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Page 1: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Resources Available Through Research & Planning

Page 2: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Research & Planning

OUR ORGANIZATION:R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity.

WHAT WE DO:R&P collects, analyzes, and publishes timely and accurate labor market information (LMI)

meeting established statistical standards.

OUR CUSTOMERS:LMI makes the labor market more efficient by

providing the public and the public’s representatives with the basis for

informed decision making.

Page 3: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Research & Planning’s Website (http://doe.state.wy.us/LMI)

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 4: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Example: Wage rates for the Casper Metropolitan Statistical Area.

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 5: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Example: Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 6: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Statewide Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 7: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Table for Natrona County

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 8: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Research & Planning Surveys

Benefits Survey

Succession Planning

Survey

Page 9: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

ANSWERShttp://doe.state.wy.us/ANSWERS/

(under upgrade status)

Example: Median Income & Population

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/18/2007

Page 10: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Research & Planning provides training on the

above features & provides consultation (e.g., in conjunction with a

planned research project).

Page 11: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Growing Occupations

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 12: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Declining Occupations

P. Ellsworth, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 13: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Work In Progress

□Commuting Patterns□Understanding the source of

workers contributing to Wyoming’s current growth

Page 14: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Commuting PatternsFigure: Natrona County Commuting Flows, 2000Q4-2005Q4

-8,000

-6,000

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2000

Q4

2001

Q1

2001

Q2

2001

Q3

2001

Q4

2002

Q1

2002

Q2

2002

Q3

2002

Q4

2003

Q1

2003

Q2

2003

Q3

2003

Q4

2004

Q1

2004

Q2

2004

Q3

2004

Q4

2005

Q1

2005

Q2

2005

Q3

2005

Q4

Date

Com

muti

ng F

low

Outflow

Inflow

Net Flow

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 15: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Wyoming Expatriates and Other Nonresidents Commuting to Natrona County

Figure : Top State of Origin Inflows to Natrona County for Workers without Wyoming Driver Licenses

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Date

Inflo

w

WY

CA

CO

TX

UT

MT

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, May 17, 2007

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 16: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Active RN Inflows – Sweetwater County

2004Q4 2005Q1 2005Q2 2005Q3 2005Q4

Source County

Albany 3 4 3 3 3

Campbell 1 1 . . .

Carbon 4 4 4 4 5

Fremont 2 1 . 1 .

Hot Springs 1 1 2 1 1

Lincoln 3 4 4 2 3

Natrona 1 1 1 2 3

Park 2 1 2 2 1

Sheridan 1 1 1 . .

Sublette 2 2 5 4 3

Uinta . . . 1 2

Z-Unknown 19 17 17 21 16

Total 39 37 39 41 37

Inflow

Base County Sweetwater

Date

Inflow Table: Sweetwater Intercounty Commuting Flows, 2000Q1-2005Q4

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 17: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Active RN Outlfows – Sweetwater County

2004Q4 2005Q1 2005Q2 2005Q3 2005Q4

Target County

Albany . . . -1 -1Carbon -4 -3 -5 -7 -4Colorado -1 -2 -1 -1 .

Fremont -1 -1 -1 -2 -1Idaho -1 . . . .

J ohnson -1 -1 -1 -1 -1Laramie . -1 -3 -2 -1Lincoln -1 -1 . -1 -1Natrona -4 -3 -4 -5 -6Park . . . -1 .

Sheridan -1 -2 -2 -1 -1Sublette -1 -1 -3 -3 -3Uinta -10 -10 -9 -13 -11Utah . -2 -2 -3 -3Z-Unknown . -1 -1 -1 .

Z-Unknown-WY . . -3 -1 -5Total -25 -28 -35 -43 -38

Outflow

Base County Sweetwater

Date

Outflow Table: Sweetwater Intercounty Commuting Flows, 2004Q4-2005Q4

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 18: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

IMPLAN Example

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Every household in Natrona County received a $250 tax rebate and…

The entire amount was spent by consumers?

Allows us to conduct “what if” scenarios

Example :“What if…”

Page 19: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

IMPLAN Results – Output ($)

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 20: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

IMPLAN Results – Employment

D. Leonard, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 21: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Aging WorkforceFigure: Projected Population Growth for Wyoming, 2000-2030

49,92853,294

39,798 37,557 38,554 37,902

45,520

57,693

63,414

72,658

88,842

109,655

128,605

138,586

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

18-24 65+

L. Knapp, DOE R&P, 3/28/2007

Page 22: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Earnings by Wage, Gender, & Industry: All Industries

S. Jones, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 23: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

Earnings by Wage, Gender, & Industry: Natural Resources & Mining

S. Jones, DOE R&P, 5/17/2007

Page 24: Resources Available Through Research & Planning. Research & Planning O UR O RGANIZATION: R&P is a separate, exclusively statistical entity. W HAT W E

“The cancellation of Project Camelot came as an act of government censorship, and an expression of the contempt for social science so prevalent among those who need it most.”

Research Code of Ethics(Things R&P cannot do.)

1. Violate research subject (firms and individuals) confidentiality.

2. Conceal findings deemed unfavorable to a research sponsor or interested party.

3. Allow our name to be put on products whose content has not been fully under our control or which has not been prepared without full investigatory freedom.

4. Conduct studies to “Prove that … something is true or false.” Science represents a process of hypothesis testing in which findings are produced as a function of probabilities.

“The Life and Death of Project Camelot,” Irving Louis Horowitz, reproduced in Sociological Methods; a sourcebook 1970, p. 575.