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PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Responding to climate change Richard Gledhill, Head of Climate Change Services Tuesday 11 November 2008

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Page 1: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Responding to climate change

Richard Gledhill, Head of Climate Change Services

Tuesday 11 November 2008

Page 2: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

SALim

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Presentation contents

1. Scientific and policy context

2. Climate change as a boardroom issue

3. Climate leadership in the corporate sector

Page 3: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Slide 3

Scientific context:Situation deteriorating faster than previously thought

Fourth Assessment Report (2007):

Warming unequivocal, human caused

Risk of abrupt and irreversible changes

Lord Stern, June 2008:

“I badly underestimated the degree of damages and risks of climatechange… All of the links in the chain are on average worse than wethought a couple of years ago”

"To get below 500ppm ... would cost around 2% of GDP.”

WWF Living Planet report 29 Oct 2008:

“The world is heading for an ecological credit crunch as human demandson the world's natural capital reach nearly a third more than earth cansustain.”

Page 4: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

The road to Copenhagen…

Page 5: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

EU ETS Dominates the Carbon Market….

2007 volume (2.7 Gt) 2007 value (€40bn)

Page 6: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

EUA & Secondary CER Prices 2005-08

Source PointCarbon

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35S

ep-0

5

Nov-0

5

Jan-0

6

Mar-

06

May-0

6

Jul-06

Sep-0

6

Nov-0

6

Jan-0

7

Mar-

07

May-0

7

Jul-07

Sep-0

7

Nov-0

7

Jan-0

8

Mar-

08

May-0

8

Jul-08

Sep-0

8

€perto

nne

EUA 2005 EUA 2006 EUA 2007

EUA 2008 Sec CER 2008 (Bid) Sec CER 2008-12 (Bid)

Page 7: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Climate change policy discontinuitiesRoad Transport

Page 8: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

PwC 11th Annual CEO Survey 2008:Principles vs practice

Page 9: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Carbon Disclosure Project

“In terms of investment policy,companies which are ill-preparedfor more stringent environmentalregulation may face unexpectednew expenses and a decreasingability to sustain their returns,thus decreasing their value inAXA’s investment portfolios.”

AXA GROUP

n

Page 10: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Carbon Disclosure Project:Response rates for the Global 500

Level and detail of response from Global 500

10

41

43

55

62

73

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Disclose emissions forecast

Disclose emission targets

Verify emissions

Disclose emissions (scope 1 or 2)

Include climate in annual report

Respond to CDP

% Global 500

Page 11: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Slide 11

Business contribution to the climate change policydebate

• Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

• WEF: Climate Change policy recommendations to G8

• WBCSD: climate programme and sector initiatives

• Copenhagen Climate Council: supporting new treatydevelopment

Page 12: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Questions our clients are beginning to ask

“How do I embed climate change in my corporate strategy?”

“What do investors really care about around climate change and sustainabledevelopment?”

“What are the real drivers of value around climate change?”

“Where are the growth opportunities?”

“What is the best way to manage our climate change and emission tradingrisk?”

“How can I manage emissions and climate change risk in my supply chain?”

“How can I engage my employees on climate change?”

Page 13: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Framework for Strategic Planning

Scenarios

ImpactAnalysis

Regulation TechnologyPhysicalimpacts

Socialtrends

Economictrends

StrategicpartnersCompetitors

Supply chain

Market

Company

Page 14: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Framework for Analysis

Regulation

Reputation

Market

dynamics

Physical

impacts

Physical impacts:

Assessing asset vulnerability

Supply chain disruption Workforcedisruption

Risk management, insurance andadaptation costs

Reputation:

Communicating long term vision toinvestors

Engaging customers and employees

Defending/enhancing brand value

Market Dynamics:

Consumer attitudes and demandpatterns

New technology, products & markets

Competitor behaviour and positioning

Carbon as a value driver in M&A

Regulation:

Carbon constrained production

Compliance costs

Participation in carbon markets

New product standards

Taxes, subsidies and credits

Disclosure of climate risks

Page 15: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Valuecreation

ValueErosion

Compliance:• Operational risk• Regulatory compliance• Reputational risk

Leadership:• Extending impact• Innovation• Market leading

Leverage:• Relationships• Assets

Operational effectiveness:• Reduce direct impact• Organisational savings

Corporate Maturity and Positioning

Page 16: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Slide 16

Response in the financial sector – HSBC

HSBC has taken a proactive approach to managing itsclimate change impacts. This includes:

1. Carbon neutral operations

2. Climate Change Research

3. Investment into low carbon opportunities

4. Applying standards to fossil fuel plant finance

Page 17: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Slide 17

Response in the retail and consumer sector – Tesco

Tesco has developed a climate change plan to tackle theissue which has 3 central components:

1. Measure Carbon Footprint

2. Created a £100 million Sustainable Technology Fund

3. Work on development of carbon labelling withsuppliers and stakeholders

Page 18: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Slide 18

Response in the utilities sector – Dong Energy

DONG Energy is a utility company that is leading thedevelopment of low carbon energy production. Fourexamples of this from the companies activities are:

1. Highly efficient coal fire power plant

2. Off shore wind farm development

3. Research in to carbon capture and storage

4. Research into other renewables

Page 19: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Swiss Re first identified climate change as an emergingrisk 20 years ago. Important component of the company’slong-term risk management strategy include:

1. Climate Adaptation Development Programme

2. Climate Change Futures

3. Greenhouse Neutral Programme

4. Bali Communiqué on Climate Change

5. High level discussions

Response from insurance sector - Swiss Re

Page 20: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Slide 20

Response in industrial products sector – Grundfos

Pumps account for >3% of world energy use. Grundfosaccept that as a leading pump manufacturer they must playan important role in combating climate change.

Technology leadership has helped them to become thenumber one global pump producer - 80% of all newproducts developed must have energy consumption at least5% lower than previous model.

But they are also looking beyond traditional products andmarkets…

Page 21: Respond to CDP % Global 500 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP November 2008 Slide 11 Business contribution to the climate change policy debate • Breaking the Climate Deadlock initiative

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

November 2008

Leadership on climate change

1. Shaping the regulatory environment

2. Seizing growth opportunities

3. Preparing and protecting the business

4. Setting an example

5. Empowering others

6. Leading the way