research update - november 2016
TRANSCRIPT
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WHAT THE RESEARCH SAYSACTE VisionsNovember 2016
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Everybody Is Talking About CTE
TIME Magazine
National Public Radio
USA Today: “About 31-35% of Americans graduate from some type of college these days…But we need to better prepare the other 65-70% (for jobs earning a middle-class living) in the 21st century.”
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AFT: “A strictly academic curriculum has been prioritized to the detriment of career and technical education (CTE), which provides the link between the needs of the labor market and the needs of young people to be prepared for life after high school.”
OECD: “VET has been oddly neglected and marginalized in policy discussions, often overshadowed by the increasing emphasis on general academic education and the role of schools in preparing students for university education.”
EVERYBODY IS TALKING ABOUT CTE
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Georgetown, Business Round Table and College Board: The Promise of High Quality CTE— “High-quality Career and Technical Education (CTE) — as distinguished from older models of vocational education — has great potential to improve student educational attainment and worker earnings, as well as outcomes for firms and the U.S. economy.”
EVERYBODY IS TALKING ABOUT CTE
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AND, IT ISN’T JUST TALK In the last two years……….
43 states approved new funding for CTE programs and initiatives
29 states have worked to elevate, support and incentivize business education partnerships and work-based learning
32 states passed policies to encourage learners to earn industry-recognized credentials
Careertech.org
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IT’S NO SURPRISE
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YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT
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Student loan debt: 40 million Americans have outstanding loans. Up from 29 million in 2008.
Average debt is $29,000.
$1.3 trillion “Loan-ageddon”
STAGGERING STUDENT DEBT
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COLLEGE COMPLETION
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THE SKILLS GAP
Source: March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018.
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Middle skill jobs currently represent 48% of workforce (69 million jobs)
Boomers retiring 47% of all new job openings from 2010 to 2020 will fall into the middle skill range
Source: Harvard Business Review Who Can Fix the Middle-Skills Gap? January 2015
THE SKILLS GAP - TAKE TWO
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THE PUBLIC GETS IT…….. 100 communities across Arizona – representing over 90% of our population – have voted to tax themselves in order to support JTEDs.
87% of Americans and 89% of public school parents agree that students should receive more education about career choices while in high school
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2016 BUSINESS ROUND TABLE …despite acknowledged improvements…..the long-term negative impacts of the skills gap on workers, families, business, governments and the economy are potentially far-reaching
CTE provides an opportunity to bridge that gap, by providing real world, hands-on exposure to fields to students while they are still in school and can choose a pathway to a growing career
95% of American CEOs believe their companies suffer from a skills shortage
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MORE GOOD NEWS People are saying the right things
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CTE WORKS! It is learning that works
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POTENTIAL POWER OF CTE92% of U.S. high school students take at least one CTE course
Less concentrate in CTE but it is still significantU. S. high schools average 8.57 CTE programs
Discussion: Does your school look like this? Discuss with a shoulder partner.
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ENGAGEMENTGetting kids to school and graduating on time
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GETTING KIDS THROUGH HS: THE FIRST MEASURE OF ENGAGEMENTGood NewsHigh School Completion = 82% - Highest in 40 Years
Racial/Ethnic gap is closing
*Graduating class of 2014
Bad NewsVariability among states: 91% in Iowa; 61% in D.C.
Hispanics and Blacks trail Whites with graduation rates by 5 and 13 points respectively; boys drop out more than girlsSource: National Center for Educational Statistics 2016
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ON THE RISEASU MORRISON INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICYCTE participation has a positive effect on students’ academic engagement as measured by the likelihood of dropping out and absenteeism. Tucson Unified – 20 – 60% Mesa – 79%
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STAYING POWERRatio of 1 academic: 2 CTE courses is optimal98% of AZ 2014-2015 concentrators completed high school vs. 76% of all other AZ high school students
Nationally, 90.18% of CTE concentrators graduate as opposed to 80.0% of all freshmen
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DISCUSSIONWhy do kids that are immersed in CTE programs come to school regularly and graduate on time?
Turn to your should partner and share
Be prepared to share with the group
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ACHIEVEMENT
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CTE CONTRIBUTIONS TO ACHIEVEMENT
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IMPACT OF CAREER/TECHNICAL COURSES THAT INTEGRATE ACADEMICS
46%31%
69%60%
45%
63%53%
39%
57%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
Academics wereintegrated
Less intensiveacademic
integration
Academics werenot integrated
Reading Mathematics Science
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NAEP CTE students enrolled in science—or STEM-centric fields of study—including agriculture, IT and engineering technology—scored at and above average on the 12th grade National Assessment of Education Progress (NAEP) in science
The highest 12th grade NAEP scores in science were earned by CTE concentrators in agriculture, IT and engineering technology who also took more than three core science courses
http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2010/2010021.pdf
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DISCUSSIONWhat is it about CTE that generally improves students’ academic outcomes?
Share with your shoulder partner
Be prepared to share with the group
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TRANSITIONSending them on to worthy post secondary destinations
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TRANSITION “According to data from the National Center for Education Statistics, the majority of CTE students in high school continue on to postsecondary education, and those who join the workforce outright or work to supplement their incomes as they pursue further education are often in a better financial situation than high school graduates who did not pursue CTE.”
Techniques Magazine, February 2014
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THERE’S MORE GOOD NEWS 78% of CTE concentrators enroll in postsecondary education, full time, within two years of graduation
About one third of all dual enrollment credits—about 600,000 in all—are earned in CTE courses
Students in postsecondary CTE programs are more likely to be employed within five years than those in an academic field of study
Source: Careertech.org
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CTE SENDS STUDENTS ON TO POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION 78% of CTE concentrators enroll in postsecondary education, full time, within two years of graduation
About one third of all dual enrollment credits—about 600,000 in all—are eared in CTE courses
Students in postsecondary CTE programs are more likely to be employed within five years than those in an academic field of study
Source: Careertech.org
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CREDENTIAL ACQUISITION
Certificate 2 Year 4 Year Grad0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
CTE
Others
NAVE, 2004
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THE PARADIGM IS SHIFTING
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COLLEGE FOR ALL? 68% start college Only 40% complete college 53% of grads are unemployed or underemployed
Student loan debt now exceeds auto loans, credit card balances and home-equity loan debt … $1.3 trillion
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TIME MAGAZINE“Millennials make less money, are more likely to live in poverty and have lower rates of employment than their parents did at their ages 20 and 30 years ago.”
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A LOOK AT THE ECONOMY 47% of all new jobs 2010-20 are middle skills jobs 48% of current labor force are middle skill jobs 86% of companies have experienced labor shortages….up from 53% in 2013
Source: Harvard Business Review Who Can Fix the Middle-Skills Gap? January 2015
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FORDHAM UNIVERSITY REPORT ON CTE--2016 Students with greater exposure to CTE are more likely to graduate from high school, enroll in a two-year college, be employed, and earn higher wages.
CTE is not a path away from college: Students taking more CTE classes are just as likely to pursue a four-year degree as their peers.
Students who focus their CTE coursework are more likely to graduate high school by twenty-one percentage points compared to otherwise similar students (and they see a positive impact on other outcomes as well).
CTE provides the greatest boost to the kids who need it most—boys, and students from low-income families.
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CTE FOR ALL…….IT JUST MAKES SENSE
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SO WHAT?What is your elevator speech regarding the value and importance of CTE?
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THE NEW (AND NOT SO NEW) CHALLENGE:CHILDREN LIVING IN POVERTY
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THE SOCIAL MOBILITY ESCALATOR IS BROKEN For the first time in 50 years, a majority of U.S. public school students come from low income families.
CTE can fix the “mobility escalator”
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FACTS ABOUT CHILDREN IN POVERTY Children living in poverty have a higher
number of absenteeism or leave school all together because they are more likely to have to work or care for family members.
Dropout rates of 16 to 24-years-old students who come from low income families are seven times more likely to drop out than those from families with higher incomes.
Dosomething.org
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POVERTY MATTERSPoverty really matters
“CTE is the Rx” CTE
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CTE – LEARNING THAT WORKS
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THE VISION
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Strong career options for all students Career development Academic integration Rigorous curricula addressing technical and employability skills Project based and work-based learning Appropriate assessments
CHALLENGES/ASPIRATIONS
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“Not all CTE we find in today’s public schools provides the proper beginning of a career pathway—a pathway that builds on credentials business and industry recognize and value.”
James Stone, NRCCTE
HIGH-QUALITY CTE
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SUGGESTED READING: America Works: Education and Training for Tomorrow’s Jobs, National
Governors Association Opportunities and Options: Making Career Preparation Work for
Students, National Council of Chief State School Officers Holzer, Linn and Monthey. The Promise of High Quality Career and
Technical Education. October 2013 Catellano, Sundell, Overman, Richardson and Stone. Rigorous Tests of
Student Outcomes in CTE Programs of Study: Final Report. April 2014 OECD. Skills Beyond School—Synthesis Report. November 13, 2014 New America. New American Education Policy: Beyond the Skills Gap
Making Education Work for Students, Employers and Communities. October 2014
The State of Working in America”StateofWorkingAmerica.org
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NEED MORE INFORMATION?For more CTE research visit:
• The CTE Research Clearinghouse at http://www.acteonline.org/clearinghouse.aspx
• National Association of State Directors of CTE Consortium www.careertech.org
• The National Research Center for CTE at www.nrccte.org
• Association for Career and Technical Education www.acteonline.org
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