response to c vid -19 · school of public policy & governance, tiss- hyderabad sarayu &...
TRANSCRIPT
International Policy Response April 14th, 2020
TANNIYA SANKHYAN | SARAYU NANDAKUMAR
FACULTY MENTOR: ASEEM PRAKASH
SCHOOL OF PUBLIC POLICY AND GOVERNANCE
TATA INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES HYDERABAD
RESPONSE TO
C VID -19
S e r i e s 5 – R e p o r t 1
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
About the Series:
The School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS Hyderabad, is collaborating and
supporting the initiative undertaken by its alumnus to document the response of
Union and State Governments to address the Health, Livelihood and other Welfare
concerns posed by COVID-19. This initiative documents the international policy
response
Note: As we understand, this documentation is a dynamic exercise and will require
constant upgradation. We will attempt to add the new initiatives regularly and
disseminate it widely.
The information used in this document have been taken from reports published by
respective governments, IMF, WHO and other international bodies and every effort
was taken to ensure that the data is accurate and reliable. Any inadvertent
omissions/lapses are deeply regretted. Please inform of any such omissions at
[email protected]. Immediate measures will be taken to correct the
information.
About the Authors: Sarayu Nandakumar, alumnus of the batch 2016-18, holds an MA in Development Studies from the School of Livelihood and Development, TISS, is currently engaged with the Aga Khan Foundation. Tanniya Sankhyan, alumnus of the batch 2016 – 18, holds an MA in Public Policy & Governance from the School of Public Policy &Governance, TISS, is currently engaged with the Government of Karnataka. Faculty Mentor: Aseem Prakash, Professor & Chairperson, School of Public Policy and Governance, Tata Institute of Social Sciences, Hyderabad. All views expressed in this document are personal and has no relation to any affiliated institution.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
SCHOOL OF PUBLIC POLICY AND GOVERNANCE
TATA INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES HYDERABAD
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 1
Table Of Contents INTRODUCTION ___________________________________________________________________________ 2
SCHEMATIC FLOW _________________________________________________________________________ 4
BACKGROUND ____________________________________________________________________________ 5
SHORT TERM MEASURES TAKEN _____________________________________________________________ 6
EARLY RESPONSE___________________________________________________________________________ 6 SUMMARY OF EARLY MEASURES ________________________________________________________________ 7 OTHER MEASURES _________________________________________________________________________ 9
Masks _______________________________________________________________________________ 9 Testing Kits __________________________________________________________________________ 10 Technology __________________________________________________________________________ 11 Control Material for Laboratory Tests _____________________________________________________ 12 Vaccine _____________________________________________________________________________ 12
UNIQUE GLOBAL POLICY RESPONSES _________________________________________________________ 13
FISCAL & SOCIAL POLICY_____________________________________________________________________ 13 Medium & Small Enterprises – Brazil, China, Italy, Singapore ___________________________________ 13 Prevention Of Unemployment & Quicker Recovery – Germany, Brazil, Lithuania, Czech Republic, Singapore ___________________________________________________________________________________ 15 Migrant Labour – Portugal, Maldives, Lebanon _____________________________________________ 18 Healthcare – Lithuania, S.Korea, Eu, Germany, Ukraine, Portugal, Singapore ______________________ 19 Tourism _____________________________________________________________________________ 22
EUROPEAN UNION ________________________________________________________________________ 24 MONETARY MEASURES _____________________________________________________________________ 26
Denmark ____________________________________________________________________________ 26 Czech Repubic ________________________________________________________________________ 26 Kenya ______________________________________________________________________________ 26 Srilanka _____________________________________________________________________________ 27
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS ___________________________________________________________ 28
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION _______________________________________________________________ 28 UNITED NATIONS _________________________________________________________________________ 29 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ______________________________________________________________ 29 ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK __________________________________________________________________ 29 KFW DEVELOPMENT BANK ___________________________________________________________________ 30
SUMMARY ______________________________________________________________________________ 31
ANNEXURE I _____________________________________________________________________________ 32
COUNTRY SPECIFIC POLICY MEASURES _______________________________________________________ 33
Table of Figures
Figure 1: Flattening the curve ________________________________________________________________ 3
Figure 2: Timeline of COVID-19 and Government Responses ________________________________________ 6
Figure 3: Flattening of the Curve ______________________________________________________________ 9
Figure 4: Total test for covid-19 ______________________________________________________________ 11
Figure 5: New control material for testing sars-cov-2 _____________________________________________ 12
Figure 6: G20 Countries Fiscal Response to covid-19 ______________________________________________ 31
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 2
Introduction
The pandemic has prompted governments across the world to act quickly as the crisis has
loomed upon with unprecedented set of problems. With no cure or vaccine as of today for
the disease, governments are tasked to respond through policy interventions to effectively
and immediately curtail the spread as well as adopting certain policy measures to provide
economic and social safeguards to mitigate a total social and economic disorder. The
immediate policy outcome to curtail the spread of the disease can be visualized graphically
through the shape of a curve. The curve represents the trajectory of positive cases (those
infected with the disease) plotted along the y axis with dates plotted on the x axis. With no
intervention, the curve is said to grow exponentially. Therefore, the first response for any
government has been to design the shape of this graph through strategic policy action. The
most popular imagination is to ‘flatten the curve’ or delay the spread of the disease by locking
down the economy and discontinuing non-essential activities and adopting other protective
measures, so that additional time is bought, easing the burden on the health care system and
the overall impact it has on the economy. Some countries of the West 1 have tried an
alternative approach to curtail the spread of the disease called ‘herd immunity’ – where so
many people in the community become immune to the disease that it stops spreading. While
these are two popular immediate approaches to deal with the spread of the disease due to
non-availability of a vaccine, the outbreak itself has led to a catastrophic impact on the
economy globally. More specific, it has impacted various sectors and segments of the
economy differently.
This report therefore considers the trajectory of confirmed cases, how it has developed from
Jan 17th to April 14thnd and specifies the measures taken by the countries that were
frontrunners in taking early action. Further, it documents the policy response on various
sectors of the economy across countries as well as records the response of some of the
prominent international organisations such as the World Health Organisation, Asian
Development Bank, United Nations and International Monetary Fund. While some countries
have managed to defend themselves better with the resulting outcomes of certain policy
1 United Kingdom, Sweden, Netherlands
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 3
measures to be somewhat favourable in the short run, every single policy decision taken is a
considered to be as valuable, for they offer great insights and learning. The need of the hour
is to better understand learn from these experiences so as to guide us in taking evidence
based policy measures. This may be supplemented with similar studies using statistical
analysis.2
2 A team of researchers at Blavatnik School of Policy, University of Oxford have created an online tracker which collates government’s action and
adoption of policy measures and uses statistical tools to determine if stringency of government responses and the time at which those decisions were taken have any implications on the rate of infection. https://www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/research/research-projects/oxford-covid-19-government-response-tracker
FIGURE 1: FLATTENING THE CURVE
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 4
Country wise - Case Fatality Rate
Unique Policy Measures
Country Highlights -Policy Responses on
Econimic Impact
Medium and Small Enterprises
Prevention Of Unemployment & Quicker Recovery
Migrants
Healthcare
Tourism
Country Highlights-Monetary Policy
International Organisations
WHO
UN
IMF
ADB
KfW
Early Response measures
Schematic Flow
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 5
Background The first case was reported in China on 17th November, 2019. The Chinese authorities
intimated the World Health Organisation on 31st December, 2019 when it was already a full-
fledged outbreak. It was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organisation (WHO) on
11th March, 2020. This report takes cognisance of policy action taken from the time first case
was reported in China to April 14th. The table below indicates the case fatality rate of different
countries since the time WHO declared covid-19 as a pandemic.
Source: (worldometers, 2020)
11th
March
14th
April
11th
March
14th
April
UK 434 81422 8 12107 14.87%
Italy 12462 162488 827 21067 12.97%
Netherlands 503 27419 5 2945 10.74%
Spain 2277 174060 55 18255 10.49%
Sweden 500 11335 1 1033 9.11%
Iran 9000 74877 354 4683 6.25%
Brazil 52 25684 0 1552 6.04%
Denmark 514 6511 0 299 4.59%
USA 1301 613883 38 26047 4.24%
Kenya 0 216 0 9 4.17%
China 80793 82295 3169 3342 4.06%
Bosnia and
Herzegovina 7 1083 0 40 3.69%
India 62 11555 0 384 3.32%
Lebanon 68 641 2 21 3.28%
Portugal 61 17448 0 567 3.25%
Srilanka 2 233 0 7 3.00%
Ukraine 1 3372 0 98 2.91%
Guatemala 0 180 0 5 2.78%
Lithuania 3 1091 0 29 2.66%
Germany 1966 132210 3 3495 2.64%
Czech
Republic 94 6141 0 161 2.62%
South Korea 7755 10591 60 224 2.12%
Finland 65 3161 0 64 2.02%
Taiwan 48 395 1 6 1.52%
Iceland 85 1720 0 8 0.47%
Hong Kong 130 1013 3 4 0.39%
Singapore 178 3252 0 10 0.31%Maldives 8 21 0 0 0.00%
Postive cases Deaths Case
Fatality
RateCountry
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 6
FIGURE 2: TIMELINE OF COVID-19 AND GOVERNMENT RESPONSES Source: Brookings India, 2020
Short Term Measures Taken
Early Response
Almost all the countries across the world have taken immediate measures to curtail the
spread of the virus through social distancing, travel bans, closure of schools, events, parks,
restaurants and other public places and the most stringent of all, a lockdown. The figure
below pictorially represents when various governments’ have taken these measures since the
first case reported in Wuhan.
The East Asian countries – namely Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea emerged to be better
coping as a result of their early response. They acted based on the learnings and experiences
from the outbreak of SARS and MERS in early 2000s. The following pages innumerate the early
measures these specific countries took that considerably flattened the curve.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 7
Summary of Early Measures
Taiwan Singapore South Korea
Only 81 miles away from mainland China, Taiwan has been extremely successful in containing the spread of the virus in the country. As on April 2nd, 2020 the total number of Covid 19 positive cases in the country were 339 with a total of 5 deaths (Taiwan Centers for Disease Control, 2020). Its early and aggressive efforts has ensured such a control. Picking upon the signals of a flu like illness in Wuhan through social media in December, the CDC in Taiwan sent out two doctors to Wuhan to know more about the situation and on January 20th, the government of Taiwan set up and activated a centralized command center.
• First reported case- 21st January 2020
• Screening and testing at airports from when China reported to WHO in January.
• Suspended tours to China from February 2020
• Banned exports of face masked and capped them at $0.17 and rationed it out to citizens’ upon presenting their Natl. Health Insurance Card.
• By late February, Teipei distributed masks, hand
• First case reported on 23rd January
• Infrastructure – isolation
hospitals were built after the SARS outbreak with negative pressure rooms in place.
• Took necessary precautions when China started reporting flu- cases in December. Singapore was ready with measures by the time WHO declared it as a pandemic.
• Conducts aggressive testing.
• People who test positive are
all kept in hospitals. Strict quarantine measures with location checks and punishment is harsh if violated. Even those with mild cases are kept in hospitals unlike US, Europe and Australia
• Home quarantine measures are also very strict - own bathroom, no visitors, no home members in too
• Focused on a strong and clear public awareness campaign through cartoons.
• Ensured that the communication and messages were strong enough to not let fear of the disease drive people’s
• First case reported – 20th January 2020
• Early realization of severity - corona test kits were being made after 1 week of first detection. Country makes more than 1, 00,000 kits a day.
• Opened 600 specialized testing centers that aren’t in regular hospitals and clinics. Test centers include drive-ins and walk-ins. Public messaging emphasized on testing and getting tested if anyone showed any symptom.
• Visitors from abroad had download an app that keeps track of their symptoms and movement.
• Public buildings use thermal image cameras.
• Restaurants check for temperature of all visitors before they were let in.
• When the number of cases started growing, cell phones were
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 8
sanitizers and forehead thermometers to schools and after school institutions.
• Thermal thermometers were already installed in airports (during SARS), travelers had to report health and travel history through a QR Code to the Government. The Government strictly tracked these.
• People who had not travelled to the identified high-risk areas were sent a health declaration border pass through SMS for faster clearance.
• Those with travel history were quarantined at home and movement was tracked through mobile phones.
• Government does not ignore those who test negative. It monitors them as well to see if new cases emerge from close contacts.
• Fines are high for violating Quarantine measures.
imagination – especially those going into quarantine. The focus was on annihilating any stigma attached to the illness.
• Those who were not infected were allowed to work.
• The Prime Minister does regular press conferences with solid messaging. Plan of Action is also transparent and discussed with all people.
• Testing – o Started with people only
with travel history to Wuhan/ Hubei.
o Anyone who went to China in January.
o By end of January all public hospitals could test. Anyone coming to the hospital with a respiratory illness, anyone in contact with a covid 19 patient were tested.
o All Hospital staff even with a mild cold were tested.
o People in general suffering from a cold could get medical certificate with up to 5 days of stay at home as economic activity was not on halt.
o Casual workers were offered financial help.
altered with SMS whenever new cases were discovered in a region , where and infected person went, weather they had a mask on or not, etc. and encouraged people to get tested if they were around in the same place.
• People ordered into self-quarantine have to get an app which alters the officials if ventured out - huge fines if violated
• Health care measures - identified and treated patients early, segregated mild and severe ones, and ensured the fatality are kept rate low
• The health care system is nationalized and covers any costs related to the Covid-19
• Huge levels of public trust, despite privacy tradeoff.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 9
Other Measures Masks
The Centers of Disease Control, USA, WHO and many international bodies of the west had
been recommending the usage of masks to be limited to those who may have a cold/cough/
sneezing, taking care of a suspected COVID-19 patient, especially if a person is healthy. The
justification was rooted in shortage of supply of masks for health-care workers and front-
line workers. Their stance however changed in April, to one requiring everyone to wear
masks, not necessarily surgical or N95. However, lessons from East Asian Countries that
have flattened the curve indicate that everyone wearing a mask from the early days is a
huge contributor in containing the spread.
FIGURE 3: FLATTENING OF THE CURVE SOURCE: HUANG, 2020 SOURCE: (HUANG, 2020)
Effect of mitigating interventions that would decrease the initial reproduction rate R0 by
50% when implemented at day 25. Red curve is the course of numbers of infected
individuals (”case”) without intervention. Green curve reflects the changed (”flattened”)
curve after intervention. Day 0 (March 3, 2020) is the time at which 100 cases of infections
were confirmed (d100 = 0). The model is only for illustration and was performed in the
SEIR-model simulator (http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html). The non-intervention
model was fitted to these data points: a time period of twenty days in which the number
of cases in the United States has risen from 100 (d100=0) to 35,000 (d100=20). Standard
parameters were used (population size 330 M, Tinc=5.2 days, Tinf = 3.0 days but with the
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 10
rather high value R0=5.6 in order to achieve the observed rate of increase of case numbers
in the U.S. The curves are redrawn not to scale. Source: (Huang, 2020)
Testing Kits Testing is an important cornerstone in terms of policy action to Covid-19 with availability
of testing kits available being an important crux. Countries with aggressive testing policy
along with extensive and testing early have been front runners in flattening the curve. In
fact, tests with robust disaggregated data in itself helps with better understanding of the
pandemic and steps that are needed to be taken. South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore were
front runners in aggressive and early testing. South Korea, at the peak of the crisis was
testing 20,000 people a day and Korean companies are now making tests for at least
135000 people a day.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 11
Source: Our World In Data (Hasell, et al., 2020)
Singapore has authorized permission for using Rapid test kits, a 10-minute test with 95%
accuracy. A private company called Biolidics got a provisional authorization. It uses either
serum, plasma or whole blood samples. The rapid test kit is easy to use and can enable
more effective and efficient decentralized screening among suspected patients. For
instance, it can be deployed for the screening of suspected patients in scenarios like border
entry points or potential COVID-19 clusters.
Technology Innovative digital have emerged across countries. Access to telemedicine has been made
easier in France and the United States. Israel has introduced robotic devices and
telemedicine use to monitor the health status of quarantined people. Korea is trialling
smartphone applications to allow those in quarantine to report the evolution of their case
as well as to monitor their quarantine compliance. Artificial intelligence initiatives to track
the spread of the virus and predict where it may appear next have been developed in
Canada.
FIGURE 4: TOTAL TEST FOR COVID-19
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 12
Control Material for Laboratory Tests
On 1st April 2020, Joint Research Center Scientists designed a new control material that
guarantees correct and harmonized functioning of laboratory tests . The material enhances
quality control detection of SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19. This enables
verification of up to 60 million laboratory tests throughout the European Union. This
control material is fully compatible with the official WHO recommended methods applied
in the EU, Asia and the USA and can be used as a benchmark and validate numerous test
kits developed worldwide.i
FIGURE 5: NEW CONTROL MATERIAL FOR TESTING SARS-COV-2 Source: EU science hub updates
Vaccine Laboratories in many countries are already conducting tests that, it is hoped, will eventually
lead to a vaccine. In an attempt to corral these efforts, WHO brought together 400 of the
world’s leading researchers in February, to identify research priorities.
The agency launched a “Solidarity Trial”, an international clinical trial, involving 90
countries, to help find effective treatment. The aim is to rapidly discover whether any
existing drugs can slow the progression of the disease, or improve survival.
To better understand the virus, WHO has developed research protocols that are being used
in more than 40 countries, in a coordinated way, and some 130 scientists, funders and
manufacturers from around the world have signed a statement committing to work with
WHO to speed the development of a vaccine against COVID-19.ii
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 13
Unique Global Policy Responses The following pages documents the fiscal, social and monetary policy response of various
countries to address the problems emerging due to spread of Covid-19. These countries are
chosen due to their clarity in their respective policy interventions as outlined in the
documents available in the public domain. This section is divided into two three segments,
o Fiscal & Social Policy Measures
The broad intervention areas chosen are Medium & Small Enterprises, Prevention of
Unemployment and quicker recovery, Migrant labour, Tourism and Healthcare.
o European Union’s additional measures for supporting member countries
o Monetary Policy Measures
To get a detailed overview of fiscal, social and monetary policy measures undertaken by the
countries, refer Annexure I.
Fiscal & Social Policy
Country(s) Policy
Framework
Policy
Instrument Policy Measure
MEDIUM & SMALL ENTERPRISES – Brazil, China, Italy, Singapore
Brazil Fiscal
Policy
Loans The Brazilian federal government has
postponed the collection of Simples
National tax for three months, which will
benefit 4.9 crore companies. The Income
Generation Program, with resources from
the Workers' Support Fund, will give R$5
billion to the public banks to grant loans to
micro and small companies.
The Federal government will also contribute
R$ 34 billion for small and medium-sized
Brazilian companies to retain their
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 14
employees. Companies will not be able to
dismiss their employees without just cause
for a period of two months after obtaining
the funds. Companies will have 36 months
to repay (after the six-month grace period).iii
China Fiscal
Policy
Financial
Guarantee
Local government-controlled financing
guarantee and re-guarantee entities will
halve small and micro businesses' costs for
financing guarantee and re-guarantee
services in 2020 and further enlarge the
scale of services to small and micro firms as
well as agricultural and rural entities.iv
Italy Fiscal
Policy
Loans and
Guarantee Fund
The Ministry of Economy and Finance, the
Bank of Italy, the Banking Association
Italiana and Medio-Credito Centrale (MCC)
have set up a task force to offer loans for
micro businesses, SMEs, professionals and
sole proprietorships. The guarantee fund
has been strengthened and expanded to
make the process faster and easier.v
Singapore Fiscal
Policy
Payment
Deferment
Working capital loans will be further
enhanced from 1 April 2020 to 31 March
2021. Small and medium sized enterprises
may defer payments on secured term loans
up to 31 December 2020. Banks and finance
companies may apply for low cost funding
which can lower the interest rates to SME
borrowers.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 15
PREVENTION OF UNEMPLOYMENT & QUICKER RECOVERY – Germany, Brazil, Lithuania, Czech Republic, Singapore
Germany Fiscal
Policy
Credit Subsidies State credit and subsidy program of over
750 billion euros for the self-employed,
small employers and large corporations.
Special programs that help employees pay
rent and maintain benefits have been put
into place. This policy is referred to as
Kurzarbeit or the short time system, which
proved highly successful during the Great
Recession of 2008-2012. It is being used to
prevent a wave of unemployment. The
system allows companies to pause the
employment of workers, who then get up to
67 percent of their wages paid by the state
unemployment agency.
Once the crisis is over, these same workers
are entitled to return to their old jobs at
their former salaries. Companies can
ultimately get back to work quickly because
they can rely on an experienced workforce
and do not need to look for and train new
staff.vi
Brazil Fiscal
Policy
Credit Line The Federal Government announced
measures to help businesses, which
includes an emergency credit line for
companies with revenues between R $360
thousand and R $10 million. The measure
will finance two months of payroll and at R
$ 20 billion (₹ 29.71 crores) per month,
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 16
totalling R $40 billion at the end of the
period.
The government has enacted provisional
measure no. 927 for employers to preserve
jobs during the crisis. Measures such as
remote working, anticipation of individual
vacations, granting of collective vacations,
use and anticipation of holidays,
compensatory hours, suspension of
administrative requirements in
occupational safety and health and the
deferral of payment of the Guarantee Fund
for Seniority may be adopted by
employers.vii
Lithuania Fiscal
Policy
Income Support
Program
Lithuania Government extends support for
downtime and partial downtime to be
made available: employee allowance no
less than a minimum monthly wage
(MMW), State funds will account for 60%
but no more than one MMW. It is also
intended to extend the provisions of the
Artists Social Security Programme and to
allocate additional funds for its
implementation. It is also planned to
allocate funds for the self-employed who
have paid social security contributions: to
pay EUR 257 a month for up to 3 months
when they are unable to carry out their
activities due to quarantine, and to provide
a state guarantee to extend the deferred
period from 3 to 6 months for mortgage
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 17
payments (excluding interest) for those
who have lost their jobs.viii
Czech
Republic
Fiscal
Policy
Income Support
Program
Czech government will pay out (through the
respective employers) 60% of the average
contribution base to employees affected by
the quarantine. The government will
support employers who continue, despite
their businesses being shut down, to pay out
100% of the salaries to affected employees
by covering 80% of salary costs.
For supply chain interruptions that are
crucial for an employer and if the employer
still pays at least 80 % compensation to their
employees, the state will contribute 50% of
the compensation. If a business is hit by
significantly lowered demand on services
and the employer pays at least 60%
compensation, the state will contribute by
50% of the compensation.ix
Singapore Fiscal Social
Policy
Payouts,
Income Support,
Subsidies
The authorities have announced 3 packages
of measures on February 18, March 26, and
April 6, amounting to a total stimulus of
S$59.9 billion (12.2 percent of GDP). Funds
to contain the outbreak are about S$800
million (mainly to the Ministry of Health).
The Care and Support Package provides
support to households (S$ 5.7 billion),
including a cash payout to all Singaporeans,
and additional payments for lower-income
individuals and the unemployed. The
Stabilization and Support Package provides
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 18
support to businesses (about S$31.5 billion),
including wage subsidies, an enhancement
of financing schemes, and additional
support for industries directly affected and
the self-employed. It also sets aside loan
capital of S$20 billion and introduces other
economic resilience measures (S$1.9
billion).
MIGRANT LABOUR – Portugal, Maldives, Lebanon
Portugal Social
Policy
Citizenship The Portuguese Council of Ministers has
decided to temporarily grant all migrants
and asylum seekers currently in the country
full citizenship rights. The move has been
taken in order to permit these categories to
have full access to the country's healthcare
as the outbreak of the novel Coronavirus
escalates in the country, and therefore
reduce the risks for public health. According
to the Portuguese Council of Ministers, the
move will unequivocally guarantee the
rights of all the foreign citizens that have
pending applications submitted at the
Portuguese immigration office until June 30,
as these persons are “in a situation of
regular permanence in National Territory.”x
Maldives Social
Policy
Welfare Access There are about 100,000 migrant workers in
the Maldives, mostly from Bangladesh,
making up roughly 25 percent of the islands’
total population.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 19
The government has established a
dedicated COVID-19 clinic for migrant
workers on Hulhumale island, near the
capital, Malé, which does not require them
to show work permits or other
documentation.xi
Lebanon Social
Policy
Welfare Access The cabinet of Ministers would
distribute 400,000 Lebanese pounds (about
US$150 at current market rates) to the
poorest families and 75 billion Lebanese
pounds (around $28 million) for nutrition
and sanitary assistance. The Lebanese Food
Bank, for example, funded entirely by
donations, sends boxes containing basic
food items and hygiene kits that can last a
family of four for up to one month to 85
nongovernmental organizations. These
organizations distribute the boxes to
vulnerable families that they have identified
across the country. Other initiatives are
providing medicine, rent money, blankets,
and clothing to families who need them. The
government has asked families seeking
coronavirus-related relief to apply for aid
via municipalities.xii
HEALTHCARE – Lithuania, S.Korea, EU, Germany, Ukraine, Portugal, Singapore
Lithuania Fiscal Social
Measure
Procurement The Lithuania Government has allocated
amounts from the collective EUR 500
Million to ensure necessary resources for
the efficient operation of health and public
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 20
security systems with focus on purchasing
personal protective equipment, reagents,
medical and other equipment, staff bonus
payments and additional social guarantees
for health care workers and officials. In
addition, funds will be made available for
additional funding for public authorities
involved in emergency management,
including employee bonus payments. It
also provides solutions for quicker and
simpler public procurement.
South
Korea
Fiscal Social
Measure
Procurement South Korea unveiled a KRW11.7 trillion
(US$9.8 billion) supplementary budget, part
of which is targeting greater disease control
efforts, health services and quarantine
needs.
European
Union
Fiscal Social
Measure
Procurement To directly support healthcare systems in EU
countries, the European Commission
proposed to activate the EU’s Emergency
Support Instrument – a measure that that
Council quickly approved on 14 April. The
€2.7 billion Instrument will support the
distribution of protective gear, the
movement of patients to hospitals with free
capacity, and to the development of
medication and testing methods. The
instrument will be used together with other
EU tools, for example the rescEU medical
stockpile, which is receiving €300 million in
addition to the initially proposed allocation
of €80 million, to support the distribution of
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 21
medical equipment across the EU. It will also
be possible for individuals, foundations and
Member States to make donations and
crowd fund.
Germany Fiscal Social
Measure
Procurement
Surveillance
The government has promised financial
bonuses to hospitals that are able to
increase and maintain intensive care beds.
Furthermore, hospitals with capacity
constraints need to know to which hospitals
they can transfer patients. To this aim the
Robert Koch Institute (RKI), the German
Hospital Association (DKG) and the German
Association of Intensive and Emergency
Care (DIVI) have set up a website, where
each hospital is asked to update dally their
available capacity for intensive care with
respiratory support. On a regional level this
platform is expected to assist doctors in
quickly identifying alternative places for
treatment. In addition, the costs of the
COVID-19tests are covered by the Statutory
Health Insurance (SHI) when recommended
by a doctor. The SHI pay EUR59 per test as
agreed between SHI funds and provider
representative in the context of the self-
governing structures. Patients who are not
deemed in need for testing may still
purchase tests privately at a higher price.
Ukraine Fiscal Social
Measure
Income Support
Tax Rebate
Parliament has also approved a top-up of
300 percent of the salary for medical
personnel working with COVID-19 patients.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 22
To support households, parliament has
adopted legislation that allows households
to deduct the expense of COVID-19
medicine from the calculation of personal
income tax. Medicines, medical devices and
other equipment used to prevent or combat
COVID-19 have been exempt from import
duties and VAT. The government has also
announced the creation of a temporary
stand-alone budgetary program under the
Finance Ministry to fight the pandemic. This
program allows for a greater flexibility in the
reallocation of funds to quickly
accommodate changing priorities.xiii
TOURISM
Portugal Fiscal and
Social
Policy
Credit Line
Social Security
The Government has placed particular
emphasis on the Travel & Tourism sector by
establishing a dedicated €60 million credit
line for micro-businesses in the sector and
by working closely with Turismo de Portugal
to bolster national capacity to respond to
the challenges resulting from COVID-19.
Specifically for micro-enterprises in the
tourism sector, extraordinary support for
the maintenance of employment contracts
in a company in the amount of 2/3 of the
remuneration, and ensuring 70% of Social
Security, the remainder being borne by the
employer, offering of training scholarships
in the Institute for Employment and
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 23
Vocational Training in Portugal (IEFP) and
extending the deadlines for payment of
taxes and other declarative obligations.xiv
Singapore Fiscal Social
Policy
Income Support
Tax Rebate
Qualifying licensed hotels, qualifying
licensed travel agents, qualifying gated
tourist attractions, cruise lines and cruise
terminal operators, and purpose-built MICE
venue operators will receive enhanced
support under the Jobs Support Scheme to
cover 75% of gross monthly wages, per
Singapore Citizen/Permanent Resident
employee, up to a monthly wage cap of
$4,600. Qualifying commercial properties,
including hotels, serviced apartments,
tourist attractions, prescribed MICE venues,
and international cruise and regional ferry
terminals, will enjoy a property tax rebate of
100%.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 24
EUROPEAN UNION ADDITIONAL POLICY MEASURES TO SUPPORT MEMBER COUNTRIES
• Significant public resources are directed to strengthen the healthcare sector and civil
protection mechanisms and to support affected workers and economic sectors. To date,
the aggregate amount of Member States’ discretionary fiscal measures amounts to 3% of
EU GDP, a threefold increase since 16 March, on top of the significant impact of automatic
stabilisers.
• Member States have so far committed to provide liquidity support for sectors facing
disruptions and companies facing liquidity shortages, consisting of public guarantee
schemes and deferred tax payments, which are estimated at 16% of EU GDP on 2nd April,
up from 10% on 16 March.
• Specific temporary state-aid framework to expedite public support to companies, while
ensuring the necessary level playing field in the Single Market as well as the recent
extension of the framework to cover support for research, testing and production relevant
in the fight against the COVID 19 pandemic as of 1st April.
• The proposal for a Coronavirus Response Investment Initiative was approved by the
European Parliament and the Council and is in force as of the 1st of April. This will allow
the use of EUR 37 billion under cohesion policy to address the consequences of the COVID-
19 crisis. In addition, the scope of the Solidarity Fund was broadened to include major
public health crises. Starting from the 1st of April, this allows the hardest hit Member
States to get access to financial support of up to EUR 800 million in 2020.
• Proposals regarding the further temporary flexibility in the use of EU funds, such as
allowing transfers between funds, regions and policy objectives, abandoning national co-
financing requirements and supporting vulnerable members of society. This will help to
mobilise effectively the EU budget to face the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic.
• Dedicated COVID-19 instrument to support the financing of emergency aid, through the
provision of grants, is necessary, to first and foremost reinforce our healthcare systems.
Proposed on 2 April to re-activate the Emergency Support Instrument in the context of
the COVID-19 outbreak.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 25
• EIB Group to create a pan-European guarantee fund of EUR 25 billion, which could support
EUR 200 billion of financing for companies with a focus on SMEs, throughout the EU,
including through national promotional banks.
• Commission proposal of 2 April to set-up a temporary instrument supporting Member
States to protect employment in the specific emergency circumstances of the COVID-19
crisis. It would provide financial assistance during the time of the crisis, in the form of
loans granted on favourable terms from the EU to Member States, of up to EUR 100 billion
in total, building on the EU budget as much as possible, while ensuring sufficient capacity
for Balance of Payments support, and on guarantees provided by Member States to the
EU budget. The instrument could primarily support the efforts to protect workers and
jobs, while respecting the national competences in the field of social security systems, and
some health-related measures.
• Recovery Fund to prepare and support the recovery, providing funding through the EU
budget to programmes designed to kick-start the economy in line with European priorities
and ensuring EU solidarity with the most affected member states.xvxvi
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 26
Monetary Measures
DENMARK
The Denmark’s National Bank (DN) activated the standing swap line (another term for a
temporary reciprocal currency arrangement between central banks. That means they agree
to keep a supply of their country's currency available to trade to another central bank at the
going exchange rate) doubled its size to EUR 24 billion. It will remain in place as long as
needed. The DN announced the launch of an ‘extraordinary lending facility’ which will make
full-allotment, 1-week, collateralized loans available to banks at -0.5 percent interest rate. xvii
Advantages: longer-term refinancing with unchanged interest rates which provides
immediate liquidity support, stability of domestic and foreign financial markets,
recipient central banks gain foreign currency in addition to existing foreign reserves,
and reduction in pressure on the major currencies to appreciate.
CZECH REPUBIC
The Czech National Bank (CNB) revisited its countercyclical capital buffer rate (intended to
protect the banking sector against losses that could be caused by cyclical systemic risks which
requires banks to add capital at times when credit is growing rapidly so that the buffer can be
reduced when the financial cycle turns) for exposures located in the Czech Republic at 1.75
percent. The CNB is considering to, if certain conditions are met, allow banks to delay loan
payments by up to 5 months without requiring (i) the immediate reclassification of loans as
non-performing and (ii) banks to update the respective clients' credit rating in the credit
registry.xviii
Advantages: to build up adequate capital and liquidity buffers to absorb losses,
continue lending, contain financial downswing, relief on loan payments.
KENYA
The Kenyan Central Bank (1) lowered its policy rate from 8.25 percent to 7.25 percent; (2)
lowered banks’ cash reserve ratio from 5.25 percent to 4.25 percent; (3) increased the
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 27
maximum tenor of repurchase agreements from 28 to 91 days; and (4) announced flexibility
to banks regarding loan reclassification and provisioning for loans that were performing on
March 2, 2020, but were restructured due to the pandemic. The central bank has also
encouraged banks to extend flexibility to borrowers’ loan terms based on pandemic-related
circumstances and encouraged the waiving or reducing of charges on mobile money
transactions to disincentivize the use of cash.xixxx
Advantages: boosting liquidity and support commercial banks with cash that they can
lend to various borrowers, incentives to banks to avoid increasing lending rate and,
cushion Kenyans from adverse debt payments (28% of lending comprises of personal
loans).
SRILANKA
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) lowered the required reserve ratio on domestic currency
deposits of commercial banks by one percentage point to ease liquidity conditions. The
President has also announced a wide-ranging debt repayment moratorium, which includes a
six month moratorium on bank loans for the tourism, garment, plantation and IT sectors,
related logistics providers, and small & medium size industries, with reduced rate working
capital loans for these sectors. There will also be a six month moratorium on leasing loans for
three-wheelers, and a three-month moratorium on small-value personal banking and leasing
loans. The interest rate on credit cards will be capped, for transactions up to a certain amount,
with a reduction in the minimum monthly repayment. In addition, the President has
announced that state-owned financial institutions will invest in treasury bonds and bills to
stabilize the money market interest rate at 7 percent.xxi
Advantages: increased liquidity, relief on personal loans payment for specific sectors
and debt moratoriums to the self-employed.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 28
International Organizations
World Health Organization
WHO, for its work to track the spread of the virus, assess gaps and needs, equips frontline
health workers with personal protective equipment, ensures lab and testing tools are
available in countries around the world, and keep communities and frontline responders
informed with the latest technical guidance.xxii
• Strictly recommended that countries intensify surveillance for "unusual outbreaks of
influenza-like illness and severe pneumonia and monitor carefully the evolution of
COVID-19 outbreaks, reinforcing epidemiological surveillance."
• On 2nd March, WHO experts lands in Iran to support the outbreak response with
technical assistance, bringing medical supplies and protective equipment for over
15,000 health care workers and enough laboratory kits to test nearly 100,000 people.
• The health agency’s six regional offices, and 150 country offices, work closely with
governments around the world to prepare their health systems. With partners, WHO
set up the COVID-19 Solidarity Response Fund, to ensure patients get the care they
need, and frontline workers get essential supplies and information; and to accelerate
research and development of a vaccine and treatments for all who need them.
• WHO has shipped more than two million items of personal protective equipment to
133 countries, and is preparing to ship another two million items in the coming
weeks. More than a million diagnostic tests have been dispatched to 126 countries,
in all regions, and more are being sourced. WHO is working with the International
Chamber of Commerce, the World Economic Forum, and others in the private sector,
to ramp up the production and distribution of essential medical supplies. On 8 April,
WHO launched a “UN COVID-19 Supply Chain Task Force”, which aims to
dramatically increase the supply of essential protective equipment where it is
needed.xxiii
• WHO is aiming to train millions of health workers, via its OpenWHO platform. more
than 1.2 million people have enrolled in 43 languages. Countries are also being
supported by experts, deployed around the world by the WHO’s Global Outbreak Alert
and Response Network (GOARN)xxiv
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 29
United Nations
• Released $15 million from its Central Emergency Response Fund to WHO and UNICEF
to support vulnerable countries in areas including monitoring the spread of COVID-19,
investigating cases, and operating national laboratories.
• Committed $37 million from the Emergency Reserve Fund for Contagious Infectious
Diseases. xxv
International Monetary Fund • Double access to emergency facilities and a $100 billion in financing available.
• Continuous review of their tool kit to update use of credit lines and additional liquidity
support to establish short-term liquidity line and other options to meet countries
financing needs.
• Revamped the Catastrophe Containment and Relief Trust to provide immediate debt
relief to low-income countries, catering to urgent health needs. IMF is also providing
emergency assistance to member countries approved by the IMF’s Executive Board
under the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF), Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI), and
augmentation of existing financing arrangements, as well as debt relief grants
financed by the Catastrophe Containment and Relief Trust (CCRT).xxvi
Asian Development Bank • Approved a $20 billion funding and other measures to streamline its operations for
quicker and more flexible delivery of assistance. This involves helping member
countries counter severe macroeconomic and health impacts and included $2.5 billion
in concessional and grant resources.
• Package will establish COVID-19 Pandemic Response Option under ADB’s
countercyclical support facility, with particular focus on the poor and vulnerable and
grant resources will continue to be deployed for providing medical and personal
protective equipment and supplies for expanded procurement sources.
• Additional $2 billion will be made available to private sector, including loan and
guarantee to the financial institutions. Enhanced support to liquidity starved small and
medium size enterprises, especially those run by women.
• This support is closely collaborated with IMF, WB, WHO, UNICEF and other UN
agencies.xxvii
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 30
KfW DEVELOPMENT BANK • Implemented a fast-track aid programme for the Federal Ministry for Economic
Cooperation and Development (BMZ) to help countries fight the pandemic and
continue supporting the health sector. Includes helping the East and West African
countries prepare their laboratory capacity to handle coronavirus. In addition to
increased support for the financial sector, small and medium-sized enterprises and
socio-economic stabilisation programmes.
• Due to rising economic and financial demand throughout Germany and Europe, as one
of the relief measures of KfW’s relief programs, all the existing programs will be
expanded. Loans shall be provided in line with categorizations of size, business
experience and financial health such as corporate loans, loans for growth, founder
loan, etc for big, small and midsize companies and, distressed companies. xxviii
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 31
Summary As of 13th April, the confirmed cases of COVID-19 have exceeded 1.9 million. With increased
restrictions in economic activity, movements and finding alternatives for keeping the markets
stable amidst the economic shock globally, excessive economic support has been seen
worldwide among unions, countries, agencies, businesses and individuals. One of the largest
components of fiscal support is in the form of financing and crisis-related discretionary
measures towards provisioning healthcare, increasing liquidity and protection against
income loss. The following graph illustrates G20 countries fiscal response to COVID-19.
FIGURE 6: G20 COUNTRIES FISCAL RESPONSE TO COVID-19 Source: (Center for Statigic and Intenational Studies, 2020)
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
$2,200
$2,400
Fiscal Respone to Covid-19G20 Countries
Government Spending (USD Billion) Credit Enhancement(USD Billion)
Tax Reilef(USD Billion) Total(USD Billion)
Unspecified Total Fiscal Response as % of GDP
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 32
Takeaways from the Globe
MEASURES
ADOPTED
GLOBALLY TO
FIGHT COVID-19
Credit and subsidy programme for the unemployed;
Part payment of wages and social security contribution by the State for the next 2-3
months;
Direct cash transfer and additional payments for lower-income individuals and the
unemployed,
Unemployment benefits due to job loss.
Small businesses and MSMEs - enhancing cash flow,
Rolling out of loan guarantee schemes – Government to
guarantee all or part of the value of bank loans;
Loans at subsidized rates or interest free loans;
Deferral of tax payments;
Relaxed norms of credit line to incentivize, MSMEs
willing to retain employees.
Full Portability of welfare rights;
Dedicated living and food arrangements for all;
Direct Cash Transfer.
Temporary stand-alone budgetary program under the Finance Ministry;
Allocation for disease control efforts, health services (including procurement of PPEs) and
quarantine needs;
Financial bonuses to hospitals that are able to increase and maintain intensive care beds;
Salary incentive to health care workers engaged with Covid-19;
Medicines, medical devices and other equipment exempted from import duties and VAT;
Invest in R&D for Covid-19 research on vaccines and rapid testing kits;
International cooperation and minimizing import duties on covid-19 related essentials.
Incentive to tourism agencies to retain the staff;
Part payment of wages and social security programmes;
Qualifying commercial properties, including hotels, service
apartments, tourist attractions, prescribed MICE venue etc.
given property tax rebate of 100%.
Longer-term refinancing with unchanged interest rates to
provide immediate liquidity support/buffer/ boost;
Purchasing major foreign currency avoiding drastic
appreciation;
Continue lending and relief on loan re-payment;
Invest in treasury bonds & bills to stabilize the market
interest.
MSME
UNEMPLOYMENT
MIGRANT LABOUR
HEALTHCARE
TOURISM
MARKET STABILITY
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 33
Annexure I
Country Specific Policy Measures
S. No Country Fiscal Measures Monetary and Macro-Financial
1. Bosnia & Herzegovina
The entity governments have allocated around KM 50 million (0.15 percent of GDP) for dealing with COVID-19, including purchasing medical equipment and supplies. FBIH will transfer KM 30 million (0.1 percent of GDP) to hospitals. RS announced the health fund will cover health care costs for all patients and has postponed payments for business tax from end-March to end-June, while speeding up tax and SSC refunds. FBIH announced that total amount about KM 1 billion (3% of GDP) will be secured to support the economy, through: (1) setting up a special fund to stabilize the economy, mainly aimed at supporting exporting companies; (2) establishing a guarantee fund which will be serve to maintain and improve the liquidity of companies, and (3) tasking the Development Bank to establish a credit line for improving the liquidity of companies.
Banking Agencies have announced a six-month loan repayment moratorium for restructuring credit arrangements for individuals and legal entities which are found to have aggravated circumstances for loans repayments due to COVID-19. Banking Agencies have instructed banks to track clients and exposure portfolios affected by COVID-19. Banks are also instructed to consider additional customer relief, including reviewing current fees for services and avoiding charging fees to handle exposure modifications.
2 Brazil To mitigate the impact of COVID-19, the authorities announced a package of fiscal measures adding up to 3½ percent of GDP—mostly reallocations within the 2020 budget. With congress declaring a state of “public calamity” on March 20, the government’s obligation to comply with the primary balance target in 2020 has been lifted. The government has also invoked the escape clause of the constitutional expenditure ceiling to accommodate exceptional health spending needs. The fiscal measures include temporary income support to vulnerable households (bringing forward the 13th pension payment to retirees,
The central bank lowered the policy rate (SELIC) by 50bps a historical low of 3.75 percent. Measures to increase liquidity in the financial system (reduction of reserve requirements and capital conservation buffers, and a temporary relaxation of provisioning rules, among others) have been implemented. The reserve requirement has been reduced from 25 to 17, on top of a reduction of 6 bps in early March. The central bank also opened a facility to provide loans to financial institutions backed by private corporate bonds as collateral. In addition, the Fed has arranged to provide up to US$60 billion to the central bank through a swap facility that will remain in place for
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 34
expanding the Bolsa Familia program with the inclusion of over 1 million more beneficiaries, cash transfers to informal and unemployed workers, and advance payments of salary bonuses to low income workers), temporary tax breaks and credit lines for firms with the aim of protecting employment, lower taxes and import levies on essential medical supplies, and new transfers from the federal to state governments to support higher health spending and as cushion against the expected fall in revenues. A plan assist states and municipalities with a temporary stay of debt payments, debt renegotiation, and support for credit operations through government guarantees was also announced. Public banks are expanding credit lines for businesses and households, with a focus on supporting working capital (credit lines add up to over 2½ percent of GDP). The National Treasury responded to pressures in the interest rate futures market by announcing a program for the simultaneous auctions (buying and selling) of government securities.
the next six months. The five largest banks in the country agreed to consider requests by individuals and SMEs for a 60-day extension of their maturing debt liabilities. Exchange Rate & Balance of Payments The exchange rate has depreciated by close to 15 percent since mid-February and by 21 percent since end-2019. The central bank has intervened various times in the foreign exchange market over the last three weeks (both with spot and derivative contracts sales), by a total of nearly 22 USD billion (6 percent of gross reserves). The central bank is resuming repo operations of Brazilian sovereign bonds denominated in US dollars, which could potentially release US$10 billion into the money market.
3 Czech Republic The government announced a fiscal package of CZK 100bn (€3.7bn, 2 percent of GDP). While details are being determined, the measures will likely include income support of 60 percent of gross wages of employees sent into quarantine and up to 80 percent of gross wages of employees of businesses, that had to close because of containment requirements. The government further granted a credit line for businesses through the state development bank (CMZRB) of CZK 10bn and further pledged CZK 900bn (EUR 33.3bn, 16 percent of GDP) in guarantees. Advance payments on personal and corporate income tax are waived for Q2 2020, as are penalties for failing to pay property tax and file tax returns on time.
The Czech National Bank (CNB) lowered the policy rate by 50 bps to 1.75 percent on March 16 and increased the frequency of repo operations from one to three times a week. It has also revisited its earlier decision adopted in May 2019 to increase the countercyclical capital buffer rate for exposures located in the Czech Republic to 2% with effect from 1 July 2020, leaving it at 1.75 percent. The CNB is considering to, if certain conditions are met, allow banks to delay loan repayments by up to 5 months without requiring (i) the immediate reclassification of loans as non-performing and (ii) banks to update the respective clients' credit rating in the credit registry.
4 Denmark The authorities responded to the ongoing crisis by providing discretionary fiscal support to the tune of 2.5 percent of GDP
The Denmark’s National Bank (DN) increased the policy rate by 15bps to -0.6 percent. The standing swap line with ECB was
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 35
(about DKK 60 billion). The increased spending will mainly finance additional health care needs and extraordinary budgetary measures to support workers and businesses. Another 2.5 percent of GDP in countercyclical support is expected to come through Denmark’s strong automatic stabilizers—including from weaker tax receipts and higher social benefits. Temporary liquidity measures, including postponement of tax payments and government guarantees, will further support activity in the first half of year.
activated and its size was doubled to EUR 24 billion. It will remain in place as long as needed. In addition, the DN reached an agreement with the Federal Reserve to establish a USD 30 billion swap line that will stand for at least 6 months. The DN announced the launch of an ‘extraordinary lending facility’ which will make full-allotment, 1-week, collateralized loans available to banks at -0.5 percent interest rate on March 20. The DN on March 19, 2020 expanded this facility to include 3-month variable rate loans which will be available March 27, 2020. The DN also increased the interest rate on the previously announced 1-week loans to -0.35 percent. The Danish authorities decided on March 12, 2020 to pre-emptively release the countercyclical capital buffer and cancel the planned increases meant to take effect later. The Financial Stability Authority also announced a case by case relaxation of regulation on the LCR requirement.
5 Finland Key discretionary tax and spending measures (about 0.7 percent of GDP) include additional spending for (i): healthcare and testing, protection and medical equipment, public safety and border controls, and research on the coronavirus epidemic, in particular to develop methods for rapid diagnostics and vaccines and a knowledge base for timely decision-making on coronavirus measures, (especially on the exit strategy) (€200 million); (ii) lower pension contributions through the remainder of 2020 (€900 million); (iii) grants to SMEs through Business Finland and the Employment Centres (€200 million); and (iv) other possible emergencies (€200 million). In addition to discretionary measures, automatic stabilizers are expected to increase the fiscal deficit significantly, including through an expansion of the coverage of existing unemployment benefits. Deferral of tax and pension payments for 3 months are expected to provide additional short-run relief of €3-4.5 billion. Finland is also
The ECB decided to provide monetary policy support through (i) additional asset purchases of €120 billion until end-2020 under the existing program (APP), and (ii) providing temporarily additional auctions of the full-allotment, fixed rate temporary liquidity facility at the deposit facility rate and more favourable terms on existing targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) starting between June 2020 and June 2021. Further measures included an additional €750 billion asset purchase program of private and public sector securities (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP) until end-2020, an expanded range of eligible assets under the corporate sector purchase program (CSPP), and relaxation of collateral standards for Eurosystem refinancing operations (MROs, LTROs, TLTROs). The ECB Banking Supervision allowed significant institutions to operate temporarily below the Pillar 2 Guidance, the capital conservation buffer, and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). In
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 36
contributing €5 million to international non-profit companies working on the development of a COVID-19 vaccine.
addition, new rules on the composition of capital to meet Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) were front-loaded to release additional capital. The ECB considers that the appropriate release of the countercyclical buffer by the national macroprudential authorities will enhance its capital relief measures. The ECB Banking Supervision further decided to exercise – on a temporary basis – flexibility in the classification requirements and expectations on loss provisioning for non-performing loans (NPLs) that are covered by public guarantees and COVID-19 related public moratoria; and recommended that banks avoid pro-cyclical assumptions for the determination of loss provisions. Furthermore, the ECB recommends that banks opt for the IFRS9 transitional rules. Key measures within Finland include: (i) Bank of Finland to support liquidity through investing in short-term Finnish corporate commercial paper (€1 billion); (ii) 1 ppt reduction in the structural buffer requirements of all credit institutions by removing the systemic risk buffer and adjusting institution-specific requirements (increases Finnish banks’ international lending capacity by an estimated €52 billion – that, plus other countries’ measures, increase lending capacity to Finnish households and firms by an estimated €30 billion); (iii) Finland’s Export Credit Agency is expanding its lending and guarantee capacity to SMEs by €10 billion (and the government will increase its coverage of the agency’s credit and guarantee losses from 50 to 80 percent); (iv) the State Pension Fund will also invest in commercial paper (€1 billion); and (v) easier re-borrowing of pension contributions allowed.
6 Guatemala For COVID-19 mitigation, the government is drawing on emergency budgetary reserves (about US$60 million) and seeking Congress approval of the World Bank Disaster Risk Management DPL (US$200 million, 0.3% of GDP). A facility for coronavirus patients (financed through a US$1 million grant
On March 19th, Banco de Guatemala lowered its policy rate by 50 basis points to 2.25 percent and announced that it stands ready to secure liquidity provision facilities, including by acting as lender of last resort. To support the financial sector, the Monetary Board has temporarily eased (180-day period) credit
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 37
from the Central American Bank of Economic Integration) will add 3,000 beds to the existing capacity (350 beds). A National Emergency and Economic Recovery Plan and a supplementary budget for a fiscal impulse of 1.2% of GDP are being discussed in Congress. Key measures announced to support the economy include streamlined tax credit refunds to exporters (freeing up to 0.2 percent of GDP), a one- quarter deferral of selective tax payments and social security contributions, a guarantee fund for SMEs, and expanded social housing.
risk management regulations to enable loan restructuring, loan payments moratorium, and the use of generic provisions.
7 Iceland A package of fiscal measures of ISK 230 billion krona (7.8 percent of GDP) has been submitted to parliament to ease the strain on households and firms and, looking forward, to help the economy recover. Key measures to support households and firms include tax cuts, tax deferrals, increased unemployment benefits, one-off child allowances, support to companies whose employees have been quarantined, and state-guaranteed bridge loans to companies. Key measures to restart the economy (1.1 percent of GDP) include public investment, tax incentives for real estate improvement, temporary tax relief for the tourism sector, and marketing efforts to encourage domestic tourism.
The Central Bank of Iceland (CBI) has provided monetary support and has taken measures to preserve financial stability. Since the outbreak, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has cut policy rates by 100 basis points to 1.75 percent and reduced deposit institutions’ average reserve requirements point to 1 from 2 percent to ease their liquidity positions by about 1 percent of GDP. To further enhance banks’ liquidity, the public Housing Financing Fund will transfer its deposits from the CBI to commercial banks (about ISK30 billion, or 1 percent of GDP). The CBI Financial Stability Committee reduced the countercyclical capital buffer from 2 percent to 0 percent, providing scope for banks to increase lending by ISK 350 billion (12 percent of GDP).
8 Iran Key measures include (i.) the disbursement of cash payments (USD 14-40) to 1.5 million poor households from March to June 2020; (ii.) extra funding for the National Committee on COVID-19, Tehran and other provinces (0.06 percent of GDP); and (iii.) refurbishing of schools in order to limit the spread of the virus. The government has also announced low interest rate loans and funds to cover employers’ insurance for affected businesses, lending facilities for 4 million laid-off employees in firms disrupted by the virus and a three-month
The Central Bank of Iran has (i.) announced the allocation of funds (0.06 percent of GDP) to import medicine; (ii.) agreed with commercial banks that they postpone by three months the repayment of loans due in February 2020; (iii.) offered temporary penalty waivers for customers with non-performing loans; and (iv.) expanded contactless payments and increased the limits for bank transactions in order to reduce the circulation of banknotes and the exchange of debit cards.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 38
extension of the deadlines for tax payments. Sukuk bonds (0.5 percent of GDP) will provide part of the financing.
9 Kenya The Central Bank of Iran has (i.) announced the allocation of funds (0.06 percent of GDP) to import medicine; (ii.) agreed with commercial banks that they postpone by three months the repayment of loans due in February 2020; (iii.) offered temporary penalty waivers for customers with non-performing loans; and (iv.) expanded contactless payments and increased the limits for bank transactions in order to reduce the circulation of banknotes and the exchange of debit cards.
On March 24, the central bank (1) lowered its policy rate by 100 bps to 7.25 percent; (2) lowered banks’ cash reserve ratio by 100 bps to 4.25 percent; (3) increased the maximum tenor of repurchase agreements from 28 to 91 days; and (4) announced flexibility to banks regarding loan classification and provisioning for loans that were performing on March 2, 2020, but were restructured due to the pandemic. The central bank has also encouraged banks to extend flexibility to borrowers’ loan terms based on pandemic-related circumstances and encouraged the waiving or reducing of charges on mobile money transactions to disincentivize the use of cash.
10 Lebanon On March 24, the central bank (1) lowered its policy rate by 100 bps to 7.25 percent; (2) lowered banks’ cash reserve ratio by 100 bps to 4.25 percent; (3) increased the maximum tenor of repurchase agreements from 28 to 91 days; and (4) announced flexibility to banks regarding loan classification and provisioning for loans that were performing on March 2, 2020, but were restructured due to the pandemic. The central bank has also encouraged banks to extend flexibility to borrowers’ loan terms based on pandemic-related circumstances and encouraged the waiving or reducing of charges on mobile money transactions to disincentivize the use of cash.
The Banque Du Liban (BDL) issued circular 547, allowing banks and financial institutions to extend exceptional five-year zero percent interest rate loans in Lebanese Pounds and in dollars to customers that already have credit facilities but are unable to meet their obligations, operating expenses, or pay the salaries to their employees during March, April and May 2020 as a result of the interruption of activity due to the COVID-19. BDL will in turn provide banks and financial institutions five-year zero percent interest rate credit lines in dollars equivalent to the value of exceptional loans granted.
11 Republic of Lithuania
The government has announced an overall fiscal package of 2.5 billion euros (5 percent of GDP). Within this amount, spending measures by the General Government amounts to 1.1 billion euros (2.3 percent of GDP) which includes (i) additional funds for the healthcare system and emergency management (500 million euros), (ii) additional funds for caring for the sick and disabled, including for parents of
The ECB decided to provide monetary policy support through (i) additional asset purchases of €120 billion until end-2020 under the existing program (APP), and (ii) providing temporarily additional auctions of the full-allotment, fixed rate temporary liquidity facility at the deposit facility rate and more favourable terms on existing targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) starting between June 2020 and June 2021. Further
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 39
school children who now need to stay home, and support for the self-employed (550 million euros), and (iii) co-financing of climate change investment projects (about 20 percent of 250 million euros). In addition, the government expanded guarantee schemes, including guarantees for agricultural as well as SME loans by around 1.3 billion euros (2.6 percent of GDP). Finally, the government increased the borrowing limit by 5 billion euros (10 percent of GDP).
measures included an additional €750 billion asset purchase program of private and public sector securities (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP) until end-2020, an expanded range of eligible assets under the corporate sector purchase program (CSPP), and relaxation of collateral standards for Eurosystem refinancing operations (MROs, LTROs, TLTROs). The ECB Banking Supervision allowed significant institutions to operate temporarily below the Pillar 2 Guidance, the capital conservation buffer, and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). In addition, new rules on the composition of capital to meet Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) were front-loaded to release additional capital. The ECB considers that the appropriate release of the countercyclical buffer by the national macroprudential authorities will enhance its capital relief measures. The ECB Banking Supervision further decided to exercise – on a temporary basis – flexibility in the classification requirements and expectations on loss provisioning for non-performing loans (NPLs) that are covered by public guarantees and COVID-19 related public moratoria; and recommended that banks avoid pro-cyclical assumptions for the determination of loss provisions. Furthermore, the ECB recommends that banks opt for the IFRS9 transitional rules. In addition to policies from the ECB, the Bank of Lithuania has lowered its counter-cyclical capital buffer from 1 to 0 percent (effective April 1) and has encouraged to be flexible and negotiate, on a case-by-case basis, loan terms with borrowers if necessary (within the existing regulatory framework).
12 Maldives To minimize the economic impact of the COVID–19 virus, the authorities announced on March 20 an Economic Recovery Plan of 2.5 Billion rufiyaa (2.8 percent of GDP). Under the plan, the Government of Maldives will (i) reduce recurrent expenditure by 1 billion rufiyaa (1.1 percent of GDP); (ii)
The Maldives Monetary Authority (MMA) has been in close contact with the banks to discuss the impact on the domestic financial system and has identified the measures that can be taken through the financial institutions to reduce economic disruptions and loss of jobs and output. The announced
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 40
increase the amount of funds allocated for the health sector; (iii) subsidize 40 percent of electricity bills and 30 percent of water bills for the months of April and May; and (iv) ensure through banks, availability of working capital to businesses. At the same time, the government intends to continue public sector investment program (PSIP) projects as planned.
measures include: (i) reduction of the minimum required reserves up to 5 percent as and when required; (ii) making available a short-term credit facility to financial institutions as and when required; (iii) introducing regulatory measures to enable a moratorium of 6 months on loan repayments for those impacted by the current situation (customers have to submit their requests to the banks in order to avail themselves of this moratorium).
13 Netherlands A package of fiscal measures was announced to contain the economic impact of the outbreak. The package includes spending measures of about 10-20 billion euros (1-2 percent of GDP) in the next three months, and covering (i) compensation of up to 90 percent of labor costs for companies expecting a reduction in revenues of 20 percent or more; (ii) compensation for affected sectors (hospitality, travel, and others); (iii) support for entrepreneurs and the self-employed; (iv) scaling up of the short-time working scheme (unemployment benefit compensation available to companies needing to reduce their staff by at least 20 percent). In addition, companies can defer tax payments without penalties, and calculate provisional taxes on the basis of expected reduced activity levels. Also, public guarantee schemes, especially for SME loans, are expanded to help the most vulnerable companies to manage their liquidity problems. The total cost of these programs will depend on demand.
The ECB decided to provide monetary policy support through (i) additional asset purchases of €120 billion until end-2020 under the existing program (APP), and (ii) providing temporarily additional auctions of the full-allotment, fixed rate temporary liquidity facility at the deposit facility rate and more favourable terms on existing targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) starting between June 2020 and June 2021. Further measures included an additional €750 billion asset purchase program of private and public sector securities (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP) until end-2020, an expanded range of eligible assets under the corporate sector purchase program (CSPP), and relaxation of collateral standards for Eurosystem refinancing operations (MROs, LTROs, TLTROs). The ECB Banking Supervision allowed significant institutions to operate temporarily below the Pillar 2 Guidance, the capital conservation buffer, and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). In addition, new rules on the composition of capital to meet Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) were front-loaded to release additional capital. The ECB considers that the appropriate release of the countercyclical buffer by the national macroprudential authorities will enhance its capital relief measures. The ECB Banking Supervision further decided to exercise – on a temporary basis – flexibility in the classification requirements and expectations on loss provisioning for non-performing loans
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 41
(NPLs) that are covered by public guarantees and COVID-19 related public moratoria; and recommended that banks avoid pro-cyclical assumptions for the determination of loss provisions. Furthermore, the ECB recommends that banks opt for the IFRS9 transitional rules. In addition, the Dutch central bank has reduced systemic buffer requirements for the three largest banks to support bank lending. The central bank is also taking measures to provide temporary regulatory relief to less significant banking institutions. Furthermore, the planned introduction of a floor for mortgage loan risk weighting is postponed. In turn, the largest Dutch banks have agreed to grant SMEs a six-month postponement of their loan repayments.
14 Spain Key measures (about 0.7 percent of GDP, €8.9 billion; depending on the usage and duration of the measures the amount could be higher) include budget support from the contingency fund to the Ministry of Health (€1 billion); advance transfer to the regions for the regional health services (€2.8 billion); additional funding for research related to the development of drugs and vaccines for COVID-19 (€110 million); entitlement of unemployment benefit for workers temporarily laid off under the Temporary Employment Adjustment Schemes (ERTE) due to COVID-19, with no requirement for prior minimum contribution or reduction of accumulated entitlement; increased sick pay for COVID-19 infected workers or those quarantined, from 60 to 75 percent of the regulatory base, paid by the Social Security budget; an allowance for self-employed workers affected by economic activity suspension; additional budgetary funds of €300 million and further budget flexibility for the provision of assistance to dependents; transfer of €25 million to autonomous communities funding meals for children affected by the school closure; and extension of the social
The ECB decided to provide monetary policy support through (i) additional asset purchases of €120 billion until end-2020 under the existing program (APP), and (ii) providing temporarily additional auctions of the full-allotment, fixed rate temporary liquidity facility at the deposit facility rate and more favourable terms on existing targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) starting between June 2020 and June 2021. Further measures included an additional €750 billion asset purchase program of private and public sector securities (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP) until end-2020, an expanded range of eligible assets under the corporate sector purchase program (CSPP), and relaxation of collateral standards for Eurosystem refinancing operations (MROs, LTROs, TLTROs). The ECB Banking Supervision allowed significant institutions to operate temporarily below the Pillar 2 Guidance, the capital conservation buffer, and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). In addition, new rules on the composition of capital to meet Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) were front-loaded to release additional capital. The ECB considers that the appropriate release of the
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 42
benefit for energy provision. Further measures include exemptions of social contributions by impacted companies that maintain employment under the ERTE; tax payment deferrals for small and medium enterprises and self-employed for six months (€14 billion); 50 percent exemption from employer’s social security contributions, from February to June 2020, for workers with permanent discontinuous contracts in the tourism sector and related activities; budget flexibility to enable transfers between budget lines; centralization of medical supplies; and an emergency management process for the procurement of all goods and services needed by the public sector to implement any measure to address COVID-19.
countercyclical buffer by the national macroprudential authorities will enhance its capital relief measures. The ECB Banking Supervision further decided to exercise – on a temporary basis – flexibility in the classification requirements and expectations on loss provisioning for non-performing loans (NPLs) that are covered by public guarantees and COVID-19 related public moratoria; and recommended that banks avoid pro-cyclical assumptions for the determination of loss provisions. Furthermore, the ECB recommends that banks opt for the IFRS9 transitional rules. In addition, the government of Spain has extended up to €100 billion government loan guarantees for firms and self-employed; up to €2 billion public guarantees for exporters through the Spanish Export Insurance Credit Company; and guarantees for loan maturity extensions to farmers using the special 2017 drought credit lines. These public guarantees could leverage up to €83 billion of liquidity support to companies through the private sector. Other measures include additional funding for the Instituto de Crédito Oficial (ICO) credit lines (€10 billion); introduction of a special credit line for the tourism sector through the ICO (€400 million); one-month moratorium on mortgage payments for the most vulnerable; deferred repayment of loans granted to businesses by the Ministry of Industry, Trade, and Tourism; ban of short-selling Spanish shares in the stock market at least until April 17; and authorization for special government screening of FDI in strategic sectors.
15 Sri Lanka The government has allocated up to 0.1 percent of GDP for quarantine and other containment measures, as well as US$5 million (0.01 percent of GDP) to the SAARC COVID-19 Emergency Fund. The 2020 Q1 payment deadline for income tax, VAT and certain other taxes has been extended until end-April. Other measures announced include tax exemptions for
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) reduced monetary policy rates by 25 basis points on March 16 and lowered the required reserve ratio on domestic currency deposits of commercial banks by one percentage point to ease liquidity conditions. The President has also announced a wide-ranging debt repayment moratorium, which includes a six month moratorium on bank
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 43
imported masks and disinfectant, price ceilings on essential food items such as eggs, lentils and fish, as well as concessional loans and food allowances for low income consumers (beneficiaries of the Samurdhi program). The President has also established a special fund for containment, mitigation and social welfare spending, inviting local and foreign tax-free donations.
loans for the tourism, garment, plantation and IT sectors, related logistics providers, and small & medium size industries, with reduced rate working capital loans for these sectors. There will also be a six month moratorium on leasing loans for three-wheelers, and a three-month moratorium on small-value personal banking and leasing loans. The interest rate on credit cards will be capped, for transactions up to a certain amount, with a reduction in the minimum monthly repayment. In addition, the President has announced that state-owned financial institutions will invest in treasury bonds and bills to stabilize the money market interest rate at 7 percent. Exchange Rate & Balance of Payments The Sri Lankan authorities introduced exchange restrictions on March 19 to reduce foreign exchange market pressures, preventing Sri Lankan commercial banks from facilitating the following activities for three months: (i) importing motor vehicles under letters of credit (with some exceptions); and (ii) importing other non-essential goods under letters of credit, documents against acceptance, and advance payment. Commercial banks will also be prohibited for three months from purchasing Sri Lankan international sovereign bonds from the market, to alleviate pressure on the currency.
16 Sweden The announced fiscal package amounts to SEK 174 billion or 3.5 percent of 2019 GDP to SEK 462 billion or 9.2 percent of 2019 GDP depending on uptake (the debt and deficit impact may deviate from these amounts). Measures include (i) additional expenditures on wage subsidies for short-term leave, increase in transfers to relevant agencies to deal with the coronavirus outbreak and its repercussions, temporary payment of sick leave by the government, capital injections to SMEs, extra funding to the cultural sector and sports associations (SEK 16.9 billion); (ii) the possibility to defer a
Key monetary measures include: (i) reduction of the lending rate for overnight loans by 55 basis points to 0.2 percent (while leaving the repo rate unchanged at 0 percent); (ii) lending of up to SEK 500 billion to companies via banks; (iii) introduction of a new lending facility whereby banks can borrow unlimited amounts (given adequate collateral) with 3-month maturity; (iv) increase of purchases of securities of up to SEK 300 billion this year (where securities may include government and municipal bonds, covered bonds and securities issued by non-financial corporations); (v) the establishment of a swap facility
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 44
maximum of three month worth of payments of companies’ social contribution fees, VAT and payroll taxes for a period of up to 12 months (SEK 27 billion if uptake similar to GFC, and SEK 315 billion if used by all firms to its maximum); and (iii) credit guarantees for Swedish airlines (SEK 5 billion) and expansion of the Swedish Export Credit Agency’s credit guarantee framework (SEK 50 billion) and the Swedish Export Credit Corporation (SEK 75 billion). To support the international response, the government has decided to contribute SEK 40 million to the WHO’s Contingency Fund for Emergencies
of USD 60 billion between the Riksbank and the US Federal Reserve (mutual currency arrangement); and (vi) the possibility for banks to borrow in US dollars against collateral of up to USD 60 billion. Key macro-financial policies include (i) easing of countercyclical capital buffer by 2.5 percentage points; (ii) the possibility for banks to temporarily breach the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) for individual currencies and for total currencies; and (iii) the recognition that loss of income due to COVID-19 is a cause for exemption from the amortization requirement (banks and borrowers may agree to reduce or suspend amortization payments temporarily given loss of income linked to COVID-19). Furthermore, the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority has urged banks and credit institutes under its supervision to refrain from paying out dividends to its shareholders under the current circumstances.
17 Germany In addition to running down accumulated reserves, the federal government adopted a supplementary budget of €156 billion (4.9 percent of GDP) which includes: (i) spending on healthcare equipment, hospital capacity and R&D (vaccine), (ii) expanded access to short-term work (“Kurzarbeit”) subsidy to preserve jobs and workers’ incomes, expanded childcare benefits for low-income parents and easier access to basic income support for the self-employed, (iii) €50 billion in grants to small business owners and self-employed persons severely affected by the Covid-19 outbreak in addition to interest-free tax deferrals until year-end. At the same time, through the newly created economic stabilization fund (WSF) and the public development bank KfW, the government is expanding the volume and access to public loan guarantees for firms of different sizes, with an allocation of at least €825billion (25 percent of GDP).
The ECB decided to provide monetary policy support through (i) additional asset purchases of €120 billion until end-2020 under the existing program (APP), and (ii) providing temporarily additional auctions of the full-allotment, fixed rate temporary liquidity facility at the deposit facility rate and more favourable terms on existing targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) starting between June 2020 and June 2021. Further measures included an additional €750 billion asset purchase program of private and public sector securities (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP) until end-2020, an expanded range of eligible assets under the corporate sector purchase program (CSPP), and relaxation of collateral standards for Eurosystem refinancing operations (MROs, LTROs, TLTROs). The ECB Banking Supervision allowed significant institutions to operate temporarily below the Pillar 2 Guidance, the capital
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 45
In addition to the federal government’s fiscal package, many state governments (Länder) have announced own measures to support their economies, amounting to €48 billion in direct support and €63bn in state-level loan guarantees.
conservation buffer, and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). In addition, new rules on the composition of capital to meet Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) were front-loaded to release additional capital. The ECB considers that the appropriate release of the countercyclical capital buffer by the national macroprudential authorities will enhance its capital relief measures. The ECB Banking Supervision further decided to exercise – on a temporary basis – flexibility in the classification requirements and expectations on loss provisioning for non-performing loans (NPLs) that are covered by public guarantees and COVID-19 related public moratoria; it also recommended that banks avoid pro-cyclical assumptions for the determination of loss provisions and opt for the IFRS9 transitional rules. More recently, ECB Banking Supervision asked banks to not pay dividends for the financial years 2019 and 2020 or buy back shares during COVID-19 pandemic, from which the conserved capital should be used to support households, small businesses and corporate borrowers and/or to absorb losses on existing exposures to such borrowers. The authorities extended all ECB-issued regulatory and operational relief to German banks under national supervision. In addition to measures at the euro area level: (i) release of the countercyclical capital buffer for banks from 0.25 percent to zero; (ii) additional €100 billion to refinance expanded short-term liquidity provision to companies through the public development bank KfW, in partnership with commercial banks; and (iii) following the structure of the former Financial Stabilization Fund, €100 billion is allocated within the WSF to directly acquire equity of larger affected companies and strengthen their capital position.
18 Thailand In response to COVID-19, Cabinet has approved fiscal stimulus measures amounting to at least 3 percent of GDP or THB 518 billion consisting of: i) health-related spending, including
The policy rate was reduced by 50 bps from 1.25 to 0.75 percent during the first quarter of 2020. In addition, a number of measures have been approved by Cabinet to help debtors
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 46
preventive and remedial measures; ii) cash handouts and soft loans for 3 million workers outside the social security system; and iii) support for businesses through soft loans " from FIs and Social Security Office, lower withholding tax and higher tax expense deduction for SMEs, lower water and electricity bills, and lower employees’ and employers’ social security contributions. The Ministry of Finance said that it plans to announce more measures between April and July.
affected byCOVID-19: (i) additional loans for circulation capital as well as reductions in interest and/or fees to make sure that debtors can keep their businesses operational; (ii) low interest loans (at 2 percent interest for a period of 2 years, not over 20 million Baht per customer); (iii) relaxation of repayment conditions and debt restructuring by suspending the principal and reducing the interest rate for the debts to SFIs; and (iv) relaxation of the maximum limit of personal loans for emergency cases. To lower the volatility of the government bond yield and ensure the normal functioning of the government bond market, the Bank of Thailand (BOT) purchased government bonds in excess of 100 billion baht during 13-20 March 2020, and will do more if necessary. The BOT reduced and cancelled BOT bond issuance. The Ministry of Finance, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the BOT (i) set up a special facility to provide liquidity for mutual funds through commercial banks (BOT’s preliminary estimate of eligible bond mutual funds is approximately THB 1 trillion); and (ii) set up a THB 70-100 billion Corporate Bond Stabilization Fund to invest in high-quality, newly issued bonds by corporates to assist in debt rollover. Exchange Rate & Balance of Payments The BOT has provided some liquidity in the FX market thereby avoiding disorderly market conditions while also allowing the exchange rate to adjust as a shock absorber.
19 Singapore On February 18, the 2020 Budget announced a package of measures amounting to S$6.4 billion to deal with the economic slowdown and the uncertainties of the COVID-19 outbreak. Funds to contain the outbreak, provided mainly to the Ministry of Health, amount to S$800 million. The Care and
On February 14, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) welcomed the announcements from banks and insurers in Singapore to support their customers facing financial difficulties brought about by the impact of COVID outbreak, while adhering to prudent risk assessments. The support
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 47
Support Package provides support to households (S$1.6 billion), including through a cash payout and an additional goods and services tax (GST) voucher. The Stabilization and Support Package provides support to businesses (S$4.0 billion), including wage subsidies as well as additional support for industries directly affected and self-employed persons. On March 26, a supplementary budget was announced with additional measures worth over S$48 billion. The package includes, among other items, an expansion of wage subsidies, a tripling of cash payouts to households, enhancement of financing schemes and setting aside loan capital of S$20 billion, and additional support to the most affected sectors.
announced by banks include moratoriums on repayments for affected corporate and individual customers, extension of payment terms for trade finance facilities, and additional financing for working capital. On March 19, 2020, the MAS announced the establishment of a US$60 billion swap facility with the US Federal Reserve. The MAS intends to draw on this swap facility to provide USD liquidity to financial institutions in Singapore. On March 23, the MAS announced that the six-monthly monetary policy statement will be issued on March 30. This is slightly earlier than the usual timing of mid-April. On March 26, the MAS announced that the first auction under the US$60 billion MAS USD Facility with the Federal Reserve will be conducted on March 27, 2020, where US$10 billion in 7-day funds will be offered. MAS will conduct another two auctions on March 30, where US$12 billion in 7-day funds and US$8 billion in 84-day funds will be offered. After this, regular weekly auctions will be conducted every Monday.
20 Hong Kong An estimated HK$152 billion (or 5.3 percent of GDP) of fiscal measures have been approved and are being implemented. Key measures include (i) establishment of a new Anti-Epidemic Fund (HK$30 billion or 1.0 percent of GDP) to enhance anti-epidemic facilities and services; (ii) tax and fee reliefs and other one-off relief measures (HK$51 billion or 1.8 percent of GDP); and (iii) cash payout to Hong Kong SAR permanent residents aged 18 or above (HK$71 billion or 2.5 percent of GDP).
Under the currency board arrangement, the Base Rate was adjusted downward to 1.50 and 0.86 percent on March 4 and March 16, respectively, according to a pre-set formula, following the downward shifts in the target range for the US federal funds rate. The jurisdictional countercyclical capital buffer for Hong Kong SAR was reduced further from 2.0 to 1.0 percent on March 16. Key measures to provide financial relief include: (i) the introduction of low-interest loans for SMEs with 100 percent government guarantee; and (ii) other measures by banks to the extent permitted by their risk management principles, including delay of loan payment, extension of loan tenors, and principal moratoriums for affected SMEs, sectors, and households as appropriate.
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 48
21 China An estimated RMB 1.3 trillion (or 1.2 percent of GDP) of fiscal measures have been approved and are being implemented. Key measures include: (i) Increased spending on epidemic prevention and control. (ii) Production of medical equipment. (iii) Accelerated disbursement of unemployment insurance. (iv) Tax relief and waived social security contributions. The overall fiscal expansion is expected to be significantly higher, reflecting the effect of already announced additional measures—including higher infrastructure investment and improvements of the national public health emergency management system—and automatic stabilizers.
The PBC provided monetary policy support and acted to safeguard financial stability. Key measures include: (i) liquidity injection into the banking system, including RMB 3 trillion in the first half of February and 20 billion in end-March, (ii) expansion of re-lending and re-discounting facilities by RMB 1.8 trillion to support manufacturers of medical supplies and daily necessities micro-, small- and medium-sized firms and the agricultural sector at low interest rates, (iii) reduction of the 7-day and 14-day reverse repo rates by 30 and 10 bps, respectively, as well as the 1-year medium-term lending facility rate by 10 bps, (iv) targeted RRR cuts by 50-100 bps for banks that meet inclusive financing criteria which benefit smaller firms and an additional 100 bps for eligible joint-stock banks to support private SMEs, and (v) policy banks’ credit extension to micro- and small enterprises (RMB 350 billion). The government has also taken multiple steps to limit tightening in financial conditions, including measured forbearance to provide financial relief to affected households, corporates, and regions facing repayment difficulties. Key measures include (i) delay of loan payments and other credit support measures for eligible SMEs and households, (ii) tolerance for higher NPLs for loans by epidemic-hit sectors and SMEs, (iii) support bond issuance by financial institutions to finance SME lending, (iv) additional financing support for corporates via increased bond issuance by corporates, (v) increased fiscal support for credit guarantees, (vi) flexibility in the implementation of the asset management reform, and (vii) easing of housing policies by local governments. Exchange Rate and Balance of Payments The exchange rate has been allowed to adjust flexibly. A ceiling on cross-border financing under the macroprudential
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 49
assessment framework was raised by 25 percent for banks, non-banks and enterprises.
22 Italy The government adopted a €25 billion (1.4 percent of GDP) emergency package. It includes (i) funds to strengthen the Italian health care system and civil protection (€3.2 billion); (ii) measures to preserve jobs and support income of laid-off workers and self-employed (€10.3 billion); (iii) other measures to support businesses, including tax deferrals and postponement of utility bill payments in most affected municipalities (€6.4 billion); as well as (iv) measures to support credit supply (€5.1 billion) aimed to unlock about €350 billion (20 percent of GDP) of liquidity for businesses and households (see below). The authorities indicated that additional steps could be taken if needed.
The ECB decided to provide monetary policy support through (i) additional asset purchases of €120 billion until end-2020 under the existing program (APP), and (ii) providing temporarily additional auctions of the full-allotment, fixed rate temporary liquidity facility at the deposit facility rate and more favourable terms on existing targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) starting between June 2020 and June 2021. Further measures included an additional €750 billion asset purchase program of private and public sector securities (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program, PEPP) until end-2020, an expanded range of eligible assets under the corporate sector purchase program (CSPP), and relaxation of collateral standards for Eurosystem refinancing operations (MROs, LTROs, TLTROs). The ECB Banking Supervision allowed significant institutions to operate temporarily below the Pillar 2 Guidance, the capital conservation buffer, and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). In addition, new rules on the composition of capital to meet Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) were front-loaded to release additional capital. The ECB considers that the appropriate release of the countercyclical capital buffer by the national macroprudential authorities will enhance its capital relief measures. The ECB Banking Supervision further decided to exercise – on a temporary basis – flexibility in the classification requirements and expectations on loss provisioning for non-performing loans (NPLs) that are covered by public guarantees and COVID-19 related public moratoria; it also recommended that banks avoid pro-cyclical assumptions for the determination of loss provisions and opt for the IFRS9 transitional rules. More recently, ECB Banking Supervision asked banks to not pay dividends for the financial years 2019 and 2020 or buy back
School of Public Policy & Governance, TISS- Hyderabad Sarayu & Tanniya
Page | 50
shares during COVID-19 pandemic, from which the conserved capital should be used to support households, small businesses and corporate borrowers and/or to absorb losses on existing exposures to such borrowers. Key measures adopted in the government’s emergency package include: a moratorium on loan repayments for some households and SMEs, including on mortgages and overdrafts; state guarantees on loans to SMEs; incentives for financial and non-financial companies in the form of Deferred Tax Activities; state guarantee of €0.5 billion to the state development bank—Cassa Depositi e Prestiti—to support lending and liquidity to banks to enable them to finance medium- and large-sized companies. The Bank of Italy have announced a series of measures to help banks and non-bank intermediaries under its supervision, in line with the initiatives undertaken by the ECB and the EBA. These include the possibility to temporary operate below selected capital and liquidity requirements; extension of some reporting obligations; and rescheduling of on-site inspections. IVASS (Insurance supervisory authority) followed the EIOPA recommendations and called insurance companies to be prudent about dividends and bonus payments to protect their capital position; insurance companies are asked to provide updated Solvency II ratios on a weekly basis. CONSOB called a three-month ban on shorting of all shares and lowered a minimum threshold beyond which it is required to communicate the participation in a listed company. These measures are aimed to contain the volatility of the financial markets and to strengthen the transparency of the holdings in the Italian companies listed on the Stock Exchange.
i New control material developed by JRC Scientists https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/news/new-control-material-developed-jrc-scientists-help-prevent-coronavirus-test-failures ii 5 reasons the world needs WHO, to fight the COVID-19 pandemic https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/04/1061412 iii Government support schemes for COVID-19, Brazil - https://www.tmf-group.com/en/news-insights/coronavirus/government-support-schemes/ iv China to support small and micro businesses, agricultural entities with government financing guarantee - http://www.china.org.cn/business/2020-04/02/content_75888937.htm v Government support schemes for COVID-19, Italy - https://www.tmf-group.com/en/news-insights/coronavirus/government-support-schemes/ viA German import to fight the economic impact of the coronavirus - https://thehill.com/opinion/international/488484-a-german-import-to-fight-the-economic-impact-of-the-coronavirus vii Brazilian Govt’s provisional measure no. 927 for employers to preserve jobs during the COVID-19 crisis - https://www.machadomeyer.com.br/en/recent-publications/publications/labor/page-25 viii COVID-19 crisis: Employment https://www2.deloitte.com/lt/en/pages/legal/articles/covid-19-crisis--employment-law-in-lithuania.html ix The following measures taken by the Government of the Czech Republic in fighting the Covid-19 https://www.czechtradeoffices.com/en/il/news/the-following-measures-taken-by-the-government-of-the-czech-republic-in-fighting-the-covid-19 x Portugal to Treat Migrants as Residents During Coronavirus Crisis - https://www.news18.com/news/world/portugal-to-treat-migrants-as-residents-during-coronavirus-crisis-2555299.html xiCOVID-19: Special clinic for expatriate workers established at Hulhumale' preschool - https://raajje.mv/72934 xii Lebanon: Direct COVID-19 Assistance to Hardest Hit https://www.hrw.org/news/2020/04/08/lebanon-direct-covid-19-assistance-hardest-hit xiii IMF- Policy Tracker https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19#U xiv World travel and tourism Council: Covid-19 Related Policy Shifts Supportive of Travel & Tourism Sector, Portugal - https://www.wttc.org/government-advice/
xv Report on the comprehensive economic policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/04/09/report-on-the-comprehensive-economic-policy-response-to-the-covid-19-pandemic/ xvi COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak and the EU's response https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/covid-19-coronavirus-outbreak-and-the-eu-s-response/ xvii Enhancing central bank cooperation in the COVID-19 pandemic https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/enhancing-central-bank-cooperation-covid-19-pandemic xviii CNB adopts stabilizing measures in connection with coronavirus epidemic https://www.cnb.cz/en/cnb-news/press-releases/CNB-adopts-stabilising-measures-in-connection-with-coronavirus-epidemic/ xix Press Release: Emergency measures to mitigate the adverse economic effect on bank borrowers from the coronavirus pandemic https://www.centralbank.go.ke/uploads/press_releases/1908080057_Press%20Release%20-%20Emergency%20Measures%20to%20Mitigate%20the%20Adverse%20Economic%20Effects%20on%20Bank%20Borrowers%20from%20the%20Coronavirus%20Pandemic.pdf xx Intervention by Central Banks on the economic impact of COVID-19 http://eabc-online.com/membership/benefits?id=267 xxi President announces relief measures to people amid COVID-19 https://www.newsfirst.lk/2020/03/23/president-grants-concessions-for-the-people-amid-covid-19/ xxii WHO and UNICEF to partner on pandemic response through COVID-19 Solidarity Response Fund https://www.unicef.org/press-releases/who-and-unicef-partner-pandemic-response-through-covid-19-solidarity-response-fund xxiii 5 reasons the world needs WHO, to fight the COVID-19 pandemic https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/04/1061412 xxiv 5 reasons the world needs WHO, to fight the COVID-19 pandemic https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/04/1061412 xxv UN releases $15 million to help vulnerable countries battle the spread of the coronavirus https://www.unicef.org/turkey/en/press-releases/un-releases-15-million-help-vulnerable-countries-battle-spread-coronavirus xxvi IMF Executive Board Approves Immediate Debt Relief for 25 Countries https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2020/04/13/pr20151-imf-executive-board-approves-immediate-debt-relief-for-25-countries
xxvii ADB Triples COVID-19 Response Package to $20 Billion https://www.adb.org/news/adb-triples-covid-19-response-package-20-billion xxviii Legal Update- COVID19: Immediate Measures to Gain State Aid Financing https://www.lathamgermany.de/2020/03/legal-update-covid-19-immediate-measures-to-gain-state-aid-financing-kfw-credit-et-al/
1. Brookings India. (2020, April 2). www.brookings.edu. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/2020/04/02/the-early-days-of-a-global-pandemic-a-timeline-of-covid-19-spread-and-government-interventions/
Center for Statigic and Intenational Studies. (2020, April 13). www.csis.org. Retrieved from https://www.csis.org/analysis/breaking-down-g20-covid-19-fiscal-response
worldometers. (2020). Retrieved from https://www.worldometers.info/
2. Cover Page Image of the Globe: Smartcat https://www.smartcat.ai/blog/global-marketing-strategies-how-to-reap-the-rewards-of-international-opportunity/
3. ‘Takeaway’s from the Globe’, Pg. 32, background Image of Globe: ShutterStock
SCHOOL OF PUBLIC POLICY AND GOVERNANCE
TATA INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES HYDERABAD