results achieved in 2012 and our strategy for 2013 · 2014-09-26 · results achieved in 2012 and...
TRANSCRIPT
December 5, 2012SHOWA DENKO K.K.Hideo Ichikawa President and CEO
Results Achieved in 2012 andResults Achieved in 2012 andOur Strategy for 2013Our Strategy for 2013
2
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
3
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
4
Business environment (1)Global economic growth rate and exchange rate
5.1%
3.8%
3.3% 3.6%
87.8¥/USD
2010
79.8¥/USD
2011 20122010 2011 20122010 2011 201320122010 2011
116.4¥/EUR
111.1¥/EUR79.3¥/USD*101.9¥/EUR*
* Monthly average exchange rate for the Jan.- Oct. 2012 period
Economic growth rate as announced by IMF in October 2012.
5
Business environment (2)
The yen rate staying at historically high levels
Rising electricity costs(For chemical industry: ¥20 billion/y in TEPCO district alone)
Delays in responding to FTAsTighter environmental regulations, etc.
Japanese firms facing “six-fold handicaps”
6
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Asia
Japan
Europe
USA
18.7%14.5%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Asia
EU/USA
Other
14.2%
1.9%
Japan
2008Q3 2012Q2
30%20%
South Korea
Japan
Other
Business environment (3) Changes in Japan’s industrial structure
Declining international competitive power
【Semiconductors: Market share by region】
(Ministry of Internal Affairs)(WSTS)
【Flat panel TVs: Market share by country】
(DisplaySearch)
【Cell phones: Market share by region】
7
Business environment (4)Our customer industries’ situation
【Slow demand for petrochemicals】 【Slowdown in electronics】
【Little progress in reconstruction】
8
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth and New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
9
Estimated 2012 business results
18
42
790
2012Earlier
forecast
17.0
47.4
854.2
2011results
-8
-10
-40
Variance
10Net income
32Operating income
750Net sales
2012Current
forecast*
(Billions of yen)
*Current forecast was announced on Nov. 1. Earlier forecast was announced on Aug. 1.
Dividend will be ¥3/share.
Dividend: ¥3/share
10
In 2013, severe business environment will continue
Japan+1.2%
China+8.2%
USA+2.1%
Europe+0.2%
Expected economic growth rates in 2013(announced by IMF in October 2012)
(Assumptions)(1) Exchange rate: ¥80/USD(2) Japan: Domestic production in 1H will remain at current level;
slow recovery in 2H.(3) Demand in China: Slow recovery(4) Electricity cost: Rate hike unavoidable
World+3.6%
11
Performance forecast for 2013 (Image)
10
32
750
2012Forecast*
+5
+3
+50
Variance
15Net income
35Operating income
800Net sales
2013Image
*Performance forecast for 2012 was announced on Nov. 1.
(Billions of yen)
12
3235
-10
+3+10
Operating income for 2013: Cause of variance
(Billions of yen)
2012 forecast 2013 image
Lower selling prices; higher electricity cost
Cost reductions,
etc.
Higher shipment
volumes, etc.
13
Redesigning business models
Graphite Graphite electrodeselectrodes
HD mediaHD mediaRare earthsRare earths
PetrochemicalsPetrochemicalsBasic chemicalsBasic chemicalsAluminum cans; Aluminum cans;
ShoticShotic
HighHigh--purity purity aluminum foils;aluminum foils;LBPLBP cylinderscylinders
Inorganic Inorganic
functional materialsfunctional materials
LEDLED
Advanced battery Advanced battery materialsmaterials
Allyl derivativesAllyl derivatives
SemiconductorSemiconductor--processing highprocessing high--
purity gasespurity gases
Functional chemical Functional chemical materialsmaterials
Organic Organic ELEL for for lightinglighting
SiCSiC epiepi--wafer for wafer for power devicespower devices
Base(Stable)
Base(Growth)
Growth and New Growth
Energy/environment market
High-grade electronic device market
Industrial base materials market
14
Overseas
In Japan
Strengthen supply chains to serve ASEAN/China markets
In the area of petrochemicals, chemicals, aluminum and rare earths, we will revise business structures to improve profitability.
Abolish the “business sector” system; Strengthen and reorganizethe functions of business divisions and plants; Increase the speed of commercializing new products based on newly developed technologies.
Change of organization
Business strategy for 2013Redesign existing businesses
- Accelerate globalization- Improve profitability of domestic operations
15
Capital investment plans for 2013Carefully selecting projects in view of the severe business environment
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(\100 million)
Petrochemicals Chemicals Electronics
Inorganics Aluminums Others
299
412
908
693
548
387
580
388
503450
Image
16
232
132
2011 2012 Plan 2013 Target
332
232
132
Cost reduction plans for 2013Total amount for the 2011-2013 period
(¥100 million)
【Up energy efficiency in Kawasaki】 【Improving HD media throughput】
【Major ongoing projects】Reduce energy/electricity costsIncrease the ratio of low-cost raw
materials・HD: Up productivity (World’s highest level)・RE: Use more recycled materials・GE: Up cost competitiveness at Omachi・Petchem: More diversification in feedstock・Chemicals: Drastic cost reduction in basic
chemicals and industrial gases
17
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth and New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
18
PC demand
HD drive
No growth in 2013 due to stagnant EU economy and slowdown of emerging economies.
Slow demand for PC applications. Growing demand for server applications due to progress in cloud computing.
Will return to growth track in 2014.
DD(Disk/Drive) ratio will rise. Growth rate of media will be higher than that of drives.
PMR 6G to continue as the mainstream for a long timeIn-house volume production of 6G will start. SDK will be the first to launch7G.
HD media
Segment strategy EL HD (1)
Business environment for HD media in 2013
19
140139157146
120
176166160
CQ1 CQ2 CQ3 CQ4 CQ1 CQ2 CQ3 CQ42011 2012
(Million units)
(Estimates by TrendFocus and SDK)
Segment strategy EL HD (2)
Quarterly shipments of HD drives
20
650620590582622651558536502
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
680
997659453423
CAGR +30%【Growing market for nearline servers】
Segment strategy EL HD (3)
Medium-term outlook for HD drive industryAnnual shipments: Results and forecast
- No growth in 2013; Return to growth track in 2014
(Million units)
(Estimates by TrendFocus and SDK)
CAGR +3-5%
21(TrendFocus)
Seagate
30%
HGST
15%
Segment strategy EL HD (4)
HD media market shareAs of CQ3 2012
Western Digital
18%
Fuji Electric6%
249 million units
SDK 31%
22
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
PMR SMR
TAMR
PMR 7G
334GB
500GB650GB 750GB 1TB
500
1000
(GB/p)
Segment strategy EL HD (5)
Road map toward higher storage capacityWe will launch PMR 7G (650GB) in 2013, and lead the industry.
(Storage capacity per 2.5” media)
40%/year growthSlowdown to a 20%
year growth
23(TrendFocus)
As of CQ3 2012. SDK is supplying to all drive makers.
Segment strategy EL HD (6)
HD drive industry market share
Toshiba 14%
Western Digital45%
Seagate 41%
139 million units
24
Segment strategy EL RE
Remodeling rare earth business strategy
(2) Develop the Chinese market
(1) Rebuild our RE magnetic alloys business with new technology(Dy-free)
(3) Diversification of raw material sources
【Sites in China】
Producing RE magnetic alloys
【Chichibu Plant】R&D centerProducing high-end items
【Site in Vietnam】
Producing recycled materials
25
Segment strategy EL LED (1)
Establishing a JV in GaN LED business
【Market situation】Growing marketRise of makers in Taiwan,
South Korea and ChinaDeclining prices
Toyoda Gosei
Showa Denko 30%
70%
Establish a JV to strengthen competitive position
TSオプト12/1より
TS Opto (as from Dec. 1)
26
Segment strategy EL LED (2)
Develop the market for plant growth facilitiesSDK’s proprietary technology (660nm-wavelength high-brightness LED)New cultivation technology (Shigyo process, developed jointly with Yamaguchi University)
- Licensing the technology for free to Kawauchi Village, Fukushima Pref.
Kawauchi Village’s plant growth facilityupon completion (conceptual drawing)
Cultivation of vegetables under LED lighting
27
Emerging markets
Industrialized countries(US, Europe, and
Japan)
(Based on estimates by WSA and SDK)
(Million tons)
Electric steel demand will grow in emerging markets.
116(41%)
China
India China China
India India
285
411446
169(59%)
500
China
India
179(44%)
189(42%)
(40%)
232(56%)257(58%) (60%)
2001 2010 2011 2015
Segment strategy Inorganics GE (1)
Forecast of electric steel production
28
Markets in Markets in emerging emerging countriescountries
Volume zoneVolume zone
Expand capacityExpand capacity
Increase shareIncrease share
Markets in Markets in industrialized industrialized
countries countries HighHigh--end productend product
UHPUHPCreate addedCreate added--
valuevalue
Newco in China
Segment strategy Inorganics GE (2)
Entering a new stage
SDKCOmachi Plant
29
SDKC:45 KT/Y ⇒75 KT/Y(up 30 KT/Y) As from 2014
Segment strategy Inorganics GE (3)
Capacity expansion at SDKC, of USA
(1) SDKC (USA)・Serve the markets in North/Central/South America and Europe
(2) Omachi Plant (Japan)・Serve the high-end markets in South Korea, Taiwan, ASEAN, etc.
・Produce connecting pins
(3) New company in China・Enter the Chinese market (volume zone)
Building strategic supply chains
30
Segment strategy Inorganics Ceramics
Chemical alumina project
TayanPlant construction Trial run Full-scale operation
Yokohama Stop operation
Production capacity: 300 KT/Y⇒ Serve existing markets in
Japan and East Asia;Advance into the markets in ASEAN
2013 2014 2015
Construction in Indonesia progressing smoothly
【Tayan, Kalimantan, Indonesia】
31
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
jan apr jul oct jan apr jul oct
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
C2C2 priceprice
US$/T %
20122011
NaphthaNaphtha priceprice
Segment strategy Petrochemicals (1)
Petrochemicals market and plant utilization
Spread (C2 - Naphtha)
Operating rates of ethylene plants in Japan
(JCIA, etc.)
32
Segment strategy Petrochemicals (2)
Strengthen competitiveness of Oita ComplexStrengthen cooperation with upstream and downstream operations
- SM plant: Renewal (in the middle of 2013)- JX Oita Refinery: Mutual supply of raw materials and fuels
Increase value of steam cracker fractions- Develop a butadiene manufacturing process based on
acetaldehyde
【Oita Complex】
33
Segment strategy Chemicals (1)
Improve cost competitiveness in basic chemicals
【Power generation plant】
AN: Strengthen business in by-products and derivatives (such as glycine) CR: Expand sales of high-value gradesIndustrial gases: Reorganize the system within the Group to improve
marketingIPP (power generation business): Maximize power supply. IPP contract
to be renewed in 2014.Utilities: Cost reductions, including utilization of steam pipes on the seabed
34
●●
Functional polymers
Segment strategy Chemicals (2)
Globalized operations in high-value products -1
Korea Showa Chemicals(Specialty gases)
●
Shanghai Showa ChemicalsShanghai Showa Electronics MaterialsShanghai Showa Highpolymer(Functional polymers)Shanghai Showa Highpolymer Trading (Functional polymers)
●Zhejiang Quzhou Juhua Showa Electronic Chemical Materials (Specialty gases)●
● Showa Specialty Gas (Taiwan) Taiwan Showa Chemicals Manufacturing(Chemicalproducts)
● Eternal Showa Highpolymer(Functional polymers)
Showa Specialty Gas SingaporeShowa Highpolymer Singapore (Functional polymers)●
High-performance materials for cars (BMC)Semiconductor-processing specialty gases
(NH3, N2O, HBr, etc.)
High-purity specialty gases
34
35
Segment strategy Chemicals (3)
Globalized operations in high-value products - 2
2000
1000
2012 2020【Market forecast for components used in purifying
processes】
(¥100 million)
【CIM® Monoliths columns】
ShodexTM (Analytical HPLC columns)- Meet growing demand in emerging markets
Invest in a venture company in Europe- Entering the purification resins market through tie-up
with BIA Separations
(Estimates by SDK)
36
ShoticTM
LBP cylinders
High-purityaluminum foils
Cooling unit (for power device)
Heat exchangers
Segment strategy Aluminum (1)
Evolve into a cluster of core businessesEstablish leading positions on the world marketProprietary aluminum forming technologies
Aluminum cans
37【Showa Denko Aluminum (Nantong) Co., Ltd. 】
Sakai(Refining)
Plant construction
Trial run and start-upNantong (China)
2013 2014 2015
Expansion
Aiming to advance into the Chinese market; Expand refining/processing capacities (in and after 2015)
Segment strategy Aluminum (2)
Expand high-purity aluminum foils business in China
38
Segment strategy Aluminum (3)
Global strategy for Shotic businessBuild a new aluminum casting plant in Malaysia
(for use in forged automotive parts)⇒ To meet growing demand in ASEAN and India
Shotic Malaysia
Shotic Singapore ●
39
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
40
Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
LIB materials: Accelerate marketing for automotive applicationsProduct mix based on innovative technologies
- Expand business in the existing four items (products based on carbon and aluminum)
- Accelerate R&D of new products (binders, tab leads, electrolytes, etc.)
【SDK’s LIB products】 【Growth of small LIBs and automotive LIBs】
(B3 Corporation)
■ Automotive LIBs■ Small LIBs
41
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
【SiC product market growth and timing of launch】(Year)
Max
vol
tage
for S
iC d
evic
e
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0.6
1.2
1.7
3.35
10
Cars
Power generation/transmission
Industrial equipment
Data centers
New energy
Trains
(kV)
Electric appliances
Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
SiC epitaxial wafers for power devices
(¥100 million)
Leading technology and quality (smooth surface; low deficiency)Up production capacity by steps for high-quality products to meet growth4” wafer ⇒ 6” wafer (accelerate development)
(Dream Incubator Inc. 2010)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
42
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
43
CEO
Business sectors (6)Research & DevelopmentHeadquarters
Staff sections at head office
Business divisions (15)
Production Technology
Headquarters
Change of organization (1)
【Present】
Marketing, production, SCM, and development
44
CEO
Business sectors (6)Research & DevelopmentHeadquarters
Staff sections at head office
Business divisions (15)
Production Technology
Headquarters
Change of organization (2)
Marketing, production, SCM, and development
Abolish the systems of business sectors and headquarters
45
CEOCorporate officers in charge
Business divisions (13) Plants (12)Staff sections at head office
Business Development
Center
【New organization】 (effective Jan. 4, 2013)
Direct supervision by CEO to increase the speed of decision making and execution
Reorganize the functions of business divisions and plants⇒ Strengthen the functions of profit centers
Change of organization (3)
Business strategy, marketing Production, technology, SCM R&D
46
Strengthen the areasrelating to
growth businesses
Strengthen existing businesses
Projects
Areas of growth and next-generation industries
(Electronics; Energy/Environment)
Institute forPolymers and
Chemicals
Institute forAdvanced and
CoreTechnology
DevelopmentDepartments
at Plants
Change of organization (4)【New R&D organization】
Plants and Business Development Center will cooperate to quickly commercialize new products based on newly developed technologies.
Newly set up “Institute for Polymers and Chemicals” and “Institute for Advanced and Core Technology” under Business Development Center.
47
1. Business environment
2. Performance forecast for 2013 and our strategy
3. Segment strategy
4. Expanding Growth & New Growth businesses
5. Change of organization; its purpose
6. Summary
48
Redesign domestic operations
Strengthen global supply chains
Strengthen business structure
through drastic reforms
Carefully select R&D themes and accelerate commercializationStep up cost reductionsMaximize cash flows by increasing operational efficiencyPursue best locations for business
Summary: Goals to be achieved in 2013
Ideas, hopes and dreams
for your happily ever after.