result update - dewan housing finance corporation ltd q4fy12

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  • 7/31/2019 Result Update - Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd Q4FY12

    1/5

    1Generating Wealth. Satisfying Investors.

    Result Update

    Monnet Ispat

    Q4FY12/FY12- Winner on all parameters

    CMP: Rs.181

    Target Price: Rs.311

    Recommendation: Buy

    Stock Info

    BSE Group B

    BSE Code 511072

    NSE Symbol DEWANHOUS

    Bloomberg DEWH INReuters DWHN.BO

    BSE Sensex 16215.84

    NSE Nifty 4907.8

    Market Info

    Market Capital `2114.8cr

    Equity Capital ` 116.8cr

    Avg. Trading Vol. (NSE Qtly) 246846

    52 Wk High/ Low 279/171

    Face Value 10

    Shareholding Pattern (%) (31st

    Mar 2012)

    Promoters 35.2

    Domestic Institutions 0.8

    Foreign Institutions 43.7

    Non Promoters Corp. 15.4

    Public & Others 4.9

    Govt. Holdings 0.0

    Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd. (DHFL), the dominant player in LMI

    segment, recorded whopping business growth and profitability growth on the back

    of healthy core income performance and superior asset quality for Q4FY12.

    Strong earnings: Robust disbursement growth and the continued demand from the

    middle order segment accelerated the earnings of the company that recorded 64%

    YoY growth in NII at Rs 199crs and 59% YoY growth in PAT driving the RoEs to 19%

    and RoAs close to 2%. Rigorous securitization process backed by assignment

    transactions (at Par) also aided in booking strong income for the Q4. Annual return

    ratios look marginally on the lower side, but Management guided RoEs in the rangeof 19-20% and RoAs of 1.9-2.5% range, at leverage of 10X for FY13 and FY14.

    Sturdy business growth: Healthy home loan sanctions that rose as high as 44% YoY

    to Rs 12845 crs during FY12 backed by sturdy disbursement growth of 39% YoY at

    Rs 9065 crs and the 80-20 loan mix (80% housing and 20% project financing) is

    auguring well for the company. Management plans to record above 25% CAGR

    business growth going ahead.

    Impeccable asset quality: In times of stressed asset quality, DHFL stands as a clear

    winner wrt asset quality healthy book with GNPAs at 0.68% and more than

    sufficient provision coverage of 118% backed by stringent collection procedures

    with lower defaults makes the DHFL book stronger than the peers.

    Outlook: Given the current macro headwinds impacting across financial spectrum

    as well as the regulatory challenges encountered by NBFCs, we concede housing

    finance companies to be less affected by the current turmoil. Moreover, the niche

    market focus of DHFL with differentiated and resilient business model, shift of focus

    to core business (through divestment in subsidiaries), capital sufficiency lower LTVs

    backed by superior asset quality, margins enrichment and superior return ratios

    makes us positive on the company and we reiterate BUY rating on the stock. Sharp

    rise in delinquencies or AUM compression due to market uncertainties, spike in

    costs and continued subdued non-interest income performance form the downside

    risks to the stock. At current valuations, it looks cheap and we value the corebusiness at 0.66X P/ABV and arrive at a SOTP price of Rs 311.

    Financials:(Rs Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14E

    Net interest income 339 679 774 882

    Operating Profit350 398 588 739

    PAT 229 306 422 527

    EPS (Rs)26 29 41 50

    EPS Growth (%) 117 11 38 24

    RoE (%) 22 17 19 20

    P/E (x) 7.7 6.9 5.0 4.1

    PABV (x)1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8

    Source: Company, Arihant Research.

    Result Update

    Dewan Housing Finance

    Corporation Ltd.

    May 14, 2012

  • 7/31/2019 Result Update - Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd Q4FY12

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    2

    Sector -Banking

    enerating Wealth. Satisfying Investors.

    Key highlights during the year FY12:

    DHFL raised Rs.304 crs via the first sizeable Indian QIP in FY12 by issuing 119 cr shares at the rate of Rs.255.50 per share.

    DHFL entered into a home loan syndication agreement with Yes Bank for distribution of Home Loans to all YES BANK

    customers.

    DHFL presently has a reach of over 421 locations in India and with representative offices in Dubai and London.

    The company has achieved a Housing Loan AUM that exceeds Rs. 27000 crore as on March 31st, 2012.

    DHFL now holds 50% stake in Aadhar Housing Finance which has geographical spread across 15 locations as of March,2012.

    The loan book of Aadhar crossed Rs 100crs in FY12 and the maximum ticket size for the company is capped at Rs 0.6mn to

    maintain focus on low income segment.

    The second subsidiary of DHFL namely First Blue Home finance accounts for 67.5% of total DHFL holdings. It caters to

    upper-mid income customers being serviced by DHFL. The majority of its presence is in North-India where DHFL has

    minimum presence providing a huge market potential to tap upon. For FY12, FBHFL recorded robust business performance

    with disbursements growing at 15% and sanctions by 20% YoY.

    DHFL will be merging FBHFL (First Blue Home Finance Ltd) with itself in H1FY13. The cost of acquisition/share of DHFL to the

    minority shareholders of FBHFL comes to Rs 320. Although, legally FBHFL will merge with DHFL, the business will continue

    to operate as a separate Strategic Business Unit (SBU) beneath the DHFL umbrella.

  • 7/31/2019 Result Update - Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd Q4FY12

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    Sector -Banking

    RSF-EUP-01

    Q4FY12 Earnings Update

    Source: Company, Arihant Research

  • 7/31/2019 Result Update - Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd Q4FY12

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    Sector -Banking

    RSF-EUP-01

    Income Statement

    Year to 31st March (Rs.Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14E

    Interest Income 1304 2468 3087 4138

    Interest Expenses 965 1789 2312 3256

    Net Interest Income 339 679 774 882

    - growth % 55 100 14 14

    Other Income 183 2 149 252

    Exceptional Income 35 - - -

    Operating Income 522 681 923 1134

    - growth % 62 30 36 23

    Operating Expenses 172 282 335 396

    - Staff Cost 61 89 108 136

    - Other Operating Exp. 110 193 227 260

    Gross Profits 350 398 588 739

    - growth % 66 14 48 26

    Provisions 9 - 25 26

    Profit Before Taxes 341 398 563 713

    Taxes 76 92 141 185

    Profit After Taxes 265 306 422 527

    - growth % 76 16 38 25

    Adjusted PAT 229 306 422 527

    - growth % 61 34 38 25

    Balance sheet

    As on 31st March (Rs. Cr) FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14E

    LIABILITIES

    Capital 104 117 117 117

    Reserves & Surplus 1444 1916 2289 2753

    Networth 1548 2033 2406 2870

    Borrowings 14850 17113 23014 30361

    - growth % 66 15 34 32

    Other liabilities

    & provisions 275 2412 3182 4134

    TOTAL LIABILITIES 16674 21557 28602 37365

    ASSETS

    Advances 14111 19368 25858 33898

    - growth % 61 37 34 31

    Investments 871 463 497 531

    Fixed assets 222 246 253 246

    Other assets 1470 1480 1995 2690

    TOTAL ASSETS 16674 21557 28602 37365

    Ratio Analysis

    FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14E

    Basic Ratio (Rs.)

    EPS 26.4 29.5 40.6 50.2

    Book Value per share 148.9 174.0 205.9 245.6

    Dividend per share 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.5

    Asset Quality (%)Gross NPAs 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9

    Net NPAs 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3

    NPA Coverage 85.1 68.4 66.7 66.7

    Business Performance(%)

    Loan Growth 61.1 37.3 33.5 31.1

    Leverage 11.0 10.7 11.3 12.5

    Avg Business Growth 63.8 26.0 34.0 31.5

    Operating Profit Margin 22.6 16.1 18.2 16.8

    Net Profit Margin 17.1 12.4 13.0 12.0

    Efficiency Indicator (%)

    Cost to Income 32.9 41.5 36.3 34.9

    FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14E

    Spread analysis (%)

    Avg Yield on Advances 11.4 14.7 13.7 13.9

    Avg Cost of Borrowings 8.1 10.0 9.5 10.3

    Interest Spread 3.3 4.7 4.1 3.6

    Net Interest Margin 2.9 3.9 3.3 2.9

    Return Ratios (%)

    RoE 21.9 17.1 19.0 20.0

    RoA 2.0 1.6 1.7 1.6

    Valuation ratios (x)

    P/E 7.7 6.9 5.0 4.1

    P/BV 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8

    Dividend Yield 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.2

  • 7/31/2019 Result Update - Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd Q4FY12

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    Sector -Banking

    RSF-EUP-01

    Arihant Research Desk

    E. [email protected]

    T. 022-42254827

    Head Office Registered Office

    3rd Floor, Krishna Bhavan,

    67 Nehru Road, Vile Parle (East),

    Mumbai - 400057

    Tel: (91-22) 42254800Fax: (91-22) 42254880

    E-5 Ratlam Kothi

    Indore - 452003, (M.P.)

    Tel: (91-731) 3016100

    Fax: (91-731) 3016199

    Stock Rating ScaleAbsolute Return

    BUY >20

    ACCUMULATE 12-20

    HOLD 5-12REDUCE