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© 2015 Gevo, Inc. | 1 ABC17 Patrick Gruber, Ph.D. CEO Replacing Mainstream Hydrocarbon Fuels, and Their GHG emissions, with Low Carbon, Commercially Viable Alternatives

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  • © 2015 Gevo, Inc. | 1

    ABC17 Patrick Gruber, Ph.D. CEO

    Replacing Mainstream Hydrocarbon Fuels, and Their GHG emissions, with Low Carbon,

    Commercially Viable Alternatives

  • Forward-Looking Statements

    Certain statements within this presentation may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to a variety of matters, including but not limited to: the ability of Gevo to enter into a definitive offtake agreement with Lufthansa; the ability of Gevo to build out the Luverne production facility to increase the production of isobutanol and/or hydrocarbon products; addressable markets, size of markets and market demand for isobutanol, ethanol and their derivatives; optimized isobutanol production costs and plant-level economics, including achievable EBITDA margins; future market opportunities related to Gevo’s alcohol-to-hydrocarbons technologies; Gevo’s ability to successfully scale up its ethanol-to-olefins technology; Gevo’s ability to obtain customer, licensing, investment and strategic partnership commitments and the timing of bringing such commitments online; Gevo’s future isobutanol and ethanol production capacity and the timing associated with bringing such capacity online; estimates of the timing and costs of capital expenditures at the Luverne plant and the impact of such installations; Gevo’s ability to sustain achievements in production capacity; the strength of Gevo’s intellectual property position and its ability to successfully and profitably license its technology platform to third parties; the performance of Gevo’s isobutanol yeast biocatalyst; the availability of additional production volumes to seed additional market opportunities; the expected applications of isobutanol, including its use to produce renewable paraxylene, PET, isobutanol-based fuel blends, isooctane and ATJ bio-jet; the expected cost-competitiveness and relative performance attributes of isobutanol and the products derived from it; the receipt and timing of ASTM and MIL-SPEC certification; the future price volatility of isobutanol and its derivatives; any potential decreases in Gevo’s expense levels, including as a result of the Butamax settlement, and anticipated EBITDA burn rates and other statements that are not purely statements of historical fact. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of Gevo’s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Gevo assumes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Gevo believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. For a discussion of the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of the company in general, see the risk disclosures in Gevo’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, as amended, and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Gevo, including any prospectus supplements related to this offering. This presentation is based on information that is generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is neither an offer to purchase nor a solicitation of an offer to sell securities.

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 2

  • Burning of fossil resources as fuels generates Greenhouse Gasses. – Mostly Carbon Dioxide (CO2)

    – Also Nitrogen oxides, and Sulfur oxides

    It is unequivocal that GHG’s are increasing from burning of fossil carbon (fuels, synthetic fiber, and plastics). Its simple chemistry.

    The Problem

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 3

  • Burning of Fossil Carbon Sources Generates Increased GHG‟s

    Transportation fuels, electricity generation, heat, chemical

    production, manufacturing, etc.

    Atmospheric CO2

    Natural Gas Oil © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 4

  • Atmospheric CO2 Has Increased by ~16 GT From 2006 to 2015 from Fossil Carbon Use

    Land Use Change 3.5 GT

    Land Sink 11.5 GT

    Ocean Sink 9.7 GT

    Transportation and Industry 34.0 GT

    Data: CDIAC/NOAA-ESRL/GCP Carbon Budget GT=Giga tons

    More Carbon Dioxide is being generated than the sinks can take up

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 5

  • The Solution (Simplified)

    Land Use Change 3.5 GT

    Land Sink 11.5 GT

    Ocean Sink 9.7 GT

    Transportation and Industry 34.0 GT

    Reduce

    Reduce and eliminate Increase

    Reduce fossil fuels for transportation and energy generation with low carbon alternative carbon sources. Reduce land use change by increasing yield and productivity. Increase the amount of carbon being put into the ground y good farming practices.

    Natural Gas Oil © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 6

  • We Need the Same Prodcuts, but From a Different Carbon Source

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 7

  • +

    Process Energy

    CO2

    Carbon Source

    • By eliminating both fossil carbon from both raw materials and process it is possible to eliminate GHG’s from business system

    Increased

    Replace the Carbon Source and Energy Source to Eliminate GHG‟s

    Fuel

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 8

  • CO2

    +

    Process Energy

    +

    Process Energy

    CO2

    CO2

    Carbon Source

    • By eliminating both fossil carbon from both raw materials and process it is possible to eliminate GHG’s from business system

    Increased

    Reduced

    Replace the Carbon Source and Energy Source to Eliminate GHG‟s

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 9

    Fuel

    Fuel

  • CO2

    +

    Process Energy

    CO2 Reduced

    We can do better than just replacing the fuel…

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 10

    Fuel

    Capture Protein Capture Oil Sequester Carbon

  • Reality of RENEWABLE CARBON to Hydrocarbon Chemistry

    ~33%

    Chemistry Routes Biological Routes

    Combinations

    Theoretical Mass Yield

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 11

    12CO2 + 12H2O +H2------> C12H26 + 18O2

  • Starch

    Sugar

    Sugar

    Ag Residue or Grasses

    Wood

    Available Today

    Available Future

    Biogenic MSW (no plastics or

    synthetics)

    Carbohydrates

    Vegetable oil

    Tallow oil

    Biobased fats and oils Biogas

    Corn oil

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 12

    Palm oil

    What are the Non-Fossil Feedstock Possibilities?

    Bagasse

  • 756 354

    147 9 593

    Carbohydrates Vegetable Oils Rendered Fats MSW BiogenicWaste

    In order to replace large quantities of fossil fuels, we will be growing feedstock directly or indirectly....

    Carbohydrates are the most scalable, and ubiquitous

    *Based on updated Nexant Models and engineering projections Assumed $3.60/bu corn, average tallow/grease price from NRA market report

    $283

    $1 154 $1 199

    $49

    Carbohydrate Vegetable Oil Rendered Fats MSW BiogenicWaste

    Source: 2010/2011 USDA Foreign Agriculture Service (FAS), NRA 2015, USDA ERS Oil Crop Yearbook 2015/16, World Bank Global Review of Solid Waste Management 2012

    Feedstock Availability (MMT)

    Feedstock Cost per Ton ($/MT)

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 13

  • The Cost of the Feedstock is Critical to the Economics of the Product

    Sugar Price

    $/lb

    $0.05

    $0.06

    $0.07

    $0.08

    $0.09

    $0.10

    $0.11

    $0.12

    $0.13

    $0.14

    $0.15

    $0.16

    $0.17

    $0.18

    $0.19

    $0.20

    $0.21

    $0.22

    $0.23

    $0.24

    $0.25

    Cellulosic Sugars

    Cane, Beet or Refined Corn sugar

    Corn Starch Agave, Sorghum

    Molasses

    * HC = Hydrocarbon; Jet & Isooctane

    A $0.01/lb ($22/mt) change in sugar price impacts the production cost of jet fuel

    – $0.20-0.25/gal

    – ~$8-10/bbl

    Corn is effective because of the high yield of co-products offset the cost of corn

    Corn oil High Protein Animal Feed

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 14

  • Low Cost/ Low Volitility of Renewables

    © 2016 Gevo, Inc. | 15

    Jet and Crude Oil data obtained from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Corn data obtained from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Net Corn is subtraction of DDG value (100% value of corn, 18 lbs per bushel)

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    17

    USD

    $ p

    er

    US

    Po

    un

    d

    Month of the Year

    Cushing, OK WTI Crude Oil $/lb

    Jet FOB Gulf Coast $/lb

    US Monthly Average Corn $/lb

    NET Corn US Monthly Average $/lb

  • © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 16

  • © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 17

  • Carbon Emissions Reduction - Luverne

    *Petroleum based Jet Fuel Emissions based on standard EU RED value s – GHG modeled per EU RED standards

    Net GHG Emissions: -7.89 gCO2e/MJ

    80,05

    0,80 0,80 0,80 6,81 6,81 6,81

    25,69

    5,42 5,42

    (4,30) (4,30)

    (37,83)

    16,91

    16,91 16,91

    (50,00)

    (20,00)

    10,00

    40,00

    70,00

    100,00

    Fossil Fuel Emission Factor Current Process Biomass CHP Biomass CHP w/ Best Land

    management

    gm

    CO

    2 e

    q p

    er

    MJ F

    ue

    l

    Lifecycle GHG Emissions and Carbon Savings of Jet Fuel

    Use Transport & Distribution Processing Savings from soil accumulation Cultivation of raw materials

    0% reduction

    43% reduction

    68% reduction 110% reduction

    New EU RED rules to reduce indirect land use change -Limits the share of biofuels from crops grown on agricultural land that can be counted towards the 2020 renewable energy targets to 7% -Sets an indicative 0.5% target for advanced biofuels as a reference for national targets which will be set by EU countries in 2017 -Harmonizes the list of feedstocks for biofuels across the EU whose contribution would count double towards the 2020 target of 10% for renewable energy in transport -Requires that biofuels produced in new installations emit at least 60% fewer greenhouse gases than fossil fuels

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 18

  • Fossil Based Feedstocks for Alternative Jet Fuel and Gasoline

    FACT: Using these as raw materials for fuels and then burning them as fuel INCREASES FOSSIL CO2 emissions.

    Coal

    Natural Gas

    Synthetic Materials from MSW (plastics, foams, carpet fiber, car parts, packaging, films, food service ware, household goods, etc)

    This slide is one we use when talking to airlines who have been told that these feedstocks are a

    lower GHG alternative than petro-jet

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 19

  • © 2013 Gevo, Inc. | 20

  • Jet Fuel

    Renewable Gasoline (Isooctane)

    Specialty Chemicals & Solvents

    Specialty Gasoline Blendstock (Marine / Off-Road, „Ethanol Free‟, On-Road)

    Gevo Production Facilities Core Addressable Markets

    Isobutanol – Drop-in Markets

    Hydrocarbons – Drop-in Markets

    South Hampton Resources Silsbee, TX

    Luverne, MN

    Isobutanol Production – Side-by-Side with Ethanol

    Hydrocarbon Biorefinery

    15 MGPY Ethanol 1.5 MGPY Isobutanol*

    Gevo‟s Current Business System

    * MGPY = million gallons per year; estimated isobutanol and ethanol design capacity

    Isobutanol

    Isobutanol

    Renewable Hydrocarbons

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 21

  • Product mix at Luverne Production Plant

    ~45K MT/Y of animal feed

    5.7M L/Y (~4500t/Y)

    IBA

    ~57M L/Y ETOH

    ~1,400 MT/Y corn oil

    Approximate capacities © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 22

  • Potential Product mix at Future Luverne Production Plant

    ~30M L/Y Jet

    ~7.6M L/Y Isooctane

    Approximate capacities

    ~45K MT/Y of animal feed

    5.7M L/Y (~4500t/Y)

    IBA

    ~1,400 MT/Y corn oil

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 23

  • Targeting a Growth Market: Jet Fuel

    The aviation industry is expected to double in passengers over the 20 years to 2034

    The aviation industry accounts for 2% of GHG emissions (about the same as all of Germany), but it is expected to grow to 3% by 2050

    Sources: International Air Transport Association (IATA); EIA 2016 Annual Energy Outlook

    World Jet Fuel Demand

    100,00

    110,00

    120,00

    130,00

    140,00

    150,00

    160,00

    170,00

    180,00

    2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

    Year over Year Jet Fuel Demand Growth: ~3BGPY

    Growth that the airlines industry intends to be offset for GHG’s

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 24

  • It took a lot to get ASTM Qualification…

    Took ~6 years to get approved

    Took 186,000 gallons of fuel

    ATJ plant has run ~30,000 hrs

    One of 4 “Alternative Fuels”

    Could use any carbohydrate source

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 25

  • Jet Fuel: True Drop in, but with Improved Properties

    The energy density of ATJ is 1-2% higher than petro-jet. This means more miles per gallon of fuel, or more weight might be carried by a plane.

    Lower freezing point

    Very low sulfur means lower SOx

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 26

  • Renewable Jet Expected to Become Cost Advantaged

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

    WTI Oil Price (EIA) $50 $55 $70 $79 $85 $91 $95 $99 $104 $110 $115 $120 $126 $131 $138 $146 $154 $163 $170 $179 $187 $197 $207 $217

    Petro Jet Price (EIA) $1,55 $1,80 $2,19 $2,41 $2,60 $2,76 $2,88 $2,99 $3,12 $3,28 $3,43 $3,57 $3,73 $3,88 $4,09 $4,30 $4,53 $4,80 $4,99 $5,23 $5,45 $5,72 $6,00 $6,29

    Renewable Jet Net Price $1,76 $1,78 $1,78 $1,78 $1,78 $1,78 $1,78 $1,81 $1,81 $1,83 $1,85 $1,87 $1,89 $1,91 $1,94 $1,96 $1,98 $2,00 $2,02 $2,05 $2,07 $2,09 $2,11 $2,13

    $0,00

    $1,00

    $2,00

    $3,00

    $4,00

    $5,00

    $6,00

    $7,00

    Petro Jet Fuel Price

    Potential Renewable Jet Net Price*

    Pri

    ce

    The EIA predicts rising jet fuel prices over the next two decades

    As Gevo’s production becomes optimized, production costs and policy driven net backs will result in a cost benefit when compared to petroleum-based jet fuel

    This cost advantage can be used to DRIVE SUSTAINABILITY

    * ATJ estimated economics are based on optimized future plant and include RIN and tax credits Source: EIA 2016 Annual Energy Outlook, USDA Agricultural Projections to 2025, Global Harvest Initiative © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 27

  • Timeframes Matter

    2017 2020 2025

    What price is oil?

    Is carbon valued?

    Time Required to Deploy Assets

    Dillema: The future prices of oil and carbon can’t be known now with certainty. It takes 2-3 years to build production assets. Decision making timeframe is now, given trends

    Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

    Oil Price >$75/bbl >$75/bbl

  • Each gallon of gas made from renewable isooctane would have an extremely high RIN content, potential very low fossil carbon content, low CI, and be cleaner overall

    Isooctane: “The other ~80-90% of gasoline”

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 29

  • Each gallon of gas made from renewable isooctane would have an extremely high RIN content, potential very low fossil carbon content, low CI, and be cleaner overall

    Isooctane: “The other ~80-90% of gasoline”

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 30

  • Isobutanol Gasoline Blendstock Market

    Key Partners

    Target market is “high octane, RFS compliant, High RIN value, Ethanol Free Fuels”

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 31

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=EeZNaV8rln-U2M&tbnid=Rj-ym1xA4GFJhM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.gnagency.com/insurance/boat-watercraft-insurance/&ei=MMrSU4fLL8WEjALvg4CICw&bvm=bv.71778758,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNGqhn2081-HN7ANAxzJuhQ_ZgZhzA&ust=1406409641865609https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl&imgrefurl=http://www.uscg.mil/history/flagindex.asp&h=0&w=0&tbnid=QdQkKttKB-u4XM&zoom=1&tbnh=225&tbnw=225&docid=X7uoKnuHegb3EM&tbm=isch&ei=-DPqU_6RLMT-yQSQyoLwAg&ved=0CAIQsCUoAAhttp://www.google.com/url?url=http://biavic.com.au/mercury-marine-proud-welcome-aboard-newest-dealership-good-times-marine/&rct=j&frm=1&q=&esrc=s&sa=U&ei=SZXpU4mcNY7-yQSy8ID4Bg&ved=0CBwQ9QEwAw&usg=AFQjCNF3BsU_fMb_a77ZSm4bvqi2Y9KZNg

  • PETE

    32

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=dusQXW3Z9gr8ZM&tbnid=gLawKHKRXyccKM:&ved=0CAgQjRw&url=http://cargocollective.com/kiera/Coca-Cola-Concept-Design&ei=Mi_PUo77DcnooATB_IDABA&psig=AFQjCNHf9Rn7ymSbNXh9IfmaGeke3B4pRg&ust=1389396146279911http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=ROuCOFncisUUyM&tbnid=rBVrSIKbBk5CiM:&ved=0CAgQjRw4Iw&url=http://news.softpedia.com/newsImage/Coca-Cola-and-Pepsi-Want-Plastic-Bottles-Entirely-Made-of-Plants-2.jpg/&ei=bC_PUvb-JozsoATK0wI&psig=AFQjCNGA_Qxf6EpBTccTBahJspWbdjwO8Q&ust=1389396204676830http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=dusQXW3Z9gr8ZM&tbnid=gLawKHKRXyccKM:&ved=0CAgQjRw&url=http://cargocollective.com/kiera/Coca-Cola-Concept-Design&ei=Mi_PUo77DcnooATB_IDABA&psig=AFQjCNHf9Rn7ymSbNXh9IfmaGeke3B4pRg&ust=1389396146279911

  • 50 Million Gallons Fuel Grade Ethanol

    Potential for a Low Cost Route to Renewable Diesel

    ~19M Gal ~2M Gal ~8000t Hydrogen

    Chemical Catalysis

    Potential for low cost route to renewable diesel

    Generates large quantities of hydrogen

    Bunker Fuel

    Diesel Fuel

    Total Production Cost: $3.44/gal with no credit for hydrogen, no RINS, no credits Total Production Cost: $2.75/gal with hydrogen co-product sales, no RINS, other credits

    Illustrative examples, based on lab results and economic modeling © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 33

  • To slow down GHG emissions, we need to REPLACE BOTH the carbon source and the energy of production AT LARGE SCALE WITH MAINSTREAM HYDROCARBON PRODUCTS

    To REVERSE GHG, WE NEED TO SINK CO2. The easiest, practical way is through good agricultural practices

    Renewable hydrocarbons can be COST COMPETITIVE in the relative near term.

    Renewable hydrocarbons offer PERFORMANCE ADVANTAGES

    It advantageous to produce co-products, particularly from the feedstocks. It is possible to address food while reducing carbon. Gevo has proven it.

    Take-Aways

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 34

  • Low Cost Alcohol From Renewable Carbon Enable Hydrocarbons

    Source: Adapted from Nexant

    Benzene

    Toluene

    Xylenes

    Aromatics

    Unsaturated Polyesters

    Polypropylene

    Jet Fuel

    Gasoline

    Diesel

    Natural Gas Steam Cracking Olefins

    Pyrolysis Gasoline

    meta-Xylene

    para-Xylene

    ortho-Xylene

    Methyl Methacrylate

    Toluene Diamine

    Cyclohexane

    Ethyl Benzene

    Cumene

    Acrylonitrile

    Propylene Oxide

    Isobutene

    Ethanol

    alpha-Olefin

    Polyols

    Phenol

    Acetone

    Styrene

    Adipic Acid

    Caprolactam

    Toluene Diisocyanate

    Phthalic Anhydride

    Isophthalic Acid

    PTA

    Ethylene Glycol

    MTBE/ETBE

    Polyesters(PET)

    Plasticizers

    Polyurethane

    Nylon 6

    Nylon 66

    SB Latex

    ABS

    Polystyrene

    Butadiene-Styrene

    Polybutadiene

    Polyacrylonitrile

    Polyisobutylene

    Polyester

    Poly(vinyl cloride)

    Polyethylene

    Ethylene

    Propylene

    Butylenes

    Butadiene

    Vinyl Chloride

    Crude Oil

    Ethylene Oxide

    EDC

    Hydrocarbon Fuels

    Naphtha

    Chemicals and Materials

    Alcohols

    From just isobutanol (IBA) and ethanol most chemicals can be made cost-effectively

    © 2017 Gevo, Inc. | 35

    http://www.corvallisadvocate.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/sugar-beets.jpg

  • © 2015 Gevo, Inc. | 36