profitability continued• Good performance in the building and home improvement trade
outside Finland and in the agricultural and machinery trade• Divestment of Anttila in March 2015
• Market share of the building and home improvement trade strengthenedespecially in Finland
• Acquisition of Onninen will significantly strengthen Kesko’s building and technical trade• Completion of acquisition expected in H1/2016• Acquisition is subject to EU Commission’s approval, FCCA’s
approval was obtained in April
• Kesko Senukai’s objective is growth in the Baltic countries and Belarus
NET SALESQ1 IN LOCAL CURRENCIES EXCL. ANTTILA -0.4%
52
695773
1,000
500
0Q1/2016Q1/2015
€m
Reported net sales, €, incl. Anttila
OPERATING PROFITEXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS
53
-20
-10
0
10
-14.2
Q1/2016Q1/2015
0.3
€m
CAR TRADE
54
CAR TRADE, Q1
55
• Total car trade market performance in January-March was strong
• VV-Auto’s net sales growth +7.1%• Combined market share of passenger cars and vans in January-March
18.5% (18.8%)
• Profitability remained at a good level, operating profit €9.4 million(€9.8 million)
NET SALESQ1 +7.1%
56
225210
0
100
200
300
Q1/2016Q1/2015
€m
OPERATING PROFITEXCL. NON-RECURRING ITEMS
57
0
5
10
Q1/2016
9.8 9.4
Q1/2015
€m