rhand credit union co-operative society...
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SME eSmart- Powering Your Potential Find out more today by calling: (868)-627-8879 ext. 228 or email: [email protected]
▪ Sagicor Financial Corporation Limited’s proposed bond issue initial rating assigned at CariAA
▪ Dominica Agriculture, Industrial and Development Bank’s rating reaffirmed at CariBB-
▪ Beacon Insurance Company Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariA-
▪ The Government of the Commonwealth of Dominica rating reaffirmed at CariBB
▪ The Government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago rating reaffirmed at CariAA+
▪ Eastern Caribbean Home Mortgage Bank’s rating reaffirmed at CariBBB+
▪ Sagicor Group Jamaica Limited’s initial rating assigned at CariA
▪ NIF Holding Company Limited’s TT$4 billion issue rating reaffirmed CariAA
▪ Goddard Enterprises Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariAA-
▪ NCB Global Finance Limited’s initial rating assigned at CariA
▪ RHAND Credit Union Co-operative Society Limited’s rating reaffirmed at CariBBB-
▪ Development Bank of Jamaica Limited’s rating upgraded to CariA- ▪ Bourse Securities Limited rating reaffirmed at CariA- ▪ PLIPDECO’s rating reaffirmed at CariA+
OUR UPCOMING WORKSHOPS!
IFRS 17 Insurance Contracts 8th & 9th October 2019 Trinidad
Benefits of a CariCRIS Rating for a Bond Issue:
Latest Rating Actions by CariCRIS
• Help investors to determine if the bond issue is a wise investment
• Provide a clear understanding of the creditworthiness of the issuing
firm and the factors that will impact its performance
• Utilise a standardised system in order to compare the credit quality of
one bond issue relative to another
DATE
WORKSHOP
COUNTRY
Please visit our website at www.caricris.com for the detailed Rationales on these and other ratings
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CariCRIS’ credit ratings and daily Newswire can also be found on the Bloomberg Professional Service.
REGIONAL
Trinidad and Tobago
NGL falls $0.39
Overall market activity resulted from trading in 12 securities of which four
advanced, two declined and six traded firm.
Barbados
Barbados Government to Turn to Private Sector to Help Refurbish Health
Facilities
The Ministry of Health and Wellness intends to reach out to corporate
Barbados for assistance in refurbishing district hospitals and polyclinics
located in areas where companies do business.
Jamaica
Economy grew by 1.0% for April to June quarter – PIOJ
The Jamaican economy grew by an estimated 1.0 per cent in the April to
June 2019 quarter compared with the corresponding quarter of 2018.
PIOJ explains the latest poverty data showing an increase in 2017
The Planning Institute of Jamaica (PIOJ) is seeking to set the records
straight regarding the latest data on poverty in the country, showing a 2.2
per cent jump in 2017 to 19.3 per cent of the population living below the
poverty line.
BOJ again lowers policy interest rate
The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) has again lowered its policy interest rate by 25
basis points to half-of-a-per cent, effective today.
General Accident half-year profit up nearly 40%
Listed general insurance company General Accident (GENAC) is already
eyeing another good year after a near 40 per cent increase in half-year
profits.
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Jamaica continued
Sagicor introduces coupon health plans for small businesses
Sagicor Life, a subsidiary of Sagicor Group Jamaica, has customised six
new plans for small businesses which need health coverage for
employees.
Ja banks on Cayman berth for uptick in cruise passenger arrivals
Jamaica has reported another contraction in cruise passenger arrivals for
June 2019, but there is hope that the country should see increases in
arrivals, given plans for the development of a new cruise berthing facility
in George Town, Grand Cayman.
Industry ministry launching MSME digital marketing programme
The Ministry of Industry, Commerce, Agriculture and Fisheries (MICAF) in
partnership with the Organisation of American States (OAS) is launching a
three-year Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) Digital Marketing
Plan, to strengthen MSMEs in Jamaica with digital marketing solutions for
their businesses.
Pay day blues
National Commercial Bank (NCB) has warned its customers to brace for
more delays as it continues to implement a new systems upgrade.
JISCO set for temporary closure by October
THE Alpart/JISCO bauxite/alumina plant in Nain, St Elizabeth is being
prepared for closure, which is expected to commence by October.
Guyana
Private sector lending fastest in three years -number of agri loans fall – Half
Year Report
Lending to the private sector for the first half of the year was the fastest in
the last three years.
Encouraging signs in Aurora underground mining
After securing clearance from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
and the Guyana Geology and Mines Commission (GGMC), Guyana
Goldfields Incorporated, the Canadian owner of Aurora Gold Mines, has
begun what is being described as successful underground explorations at
its North-West Mazaruni location.
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Guyana continued
GTM records $324M after-tax profit
THE Guyana and Trinidad Mutual Life Insurance Company (GTM) after-tax
profit is $324.8M for 2018 as compared to $250.9M for 2017 which
represents an increase of $73.8M or 29.45 per cent.
The Bahamas
Airbnb On Hunt for New Sign-Ups
ONLINE vacation home marketplace Airbnb is encouraging locals to tap
into the tourism market through the launch of Airbnb Experiences in The
Bahamas.
Delta Going Daily with Boston-Nassau Schedule
DELTA Airlines yesterday announced that starting in December it will
expand flights between Boston Logan International Airport (BOS) and
Lynden Pindling Nassau International Airport (NAS) from Saturday-only to
daily.
Panama
$28 billion in debt, Odebrecht presents restructuring plan
The Odebrecht holding company, $28 billion in debt. Has presented its
judicial reorganization plan to the creditors, proposing that they
exchange their accounts receivable for payment values based on the
company's future results.
Antigua and Barbuda
PM Browne eager to open first residence hall at Five Islands
While the final touches on the new University of the West Indies (UWI) Five
Islands campus are being carried out ahead of the September 3rd
opening, discussions are underway to establish the campus’ first dormitory
within its first two years of operation.
Key services will be up to standard at UWI Five Islands Campus – Sir Hilary
Beckles
It’s a given that topping the list of concerns for students who will be
attending the University of the West Indies’ (UWI) fourth landed campus at
Five Islands would be security, reliable Internet service and a modern
library.
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Dominica
Dominica’s recovery efforts highlighted at World Council Credit Union
Summit
The World Council of Credit Unions in collaboration with the Caribbean
Confederation of Credit Unions recently welcomed more than 2,000
Credit Union professionals from 61 countries to the Atlantis Resort in the
Bahamas for the annual conference of credit unions from all over the
world.
INTERNATIONAL
United States
U.S. weekly jobless claims increase slightly
The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits
rose moderately, pointing to sustained labour market strength despite
slowing economic growth.
U.S. second-quarter GDP growth revised to 2.0%
The U.S. economy slowed a bit more than initially thought in the second
quarter as the strongest growth in consumer spending in 4-1/2 years was
offset by declining exports and a smaller inventory build.
Best Buy's annual sales outlook misses estimates as tariffs loom
Best Buy Co Inc (BBY.N) forecast annual same-store sales below analysts’
estimates on Thursday, citing new U.S. tariffs set to be imposed on Chinese
imports, such as phones, video game consoles and other electronics.
Goldman Sachs, Point72 and others invest $40 million in Mexico's
Credijusto
Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Point72 Ventures and others invested $40
million in a Mexico-based online lender called Credijusto.com, the
companies said on Thursday.
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United Kingdom
Micro Focus says most of sales shortfall will drop through to earnings
Micro Focus Intl (MCRO.L) said it had little scope to mitigate a cut in its
revenue guidance before its Oct. 31 year-end as its cost cutting programs
were already well advanced, meaning most of the shortfall would fall
through to the core earnings line.
Europe
French economy shrugs off euro zone slowdown in second quarter
France’s economy expanded faster than expected in the second
quarter, proving - for now - to be impervious to the slowdown taking hold
of the broader euro zone, official data showed on Thursday.
German inflation eases again unexpectedly
German annual inflation slowed unexpectedly for the second
consecutive month in August, data showed on Thursday, likely lending
support to doves among ECB policymakers who want to inject more
monetary stimulus into the single currency bloc.
Italy's Conte gets green light to form new government
Italy’s president asked Giuseppe Conte to head up a coalition of the 5-
Star Movement and opposition Democratic Party (PD) on Thursday, a
move could that could improve in Italy’s fractious relations with the
European Union.
China
Tencent scraps plan to invest $150 million in Chinese education firm VIPKid
Tencent (0700.HK) has shelved plans to invest about $150 million to lead a
fresh fundraising round for a Chinese education firm VIPKid, two people
familiar with the matter said, as Beijing moved to tighten oversight of
online education platforms.
China hopes U.S. will create conditions necessary for September trade
talks
China and the United States are discussing the next round of face-to-face
trade talks scheduled in September but hopes for progress hinge on
whether Washington can create favourable conditions, China’s
commerce ministry said on Thursday.
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Japan
Japan allows first exports of hydrogen fluoride to South Korea since export
curbs
Japan has approved shipment of hydrogen fluoride used in making
computer chips to South Korea for the first time since imposing tighter
export controls in July, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters.
Yen set for biggest monthly rise since May as sentiment fragile
The Japanese yen was set for its biggest monthly rise since May on Friday
as risk appetite remained on the back foot with investors sceptical of a
breakthrough in the U.S.-China trade war any time soon.
Global
Brent oil holds above $60 as lower inventories boost WTI
Brent oil held above $60 a barrel on Thursday, withstanding pressure from
concerns about economic growth, while a sharp fall in U.S. inventories
boosted West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures.
Argentina says to extend maturities of international bonds, IMF debt
Argentina will negotiate with holders of its sovereign bonds and the
International Monetary Fund to extend the maturities of its debt
obligations as a way of ensuring the country’s ability to pay, Treasury
Minister Hernan Lacunza said on Wednesday.
Argentina bonds plumb new lows, country risk soars, as govt eyes debt
'reprofiling'
Argentine country risk soared to levels not seen since 2008 and bond
prices lurched to record lows on Thursday after the government
announced plans to “reprofile” some debt, leaving investors scrambling to
assess what kind of hit they might face.
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Brent oil holds above $60 as lower inventories boost WTI Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Brent oil held above $60 a barrel on Thursday, withstanding pressure from
concerns about economic growth, while a sharp fall in U.S. inventories
boosted West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures.
International benchmark Brent crude was up 2 cents at $60.51 a barrel by
1215 GMT. WTI was up 48 cents at $56.26 a barrel.
“If the API (American Petroleum Institute) unexpectedly supplied bullets to
oil bulls on Tuesday evening so that they could fire from all cylinders, the
EIA flung the door of the ammunition depot wide open yesterday,” Tamas
Varga of oil brokerage PVM said.
The U.S. government’s Energy Information Administration said on
Wednesday that American crude stocks dropped last week by 10 million
barrels, while gasoline and distillate stocks each fell by 2.1 million barrels.
On Tuesday, industry body API said U.S. crude stocks had fallen by 11.1
million barrels last week.
U.S. weekly crude production rose 200,000 barrels per day to a new
record at 12.5 million bpd in the week to Aug. 23, the EIA said.
Concerns about a slowdown in economic growth due to the trade war
raging between the United States and China, the world’s biggest oil
consumers, along with the potential hit to oil demand, are keeping prices
in check.
“Trade tensions (are) hanging like a dark cloud threatening to rain over oil
prices,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.
China’s commerce ministry said on Thursday China and the United States
were discussing the next round of face-to-face trade talks scheduled for
September but hopes for progress hinged on whether Washington could
create favourable conditions.
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said she is in a “watch
and see” mode as she assesses the need for another U.S. interest-rate cut
for an economy that has “strong” momentum but faces headwinds from
uncertainty and a global slowdown.
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Concerns about the global economy have watered down the impact of
oil production cuts that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries, Russia and other producers have been exercising over the past
2-1/2 years.
“When they (OPEC and its allies) really managed to accelerate the price
from late 2016 onwards they had a big tailwind of global growth
acceleration, now they have this big negative headwind of global growth
de-acceleration,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at
Nordic bank SEB.
Morgan Stanley has lowered its oil price forecasts for the rest of the year,
citing a weaker economic outlook, faltering demand and higher shale oil
output.
<< Back to news headlines >>
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Argentina says to extend maturities of international bonds, IMF debt Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Argentina will negotiate with holders of its sovereign bonds and the
International Monetary Fund to extend the maturities of its debt
obligations as a way of ensuring the country’s ability to pay, Treasury
Minister Hernan Lacunza said on Wednesday.
At a news conference after meetings with an IMF team visiting Argentina,
Lacunza said the government would “re-profile” the maturities of debt
owed to the IMF under a $57 billion standby agreement.
Interest and principal payments on bonds issued under international and
local law will not be altered in the re-profiling. The changes in maturities
would be aimed at obligations held by institutional, rather than individual
investors, he said.
“The priority today is to guarantee stability, because it is useless to launch
reactivating measures if there is no stability. The first thing is to recover that
stability,” Lacunza said at the news conference in Buenos Aires.
The peso took a beating during the day, even though the central bank
heavily intervened in the foreign exchange market for a second
consecutive day.
Argentine asset prices have gotten slammed since the Aug. 11 primary
election showed business-friendly President Mauricio Macri has surprisingly
little public support in his campaign to win a second term in the October
general election. He was trounced in the primary by centre-left Peronist
challenger Alberto Fernandez, who is now the clear front-runner.
“President Macri instructed me to solve the short-term problem to
guarantee electoral stability, but also in the medium- and long-term so as
not to leave a problem for the person who follows, be it he or another
candidate,” Lacunza said.
He said the measures were taken “so that the president can deploy his
policies without the restriction of imminent, or too high, debt maturities.”
Argentina’s peso closed 3.1% weaker at 58.1 per dollar on Wednesday,
even as the central bank sold $367 million of its reserves in a second
consecutive day of heavy intervention aimed at controlling the peso’s fall.
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Worries over Argentina’s ability to meet its dollar-denominated debt
obligations have increased since the Aug. 11 primary. The peso has lost
almost 22% of its value against the U.S. dollar since then. The weakness of
the currency has inflamed market concerns about Argentina’s ability to
pay its dollar-denominated obligations.
Changes in the maturities of short-term debt, known as Letes and Lecap,
will be between three and six months, Lacunza said.
He said changes in maturities of bonds issued under Argentine law would
require approval from Congress.
“The markets will see this as a default,” Hernan Esteves, economist with
Buenos Aires consultancy FyEConsult, told Reuters.
“The problem is that you have a debt restructuring proposal launched by
one government, but that will have to be executed by the next
government,” Esteves said. “That makes it very difficult to manage an
orderly restructuring.”
During trading hours on Wednesday, both Argentina’s century bond and
the January 2028 traded near 42.5 cents on the dollar, their lowest on
record according to MarketAxess data.
“RECOGNIZING REALITY”
“I don’t like to use the word default. I prefer to think of it as recognizing
reality,” said Roger Horn, executive director and senior emerging market
strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities America in New York. “With bonds
trading in the 40s (cents on the dollar) the market was already expecting
a worst-case scenario. It’s better to deal with it now than six months from
now.”
The IMF said in a statement that it was analysing the government’s new
debt plan. Argentina has taken “important steps” to address liquidity
needs and safeguard reserves, said the statement from IMF spokesman
Gerry Rice.
The central bank issued a statement saying it would continue to
implement a “restrictive monetary policy” and continue intervening in the
foreign exchange market to bolster the peso.
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The pushing out of debt maturities was aimed in part at preserving the
central bank’s dollar reserves, which stood at $57.9 billion as of Aug. 26.
“The decisions that have been taken prioritize the use of international
reserves to preserve monetary and financial stability, even if this implies
delaying payments to large public debt investors,” central bank chief
Guido Sandleris said in a separate statement.
“These decisions should lessen the pressure on the foreign exchange
market, reduce the eventual demand for foreign currency and
guarantee the availability of resources to limit volatility,” it said.
Macri took office in late 2015, promising to use orthodox economics to
end the cyclical crises that have afflicted Argentina for decades.
But he overestimated his ability to attract the foreign direct investment
needed for sustainable growth, while under-estimating the effect that
cutting public utility subsidies would have on inflation. His popularity fell as
consumer prices, especially home heating gas and electricity bills, shot
higher.
The economy is currently in recession with 55% inflation.
<< Back to news headlines >>
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Argentina bonds plumb new lows, country risk soars, as govt eyes debt
'reprofiling' Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Argentine country risk soared to levels not seen since 2008 and bond
prices lurched to record lows on Thursday after the government
announced plans to “reprofile” some debt, leaving investors scrambling to
assess what kind of hit they might face.
The recession- and inflation-racked economy has struggled for years with
debt problems. Its latest woes began when business-friendly President
Mauricio Macri suffered an unexpected and crushing defeat in an Aug.
11 primary election at the hands of populist-leaning Peronist Alberto
Fernandez.
That unnerved investors, who feared that the return of the left to power
could herald another debt restructuring in Latin America’s third-largest
economy.
By the time Treasury Minister Hernan Lacunza said on Wednesday the
government wanted to extend the maturities here of short-term local debt
instruments and would negotiate with holders of its sovereign bonds and
with the International Monetary Fund, a debt revamp was already widely
expected.
Argentine spreads over safe-haven U.S. Treasury bonds, which measures
perceived risk of default, nonetheless rose 82 basis points to 2,154 early on
Thursday on JP Morgan’s Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus.
The central bank spent $367 million of its reserves in foreign exchange
market interventions on Wednesday alone, part of its effort to defend the
beleaguered local peso.
“The pre-emptive announcement from the Macri administration to
voluntarily re-profile debt shows cash flow desperation after consistent
foreign exchange reserve loss,” said Siobhan Morden, head of Latin
America fixed income strategy at Amherst Pierpont Securities in New York.
“It now looks like a disorderly phase of a debt restructuring with a
piecemeal strategy of seeking debt relief without a comprehensive debt
repayment plan,” Morden said in a note, adding, “capital controls could
quickly follow as this official recognition of cash flow stress will only trigger
further dollar demand and capital flight.”
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The news put more selling pressure in early European trading on
Argentina’s dollar-denominated bonds issued under foreign law. The issue
maturing in 2028 dropped around a cent to a low of 42 cents in the dollar.
Developing markets investment house Tellimer calculates that $7 billion of
short-term debt, $50 billion long-term debt and $44 billion of IMF debt may
be earmarked for an overhaul.
Key players going forward will be the IMF, which has a $57 billion standby
loan deal with Argentina and Fernandez, who is now the front-runner to
become president at the end of the year.
Fernandez has said he wants to renegotiate the IMF pact, which calls for
unpopular austerity measures that had damaged Macri’s popularity and
set him up for the drubbing he took in the primary vote.
A crunch point could be Sept. 15, when the next IMF loan tranche - about
$5.4 billion - is due to be disbursed.
“The re-profiling was already in the prices,” said Alberto Bernal, chief
emerging markets strategist at XP Investments in New York.
“I expect the IMF to be supportive of the decision, not least because the
IMF is already fully involved here,” he added. “As far as I understand this
transaction does not trigger CDS (credit default swaps) but will force
rating agencies to declare that Argentina is now once again in Selective
Default.”
Selective default is when a country fails to make payments on one debt
obligation but makes good on others.
Restructurings are a traumatic subject for voters who remember the
country’s 2001/2002 default, which punctuated an economic meltdown
that tossed millions of middle-class Argentines into poverty. Subsequent
mini defaults kept the country locked out of global capital markets for
years.
Macri prided himself on getting the country out of default early in his
administration and promised to reintegrate Argentina with the global
markets. But Macri overestimated his ability to attract the foreign direct
investment needed to provide Argentina with sustained economic
growth.
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Weakness in the peso has meanwhile damaged the government’s ability
to repay its dollar-denominated obligations.
The re-profiling will first apply to short-dated debt denominated in pesos as
well as dollars but issued under local law, Lacunza said. The measure will
require approval from Congress.
While markets understood the immediate action to be targeting short-
term domestic sovereign debt denominated in dollars or Argentinian
peso, it was still unclear exactly how international investors might be
affected.
Some investors welcomed Argentina’s efforts to tackle its debt burden.
“They haven’t got the money, so some adjustment is necessary,” said
Abhishek Kumar, lead emerging markets portfolio manager at State Street
Global Advisors.
“The measures they take are still unknown, but anything is good because
it realigns to the reality.”
<< Back to news headlines >>
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U.S. weekly jobless claims increase slightly Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits
rose moderately, pointing to sustained labour market strength despite
slowing economic growth.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 4,000 to a
seasonally adjusted 215,000 for the week ended Aug. 24, the Labour
Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show
2,000 more applications received than previously reported.
Last week’s increase in claims was in line with economists’ expectations.
The Labour Department said only claims for the Virgin Islands were
estimated last week.
The four-week moving average of initial claims, considered a better
measure of labour market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility,
slipped 500 to 214,500 last week.
Layoffs have remained low despite a protracted trade war between the
United States and China, which is crimping economic growth by
undercutting business investment and manufacturing.
But the pace of job growth has been slowing since 2018. The government
estimated last week that the economy created 501,000 fewer jobs in the
12 months through March 2019 than previously reported, the biggest
downward revision in the level of employment in a decade.
According to economists at JPMorgan, this meant that job growth over
that period averaged around 170,000 per month instead of 210,000. The
government will publish the revised payrolls data next February.
Still, the pace of employment gains remains well above the roughly
100,000 jobs needed per month to keep up with growth in the working-
age population. Sustained labour market strength is supporting the
economy through strong consumer spending.
For now, that is helping to calm concerns of a recession, which were
fanned by a sell-off on Wall Street and an inversion of the U.S. Treasury
yield curve.
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Thursday’s claims report also showed the number of people receiving
benefits after an initial week of aid increased 22,000 to 1.70 million for the
week ended Aug. 17. The four-week moving average of the so-called
continuing claims dipped 250 to 1.70 million.
The continuing claims data covered the week of the household survey
from which August’s unemployment rate will be calculated. The four-week
average of continuing claims was little changed between the July and
August survey periods, suggesting the jobless rate could hold steady at
3.7%.
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U.S. second-quarter GDP growth revised to 2.0% Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
The U.S. economy slowed a bit more than initially thought in the second
quarter as the strongest growth in consumer spending in 4-1/2 years was
offset by declining exports and a smaller inventory build.
Gross domestic product increased at a 2.0% annualized rate, the
Commerce Department said in its second reading of second-quarter GDP
on Thursday. That was revised down from the 2.1% pace estimated last
month. The economy grew at a 3.1% rate in the January-March quarter. It
expanded 2.6% in the first half of the year.
The downward revision was in line with economists’’ expectations.
The economic expansion, now in its 11th year, is under threat from the
Trump administration’s year-long trade war with China, which has
undercut business investment and manufacturing.
The deterioration in trade relations between the two economic giants has
roiled global stock markets and triggered an inversion of the U.S. Treasury
yield curve, fanning fears of a recession. While manufacturing and
housing data suggest the economy continued to slow early in the third
quarter, strong consumer spending, backed by the lowest unemployment
rate in nearly 50 years, has tempered some concerns about a downturn.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told a conference of central
bankers last week that the economy was in a “favourable place,” but
reiterated that the U.S. central bank would “act as appropriate” to keep
the economic expansion on track.
The Fed lowered its short-term interest rate by 25 basis points last month for
the first time since 2008, citing trade tensions and slowing global growth.
Financial markets have fully priced in another quarter-percentage-point
cut at the Fed’s Sept. 17-18 policy meeting.
The economy is also losing speed as the stimulus from the White House’s
$1.5 trillion tax-cut package and a government spending blitz fades.
Economists are forecasting growth this year around 2.5%, below the Trump
administration’s 3% target.
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When measured from the income side, the economy grew at a 2.1% rate
in the second quarter. Gross domestic income (GDI) increased at a 3.2%
pace in the January-March quarter.
The average of GDP and GDI, also referred to as gross domestic output
and considered a better measure of economic activity, rose at a 2.1%
rate last quarter, slowing from a 3.2% pace of growth in the first three
months of the year.
The income side of the growth ledger was supported by a rebound in
profits after two straight quarterly declines. After-tax profits without
inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment, which
correspond to S&P 500 profits, increased at a 4.8% rate after dropping
1.5% in the first quarter.
Growth in consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of
U.S. economic activity, surged at a 4.7% rate in the second quarter. That
was the fastest since the fourth quarter of 2014 and was a slight upward
revision from the 4.3% pace estimated last month.
The GDP report showed the trade deficit widened to $982.5 billion in the
second quarter, instead of $978.7 billion as reported last month. Trade cut
0.72 percentage point from GDP growth last quarter instead of 0.65
percentage point as previously reported.
U.S.-China trade tensions have caused wild swings in the trade deficit,
with exporters and importers trying to stay ahead of the tariff fight.
Growth in inventories was revised down to a $69.0 billion rate in the
second quarter from the previously estimated $71.7 billion pace.
Inventories chopped 0.91 percentage point from GDP growth last quarter,
instead of 0.86 percentage point as reported in July.
The slowdown in inventory accumulation reflects robust consumer
spending and an uncertain economic outlook.
Business investment declined at an unrevised 0.6% rate in the second
quarter, the first contraction since the first quarter of 2016. Growth in
government investment was revised down. Spending on homebuilding
contracted for a sixth straight quarter, the longest such stretch since the
Great Recession.
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Best Buy's annual sales outlook misses estimates as tariffs loom Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Best Buy Co Inc (BBY.N) forecast annual same-store sales below analysts’
estimates on Thursday, citing new U.S. tariffs set to be imposed on Chinese
imports, such as phones, video game consoles and other electronics.
Best Buy’s shares, which have lost about 10% of their value so far this
month, fell 5.4% to $65.30 in pre-market trade as consumer electronics
retailer also flagged concerns over uncertainty related consumer buying
behaviour in the second half of the year.
The company narrowed its full-year same-store sales forecast to a rise of
0.7% to 1.7%, from 0.5% to 2.5%. Analysts had expected a 2% increase.
President Donald Trump last week said U.S. tariffs on $250 billion worth of
Chinese imports would rise to 30% from the current 25% beginning Oct. 1.
While Best Buy has said those tariffs only affect about 7% of its cost of
goods sold, a planned 15% levy on a further $300 billion worth of Chinese
goods, would hit most of Best Buy’s bestselling products, such as cell
phones and laptops.
Trump announced the increase to 15% from 10% last Friday, with the first
tranche on over $125 billion of targeted goods including smart watches,
Bluetooth headphones and flat panel TVs, set to go into effect on Sept. 1.
Tariffs on the remainder of the $300 billion list that includes cell phones,
laptops, toys and clothing will kick in on Dec. 15, according to the U.S.
Trade Representative’s Office.
Best Buy’s overall same-store sales rose 1.6% in the second quarter ended
Aug. 3, missing analysts’ estimates of a 2.15% increase, according to IBES
data from Refinitiv.
Revenue rose to $9.54 billion from $9.38 billion, a touch below
expectations of $9.56 billion.
Excluding one-time items, the company earned $1.08 per share in the
second quarter, beating analysts’ estimates of 99 cents per share.
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Goldman Sachs, Point72 and others invest $40 million in Mexico's
Credijusto Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Point72 Ventures and others invested $40
million in a Mexico-based online lender called Credijusto.com, the
companies said on Thursday.
Founded in 2015, Credijusto has originated $90 million in loans and
equipment leases to small businesses like dry cleaners and mechanics
across Mexico, according to a statement from the company and
investors.
This is the first time Goldman’s Principal Strategic Investments group and
the venture capital arm of Steve Cohen’s investment firm Point72 have
invested in Mexico’s fintech market, and it is a sign they see potential for
growth.
Mexico has experienced a steady rise in start-ups aiming to use
technology and mobile phones to sell financial services to poor and
middle-class customers who do not use traditional banks.
About 42 million Mexicans do not have bank accounts because they
charge steep fees, there is not a branch nearby or because some banks
have lost public trust due to their past scandals.
Mexico’s government has said it is looking to fintechs to play a major role
in increasing financial inclusion in the country.
Credijusto is tackling the financial inclusion gap for small and medium-
sized companies, which comprise 99% of Mexico’s businesses but get just
15% of loans issued by major banks, according to the statement.
“Here’s this big market that’s largely under-served and inefficient, and this
modern lender can make sense of data that’s available,” Pete Casella, a
partner at Point72 Ventures, said in an interview. “If you can better
underwrite a customer and do it faster then you’re going to capture
share.”
Companies may wait five months to get approved for a loan by a
Mexican bank, and interest rates may be five times as much as those
offered by U.S. banks, according to the statement.
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Credijusto speeds up the process by checking a company’s
creditworthiness by looking at invoices it filed with the federal tax
authorities.
Using traditional underwriting methods and key invoice data, Credijusto
can view a company’s spending and income patterns and business
partners before deciding on issuing the loan, which typically ranges from
$20,000 to $500,000.
“This financing round is a validation of Credijusto’s rapid growth ... and will
further support our aim of building a world-class tech company that
empowers (companies) through access to credit,” said Credijusto co-
Chief Executive Allan Apoj.
The company plans to use the money, in part, to launch a credit card
offering.
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Tencent scraps plan to invest $150 million in Chinese education firm VIPKid Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Tencent (0700.HK) has shelved plans to invest about $150 million to lead a
fresh fundraising round for a Chinese education firm VIPKid, two people
familiar with the matter said, as Beijing moved to tighten oversight of
online education platforms.
VIPKid dismissed the news as untrue, while Tencent did not respond to a
request for comment.
According to the people, the Chinese tech giant had given a verbal nod
for the investment and VIPKid had hoped this would help lure others to the
fundraising that would value the company at $4.5 billion prior to the
financing round.
But Tencent scrapped the plans after Beijing last month issued regulations
targeting online education platforms, stipulating teachers need to hold
valid teaching qualifications and the firms must publicize information such
as foreign teachers’ certificates and work experience, one person said.
VIPKid had initially wanted to raise $500 million but later lowered its target
to more than $150 million, the people added.
Tencent’s move to scrap the investment indicates how, amid stricter
regulations, investors may be getting cold feet about China’s online
education industry, which has seen a proliferation of new start-ups on
strong demand for extracurricular training from parents.
The education market for kindergarten to 12 years of age in China is
forecast to be worth 64.88 billion yuan ($9.15 billion) this year, according
to research firm iResearch.
Beijing-based VIPKid is an online education platform that connects
children in China with native English-speaking teachers in the United
States and Canada for live video lessons. It was set up in 2013 and
employs more than 70,000 teachers.
In June last year, it raised $500 million from investors including Coatue
Management, Tencent and Sequoia Capital China, which valued VIPKid
at about 20 billion yuan ($2.8 billion).
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One of the sources said some of VIPKid’s investors had started to express
concerns about its ability to narrow losses and start turning a profit.
Chinese authorities are also increasing their scrutiny of the overall
education sector amid concerns over unqualified teachers and a push for
a “cleaner”, patriotic education system.
In August, lawyers, schools and teachers told Reuters that arrests and
deportations of foreign teachers in China have soared this year amid the
crackdown.
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China hopes U.S. will create conditions necessary for September trade
talks Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
China and the United States are discussing the next round of face-to-face
trade talks scheduled in September but hopes for progress hinge on
whether Washington can create favourable conditions, China’s
commerce ministry said on Thursday.
In the latest tit-for-tat escalation of the trade war between the world’s two
largest economies, U.S. President Donald Trump last Friday said he would
heap an additional duty of 5% on about $550 billion in targeted Chinese
goods.
The move came hours after China had unveiled retaliatory tariffs on $75-
billion worth of U.S. goods.
China hopes the United States can cancel the planned additional tariffs
to avoid an escalation in the trade war, its commerce ministry spokesman,
Gao Feng, told reporters on Thursday.
“The most important thing at the moment is to create necessary
conditions for both sides to continue negotiations,” he said during a
weekly briefing, adding that China was lodging “solemn representation”
with the United States.
For two years, the Trump administration has sought to pressure China to
eliminate what it calls unfair trade practices and make sweeping changes
to its policies on intellectual property protection, forced transfers of
technology to Chinese firms, industrial subsidies and market access.
But China has constantly denied such accusations, vowing to fight back
in kind and criticizing U.S. measures as protectionist.
Gao said China had “ample” countermeasures to retaliate against the
planned U.S. tariffs, but talks in the current circumstances should focus on
whether the tariffs could be cancelled.
He did not answer directly when asked if his remarks suggested China
would not retaliate against the latest U.S. tariff threat.
China has repeatedly said it would have no choice but to retaliate if the
United States followed through on its threat.
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On Monday, Trump predicted a trade deal with China, saying he
believed it was sincere about wanting to reach a deal, citing what he
called increasing economic pressure on Beijing and job losses there.
Trump cited as a positive sign comments by Vice Premier Liu He, who has
been leading the talks with Washington, that China was willing to resolve
the dispute through “calm” negotiations.
He repeated his assertion that Chinese officials had contacted U.S. trade
counterparts overnight, offering to resume negotiations, a statement that
China declined to confirm.
Gao also declined to provide any detail when asked if there had been a
call this week between Beijing and Washington.
“As far as I know, both trade teams have maintained effective
communication,” he said.
In July 2018, the U.S.-China trade dispute boiled over in tariffs on hundreds
of billions of dollars’ worth of each other’s goods and threatens to engulf
all trade between the countries, putting global growth at risk.
“We hope the United States will show sincerity and concrete actions,”
Gao said.
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Japan allows first exports of hydrogen fluoride to South Korea since export
curbs Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Japan has approved shipment of hydrogen fluoride used in making
computer chips to South Korea for the first time since imposing tighter
export controls in July, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters.
In July, Japan imposed export curbs on hydrogen fluoride and two other
materials used to make chips and screens to South Korea, deepening a
row rooted in Japan’s wartime history.
Japan has since allowed exports of photoresists, one of the other two
items under export curbs, twice.
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Yen set for biggest monthly rise since May as sentiment fragile Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
The Japanese yen was set for its biggest monthly rise since May on Friday
as risk appetite remained on the back foot with investors sceptical of a
breakthrough in the U.S.-China trade war any time soon.
“Investors are still concerned about the trade war and there is little
optimism we will see a substantial breakthrough in negotiations,” said
Esther Maria Reichelt, an FX strategist at Commerzbank.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration on Wednesday made official
its extra 5% tariff on $300 billion in Chinese imports and set collection dates
of Sept. 1 and Dec. 15.
Against the greenback JPY=EBS, the yen edged 0.2% lower to 106.28 but
was on track for a 2.5% rise against the dollar for the month of August, its
biggest such rise in three months.
The dollar firmed broadly against its rivals after China said it won’t
immediately retaliate against the latest round of tariff increases by the
United States.
Against a basket of currencies .DXY, the dollar rose slightly to 98.29.
Spreads between 10-year U.S. Treasury debt and comparable two-year
bond yields were at minus 3 bps, the lowest since May 2007.
Sterling remained in the spotlight after Prime Minister Boris Johnson's plan
to suspend parliament raised the odds of a no-deal Brexit. The British
currency GBP=D3 edged quarter of percent lower to $1.2183,
approaching a January 2017 low below $1.2015.
China's onshore spot yuan CNY=CFXS eased slightly, weaker for an 11th
straight session, although a firmer-than-expected central bank fixing
helped stem deeper losses
Elsewhere, the kiwi NZD=D3 was off 0.3% at $0.6318 after touching its
lowest since September 2015 at $0.6311.
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Micro Focus says most of sales shortfall will drop through to earnings Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Micro Focus Intl (MCRO.L) said it had little scope to mitigate a cut in its
revenue guidance before its Oct. 31 year-end as its cost cutting programs
were already well advanced, meaning most of the shortfall would fall
through to the core earnings line.
Chief Executive Stephen Murdoch said it had seen deals in its pipeline slip
in the last six weeks, and it was not certain it could increase the run rate to
make its full-year guidance.
“We had a very weak close to July; we didn’t lose business but it slipped,”
he said. “We still have a pipeline that could put us in original range, but
we don’t feel it is credible that we could close sufficient of that.”
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French economy shrugs off euro zone slowdown in second quarter Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
France’s economy expanded faster than expected in the second
quarter, proving - for now - to be impervious to the slowdown taking hold
of the broader euro zone, official data showed on Thursday.
The euro zone’s second biggest economy grew 0.3% in the quarter,
unchanged from the previous three months, the INSEE statistics agency
said, revising the figure up from a provisional estimate of 0.2%.
The revision means that France outpaced the broader euro zone where
the economic output of the overall bloc slowed to 0.2% from 0.3% three
months earlier.
The relative resilience of the French economy contrasts sharply with the
export-dependent German economy, which is teetering on the brink of
recession.
Germany, the euro zone’s biggest economy, contracted 0.1% in the
second quarter as global trade tensions and uncertainty over Britain’s exit
from the European Union took their toll.
While the German slowdown is fuelling debate there about the need for a
jolt of economic stimulus, France is already receiving an exceptional
injection of public money into the economy this year.
President Emmanuel Macron brought forward planned tax breaks and
incentives for companies to give workers bonuses together worth more
than 10 billion euros ($11.14 billion).
Macron rushed to pump the extra cash into the economy at the end of
last year after facing violent anti-government “yellow vest” protests
triggered in part by frustration over dwindling household purchasing
power.
However, so far the extra cash has not translated into higher consumer
spending, although it is helping to keep household confidence at
elevated levels despite the deteriorating economic outlook abroad.
INSEE said consumer spending growth - traditionally the motor of the
broader economy - eased to 0.2% from 0.3% in the first quarter.
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Higher inflation ate into consumers’ purchasing power, as households’
disposable income fell 0.2% after surging 0.8% in the first quarter, boosted
by the package of tax breaks and bonus scheme.
The slower consumer spending was partially offset by a pick-up in business
investment, which grew 0.9% after 0.6% in the first quarter as corporate
profit margins increased to 33.1% - the highest since mid-2008 - from 32.6%.
Meanwhile, the economy has started the third quarter on a firm footing
with INSEE reporting that consumer spending grew 0.4% in July from June,
against economists’ expectations for an increase of 0.3%.
Data earlier this week showed consumer and business confidence held
steady in August, defying the gloom setting in much of the euro zone.
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German inflation eases again unexpectedly Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
German annual inflation slowed unexpectedly for the second
consecutive month in August, data showed on Thursday, likely lending
support to doves among ECB policymakers who want to inject more
monetary stimulus into the single currency bloc.
German consumer prices, harmonized to make them comparable with
inflation data from other European Union countries, rose by 1.0% year-on-
year after an increase of 1.1% in the previous month, the Federal Statistics
Office said.
The August reading undershot a Reuters forecast for 1.2% and marked the
fourth month in a row that the inflation figure remained well below the
European Central Bank’s target level of close to but below 2% for the euro
zone as a whole.
On the month, EU-harmonized prices fell by 0.1% after an increase of 0.4%
in the previous month. The market had expected an unchanged reading.
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Italy's Conte gets green light to form new government Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Reuters
Italy’s president asked Giuseppe Conte to head up a coalition of the 5-
Star Movement and opposition Democratic Party (PD) on Thursday, a
move could that could improve in Italy’s fractious relations with the
European Union.
Markets welcomed the quick end to a three-week political crisis triggered
by League leader Matteo Salvini, who pulled his hard-right party out of its
governing alliance with 5-Star after weeks of public bickering.
Salvini had wanted fresh polls to capitalize on his party’s success in
European elections but his plan backfired as 5-Star and the PD, lagging
the League in opinion surveys, set aside their long-standing antipathy to
form a government.
Italy’s 10-year borrowing costs fell to an all-time low at auction on
Thursday on the news as the prospect of a snap election retreated.
Conte, who told reporters he would present a cabinet list to the president
in the coming days, said his priority was to draft a 2020 budget.
“We must immediately get to work and draw up a budget to avert the
VAT hike, protects savers and offers solid prospects for economic growth
and social development,” he said.
VAT will rise from Jan. 1 unless the government can find 23 billion euros
($26 billion) elsewhere.
The creation of a new government is not yet a done deal, however, and
the two parties still need to agree a shared policy platform and divide up
cabinet posts.
In a further complication, 5-Star has promised to put the deal with the PD
to an online vote of its members. Many 5-Star supporters oppose a pact
with the centre-left and a ‘yes’ vote is not a certainty.
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Private sector lending fastest in three years -number of agri loans fall – Half
Year Report Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Kaieteur News
Lending to the private sector for the first half of the year was the fastest in
the last three years.
According to the Ministry of Finance’s half-year report, there was a
decline in the first six months of lending to the agriculture sector.
There were also more loans for the purchase of vehicles, the report said.
At the end of the first half of 2019, net domestic credit of the banking
system grew by 14.1 percent over the same period last year, to $33.4
billion, supported by an expansion in both private and public sector
credit.
“Total credit to the private sector increased by 5.7 percent to $238.8
billion over the review period, faster than the past three years. This was
supported by an expansion in loans and advances to individuals and
businesses, except for businesses in the agriculture sector,” the report
disclosed.
The Ministry explained that the decline in this sector, of 2.1 percent, to
$13.1 billion resulted mainly from a contraction in lending for sugarcane
and livestock production of 35.4 percent and 19.8 percent, to $0.9 billion
and $1.4 billion, respectively.
However, in contrast, credit to all other sectors recorded growth.
“Credit to the mining and quarrying, manufacturing, and services sectors
increased by 6 percent, 0.5 percent, and 7.2 percent, to $5.2 billion, $26.1
billion, and $70.5 billion, respectively. The increase in the mining and
quarry sector was attributed solely to growth in lending to industries
outside of the bauxite sub-sector, whereas the expansion in the
manufacturing sector resulted from mixed outturns in the sub-categories.”
Significantly, there was a sizeable increase of $1.4 billion and $0.5 billion in
the beverages, food and tobacco, and other construction and
engineering sub-categories, which the Ministry explained was partially
offset by a notable decline of $1.2 billion and $0.5 billion in lending to the
other manufacturing and rice milling industries, respectively.
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“The outturn in lending to the services subcategories, on the other hand,
was mostly positive, with major contributors such as the “other services”,
distribution, entertainment and catering, and education subcategories
increasing by $2.2 billion, $1.7 billion, $0.8 billion and $0.7 billion,
respectively.”
One area that would be speaking of confidence would be lending to
households.
This area recorded robust growth of 13.5 percent, to reach $32 billion –
stronger than the past two years and was supported by an increase in
loans and advances for all purposes, with the exception of other durable
goods and travel.
“Moreover, lending for housing, motor cars and other purposes expanded
by $1.4 billion, $1.3 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively. Of the other major
categories of credit, which include real estate mortgages, credit
instruments and “other credit”, only the former two increased, by 5.7
percent and 2.8 percent, to $84.5 billion and $3.1 billion, respectively.”
As expected, there was an expansion in real estate mortgages, which
surpassed the half-year growth rate in each of the past three years,
resulting from an increase in lending of 5 percent and 14.7 percent for
private dwellings, and industrial and commercial properties, respectively.
“Further, growth in credit instruments was solely supported by increased
lending for credit cards, while the decline in the “other credit” category of
8.5 percent to $4.1 billion, resulted from a contraction of 8.4 percent and
10.7 percent in securities, and shares and other equity, respectively.”
Total liquid assets of the commercial banks expanded by 6.2 percent to
$127.7 billion.
Total reserves deposited with the Bank of Guyana were $75.3 billion, 0.7
percent higher than the level at the end of June 2018.
“The required statutory reserves of the commercial banks were $48.2
billion at the end of June 2019, creating an excess over the minimum
requirement of $27.1 billion.” The news of the performance would not be
totally unexpected with increased activities in the oil and gas arena
ahead of first oil.
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Encouraging signs in Aurora underground mining Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Kaieteur News
After securing clearance from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
and the Guyana Geology and Mines Commission (GGMC), Guyana
Goldfields Incorporated, the Canadian owner of Aurora Gold Mines, has
begun what is being described as successful underground explorations at
its North-West Mazaruni location.
Following a tour of the mine earlier on Tuesday, August 27, Senior Vice-
President, Strategy and Corporate Affairs, Perry Holloway told the
Department of Public Information (DPI), that the EPA’s clearance gives
the company up to 2,500 metres of underground exploration, plus test
mining for 300,000 tons of ore.
“We have started and have gone down a couple of hundred meters;
maybe three or four hundred metres right now. Everything so far is going
great, the rocks are cool, some people thought it would be hot, there is
very little water, some people thought there would be a lot of water as we
are very close to the Cuyuni River, none of that is true.”
Holloway said side drilling would begin soon to determine where and how
much gold was at the location.
Minister of Natural Resources, Raphael Trotman, during the tour, said he
was happy with the current progress reports from the company.
He had previously visited the camp with a South African delegation back
in March this year before exploration began.
“This is historic for Guyana. We have had underground mining in Guyana
before, I’m not saying this is the first, but certainly it is the only company
doing it right now,” Minister Trotman stated.
Adding that this was a great opportunity for Guyanese to see and
understand the functions of an underground mine.
The Natural Resources Minister also stated that he was especially pleased
to know that the company got its exploration clearance from both the
GGMC and EPA.
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“I’m happy to see that issues and some challenges with GGMC and EPA
have been resolved and the company has been able to start the
exploratory aspect of the digging and hopefully things progressed and a
full mining permit will be given by both the GGMC and EPA,” he said.
Aurora Gold Mines is one of the largest gold mines in Guyana and the
world, with an estimated reserve of 6.54 million ounces of gold.
With respect to the underground mining exploration, $5Billion (US$25M) is
expected from the first three years of exploration. (DPI)
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GTM records $324M after-tax profit Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Guyana Chronicle
THE Guyana and Trinidad Mutual Life Insurance Company (GTM) after-tax
profit is $324.8M for 2018 as compared to $250.9M for 2017 which
represents an increase of $73.8M or 29.45 per cent.
This was disclosed by Chairman of the Board of Directors, R. L. Singh,
during the company’s presentation of the 139 Annual Report at its Annual
General Meeting which was held Wednesday evening at the
Georgetown Club.
The chairman also announced the appointment of certified accountant
and CEO of Digicel, Gregory Dean, to the Board of Directors with effect
from December 1st, 2018.
In giving a review of the annual report, the Chairman said the total
comprehensive income for the year, net of tax, increased from $976.8M to
$2.236 billion as of December 31, 2018. This, Singh said, is a direct result of
the increase share prices of the company in which investments were
made in Banks DIH limited and Republic Bank Guyana Limited.
He said the performance overview notwithstanding ongoing challenges,
strong competition, rate selling, and sluggish economic conditions in the
eastern Caribbean, GTM has recorded a growth in insurance premiums of
$63.5M and $75.8M net of reinsurance premiums.
Further, of the $2.57 billion of gross insurance premiums, the Guyana
operations contributed $1.6 billion or 64.5 per cent followed by Grenada
with $456M or 17.6 per cent; St Lucia with $371M or 14.5 per cent and St
Vincent and the Grenadines with $86M or 3.4 per cent.
“The reinsurance market remained soft, that is, there is excess capacity
available when compared to demand, as a result, your company has
been able to secure lower reinsurance premiums rate as is reflected in the
lower reinsurance premiums paid in 2018 when compared to 2017,” he
said.
Meanwhile, he said availability to viable medium and long-term
investments remains elusive in Guyana and owes subscriptions to bonds
and treasure-bills in the eastern Caribbean.
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He explained that excess liquidity in the financial systems have driven
down returns for these types of investments which limits the company’s
ability to increase its investment portfolio.
The Chairperson said that there are other investment options; however,
prudence dictates that these should be avoided and GTM is cognizant of
the need to seek out lucrative investments and will do so once reassured
that such is in the best interest of the company.
He said GTM owns millions of shares in a number of blue-chip companies
in Guyana and has benefitted substantially from recent increases in share
values.
“The company has every intention of holding these shares into the
foreseeable future and will seek to acquire more when they become
available,” the Chairman said.
During the year 2018, he said GTM wrote new business amounting to $46
billion with an annualized premium of $175M, representing an increase of
39 per cent and 13 per cent respectively when compared to 2017.
At the end of the year, he said the total business amounted to $397 billion
with sums insured and an annualize premium of $1.8 billion.
Gross revenue on Motor Insurance, he said, totalled $1.426 billion at the
end of 2018 when compared with $1.104 billion for 2017, in such a
competitive market a marginal increase is noteworthy.
At the end of the financial year, he said claims amounted to $637M when
compared to $666M in 2017, a reduction of four per cent.
“Your company continues to engage in prudent underwriting and claims
management to ensure, attract and retain business,” he said.
When looking at the cash and profit, he announced the company will be
making a declaration of cash-profit return of 50 per cent of premium on
profit policies.
As of December 31, 2018, he said GTM asset base grew by $2.17 billion to
$9.96 billion, representing a growth of 28 per cent over the previous
financial year which was as a result of increases in share prices of local
companies in which GTM invested.
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Additionally, 13 children of GTM staff benefitted from bursaries while
several staff members were awarded for their contributions.
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Airbnb On Hunt for New Sign-Ups Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Tribune 242
ONLINE vacation home marketplace Airbnb is encouraging locals to tap
into the tourism market through the launch of Airbnb Experiences in The
Bahamas.
Yesterday the company said the new initiative "provides a unique
opportunity for local culture curators to share their knowledge of the
islands and what it means to be uniquely Bahamian with guests from
around the world."
"Experiences align with Airbnb's mission of creating a world where anyone
can belong anywhere. They also ensure that as tourism becomes a larger
portion of economies around the world, local people and the
communities they live in are the primary beneficiaries," the company said
in a release yesterday.
"Through the Experiences platform, locals offering a one-of-a-kind
experience can start hosting with no upfront costs. Airbnb provides each
Experiences host with their own page that travellers can use to book their
activity. Airbnb handles payment processing, provides 24-hour customer
service, and Experience Protection Insurance - up to $1m in insurance
coverage for most activities. In exchange, Airbnb charges a 20 percent
service fee on Experiences sales.
According to Airbnb, in 2018, the number of seats booked on Airbnb
Experiences increased nearly sevenfold, year over year. In 2016,
Experiences launched with roughly 500 experiences. Today, over 40,000
Experiences are available around the world.
"The growth of Experiences offers new ways for small entrepreneurs to
market their time, experiences and talents. In the past, it was difficult for
individuals to market and sell independent experiences to travellers.
Airbnb has given entrepreneurs access to their global network, and while
the average person earned $2,500 per Experience listed in 2018, some of
Airbnb's top hosts are earning more than $300,000 in a year from hosting
Experiences," said Airbnb.
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It added; "In recent months, Airbnb has been promoting Experiences to
locals on the island, with an aim to increase the supply of Experiences on
the platform. In June, the platform hosted an Entrepreneurship Lab, an
Office of Healthy Tourism initiative held in conjunction with the Tourism
Development Corporation that attracted dozens of potential Experiences
hosts. Then on August 9, Airbnb provided additional one-on-one support
for entrepreneurs interested in becoming Experiences hosts by providing
office hours at the Bahamas Hotel and Tourism Association. From the
response generated at these two events, it is evident that local hosts are
eager to share their knowledge and expertise of the islands through
diverse, people-powered experiences that are local, authentic,
sustainable, and drive economic growth in the community.
Some of the entrepreneurs who launched Experiences after attending the
Entrepreneurship lab include Chiccharney Farm to Table Experience
which offers homemade farm to table products including ice cream,
juices, jams, and locally brewed "bush" teas; and Educulture, by Arlene
and Silbert Ferguson which provides an interactive experience for guests
to discover and explore the spirit of Junkanoo throughout the year.
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Delta Going Daily with Boston-Nassau Schedule Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Tribune 242
DELTA Airlines yesterday announced that starting in December it will
expand flights between Boston Logan International Airport (BOS) and
Lynden Pindling Nassau International Airport (NAS) from Saturday-only to
daily.
The daily seasonal service will start December 21 and will be available
until April 30, 2020 and will operate with a Boeing 737-800.
Delta, Boston’s number one global carrier, has more than doubled the
number of destinations and nearly doubled the number of departures it
offers since 2015, including new twice daily service to Miami launching this
winter and a UK expansion coming in 2020.
“We are thrilled that Delta is expanding its current once-weekly service to
daily, non-stop service from Boston to Nassau,” said Joy Jibrilu, Director
General of Bahamas Ministry of Tourism & Aviation.
“This is a testament to the great synergy between our two cities and the
convenience of this flight – Bostonians can fly away to paradise in around
four hours – and we are so excited to welcome Boston-area travellers
seven days a week to experience the beauty, culture and spirit of The
Bahamas.”
Delta yesterday announced it will offer more flights to top Caribbean
destinations beginning this winter, with additional service between four of
its US hubs and San Juan, Puerto Rico; Nassau and Santo Domingo,
Dominican Republic.
“Responding to increasing demand from our customers, we look forward
to adding more options between the U.S. and the leading business and
leisure destinations in the Caribbean,” said Luciano Macagno, Managing
Director – Latin America & Caribbean at Delta.
“Just as importantly, our commitment goes beyond our powerful network,
as we continue to invest in innovation and service to provide the best
customer experience.”
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$28 billion in debt, Odebrecht presents restructuring plan Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Newsroom Panama
The Odebrecht holding company, $28 billion in debt. Has presented its
judicial reorganization plan to the creditors, proposing that they
exchange their accounts receivable for payment values based on the
company's future results.
In a statement, the executive director, Luciano Guidolin, said that a
reduction in the debt resulting from the agreement will guarantee
"productive activity, preservation of employment and creation of value
for all concerned."
The holding company, the core of the conglomerate that extends from
construction (which includes Constructora Odebrecht) to oil and gas,
declared bankruptcy in Brazil on June 17. On Monday, August 26, the
conglomerate requested that the judicial protection obtained in Brazil be
extended to the United States, where the procedure is known as Chapter
15, in reference to the chapter of the law dealing with said procedure.
Chapter 15 protects assets abroad, thus avoiding actions of creditors
while the company judicially executes its recovery plan.
This is the largest corporate bankruptcy in Brazil and Latin America, above
the $19 billion debt that the telecommunications company Oi had in
2016.
Odebrecht, which sought to restructure about $ 1.3 billion of its own debt,
was affected by tensions in early June when the group's ethanol unit
sought bankruptcy protection and talks with LyondellBasell Industries NV
about the Braskem, SA petrochemical unit collapse.
The conglomerate has been struggling to recover from the consequences
of the Lava Jato corruption investigation in Brazil. The investigation, which
began in 2014, halted the construction industry, as access to government
projects was cut and executives were jailed.
In Panama, it gained billions of dollars in contracts from successive
governments for projects like Metro Lines 1 and 2, and the rejuvenation of
Colon
Investigations into some $90 million in bribes to high profile Panamanians,
including the Ricardo Martinelli siblings, have been stymied by the courts.
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Odebrecht paid millions in fines in other Latin American countries,
including Panama, and its portfolio of new projects has declined, which
adds to the cash crisis.
The bonds issued by Odebrecht have long been traded at difficult levels,
and the perpetual notes are now quoted at about 6 cents per dollar.
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NGL falls $0.39 Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Trinidad Express Newspaper
Overall market activity resulted from trading in 12 securities of which four
advanced, two declined and six traded firm.
The Composite Index declined by 0.97 points (0.07 per cent) to close at
1,384.03. The All T& T Index advanced by 1.41 points (0.08 per cent) to
close at 1,757.48. The Cross Listed Index declined by 0.46 points (0.34 per
cent) to close at 136.84. The SME Index remained at 84.00.
Trading activity on the first-tier market registered a volume of 516,864
shares crossing the floor of the Exchange valued at $2,911,947.28. JMMB
Group was the volume leader with 434,303 shares changing hands for a
value of $910,936.80, followed by TTNGL with a volume of 52,787 shares
being traded for $1,346,144.30. Sagicor Financial Corporation contributed
9,000 shares with a value of $94,050, while First Citizens Bank added 8,223
shares valued at $329,084.46.
First Citizens Bank registered the day's largest gain, increasing $0.31 to end
the day at $40.02. Conversely, TTNGL registered the day's largest decline,
falling $0.39 to close at $25.50.
CLICO Investment Fund was the only active security on the mutual fund
market, posting a volume of 11,571 shares valued at $279,906.05. CLICO
Investment Fund remained at $24.19. Calypso Macro Index Fund
remained at $15.50.
The second-tier market did not witness any activity. The SME market did
not witness any activity. CinemaOne remained at $8.40.
The USD equity market did not witness any activity. MPC Caribbean Clean
Energy remained at US$1.
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PM Browne eager to open first residence hall at Five Islands Thursday 29th August, 2019 – The Daily Observer
While the final touches on the new University of the West Indies (UWI) Five
Islands campus are being carried out ahead of the September 3rd
opening, discussions are underway to establish the campus’ first dormitory
within its first two years of operation.
During Monday’s press conference, UWI’s Vice Chancellor, Professor Sir
Hilary Beckles, told reporters that he and Prime Minister Gaston Browne
spoke about this being realised within the first few years.
“I told the Prime Minister this morning, ‘wouldn’t it be wonderful if we
could have our dormitories constructed in the first five years’, and he was
flabbergasted! He said, ‘are you speaking about the first year’?
“We know that the Prime Minister moves very quickly and he gave me the
assurance that we are going to have our dormitories certainly within that
period, but he will be pushing to have those dormitories up and running
within the first two years,” the UWI professor said.
Sir Hilary also reiterated the reduction in financial costs for Antiguan and
Barbudan students and parents that will accompany the opening of the
UWI campus.
“The vast majority of Antiguans can now jump in their car, get in a
minibus, go down to Five Islands and get their degree; and that will be a
much cheaper proposition for the vast majority of Antiguans than to jump
on LIAT, go down the islands, stay in dormitories and live in economies with
higher costs.
“I have seen OECS students having to struggle with selling lands and
mortgaging assets to raise cash; it is very difficult. So that elite of OECS
students that travel across the region, we bless them, we need them, but
we are also aware that they do not reflect the masses of people who
cannot afford to jump on LIAT, to stay in dormitories, and to give up their
jobs to get their degree,” he stated.
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Key services will be up to standard at UWI Five Islands Campus – Sir Hilary
Beckles Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – The Daily Observer
It’s a given that topping the list of concerns for students who will be
attending the University of the West Indies’ (UWI) fourth landed campus at
Five Islands would be security, reliable Internet service and a modern
library.
Speaking at Monday’s press conference at the Ministry of Education, Vice
Chancellor of the UWI, Professor Sir Hilary Beckles reassured students that
the university will continue to work on these areas, particularly Internet
service, until it is up to standard.
Professor Beckles revealed that an IT specialist has been brought in from
the Mona campus to work on the Internet infrastructure at the Five Islands
campus “until it is, to his satisfaction, up and running”.
Sir Hilary also noted that further improvements and investments in the
network infrastructure will be made as the technology advances.
Also, recognizing that it will be vital for students to have reliable Internet
for various reasons, not least of which will be to get their assignments and
to access the online UWI library system, Sir Hilary stated that the
development of the UWI Five Islands on-site library will be done in phases.
“There are going to be three levels which we will be tackling this … we
have a facility at the campus where we are developing a live physical
material capacity and that will clearly take some time to develop.
“It takes a while to build up a library as a physical plan, but the trend in
global undergraduate studies is really online libraries and we have put in
place the technology at Five Islands to allow for access, not only to UWI
libraries, but to other databases, to other sources of material; so there will
be no resource shortage for Five Islands students who are going to be
collecting data and completing their work,” Professor Beckles said.
The Vice Chancellor also addressed the issue of security on the campus,
which has been and continues to be an issue for students at the other
landed campuses.
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“In the area of security, we will have to increase our security complement
and that will be done. We have a culture of security on all of the
campuses, we have ratios, we have a model—the number of the guards
per students … so the security matter will be dealt with and handled,” he
said.
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Dominica’s recovery efforts highlighted at World Council Credit Union
Summit Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Dominica News Online
The World Council of Credit Unions in collaboration with the Caribbean
Confederation of Credit Unions recently welcomed more than 2,000
Credit Union professionals from 61 countries to the Atlantis Resort in the
Bahamas for the annual conference of credit unions from all over the
world.
The World Credit Union Conference is the premier global event for credit
unions and financial cooperatives – with the most take-home value.
Attendees from around the globe included board members, CEO’s,
executive directors and senior-level management. This year a contingent
from Dominica consisted of twenty-eight (28) managers, volunteers and
staff of the various credit unions.
WCUC 2019 featured four world-renowned keynote speakers, along with
25 diverse breakout presentations on issues related to leadership, cyber
security, technology, regulations, AML, the global economy and more.
Dominica featured prominently at this year’s summit as two credit union
leaders from the movement were featured. Mr. Almer Irish, Chief Executive
Officer of the National Co-operative Credit Union Ltd. participated in a
panel discussion on the topic “Together Better- Small Credit Unions
Collaborate for Innovation and Efficiency,” where he highlighted the
unique collaboration opportunities for smaller credit unions.
Mr. Phoenix Belfield, General Manager of the Dominica Co-operative
Societies League Ltd. was the keynote speaker at the Champions
Celebration for the Worldwide Foundation’s launch of Project Storm
Break, a new initiative aimed at addressing the expediency of relief aid to
affected territories in the aftermath of a natural disaster. This Fund-raising
event surpassed the projected goal of US$100,000. Dominica benefitted
from WOCCU’s fund raising efforts post Hurricane Maria.
The President of the DCSLL Mrs. Josephine Dublin presented awards to key
contributors to the Dominica’s recovery post Hurricane Maria. The
President remarked “The Dominica credit union movement’s recovery was
fast tracked because of your generosity and timely financial and
technical interventions. The actions of your Leagues and Affiliates reiterate
the fact that there are no physical frontiers that can hinder co-operation
among cooperatives”
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The Dominica League President also signed an agreement for co-
operation between the credit union movements of Dominica and
Anguilla. This agreement is aimed at facilitating an improvement in cross
border transacting between Dominican diasporans living in Anguilla as
well as cooperation between the two credit union movements.
Another highlight of the Summit was the Diversity and Inclusion(D&I)
Program at WCUC 2019 which offered opportunities for both learning and
networking. It combined the previously separate Global Women’s
Leadership Network (GLWN) and World Council Young Credit Union
Professional (WYCUP) Forum events. The D&I Program is dedicated to
advancing women and young leaders worldwide and leverages
opportunities presented by the World Credit Union Conference to
promote professional development throughout the conference week.
The CCCU also held its 48th Annual General Meeting with the entire
executive re-elected for another year un-opposed.
The 2019 World Credit Union Conference concluded with a Caribbean
themed closing party as the finishing touches on a spectacular four-day
event at the Atlantis Resort. The Dominica contingent presented a cultural
piece featuring the Heel and Toe Dance as well as a musical rendition of
“Merci Bon Dieu.”
The event was held from July 28-31.
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Economy grew by 1.0% for April to June quarter – PIOJ Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Jamaica Observer
The Jamaican economy grew by an estimated 1.0 per cent in the April to
June 2019 quarter compared with the corresponding quarter of 2018.
The Planning Institute of Jamaica (PIOJ), is reporting that this out-turn
extends the positive growth trend to 18 consecutive quarters, that is, four
and a half years.
Speaking at the PIOJ's quarterly press briefing on the performance of the
macroeconomy for the first quarter of the financial year on Monday
(August 26), Director General, Dr Wayne Henry disclosed that the services
industry, grew by 1.4per cent while the goods-producing industry was flat,
recording 0.0per cent.
The quarter largely reflected increased activity at some industrial plants
such as the Petrojam refinery, increased external demand, which drove
output in some export industries such as the Hotels & Restaurants and
increased domestic for goods and services driven by the higher levels of
employment.
Dr Henry pointed out that there was an estimated growth in Building
Construction, reflective of the continuation of work started in previous
quarters, as well as new building activities which commenced during the
quarter.
These include 38 per cent increase in the number of housing starts by the
National Housing Trust (NHT) to 999 units, relative to the corresponding
quarter of 2018; and a 26.7 per cent increase in the stock of commercial
bank loans and advances to $39.7 billion.
Dr Henry explained that “growth in the economy was, however,
negatively affected by drought conditions, which led to a 2.5per cent
contraction of the Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing industry. The winding-
down of several major infrastructure projects of the National Works
Agency (NWA) such as the Hagley Park and Constant Road projects led
to a reduction in expenditures by 28.2per cent to $3.6 billion.”
UPGRADING WORK PAYING OFF
Growth in the Services industry reflected higher real value added in all
industries.
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“This was influenced by electricity expenditure which was down 11.0per
cent to $2.5 billion, arising from efficiencies at the Old Harbour power
plant, which was commissioned last year. Continual upgrading of water
supply facilities led to an increase in expenditure of 4.5per cent to $921.7
million,” Dr Henry explained
Transport, Storage & Communication grew by an estimated 1.4per cent,
influenced by a 6.1per cent increase in total air passenger movement,
which also impacted on visitor expenditure, which increased by 10.2per
cent to US$852.7 million.
The Wholesale & Retail Trade; Repair & Installation of Machinery (WRTRIM)
industry grew by an estimated 1.0per cent. Increased output in the
industry was supported by growth in real value by 12.2per cent of ABM &
point of sale transactions.
Also within that sector, Agriculture, Food, Beverages & Tobacco grew by
28.7per cent; Motor Vehicles, Auto Repairs & Accessories, were up 3.6per
cent; Minerals, Fuels, Lubricants and Petroleum Products improved by
3.1per cent, while there was a 1.4per cent increase in Pharmaceuticals,
Medical Goods and Cosmetics.
In the financial sector, the stock of commercial bank loans & advances to
the housing industry increased by 26.7per cent to $39.7 billion. Real value
added for the Hotels & Restaurants industry grew by an estimated 5.6per
cent, reflecting an increase in foreign national arrivals, which went up by
7.8per cent.
STOPOVER ARRIVALS CONTINUES TO GROW
Total stopover arrivals grew by 8.4per cent and reflected stronger
performance from Jamaica's main source markets with the United States
arrivals, up 11.8per cent to 489, 016 persons; Europe, up 2.4per cent to 75,
261 persons and Latin America, up 22.0per cent to 10, 285 persons.
Stopover arrivals from Canada, however, contracted by 4.8per cent to 85,
712 persons and cruise passenger arrivals, contracted by 23.2per cent.
The PIOJ boss pointed out that this resulted in a 3.0per cent reduction in
total visitor arrivals to 956,209 persons.
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PIOJ explains the latest poverty data showing an increase in 2017 Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Jamaica Observer
The Planning Institute of Jamaica (PIOJ) is seeking to set the records
straight regarding the latest data on poverty in the country, showing a 2.2
per cent jump in 2017 to 19.3 per cent of the population living below the
poverty line.
PIOJ Director General Dr Wayne Henry says the increase in poverty was
due to more people in the Kingston Metropolitan Area (KMA) and other
towns living below the poverty line. With regards to the rural areas, the
figure was flat at zero.
“The increase in poverty was driven mainly by lower consumption levels in
real terms, especially for individuals in Quintiles 1 and 2, which consist of
the two poorest households, compared with 2016. Households in the
wealthiest quintile increased their consumption over the same period, this
contributed to an increase in consumption inequality,” Dr Henry stated.
Speaking at the PIOJ's quarterly news briefing on Monday (August 26), Dr
Henry added: “The decline in consumption in real terms may be
attributed in part to a decline in the proportion of households in the KMA
and other towns receiving remittances from abroad. In addition, during
the period March to June 2017, the island experienced adverse weather
conditions, which affected the outputs of several industries.”
Concerning regional distribution, there were increases in the KMA of 5.2
percentage points to 17.1 per cent, reflecting a decline in mean per
capita consumption in real terms by 3.0 per cent, and other towns, which
recorded a 4.1 percentage point increase to 20.1 per cent.
“The increased prevalence of poverty recorded for other towns is the
second consecutive year of increase and highlights a worsened standard
of living in the region. In terms of consumption, the region recorded a 4.2
per cent decline in real mean per capita consumption expenditure,” the
PIOJ boss emphasised.
The poverty rates in rural areas, on the other hand, remained relatively
unchanged to register 20.1 per cent when compared with the 20.5 per
cent in 2016.
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When analysing the poverty out-turn for 2017, Dr Henry stressed that it
must be noted that election activities in 2016 may have played a role in
stimulating consumption, thereby influencing the reduction in poverty for
2016.
He made the point that it is an observed trend that poverty rates in
Jamaica generally decline during an election year, reflecting the impact
of the additional expenditure by campaigning political parties.
“For example, in 1993, which was an election year, was accompanied by
a 9.5 percentage point decrease in the poverty rate relative to the
previous year.
“Similarly, for election years, 1997 and 2007, the poverty rates dipped by
6.2 percentage points and 4.4 percentage points, respectively.”
Dr Henry observed that the anomaly shown in 2002, where the poverty
rate increased in that election year, reflected the impact of severe shocks
to the agriculture industry, which negatively impacted rural poverty rates.
Agriculture, which accounted for 7.0 per cent of GDP in 2017, contracted
by 3.5 per cent in real terms, being heavily impacted by above-average
rainfall across the island.
Dr Henry explained that “due to the country's high dependence on
output from the agricultural sector, the poverty rates are normally
influenced by the performance of this sector. This influence was seen in
the increase in the prevalence of poverty in the KMA and other towns.
However, due in part to the impact of the Flood Recovery Programme in
rural areas, the rates in the region remained relatively unchanged.”
Another explanation for the increase in poverty in 2017 was the fact that
there was a decline in the proportion of households receiving remittances
from abroad. Therefore, transfers, as measured by remittances, declined
significantly for poorer households in Quintiles 1 and 2 in both the KMA
and other towns.
The inflation rate was 5.2 per cent in 2017 compared with 1.7 per cent in
2016. This, according to Dr Henry, “indicated that households faced
higher prices to maintain the same standard of living. The increase in
prices faced by consumers stemmed primarily from an increase in energy
prices and a shortage of domestically produced food, due to extensive
damage from flood rains.”
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The PIOJ director general also sought to explain the lag in the data
coming in 2019 for 2017. He said the delay was based on the lateness of
data coming in for analysis and presentation.
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BOJ again lowers policy interest rate Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Jamaica Observer
The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) has again lowered its policy interest rate by 25
basis points to half-of-a-per cent, effective today.
The policy interest rate represents the interest rate offered by the central
bank on overnight placements. The rate has been gradually going down
over the past eight quarters, being reduced at least once since the start
of 2019.
In a news release yesterday, the BOJ said the reduction “is intended to
stimulate a faster expansion in private sector credit, which should lead to
higher economic activity, consistent with the inflation target”.
According to the BOJ, “this decision reflects the bank's assessment that
inflation is projected to average 4.3 per cent over the next eight quarters
within the inflation target of 4.0 per cent to 6.0 per cent. However, in the
absence of a policy response, inflation is likely to fall below the lower limit
of the target at various points over this period.”
Over the medium term, the bank's forecast is for inflation to gradually
approach the midpoint of the BOJ's target, albeit at a slower pace than
previously expected. This reduction in the policy rate will support inflation
returning more quickly to the centre of the target.
The inflation forecast is mainly predicated on the continued impact of low
domestic demand conditions relative to the economy's capacity, slower
growth among Jamaica's main trading partners and declines in
international commodity prices. It also accounts for the impact of
imminent changes in the fuel mix in the domestic energy sector on
electricity rates.
Annual inflation at July 2019 reported by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica
was 4.3 per cent, up from 4.2 per cent at June 2019 and 3.2 per cent at
July 2018. The marginal uptick in inflation mainly reflected the impact of
increases in the prices of food items, as well as an increase in electricity
rates. With this out-turn, inflation remained within BOJ's target of 4.0 per
cent to 6.0 per cent for the third month in a row.
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The BOJ anticipates that inflation will decelerate to 3.7 per cent at
September 2019, as energy-related prices are likely to fall before
accelerating to 4.7 per cent at December 2019, as food price inflation
accelerates in the context of hot, dry weather conditions. Inflation is
expected to be supported by continued growth in domestic economic
activity, partly in response to the lowering of the policy rate over the last
eight quarters.
Over the March 2020 to June 2021 quarters, inflation is projected to
remain low, in the range of 3.0 to 5.0 per cent, mainly reflecting the
impact of lower oil prices, more efficient domestic energy generation and
low inflation among Jamaica's main trading partners. The influence of
these factors will, however, be offset by the impact of the BOJ's past
monetary accommodation.
Inflation is projected to return to the midpoint of the target slowly over the
ensuing three years. This outlook, the BOJ reports, carries a material risk
that inflation will fall below the target again during that period in the
absence of a policy response.
Of note is the fact that the projected trajectory of inflation is lower than
previously forecast. This reflects the bank's view that inflation expectations
are lower than previously assessed and that the projected pace of
expansion in domestic demand in the period will be slower due to
headwinds from the global economy.
The risks to the short-term inflation forecast have been assessed to be
balanced. The main upside risk, which could cause inflation to be higher
than forecast, is the possibility that the impact of the planned
diversification of Jamaica's fuel mix on electricity cost may not be as
significant as projected.
The main downside risks, which could cause inflation to be lower than
forecast, include better than anticipated production in the agriculture
sector, which could lead to lower rates of increases in food prices. In
addition, domestic demand could be lower than projected, particularly in
the context of an escalation in global trade tensions.
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Other macroeconomic indicators are projected by the BOJ to continue to
be positive. Foreign reserves are adequate, the current account of the
balance of payments remains sustainable, market interest rates are low,
labour market conditions continue to improve and the fiscal performance
is strong.
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General Accident half-year profit up nearly 40% Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Jamaica Gleaner
Listed general insurance company General Accident (GENAC) is already
eyeing another good year after a near 40 per cent increase in half-year
profits.
“If our run rate continues as it is now or even ticks up a little, then we
should have a better year than we did last year,” Managing Director
Sharon Donaldson told the Financial Gleaner.
General Accident recorded after-tax profits of $135.28 million up to June,
39.8 per cent more than the $95.44 million earned for the similar period in
2018. The increased profit is outstripping last year’s performance which
saw a 29 per cent increase in after-tax profits. That was the fruit of a new
marketing thrust which came with a $44.5-million price tag, more than
triple the previous spend.
“We’ve widened the type of coverage that we offer to the insuring
public, and that has been showing up in our results,” she said.
“If you take a cursory look at the stock of motor vehicles you will notice
that the PPV subsector has been showing exponential growth. In part, this
is due to comprehensive deficiencies in arrangements for public
transportation. PPV operators are filling that void and for us that is a
growth area,” Donaldson said.
General Accident booked gross written premium of $6.56 billion, an
increase of 41 per cent over the same period last year. The increase in
premiums takes on more significance considering that for just half of the
year GENAC is only $2 billion away from the $8.7 billion in business that the
company did for all of 2018.
Historically, general insurers have shied away from the PPV subsector but
Donaldson says those operators’ money is the same colour as anyone
else’s.
“Our view is that not all PPV operators are bad people. We feel that they
are simply trying to make a living to feed their families like everyone else.
As such, we work with them to more effectively manage their risks and
protect that asset that is most valuable to them,” she said.
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Net claims charges grew by 23 per cent to $633 million, but Donaldson
says it has not been painful to the company and that GENAC is taking it in
stride.
“We don’t control the frequency of claims but rather we are seeking to
educate drivers at being better on the roads. The claims don’t come from
(real estate) properties. It is the motor vehicle sector, and so it is a matter
of getting the insured to look after their valuable property,” Donaldson
said.
The increased half-year profits boosted earnings per share. It moved from
$0.09 up in June 2018 to $0.13 in June 2019.
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Sagicor introduces coupon health plans for small businesses Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Jamaica Gleaner
Sagicor Life, a subsidiary of Sagicor Group Jamaica, has customised six
new plans for small businesses which need health coverage for
employees.
The company has not shared the new coverage levels and payments
attached but said that the plans are now more affordable than standard
company offerings available up to now.
In a response channelled through its communications unit, the health
insurance provider said, “there has always been interest by this segment
(small businesses) to have health insurance for their teams, but it has been
difficult to access until now”.
A national health plan drafted by the Ministry of Health and Wellness and
tabled in Parliament earlier this year indicated that about 500,000 of the
2.7 million people living in Jamaica have health insurance, leaving behind
more than 80 per cent of the population to fund healthcare out of
pocket, engage in months-long waits for diagnostic tests or surgical
operations, or wait hours to receive general observation.
Sagicor is targeting small businesses with its new health plan. The
government defines microenterprises in Jamaica as businesses that
employ five persons or less and have an annual turnover not exceeding
$10 million.
Small enterprises employ between six and 20 persons and have an annual
turnover of between $10 million and $50 million, while medium-size
enterprises employ between 21 and 50 persons and have an annual
turnover of between $50 million and $150 million.
Sagicor did not specify limits on companies applying for its coupon plan
but said Sagicor Fit, as the plans are called, offers six ‘pre-made’ health
plans (in a coupon-type format) from which the employer can choose,
the company said. This compares to standard health insurance plans
which covers a full range of medical services.
Under the ‘standard’ plan, the employer ‘tailor-makes’ the overall benefit
package offered to their employees by selecting what level of coverage
they want to offer for each benefit (for example. doctor’s visits,
prescriptions, diagnostics, dental and optical and hospitalization).
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With coupon health, “this simplified approach allows businesses an
opportunity to easily identity the benefits that they would want to offer to
their employees and the associated cost,” the company said.
Sagicor said the solution significantly improves processing time, with
application to delivery being under a week.
The company said the new approach to delivering health insurance has
“the added benefit of offering protection against the impact of
unpredictable claims cost, thus allowing the businesses to properly budget
for this expense”.
Sagicor declined to share premium charges and coverage attached. It
noted that employers have full discretion in determining how best to share
the cost between themselves and their team.
Asked if it was possible to upsize plans selected, the company said
Sagicor Life will provide Sagicor Fit clients with options available to them,
which could include an upgrade or an option to realign their benefit to
match their budget.
Sagicor Life declined to share its estimate of market size, but said its goal is
to increase the number of persons covered by health insurance by
approximately five per cent each year.
An insurance Association of Jamaica report in May 2018 indicated that
Sagicor Life had 64 per cent of the group health market.
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Ja banks on Cayman berth for uptick in cruise passenger arrivals Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Jamaica Gleaner
Jamaica has reported another contraction in cruise passenger arrivals for
June 2019, but there is hope that the country should see increases in
arrivals, given plans for the development of a new cruise berthing facility
in George Town, Grand Cayman.
Cruise passenger arrivals to the country dipped by 27.9 per cent for the
month of June to a total of 66,552 passengers. Data from the Jamaica
Tourist Board showed that passengers visiting the port of Ocho Rios fell by
20.7 per cent with 25,569 passengers, while visitors to the port of Montego
Bay fell by 42.4 per cent to 17,144 passengers.
Falmouth also recorded a decline of 20.1 per cent to 23,839 passengers.
The contraction in cruise passenger arrivals has impacted sales for the
Dolphin Cove attraction, which gets 50 per cent of its cruise ship guests
from the Falmouth port.
“This is primarily due to the Oasis of the Seas class of vessel not being able
to have the ship call on Grand Cayman,” vice-president of cruise
shipping at the Port Authority William Tatham told the Financial Gleaner.
“The ship is so large, they have to clear all the paths to do security
screening on the passengers onshore, and because of that, they weren’t
able to have the ship call on Grand Cayman,” he continued.
Traditional itinerary for cruise routes to the western Caribbean were Haiti,
Jamaica, Grand Cayman, Cozumel – Mexico’s largest island – and back
to Florida.
Tatham noted that with the highly rated destination that Grand Cayman
is, in addition to the fact that more vessels were being built for voyages to
the eastern end of the Caribbean, some passengers have opted to visit
the four port calls on the eastern side versus the three port calls on the
western end of the Caribbean, which includes Jamaica.
For the six-month period January to June 2019, Jamaica saw 902,088
cruise passenger arrivals visiting its shores, a decline of 12.4 per cent, or
127,793 cruise passengers.
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“Because the west sail was missing Grand Cayman, we saw a decline in
the Oasis class. The good news is that Grand Cayman is very optimistic
about building a new port berth to accommodate the Oasis, and Royal
Caribbean has been very much saying that we will see a complete
turnaround, so the numbers for Falmouth will climb right back up,” Tatham
reasoned.
Grand Cayman’s planned pier and berth are expected to be operational
by 2022. Carnival Cruise Line and Royal Caribbean will help fund the
project, which will cost about $200 million.
Oasis-class vessels weighs 220,000 tonnes each and have a carrying
capacity of 6,000 passengers.
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Industry ministry launching MSME digital marketing programme Tuesday 27th August, 2019 – Jamaica Observer
The Ministry of Industry, Commerce, Agriculture and Fisheries (MICAF) in
partnership with the Organisation of American States (OAS) is launching a
three-year Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) Digital Marketing
Plan, to strengthen MSMEs in Jamaica with digital marketing solutions for
their businesses.
A Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) will also be signed between
MICAF and Kolau, a partner of Google to collaborate towards the
digitization of 25,000 local MSMEs in three years, the ministry said.
The launch of digital marketing plan is scheduled for Thursday, August 29
at the ministry's St Lucia Avenue office in New Kingston.
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Pay day blues Saturday 24th August, 2019 – Jamaica Observer
National Commercial Bank (NCB) has warned its customers to brace for
more delays as it continues to implement a new systems upgrade.
Three months after NCB embarked on what it described as “a complex
but very necessary system upgrade” the bank yesterday told its customers
that, “While we continue to work on restoring full stability of our systems,
you may still experience some delays and intermittent service with some
of the features on our platforms”.
According to NCB, as it approaches the month's end, which is typically a
high-traffic period for its branches, Customer Care Centre and online
banking platforms, customers should be mindful that bill payments may
be done using its online banking platform or the mobile app.
“Payments to JPS (Jamaica Public Service Company), Flow, and the NWC
(National Water Commission) may also be made at any of our intelligent
ABMs (iABMs), which are available 24 hours a day, seven days a week, in
branches islandwide,” said NCB in its latest missive to its customers.
The bank also warned that payments may take up to 72 hours to be
processed and are not always reflected on a payee's account
immediately.
“If you incur any late fees or penalties as a result of these delays, we will
reimburse you. In the meantime, we encourage you to make your
payments as early as possible.
“As an alternative, you may visit your payees' offices to make payments
directly or use your credit card to make payments via their online
platforms. We understand that you are used to the convenience of
paying your bills online and having it updated within 24 hours. Our
technical team is focused on bringing back these service standards in the
shortest possible time,” added the bank.
NCB further noted that it continues to experience delays in its Automated
Clearing House (ACH), Real-time gross settlement (RTGS) and wire
transfers.
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While the bank did not state this explicitly, industry sources warned that
the delay could be bad news for people who get paid directly to their
accounts, as they might not have access to their salaries in the normal
time.
This was hinted at by NCB which said: “While some transfers are processed
within the stipulated timelines, some may take a while longer. If you made
a transfer using any of these services and see where it has not been
processed within the expected timelines, please contact our customer
care team immediately.”
NCB further noted that while ACH transfers to other financial institutions
submitted before 2:30 pm would be processed and sent to the receiving
financial institution on the same business day, “the receiving financial
institution may take up to 72 hours to processes the file received from it”.
In addition, NCB said RTGS transfers to other financial institutions received
before 2:30 pm will be processed within two hours.
“If you are unable to view your credit card statements online, please send
a message from your online banking portal to indicate this,” the bank
appealed.
According to NCB, the majority of its in-branch services, including
account-opening and updating account information, have been
restored but customers might still experience extended wait times in some
of its branches.
“If possible, we encourage you to use our non-branch channels such as
the iABMs in our 24/7 Bank on the Go locations,” said the message to
customers.
“We will not rest until our services are fully restored and we can once
again deliver the standard of service that you expect from NCB. We will
keep you fully updated on the timelines for resolution.
“The NCB family is truly grateful for your patience and understanding,” the
bank said days after its new CEO Septimus “Bob” Blake also thanked
customers for their patience and promised “a better banking experience
for all in the shortest time possible”.
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In his note to customers one week ago, Blake said when the bank started
the first phase of its upgrade in May its aim was to ensure that its systems
were modern, more user-friendly, more stable and more secure than the
previous system, which was often plagued with periods of downtime.
“Once all the issues with the new system have been addressed, it
promises to be more secure, more stable and easier to use, with great
new features many customers like you have requested. Our intention is to
deliver to our customers a world-class banking experience. We know that
we have fallen short of this target but will not rest until this is achieved,”
said Blake.
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JISCO set for temporary closure by October Thursday 29th August, 2019 – Jamaica Observer
THE Alpart/JISCO bauxite/alumina plant in Nain, St Elizabeth is being
prepared for closure, which is expected to commence by October.
The plant will be closed to accommodate a revamping, which is likely to
last between 18 and 24 months, affecting almost the full complement of
1,500 workers.
Sources have informed the Jamaica Observer that the new owners, the
Chinese industrial group, Jiuquan Iron & Steel (Group) Co Ltd (JISCO), is
determined that for the plant to meet its target of two million tons of
alumina per annum — up from the current 1.6 million tonnes — it will
require a full replacement of basic production equipment. The necessary
parts have been lying on the ground at Alpart for several months.
The plant will reopen as a “Chinese-type” alumina plant using liquefied
natural gas (LNG) energy in 2020, sources also stated.
Efforts have been made to upgrade the plant and continue production,
which has already fallen 50 per cent below costs, but after visiting
Jamaica earlier this month, a team from JISCO's China headquarters are
convinced that full closure and revamping are necessary.
The plant was formerly operated as a bauxite refinery joint venture by
Kaiser Aluminum, Reynolds Aluminum and, in 1969, Anaconda, exporting
1.65 million tonnes of alumina overseas per year, and earning gross
revenues of US$1.3 billion in 2007.
As of 2011, previous partner Hydro divested its 35 per cent stake to Russian
firm UC Rusal, which assumed 100 per cent stake in Alpart. However, the
plant stopped operating due to the alumina product experiencing a
drastic 60 per cent price reversal since July 2008, which lasted some nine
years.
In 2016, UC Rusal sold its 100 per cent stake in Alpart to JISCO, which
committed to a US$3-billion expansion at Nain. The investment would be
made over a three-year period, boosting the plant's current capacity
from 1.65 million metric tons per annum to an output capacity of 2 million
metric tons per annum.
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Other improvements slated for the facility include a US$500-million, 230-
megawatt LNG power plant, a new aluminium foil and stainless-steel
production facility, a new aluminium sheet plant, and a new welding rod
plant.
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Barbados Government to Turn to Private Sector to Help Refurbish Health
Facilities Wednesday 28th August, 2019 – Caribbean 360
The Ministry of Health and Wellness intends to reach out to corporate
Barbados for assistance in refurbishing district hospitals and polyclinics
located in areas where companies do business.
Minister of Health and Wellness Jeffrey Bostic said that following a
successful collaboration between the ministry, the Barbados Defence
Force and a number of private sector organizations to refurbish a ward at
the Geriatric Hospital, government was interested in expanding this
initiative.
“Recognizing that we do not have all the financial resources, as Minister
of Health and Wellness I made the determination that we are going to
attempt to address the issue across the country with the polyclinics and
district hospitals.
“What we are going to be doing is to build on what we started at the
Geriatric Hospital, but this time we are going to be asking corporate
Barbados to contribute towards the facilities that are located within the
areas where they are doing business and also ask Barbadians to
contribute time and skills to help us get these things resolved,” he said.
Minister Bostic said health had also been identified as one of the priority
areas to which Barbadians in the diaspora, who will be returning home for
We Gatherin’ next year, will be asked to contribute.
Meanwhile, Barbados’ aging population continues to present a challenge
to government in terms of the availability of institutionalized care.
The minister said the number of people seeking placement in district
hospitals was way above the capacity, and even with the Alternative
Care of the Elderly programme, where government funded private health
care for 220 persons, there were still not enough places.
This was an issue which was high on the ministry’s agenda, he said, and a
number of useful ideas were being examined to tackle the problem.
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These include the expansion of the community programme which would
allow the elderly to remain in their homes and communities being cared
for by persons trained in the care of the elderly. The minister maintained:
“We believe that it is important to try to keep people within communities
where they are familiar with the people and the environment.”
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