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Available in http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/versionesRAT.aspx January 2019 Undersecretariat of Planning and Tourism Policy Results of Tourism Activity

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Page 1: Results of Tourism Activity

Available in http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/versionesRAT.aspx

January 2019Undersecretariat of Planning and Tourism Policy

Results of Tourism Activity

Page 2: Results of Tourism Activity

2

DIRECTORy

MIGUEL TORRUCO MARQUÉSMinister of Tourism

SIMÓN LEVY DABBAH Undersecretary of Planning and Tourism Policy

DIRECTORATE-GENERAL OF INTEGRATION AND SECTORAL INFORMATION [email protected]

[email protected]

Page 3: Results of Tourism Activity

3

INDEX

• International Visitors to Mexico

• Air Transportation

• Domestic Tourism

• Transportation

• Other Indicators

1. Arrival of international visitors1.1. Arrival of international tourists1.2. International travel receipts1.3. Average Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists, Air transport1.4. Departures of international tourists from Mexico1.5. Spending by international visitors from Mexico1.6. International travelers balance

2.1 International visitors to Mexico arriving by nationality2.2 International visitors to Mexico arrivyng by residence2.3. American and Canadian passengers arriving by nationality2.4. American and Canadian passengers arriving by residence2.3. Main airports of arrival by nationality

3.1. Occupancy rate3.2. Arrival of tourists to Hotels

4.1. Air Transportation4.2. Maritime Transportation4.3. Main Ports

6. Quarterly Indicators of tourist industry, Tourism GDP 6.1 Tourism Employment6.2 Results of tourism activity, tablet6.3 Macroeconomic indicators, prospects6.4 Mexico’s key economic indicators6.5 Economic context

• Museums and archeological sites

5.1. Museums and archeological sites

66789910

1213141516

1818

202223

272829303132

25

• Outstanding results

Page 4: Results of Tourism Activity

4

Outstanding results

During January 2019:

1. The arrival of international tourists was 3.5 million, exceeding 143 thousand tourists, this represented a growth of 4.3% in comparison to the same period of last year.

2. Foreign currency income from the arrival of international visitors was 2,289 million dollars equivalent to an increase of 17.7% in comparison to January 2018.

3. The amount of foreign currency that visitors residing in Mexico spent when going abroad was 913 million dollars, amount at 102 million 65 thousand dollars lower than that observed in January of 2018 and equivalent to a decrease of (-) 10.1%.

4. The international tourist departures of Mexico abroad amounted to one million 544 thousand, this is 142 thousand less tourists than the same period of last year, which represented a decrease of (-) 8.4%.

5. The balance by international visitors registered 1,376 million dollars, this represents an in-crease of 48% in comparison to January of 2018.

6. The arrival of foreign air-coming citizens by United States represents 47.9% of all foreign arrivals by air transport and 21% from Canada. From the Latin American and the Caribbean region, the countries of nationality with the highest number of foreign arrivals to Mexico were Colombia, Argentina and Brazil, with 2.9%, 2.8% and 2.3% of total visitors respectively.

7. The percentage of hotel occupation in a group of 70 resorts reached 55.8%, level 3.0 percentage points less than observed in January of 2018.

8. The arrival of domestic tourists to hotel rooms was 4 million 383 thousand tourists (70.4%), the remaining arrivals one million 842 thousand (29.6%), were from foreign tourists.

Page 5: Results of Tourism Activity

International Visitors to Mexico

Page 6: Results of Tourism Activity

6

Arrival of international visitors

Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.

Source: INEGI and Bank of Mexico, Balance of payments.http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx

Arrival of international tourists

Chart 1. According to the INEGI and Bank of Mexico, during January 2019, the number of international visitors arriving Mexico was 7.9 million, that is 439 thousand visitors lower than January 2018 and represented a decrease of (-) 5.3%.

Chart 2. The arrival of international tourists in January 2019 was 3.5 million, reaching 143 thousand more than the same period of 2018, increasing 4.3%.

8.4 8.0 9.3 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.2 7.8 6.7 7.7 7.6 8.3

7.9

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Mill

ion

of p

eopl

e

2018 2019

JanuaryMillion visitors Change

2018

2019 7.9 -5.3%

8.4

3.3 3.2 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.4 2.9 3.1 3.5 4.3

3.5

1.5

1.9

2.3

2.7

3.1

3.5

3.9

4.3

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Mill

ion

of to

urist

s

2018 2019

JanuaryMillions tourists Change

2018

2019 3.5 4.3%

3.3

Page 7: Results of Tourism Activity

7

International travel receipts

Source: INEGI and Bank of Mexico, Balance of paymentshttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx

Chart 3. In January 2019, foreign currency income from the arrival of international visitors was 2,289 million dollars, equivalent to an increase of 17.7% in comparison to the same period of 2018.

1,94

5.0

1,91

8.3

2,36

5.1

1,79

1.3

1,68

8.7

1,87

3.4

1,94

5.8

1,73

7.1

1,39

1.6

1,60

1.5

1,79

4.0

2,45

8.0

2,28

8.9

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

1,900

2,100

2,300

2,500

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Mill

on o

f Dol

lars

2018 2019

JanuaryMilliondollars Change

2018

2019 2,288.9 17.7%

1,945.0

Page 8: Results of Tourism Activity

8

Average Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists, Air transport

Chart 4. In January 2019, the average expenditure of long-stay tourists by air was one thousand 74 dollars, this represents an increase of 19.2% in comparison to the same period of 2018.

Source: INEGI and Bank of Mexico, Balance of payments.http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx

901.

4

924.

2

947.

5

897.

2

885.

6

871.

4

885.

9

949.

8

988.

5

953.

3

908.

4

977.

8

1,07

4.2

550.0

650.0

750.0

850.0

950.0

1,050.0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Dolla

rs

2018 2019

January Dollars Change

2018

2019 1,074.2 19.2%

901.4

Page 9: Results of Tourism Activity

9

DEPARTURES OF INTERNATIONAL TOURIST FROM MEXICO

Chart 5. According to INEGI and Bank of Mex-ico, during January-2019, the number of depar-tures of international tourist from Mexico was one million 544 thousand, that is 142 thousand tourists less than the same period of 2018. .

SPENDING BY INTERNATIONAL visitors FROM MEXICO

Chart 6. In January 2019, foreign currency spent by visitors residing in Mexico when go-ing abroad was 913 million dollars, higher 102 million dollars to the observed in the same pe-riod of 2018 and equivalent to a reduction of (-) 10.1%.

Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.

Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.

Source: INEGI and Bank of Mexico, Balance of paymentshttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx

1.7 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.9

1.5

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.5

1.7

1.9

2.1

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Mill

ion

of to

urist

s

2018 2019

JanuaryMillionTourists Change

2018

2019 1,544 -8.4%

1,686

1,01

5.4

737.

7

828.

7

896.

8

943.

3

882.

3

1,05

0.6

1,00

4.8

834.

5

898.

2

1,01

5.0

1,19

2.9

913.

3

300.0

375.0

450.0

525.0

600.0

675.0

750.0

825.0

900.0

975.0

1,050.0

1,125.0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Mill

ion

dolla

rs

2018 2019

JanuaryMillion Dollars Change

2018

2019 913.3 -10.1%

1,015.4

Page 10: Results of Tourism Activity

10

International travelers balance

Source: INEGI and Bank of Mexico, Balance of paymentshttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx

Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.

Monthly Balance in the Balance of Oil, Minerometalurgy and International Travelers

Chart 7. In January 2019, the balance for international travelers recorded a surplus of one thousand 376 million dollars, 48% higher than that observed during the same period of 2018.

-2,104.1

-29.0

1,375.6

-3,000.0

-2,500.0

-2,000.0

-1,500.0

-1,000.0

-500.0

0.0

500.0

1,000.0

1,500.0

2,000.0

Jan-17 feb-17 mar-17 apr-17 may-17 jun-17 jul-17 aug-17 sep-17 oct-17 nov-17 dec-17 jan-18 feb-18 mar-18 apr-18 may-18 jun-18 jul-18 aug-18 sep-18 oct-18 nov-18 dec-18 jan-19

Mill

ion

dolla

rs

Oil Minerometalurgy Visitors

JanuaryMillionDollars Change

2018

2019 1,375.6 48.0%

929.6

Page 11: Results of Tourism Activity

Air Transportation

Page 12: Results of Tourism Activity

12

International visitors to Mexico arriving by Air(MAIN COUNTRIES BY NATIONALITY)

Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOBhttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx

Chart 8. In January 2019, the arrival of American and Canadian citizens represented 47.9% and 21% of all foreign arrivals by air. From Latin America and the Caribbean region, the countries with the highest number of foreign arrivals in Mexico were Colombia, Argentina and Brazil with 2.9%, 2.8% and 2.3% of total visitors, respectively.

Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures

United States47.9%

Canada 21.0%

Colombia2.9%

Argentina2.8%

Brazil2.3%

Other23.2%

Page 13: Results of Tourism Activity

13

International visitors to Mexico arriving by Air(MAIN COUNTRIES BY RESIDENCE)

Chart 9. In January 2019, the arrival of foreign air-coming visitors who reside in the United States represents 51.1% of all foreign arrivals by air. From Latin America and the Caribbean region, the countries of residence with the highest number of foreign arrivals in Mexico were Argentina, Co-lombia and Brazil with 2.6%, 2.4% and 2.1% of total visitors respectively.

United States51.1%

Canada 21.9%

Argentina2.6%

Colombia2.4%

Brazil2.1%

Other20.0%

Note: In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures

Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOBhttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Residencia.aspx

Page 14: Results of Tourism Activity

14

U.S. CITIZENS per airport

Canadian CITIZENS PER airport

Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOBhttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx

Chart 10. The U.S. citizens who arrived to Mexico by air decreased (-) 3.5% in January 2019, compared to the same period of 2018, registering 817 thou-sand passengers who arrived firstly at the Cancun Airport, followed by Mexico City Airport.

Chart 11. In January 2019, the Canadian citizens who arrived to Mexico by air was 5.8% higher in comparison to the same period of 2018. They firstly arrived at the Cancun Airport, followed by Puerto Vallarta Airport.

295,

823

124,

373

116,

768

102,

141

76,2

70

101,

935

322,170

123,676

114,481 106,738

74,950

105,325

20,000

70,000

120,000

170,000

220,000

270,000

320,000

370,000

Cancun, Q., Roo Mexico, City Los Cabos, B.C.S. Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Guadalajara, Jal. Others

Pass

enge

rs

Jan-2018 Jan-2019

JanuaryAmerican

passengers Change

2018

2019 817,310 -3.5%

847,340 16

5,88

7

83,9

31

28,5

30

28,2

07

12,2

81

39,1

26158,120

77,270

24,702 28,772

12,643

36,986

5,000

25,000

45,000

65,000

85,000

105,000

125,000

145,000

165,000

185,000

Cancun, QuintanaRoo

Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Mexico City Ciudad de México(AICM)

Huatulco, Oax. Others

Pass

enge

rs

Jan-2018 Jan-2019

JanuaryCanadian

passengers Change

2018

2019 357,962 5.8%

338,493

Page 15: Results of Tourism Activity

15

American passengers per airport

Chart 12. The American residents who arrived to Mexico by air decreased (-) 3.1% in January 2019 compared to the same month in 2018, registering 834.6 thousand pas-sengers who arrived firstly through the Cancun Airport, followed by Mexico City Airport.

333,

857

129,

363

120,

814

97,3

49

74,8

87

105,

354

308,862

129,721

122,35897,483

74,999101,214

1,000

51,000

101,000

151,000

201,000

251,000

301,000

351,000

Cancun, Q., Roo Mexico, City Los Cabos, B.C.S. Puerto Vallarta,Jal.

Guadalajara, Jal. Others

Pass

enge

rs

Jan-2019 Jan-2018

JanuaryAmerican

passengers Change

2018

2019 834,637 -3.1%

861,626

Canadian passengers per airport

Chart 13. The Canadian residents who arrived Mexico by air was 4% higher during January 2019 in compar-ison to January 2018, resgistering 358 thousand pas-sengers,who arrived firstly through the Cancun Air-port, followed by Puerto Vallarta Airport. 15

9,64

2

85,9

53

29,83620,491 12,916

35,355

166,276

88,640

28,99524,304

12,564

37,263

500

20,500

40,500

60,500

80,500

100,500

120,500

140,500

160,500

180,500

Cancun, QuintanaRoo

Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Mexico City Los Cabos, B.C.S. Huatulco, Oax. Others

Pass

enge

rs

Jan-2019 Jan-2018

JanuaryCanadian

passengers Change

2018

2019 358,042 4%

344,270

Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOBhttp://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Residencia.aspx

Page 16: Results of Tourism Activity

16

Main airports of arrival

Figure 1. In January 2019, the airports with the highest number of foreign passengers were: Can-cun (702,183), Mexico City (402,962), Puerto Vallarta (195,640), Los Cabos (150,664), Guadalajara (82,529), Cozumel (20,429) and Monterrey (20,345); which represents 92.3% of all foreign passen-gers.

Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx

January 2019

Note: Figures refers to events because the same person may have entered the country in more than one occasion. From this date only the residence of international passengers is considered and the nationality of the passengers is not longer used.

2018

2019 2019

2018

2018

2018

2019

Los Cabos B.C.S.

144,537

150,664

Change 4.2%

2018

Change

Pto. Vallarta Guadalajara

192,170

195,640

83,539

82,529

1.8% -1.2%

Mexico City 396,836

402,962

1.5%

Cancun 718,395

702,183 -2.3%Change Change

Cozumel

19,354

20,429

5.6%

Mexico City Quintana Roo Nuevo Leon

2018

2019

Change

Monterrey 21,123

20,345

-3.7%

Page 17: Results of Tourism Activity

Domestic Tourism

Page 18: Results of Tourism Activity

18

Occupancy rate

Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by DataTur.http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ActividadHotelera.aspx

Notes: Total occupancy is a weighted average of the 70 destinations monitored. The total arrivals of tourists to hotel rooms registered an decreased of (-) 3.3%, compared to January 2018. In the graphs the sum of the data does not coincide with the accumulated period due to the rounding of figures.

Arrival of tourists to Hotels

Chart 14.The percentage of hotel occupation in a group of 70 resorts during January 2019, reached 55.8%, level 3.0 percentage points lower in com-parison to January 2018.

Chart 15. In January 2019, the arrival of domes-tic tourists to hotel rooms was 4.4 million tourists (70.4%), the remaining arrivals (29.6%) were from foreign tourists.

4.5

1.9

6.4

4.4

1.8

6.2

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

Domestic Foreing Total

Mill

ion

of to

urist

January 2018 January 2019

58.8%55.8%

0%

6%

11%

17%

22%

28%

33%

39%

44%

50%

55%

61%

January 2018 January 2019

Rate

Page 19: Results of Tourism Activity

Transportation

Page 20: Results of Tourism Activity

20Preliminary figures / Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services (SCT)http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/TrasnAerea.aspx

Chart 16. In January 2019, the number of passengers arriving by air increased 3.7% in comparison to the same month of 2018, rea-ching 6.2 million passengers, equivalent to an increase of 221 thousand passengers.

Chart 17. During January 2019, the number of passengers arriving by air on domestic flights was 4 million 13 thousand passengers, representing 222 thousand passengers (5.9%) more that the same period of previous year.

AIR TRANSPORTATION

5,99

9

5,40

2

6,39

9

6,10

4

6,04

3

6,18

0

6,98

6

6,39

1

5,40

2

6,01

6

6,30

5

6,86

8

6,220

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Thou

sand

s of p

eopl

e

2018 2019

Thousand passengers Change

2018

2019 6,220 3.7%

5,999

January

3,79

0

3,42

9

4,07

7

4,11

5

4,17

0

4,11

3

4,74

9

4,45

4

3,91

3

4,25

3

4,29

4

4,43

4

4,013

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Thou

sand

s of p

eopl

e

2018 2019

January Thousand

people Change

2018

2019 5.9% 4,013

3,790

Page 21: Results of Tourism Activity

21

Chart 18. The number of passengers arriving by air on international flights was 2.2 million passengers, similar amount than January 2018.

Preliminary figures / Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services (SCT)http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/TrasnAerea.aspx

January Thousand passengers Change

2018

2019 2,208 0.0%

2,208

2,20

8

1,97

3

2,32

2

1,98

9

1,87

2

2,06

7

2,23

7

1,93

6

1,48

9

1,76

3

2,01

2

2,43

4

2,208

900

1,150

1,400

1,650

1,900

2,150

2,400

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Thou

sand

s of p

eopl

e

2018 2019

Page 22: Results of Tourism Activity

22

Maritime Transportation

Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communications and Transportation (SCT) http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx

Chart 19. The number of cruise passengers reached in January 2019 was 939 thousand 101 passengers, this representing an in-crease of 92 thousand passengers (10.9%) compared to the month of previous year.

Chart 20.The number of cruise arrivals during January 2019, was 335 cruises, compared to the previous year, represented one cruise less and a decrease of (-) 0.3%.

846.

9

776.

1

877.

1

667.

6

538.

7

484.

4

490.

8

517.

8

452.

7

612.

2

710.

9

882.

4

939.1

-

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1,000.0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Thou

sand

s of p

eopl

e

2018 2019

336

302

305

236

179

143

139

147

146

205

224

336

335

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Arriv

als

2018 2019

January Arrivals Change

2018

2019 335 -0.3%

336

January

Passengers Change

2018

2019 939,101 10.9%

846,886

Page 23: Results of Tourism Activity

23

Figure 2. In January 2019, the ports that received the highest number of passengers were the following: Cozumel, Ensenada and Majahual; representing 75.2% of the total arrivals of January 2019.

Main Ports

Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communications and Transportation (SCT)http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx

January 2019

Ensenada, B.C. Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S. Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Cozumel, Q. RooMajahual, Q. Roo

2018

2019

passengers

51,946

59,936

Arrivals

22

26

passengersarrivals

2018

2019

49,961

53,730

24

23

passengersarrivals

2018

2019

47,564

59,027

22

25

arrivals

2018

2019

440,264

485,834155

passengers

152,515

160,818

54

47

2018

2019

passengersarrivals

change 18.2% 15.4% change -4.2% 7.5% change 13.6% 24.1% 5.4%-13.0% change 10.4%4.0%change

149

Page 24: Results of Tourism Activity

Museums and archeological sites

Page 25: Results of Tourism Activity

25

Chart 21. The National Institute of Anthropology and History, reported in January 2019, 2 million 648 thousand visitors, 8.8% more than the same month of the previous year. Of the total number of visitors, 69.8% corresponded to national visitors and the 30.2% to for-eigners.

Source: National Institute of Anthropology and History (INAH)

Visitors to museums and archeological sites

1.7

0.7

2.4

1.8

0.8

2.6

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Domestic Foreing Total

Mill

on o

f peo

ple

January 2018 January 2019

JanuaryMillionvisitors Change

2018

2019 2.6 8.8%

2.4

Page 26: Results of Tourism Activity

Other Indicators

Page 27: Results of Tourism Activity

27

QUARTERLY INDICATORS OF TOURIST INDUSTRY: TOURISM GDP

Chart 22. Based on the Quarterly Indicators of Tourist Industry, tourist GDP registered a growth of 3.3% in the third quarter of 2018 compared to the same period of 2017, according to seasonally adjusted figures. By components, services grew 3.3% in annual terms and the goods grew did it in 3.1%.

III Quarterly Change

2017

2018

1.5%

3.3%

-0.5

0.5

4.4

6.0

8.6

5.2

0.9

0.6

2.0

-0.5

-3.1

-2.3

-0.1

5.1

3.1

3.7

4.6

7.2

7.2

6.2

4.9

3.1

2.2

4.8

4.6

2.5

3.0

1.9

1.4

3.3

3.0

3.8

6.7

7.0

6.6

4.9

2.7 1.9

4.3 3.6

1.5

2.1

1.5

2.1

3.3

-4.0-3.2-2.4-1.6-0.8

- 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.6 6.4 7.2 8.0 8.8 9.6

2015 I II III IV 2016 I II III IV 2017 I II III IV 2018 I II III

Annu

al p

erce

ntag

es

Goods Services Tourism GDP

Fuente: INEGI. System of National Accounts of Mexico. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ResultadosITAT.aspx

Page 28: Results of Tourism Activity

28

QUARTERLY INDICATORS OF TOURIST INDUSTRY: TOURISM EMPLOYMENT

Chart 23. In the last quarter of 2018 around four million 187 thousand people were employed in the Mexican tourism sector, which accounted for 8.6% of the national employment. This represented a rise of 2.3% in comparison to the last quarter of the previous year.

IV QuarterPeople

Employed Change

2017

2018

4,095,282

4,187,463 2.3%

4,187,463

2,700,000

2,900,000

3,100,000

3,300,000

3,500,000

3,700,000

3,900,000

4,100,000

4,300,000

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Peop

le e

mpl

oyed

Source: SECTUR. National System of Statistical and Geographic Information.https://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ResultadosITET.aspx

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29

Results of Tourism Activity

Change % Change %2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 18/17 2018 2019 19/18

Inbound traveler expenditures Million dollars 16,208.4 17,733.7 19,649.7 21,336.2 22,509.7 5.5% 1,945.0 2,288.9 17.7% Outbound traveler expenditures Million dollars 9,605.8 10,098.1 10,303.0 10,840.0 11,300.4 4.2% 1,015.4 913.3 -10.1%International travelers balance Million dollars 6,602.6 7,635.6 9,346.7 10,496.2 11,209.3 6.8% 929.6 1,375.6 48.0%

International visitors Thousand 81,042.1 87,128.6 80,437.6 99,349.3 96,782.6 -2.6% 8,363.2 7,923.9 -5.3% International tourists Thousand 29,345.6 32,093.3 20,663.9 39,290.9 41,446.9 5.5% 3,339.3 3,482.5 4.3% Long-stay tourists Thousand 15,999.9 18,307.2 20,663.9 22,482.8 23,366.6 3.9% 1,971.2 1,961.3 -0.5% Border tourists Thousand 13,345.7 13,786.1 14,415.5 16,808.1 18,080.4 7.6% 1,368.1 1,521.2 11.2% Same-day travelers Thousand 51,696.5 55,035.3 59,773.8 60,058.3 55,335.7 -7.9% 5,023.9 4,441.4 -11.6% In border area travelers Thousand 45,911.2 48,920.5 53,079.1 52,377.8 47,018.6 -10.2% 4,168.3 3,470.4 -16.7% In cruises travelers Thousand 5,785.2 6,114.8 6,694.6 7,680.6 8,317.1 8.3% 855.7 971.0 13.5%

International visitors Million dollars 16,208.4 17,733.7 19,649.7 21,336.2 22,509.7 5.5% 1,945.0 2,288.9 17.7% International tourists Million dollars 14,320.0 15,825.7 17,697.8 19,180.3 20,340.7 6.0% 1,757.8 2,095.2 19.2% Long-stay tourists Million dollars 13,579.9 15,035.0 16,925.8 18,197.2 19,230.0 5.7% 1,677.4 1,990.6 18.7% Border tourists Million dollars 740.1 790.7 772.0 983.1 1,110.7 13.0% 80.4 104.7 30.2% Same-day travelers Million dollars 1,888.4 1,908.0 1,951.8 2,155.9 2,169.0 0.6% 187.2 193.7 3.4% In border area travelers Million dollars 1,469.6 1,508.9 1,558.1 1,673.4 1,609.4 -3.8% 129.5 127.2 -1.8% In cruises travelers Million dollars 418.8 399.2 393.8 482.5 559.6 16.0% 57.7 66.5 15.3%

International visitors Dollars 200.0 203.5 244.3 214.8 232.6 8.3% 232.6 288.9 24.2% International tourists Dollars 488.0 493.1 856.5 488.2 490.8 0.5% 526.4 601.6 14.3% Long-stay tourists Dollars 848.8 821.3 819.1 809.4 823.0 1.7% 850.9 1,014.9 19.3% Border tourists Dollars 55.5 57.4 53.6 58.5 61.4 5.0% 58.8 68.8 17.1% Same-day travelers Dollars 36.5 34.7 32.7 35.9 39.2 9.2% 37.3 43.6 17.0% In border area travelers Dollars 32.0 30.8 29.4 31.9 34.2 7.1% 31.1 36.6 17.9% In cruises travelers Dollars 72.4 65.3 58.8 62.8 67.3 7.1% 67.4 68.5 1.6%

Total international travelers abroad Mexico Thousand 90,981.7 94,988.4 97,371.7 94,274.5 86,517.3 -8.2% 7,772.6 6,787.6 -12.7% Outbound traveler expenditures Million dollars 9,605.8 10,098.1 10,303.0 10,840.0 11,300.4 4.2% 1,015.4 913.3 -10.1% Average Expenditure Dollars 105.6 106.3 105.8 115.0 130.6 13.6% 130.6 134.6 3.0% International tourists abroad of Mexico Thousand 18,260.7 19,603.0 20,223.1 19,066.8 19,838.9 4.0% 1,685.7 1,543.9 -8.4% Outbound tourism expenditure Million dollars 6,610.7 7,026.5 7,155.6 7,502.6 8,199.1 9.3% 735.4 660.2 -10.2% Average Expenditure Dollars 362.0 358.4 353.8 393.5 413.3 5.0% 436.3 427.6 -2.0% Same-day travelers abroad Thousand 72,721.0 75,385.4 77,148.7 75,207.7 66,678.5 -11.3% 6,086.9 5,243.7 -13.9% Outbound expenditure Million dollars 2,995.1 3,071.6 3,147.4 3,337.4 3,101.3 -7.1% 280.0 253.2 -9.6% Average Expenditure Dollars 41.2 40.7 40.8 44.4 46.5 4.8% 46.0 48.3 5.0%

Total passengers arriving by air Thousands 49,955.8 56,367.6 62,838 68,270 74,094.0 8.5% 5,998.7 6,220.1 3.7% International flights Thousands 17,125.6 19,279.3 20,972 22,911 24,301.9 6.1% 2,208.4 2,207.5 0.0% Domestic flights Thousands 32,830.2 37,088.3 41,867 45,359 49,792.0 9.8% 3,790.3 4,012.6 5.9%

United States of America Thousands 7,164.4 8,391.7 9,417.6 10,340.5 10,496.4 1.5% 847.3 817.3 -3.5%Canada Thousands 1,676.7 1,748.5 1,781.5 1,985.1 2,155.4 8.6% 338.5 358.0 5.8%United Kingdom Thousands 458.9 506.0 545.1 563.1 590.9 4.9% 33.0 34.4 4.4%Argentina Thousands 246.4 341.1 406.0 474.2 490.2 3.4% 64.1 47.4 -26.0%Colombia Thousands 328.2 407.4 439.7 485.4 557.6 14.9% 46.0 49.0 6.7%

United States of America Thousands 7,348.5 7,690.0 9,643.9 10,565.5 10,748.2 1.7% 861.6 834.6 -3.1%Canada Thousands 1,646.2 1,489.4 1,734.6 1,958.0 2,168.0 10.7% 344.3 358.0 4.0%United Kingdom Thousands 432.3 477.3 513.8 531.9 556.8 4.7% 30.2 32.0 5.9%Argentina Thousands 218.4 309.6 375.2 451.3 454.3 0.7% 60.5 42.5 -29.7%Colombia Thousands 292.4 326.0 390.2 430.0 494.2 14.9% 36.6 39.1 6.9%

Passenger in cruices Thousands 5,563.1 5,929.2 6,427.7 7,299.3 7,857.5 7.6% 846.9 939.1 7.6%Cruise's arrivals Number 2,091.0 2,180.0 2,269.0 2,558.0 2,668.0 4.3% 336.0 335.0 4.3%

Percentaje of hotel accupation Percentage 57.2 59.6 60.4 61.2 60.9 (0.3) 58.8 55.8 (3.0) Arrival of tourists to hotel rooms Thousands 65,000.2 69,827.3 74,505.3 79,656.7 82,724.9 3.9% 6,439.1 6,225.2 -3.3%

Tourism employment Thousands 3,641.0 3,803.4 3,951.9 4,095.3 4,187.5 2.3% NA NA NA* A report from the Hotel Occupancy monitored weekly in 70 centers. Changes in percentage points in the case of hotel occupancy. 13/03/2019** Quarterly figures, excluding induced employment. *** For annual percentage change data for the last quarter of the current year compared to the last quarter of the previous year.NA Not applySources: Bank of Mexico. ASA e INEGI, UPM, SCT, SECTUR.

Movements cruise (SCT, Dirección General de Puertos)

Subject Unit of measurement

International travelers balance (INEGI and Banco de México)

Arrival of passengers on domestic and international flights (ASA)

International travelers to Mexico (INEGI and Banco de México)

International travelers abroad Mexico (INEGI and Banco de México)

Foreign visitors by air and country of nationality or residence (Unidad de Política Migratoria)

Number of travelers (Thousand)

Inbound travelers expenditure (Million dollars)

Average expenditure (dollars)

Year (January-December) Enero

Hotel business* (SECTUR)

Number of tourist jobs** (SECTUR based on ENOE)

Country of nationality

Country of residence

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30

Macroeconomic indicators, prospects

En�ty2018 2019 2018 2019

International Monetary Fund 2.10 2.20 3.80 3.10 OECD 2.50 2.80 4.20 3.40 Bank of Mexico Survey 1.64 1.91 3.67 3.71 Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit 2.00 2.60 3.40 - Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (January 2019); OECD, Economic Outlook (2018/2); Bank of Mexico, Expectations Survey Economic Specialist Private

Sector (01/03/19); Ministry of Finance, General Criteria of Economic Policy 2019 and Guide for the calculation of the real growth rate of Potential GDP, 2018.

Gross Domes�c Product Infla�onReal growth % (% dec/dec)

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31

Mexico’s key economic indicators

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018.I 2018.II 2018.III 2018.IV 2018 Jan 2019General Economic Ac�vity and Services Iden�fied with TourismGross Domes�c Product . Millions of current pesos 17,473,842 18,551,459 20,116,689 21,921,242 22,643,004 23,611,445 23,422,519 24,493,981 23,542,737 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 2.8 3.3 2.9 2.1 1.2 2.6 2.5 1.7 2.0 Ter�ary ac�vi�es

. Millions of current pesos 31,950 35,522 40,976 45,627 40,754 51,157 50,418 62,239 51,142 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 8.3 8.5 9.1 11.8 16.2 10.7 8.7 8.6 10.9

. Millions of current pesos 178,273 204,628 226,194 251,895 266,377 266,591 271,975 270,269 268,803 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % 6.5 8.6 4.0 5.8 5.8 0.5 2.3 3.2 2.9

. Millions of current pesos 191,676 216,860 234,031 250,961 246,350 257,962 264,341 267,987 259,160 . Constant prices annual varia�ons in % -0.6 6.4 3.2 2.5 0.5 -0.6 -0.9 -2.5 -0.9

Tourism GDP . Annual varia�ons in % 1.8 5.1 4.0 2.9 2.0 2.2 2.9 Internal tourism consump�on . Annual varia�ons in % 0.4 4.6 4.2 2.3 3.3 2.9 3.2

. Annual varia�ons in % -1.0 2.3 0.7 1.8 5.0 2.3 2.9

. Annual varia�ons in % 12.0 21.2 24.8 4.9 -3.5 5.9 5.0

People Employed in the Tourism Sector (SECTUR)* 3,640,970 3,803,442 3,951,887 4,095,282 4,111,028 4,129,760 4,144,803 Total number of IMSS-Insure Workers

16,990,724 17,724,222 18,401,344 19,203,608 19,671,887 19,892,251 20,068,546 20,297,823 19,982,627 20,174,011 14,570,291 15,170,986 15,785,784 16,463,524 16,815,780 17,025,166 17,183,029 17,372,877 17,099,213 17,266,442

2,420,433 2,553,236 2,615,560 2,740,084 2,856,107 2,867,085 2,885,517 2,924,947 2,883,414 2,907,569 Unemployment Na�onal Rate ** (closing of the period)

4.16 4.33 3.37 3.13 3.14 3.34 3.46 3.26 3.35 3.57

Na�onal Price Index (closing of the period)4.1% 2.1% 3.4% 6.8% 5.0% 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 4.8% 4.4%

16.7% 3.2% 9.8% 2.8% -6.0% -1.0% -6.3% -2.3% -2.3% 9.3%4.8% 4.2% 7.8% 7.2% 6.1% 4.9% 3.8% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9%5.1% 7.6% 6.4% 4.2% 8.0% 5.7% 3.4% 8.6% 8.6% 6.4%5.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2%

Exchange Rate (peso / dollar)13.306 15.868 18.691 18.920 18.728 19.427 18.961 19.853 19.242 19.165

Business Cycle Indicators and Consumer Confidence (montly difference****)0.030 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.010 -0.030 -0.070 ND ND ND

-0.080 -0.080 -0.060 0.010 -0.010 0.020 0.050 -0.080 -0.080 ND0.090 0.040 -0.160 -0.140 0.130 0.530 0.410 0.420 0.420 0.440

N.A. Not available.

Nota: La suma de los datos mensuales no coincide con el acumuldo del periodo, debido al redondeo de cifras.

* For 2016 figures for IV quarter.

** For 2016 figures for the fourth quarter. The Tourist Employment dataset is smoothed by averaging the last four quarters of it. The objec�ve is to eliminate irregular .fluctua�ons in the short and medium term.

*** Percentage of all the economically ac�ve popula�on. Data at the end of the period for annual and monthly figures and average period for quarterly informa�on.

**** For prices of the consumer: at the end of the year are annual varia�ons and same month previos year is for monthly data varia�on.

***** Point monthly difference (closing of the period).

Sources: SECTUR, INEGI, STYPS, Bank of Mexico.

. Forward Indicator . Confidence Consumer Index

. Total Percentage of PEA

. Restaurants (percent varia�on)

. Average of the period

. Coincident Indicator

Consumer (percent varia�on) . Air transport (percent varia�on) . Hotel (percent varia�on) . Package Tourist Services (percent varia�on)

Prices and Exchange Rate***

Entries

- Air Transporta�on (481)

- Food and Beverages Prepara�on Services (722)

- Temporary Lodging Services (721)

.Non-permanent (urban and field)

Employees insured by IMSS (average of the period)

Domes�c tourism consump�on

Inbound tourism consump�on

Quarterly Indicators of Tourism Ac�vity

Tourism Employment

.Permanent

Page 32: Results of Tourism Activity

32

NationalIn the fourth quarter of 2018, economic activity in Mexico showed a significant deceleration compared to the previous quarter, which could continue towards the beginning of 2019. The latter was influenced both by the slowdown in the global economy and by a greater weakness of various components of domestic demand and some transitory factors.Based on the timely information available, it is estimated that in all regions except the northern center, there has been a weakening of economic performance in the fourth quarter of 2018. In fact, it is expected that in the south there will be a contraction, and that in the northern and central regions there has been a stagnation, after the expansion observed the pre-vious quarter. The weak performance of economic activity in these regions was a reflection of a fall in most of the sectors considered, except tourism - which showed some recovery after showing weakness in the previous quarter - and, in the north, in the sector agricultural and mining.In addition, it is anticipated that the South has presented a stagnation of non-oil activity, which slowed the upward tra-jectory that it had been showing since the beginning of 2017. In contrast, in the northern center a higher rate of growth is expected during the quarter than it is reported with respect to the third, which can be attributed, to a large extent, to an increase in construction, to a rebound in tourism, as well as to the upward trajectory of agricultural production.TourismThe performance of the activity in the tourism sector, measured through the number of hotel rooms occupied and the arrival of passengers in airports, was positive, in general, in the regions during the quarter that is reported. This behavior is observed after the weak performance of the previous quarter. In particular, the number of occupied rooms registered an expansion in the northern, central northern and southern regions, while in the center it remained at a level similar to that observed in the previous quarters. As regards the arrival of passengers, it increased in the different regions of the country, thus maintaining its upward trajectoryPerspectivesFor the next twelve months, employers interviewed in different regions anticipate an increase in demand for their goods and services. The signal, however, was weaker than that observed in the previous quarter in all regions, with the exception of the northern center, where it strengthened. The consulted executives foresee that the boost to demand will be supported by the growth of the manufacturing, commercial, services, financial and tourism sectors.Regarding external factors that will boost demand, the sources consulted highlighted the growth of the US economy; the eventual ratification of the commercial agreement between Mexico, the United States and Canada; and an increasing flow of tourism.Among the internal factors, the managers interviewed mentioned the implementation of social support programs for young people and the elderly. They also anticipate an increase in the activity of the tourism sector, supported by a greater number of conventions, sporting and gastronomic events in entities such as Mexico City, the State of Mexico and Guanajuato.The business contacts interviewed highlighted, as an external factor of momentum, the expectation that incoming tourism in the Mexican Caribbean will continue to expand due, in part, to the fact that, recently, travel alerts have not been issued for that region of the country. by the United States governmentWith regard to transport infrastructure, the sources consulted highlighted the construction of the Mayan Train as a fun-damental project for the development of the region, given the positive effects it could have on construction, tourism, trade and manufacturing.*Free translation of the original in English.

http://www.oecd.org/economy/outlook/global-growth-weakening-as-some-risks-materialise-OECD-interim-economic-outlook-han-

Economic context*