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    INDEX

    Topic Page no.

    Introduction 1-3

    Basel II-An Integrated Risk Management

    System 4-9

    What Is Risk?

    Banking risk

    Liquidity risk

    Interest rate risk

    Market risk

    Credit risk

    Operational risk

    Legal risk

    10-16

    Market Risk 17-19

    Credit risk 20-21

    Operational risk 22-23

    Risk Management Process 24-26

    Risk regulation 26-27

    Strategic role of risk management 28

    Why do banks manage risk 29-30

    Risk Measurement/Management 31-36

    Findings from the survey 37

    Bibliography/Webliography

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    To whomsoever it may concern

    This is to certify that work entitled A PROJECT REPORT ON Role Of

    Risk Management In Banking Sector is a piece of work done by

    NAMITA DUBEY under my guidance and supervision for the partial

    fulfilment of diploma of PGDM in Dr. Gaur Hari Singhania Institute of

    Management & Research, Kanpur.

    To the best of my knowledge and belief the report embodies the work of the

    candidate herself and has duly been completed. Simultaneously the report fulfilsthe requirement of the rules and regulations relating to the final research report

    of the institute and I am assured that the project is up to the standard both in

    respect to contents and language being referred to the examiner.

    Date: 15/01/10 Prof. V.K.Murti

    Faculty Guide

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    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    I would like to express my gratitude to all those who gave me the possibility to complete this

    project. I would like to thank my college authorities and my Head of the Organization, Prof.

    Prithvi Yadav first for providing me the opportunity to work on the research project i.e. Role

    of Risk Management in Banking Sector. I want to thanks my project guide Prof.

    V.K.Murtifor giving me permission to commence this project in the first instance, to do thenecessary work.

    I want to thank all other finance teachers and my friends for all their help, support and valuable

    hints.

    Especially, I would like to give my special thanks to my parents, their love and blessing

    enabled me to complete this work.

    NAMITA DUBEY

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    PREFACE

    This project is undertaken for the partial fulfilment of PGDM course from Dr. Gaur Hari

    Singhania Institute of Management and Research, Kanpur (Batch XIV 2008-2010)

    Risk is the word which in common terms defined as the deviation from what we achieve and

    what we plan. There is uncertainties related to in the future and this is so banks also and

    therefore they are required to manage the risk. This project Role of Risk Management in

    banking sector aims at providing the understanding of different types of risk faced by banks

    and how they manage those. It also aims to analyse if they have any risk management system

    what role it play and how it manages and up to what extent. Understanding Basel II As an

    Integrated Risk Management solution. Understanding different risk faced by banking sector

    also understand how to eliminate them Risk analysis (credit risk, market risk, operational risk

    and others).Financial crisis lead the economy of whole world in a down turn which risk was the

    main cause for that.

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    ABBREVIATIONS

    ACM Asset Creation Multiple

    AMA Advanced Management Approach

    BCBS Basel Committee of Banking Supervision

    BIS Bankers for International Settlement

    BPV Basic Point Value

    CFO Chief financial officer

    EAD Exposure At Default

    ECAI External Credit Assessment Institution

    EM Effective Maturity

    EVA Economic Value Added

    ERM Enterprise risk management

    IRB Internal Rating Based

    KYE Know Your Employee

    LGD Loss Given Default

    MIS Management Information System

    NBFCs Non-banking Financial Companies

    PD Probability of Default

    RRS Risk Rating System

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    RRM Risk Rating Methodology

    RAROC Risk Adjusted Return on Capital

    S&P Standards And Poors

    SVM Shareholder Value Maximization

    VaR Value at Risk

    List of tables and figures

    s.no Tables/figure

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    Figure 1 Basel II

    Figure 2 Financial risks

    Table 1 Changing Pattern of Off-balance Sheet

    Exposure of Different Banks In India

    Figure 3 Credit risk

    Chart 1 Transaction Relevant By Credit Conversion

    Factor

    INTRODUCTION

    Financial sector reforms were initiated as part of overall economic reforms in the country and

    wide ranging reforms covering industry, trade, taxation, external sector, banking and financial

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    markets have been carried out since mid 1991. A decade of economic and financial sector

    reforms has strengthened the fundamentals of the Indian economy and transformed the

    operating environment for banks and financial institutions in the country. The sustained and

    gradual pace of reforms has helped avoid any crisis and has actually fuelled growth. As pointed

    out in the RBI Annual Report 2001-02, GDP growth in the 10 years after reforms i.e. 1992-93

    to 2001-02 averaged 6.0 against 5.8% recorded during 1980-81 to 1989-90 in the pre-reform

    period.

    The most significant achievement of the financial sector reforms has been the marked

    improvement in the financial health of commercial banks in terms of capital adequacy,

    profitability and asset quality as also greater attention to risk management. Further,

    deregulation has opened up new opportunities for banks to increase revenues by diversifying

    into investment banking, insurance, credit cards, depository services, mortgage financing,

    securitisation, etc. At the same time, liberalisation has brought greater competition among

    banks, both domestic and foreign, as well as competition from mutual funds, NBFCs, post

    office, etc. Post-WTO, competition will only get intensified, as large global players emerge on

    the scene. Increasing competition is squeezing profitability and forcing banks to work

    efficiently on shrinking spreads. Positive fallout of competition is the greater choice available

    to consumers, and the increased level of sophistication and technology in banks. As banks

    benchmark themselves against global standards, there has been a marked increase in

    disclosures and transparency in bank balance sheets as also greater focus on corporate

    governance.

    The waves of globalisation are sweeping across the world, and have thrown up several

    opportunities accompanied by concomitant risks. Integration of domestic market with

    international financial markets has been facilitated by tremendous advancement in information

    and communications technology. There is a growing realisation that the ability of countries to

    conduct business across national borders and the ability to cope with the possible downside

    risks would depend, inter alia, on the soundness of the financial system. This has necessitated

    convergence of prudential norms with international best practices as well consistent refinement

    of the technological and institutional framework in the financial sector through a non-disruptive

    and consultative process.

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    The Committee on Fuller Capital Account Convertibility (Chairman: Shri S.S. Tarapore)

    observed that under a full capital account convertibility regime, the banking system would be

    exposed to greater market volatility, and this necessitated enhancing the risk management

    capabilities in the banking system in view of liquidity risk, interest rate risk, currency risk,

    counter-party risk and country risk that arise from international capital flows. The potential

    dangers associated with the proliferation of derivative instruments credit derivatives and

    interest rate derivatives also need to be recognised in the regulatory and supervisory system.

    The issues relating to cross-border supervision of financial intermediaries in the context of

    greater capital flows are just emerging and need to be addressed.

    Therefore the need for a regulation was understood and so basel1 and 2 accords wereimplemented. Basel I is the round of deliberations by central bankers from around the world,

    and in 1988, the Basel Committee (BCBS) in Basel,Switzerland, published a set of minimal

    capital requirements for banks. This is also known as the 1988 Basel Accord, and was enforced

    by law in the Group of Ten (G-10) countries in 1992.

    Basel I, that is, the 1988 Basel Accord, primarily focused on credit risk. Assets of banks were

    classified and grouped in five categories according to credit risk, carrying risk weights of zero

    (for example home country sovereign debt), ten, twenty, fifty, and up to one hundred percent(this category has, as an example, most corporate debt). Banks with international presence are

    required to hold capital equal to 8 % of the risk-weighted assets.

    Implementiaon of Basel II

    The Reserve Bank and the commercial banks have been preparing to implement Basel II, and it

    has been decided to allow banks some more time in adhering to new norms. As against the

    deadline of March 31, 2007 for compliance with Basel II, it was decided in October 2006 that

    foreign banks operating in India and Indian banks having presence outside India would migrate

    to the standardised approach for credit risk and the basic indicator approach for operational risk

    under Basel II with effect from March 31, 2008, while all other scheduled commercial banks

    are required to migrate to Basel II by March 31, 2009. It is widely acknowledged that

    implementation of Basel II poses significant challenge to both banks and the regulators. Basel

    II implementation may also be seen as a compliance challenge. But at the same time, it offers

    two major opportunities to banks, viz., refinement of risk management systems; and

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_bankinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basel_Committee_on_Banking_Supervisionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baselhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerlandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_of_Ten_(economic_1962)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_riskhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_debthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_bankinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basel_Committee_on_Banking_Supervisionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baselhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerlandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_of_Ten_(economic_1962)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_riskhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_debt
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    improvement in capital efficiency. The transition from Basel I to Basel II essentially involves a

    move from capital adequacy to capital efficiency. This transition in how capital is used and

    how much capital is needed will become a significant factor in return-inequity strategy for

    years to come. The reliance on the market to assess the riskiness of banks would lead to

    increased focus on transparency and market disclosure, critical information describing the risk

    profile, capital structure and capital adequacy. Besides making banks more accountable and

    responsive to better-informed investors, these processes enable banks to strike the right balance

    between 10 risks and rewards and to improve the access to markets. Improvements in market

    discipline also call for greater coordination between banks and regulators.

    Understanding Basel II As an Integrated Risk Management Solution.

    Basel II has made a more comprehensive approach to manage risks for the banking system. It

    captures the risk on a consolidated basis for internationally active banks. Banking, Securities

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    and other financial subsidiaries are consolidated to reckon capital requirements. The framework

    encompasses all the entities in a banking group. It tries to ensure that the capital recognized in

    capital adequacy measures provides adequate protection to depositors. The framework of Basel

    II is as follows:

    Figure 1.

    Basel II adopts a three pillar approach to risk management.

    Under Pillar 1 minimum capital requirements are stipulated for credit risk, market risk

    and operational risk.

    Pillar 2 deals with supervisory review process by the central bank.

    Pillar 3 underlines the need for market discipline and disclosures required there under.

    Pillar 1 stipulates the following options for assigning capital to meet credit risk:

    1. Standardized Approach

    2. Internal Rating Based (IRB) Approach

    3. Advanced IRB Approach.

    Standardized Approach.

    BASEL II

    - Minimum Capital

    Requirements

    -Calculation of three

    types of risk:

    Market

    Credit

    Operational

    -Supervisory review

    process

    Adequate

    capital

    Sound

    supervisory

    review

    process

    Improvement

    of risk

    management

    techniques

    -Market discipline

    Disclosure of

    risks and risk

    practices

    Pillar 1 Pillar 2

    BASEL II

    - Minimum Capital

    Requirements

    -Calculation of three

    types of risk:

    Market

    Credit

    Operational

    -Supervisory review

    process

    Adequate capital

    Sound supervisory

    review process

    Improvement of risk

    management

    techniques

    -Market discipline

    Disclosure of risks

    and risk practices

    Pillar 1 Pillar 2

    Pillar 3

    Pillar 1 Pillar 2

    Pillar 3

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    Banks may use external credit ratings by institutions recognized for the purpose by the

    central bank for determining the risk weight. Exposure on sovereigns and their central banks

    could vary from zero percent to 150 percent depending on credit assessment from AAA to

    below B- . Similarly, exposure on public sector entities, multilateral development banks, other

    banks, securities firms and corporate also may have risk weights from 20 percent to 150

    percent. Exposure on retail portfolio may carry risk weight of 75 percent. While Basel II

    stipulates minimum capital requirement of 8 percent on risk weighted assets, India has

    prescribed 9 percent. Under Basel II exposure on a corporate with AAA rating will have a

    risk weight of only 20 percent. This implies that for Rs. 100 crore exposure on a AAA rated

    corporate the capital adequacy will be only Rs.1.8 crore (100 x 20% x 9%) compared to the

    earlier requirement of Rs. 9 crore. However, claims on a corporate with below BB- rating will

    carry a risk weight of 150 percent and the capital requirement will be Rs.13.50 crore (100 x

    150% x 9%). Thus, a bank with a credit portfolio with superior rating may be able to save

    capital while banks having lower rated credit exposure will have to mobilize more capital. Risk

    weights can go beyond 150 percent in respect of exposures with low rating. For example,

    securitization tranches with rating between BB+ and BB- may carry risk weight of 350 percent.

    In order to adopt standardized approach, banks will have to encourage their corporate

    customers to go in for obligor rating and get them rated. The central bank has to accredit

    External Credit Assessment Institutions (ECAI) who satisfies defined criteria of objectivity,

    independence, international access, transparency, disclosure, resources and credibility.

    Internal Ratings Based (IRB) Approach: Foundation and Advanced Approach.

    Banks, which have developed reliable Management Information System (MIS) and have

    received the approval of the central bank, can use the IRB approach to measure credit risk on

    their own. The bank should have reliable data on Probability of Default (PD), Loss Given

    Default (LGD), Exposure at Default (EAD) and effective maturity (M) to make use of IRB

    approach. Minimum requirements to adopt the IRB approach are:

    1. Banks overall Credit Risk management practices must be consistent with the sound

    practice guidelines issued by the Basel committee and the National Supervisor.

    2. Rating dimensions to include both Borrower Rating and Facility Rating and has to

    be applied to all asset classes.

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    3. The Rating Structure adopted need to have minimum 7 grades of performing

    borrowers and a minimum 1 Grade of non-performing borrowers and Enough

    grades to avoid undue concentrations of borrowers in particular grades.

    4. Criteria of Rating Systems to be documented and have the ability to differentiate

    risk, predictive and discriminatory power.

    5. Assessment Horizon for PD estimation to be 1 year

    6. Use of models to be coupled with the use of human judgment and oversight.

    7. Rating Assignment and Rating Confirmation to be independent.

    8. The PD to be a long run average over an entire economic cycle (at least 5 years)

    9. Banks should have confidence in the robustness of PD estimates and the underlying

    statistical analysis.

    10. Data collection and IT systems to improve the predictive power of rating systems

    and PD estimates.

    11. Validation of internal Rating systems/ Models by the Supervisor.

    12. Streamlining use of credit risk mitigates and ensuring legal certainty of executed

    documents.

    Under foundation approach banks provide more of their own estimates of PD and rely on

    supervisory estimates for other risk components. In the case of advanced approach banks

    provide more of their own estimate of PD, LGD, EAD and M, subject to meeting minimum

    stipulated standards.

    Market Risk:

    A banks investment portfolio is impacted by the fluctuation in prices of securities.

    Even in respect of sovereign exposure there will be change in market price because of interest

    rate movements. When the prices of securities are marked to market, a bank may incur loss if

    the prices have declined. Change in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and prices of equity,

    corporate debt instruments and commodities may involve market risk for the bank. Mismatches

    in interest rates on assets and liabilities may also entail risk for the bank. The investment

    portfolio has to be divided into the trading book and the banking book. While the trading book

    has to be valued on a daily basis on mark to market basis, for the banking book, there should be

    frequent assessment of shock absorption capacity of the portfolio to interest rate movements.

    Operational Risk:

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    A bank also encounters risks other than on account of default by a third party or adverse

    market rate movements. These risks can be attributed to failed internal systems, processes,

    people and external events. Mistakes committed because of weak internal systems may lead to

    losses. Frauds may be committed on the bank by some customers, outsiders and even by

    employees. If a proper KYC system is not in place, a bank may be exposed to loss of money

    and reputation in a punitive action by the regulators. To minimize operational risks Know your

    Employee (KYE) principles are also to be observed before employees are entrusted with

    sensitive assignments.

    Pillar 1:- Envisages that banks assess credit risk, market risk and operational risk and provide

    for adequate capital to cover the risks.

    Pillar 2:- Supervisory Review Process.

    Compliance of requirements under Pillar 1 and providing adequate capital alone may not be

    enough to prevent bank failures and to protect the interests of depositors. Therefore, under

    Pillar 2 which deals with key principles of supervisory review, risk management guidance and

    supervisory transparency and accountability with respect to banking risks, including guidance

    relating to the treatment of interest rate risk in the banking book, credit risk (stress testing,

    definition of default, residual risk and credit concentration risk), operational risk, enhanced

    cross border communication and co-operation and securitization, supervisors are expected to

    evaluate how well banks are assessing their capital needs relative to their risks and to intervene

    where appropriate. This interaction is intended to foster an active dialogue between banks and

    supervisors so that when deficiencies are identified, prompt and decisive action can be taken to

    reduce risk or restore capital. Supervisors may focus more intensely on banks with risk profiles

    or operational experience, which warrants such attention. There are the following four main

    areas to be treated under Pillar 2:

    1. Risks considered under Pillar 1 that are not fully captured by Pillar 1 process (e.g

    credit concentration risk);

    2. Those factors not taken into account by Pillar 1 process (e.g. interest rate risk in the

    banking book, business and strategic risk).

    3. Factors external to the bank (e.g. business cycle effects).

    4. Assessment of compliance with minimum standards and disclosure requirements of

    the more advanced methods under Pillar 1.

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    Supervisors have to ensure that these requirements are being met both as qualifying criteria and

    on a continuing basis.

    The four key principles of supervisory review are:

    Principle 1: Banks should have a process for assessing their overall capital adequacy in

    relation to their risk profile and a strategy for maintaining their capital levels.

    The five main features of a rigorous process are as follows:

    1. Board and senior management oversight;

    2. Sound capital assessment;

    3. Comprehensive assessment of risks;

    4. Monitoring and reporting; and

    5. Internal control review.

    Principle 2: Supervisors should review and evaluate banks internal capital adequacy

    assessments and strategies, as well as their ability to monitor and ensure their compliance with

    regulatory capital ratios. Supervisors should take appropriate supervisory action if they are not

    satisfied with the result of this process.

    Principle 3: Supervisors should expect banks to operate above the minimum regulatory capital

    ratios and should have the ability to require banks to hold capital in excess of the minimum.

    Principle 4: Supervisors should seek to intervene at an early stage to prevent capital from

    falling below the minimum levels required to support the risk characteristics of a particular

    bank and should require rapid remedial action if capital is not maintained or restored.

    Reserve Bank of India has implemented the risk-based supervision and has made a good

    beginning in implementation of the guidelines under Pillar 2. Internal inspections of banks in

    India are also tuned more towards risk-based audit.

    Pillar 3:- Market Discipline.

    Disclosure requirements are stipulated for banks to encourage market discipline. This will help

    the market participants to assess the information on capital, risk exposures, risk assessment

    processes and capital adequacy of the bank. Such disclosures are more important in the case of

    banks, which are permitted to rely on internal methodologies giving them more discretion in

    assessing capital requirements. Market discipline supplements regulation as sharing of

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    information facilitates assessment of the bank by others including investors, analysts,

    customers, other banks and rating agencies. It also leads to good corporate governance.

    Supervisors can stipulate the minimum disclosures to be made by banks. Banks can also have

    Board approved policies on disclosure. A transparent organization may create more confidence

    in the investors, customers and counter parties with whom the bank has dealings. It would also

    be easier for such banks to attract more capital.

    All the requirements under the three Pillars of Basel II can be met only if banks have a robust

    and reliable MIS. Technology therefore plays a crucial role in implementation of Basel II.

    Beyond Core Banking which facilitates networking of branches to put through customer

    transactions with ease and speed, technology should be able to play a supportive role in

    enabling banks to access and use data in a meaningful manner so that the demands of Basel II

    can be met in a cost effective manner. Reliance on internal methodologies will save cost and

    provide greater discretion to banks to make assessment of capital requirements. Capital is a

    very scarce resource and it needs to be put to optimum use. As per present norms, tier II capital

    can be only 100 percent of Tier I capital. The stipulation of minimum Government holding of

    51 percent poses challenges for public sector banks in raising tier I capital. India may have to

    find a solution to this issue by asking for acceptance of new instruments as tier I capital. In the

    context of the very robust growth in credit, which supports a buoyant economy, more capital

    becomes indispensable for the Indian banking system. And compliance of Basel II norms will

    help Indian banks adopt best international practices, enable them to have a larger global

    presence and attract capital even from abroad.

    Definition of Risk

    What is Risk?

    "What is risk?" And what is a pragmatic definition of risk? Risk means different things to

    different people. For some it is "financial (exchange rate, interest-call money rates), mergers of

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    competitors globally to form more powerful entities and not leveraging IT optimally" and for

    someone else "an event or commitment which has the potential to generate commercial liability

    or damage to the brand image". Since risk is accepted in business as a trade off between reward

    and threat, it does mean that taking risk bring forth benefits as well. In other words it is

    necessary to accept risks, if the desire is to reap the anticipated benefits.

    Risk in its pragmatic definition, therefore, includes both threats that can materialize and

    opportunities, which can be exploited. This definition of risk is very pertinent today as the

    current business environment offers both challenges and opportunities to organizations, and it

    is up to an organization to manage these to their competitive advantage.

    What is Risk Management - Does it eliminate risk?

    Risk management is a discipline for dealing with the possibility that some future event will

    cause harm. It provides strategies, techniques, and an approach to recognizing and confronting

    any threat faced by an organization in fulfilling its mission. Risk management may be as

    uncomplicated as asking and answering three basic questions:

    1. What can go wrong?

    2. What will we do (both to prevent the harm from occurring and in the aftermath of an

    "incident")?

    3. If something happens, how will we pay for it?

    Risk management does not aim at risk elimination, but enables the organization to bring their

    risks to manageable proportions while not severely affecting their income. This balancing act

    between the risk levels and profits needs to be well-planned. Apart from bringing the risks to

    manageable proportions, they should also ensure that one risk does not get transformed into any

    other undesirable risk. This transformation takes place due to the inter-linkage present among

    the various risks. The focal point in managing any risk will be to understand the nature of the

    transaction in a way to unbundle the risks it is exposed to.

    Risk Management is a more mature subject in the western world. This is largely a result of

    lessons from major corporate failures, most telling and visible being the Barings collapse. In

    addition, regulatory requirements have been introduced, which expect organizations to have

    effective risk management practices. In India, whilst risk management is still in its infancy,

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    there has been considerable debate on the need to introduce comprehensive risk management

    practices.

    Objectives of Risk Management FunctionTwo distinct viewpoints emerge

    One which is about managing risks, maximizing profitability and creating opportunity

    out of risks

    And the other which is about minimising risks/loss and protecting corporate assets.

    The management of an organization needs to consciously decide on whether they want their

    risk management function to 'manage' or 'mitigate' Risks.

    Managing risks essentially is about striking the right balance between risks and controls

    and taking informed management decisions on opportunities and threats facing an

    organization. Both situations, i.e. over or under controlling risks are highly undesirable

    as the former means higher costs and the latter means possible exposure to risk.

    Mitigating or minimising risks, on the other hand, means mitigating all risks even if the

    cost of minimising a risk may be excessive and outweighs the cost-benefit analysis.

    Further, it may mean that the opportunities are not adequately exploited.

    In the context of the risk management function, identification and management of Risk

    is more prominent for the financial services sector and less so for consumer products industry.

    What are the primary objectives of your risk management function? When specifically asked in

    a survey conducted, 33% of respondents stated that their risk management function is indeed

    expressly mandated to optimise risk.

    Risks in Banking

    Risks manifest themselves in many ways and the risks in banking are a result of many diverse

    activities, executed from many locations and by numerous people. As a financial intermediary,

    banks borrow funds and lend them as a part of their primary activity. This intermediation

    activity, of banks exposes them to a host of risks. The volatility in the operating environment of

    banks will aggravate the effect of the various risks. The case discusses the various risks that

    arise due to financial intermediation and by highlighting the need for asset-liability

    management; it discusses the Gap Model for risk management.

    Typology of Risk Exposure

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    Based on the origin and their nature, risks are classified into various categories. The most

    prominent financial risks to which the banks are exposed to taking into consideration practical

    issues including the limitations of models and theories, human factor, existence of frictions

    such as taxes and transaction cost and limitations on quality and quantity of information, as

    well as the cost of acquiring this information, and more.

    Figure 2

    TRANSACTIO

    N RISK

    PORTFOLIO

    CONCENTRATIO

    N

    ISSUE RISK ISSUER RISK COUNTERPARTYRISK

    EQUITY RISKINEREST

    RATE RISK

    CURRENCY

    RISK

    COMMODITY

    RISK

    TRADINGRISK

    GAP RISK

    GENERAL

    MARKET RISK

    SPECIFIC

    RISK

    FUNDINGLIQUIDITYRISK

    TRADINGLIQUIDITY RISK

    FINANCIAL RISKS

    MARKET

    RISK

    LIQUIDITY

    RISK

    OPERATIONA

    L RISK

    HUMAN

    FACTOR RISK

    CREDIT RISK

    LEGAL &

    REGULATORY

    RISK

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    Banking risk

    Liquidity risk

    The liquidity risk of banks arises from funding of long-term assets by short term liabilities,

    herby making the subject to rollover of refinancing risk. Funding liquidity risk is denied

    as the inability to obtain funds to meet cash flow obligations. The liquidity risk in banks

    manifest in different dimensions:

    Funding risk: this arises from the need to replace net outflow due to unanticipated withdrawal

    of deposits (wholesale and retail).

    Time risk: this arises from the need to compensate for non-receipt of expected in flows of funds

    i.e. performing assets turning into non performing assets.

    Call risk: this arises due to crystallisation of continent liabilities. This may also arise when a

    bank may not be bale to undertake profitable business opportunities when it arises

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    Interest rate risk

    Interest rate risk is the exposure of banks financial condition to adverse movements in interest

    rates. Interest rate risk refers to potential impact on net interest income or net interest rate

    margin or market value of equity, caused by unexpected changes in market interest rates.

    IRR can be viewed in two ways: its impact on the earnings of the banks or its impact on the

    economic value of the banks assets, liabilities OBS positions.

    Gap and mismatch risk

    Yield covers risk

    Basis risk

    Embedded option risk

    Reinvestment risk

    Net interest position risk

    Market risk

    Market risk is the risk of adverse deviation of the mark to market value of the trading

    portfolios, due to market movements, during the period required to liquidate the transactions.

    Market risk is also referred to as price risk.

    Price risk occurs when assets are sold before their stated maturities. In the financial market,

    bond prices and yields are inversely related.

    The term market risk applies to (i) that the part of IRR which affects the price of interest rate

    instruments (ii) pricing risk for all other portfolios that are held in the trading book of the bank

    (iii) foreign currency risk.

    Forex risk

    Market liquidity risk

    Credit risk

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    Credit risk is most simply defined as the potential of a bank borrower or counterparty to fail to

    meet its obligation in accordance with agreed terms. For most banks, loans are the largest and

    most obvious source of credit risk.

    Default Risk

    Credit Spread Risk

    Systematic or Intrinsic Risk

    Concentration Risk

    Operational risks

    Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people

    and system or from external events. Strategic risk and reputation risk are not a part of

    operational risk.

    It includes fraud risk, cultural risk, communication risk, documentation risk, competence risk,

    model risk, external events risk, legal risk, regulatory risk, compliance risk, system risk.

    Recently legal risk has been taken as a separate as perShyamala Gopinath, Deputy Governor

    in his articleChanging Dynamics of Legal Risks in Financial Sector

    Legal risk

    Legal risk arises for a whole of variety of reasons. For example, counterparty might lack the

    legal or regulatory authority to engage in a transaction. Legal risks usually only become

    apparent when counterparty, or an investor, lose money on a transaction and decided to sue the

    bank to avoid meeting its obligations. Another aspect of regulatory risk is the potential impact

    of a change in tax law on the market value of a position.

    In general there are three main risk faced by banks they are:

    1. Market risk

    2. Credit risk

    3. Operational risk

    Transaction Level

    Risk

    Portfolio Risk

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    We will understand them in detail

    MARKET RISK

    Market Risk may be defined as the possibility of loss to bank caused by the changes in the

    market variables. It is the risk that the value of on-/off-balance sheet positions will be adversely

    affected by movements in equity and interest rate markets, currency exchange rates and

    commodity prices.

    Market risk is the risk to the banks earnings and capital due to changes in the market level of

    interest rates or prices of securities, foreign exchange and equities, as well as the volatilities, of

    those prices. Market Risk Management provides a comprehensive and dynamic frame work for

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    measuring, monitoring and managing liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange and equity as

    well as commodity price risk of a bank that needs to be closely integrated with the banks

    business strategy.

    Market can also be defined as Risk which is common to an entire class of assets or liabilities.

    The value of investments may decline over a given time period simply because of economic

    changes or other events that impact large portions of the market. Asset allocation and

    diversification can protect against market risk because different portions of the market tend to

    underperform at different times, also called systematic risk.

    Market risk in banks

    Banks also have several activities and undertake transaction that result in market exposure,

    therefore they are not immune to this risk they also face it. All such transaction is reflected in

    the grading book of the bank.

    1. A trading book consists of banks proprietary positions in financial instrument

    covering

    Debt securities

    Equity

    Foreign exchange

    Commodities

    Derivatives held by trading

    2. They also include position in the financial instrument arising form mismatched

    principal broking and market making or positions taken in order to hedge otherelements of the trading books.

    A banks trading book exposure has the following risks, which arise due to adverse changes in

    the market variables such as interest rates, currency exchange rate ,commodity prices, market

    liquidity and their volatilities and therefore these impact on banks earning nad capital

    adequacy.

    The main types of market risk faced by banks are:

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    1. Foreign exchange risk:

    Foreign Exchange Risk maybe defined as the risk that a bank may suffer losses as a

    result of adverse exchange rate movements during a period in which it has an open position,

    either spot or forward, or a combination of the two, in an individual foreign currency, in forex

    risk banks are exposed to other risk as well like:

    Interest rate risk- Which arises from the maturity mismatching of foreign currency

    positions. Even in cases where spot and forward positions in individual currencies are

    balanced, the maturity pattern of forward transactions may produce mismatches. As a

    result, banks may suffer losses as a result of changes in premium/discounts of the

    currencies concerned. Counter party risk or settlement risk.

    The three important issues that need to be addressed in this regard are:

    1. Nature and magnitude of exchange risk

    2. Exchange managing or hedging for adopted be to strategy>

    3. The tools of managing exchange risk

    2. Liquidation risk

    Liquidation involves asset and market liquidity risk.

    Liquidation risk arises from the lack of trading liquidity and result in

    Adverse change in market prices

    Inability of positions at the fair market price

    Liquidation of position cause large price change

    Inability to liquidate position at any price

    Asset liquidation risk refers to a situation where a specific asset faces lack of trading liquidity.

    Market liquidation risk refers to a situation when there is a general liquidity crunch in the

    market and it reflects trading liquidity adversely.

    Table1:-Changing Pattern of Off-balance Sheet Exposure of Different Banks In India

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    Group of banks 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06

    Public sector banks 3293 4066 4864 6840 8422

    New private sector banks 870 1660 3536 4980 7901

    Old private sector banks 243 301 329 600 630

    Foreign banks 4460 5630 8904 15906 25541

    Scheduled commercial 8866 11657 17633 28326 42494

    CREDIT RISK

    Credit risk arises from the lending activities of banks. It arises when the borrower does

    not pay the interest and/or instalments as and when it falls due or in case where a loan is

    payable on demand, the borrower fails to make payment as and when demanded.

    Credit risk is defined as the possibility of losses associated with diminution in the credit

    quality of borrowers or counterparties. In a bank's portfolio, losses stem from outright default

    due to inability or unwillingness of a customer or counterparty to meet commitments in relation

    to lending, trading, settlement and other financial transactions. Alternatively, losses result from

    reduction in portfolio value arising from actual or perceived deterioration in credit quality.

    Credit risk emanates from a bank's dealings with an individual, corporate, bank, financial

    institution or a sovereign.

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    Credit risk may take the following forms

    In the case of direct lending: principal/and or interest amount may not be repaid;

    In the case of guarantees or letters of credit: funds may not be forthcoming from the

    constituents upon crystallization of the liability;

    In the case of treasury operations: the payment or series of payments due from the

    counter parties under the respective contracts may not be forthcoming or ceases;

    In the case of securities trading businesses: funds/ securities settlement may not be

    effected;

    In the case of cross-border exposure: the availability and free transfer of foreign

    currency funds may either cease or the sovereign may impose restrictions.

    Credit risk can be divided into: Figure 3

    Default Risk

    Default risk is driven by the potential failure of a borrower to make a promised payment, either

    partly or wholly. In the event of default, a fraction of the obligation will normally be paid. This

    is known as the recovery rate.

    Credit Spread

    If a borrower does not default, there is still risk due to worsening in credit quality. This result in

    the possible widening of the credit spread. This is credit spread risk. This may arise from a

    rating change (i.e. an upgrade or a down grade).It will usually be firm specific.

    Chart 1:- Transaction Relevant By Credit Conversion Factor

    S.No Off Balance Sheet Instrument Credit Conversion Factor (CCF)

    Portfolio RiskTransaction

    Risk

    Credit risk

    Default Risk

    r

    Credit Spread

    Risk

    Concentration

    risk

    Systematic

    Risk

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    1 Direct credit substitutes, in general guarantees of

    indebtedness including stand by LC, financial

    guarantees, acceptances and endorsement.

    100

    2 Certain transaction related contingent items such asperformance bonds, bid bonds, warranties and

    indemnities.

    50

    3 Short term self-liquidating trade letters of credit

    arising from the movement of goods i.e. documentary

    credits collateralised by the underlying shipments for

    both issuing and confirming banks.

    20

    4 Sale and repurchase agreement and asset sales with

    recourse, where credit risk remains with bank

    100

    5 Other commitments i.e. formal standby facilities and

    credit lines with an original maturity-(a)up to 1 year

    20

    6 Other commitments i.e. formal standby facilities and

    credit lines with an original maturity-(b)over 1 year

    100

    OPERATIONAL RISK

    Operational risk is one of the areas of risk that is faced by all organisations. More complex the

    organisation is more exposed it would be to operational risk. Organisational risk would arise

    due to the deviation from the normal and the planned functioning of systems, procedures,

    technology and human failures of omission and commission.

    Basel committee has defined Operational risk as follows, the risk of loss resulting frominadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or from external events. Nature of

    organisational risk may be listed as:

    Operational risk exists everywhere in the organisation.

    Operational risks vary in their components. Some are high occurrence low value risks,

    while some are low occurrence high value risks.

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    Operational risks in the organisation continuously change especially when an

    organisation is undergoing changes.

    The performance of the banks have to be viewed in the context of growing number of

    operational loss events and the consequential banking disasters such as Barclays Bank and

    Allied Irish Bank. The four fundament principles, which underpin the entire gamut of

    operational risk, can be summarised as:

    Accept no unnecessary risk

    Make risk decisions at appropriate level.

    Accept risk after careful cost benefit analysis

    Dovetail the operational risk management into business planning.

    The second consultative paper of Basel II suggested classification of operational risks based on

    the cause and effects .That is classification based on causes that are responsible for operational

    risk or classifications based on the effects of risk were suggested.

    Cause-Based

    People oriented causes-negligence, incompetence, Insufficient training

    Process oriented causes-business volume fluctuation, organisational complexity,

    product complexity

    Technology oriented causes-poor technology and telecom, obsolete application, lack of

    automation

    External causes-natural disaster, operational failures of third party

    Effect Based

    Legal liability

    Regulatory, compliance and taxation policies

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    Loss or damage to assets

    Restitution

    Loss of recourse

    Write downs

    MANAGEMENT OF RISK

    Management of risk begins with the identification and its quantification. It is only after the risk

    is identified and measured it may be decided to accept the risk or to accept the risk at a reduced

    level, by undertaking steps to mitigate the risk, either full or partial. Therefore the management

    of risk may sub-divide into following five processes:-

    Risk Identification

    Risk Management

    Based on Sensitivity

    Based on Volatility

    Based on Downside potential

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    Risk Pricing

    Risk Monitoring and control

    Risk adjusted return on capital

    Risk Mitigation

    RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS

    The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented

    and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing

    expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international

    political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows: Identify and prioritize key financial risks.

    Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.

    Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.

    Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.

    Risk management needs to be looked at as an organizational approach, as management of risks

    independently cannot have the desired effect over the long term. This is especially necessary as

    risks result from various activities in the firm and the personnel responsible for the activities donot always understand the risk attached to them. The steps in risk management process are:

    a) Determining objectives

    Determination of objectives is the first step in the risk management function. The objective

    may be to protect profits, or to develop competitive advantage. The objective of risk

    management needs to be decided upon by the management. So that the risk manager may fulfilhis responsibilities in accordance with the set objectives.

    b) Identifying Risks

    Every organization faces different risks, based on its business, the economic, social and

    political factors, the features of the industry it operates in like the degree of competition, the

    strengths and weakness of its competitors, availability of raw material, factors internal to the

    company like the competence and outlook of the management, state of industry relations,

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    dependence on foreign markets for inputs, sales or finances, capabilities of its staff and other

    innumerable factors.

    c) Risk Evaluation

    Once the risks are identified, they need to be evaluated for ascertaining their significance. The

    significance of a particular risk depends upon the size of the loss that it may result in, and the

    probability of the occurrence of such loss. On the basis of these factors, the various risks faced

    by the corporate need to be classified as critical risks, important risks and not-so-important

    risks. Critical risks are those that may result in bankruptcy of the firm. Important risks are those

    that may not result in bankruptcy, but may cause severe financial distress.

    d) Development of policy

    Based on the risk tolerance level of the firm, the risk management policy needs to bedeveloped. The time frame of the policy should be comparatively long, so that the policy is

    relatively stable. A policy generally takes the form of a declaration as to how much risk should

    be covered.

    e) Development of strategy

    Based on the policy, the firm then needs to develop the strategy to be followed for managing

    risk. A strategy is essentially an action plan, which specifies the nature of risk to be managed

    and the timing. It also specifies the tools, techniques and instruments that can be used to

    manage these risks. A strategy also deals with tax and legal problems. Another important issue

    that needs to be specified by the strategy is whether the company would try to make profits out

    of risk management or would it stick to covering the existing risks.

    f) Implementation

    Once the policy and the strategy are in place, they are to be implemented for actuallymanaging the risks. This is the operational part of risk management. It includes finding the best

    deal in case of risk transfer, providing for contingencies in case of risk retention, designing and

    implementing risk control programs etc.

    g) Review

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    The function of risk management needs to be reviewed periodically, depending on the costs

    involved. The factors that affect the risk management decisions keep changing, thus

    necessitating the need to monitor the effectiveness of the decisions taken previously.

    Risk regulation in banking industry

    Banking and financial services are regulated because they are the back bone of the economy.

    Regulations have decisive impact on risk management. Regulation seek to improve the safety

    of the banking industry, ensure a level playing field, promote sound business and supervisory

    practices, control and monitor Systematic Risk and protect the interest of depositors.Bankers

    for International Settlement (BIS) meet at Basel situated at Switzerland to address the common

    issues concerning bankers all over the world. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision

    (BCBS) is a committee of banking supervisory authorities of G-10 countries and has been

    developing standards and establishment of a framework for bank supervision towards

    strengthening financial stability throughout the world. In consultation with the supervisory

    authorities of a few non-G-10 countries including India, core principles for effective banking

    supervision in the form of minimum requirements to strengthen current supervisory regime.

    In banks asset creation is an event happening subsequent to the capital formation and depositmobilization. Therefore, the preposition should be for a given capital how much asset can be

    created? Hence, in ideal situation and taking a radical view, stipulation of Asset Creation

    Multiple (ACM), in lieu of capital adequacy ratio, would be more appropriate and rational.

    That is to say, instead of Minimum Capital Adequacy Ratio of 8 percent (implying holding of

    Rs 8 by way of capital for every Rs 100 risk weighted assets), stipulation of Maximum Asset

    Creation Multiple of 12.5 times (implying for maximum Asset Creation Multiple of 12.5 time

    for the given capital of Rs 8) would be more meaningful. However as the assets have been

    already created when the norms were introduced, capital adequacy ratio is adopted instead of

    asset creation multiple. At least in respect of the new banks (starting from zero), Asset Creation

    Multiple (ACM) may be examined/thought of for strict implementation. The main differences

    between the existing accord and the new one are summarized below:-

    Existing Accord New Accord

    Focus on single risk More emphasis on banks measure own

    internal methodology supervisory Review and

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    market discipline.

    One size fits all Flexibility, menu of

    approaches, incentive for better

    risk management

    Broad brush structure More risk sensitivity.

    The structure of the New Accord II consists of three pillars approach as given below.

    Pillar Focus area

    I Pillar Minimum Capital Requirement

    II Pillar Supervisory review process

    III Pillar Market Discipline

    Strategic Role of Risk Management in Banks

    Risk management seeks to provide an assurance to the top management that the core objective

    would be achieved to desired degree of assurance. The higher the risk taken and the greater the

    level of assurance required for achieving core objective, the higher the sophistication of risk

    management system that a bank must aim for. The core enterprise objective that is sought to

    assured by risk management for profit-oriented business is well known but often misinterpreted

    concept of shareholder value maximization (SVM). In the event of losses, shareholders accept

    it first before others by providing much needed protection to other capital providers such as

    debt and deposit holders in a bank. In return for providing capital the shareholders expect the

    return commensurate with the risks that they are exposed to . while the ultimate test of SVM is

    addition to market capitalization, difficulties associated with using it in practice has lead to a

    number of proxies to economic value Added (EVA), risk adjusted return on capital(RAROC),

    and its variants.

    Why Do Banks Manage These Risks At All?

    Why banking firms manage risk. According to standard economic theory, managers of value

    maximizing firms ought to maximize expected profit without regard to the variability around its

    expected value. However, there is now a growing literature on the reasons for active risk

    management including the work of Stulz (1984), Smith, Smithson and Wolford (1990), and

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    Froot, Sharfstein and Stein (1993) to name but a few of the more notable contributions. In fact,

    the recent review of risk management reported in Santomero (1995) lists dozens of

    contributions to the area and at least four distinct rationales offered for active risk management.

    These include managerial selfinterest, the non-linearity of the tax structure, the costs of

    financial distress and the existence of capital market imperfections. Any one of these justifies

    the firms' concern over return variability, as the above-cited authors demonstrate.

    How Are These Risks Managed?

    In light of the above, what are the necessary procedures that must be in place to carry out

    adequate risk management? In essence, what techniques are employed to both limit and manage

    the different types of risk, and how are they implemented in each area of risk control? It is to

    these questions that we now turn. After reviewing the procedures employed by leading firms,

    an approach emerges from an examination of large-scale risk management systems. The

    management of the banking firm relies on a sequence of steps to implement a risk management

    system. These can be seen as containing the following four parts:

    (i) Standards and reports,

    (ii) Position limits or rules,

    (iii) Investment guidelines or strategies,

    (iv) Incentive contracts and compensation.

    In general, these tools are established to measure exposure, define procedures to manage these

    exposures, limit individual positions to acceptable levels, and encourage decision makers to

    manage risk in a manner that is consistent with the firm's goals and objectives. To see how each

    of these four parts of basic risk management techniques achieves these ends, we elaborate on

    each part of the process below. In Section IV we illustrate how these techniques are applied to

    manage each of the specific risks facing the banking community.

    Standards and Reports

    The first of these risk management techniques involves two different conceptual activities, i.e.,

    standard setting and financial reporting. They are listed together because they are thesine qua

    non of any risk system. Underwriting standards, risk categorizations, and standards of review

    are all traditional tools of risk management and control. Consistent evaluation and rating of

    exposures of various types are essential to understand the risks in the portfolio, and the extent

    to which these risks must be mitigated or absorbed. The standardization of financial reporting is

    the next ingredient. Obviously outside audits, regulatory reports, and rating agency evaluations

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    are essential for investors to gauge asset quality and firm level risk. These reports have long

    been standardized, for better or worse. However, the need here goes beyond public reports and

    audited statements to the need for management information on asset quality and risk posture.

    Such internal reports need similar standardization and much more frequent reporting intervals,

    with daily or weekly reports substituting for the quarterly GAAP periodicity.

    Position Limits and Rules

    A second technique for internal control of active management is the use of position limits,

    and/or minimum standards for participation. In terms of the latter, the domain of risk taking is

    restricted to only those assets or counterparties that pass some prespecified quality standard.

    Then, even for those investments that are eligible, limits are imposed to cover exposures to

    counterparties, credits, and overall position concentrations relative to various types of risks.

    While such limits are costly to establish and administer, their imposition restricts the risk that

    can be assumed by any one individual, and therefore by the organization as a whole. In general,

    each person who can commit capital will have a well-defined limit. This applies to traders,

    lenders, and portfolio managers. Summary reports show limits as well as current exposure by

    business unit on a periodic basis. In large organizations with thousands of positions maintained,

    accurate and timely reporting is difficult, but even more essential.

    Investment Guidelines and Strategies

    Investment guidelines and recommended positions for the immediate future are the third

    technique commonly in use. Here, strategies are outlined in terms of concentrations and

    commitments to particular areas of the market, the extent of desired asset-liability mismatching

    or exposure, and the need to hedge against systematic risk of a particular type.

    The limits described above lead to passive risk avoidance and/or diversification, because

    managers generally operate within position limits and prescribed rules. Beyond this, guidelines

    offer firm level advice as to the appropriate level of active management, given the state of the

    market and the willingness of senior management to absorb the risks implied by the aggregate

    portfolio. Such guidelines lead to firm level hedging and asset-liability matching. In addition,

    securitization and even derivative activity are rapidly growing techniques of position

    management open to participants looking to reduce their exposure to be in line with

    management's guidelines.

    Incentive Schemes

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    To the extent that management can enter incentive compatible contracts with line managers and

    make compensation related to the risks borne by these individuals, then the need for elaborate

    and costly controls is lessened. However, such incentive contracts require accurate position

    valuation and proper internal control systems. Such tools which include position posting, risk

    analysis, the allocation of costs, and setting Jensen and Meckling (1976), and Santomero

    (1984) for discussions of the shortcomings in simple linear risk sharing incentive contracts for

    assuring incentive compatibility between principals and agents. of required returns to various

    parts of the organization are not trivial. Notwithstanding the difficulty, well designed systems

    align the goals of managers with other stakeholders in a most desirable way. In fact, most

    financial debacles can be traced to the absence of incentive compatibility, as the cases of the

    deposit insurance and maverick traders so clearly illustrate.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    MARKET RISK MANAGEMENT

    After identification of major type of risk faced by banks. The next step for the risk management

    process is the quantification or measurement of risk. Measurement of market risk (interest rate

    risk) may be done by:

    a) The Interest Sensitive Gap Analysis:-is the most popular analytical tool used by

    banks managements to hedge the balance sheet from the interest rate risk. While the

    Traditional Gap Analysis seeks to manage risk arising from the mismatch in prising of

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    the assets and liabilities, a more redefined method is known as Standardised Gap

    Analysis attempts to address basis risk also. Traditional gap analysis involves an

    analysis and management of the banks positions in interest sensitive assets, liabilities

    and off-balance sheet items with reference to existing interest sensitivity exposure of

    the banks on a particular day. Gap analysis is the analysis between the interest rate

    sensitive assets and interest rate sensitive liabilities.

    b) Duration Analysis:-the concept of the duration is helpful to come out of the market

    risk which either appreciates the bonds value or vice versa. Duration of a coupon

    bearing bond is the weighted average maturity of its cash flow streams in present value

    terms. It can be described as the maturity of an equivalent zero coupons bound.

    Duration is calculated using the following formula:

    Duration =

    c) Simulation Analysis:-In simulation method a financial model of the institution is first

    developed incorporating interrelationship of the assets, liabilities, prices,costs ,

    volume ,mix and other business related variables.

    d) Value at Risk: - Value at Risk or VaR is a recent innovation. The value at risk is based

    on some elementary statistical concepts. Quantifying risk obviously means finding out

    in numbers the likely loss a position would make in the market. value at risk may be

    commuted using three major methods :

    The Parametric or The Delta Normal Method

    The Historical Simulation Method

    The Monte Carlo Method.

    e) Basic point value-this is the change value due basis point (0.01%) change in market

    yield. This is used to measure the risk. The higher the BPV of a bond, higher is the risk

    associated with the bond. Computation of BPV is quite simple.

    PV (C1)*1+PV (C2)*2-----------+P V

    V

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    CREDT RISK MEASUREMENT

    Measurement of credit risk consist of

    a) Measurement of risk through credit rating/scoring.

    Credit rating can be classified as:

    External credit rating: - A credit rating is, in general, an investment recommendation

    concerning a given security, in the words of Standards and Poors(S&P). A credit rating

    is a creditworthiness of an obligor, or the creditworthiness of an obligor with respect to

    a particular debt security or other financial obligation, based on relevant risk factors.

    In Moody's words, a rating is, an opinion on the future ability and legal obligation of

    an issuer to make timely payments of principal and interest on a specific fixed-income

    security.

    Financial institutions, when required to hold investment grade bonds by their

    regulators use the rating of credit agencies such as S&P and Moody's to determine

    which bonds are of investment grade.

    The subject of credit rating might be a company issuing debt obligations. In the

    case of such issuer credit ratings the rating is an opinion on the obligors overall

    capacity to meet its financial obligations. The opinion is not specific to any particularliability of the company, nor does it consider merits of having guarantors for some of

    the obligations. In the issuer credit rating categories are

    a) Counterparty ratings

    b) Corporate credit ratings

    c) Sovereign credit ratings

    Claims on sovereigns and their central banks will be risk weighted as follows:

    Credit

    Assessment

    AAA to

    AA-

    A+

    to A-

    BBB+ to

    BBB-

    BB+

    to B-

    Below B- Unrated

    Risk Weight 0% 20% 50% 100% 150% 100%

    Internal credit rating: - A typical risk rating system (RRS) will assign both an obligor

    rating to each borrower (or group of borrowers), and a facility rating to each available

    facility. A risk rating (RR) is designed to depict the risk of loss in a credit facility. A

    robust RRS should offer a carefully designed, structured, and documented series ofsteps for the assessment of each rating.

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    The following are the steps for assessment of rating:

    a) Objectivity and Methodology:

    The goal is to generate accurate and consistent risk rating, yet also to allow

    professional judgment to significantly influence a rating where it is appropriate. The

    expected loss is the product of an exposure (say, Rs. 100) and the probability of default

    (say, 2%) of an obligor (or borrower) and the loss rate given default (say, 50%) in any

    specific credit facility. In this example,

    The expected loss = 100*.02*.50 = Rs. 1

    A typical risk rating methodology (RRM)

    a. Initial assign an obligor rating that identifies the expected probability of

    default by that borrower (or group) in repaying its obligations in normal

    course of business.

    b. The RRS then identifies the risk loss (principle/interest) by assigning an

    RR to each individual credit facility granted to an obligor.

    The obligor rating represents the probability of default by a borrower in

    repaying its obligation in the normal course of business. The facility rating represents

    the expected loss of principal and/ or interest on any business credit facility. It

    combines the likelihood of default by a borrower and conditional severity of loss,

    should default occur, from the credit facilities available to the borrower.

    b) Quantifying the risk through estimating expected loans losses.

    OPERATIONAL RISK MEASUREMENT

    Three methods for calculating operational risk capital charges in a continuum of increasing

    sophistication and risk sensitivity:

    a) The Basic Indicator Approach:-Banks using the Basic Indicator Approach must hold

    capital for operational risk equal to the average over the previous three years of a fixed

    percentage (denoted alpha) of annual gross income. Figures for any year in which

    annual gross income is negative or zero should be excluded from both the numerator

    and denominator when calculating the average. The charge may be expressed as

    follows:

    KBIA = [(GI1n x )]/n

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    adjusted rate of return and, ultimately, the economic value added of each business unit.

    The economic value added of each business unit, defined in detail below, is simply the

    units adjusted net income less a capital charge (the amount of equity capital allocated

    to the unit times the required return on equity). The objective in this case is to measure

    a business units contribution to shareholder value and, thus, to provide a basis for

    effective capital budgeting and incentive compensation at the business-unit level.

    RAROC and Financial Theory

    Allocating equity capital on the basis of the risk of individual business units seems pointless in

    the classical theoretical paradigm of frictionless capital markets (one with perfect

    information and without taxes, bankruptcy costs or conflicts between managers and

    shareholders). If markets operated in this manner, the pricing of specific risks would be the

    same for all banks and would not depend on the characteristics of an individual banks

    portfolio.

    RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

    Problem Definition- risk is something which cannot be defined clearly every organisation

    needs to minimise the risk up to some extent and for which system, tools, techniques and rules

    are adopted by them. Bank is an organisation which face many risk and therefore its important

    to know what role does the risk management system plays in mitigating it.

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    Objective of Study-

    The objective of the study is to understand the role of risk management in banks.

    1) Basel II understanding it as an Integrated Risk Management Solution.

    2) Understanding different risk faced by banking sector also understand how to

    eliminate them

    3) Risk analysis (credit risk, market risk, operational risk and others).

    4) Role of risk management strategic role.

    Research Design: - Descriptive Research

    Source of Information:-Secondary Data

    Analysis is based on the understanding from various researches, articles and papers.

    Scope of the Study: - The study will analyze the risk factor which tells about the basis on

    which banks provide loans to the customers as well as other risks, viz. market risk, operational

    risk, liquidity risk etc. These are covered under the BASEL II accord which is a set of

    interesting ideas, and crafts a new framework of banking regulation based on genuine

    understanding of risk.

    Limitations of study:-

    It tells about the risk but the only shortcoming is the lack of terms related to the riskreduction.

    Very stipulated time is allotted for the research.

    Many banks may not be able to manage the risk.

    Many of the banks may not be implementing the risk measurement/management toolsin the research

    FINDINGS

    As per the delottie risk management survey:-

    Risk management is not fully integrated throughout many institutions: 49 percent of the

    institutions surveyed had completely or substantially incorporated responsibilities for

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    risk management into performance goals and compensation decisions for senior

    management.

    Overall responsibility for oversight and governance of risks rested with the board of

    directors at 77 percent of the institutions participating, and 63 percent of these had aformal, approved statement of risk appetite.

    Seventy-three percent of the institutions surveyed had a Chief Risk Officer (CRO) or

    equivalent position. As an indicator of the roles importance, the CRO reported to the

    board of directors and/or the CEO at roughly three quarters of these institutions.

    Only 36 percent of the institutions had an enterprise risk management (ERM) program,

    although another 23 percent were in the process of creating one. Among institutions

    with $100 billion or more in assets, 58 percent had an ERM program already in place.

    The institutions that had ERM programs found them to be valuable: 85 percent of the

    executives reported that the total value (both quantifiable and non-quantifiable) derived

    from their ERM programs exceeded costs.

    Institutions have made substantial progress towards complying with Basel II. For many

    areas, more than half of the institutions subject to Basel II reported they had already

    complied or that little work remained, a far higher number than in our previous global

    risk management surveys. These responses are clearly influenced by the fact that Basel

    II has different timeframes for implementation in different countries, with multiple

    approaches available in many jurisdictions.

    BIBLIOGRAPHY/WEBLIOGRAPHY

    Risk Management

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    Conference papers 2007

    Bank risk management

    www.rbi.org

    http://www.rbi.org/http://www.rbi.org/