roadmaps to ocean worlds - lunar and planetary institute€¦ · theme 2: characterize the ocean of...
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RoadmapstoOceanWorldsOPAG
September2017LaJolla
AmandaHendrix(PSI),TerryHurford(GSFC)
co-chairs
CongressionalDirecMon
• FromtheCommerce,JusMce,Science,andRelatedAgenciesAppropriaMonsBill,2016– “…TheCommi+eedirectsNASAtocreateanOceanWorldExplora<onProgramwhoseprimarygoalistodiscoverextantlifeonanotherworldusingamixofDiscovery,NewFron<ersandflagshipclassmissionsconsistentwiththerecommenda<onsofcurrentandfuturePlanetaryDecadalsurveys.”
• ConnectedtotheviewofOceanWorldsasperhapshabitableandpotenMallyinhabitedworlds
OPAGChargetoROW• OPAGcharteredROW;wearecoordina4ngwithSBAGsincesome
“SBAG-owned”bodiescouldbeoceanworlds• IdenMfyandprioriMzescienceobjecMvesforOceanWorlds
– MedtotheDecadalSurvey• Designroadmaptoexploretheseworldstoaddressscience
objecMves– Missionsequences,sustainedexploraMoneffort
• AssesswhereeachOceanWorldfitsintotheoverallroadmap• Summarizebroadmissionconcepts
– Consideringmissiondependences&internaMonalcooperaMon• Recommendtechnologydevelopmentanddetailedmissionstudies
insupportofthenextdecadalsurvey• PlaceexploraMonofOceanWorldsintothelargercontextofSolar
SystemexploraMon
TeammembersAmend,JanAye,MichaelBannister,MicheleBarge,LaurieBeauchamp,PatriciaBeddingfeld,ChloeBland,MichaelBowman,JeffBraun,BobbyBrinckerhoff,WilliamBura\,BonnieByrne,PaulCable,MorganCabrol,NathalieCartwright,RichardCasMllo-Rogez,JulieCollins,GeoffreyCooper,JohnCrary,FrankDhingra,RajaniDiniega,SerinaElder,Catherine
Neish,CatherineNeveu,MarcNordheim,TomOlkin,CathyPappalardo,RobertPa_erson,WesPa_hoff,AlexPhillips,CynthiaPontefract,AlexandraPortyankina,GannaPoston,MichaelQuick,LynnaeRhoden,AlyssaRicco,AntonioSchaible,MicahSchaible,GeorgeSchenk,PaulSchmidt,BritneyScully,JenniferSherwood,BrentShock,Evere_Singer,Kelsi
Emerson,DaveEubanks,MarshallFurfaro,RobertoGerman,ChrisGlein,ChrisGoodman,JasonHand,KevinHayes,AlexHibbard,KennethHibbi_s,KarlHoehler,ToriHoller,BryanHosseini,SonaHowe_,CarlyKargel,JeffreyLindensmith,ChrisLopes,RosalyMacKenzie,ShannonMalaska,MichaelMarMn,EmilyMcKay,ChrisMoore,Jeff,
Soderblom,JasonSoMn,ChristopheSuch,PamelaTurtle,ElizabethVance,SteveVerbiscer,AnneWalker,CatherineWestlake,JosephWray,James
OceanWorldDefiniMon
Wedefinedan“oceanworld”asabodywithacurrent liquidocean(notnecessarilyglobal).Allbodies in our solar system that plausibly canhave or are known to have an ocean will beconsidered.TheEarthisawell-studiedoceanworldthatweuseasareference(“groundtruth”)andpointofcomparison.
OverarchingGoal
• TheROWteamhasfocusedonadradforthemaingoalforOceanWorldsinordertostartformulaMngdrivingsciencequesMons:
Iden<fyoceanworlds,characterizetheir
oceans,evaluatetheirhabitability,searchforlife,andul<matelyunderstandanylifewefind.
ExploreOceanWorlds
FourScienMfically-richSteps/Themes:– IdenMfyoceanworlds– CharacterizeOceans– AssessHabitability– SearchforLife
K.P.Hand/M.Theissen/NaMonalGeographic
IdenMfyOceanWorldsExampleofIndirectEvidence:Tectonics
KnownOceanWorlds PossibleOceanWorlds
IdenMfyOceanWorldsConfirmaMonofOceansWorlds
GravityScienceExample(Iessetal.)
MagnetometerExample(Khuranaetal.,1998)
Theme1:Iden<fyoceanworldsinthesolarsystem• Isthereasufficientenergysourcetosupportapersistentocean?
– IsthereremnantradiogenicheaMng?– IstheregravitaMonalenergyfromaparentplanetorsatellite?– CantheplanetorsatelliteconvertavailableMdalenergyintoheat?– Aretheplanet’sorsatellite’sorbitalorrotaMonalproperMesfavorabletoMdaldissipaMon?
• AresignaturesofongoinggeologicacMvity(orliquids)detected?– DosignaturesofgeologicacMvityindicatethepossiblepresenceofasubsurfaceocean?(surfacehotspots,
plumes,crater-freeareas,volcanoes,tectonics)– DoesthebodyexhibitMdaland/orrotaMonalevidenceindicaMngthepresenceofasub-surfaceocean?– Doesthegravityandtopographyofthebodyindicatethepresenceofasub-surfaceocean?– Aretemporalchangesobservedatthebodythatwouldindicatethepresenceofasub-surfaceocean?– Isthereanatmosphereorexospherethatcouldbelinkedwiththepresenceofasub-surfaceocean?– DoestheelectromagneMcresponseofthebodyindicatethepresenceofasub-surfaceocean?– CanthesurfacecomposiMonbelinkedwiththepresenceofasub-surfaceocean?– Isthesignatureofasurfaceliquidobserved(e.g.specularreflecMon)?
• HowdomaterialsbehaveundercondiMonsrelevanttoanyparMculartargetbody?(*R&A*)– WhatarethephaserelaMonsofmaterialcomposingoceanworldsatrelevantpressuresandtemperatures?– WhatisthecomposiMonandchemicalbehaviorofmaterialscomposingoceanworlds?– WhataretherheologicmechanismsbywhichmaterialdeformsundercondiMonsrelevanttooceanworlds?– Howdoesenergya_enuaMon/dissipaMonoccurundercondiMonsrelevanttooceanworlds?– WhatarethethermophysicalproperMesofmaterialundercondiMonsrelevanttooceanworlds?
Characterize Oceans &
Assess Habitability
Waiteetal.,2009
Theme2:Characterizetheoceanofeachoceanworld
• Characterizetheocean’sphysicalproperMes– Whatisthethickness,composiMon,andporosityoftheiceshell(crust)andhowdotheseproperMesvary
spaMallyand/ortemporally?– Whatisthethickness,salinity,densityandcomposiMonoftheocean?HowdotheseproperMesvaryspaMally
and/ortemporally?– Whatarethedriversfor,andpa_ernof,fluidmoMonwithintheocean?
• Characterizetheoceaninterfaces– Characterizetheseafloor,includingthehigh-pressureocean–silicateinteracMon– Characterizetheice-oceaninterface
Theme3:Characterizethehabitabilityofeachoceanworld
• Whatistheavailability(typeandmagnitude/flux)ofenergysourcessuitableforlife,howdoesitvarythroughouttheoceanandMme,andwhatprocessescontrolthatdistribuMon?
– Whatenvironmentspossessredoxdisequilibria,inwhatforms,inwhatmagnitude,howrapidlydissipatedbyabioMcreacMons,andhowrapidlyreplenishedbylocalprocesses?
– (Where)iselectromagneMc(orotherenergeMc)radiaMonavailable?Inwhatwavelengths(orenergy)andintensity?
• Whatistheavailability(chemicalformandabundance)ofthebiogenicelements,howdoesitvarythroughouttheoceanandMme,andwhatprocessescontrolthatdistribuMon?
– Whatistheinventoryoforganiccompounds,whataretheirsourcesandsinks,andwhatistheirstabilitywithrespecttothelocalenvironment?
– Whatistheabundanceandchemicalformofnitrogen,oxygen,phosphorus,sulfur,andinorganiccarbon,whataretheirsourcesandsinks,andarethereprocessesofirreversiblelossorsequestraMonrelaMvetotheliquidenvironment?
Search for Life
?
Wedon’thaveanyexamplesofthisyet!Butwe’reworkingonit!
Theme4:Understandhowlifemightexistateachoceanworldandsearchforlife
• WhatarethepotenMalbiomarkersineachhabitableniche?(determinewhat
we’relookingfor)– WhatcanwelearnaboutlifeonoceanworldsfromstudyingEarth?– Whatnichesforlifearepossibleonoceanworlds?– Whatcanwelearnaboutlifebyunderstandingthehistoryofoceanworldsfrom
theirformaMontothepresent?– Whatshouldbeourtargetindicators?(LifeDetecMonLadder)– HowdowedisMnguishextantfromexMnctlifeinenvironmentsinwhichlifemight
develop,andwhichMmescales(e.g.,formetabolism,reproducMon,dormancy)ma_er?
• Howtosearchforandanalyzedataindifferentenvironments?– Howcanwelookforextantlifeonanoceanworldremotely(fromorbitorduringaflyby)?– Howcanwelookforextantlifeonanoceanworldinsitu(landed,underwater,plume)
invesMgaMons?– Howcanwelookforextantlifeonanoceanworldwithsamplereturnscience?– WhichscienceoperaMonalstrategiesshouldbeusedtodetectlifeonoceanworlds?
Targetteams• Weformedtargetteamsforthefollowing(groupsof)
targets– Enceladus– Europa– Pluto,Charon&KBOs– Ceres&smallbodies– GanymedeandCallisto– Triton– Titan– Othersatellites(“upandcoming”)
• Targetteamsassessedthestatusofeachtarget:howwellareeachoftheThemesciencequesMonsknown,whatdoweknowaboutthem,whatistheirleveloftheir“ocean-worldness”
Goals,ObjecMves,InvesMgaMons(GOI)Document(h_p://www.lpi.usra.edu/opag/ROW/)
EnergySources
OceanSignatures
Solvents Rock/OceanInterface
EnergyforLife
Physico-chemicalCondi<onsforLife
Biomarkers
OceanW
orlds
Enceladus
Europa
Titan
Ganymede
Callisto
PossibleOceanW
orlds
Ceres/SmallBodies
Pluto/Charon/KBOs
Triton
SolidFoundaMon
OtherSaturnianIcySatellites*
KeyInformaMon
OtherUranianIcySatellites**
*Mimas,Tethys,Dione,Rhea,Iapetus**Miranda,Ariel,Umbriel,Titania,Oberon
SearchforLife
Iden<fyOceanWorlds
CharacterizeOceans
AssessHabitability
“StatusofKnowledge”chart
Nextstep:TheRoadmap• Philosophy
– Abalancedprogramisimportant• Addressknownoceanworldsto
– Lookforlife(ifconsideredhabitable)– Characterizeocean(asneeded)– Characterizehabitability– Searchforlife
• Useavarietyofmissionarchitectures(flagships->smallsats,aspossible)– wewanttoadvanceourknowledge(extendthebars)onALLofthese
bodies(eventually)– consideringthatinthiscommunitywedothingsviadecadalsurveys(DS)– AprimarytaskofROWistomakesomewell-definedrecommendaMonsfor
thenextDS:• whattheyshouldconsidertobehighpriority,andalso• whatmissionconceptsshouldbestudiedinadvanceofthatDS.
– focusontheimportantnextmissionstodifferentclassesofbodies• Knownoceanworlds• Possibleoceanworlds
• Theconceptsonthefollowingslideshavenotbeenfullyve_edbyallofROWyet,buthasbeendistributedforcommentandfeedbackhasbeenposiMve[resultsarenotfinal]
OceanWorldsRoadmap,MissionsScenarios,&Technologies
• TargetTeamshaveprovided– inputonkeymeasurementsneededtomoveourunderstandingofeachtargetforward
– inputonfuturemissiontypesneeded
• Technologysub-group(P.Beauchamp)hasprovided– Inputonneededtechnologies
Roadmap
• Thehighestprioritytargetsaretheknownoceanworlds(nopriorityimplied):
Roadmap
• Thehighestprioritytargetsaretheknownoceanworlds(nopriorityimplied)– Europa
Roadmap
• Thehighestprioritytargetsaretheknownoceanworlds(nopriorityimplied)– Europa– Enceladus
Roadmap
• Thehighestprioritytargetsaretheknownoceanworlds(nopriorityimplied)– Europa– Enceladus– Titan
Roadmap• Thehighestprioritytargetsaretheknownoceanworlds(nopriorityimplied)– Europa– Enceladus– Titan
• TheOWprogramalsoneedstogoaderapossibleoceanworldinthenextdecade(forbalance)
Roadmap• Thehighestprioritytargetsaretheknownoceanworlds(nopriorityimplied)– Europa– Enceladus– Titan
• TheOWprogramalsoneedstogoaderapossibleoceanworldinthenextdecade– Triton
[resultsarenotfinal]
Europa• Europa:EuropaClipperisaflagshipmissioninPhaseBof
development;theoverarchinggoalofClipperistoestablishthehabitabilityofEuropa.ArmedwithrecentobservaMonsofpossibleacMvityatEuropaandinanMcipaMonofClipperresults,afollow-onsearch-for-lifemissioncouldbesenttoEuropa.Anastrobiology-focusedEuropaLandermissionhasrecentlybeenstudied(Handetal.,2016).
• EuropaRecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurveyPreparaMon:TheROWteamrecommendsthattheEuropaClippermissionconMnueasplannedforitsimportanceincharacterizingthehabitabilityofEuropa.TheROWteamsupportsaEuropasearch-for-lifemission,especiallyifasciencepayloadcanbeincludedthatcanyieldimportantinformaMoneveniflifesignatureresultsareambiguous.SuchamissionwilladvancethetechnologiesneededtodetectlifesignaturesatOWtargets,especiallyfrominsitumeasurements.
[wordingnotfinal]
Enceladus• Enceladus:ThehabitabilityofEnceladus’oceanhasbeen
establishedusingCassinimeasurements,andthustoaddressOWgoals,asearch-for-lifemissioncouldbesentasanextstep.GiventheongoingNewFronMers4(NF4)compeMMon,theROWteamdoesnotprioriMzeanyofthese.
• EnceladusRecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyand
SurveyPreparaMon:TheROWteamrecommendsthatasearch-for-lifemissionatEnceladusbeofhighpriority.IfanEnceladusmissionisselectedforNF4,addiMonalEnceladusmissionarchitecturesthataddressthesearch-for-lifecouldbestudied,potenMallyasafollow-ontotheNF4.IfanEnceladusmissionisnotselectedforNF4,asearch-for-lifemissionatEnceladusshouldbestudiedinadvanceofthenextDecadalSurvey. [wordingnotfinal]
Titan• Titan:ThehabitabilityofTitan’ssubsurfaceoceanandany
interfacesbetweentheoceanandsurface,alongwiththesurfacelakesandseasofmethane/ethane,hasyettobeestablished.Thus,ahabitability/oceancharacterizaMonmissiontoTitanisanaturalnextsteptoadvanceOWgoalsatthisbody.NumeroustypesofmissionatTitanarepossible,andgiventheongoingNF4compeMMon,ROWdoesnotprioriMzeanyofthese.
• TitanRecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurveyPreparaMon:ROWrecommendsthatmissionstocharacterizeTitan’soceanorassessitshabitabilitybeofhighpriority.IfaTitanmissionisselectedforNF4,addiMonalTitanmissionsthatadvancetheunderstandingofTitanasanOWshouldbestudiedpriortotheDecadalSurveyandconsideredbytheDSpanel. [wordingnotfinal]
Lower-priorityknownoceanworlds• Ganymede:TheESAJUICEmissionissettoexploreGanymede.JUICEwill
characterizethesubsurfaceoceantobe_erunderstandtheformaMonandevoluMonofthisOW.
• GanymedeRecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurveyPreparaMon:The
ROWteamsupportstheESAJUICEmission.
• Callisto:ThisknownOWremainstobefullycharacterized.ItsdeepsubsurfaceoceananditslocaMonontheedgeoftheGalileansatellitesystemlimitsnotonlycommunicaMonbetweentheoceanandthesurface,butalsovitalenergyinputtotheocean.ItmayserveasanendmemberontheOWspectrumandhelp,alongwithCeres,tocharacterizethelimitoftheabilityofbodiestomaintainoceanswithsparseMdalinput.InaddiMon,becauseGanymede’soceansitsbetweenlayersofhighpressureices,communicaMonbetweenthesubsurfaceoceanandthesurface,andenergyinputintotheoceanlayerarealsolimitedthere.FutureCallistostudiescouldthereforealsoinformstudiesofGanymede’socean,astheycouldplaceboundsonthehabitabilityofoceansthatareseparatedfromtheirrockymantles.
• CallistoRecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurveyPreparaMon:TheROWteamsupportsmissionstudiestocharacterizeCallisto’soceananditssustainability.AmissiontoCallistoshouldbestudiedtotestifsmallmissionclassescanhelpadvanceOWobjecMves.
Triton• Triton:Ofthepossibleoceanworlds,Tritonisdeemedthehighestpriority
targettoaddressaspartofanOceanWorldsprogram.ThispriorityisgivenbasedontheextraordinaryhintsofacMvityshownbytheVoyagerspacecrad(e.g.geyser-likeacMvity;smooth,walledplainsunits;thecantaloupeterrainsuggesMveofconvecMoninaliquidlayer)andthepotenMalforocean-drivenacMvitygivenCassiniresultsatEnceladus.Furthermore,manyTritonmissionarchitectureswouldsimultaneouslyaddressIceGiantgoalsonwhichhighprioritywasplacedintheVisions&VoyagesDecadalSurvey.Finally,asTritonlikelyrepresentsacapturedKuiperBeltobject(KBO),comparaMveplanetologywithKBOscouldalsobeaddressedinaTritonmission.
• Tritonrecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurveyPreparaMon:
PriortothenextDecadalSurvey,amissionstudyshouldbeperformedthatwouldaddressTritonasapotenMalOceanWorld;suchasstudycouldbepartofalargerNeptuneorbitermission.TheDecadalSurveyshouldplacehighpriorityonTritonasatargetintheOceanWorldsprogram.
[wordingnotfinal]
Ceres• Ceres:Ceresisauniquecase,ahydrousdwarfplanetinthe
asteroidbelt.Ceresharborsliquids(Ceresis~50%H2Oinvolumeandhasa40kmthickshelldominatedbyvolaMles,withadensityof1.25g/cm3)butwhetherthisconsMtutesacurrentoceanisunlikely.CeresisincludedintheOWroadmapnotbecauseitisconsideredapresent-dayoceanworld,butbecauseitmaybeanancientoceanworld;itisasmallandheat-limitedbody,likelyintheprocessoffreezing,soitmayprovideanend-memberscenarioformedium-sizedicysatelliteswithoutMdalheaMng.R&Afundingforbe_ermodelingandexperimentalresearchinlightofCeresresultsfromtheDawnmissionarerelevanttounderstandingoceanworldsasawhole.
• CeresRecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurvey
PreparaMon:ACeresmissionwithaprimaryobjecMvetodetectandcharacterizeanyliquidswithinCeresshouldbestudiedtotestifsmallmissionclassescanhelpadvanceOWobjecMves.
[wordingnotfinal]
Pluto• Pluto:PlutoisthefirstlargeobjectvisitedintheKuiperbeltandit
showsyoung,potenMallycryovolcanicterrainsindicaMngacMvitymayhaveconMnuedthroughmuchofitshistory.LikethecaseofTriton,thesourceofrelaMvelyrecentinternalheatonPlutoisnotenMrelyconstrained,butmodelssuggestanoceanmaypersistintothepresent.StudyinglargeKBOsopensupanewregimeforexploringoceanworldsinthesolarsystem,andbycomparaMveplanetologyhelpsusunderstandwhatispossibleforicymoonsthatarenotcurrentlyMdallyheated.
• Plutorecommenda<onsforDecadalSurveyandSurvey
PreparaMon:MissionstudiesshouldbeperformedtoaddresstechnologyadvancesallowingexploraMonoftheKuiperbeltorareturntoPlutowithanorbiter(necessarytostudyapotenMalocean).StudiestoexploreapotenMalKBOrendezvousasanextendedpartofanothermissiontotheoutersolarsystem(e.g.,toagasgiant)arealsoencouraged.
[wordingnotfinal]
Roadmap•NextupforeachbodytomaintainOWprogrammaMcbalance:• EuropaHabitabilitymission–Clipperinprogress• TitanHabitability/Oceanmission–possibilityofNF4missionselec4on
• Enceladussearch-for-lifemission-possibilityofNF4missionselec4on
• Tritonoceanmission–TritonorbiterorNeptuneorbiterwithmanyTritonflybys(withmagnetometer,gravity)
[resultsnotfinal]
DecisionRules• IfaTitanmissionisnotselectedinNF4,thenthenextDecadal
SurveyshouldrankhighlyaTitanmission(whatevertheclass)–orbiter,plainslander,aerialexplorer,lakelanderand/orsubmarine;sucharchitecturescouldincludeinsituatmosphericstudyatarangeofalMtudes.
• IfanEnceladusmissionisnotselectedinNF4,thenthenextDecadalSurveyshouldrankhighlyanEnceladusmission(whatevertheclass).
• IfneitherEnceladusnorTitanareselectedintheNF4call,thenextDecadalSurveyshouldplaceanespeciallyhighpriorityonamissiontostudylife/habitabilityatoneorbothofthesebodies.AmissionthataddressesbothEnceladusandTitanshouldbeconsidered.
[wordingnotfinal]
ROW-RecommendedMissionStudies
• TritonoceancharacterizaMon• EnceladusandTitanmissionsorjointmission(regardlessofNF4outcome)
• Ceresand/orCallistomissionstodetect/characterizesubsurfaceoceans/reservoirs(perhapsDiscovery-class?)
• PlutooceancharacterizaMon
[notfinal]
Finally
• Wealsosaywordsinthereportaboutotherimportantbutlower-prioritybodies(e.g.Ariel,Miranda,Dione)– Justnotdiscussedhere– Importantforunderstandingthespectrumofoceanworlds,thoughwedobynecessityneedtolimitourrecommendaMonstothenextDecadalSurvey
[notfinal]
Let’s go out and study some ocean worlds!