retrofit of small-scale hydropower at …...introduction • rsa overview : dam retrofit (green vs...
TRANSCRIPT
Arno Ottermann (PULA)
Bo Barta, Willem Slabber, UJ
Retrofit of Small-scale Hydropower at
Hartbeespoort Dam
Pre-investment Investigation
Introduction
• RSA overview : Dam retrofit (green vs brown field)
• Pilot retrofit: Hartbeespoort dam - pilot
• Dev. Potential: past / current / future
• Key challenges: DWA policy (PPP)
motivate “small” opportunity
multi-faceted use
LED / hybrid
• Hydropower ~ Height x Flow
• Height ~ dam wall height / height to canal (certain!)
• Flow ~ subject to dam operating rules (uncertain!)
– daily environmental releases
– daily down-stream needs
– seasonal dam spillages
• Size and type of outlet works
– Access to outlet pipe to connect penstock (Dam safety)
– Hydraulic impact on existing outlet (incl. water hammer)
• Type of spillway (affects location of hydro-power plant)
Critical Considerations of Retrofit
• ± 4000 water dams
• 135 Large / 865 Medium / 3000 small
• 359 DWA owned (M/L)
• 70 of DWA dams have a hydro-power potential
• DWA can generate > 100MW base load (450GWh/a)
• RSA > 250MW Province
Height
<15
15-30m
30-60m
>60m
Count of
Dams
EC 379 73 28 2 482
FS 346 39 7 3 395
GT 115 13 4 1 133
KN 796 59 11 2 868
LP 238 40 16 3 297
MP 346 55 20 2 423
NC 92 9 1 102
NW 31 11 3 45
WC 941 264 42 4 1251
Total 3284 563 132 17 3996
Height: RSA dam safety register
Pilot Study: Dam Retrofit
Hartbeespoort Dam
Acknowledgements
• Study Funder:
– Dept of Economic Affairs – Gauteng
• Implementing Agent:
– The Innovation Hub Management Company
– Dr Charity Mbileni: Manager Green & Sustainable Dev.
• Public Entity / Owner:
– Dept of Water Affairs (owner & operator of dam & WR)
• Service Provider:
– PULA srm Consortium (UJ, B.Barta, W.Slabber)
PHASE-1:
NEEDS ASSESSMENT
Motivation-1: Growing Energy Shortage
Motivation-2: Removal of Sediment (1)
Motivation-2: Removal of Sediment
Motivation-3: Water Quality
Motivation-3: Water Quality (2)
Motivation-4: Social & Recreational Use
PHASE-2:
HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSIS
Hydrologic Analysis: 32yr daily flows
• Understand the hydrology!
• Base flow?
• What % of spillage?
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
19
81
/1/1
19
84
/1/9
19
87
/1/1
7
19
90
/1/2
5
19
94
/1/2
19
97
/1/1
0
20
00
/1/1
8
20
03
/1/2
6
20
07
/1/3
20
10
/1/1
1
19
81
/2/1
9
19
84
/2/2
7
19
88
/2/4
19
91
/2/1
2
19
94
/2/2
0
19
97
/2/2
8
20
01
/2/5
20
04
/2/1
3
20
07
/2/2
1
20
10
/2/2
9
19
82
/3/6
19
85
/3/1
4
19
88
/3/2
2
19
91
/3/3
0
19
95
/3/7
19
98
/3/1
5
20
01
/3/2
3
20
04
/3/3
1
20
08
/3/8
20
11
/3/1
6
19
82
/4/2
4
19
86
/4/1
19
89
/4/9
19
92
/4/1
7
19
95
/4/2
5
19
99
/4/2
20
02
/4/1
0
20
05
/4/1
8
20
08
/4/2
6
19
80
/5/3
19
83
/5/1
1
19
86
/5/1
9
19
89
/5/2
7
19
93
/5/4
19
96
/5/1
2
19
99
/5/2
0
20
02
/5/2
8
20
06
/5/5
20
09
/5/1
3
19
80
/6/2
1
19
83
/6/2
9
19
87
/6/6
19
90
/6/1
4
19
93
/6/2
2
19
96
/6/3
0
20
00
/6/7
20
03
/6/1
5
20
06
/6/2
3
20
09
/6/3
1
19
81
/7/8
19
84
/7/1
6
19
87
/7/2
4
19
91
/7/1
19
94
/7/9
19
97
/7/1
7
20
00
/7/2
5
20
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/7/2
20
07
/7/1
0
20
10
/7/1
8
19
81
/8/2
6
19
85
/8/3
19
88
/8/1
1
19
91
/8/1
9
19
94
/8/2
7
19
98
/8/4
20
01
/8/1
2
20
04
/8/2
0
20
07
/8/2
8
20
11
/8/5
19
82
/9/1
5
19
85
/9/2
6
19
89
/9/7
19
92
/9/1
8
19
95
/9/2
9
19
99
/9/1
0
20
02
/9/2
1
20
06
/9/2
20
09
/9/1
3
19
80
/10
/24
19
84
/10
/1
19
87
/10
/9
19
90
/10
/17
19
93
/10
/25
19
97
/10
/2
20
00
/10
/10
20
03
/10
/18
20
06
/10
/26
20
10
/10
/3
19
81
/11
/12
19
84
/11
/23
19
88
/11
/4
19
91
/11
/15
19
94
/11
/26
19
98
/11
/7
20
01
/11
/18
20
04
/11
/29
20
08
/11
/10
20
11
/11
/21
19
82
/12
/30
19
86
/12
/7
19
89
/12
/15
19
92
/12
/23
19
95
/12
/31
19
99
/12
/8
20
02
/12
/16
20
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/12
/24
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/12
/1
A2H083l: River Flow (down-stream of Hartbeespoort Dam m3/s)
Hydrologic Analysis: Flow-Duration Curves
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Flo
w (
M3
/s)
Duration (% of time)
Daily River Flows (A2H083)(12yrs split into dry/avg/wet)
wet years
avg years
dry years
Hydrologic Analysis: Selection of
Optimum Generating Capacity
Power
(MW)
Flow
(m3/s)
Assurance
(avg year)
Assurance
(wet year) Utilization
1.5 4.2 50% 70% 12 - 16hrs per day every day
4.2 12 25% 40% 50% to 80% of rainy season / 25% of dry season (peak 6hrs)
2x 4,2 24 10% 20% 20% to 40% of rainy season
9.9 29
Hydrologic Analysis: Future Scenario
Year MAR (m3/a) %
Increase
Surplus Yield
(m3/a)
Surplus as % of
4,2MW dry-season
flow need
hrs/day generating
capacity for 2nd
4,2MW turbine
1923 163 000 000
2010 217 000 000 33% 54 000 000
2035 292 396 754 79% 75 396 754 40% 9.5
2060 374 978 952 >100% 82 582 198 83% 20.0
PHASE-3:
TECHNICAL OPTIONS
Technical Options:
No river outlet
Right Bank of the dam:
• RB1: Refurbish & upgrade existing hydro installation (80 kW)
• RB3: New installation from un-pressurized tunnel / canal (1500 kW)
• RB4: New installation from pressurized tunnel (1800 kW)
Left Bank of the dam:
• LB1: Single unit new installation retrofitted between existing
isolating and sleeve valve control rooms (max 500 kW)
• LB2: Enlarged hydropower facility to utilize unallocated yield which
is currently spilled through crest gates (max 10MW)
Location: Technical Options
RB1
RB3
LB2
Combined
LB1
Refurbish & upgrade existing
yester-year installation
RB1
RB1: Upgrade yester-year Installation
1923 -1964
37kW capacity
Gilkes (UK)
Potential to double
Defunctional
Excellent Exhibits of Old Hydro Power
Existing Hydropower Installation
RB1: Upgrade existing Installation
• One turbine unit of Francis type
• Manufacturer: Gilbert Gilkes & Gordon in UK (1923)
• Effective head: 22 m
• Rated flow: 0,22 cub m per second
• Installed capacity: 37 kW with provision for 2nd unit
• Plant production between 1924 and mid 1960s
• Rehabilitated/upgraded capacity potential: 80kW
• Upgraded potential annual output: 0,672 GWh
• Estimated cost of rehab: about Rand 2,5 million
• Est. Unit Cost = R62m/MW
New installation
from un-pressurized tunnel
or siphoning from canal
1500kW
RB3
RB3: Possible Location
Optional combination with LB2
RB3: New Installation from tunnel
or siphoning from Canal
RB3: New installation + un-pressurized tunnel
• Existing yester-year hydro plant to be extended by new
building
• Large new penstock pipe connected to the existing outlet
tunnel to replace present 600 mm dia pipe
• Alternative: siphon from tunnel outlet
(higher environmental impact)
• The turbine design to take in consideration
– Head of 30m
– design flow = 5 m3/sec
• Estimated generating capacity of 1500kW or 8 GWh/a
• The costs of this development is estimated at R 20-30 mil +
• Est. Unit Cost = R17m/MW - R20m/MW
New installation
with pressurized tunnel
1,8MW
RB4
RB4: New Installation to pressurized tunnel
RB4: New installation with pressurized tunnel
• Existing yester-year hydro plant to be extended by new building to house two turbine units
• The outlet tunnel to be closed by a concrete structure housing two control valves for canal releases
• Large new penstock pipe connected to the existing outlet tunnel to replace present 600 mm dia pipe with 1300mm
• The turbine design to take in consideration water level fluctuation between 36 m and 39 m due to releases through the radial gates
• The design flow is suggested at 4,5 m3/sec
• Est. generating capacity = 1,8MW (10 GWh/a)
• The costs of this development is estimated at R38 mil + (R20/kW)
New retrofit installation
inline between existing isolating and
sleeve valve chambers
500kW
LB1
L/B Development of Hydro Power at
Hartbeespoort Dam – Actual Site
LB1: In-line turbine installation
LB1: In-line hydropower installation
• A single 1524 mm diameter outlet works pipe is bifurcated into three outlet pipes
• A hydro power unit is proposed to be retrofitted on the centre located 750 mm diameter outlet pipe
• Due to the spillway radial gates releases the minimum and maximum water heads are 14 and 16,7 m respectively
• The design flow is suggested at 3 m3/sec.
• Est. generating capacity = 500kW or 4,2 GWh/a
• The costs of this retrofit is estimated at R 8 mil + R16m/kW – R18m/kW
LB1: In-line hydropower installation
Enlarged hydropower facility
to utilize spillage & unallocated yield
8,4MW (4,2MW x2)
LB2
25 m3/s
LB2: Surplus Yield Generation
plan view
DA
M W
AL
L
River outlet
• Connect to 1524 mm diameter outlet works pipe with Y-junction in a separate valve control room
• Add penstock to new hydropower plant building: – 1500mm dia steel pipe
– 50m long (above ground and anchored)
– Split into 2 hydropower units and a river outlet
• 2 hydropower generator units with 4,2MW each
• Maximum water heads are 39 to 42 m
• The design flow is suggested at 25 m3/sec (2x12,5 m3/s)
• Est. generating capacity = 8,4MW
• The costs of this retrofit is estimated at R 120 mil + R14m/MW +
LB2 : Surplus hydropower installation
Phase-1: (26 GWh/a)
1,5 MW firm-yield generation from RB4
4,2 MW seasonal generation from LB2
Phase-2: (+4 GWh/a)
add 4,2 MW after 10 to 15 years from LB2
Combined
Retrofit vs New dam projects
• HBP retrofit unit cost = R12m/MW
• HBP greenfield unit cost (incl.dam wall) = R42m/MW
• Retrofit = low environmental impact (dam exists)
• Greenfield = high environmental impact
• Retrofit = short implementation (2 years+)
• Greenfield = long implementation (> 7 years)
Cost-Benefit
• Value of cleaning the dam? (own use)
• Value of environmental improvement?
• Social / property value?
• Value of affordable energy?
• Value of water loss in canals? (>50%)
• Pilot installation
– to demonstrate renewable energy options
– compare & integrate hybrid solution
– unlock value of “small” hydro solutions
END
Financials : Technical Options
• Operating cost = R80 /kW installed per year and R0.8 /MWh.
• Debt equity split of 30:70 assumed.
• Debt repayment period 13 years.
• ROE = 61c/kWh (IRR=14,7%)
• Interest rate of 14% assumed
• 2 year construction & commissioning
• Corporate tax rate of 30%
• Avg energy production of 69.4 GWh for ann.revenue calc (10MW)
– 25.1 GWh assumed to generate at peak hours associated tariff
– 44.3 Gwh assumed to generate at standard hours attracting off peak tariffs.
• Allowed for clean development trading mechanism (CDM) of 0.89
Kg/kWh CO2 displacement at US$ 4 /tonne.